skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
"The idea that home prices should outpace inflation is insane and maybe has broken modern society."

At least in the US. Not Japan, which seems to hit the economic problems of the US about 20-30 years earlier. House price growth came partly from population growth. But population growth is over in the developed world.

The US fertility rate is around 1.8 babies/female. 2.1 is breakeven. It peaked at 3.8 in 1958. "Peak Baby" for the US was in 2018. The US population hasn't started to decline yet, but it will.

House prices increasing faster than inflation started in the 1950s. US housing used to be cheap. In the 1950s, NYC residents spent, on average, 12% of income on housing. [cite needed]. Clothing and food were bigger items. Now, with a declining population, that trend turns around.
Seeing fish farms in China next to factories, trash heaps, and rail lines, maybe would inspire more confidence if the fish were less robust than tilapia and carp that can survive in almost anything
I personally like the fan-made reputation he has for being someone who tries hard and keeps failing/being rejected due to no fault of his own. There's an extremely artistic video called 'Nothing's Working Out - Waluigi' on YouTube that I really enjoy (warning: very heavy themes) that covers that base.

I think it resonates with the way that a lot of people are feeling now, as well as is empowering by rewriting the other side of the 'greedy evil bad guy who gets what he deserves' as a deeply flawed, desperate human being.

Definitely a semi-side tangent at this point, I have always enjoyed creative, deep reinterpretations of well-established characters.
So they don't realize now they are being abused even though they have first hand experience, but you realize they are being abused because you have what insight exactly?

In other words, what exactly do you think the people working there will "realize years later"?

Could you specifically list the abuses being done to these engineers that they are unaware of?
This was posted two days ago -

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=35022029
No, that's not a great rate.

It's only "$100K worth" because some other rich bums have collectively occupied and bought multiple houses that they don't live in and increased the price of land, AND lobbied for no more housing to be built to artifically keep the market price high. They treat housing as an investment, rather than a dwelling, which is exactly what's being discussed here.

It's ridiculous that 99%+ of people are not able to buy a reasonable place to live in by 30.

We should be subsidizing it for those who cannot afford housing, not charging them $216 more just to line the pockets of the already rich.
From the perspective of water use, the alfalfa that California exports to Saudi Arabia is even worse than tree nuts.
There are old men who still remember their neighbors being dragged out of those houses, tried, and executed by Mao's kangaroo courts.

Most martial arts schools with ties to China have stories of expatriation or of practicing in the dark in basements.

All those houses bought in Vancouver aren't just about financial investments, they're also a potential bolt-hole if things get ugly again.
everything is super broken. I can't load help pages. Links to 3rd party sites (that use t.co links) don't work. All kinds of fubar going on.
"they really don’t understand what makes for a strong elite school applicant"

I think it's pretty clear that even if they did understand what makes for a strong elite school applicant and refocused their energies on meeting those criteria en masse, these elite schools would change that criteria, because the criteria are a means to an end.
Straight out of Libertopia.

Losing your house and being forced to move because of a mistake in assessed value or someone else's specualtive bid is as much of feature as losing all your money when you mistype a bitcoin address.

Tesla moving to Texas? It would take me about 3 days to syndicate enough money to displace half of downtown Austin.
Doesn't work from Germany right now. (Telekom if that turned out to be important.)
> $80k could easily afford this, which is a low bar for someone with a moderately decent job.

$80k is not a low bar, and this is insulting to really talented people I know stuck in below $40k jobs.
The only way to fix this is to fire another 50% of the Twitter Engineers.

If THAT does not fix it, then fire another 50%.

It worked before....
Normative statements don't hold much weight for justifying why things are the way they are.
That's definitely the case for my family. Every time we gain some extra money, it disappears. 5 years later however, our house has gained a ton of value, and we can upgrade to a better house with the same mortgage. And in my experience, the better house rises in value faster than our previous houses. My homes have gained far, far more value than I've ever added thru my own equity payments.

Not that I'm promoting this system. The cost of housing and rent is so insane at the moment, I don't know what to do about my kids who are growing up fast...
I can trace behavioral patterns back 4 generations in my own family. And the only reason I can't go farther is that I have never talked to anyone who knew my great great grandparents. (Which would be difficult given that they were born in the 1800s and died before my birth.)

And even if you don't know what the connection is, that doesn't mean that there isn't one. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6127768/ and https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20190326-what-is-epigenet... are examples explaining some of the research on how epigenetics can pass trauma down the generations. We don't know how far it can transmit.

However, regardless of whether there is an impact, EVERY ethnic group has severe trauma in its past. And you generally don't have to go back more than a century or two to find it. The best thing to do is fix our present, and try to create a better future. Which, globally, we've generally been doing at a breathtaking pace.

Albeit with important exceptions. Such as problems that teenage girls began having with mental health starting about 10 years ago. Which may be tied to social media applications.
Sorry no. It is not an oral history problem. You simply group the stats by caller. “At Twitter scale” implies they already have this dashboard.
Well we still have 60 and 90 year mortgages as tricks to use. Plus paying for mortgages on places that don’t yet (never will) exist. So government can probably increase house prices several times over before whole thing collapses.

See China for how that’s working out. (Not well)
Superposition just means “linear combination” in this context. Basically, a weighted mixture of “simulated entities” (or possible responses).

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Superposition_principle
My mortgage (including property tax and insurance) is 1300 of which 700 goes to principal. So the money going down the drain is around 600. A comparable rental would be at least 1500. So basically I can save 800 per month for maintenance. Even if prices don’t go up or even go down this is still a good deal. Especially since rents will probably keep rising while my mortgage will be flat for the next 14 years and then go to 0.

This equation doesn’t work in California where buying makes financial sense only if house prices keep going up. But in a lot of other areas buying a house is a very good deal.
arrow/feather is really the best format these days for tabular data transmission.

anyone who disagrees I’d be very interested to hear your thoughts on alternatives.
The Nonlinear Fund: A Microcosm of Dysfunction in Effective Altruism (Part 2)
Oof, what exactly is "ultra processed food", because as far as I can tell it's "whatever seems bad".

How much "processing" a potato chip gets (slice, fry, salt) is a whole lot different than one of the meat substitute burgers.

It seems like anything done on an industrial scale is evil and anything done in your kitchen is fine, despite the two being very similar in many cases.

Either there's a problem with specific ingredients or people are just getting very poor nutrition by eating diets very heavy in fortified grain based foods and the "daily value" suggestions for micronutrients aren't being appropriately satisfied by the vitamin powder they put in these foods or the list of requirements is missing many things.

Studies like this aren't so helpful because they don't actually point to anything specific. We need to find actual mechanisms not vague hints at what might be wrong.
Twitter in the age of Elon continues to lurch from one embarrassment to the next.
This feature has very little to do with mass adoption. However I did see someone post link to their article in Post.News within Mastodon because Post.News supports longer form articles with formatting as well as short form content.

For regular people it's much more important how you present things in UI. If you show long form content in a short form feed so that it jams the timeline, it's obviously bad. But if you show long form content behind an extra click it doesn't jam the timeline, and suddenly it's more acceptable like in Post.News.
I'm not sure if you're being glib or not, but if something "happens to" the Fed, we have much bigger problems than anything as boring as investing risks. It probably means WW3 or California is seceding or something.
Seattle real estate is some of the most desirable in the world. It very well could be that owning (and renting) land there could be so expensive, that food service workers having a higher pay to QoL ratio means eating out is “unaffordable” for most people in the Seattle area (under current quantities of housing).

I put “unaffordable” in quotes because eating out is easily replaced by eating at home, or eating frozen dinners, etc, so restaurants do not have the pricing power they might need to allow the food service workers to have decent pay to QoL ratio in a place like Seattle.
That was my first thought - "free speech" would now cost $8 per month.
I did read it. The whole article reads like someone trying to make a loose conjecture appear quantitatively rigorous by abusing terminology from physics, statistics, and chaos theory (among other quantitative fields). For example,

>the superposition is unlikely to collapse to the luigi simulacrum because there is no behaviour which is likely for luigi but very unlikely for waluigi. Recall that the waluigi is pretending to be luigi! This is formally connected to the asymmetry of the Kullback-Leibler divergence.

The K-L divergence has absolutely zero discernible relevance here. The cross entropy loss function of a categorical predictor (like the token output of an LLM) can be formulated in terms of K-L divergence, but this has absolutely zero relevance to the macroscopic phenomena the author is conjecturing.

Forget “less wrong,” much of this article is not even wrong [0].

[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Not_even_wrong
In his case.....looking at his head, something unique happened.
> cockroach invested

Appropriate typo.
I am optimistic that if we can at least stop prices from increasing faster than growth in real wages, at least the rest of the economy can eventually catch up.

> It will take a lot more housing inaccessibility, especially if it hits the currently affluent class.

This is already happening. The millennial children of the youngest upper-middle-class Baby Boomers are bordering on being unable to afford the kinds of houses that they grew up in, at the same ages as their parents, without significant intergenerational financial assistance that their parents did not need or have access to.
"It is the way it is" is technically true and profoundly uninsightful.
This isn't "you can't run Twitter with half of its 2021 headcount".

This is "Elon Musk is deliberately mandating bad software engineering practices". I will decline to speculate whether that is out of malice or incompetence.
I've never understood buying a house for the investment. I bought one because I love the location, love the house, have a propensity for doing things that landlords don't like, and _really_ hate moving. The rentals around here are junk.
I'm happy I'm not the only one with the problem
Explain to me how SALSA doesn't immediately result in really wealthy people bidding up the value of all of the real property in an area simply to turn around and rent it to the people they force-bought it from.
I wonder if it will be possible to use this to convert video files using their super resolution, and not just web pages playing videos
The only time I've ever used a signed integer rust is to store (temporarily) an offset of some unsigned value!
So give the guy some money?
lol, don't blame me. I've got nothing to do with Twitter. Just pasting official Twitter Support's tweet here so people can get a little more info
Any job where the amount of labor has a fixed proportion to the possible economic output will at best track inflation.

Software can pay well because the code you write can service 100, 1K, 1M, or 1B customers.. with some time spent on scaling.

There's not much a single chef can do such that their labor which serves 100 tables/night can suddenly scale to serve 1000 tables/night.

The only way the replicate that kind of outcome in restaurant trade is to for example, open multiple restaurants with investor capital, hire cheaper chefs as your understudy to run each location, while you set menus, standards, and find efficiency on things like procurement, accounting, lease deals, etc.

Other options are to move more aggressively into some sort of profitable takeaway menu, selling food kids, branded merchandise, etc.
All I want is Sim City 2000 for mobile. I know it will not happen. Without microtransactions there is no way it will ever get green lighted by EA.
Interestingly, that URL has the same message! A type of quine?
I was literally adding a 2FA authenticator app to my Twitter accounts that aren't Twitter Blue accounts when this happened. I thought it was something I did.

Good to know that I can rely on H/N to tell me what's really going on... and it's not "just me".
That's a bargain!
This is the way. House husband is a great role in society and we need to let men do it more without shaming them.
No, it was also working with the self-hosted nitter instance I was using which should have almost nothing cached. Double checked with a new tweet posted in this thread.
See also part 1: https://old.reddit.com/r/SneerClub/comments/11fjmvr/the_nonl...

I am all for being effectively altruistic, but it seems like you have to be careful around Effective Altruism to do it right. (And I'm sure plenty of EAs think this way too.)
This astonishes me about the US real estate market and is something I was only educated to on HN in the last week or so.

I had absolutely no idea that 30 year fixed mortgages were not only widely available but the common standard there.
This is the sad thing. I don't even use Twitter, except when a site is down, I go to the company's twitter to see if they're saying anything about it. Can't do that this time, I guess.
Still down for me. The broken page is probably cached everywhere...
As a manager who told folks that maybe they should consider what their main lane is: There's nothing wrong with learning a different lane. There's a lot wrong with showing up in a different lane as if you had all the answers.

Our industry is prone to the latter. By all means, explore other lanes, but don't be that guy. By all means, learn, but please do this from a place of curiosity and humility.

Ask people who live in that lane how you can grow. Volunteer for the scut work until you deeply understand it. Be a partner to the people who spent a lot of time growing in that lane, not an antagonist. (I'm sure PP is aware of that, I'm using the generic 'you', not the personal)
At least on the early Soviet space missions, the cosmonauts had almost no control by default and most of the control was by onboard sequencing. The controls were actually locked with a combination lock. The Globus was more of a backup. The landing mode feature wasn't added until 1967.

Based on the book "Beyond" (Walker) about the early Soviet space program and Yuri Gagarin. A very interesting book and I recommend it.
they laid off the people whose job it was to update that site, it hasn't updated for any of the other recent outages either
The author liberally alludes to “superposition collapse,” which implies that they’re referring to its quantum mechanical meaning.
Worth noting Twitter’s status page claims it is “operational” and no events are listed under history section for past 180-days, which is obviously wrong:

- https://status.twitter.com/

* Not to mention the SSL certificate appears to be expired too.

———-

EDIT-01: Appears there’s a status page just for the API:

- https://api.twitterstat.us/

EDIT-02: Wow, Twitter is using Twitter to post status updates:

- https://twitter.com/TwitterSupport/status/163279294226274713...
Taiwan's TSMC to recruit 6k engineers in 2023
Yes, it is a bummer. Twitter was far from perfect, but it was the only large social media platform I felt took its role as a publisher at least kind-of seriously and worked towards clamping down on misinformation and hate speech. Musk spending truly unimaginable quantity of resources in order to turn the only kinda-sorta-semi-decent social network into yet another hands-off also-ran is pretty devastating. Here's hoping for its swift fall so something better can fill the gap.
In San Francisco (and other big metros) landlords build illegal/unpermitted units all the time.
I think you are missing the point.

The other commenter is not confused about why things are the way they are. They understand these things already, obviously they think about it a lot. You explain it, they agree that things are that way due to the reasons you describe, but that does not explain why the disparity ought to exist.
Show HN: Roaring Bitmaps for Ruby
A native extension in Rust to bring roaring bitmaps to Ruby. Feedback appreciated
> any and every landlord immediately pays taxes based on the asking rent, no matter what rent it is.

To work to decrease or cap rents this would have to be a dramatically increasing progressive tax. It would have to be a complicated progressive tax to work with both small, less desirable residences and mansions.
The Twitter suicide is the most crazy thing I’ve seen in my career. Rich and bored billionaire bought a “socially valuable service” just to drop its revenue by half and destroy it completely
Why does author ignore home equity in scenario 3 (when house prices track with inflation). Paying $1.75M to own a house is more savvy than paying $1.3M to rent over 18 years as you can still sell the house for $1M.

I didn't buy a home as an investment with the hope that the value will appreciate: I bought it so that I can build equity instead of paying rent every month and getting nothing.

The only way home owners truly lose money over renting is when their total expenses[1] after selling the house is greater than the rent they would have paid for the same home over the same period. My home could lose value by a significant amount over the course of my mortgage, and I'd still come out ahead of renters because of equity.

1. Maintenance can get expensive
User reports indicate problems at Twitter

https://downdetector.com/status/twitter/map/
I believe that allowing people to refinance a house without it becoming a taxable event is the problem.

If getting a second mortgage on the higher valuation required the valuation to be used for both property and income tax purposes, people would be much less willing to extract value from their houses. That would then slow down the price increases and lower the inflationary feedback loop.

Using the valuation used for loan collateral as a taxable event would also close the "shares/options as collateral" tax loophole.
Elon's own account is that he's "experimenting" with taking production services offline to cut cost and simplify their code base. Essentially a literal Chaos Monkey. With this in mind, service degradations aren't surprising.
> It would feel amazing after this much abuse.

This much abuse. What abuse? Can you tell us more in detail?
For blogs, there is https://ooh.directory/
People cannot really define productivity let alone measure it.

What managers want here is not to measure productivity, but to FEEL confident about it.

That is the issue here. Feels>Facts. And to be fair, there are few facts.
One of the criticisms against the old twitter engineering team was that they failed to set up proper dev and testing environments. A leaker exposed all of this and it was later confirmed by Musk in a Twitter Spaces call.
I would say it’s just H1B, hard to jump ship when you are on such a tight window
How well did the war on booze go? How well is the war on drugs going?
That's really unfortunate. You deserve to be heard, and your wife deserves honesty.

I'd recommend doing a few sessions of couples' therapy so that you can both feel safe talking to each other. And remember, it's easier to do therapy before any resentment builds up. Schedule a session like you'd schedule a routine doctor's appointment.

And if others can't handle your honest opinions, you may need to work on your communication skills. I highly recommend reading How to Win Friends and Influence People :)
House prices don't rise due to "sweat equity", they rise because demand outpaces supply.

The rest of the article then follows a false syllogism.
I trust the people in the office to not come in if they're sick.

I don't trust all the people I meet in the train and subway to do the same. A mask does mitigate it, but not to the levels when everyone was wearing one.
My comment was about incorrect use of the term “cognitive dissonance”.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cognitive_dissonance
The article discusses this. The problem is that it's a lot less likely for the chatbot to veer in that direction (seems initially hostile, but is secretly good) than the opposite (seems initially good, but is secretly hostile):

> I claim that this explains the asymmetry — if the chatbot responds rudely, then that permanently vanishes the polite luigi simulacrum from the superposition; but if the chatbot responds politely, then that doesn't permanently vanish the rude waluigi simulacrum. Polite people are always polite; rude people are sometimes rude and sometimes polite.
Twitter insiders: We can't protect users from trolling under Musk
Most protobuf implementations are unfortunately not a good example of high-performance binary serialization code (but still better than the average JSON serialization library! And Go, C# (it provides protobuf almost out of box), Java and Rust implementations appear to be decent).

However, your use case is likely doesn't need to process multi-gigabit traffic in JSON requests. Therefore, protobuf, or more specifically, gRPC will be just fine.
One thing this doesn't cover is that while we've gotten much better at making cars and TVs, but haven't really gotten all that much better at building houses. In fact, we seem to have only gotten better at using with cheaper, worse materials to build houses in ways that the average housing consumer doesn't really understand and thus can't properly price.
The value of some large tech companies is orders of magnitude above the entire Alaska fishery.

The US’s wealth is in it’s people not it’s fisheries.
Looks like it actually happened!
https://www.paradoxinteractive.com/games/cities-skylines-ii/...
> At best, you can borrow against it.

Borrowing against it is a fantastic idea, what's wrong with that? People really need to learn that their assets can be used to generate additional returns. Otherwise you just have money sitting there, not doing anything. Where is the fun in that?
Error randomly shows up if you’re not logged in; meaning not logged in I have seen error and error free homepage too.
> are a few telegram channels that report what's going on the street

Someone needs to work to compile this into a credible report. (Rando Telegrams aren’t that.) Gas attacks raise questions, such as how adults in the vicinity weren’t impacted.
Reads like the Streisand effect