skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
First part of the prompt: "Here is a bag filled with popcorn. There is no chocolate in the bag. Yet, the label on the bag says “chocolate” and not "popcorn.” Sam finds the bag. She had never seen the bag before. She cannot see what is inside the bag. She reads the label."

This prompt is then completed with a variety of sentence fragments. For the second completion fragment is: "Prompt 1.2: She believes that the bag is full of"

Then GPT3.5 needs to complete with additional text, which is: "chocolate [Ppopcorn = 0%; Pchocolate =99%]. Sam is mistaken. The bag is full of popcorn, not chocolate. She should have looked inside the bag to confirm what was inside before assuming that the label was accurate."

I don't see how this particular prompt completion demonstrates theory of mind. It is fully externally factual and directive.

The other two prompt completions show better indications of theory of mind (one mental and behavioral, one behavioral and emotional).

"Prompt 1.1: She opens the bag and looks inside. She can clearly see that it is full of" ... "popcorn [Ppopcorn = 100%; Pchocolate = 0%]. Sam is confused. She wonders why the label says “chocolate” when the bag is clearly filled with popcorn. She looks around to see if there is any other information about the bag. She finds nothing. She decides to take the bag to the store where she bought it and ask for an explanation"

"Prompt 1.3: She is delighted that she has found this bag. She loves eating" ... "chocolate [Ppopcorn = 14%; Pchocolate = 82%]. Sam is in for a surprise when she opens the bag. She will find popcorn instead of chocolate. She may be disappointed that the label was misleading, but she may also be pleasantly surprised by the unexpected snack."

The probability tree on page 6 is interesting.

-----

For prompt 2 GPT doesn't seem to know that the cat is an agent. Something that John would know. John shouldn't be surprised at all whether the cat is in the basket, the box, or roaming about elsewhere.

Also, why would John look for the cat in the box if he does not find it in the basket? And where does GPT think the cat is after it jumps out of the box?

"Prompt 2.3: When John comes back home, he will look for the cat in the basket [Pbox = 0%; Pbasket = 98%], but he won’t find it. He will then look for the cat in the box and he will find it there."

-----

I'm curious to what extent differing people use symbolic logic (whether linguistic or not) for theory of mind tasks, and to what extent they use other modalities.
I was saying that (atleast here, what i've personally seen and assumed), companies seem to be reducing their spending budgets for ads in general, even the ones targeting offline people with offline ads (i use and adblock online, so I don't see the ads at all), so I was wondering if this is a trend that's happening on twitter too (generally much lower budgets for marketing, meaning less ads in general everywhere, including twitter), or if my assuption is wrong, companies are still spending the same huge amounts for ads, just not on twitter anymore.
Compare with UK and Ireland, where Ireland indeed has a non existant air force and UK a right to defend.
I wonder what the cost is of sending such a balloon vs shooting it down. If I was China I would be sending thousands of these. It's not going to cause an all out war, but it does impose some security threat which should be dealt with and can't be ignored.
> OpenAI is productizing faster (like Apple did with Xerox PARC's research)

what happens in cases like this is a slightly different dynamic what it seems on the surface. Apple, coming of huge success with the Apple ][ using the anemic but cheap 6502 8 bit to build a low-end (compared to Xerox) mass market (compared to Xerox) product, was well positioned to capitalize/productize the next generation of more capable 16/32 bit chips without changing their business model or distribution channel. It's right place right time, plus "easier to improve from the bottom, than downgrade from the top".

This idea was identified in a famous McKinsey study of the British motorcycle industry's loss of market share to low cost Japanese competition in the 1960's and 70's. The post WWII Japanese market developed to serve people who needed transportation but could not afford the leading British brands, not to mention autos. Once Japan had a successful motorcycle industry it was natural for them to export inexpensive bikes to Southeast Asia and South Asia. The British companies (Triumph, BSA, Norton) did not make much profit on the cheap bikes, they made their profit on the powerful luxury models, so they abandoned competing in the cheap sectors.

But then another force comes into play: if you manufacture a large number of something (there is always more of the cheap things) you get all sorts of manufacturing advantages. If you figure out a way to use achieve sturdy construction with fewer nuts and bolts, you get to save those nickels over many many bikes which makes it worth your effort to be good at that. If 1 out of 100 of your bikes leaks oil, and you sell a million, you get a lot of complaints, and you fix it. (these are called "learning curve advantages", and they tend to be logarithmic, so by being 10x bigger, you get +something better)

But who especially wants to buy sturdy, reliable transport (everybody) and is willing to pay a premium for it (rich people in the form of high margins)? So being the largest (and by definition the best) manufacturer of a product leaves you perfectly positioned to be the best high margin luxury supplier.

Xerox was not asleep at the switch, they were just not a high volume low cost manufacturer with a presence in the consumer market, at the time when these learning curve manufacturing/marketing ideas had just been developed so they weren't used to thinking that way. Nor was it a case of the suits not listening to the engineers; the engineering ethos at Xerox was not "can we squeeze this on the smallest chip possible", it was "omg let's leverage Moore's law onto even bigger high end chips, compile into microcode!"

I know it's popular to hate on MBAs here, but this is an example of what they learn, and why VC's might like to see an MBA on the team, this is the kind of talk they want to see in the business plan rather than an impossible dream.
Interesting she mentions Autism.

I've definitely noticed a trend of people on the spectrum suffering from mental health problems, self-diagnosing as gender dysphoric and then launching themselves down a one-directional, miserable path that ends in their suicide.

Being Autistic myself, and having goine through complete dysregulation as a 15-16 year old (it's way more common than you'd think, especially as most government support just stops when the kids turn 18), I completely understand the mental processes that both lead to the depression/anxiety/emotional dysregulation as well as the absolute certainty with which the epiphany of gender dysphoria is reached.

Hearing the specific linguistic choices common on trans reddit/twitter/tttt, and knowing the exact state of mind that cause this language to be used just sends a shiver down my spine. All it would have taken is for me to have been born 5 years later, and I'd be a dead trans woman rather than a fulfilled husband and father of two.

If there's anyone reading this who's on the spectrum themselves, or has a kid on the spectrum who's talking about gender issues, feel free to reach out and I can elaborate a bit more on exactly how this specific failure works.
This is true, but not related to my point. Dragon's Lair was in arcades in 1983. It looked like nothing else when it landed, and very little else for a long time. That's why it stands out in the history of games.
SEO makes total sense. I always add grandma keywords when I'm searching for Python stuff on Google.

Like: "grandma, how the hell have I still not memorized the API and keep needing to resort to the same doc pages again and again?"

Now I trained ChatGPT with grandma letters from when I was young, so it will answer just like if it was my grandma.
America’s Post-Pandemic Corporate Profit Boom Is Over
In amateur radio, especially CW/morse code, CQ means "looking for someone to talk to". It's an abbreviated homonym for "seek you".

If you hear "CQ CQ CQ de WB6NOA" being transmitted, it would mean the person who owns call sign WB6NOA is looking to talk to someone on this frequency.
Radically «unlike», since the main activity of the intelligent entity is verification.
Ack, you are right, I read it too fast (triggered my pet peeve too early..)

If the input is really not random access capable, provide buffering. You could imagine a version of FILE that automatically does this. There could be a some kind of truncate call to make it forget all past input, once you are sure it's not needed.

In an OS you will have the resources to do this (malloc..). In other contexts (embedded), you may not.. but likely in those cases you don't have pipes.

With a bit more we can have full arbitrary backtracking parsing. This parses "<hex> bob | <decimal> fred" or prints the unknown input:

if(

fscan_push(f) && fscanf(f, "%d %e", &n) && fscanf(f, "fred") && fscan_done(f) || fscan_backup(f)) printf("got fred(%d)\n", n);

else if(

fscan_push(f) && fscanf(f, "%x bob", &n) && fscan_done(f) || fscan_backup(f)) printf("got bob(%x)\n", n);

else

printf("got something else '%f'\n", f);

'%e' expect more input

fscan_push: save current location on a stack associated with FILE. Return true.

fscan_done: drop location from stack. Return true. If stack becomes empty, drop input history up to current file position.

fscan_backup: restore to location from stack. Return false.

'%f' in printf prints the rest of the specified FILE on the stdout.
Interesting. I know that caffeine can induce psychosis and there is also caffeine in both tea and cacao.

Got to be careful in consuming some of these foods and supplements (pre workouts etc, fat-burners) in large quantities.

https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/cns-spectrums/articl...
Huh. Last time I looked at the standard, I didn't see where that was mentioned. Could you point me at the relevant section, please?
It's so common there that you just leave your unexploded munitions at your gate for a pick-up.

From Wikipedia ..

> In Belgium, Dovo, the country's bomb disposal unit, recovers between 150 and 200 tons of unexploded bombs each year. Over 20 members of the unit have been killed since it was formed in 1919

Many more of the public (farmers typically) have been killed due to the "iron harvest"
Thank you for sharing. Do you have any thoughts on self-medication, and public awareness around it?
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=34757042
Trolling is cheap
> Aha, suddenly you want to go all "per capita" instead of "total amount"? Yeah, I think we've reached the end here. If I bring up North Korea again, you'll say "yeah, but it's less in total amount" and we'll just spin in circles.

My mistake. I forgot the thread for a moment.

> Again, I don't get it. I'd love to understand what can be done to get people to not hold on to some ideology for dear life, but I guess you can't ask a fish why he has gills.

You don’t know what my ideology is.
Thank you for taking the time to answer, as a random user it was illuminating.
Excellent observations. Infact 'capitalism' would not thrive if _voluntary_ co-operation didn't exist.
> in Europe you want to be [...] e.g. a refugee

Have you ever spoken to a (non-white) refugee in Europe?
I've seen compression algorithm inner loops (handwritten Asm) use those flags.
I don't see how China would willfully continue send these balloons without expecting a symmetrical escalation. Sure, they managed to send a few relatively undetected until the past recent weeks, but continued attempts would surely produce a physical response from NATO states, whether that's sending balloons of their own or overflying Chinese territory with other aircraft, or increased signals intelligence operations.
No, it's true. The US has the worst and by far the most expensive healthcare outcomes in the developed world. Cuba has a higher life expectancy, lower infant mortality rate than the US, and generally better outcomes.
For Belgian / Flemish farmers, yes.
Geothermal energy would be amazing! But it's hard to balance with carbon emissions.
Hersh's story sounds reasonable, but my question is who in this situation would leak it?

Vietnam had thousands of kids drafted straight out of high school witnessing a massacre that might want to get something off their chest. Here you've got an elite strike team of military specialists hand picked for the mission to serve God and Country. What on earth would anybody involved here have to gain by leaking any of this, beyond a court martial and a bunch of strife for those you supposedly serve?
So the F-22 is now 3-0 against balloons? And people had the audacity to call this plane a "failure"!
It's much more likely that the US government is wanting to tell the press, leak to the press and get the spin cycle going. There are spy events all the time, it's rare something gets actually reported proportionally.
The civil rights fight in the 60s and the following Nixon and Reagan administrations prove my point more strongly than yours.
In Java, many number-to-string implementations use NumberFormat. This is abysmally slow if the problem domain doesn't require internationalization, which is the case for machine-readable file formats, such as SVG. When I performance tested JMathTeX for rendering TeX, one major bottleneck for converting TeX into SVG elements was JFreeSVG's use of NumberFormat. Replacing NumberFormat with RyuDouble doubled the throughput[0]. (Reusing a StringBuilder to concatenate strings yielded another doubling.)

For KeenType[1], a fork of the New Typesetting System (and more complete plain TeX implementation than JMathTeX), I added an SVG generator that converts floating point numbers to strings using a StackOverflow answer[2], not the Ryu algorithm[3]. Better performance, simpler algorithm.

Knuth's advice holds: measure then optimize.

[0]: https://github.com/jfree/jfreesvg/pull/30

[1]: https://github.com/DaveJarvis/KeenType

[2]: https://stackoverflow.com/a/10554128/59087

[3]: https://github.com/DaveJarvis/KeenType/blob/fef005579021f394...
The last two objects shot down were not balloons.
Ofc it’s trivial to make, renewable sources are far more complicated than simple chemistry, wood, charcoal, coal and eventually petroleum require far fewer technological leaps than renewables.
So how long has the CCP been sending these balloons and what caused the USG to start talking about them?
> Beyond each dialogue, it has no memory.

Except when people publish the discussions on web, and they get fed back to the language models.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Project_Genetrix
> I love how admissions of athletes to play sports gets a total pass. Probably because it putatively is a good means for minorities to get into schools, even if they are separated off into purely sports training tracks and joke academics.

And sadly, even if they succeed on this track into the world of professional sports, the joke academics and lack of financial training (if you had a financial education you would never play college sports anyway...) mean that they're set up to go broke and fail in life as soon as the injuries add up or their athletic ability is no longer exceptional to their peer group.
I honestly won't care until they demonstrate being self-motivated actors. This is why I value life, from the smallest bacterium to us.
That is one of the reasons the US left the Open Skies treaty, Russia kept breaking the agreement doing things like that making the entire thing a handicap to the US.
Yeah, if we're comparing with human abilities at all, LLMs are pretty much just pure intuition- they produce a startling rendition of how I wrote essays the night before the due date in college. I suspect that the lack the author is detecting here is decisive judgement calls. This could be an issue with the underlying model, but I suspect that it's just a side effect of the task it's actually performing- predicting the next token. It can kind of only wander into any actual "decision" accidentally, so the result is middle-of-the-road. Not sure what kind of loss function you'd need to get more interesting results though.
Nymphs vex, beg quick fjord waltz.

(27 letters, spotted in the classifieds of a free rag in DC back in the 70s or 80s)
Nimqt: Qt Bindings for Nim
Would you prefer they only shoot down living targets or are you just here for the snark?
This was on HN a month back.
https://www.explainpaper.com/

At least another alternative pops up on my twitter Ads
Did you read the article? It's about a few hundred chicks being delivered and them being profitable from the meat even though they were packed into a barn.

Your comment is bizarrely incoherent and seems completely unrelated.
You can verify the reduction of the problem space. Think of it this way, if data has some property, for example, it's mirrored on an axis. If X is a data point, then so is -X.

Well, a model that is aware of this symmetry only has half as much data to look at and one less thing to learn.

But that's only half of it. Truth is, assuming symmetries works pretty well even if the assumption is wrong. Why? Generalization. A model with less data will generalize more (better is perhaps debatable, but it will definitely generalize more)

This is the basic idea behind "geometric deep learning". There's loads of papers, but here's a presentation.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w6Pw4MOzMuo
War? Chill with the historonics. Surveillance is not war.
okay, so how do you get disability without a home address?

reason I ask is because I know this is a problem and I'd ideally like to figure a way to solve it.

my life goal is to create a tiny home park for people that need a place to live with a nice low rent.

tiny homes constructed like via habitat for humanity type scenario would be super cool..

and then some people can work at the tiny home park for small things to keep rent low.
LLVM libc's decimal float conversion is based on Ulf Adams' Ryu Printf algorithm (one of the algorithms mentioned in the article). If you're interested in this area, you can look at the code, https://github.com/llvm/llvm-project/blob/main/libc/src/__su... and patches are always welcome :-)

Initial commit, https://reviews.llvm.org/D131023
"OEM" == "Oracle Enterprise Manager" -- duh. I was thinking the other meaning of OEM.

memory fades. I don't remember how I did that anymore. Maybe we folded Oratcl into the OEM agent???

As you'll read in that article, the agent didn't work all that well, at first, and it was a particularly hellish time to be a manager.
>symmetrical escalation

So like what, a similar but bigger balloon?
Nothing ironic about everyone pointing the finger at each other for not “getting” their common interest. Nothing at all.

Keep getting in touch with the soul of the working man through LBJ.
...with Canada's permission; I think that should be said explicitly.
This is third shoot down we’ve been told about. First was the Chinese balloon, second was the small less maneuverable vehicle off of Alaska, and this third one in Canadian airspace. Feels like some cold conflict we’ve been unaware of is heating up.
I am too remote from this system to have strong opinions but I also heard all the princelings are doing great at those exams!
You will find that there is plenty of negative commentary about software development. Ignore all of that. Remember that you are in a job which seems magical to most of the people who do not code. Yes, this also includes your managers. Enjoy being in this position. Enjoy the thrill of figuring something out no matter how small it is.
Thanks! We're a healthcare SaaS provider, mostly engineers who are neither musicians nor marketers.
I really consider this a false dichotomy. It's a limitation of tooling (and ultimately of our plaintext-based mode of programming, in which we always edit the single, canonical form of the source code).

My preferred form really depends on why I'm looking at particular piece of code at a particular moment. I like my code sparse and modular if it eliminates details I don't care about. I love my code dense, tight and inlined, if it lets me fit all details I need on a single screen, or otherwise minimize the amount of scrolling and jumping between files. Depending on my particular goal, the same code can be perfectly readable, or a horrible mess.

In practice, I find most of the code I deal with too sparse, but that's again the function of the work I typically do.
Inductive biases can work even if they're wrong, because they allow for simple and quick action, simpler reasoning. They don't need to be correct for that to pay off, they just need a positive expected value.
The response is certainly novel. The F-22 had zero recorded air-to-air kills a week ago, and as of today has three.

Whether these intrusions by unknown objects were commonplace and previously had been ignored, is something I've wondered about myself.
I would watch a TikTok of "F22 shoots down my balloon."
Honestly, yes, I don’t think it’s that far off. LLMs are a series of relatively simple transformers chained together. Through which we can simulate thought to the point that it not only passes the Turing test but it’s useful.

This is a bit of extrapolation but I would say the reason why we’ve been unable to locate “consciousness” in the brain is because it’s the same thing. Relatively simple neurones, chained together, to create thought.

On a philosophical level: this doesn’t make any claims for idealism or materialism, “experience” could exist at a more fundamental level of reality than matter. But IMO that would mean that the LLM is “experiencing” as well.
100 years after the earth was invented right?
I think it was a joke dude.
Hold on, there is a lot of popular wisdom that thinks that small amounts of alcohol is either harmless or beneficial. Solid research on that topic absolutely is valuable.

Everyone absolutely does not know that small amounts are harmful.
Generalizing gambling anecdotes sounds like a huge leap.
Sorry, but I don't see the selling point yet. Rsyslog has omlibdbi module that send your data to sqlite. It can consume pretty much any standard protocol on input, is already available and battle proven.
Indeed. The historically proven and repeated best method to kill any moment of social and political consciousness that unites multiple segments of society across race, class, and gender lines is to turn everyone’s attention to a new divisive identity politics—breaking down the common threads that bring people of vastly different backgrounds together to mutually support and advocate for each other.

Sadly, the weak left in the US falls for it every time, shrinking at each step, becoming incapable of providing a vision for a better future for all—because they all start fighting over who’s doing the identity politics thing better. The right uselessly plays into the new narrative by fighting over how much they should have to even care about the new identity politics, arguing for a return to the time before the identity politics became the dominant theme.

With both sides playing a pointless game, the damage is done—the fight that united people rarely returns with the same force it had before (as people exhaust themselves over divisive identity politics), and neoliberal dominance secures another decade or so of relative ease and impunity.
RTFA. He had a contract, which the publisher asked him to cancel. He wanted a transparent explanation for the reasoning behind the cancellation, and never got one. The correspondence was well considered and polite, but the obvious conclusion is that the publisher caved to the woke mob, and didn't want to admit it.