skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
This is about the logic of sufficiency and necessity, and it requires the skill to identify narrowly-scoped syllogisms for each step of the causal graph. For anyone really interested in this stuff, read about Theory of Constraints "Thinking Tools", and supplement with a smattering of simple philosophy, such as Hume's Guillotine and the Munchausen Trilemma. Basically, for any examination of "why did our actions result in this outcome", you're going to come down to a collection of premises, some of which are facts and others of which are values. Many of these values are obvious, widely-shared non-negotiable values, but others are slippery biases or assumptions that have snuck into the system, and focusing on one of these is often identified as the "root cause", even though there are by definition several; any one of which was sufficient to cause the outcome. Really "root cause" just means the identification of one value that could and should be changed, which thereby will propagate its changes throughout the causal network.

I will say though, that this is a difficult skill, and it takes practice, because there are so many personal biases that can creep in and lead to a corrupted causal analysis. It's also a bit thankless because once you come up with a decent root-cause analysis, it reads so clearly that it basically comes across as obvious and common-sense to anyone that reads it, leading them to underestimate just how much work it took to get there.
> I'll take it if we can rely on the security.

What's a use case here? Will this one day make communication more secure? If so, how?
Ah, but fiddlehead ferns are delicious!

https://www.google.com/search?q=fiddlehead+fern

You do want to make sure it is the right kind of fern:

> The fiddleheads eaten in North America are from the ostrich fern (Matteuccia struthiopteris). Other ferns can be toxic, so never forage without an experienced guide.

And cook them properly:

> The most important thing to remember when it comes to fiddleheads is that they need to be cooked. Fiddleheads have been linked to cases of severe food poisoning caused by what is believed to be some sort of toxin in the fiddleheads. Although the exact nature of the toxin is unknown, cooking seems to render it harmless. Fiddleheads need to be cooked thoroughly, as undercooked ones are believed to be just as dangerous as raw ones.

https://www.thespruceeats.com/all-about-fiddlehead-ferns-221...
My biggest null hypothesis is that probably half of humans contain “Markov chain not intelligence”. We don’t notice it among engineers, but most humans don’t reason with causal chains but by doing parallels, and they simulate reasonings in a somewhat convincing way. It becomes flagrant in front of a matt exam, a lot of people study a lot but never comprehend maths.

I also often tear my hair when I invite a developer for a programming interview, and they can’t write an if/then/else or string.contains(), despite perfectly simulating answers of advanced developers (which accurately mimic field experts).
Here are the details of his calculations:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thomas_Dick_(scientist)#/media...
A good test of a software engineer would be to ask them if this is interesting or meaningful.

This "accomplishment" says more about how rote and unchanging Google's code interviews are than about ChatGPT. I'd guess Google search has had "AI" good enough to do this for years, even though it wasn't trained to.
I'll accept "children with abusive foster parents" as a better analogy.
Either you're getting a different result due to whatever config you're getting served or they fixed it already because I'm getting 0.
The issue is that PSR trains have been resulting in these crashes for a while. If you want to look at the data for yourself: https://railroads.dot.gov/accident-and-incident-reporting/tr... Select "Class 1 Railroad". That's nearly half a billion dollars in damage since 2018 to ecosystems and small towns that are hamstrung on dollar amounts like that. The fact that you're just hearing about this kind of stuff is the problem that people are trying to communicate.

The problems that underly these kinds of PSR accidents aren't lost on people either. PSR trains were a way of scaling down an industry of people. That's to say, it's a labor movement problem; more cynically put, mutli-billion dollar companies are passing their error rates off on ecosystems and relatively unwealthy areas. It's not some tin-foil hat secret that American media generally does not cover these kinds of areas or things.

Instead of responding in rage, respond in empathy, or you could use the old tactic of just ignoring it until it goes away. It's not like you'll suffer social penalties for any of those options; after all, you just did the ASCII version of dropping trou in response to outrage over a social and ecological crisis and suffered zero penalties.
In fact this can also be understood "just" as a simple change of variables in either Newton's law (as you have shown) or Einsteins' field equations, to dimensionless quantities!
Yann LeCun on LLMs Like ChatGPT
With USB 3 and/or Thunderbolt 4 exposing the pci bus to make external GPUs a possibility, if there is a larger base station I have to attach my laptop to, in order to use my VR headset for the initial generations, so be it. The idea of having a screen(s) as tall and wide as I'm willing to move my head is quite alluring. Virtual desktops ain't got nothing on that!
> The sane thing to do here is assume this is an attack, or precursor to an attack.

What makes that sane, if it's absolutely false, a waste of resources, creates panic in the public, and increases the risk of escalation?

It's far, far out of the realm of possibility. China doesn't have nearly the resources to attack the continental US. They generally aren't believed to have the resources yet to attack Taiwan, 100 miles away. If they had the resources, an attack would require a massive buildup and positioning of those resources; it could not be missed. Major wars don't start by surprise. Look at the buildup required by Russia to attack Ukraine, a much smaller country right on its border. China has shown zero interest in attacking the US.

Anyone who is saying otherwise, you've learned something about: They are full of crap.

> Telling people not to be concerned of Chinese balloons entering another countries airspace, especially the US, makes you look odd to say the least.

Maybe odd to you, but not to most people, nor to anyone who knows what they are talking about. But if you say I'm odd, you're the expert!

> Are you Chinese?

This violates HN's guidelines. Calling people names demonstrates that you have nothing better to say.
The "dead internet" is here, and unfortunately there's no going back
Show HN: First Steps: Making your own voice activated virtual assistant
This is some hacked together python for the beginnings of a voice -> text -> ML -> voice cycle I put together in the last couple of days as a base for building completely local virtual assistants.
For enterprise software, people don't like solving a problem twice. Responding to the change doesn't move forward current goals, so any change is bad -- the current problems have been mitigated, so even something that gets rid of the old problems at the expense of needing to to some work to integrate, with uncertainty about new problems is bad.
> The Passion of Joan of Arc (just... damn. This is a perfect movie.)

We need a new class of superlatives, that can't have their meaning diluted, for that class of masterpieces.
You have ADD. Source: I have ADD.
Do you have a source on business travel being back to 2019 levels? Everything I’ve seen about this shows it’s at only half to two thirds, but numbers seem to vary a lot.
I've had times where I stopped the "5 Why's" process short of getting into the human-squishy organizational root causes because I knew the problems were too big to be solved in the context of that particular COE/postmortem. I've also had times where I knew my director/senior manager would've taken issue with the publication of those squishy organizational issues, /even if/ they were true, simply because he/she surmised it wasn't worth burning the political capital for it. (And I've been asked to revise my 5 Whys by leadership exactly because of that reason before.)

I've successfully pushed through organizational changes at least a few times from the output of the 5 Whys process too. If the COE/postmortem revolves around a critical issue or has gravitas, it's easier to put your full weight behind it.

To be honest, my personal hit rate on these is probably about right. If you insist on it every time, you're probably going to burn out on it, personally or organizationally. Sometimes it's OK to try to address a symptom, if the medicine is cheap, easy to administer, and has little to no side effects. And in tech, the symptoms are often inherently layered -- you can often address entire classes of symptoms in reasonable ways, /even if/ that solution is itself working around a deeper organizational shortcoming / root cause.

Spend the friction tokens where it matters most.
Click your name in the top right corner of the screen and set "Showdead" to yes. It's nothing particularly interesting, just the GPT rambling you're used to seeing that looks especially close to the opening of a 13yo kids term paper.
>In no way can I believe that the corporation doesn’t have a good understanding of exactly how it can manipulate the AI systems it leverages to achieve its goals.

See this talk which compares modern AI work to alchemy (i.e. it works, unreliably, and we don't always know why): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qi1Yry33TQE
Now imagine the LLM is trained not on words but on syllables. Same language, just dealing with it at the syllable level.

Doesn’t the problem then go from “can it invent” (yes, it can) to “are the inventions good?”

For some definitions of “good” you could automate the check. I think that is where it’s going to get both really useful, and really bizarre.
I asked ChatGPT for some other examples - it listed "the overthrow of the Somoza dictatorship in Nicaragua in 1979 [by] the Sandinista National Liberation Front" and "the overthrow of the Marcos dictatorship in the Philippines in 1986".
With additional prompting it also listed the overthrow of the apartheid regime in South Africa, and the Solidarity movement's ultimate success in Poland in 1989.

Make of that what you will!
You have to ask to the appropriate forum though, and that's what he got completely wrong. Getting npm to scream for help when a developer installs your package is equivalent to asking your peer for a raise.

I'd say that over 99.999% of the people who saw that message, created memes about it, etc.. did not have a corporate credit card and the power to use it at their discretion. If you want money from corps, THOSE are the guys you need to find and ask money from.
It's not that I forgot, actually. I considered using the "pro video" mode on my phone where I can manually set focus to infinity, but decided against it because

- I wouldn't know what shutter time and ISO setting to use, or if it should need to be adjusted during the event when I want to be watching it

- I was already fairly late to the party to start thinking about and configuring this stuff: I didn't know of the +/-1 second window at the time, only saw the 10-minute window (which was a good thing because an adjacent tweet in that thread said it wouldn't be visible even halfway here so I might not have gone out at all!)

- The phone will try to use a broader light range ('HDR') in default mode, which is not something I understand (my confusion about that is a comment in itself), but not in pro mode. It doesn't work for extremes like capturing the sun as part of any picture, but in most cases it will work as though you took two pictures with slightly different shutter times and it'll scale values and stitch the pictures so that the dark areas are not pitch black and the bright areas are not full white. That seems like something I'd not want to disable, as it might make it capture more detail of the bright parts of the event.

... but as I write this, I realize that I can select 'auto' for shutter, ISO, white balance, etc. also in pro mode. Configuring the shutter is the main reason I use pro mode for, so it hadn't occurred to me that there is also a little 'auto' button for that in the corner! Not at the time, and not at the beginning of this comment either ^^'. I can set focus to infinity and only lose "HDR", not automatic selection of other settings. That might actually be worth it, don't know. But that's a good thing to be aware of, so thanks for making me realize this :D
It's just you. WSL2 is a real Linux, there's almost zero performance hit. (If you access Windows filesystem then that's slow, of course.)
In no particular order of importance, and likely in far too much detail:

You Need More Lumens (https://meaningness.com/sad-light-lumens) prompted me to put lots of really strong LED lights in my living and working spaces. Subjectively this has improved my QoL and productivity by at least as much as taking prescribed amphetamines, a very surprising result.

Nutrition: the Emperor has no Clothes (https://metarationality.com/nutrition) convinced me to disregard essentially everything I’ve read about nutrition and instead to pretty much only trust self-experimentation. This freed me to try objectively insane things like avoiding wheat completely because I read a paper once (https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4809873/) or only eating beef for a month because a YouTube personality said it was good, with largely positive impacts on my health and thus QoL and productivity.

Nutrition Offers its Resignation (https://metarationality.com/nutrition-resigns) neatly crystallized the two previous experiences into a gut-level understanding that institutions have completely orthogonal goals to yours, and if it serves their goals to hijack yours by claiming your goals as their own, they will do so without hesitation because that is simply their nature. This dramatically refined my distrust of establishments - I realized that doing the opposite of what they say is no better than doing what they say (“+2 and -2 are equally distant from 2i”, as someone once offered as the most concise summary and illustration of this realisation).

Geeks, MOPs, and Sociopaths (https://meaningness.com/geeks-mops-sociopaths) brought an immense amount of clarity to previously anxiety-inducing changes in my beloved subcultures.

Developing Ethical, Social, and Cognitive Competence (https://vividness.live/developing-ethical-social-and-cogniti...) introduced me to Kegan’s body of work and was invaluable in helping me develop a robust theory of minds, something I had struggled with up to that point.

The central thrust of the early parts of his “Meaningness” web-book (maybe https://meaningness.com/an-appetizer-purpose and https://meaningness.com/preview-eternalism-and-nihilism) that try to reject both “complete chaos” and “crystallized order”, in favor of “nebulous and patterned”, have been very influential. On one of those pages he rejects ”meaning is objective” and “meaning is subjective” in the same sentence; it might seem trite but that sentence did more to help me see hidden dichotomies and experiment with rejecting them than anything else I’ve read. That’s a common theme throughout the site - “these two views form a dichotomy, and you find interesting things if you try rejecting that dichotomy”, and it’s served me very well.

There’s more, but this comment is long enough (and already uncomfortably autobiographical).
> it's fine to speculate

I disagree:

1. The Internet has infinite speculation available; more speculation adds nothing.

2. Misinformation is an enormous problem, and speculation makes it worse: It is misinformation, and it drowns out real information.

3. It's bullshit. Why would you want to say things that are BS? Is it fun?
It's not a matter of latency, or travel time as some of the latter comments mention (albeit sarcastically).

It's mostly about power. You can't just select a place and say "I want 5MW (or 10MW) of electricity, just here".

Fiber is thin, easy to lay down and flexible. Power cables are not. Also power planning is apparently hard.
> We absolutely could do a better job of helping people with various impairments make their lives work. Up to 60 percent of people have some degree of impairment but only about 15 or 20 percent self-identify as disabled. The people who are less impaired and are able to make their lives work without much accommodation tend to hide it or at least downplay it and don't call it a disability.

Doesn't the article, ie. the bit you quoted, suggest that this is good for them? How would identifying as disabled improve their life?
CF doesn't care about that. They'll even continue to protect ddos-for-hire sites even after being reported on to Cloudflare abuse. All the ones mentioned in bold here for example were ALL protected from floods by Cloudflare:

https://krebsonsecurity.com/2022/12/six-charged-in-mass-take...

Cloudflare is supposed to support free-speech not support those who oppose it. This example isn't just pure happenstance either, it's simply a common trend. The kids running panels use Cloudflare too and even brag about having "unhittable" servers.

More have been reported on for years with no action from Cloudflare. And when set up properly the only other option is try to report abuse to the domain restrar which sometimes works but when it doesn't you're SoL, left in a catch-22 where both CF and the registrar essentially say "We are not responsible for what hosts allow on their networks"

Ironically you can't find the host when nether gives it up if the site owner has everything set up properly and it won't even show on dnstrails. There are exceptions where things like info leaks might still give the info away but then you'd being potentially illegal territory yourself.

So unless you are the FBI or something to show up with a warrant you aren't getting help. Most game server vps renters don't take actual monetary damage or threats so nothing happens despite being victims consistently. There's an exception of some agent up in Alaska that helps or did at times but he was helping people facing threats too iirc.

I get Cloudflare not automatically dropping the ddos-for-hire protection before being reported on but after reports there is no ethical excuse specifically for this imo. They even have some abuse team looking through reports so this is indeed by choice. Protecting them allows them to build actual brand since as competition with each other, they'd attack each other once they become known enough. The sort of brands kids in games share to each other to cheat or just ruin someone's game or worse like the ones mentioned in bold.
We have two external units that serve to both heat and cool, one for each zone / floor. Bryant is the manufacturer, if memory serves.

Summer on-peak is $0.49 per KWH (1). Our average is $0.38, I had a math error.

Even with my error, the price of electricity in California is exorbitant and the grid is easily stretched to the limit => both will be exacerbated by increased demand from EVs and housing without gas lines. My math mistake doesn’t change the overall narrative.

1. https://www.pge.com/pge_global/common/pdfs/rate-plans/how-ra...
https://archive.ph/0Nz3f
No competition for talent in Arkansas. It’s quite simple. Keeps their employment costs down.
Re: Double-free vulnerability in OpenSSH server 9.1 (CVE-2023-25136)
I can relate to most of what he wrote. And I've also noticed the same pattern that he points out in

>Whenever I post of a cognitive bias or logical fallacy, my replies are soon invaded by leftists claiming it explains rightist beliefs, and by rightists claiming it explains leftist beliefs.

where both sides [often correctly] point out the fallacies of the other side, but fail to acknowledge their own.

>Since you’re reading about intelligence right now, you’re likely above average in intelligence, which means that you, whatever you believe, should be extra vigilant against your intellect being commandeered by your animal impulses.

I fucking love this slap on the face of the reader.

______

I feel like there's something else though. Frankly I wouldn't call someone engaging in wishful belief "intelligent" by any measure; intelligence requires the ability to entertain multiple concurrent lines of reasoning, and in plenty of them your belief is wrong. [I can go further on that if anyone wants.] It's the same deal with some basic fallacies (mostly false dichotomy, four terms, and appeal to origins) that are often used to protect those stupid beliefs.
Yes I do this routinely, using a Quest Pro.

The main downside is that the resolution just isn't there yet on the Quest Pro to make what you are seeing comparable to a real monitor. If you want to see the same "amount" of eg: text, you will be looking at a bigger screen in space - which is what I do. I stare at the equivalent of about a 32" monitor. It is OK if you only need to use a single monitor, but the advertised benefit of having as many monitors as you want isn't as great as you would think because they have to be so big that you have to rotate your head a lot.

You also need to be pretty good at touch typing. If you can't type without looking at your fingers, it becomes painful fast - even with passthrough showing you the keyboard or with a tracked keyboard (which shows up rendered in VR).

All of this will change with the next gen as they bump up significantly in resolution. I already use it routinely to get a "change of scene" and to focus more. It's quite fun to go into the public rooms and co-work with half a dozen other people doing the same thing from all over the world. So once the resolution goes up another notch I think we'll hit the point where it's unambiguously better for a lot of people than a real monitor and this will start to take off. For now, you have to have a reason or be an enthusiast to want to do it.
This is the kind of thing where coming to HN, I really hope to find a good summary from smart people familiar with it. But not every story gets traction. /shrug/
I think it is reasonable to assume they mean “desktop apps”. Windows is a platform to run desktop apps and that is the area where it leads. Windows laptops also run desktop apps. Laptop apps is not a category.

The other big buckets are mobile and server but “mobile” as an application category does not refer to laptops.
I think they’re at school?
> AI in its current form is a lot of automating assumption making. Imagine taking your assumption making powers, and extracting it into an unaccountable model that can be deployed at national or global scales.

Just say this part! This is what we could be talking about. It’s not a difficult mental model. But it’s just wrapped up in alarmist rhetoric that makes it hard for us to focus on the fact that the quote above is terrifying!!
>Governments will take radical actions that make no sense to their own leaders.

Sounds like a positive thing.
Actually read the article, not much to see here. Basically just some lofty prose on a Japanese defense strategy document but without much in the way of insight into anything going into the geopolitical situation.

Also, the extremely forced looking diagram at the top has literally nothing to do with their thesis other than being low hanging fruit for a counterargument.

Edit: I was curious, here's a larger version of the map:
https://static1.1.sqspcdn.com/static/f/577812/8159481/128200...

It makes less sense the longer you look at it...shrug.
Currently working on writing native uis for a small service I'm writing .. gtk, at, swiftui, ios and android are easy. Windows is a nightmare.
Is this just pandemic era overhiring or is the Metaverse push floundering?
Says 0 when I search.