skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Agreed that an example of buying once per year (or quarter / month) over time and calculating the return of that scenario is more applicable to the experience of a regular investor.

This can be eye-balled on this chart: https://themeasureofaplan.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/01/Rol...

The bottom graph shows the annualized return for each 20-year period in market history. 20-year holding periods have this behaviour:
- Max: 13.2%
- Min: 0.5%
- Average: 6.6%
- Std. Dev.: 3%

So, if you dollar cost average over time and hold each of those investment cohorts for ~20 years, you should expect an average annual return of roughly 6% (+/- 3%).
This would replace the skill of SQL with the skill of being able to ask specific questions which is a valuable skill, also when collaborating with humans.

At the same time it is a completely different mode to operate. Writing and editing SQL while you are trying to solve a problem will lead you to a different way of thinking, iterating, maybe even induce fewer context switches.

Using ChatGPT can be similar to delegating those type of tasks to a colleague. There are upsides and downsides to this but never underestimate the benefits of strengthening your own abilities.
History is though. That's empire. But hey, France took a whole bunch of islands that to this day still speak french and are literally "more France, outside of Europe", not "colonies".
Fast is absolutely it. Quality cooking that's fast and requires pretty much no effort. Using my right now as I type this.

It's also fantastic at reheating most things that aren't soup.
> Most non-niche subreddits could be replaced by ChatGPT at this point.

According to the "dead internet theory" they already are. I'm inclined to believe that a lot of the political discourse on there is bot driven.
> The range of returns across 1-year periods has varied significantly (from negative 37.0% to +53.2%). However, the annualized returns across 20-year periods have a much tighter range (from +0.5% to +13.2%)

You'd expect something like this. For a normally distributed iid, the annualised volatility of returns over n years scales as sigma / root(n). So if your one year vol was 10%, the annualised vol over a 20 year period would be 10%/sqrt(20) = 2.23%.
Ah, I assumed you meant other running shoes because you mentioned running shoes. I'm not familiar with that brand, or with cycling shoes in general.
Would an associate on commission give you good advice on budget though?
A Moto M2 audio interface. Having a dedicated volume for my microphone is very useful and it has independent headphone and speaker outputs. I has great out of the box Linux support

Most people who own a dedicated DAC would probably be just fine using this IMO.

My automatic cat feeder will likely be the most useful of 2023.
Generative images using predefined themes/templates
In case anyone here doesn’t know, Paul McKenney was one of the main contributors to the RCU[1] implementation for the Linux kernel. So the guy knows a thing or two about concurrency.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Read-copy-update if you just want to know what it is and http://www.rdrop.com/users/paulmck/RCU/rclock_OLS.2001.05.01... if you want the good stuff
Getting the files on it is ok, but library management sucks because Kindle doesn't show the folders.

Caveat: My experience is from an older model, so that might have improved.
Oh man this made me laugh so hard. I know you're right on the money but still. Respect sir.
My very first computer as an HP. My dad came home with one from CompUSA back in the mid-90s. I think this was shortly after Packard Bell rebranded themselves. I don't know what involvement Carl had with the company by that point in time, but he indirectly had an impact on me as it got me started in computers very early in life. RIP.
The current ML approaches are not "studying", and have no thought process whatsoever, let alone "in a similar way that humans do". They build models that allow them to reproduce existing works in whole or in part—usually in many parts, put together to form a new work formed wholly out of those elements.

Humans learn actual techniques; they understand what the elements in their art actually mean; when they copy, they do so with intention (whether malicious or not). ML approaches to content creation are incapable of intention, because intention is the product of a conscious mind, and regardless of how similar some of the data structures involved in them are to certain models of the human brain, not one of the existing ML projects even remotely approaches anything we could term consciousness. (Nor is that even their purpose.)
yt-dlp has a `--restrict-filenames` flag
You put that better than anyone else could have!

;)
Just want to be clear here: Are you claiming that Portugal and the Netherlands were not empires during those time periods?

Here's the definition of empire used by Wikipedia: 'An empire is a "political unit" made up of several territories and peoples, "usually created by conquest, and divided between a dominant center and subordinate peripheries'
It works very well.
The statute of limitations applies separately to each instance of infringement, it doesn't start ticking at the first instance of infringement like you suggest.

For example if I hosted a copyrighted movie on my website for 3 years and happened to not get sued for it that doesn't mean I am in the clear to keep hosting that movie forever. Each time I make a copy of the movie to respond to a request is a separate instance of infringement and has its own statute of limitations.

So Microsoft could still be sued for all the copies of the game they have distributed in the past 3 years.
I love the analogy. Many times I think about the genome as a bunch of machine code it's my job to reverse engineer. That was a good part of my career- probably 20 years- before I realized the problem was that it's much too hard to actually "prove" anything about systems like genomes.
I agree. Both irony and sarcasm are purely emotion based "arguments" and often just socially acceptable lies. Ok, so now you made some service worker feel bad for no reason. They are kind of paid for that, but still.

And with that, I find the language author complains about better. If it achieves nothing I just ignore that.
Not sure if that would not create more problems, but there should be some accountability when they behave like a-holes. The mod in question could have asked for proof (draw live on webcam? - not an expert, just wondering) or peer analysis instead of just silencing the artist.
Then another user contacted the mod to complain, and got this reply:
https://nitter.bird.froth.zone/MeaririForever/status/1607826...

That mod has become toxic and imho should either apologize or be removed asap.
To be fair, Dutch control of Java was more on paper than it was in reality. Most governance was devolved to local Rajahs who paid tribute to the VOC. Actual guns on the ground control across Java and most of what became Indonesia didn't really happen until the late 19th century

Also, Goa's existence was because it was so marginal. The Mughals, Marathas, and various regional kingdoms didn't care enough about the Portuguese, and also it was de facto treated as a factory (a free trade zone) - just like Surat was for the English
The Zojirushi rice cookers are the gold standard.
Why is the DJIA relevant to any discussion about total stock market returns?

https://dqydj.com/sp-500-return-calculator/

This website shows a nominal 6.34% return with dividends reinvested from Dec 1964 to Dec 1981.
Those two are not of the same league
As a recent transplant from California to Utah, watching the discussions of this situation play out locally has been interesting.

If water were well managed here, the area is potentially blessed over the long term compared to most of the West because there are large amounts of precipitation that fall on the nearby Wasatch and Uinta mountains. These mountains and their snow melt combined with the Great Sale Lake form a somewhat contained water cycle. It's a different situation than most southwestern metro areas (Vegas, Phoenix, LA) that rely on distant sources like the Colorado river, and the problems northern Utah faces are more amenable to local solutions.

The culture of water use in the urban areas really is surprising compared to say, Southern California or Arizona. There is plenty of water wasted, little restrictions on sprinkler use, etc. This is changing though and many of my neighbors are visibly switching to more sustainable landscaping, with local government incentives.

However, urban water use is not the problem even if it's what people see every day. The cities do not really need to stop growing (as a NYT piece earlier this year seemed to suggest). The urban areas account for only 9% of diverted water (per the report).

The problem seems to be agriculture and trying to grow water-intensive crops in the arid areas west the Wasatch range. 74% of the diverted water is going to agriculture, and cutting that usage by 50% would basically meet the cited amount needed to restore the lake.

At this point, it seems to be just a political problem: can the state find the political willpower to force conservation on or buy-out the water rights of the agricultural sector?

I'm hopeful. Although the agricultural sector seems to have plenty of political power historically, other local industries have been growing far faster in economic influence and maintaining the health of the cities will hopefully take priority.
I'm Jellyfin-curious, and hear a lot about it, but I'm not really unhappy with Plex, and it passes the family-user test with ease. How easy it for the techno-novice to use Jellyfish? I think Plex's biggest advantage is it's already everywhere, from browser to smart TV. How does Jellyfin compare there?
I bought a used Dell office PC from FreeGeek for about 100 bucks, then installed Proxmox on it with Portainer. Now I've got a place to put all my crap that isn't AWS, which is not only easier, but faster, and way cheaper.
They lost it to home rule only after it took less than a month to travel there with steam ships, right?
Yes, the Great Salt Lake is an effect of an endorheic watershed.
I'm not sure that's true, or at least not true any more. In the watershed that feeds the Great Salt Lake, there isn't all that much agriculture. There's some along the Bear River, and there's some around Heber. But I'd bet the lawn area in Salt Lake, Davis, and Utah counties is larger than the agricultural area.

I haven't seen actual numbers though. If you have them, I'll listen.
Buying drugs online is a big market and won't go anywhere. That, and transferring money to all kinds of people and regions where traditional banking tools aren't properly functional.
Watch out for survivor bias tho
In a room with poor ventilation it can go to several percent.
Sounds like it's basically too late already unless Utah pulls the e-brake on water use.
A dog recovery suit. It's a breathable, close-fitting suit that you use instead of a cone to prevent biting at healing wounds. Available for $25 or so on Chewy.

Buddy had some surgery and would have been in a cone for 2 weeks (!!!), an utterly shit experience for both of us. This prevented that while making sure he didn't lick or bite at his stitches.

It wouldn't stop a persistent dog like a cone would, but I felt like it gave me enough time to observe the behavior had he bit or licked and stop it without opening the wound.

It's easily my best purchase of the last 5 years, except perhaps for my instant pot, which I use every day to make steel cut oats.

https://www.suitical.com/products/recovery-suit-dog/
That looks incredibly fake.
It is more sensible to pay mullvad 5 USD a month than pay all these companies. Never again.
The title of the CNN article that alerted me to this paper is: Great Salt Lake will disappear in 5 years without massive ‘emergency rescue,’ scientists say

That’s a lot more blunt. Is “will disappear” editorial? I’d be OK with that one as an academic journal EIC.

It’s a variously slippery/tractive surface, sloped in many directions.

ETA: I’m puzzled how my comment above is a detriment to conversation. If you see it differently, why not engage?
> To invest mechanically without thinking about what’s actually happening in the world is cargo cult behavior.

If things go badly then the money I would have from not investing "mechanically" would probably be as useless as the investments. If everything is going to decline continually it seems the greater reward will almost always be in the investment. This also assumes you only invest in the current world superpower, seeking global diversification would probably be wise if you see a major change in polarity.
No, I think you're right. The author conflates Amazon's own access to data encrypted at rest, which is what this appears to be about, with other security issues. This will help prevent, say, old hard drives being disposed of improperly, concerns around AWS employees easily viewing your data, etc..

Nothing will help if the credentials that grant access to read the encrypted data are what's compromised.
We got an Instant Pot and our Zoji rice cooker has collected dust ever since. It is great for brown basmati rice where the Zoji is weak and slow. Try 360g brown basmati rice (we don't bother rinsing it), 705g water, a quarter tsp of salt, 1 tsp of oil. Cook 23m on high and then let it sit for 10min before venting the rest of the pressure off. Remove lid, fluff the rice, and wait a minute or two before serving.

The one weakness of the Instant Pot is that most models won't go to 15psi and there is the odd recipe where a longer cooking time can't compensate. For example, there is a Modernist Cuisine recipe for pressure cooked root vegetables that uses a bit of baking soda to help bring a caramelized flavor to the party. Works great in a 15 psi cooker but is a disaster in an instant pot: the veggies just taste like baking soda. I suspect that stocks made in the Instant Pot might not be as good as well for similar reasons but haven't tried that yet.
And it was (apparently) copied from something or someone at Xerox
A Bamix immersion blender; powerful enough to blend frozen fruit in my morning smoothies and safe for a deep pot of soup that needs blending. Also makes top notch Hummus.
If someone founds a company they get to own it. Why shouldn't someone get to own a community they found?
We went to a Nordstrom, actually, and worked with their designated stylist who did quite a bit of the picking. The value for the hired stylist was not working for Nordstrom, which meant being able to say "that looks good, here's something that will look as good and cost half as much, and also here's why that looks good on you and where you can find it elsewhere".

EDIT: I really also want to stress that the stylist was just... nice. Completely non-judgmental about me waffling over things, offering lots of advice beyond just the clothing — how different postures affect fits, being able to explain to me why layering was sometimes uncomfortable and how to alleviate it, how to better adjust my fit when my body's size changes, even a gym recommendation. The in-shop stylist was also very nice, but the hired stylist got me through the door to the shop, and for me at least, that was worth the $175.
Maybe this is already well-known, but I saw another behavior recently on some subrreddits where a lot of new posts are seemingly getting a single downvote to a score of zero. I suspected there was some troll doing it, so I went down the line and gave about 20 or 30 of them a single up vote back to one, refreshed the page, and most of them had immediately gone back to zero. I think the mods must have a button for squashing a post without actually deleting it, and on some subs they use it for a huge number of the posts.
Depends on where. International waters? No problem. Close to shore? Need LE backup to be legal.
Navy VBSS teams can and do run interdictions on the regular in open seas.

The movie Sicario is basically premised off this idea of getting a LE Officer onboard for legality’s sake.
> what really matters in art is the process

You don't get to define what is art. Art can and does move people who have absolutely no idea of what the process to create it was.

You have your way to experience art, it isn't the only way. In fact you have a limited ability to learn about the process, how much of it are you making up in your head?
It provides an experience I can't reproduce anywhere else.

I read Don Quichotte early 2022. It's absurd, insane, the main character is not reliable, yet he is brave, willing to make the world a better place to fit his knight ideals exist.

You can't find such a story elsewhere.

I read Lolita, I have never seen anyone talk about depravation with such a beautiful prose.

I am now reading The Brothers Karamazov. Right on a chapter called "The Grand Inquisitor". It's deep. About human nature, God. It's ambiguous. It makes you think. It's been haunting me for the past couple days.

Most of the conversation I have with friends in bars are nice, pleasing. They probably won't haunt me in 6 months.

Books do.
This is a weird one—Fiskars 4-Claw Weeder

https://www.homedepot.com/p/Fiskars-34-in-Aluminum-Handle-an...

Our dogs are frequently out in the yard, so other than spring pre-emergent I try to avoid herbicides. I bought it after a hand weeder broke pulling up crabgrass.

This thing has oddly been one of the most satisfying purchases I've made in years. You put it in the ground, step on it and the thing easily pulls out weeds and only in the spot you put it. Then you get to shoot them off the claw. I have a bucket I try and shoot them into. It's oddly therapeutic.
Me too. I was doing a bit of RTS gaming and flaky wifi is terrible. I got a $199 a Base/Satellite Netgear mesh starter kit (Mk62 I think) on some kind of discount. It's also not the latest/top model. I later added a 3rd satellite and it's great. The satellites even have an Ethernet port so that you're only using the base-satellite backhaul channel and not the normal wifi client ones.
They're saying we can have the moon.
Have you read much Le Guin by any chance? This is a theme I've seen in her work.
Second this. The Kindle is also much faster for me when clicking on footnote links (on sideloaded books).
Here's a data point for you - Galton's Isochronic Passage Chart, showing the time in days to travel from London to the rest of the world, in 1881. (12 years after the Suez opened, and the map shows how useful that canal was.)

Map at https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Isochrone_map linking to https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Isochrone_map#/media/File:Isoc... .

Eastern Indian is 20-30 days. Batavia is about 30 days. Perth and Hong Kong are in the 30-40 day range. Sydney and most of the interior of Australia is in the 40+ day range, as is New Zealand's South Island.

"It assumes that there are favourable travel conditions and that travel arrangements over land have been made in advance. It assumes travelling methods of the day within a reasonable cost."

EDIT: https://archive.org/details/friendsreviewrel06lewi/page/702/... from 1853 lists routes from London to Calcutta ("Friends' review; a religious, literary and miscellaneous journal", p702):

"The distance from London to Calcutta, by the Cape of Good Hope, is 15,000 miles requiring 150 days. With steam say 70 days." ["150 days" agrees with your "about half a year."]

"The distance from London to Calcutta, by Cape Horn, is 21,500 miles requiring 215 days. With steam say 90 days."

"From Liverpool to Calcutta, by Isthmus of Panama, 14,00 miles requiring 140 days. Steam, say 60 days."

"London to Calcutta, overland route, five trans-shipments, 6,000 miles, 58 days"

"Liverpool, New York, and Railway to San Francisco, two transhipments, 12,000 miles, 35 days."

It's from a piece arguing for the usefulness of building a railway across the US (New York to San Francisco), to shorten the London/Calcutta route. That last route didn't exist until 1869, the same year the Suez Canal opened.

EDIT #2: https://archive.org/details/sim_the-lancet_january-3-june-26... has someone leaving London June 1817 and arriving Calcutta 2 December 1817, so about 5 1/2 months. (The Lancet January 3-June 26, 1852, p384, "Biographical Sketch of James Ranald Martin, Esq., F.R.S.")

EDIT #3: The clipper ship Jane Pirie, built 1847, could do the round-trip in "eight months and a half ... the ordinary time occupied over the voyage being ten to eleven months." https://archive.org/details/sim_illustrated-london-news_1851... /mode/2up?q=%22London+to+Calcutta%22 ("Illustrated London News 1851-04-05: Vol 18 Iss 477"). As I understand it, clipper travel would have been fast and expensive.
In the fields of physics I'm familiar with the group leader is usually listed last on papers. They get credit wherever they are in the author list, while being first or second author carries more cachet for students and postdocs who are trying to establish their careers.
The general field is Epigenetics (gene expression based on environment), and within that there is research on how peptides act as modulators by silencing and un-silencing different genes. You can get a list of known bioactive peptides by reading it from the DNA or by using mass spectrometry (there’s a proper name for this but it escapes me atm). So putting the two together you can have quite a bit of external control over gene expression.
Most of products I buy are used ones, so almost everything falls in under $200 :)
> How are you a "creator" (in an attribution-worthy sense) if you are producing an unoriginal implementation of an old algorithm that thousands of coders have produced before you?

If programming is nothing but translating unoriginal old algorithms, then you should train copilot on those. Nobody would complain. The fact that they don't is an unassailable proof of the unsurprising fact that programmers add value to programs.
It can be 'sponsored' as the parent noted. (By whom? Why?)
Keep in mind that the present value depends somewhat on the discounted future earnings, which by definition extends to the end of time. That being said, the associated time discounting heavily reduces the impact of earnings envisaged say 100 years from now (a 5% discount rate would mean ~13k USD in 100 years is worth about 100 USD now, and that's probably generous given historic market returns).

So, the US doing extremely well 100 years from now vs. the US doing very badly 100 years from now could have a non-trivial impact on the perceived value of US assets. I suspect that the large uncertainty about what the world will look like in 100 years means there is just some sort of seldom changing value baked into assets to account for this, but it nonetheless exists, and could change if there was some huge geopolitical shift.

And before you mention anyone on earth would be dead in 150 years, yes that's true, however you can always sell it to someone later on who will be alive in 150 years (or sell it to someone who can later sell it to someone etc. etc.).
In yt-dlp is --embed-metadata (and --embed-chapters if you only want chapters)
Cable modem, Synology wifi router, Synology NAS, Synology wifi mesh node out in the shop.

Simple, fast, stable.
Salt flats all over the place in that basin. Once were lakes. “Great Salt Flat” seems most likely.
> automatically spin up if someone cooks, farts, opens a window or hits a vape pen.

I guess it will be on all the time for me.
Learning accent, idioms and cultural references were always parts of learning a language or judging how you learned that. Even years ago and in normal language class lessons.

Watching entertainment or reading books were always part of that. And my friends going for American universities 20 years ago were memorizing cultural references idioms etc along with unusual words and what not. Cause it was a on the test.
The US is well suited to solve this problem with more immigration, we already have more incredibly talented people banging on the doors then our nightmarish naturalization system can take.