skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Some stories become self-perpetuating, and memes can change the world via those with influence.

> Fred Wilson’s predictions are as valuable as yours or mine.

A cynic might say don’t listen to anyone, while an optimist might say try to find people that can spot trends (even if they are not 100% reliable). Perhaps Fred has the market pulse at his fingertips?

Edit: I would strawman paraphrase your comment as “everyone has equal predictive ability” or “everyone has the same predictive ability as a dog”, either of which make your statement look very weak.

> When VC’s tell you [snip] that’s price anchoring, not prediction.

If the outcome is that they have predicted the market, then that is prediction, even if some of it was influence. Fred is not in charge and he has a chance of being wrong: you pointed out that no-one knows so I think you even contradict yourself.

Edit: this relates to George Soros’ Theory of Reflexivity. Can anyone tell me the generic economic term for the concept that sometimes markets self-perpetuate their own facts? https://duckduckgo.com/?q=george+soros+theory+of+reflexivity
It's not reasonable to demand people do legwork if they want to reply to your naked claims. This is not a forum exclusively for people who are well-versed in the research you're familiar with.
Is the amount of thermal degradation a function of use? Or a function of environment (like leaving the car outside in the cold)?
technically, downlink-while-imaging is not necessarily reliant on sat-to-sat networks, or did I miss something?
> I think the reality is that programming is not as intellectually challenging as we'd like to think.

It takes most people thousands of hours of practice to get good at it, and a lifetime to master it. I think most people of average intelligence can get to high levels of competence, but it's definitely not easy.
To a degree yes, but endurance and power are important for functional strength and for endurance this means doing lots of reps at low intensity or doing easy exercises explosively for power
Covid made people realize your work ethic is less important than your health.
The other option is run faster but intermittently.

It came as a surprise to me that many people are self-conscious about stopping to walk during running -- that's how I've always done it! I never thought anything of it because I have always been in shape as 100m / 200m sprinter... I'd encourage others to try this, because although I love running, I also could never really get into jogging.
Examples:

1. Alsace Loraine, the region between Germany and France now French, was German prior to WWI.
2. Upper Silesia, once part of Germany, became part of Poland after WWII. 13 million ethnic Germans were kicked out of Upper Silesia by Poland and fled to the reminder of Germany.

In 1948, Palestinian irregulars led by Amin al-Husseini, who had been The Grand Mufti of Jerusalem, who spied for he Nazis and was a guest of Hitler's in Berlin during WWII and who organized SS troops for he Nazis from Bosnia, as well as 5 Arab nations all sought to destroy Israel. They lost.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Amin_al-Husseini

If the Germans can lose Alsace Loraine to France after WWI and lose Upper Silesia to Poland after WWII, then certainly the Palestinians, Egyptians, Syrians, and Jordanians should lose land for attacking Israel.

Israel left Gaza, but Hamas, elected by Palestinians took over Gaza and has been shooting missiles into Israel, most recently 10 days in May 2021, when they shot over 4,300 missiles towards Israeli cities. Israel's Iron Dome anti-missile system shot down most, but 12 Jews and Arabs died and 300 injured.

There cannot possibly be peace for the Palestinians while Hamas and not Fatah rules Gaza.

The best hope for The Palestinians is to extend The Abraham Accords -- the peace agreement of Israel with UAE, Bahrain, Morocco, Sudan to include Saudi Arabia and other Arab states. Israel was previously recognized by Egypt and Jordan.
Foundations of math and hopefully calculus. OSCP.
Making this pivot is not so easy as Bostrom's fable tacitly suggests. From his publishing history, over the 17 years since its publication, it does not seem he has personally prioritized this goal to the extent that he chides the population of his story for not so doing.
The simple beauty of the calculus integral.
The maximum amount of nuance is here: the Reply button. But I agree with your point. We need something short of the Reply button because reading large numbers of replies just to get a sentiment analysis is not practical.
> I think the large caps in web3 (BTC and ETH mainly) will start to attract more interest from investors and should do well in 2023. I am more bullish on ETH personally because it has the best underlying economic model of any web3 asset.

It's bizarre to lump Bitcoin and Ethereum together at this point because the value propositions are so different:

- Bitcoin: censorship-resistant money

- Ethereum: tokens (i.e., unregistered securities)

Reading between the lines, I think what the author means by "best economic model" is that censorship-resistant money has a smaller market than tokens.

The problem is that a token economy without censorship resistance will face constant regulatory pressure. Proof-of-stake gurantees that increasing legal pressure applied to exchanges will find an outlet at the protocol level.

All of the people in denial about this are going to wake up to a new reality in which those dreams of decentralized organizations and free token economies are shut down in spades by regulators who see the obvious and have the power to clamp down on it.

Without censorship-resistance, any financial system you try to build ends up looking exactly like the old. And that growing lack of differentiation offers little incentive or reward for the risk involved.

This is going to be an extremely hard lesson for a lot of people, including the author I suspect.
Nothing better than being publicly patronising to someone way way younger than you.

Maybe it's just me, but listening to lex, he approaches all guests with a kind of open "I don't know much, I want to hear what your have to say" type attitude, which makes this even worse. Taleb sounds like a dick.
But is it worth a million dollars a year and giving up all your internal chat logs to a company that will likely lose them when they get hacked.
> Then everyone - the sellers, the agents, even the bank - push you to borrow the max allowed and spend it.

Of course those groups urge you to spend the maximum: they're all being compensated if you do exactly that.

At the end of the day, it's still you who is signing the contracts, responsible for how you spend your money, and has to live with the outcome of your decisions.
The simplest possible implementation of user interaction is writing a response. It's already as rich as it can be. It gives less power to bots because bots are incoherent. I feel like the internet devolved us from eloquent human speakers back into monkeys making few noises for communicating. Emoji is similar.

Speak. Write text. Formulate your position. We're humans not apes. Get feedback from speaking. The video format in some cases is the same - ape like reaction movies, no content. Assume you're interacting with someone intelligent who isn't convinced by the funny number of likes on your post, but by the content of what you say.
The rat has left the ship. How do you call the place fleeing rats go to?
I think some of the ability to differentiate a light run from a hard run requires having a degree of baseline fitness. A lot of people who are not especially fit will find that they can run quickly for a minute or two, or very slowly for maybe ten minutes, but either way they find themselves completely winded and sore. Folks will read advice online about running at a pace where you can have a conversation, but find that there's literally no pace above a walk where this is possible for them.

I was interested in running for years, but found the walk breaks that the Couch to 5k program uses to deal with this issue to be tedious. I tried it a few times, but it didn't stick until years later after I'd started a gym habit and built a good base. When New Years came around, I was used to going to the gym before work every morning, and it was really disruptive when my gym was suddenly insanely packed with resolutioners, so I just put my stuff in a locker and tried going outside for a run. With the base I'd built in the gym, I found I could run quickly for a few minutes, but when running slowly I could go for 30+ minutes without a break instead of ten, and it finally stuck (that was 4 years ago).
hint for Alzheimer's prevention: check Benfotiamine ! https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Benfotiamine

Research:

"Benfotiamine and Cognitive Decline in Alzheimer’s Disease: Results of a Randomized Placebo-Controlled Phase IIa Clinical Trial" ( available in PMC 2021 Feb 12 )

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7880246/

"Conclusion:

Oral benfotiamine is safe and potentially efficacious in improving cognitive outcomes among persons with MCI and mild AD."
I started with the 7 minute workout using this app: https://apps.apple.com/ca/app/j-j-official-7-minute-workout/.... Doing it once a day helped me with fitness and mobility. Less pain doing stuff around the house, lost fat, built muscle. And the app has a progression to more difficult levels as well and I have been moving up that scale. This year I intend mixing in some Apple Fitness strength training, but to be honest I won’t be bummed to just continue using the programs on the app. The gains of the daily routine have been amazing.
Ask HN: Best reads for a young senior dev?
Young senior dev at big tech. Any good reads for the new year? I like all topics, but trying to commit to 2-3 technical books that can help me progress in my career.
Oh look the 2 minute old account with building straw men.
How much are you willing to spend, and how many days per week to commit to working out?
>> If the outcome is that they have predicted the market, then that is prediction, even if some of it was influence. Fred is not in charge and he has a chance of being wrong: you pointed out that no-one knows so I think you even contradict yourself.

It's price anchoring - a message to the startups that ask him for money, it sets in advance the expectations for how much money their startup is worth even before they meet.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anchoring_(cognitive_bias)

http://changingminds.org/disciplines/marketing/pricing/price...
Silicon Valley is great at tech because it has a high concentration of tech companies and top universities. It doesn't have that for agriculture.

The "Silicon Valley" of agriculture is in Wageningen, a small university town in The Netherlands. In the surrounding area you have a huge number of food/agri-tech firms.
My car's license plate has been HAXRUS since the mid 80's.
I've had people ask me if it is a golf reference.
Disney World?
Can we maybe focus on the technology and not ideology?
Related:

Bare metal Smalltalk-80 port to the Raspberry Pi - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=23874206 - July 2020 (63 comments)

Ask HN: Automated SW testing on different Raspberry Pi models? - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=23806323 - July 2020 (1 comment)
In a democratic country, why would Bolsonaro flee if he is innocent?
Shader and OpenGL programming. It was many foreign jagons, concepts, and computation models. Took me a while and couple tries to get a hang of it.
You can still persist them; you just have to wire it up yourself. Using workers is a best practice for any CPU-bound task, so that's not a drawback by itself in my mind.

It's good for single-page applications. Many datasets are relatively small -- pushing them to the client is reasonable. In exchange, you get zero-latency querying and can build very responsive UIs that can use SQL, versus writing REST APIs or GraphQL APIs.

Taken to an extreme, it permits publishing datasets that can be queried with no ongoing server-side expenses.

A wild example: Datasette is a Python service that makes SQLite databases queryable via the web. It turns out that since you can compile Python and SQLite to WASM, you can run Datasette entirely in the user's browser [1]. The startup time is brutal, because it's literally simulating the `pip install`, but a purpose-built SPA wouldn't have this problem.

[1]: https://lite.datasette.io/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fcongress-legisl...
As someone relying on glasses my whole life I can relate to charities like this.

There is another interesting one https://www.onedollarglasses.org/
I like their approach of teaching people how to measure eye sights and build glasses. So it becomes a local self sustainable business.
Why is this gossip on HN?

Why are we following who makes fun of whom? I thought this was for intellectually challenging content?
>IRC has had encryption for a very long time. IRCS is typically on port 6697 but some admins also have it listen on 443 for people behind fascist firewalls.

Transit encryption maybe, but admins can still read everything.
$11,914,892,503 lost to "web3" hacks, scams, and fraud since January 1, 2021
Well, DJs are not musicians. They hate it because deep down, they know it's true.
Exactly. Go into the Minecraft subreddit, and you will see hilariously poor quality discussions on the Java programming language often. People who have read a few blog posts or youtube videos will feel obliged to present their expert opinions on anything.
There is an extremely rare Apple tee shirt the people who worked on the SCSI manager made that says:

I do not like the SCSI bus
I do not like it "Hax R Us"
It was one country. They it was a country controlled by China for a thousand years. They it was one country. Then it was a country controlled by France. Then it was a country controlled by Japan. Then the Japanese lost WWII, and France re-took control of the south, and communist revolutionaries took control of the north. And then it was two countries, not one.

And if you're going to say that it was just one country, why do you say that it was North Vietnam that was that one country? Why not South Vietnam? (And if you're going to say that they were both that one country, yeah, come live in reality for a while, it's not that bad here. They were two separate countries for thirty years, in the same way that North and South Korea are two separate countries, and in the way that Russia and Ukraine are two separate countries.)

And as for calling it an invasion... there was sure a lot of shooting for it to have been a political convention.
> IMO there is no need to run any harder than that if your goal is maximising your wellbeing (unless your wellbeing comes from winning races...)

Interestingly the best (or second best) bike racer in the world, Tadej Pogačar, is very big into "zone 2" training, in which the idea is you optimize your aerobic engine by spending the majority of your training time in zone 2 and no faster.

While the zone 2 can be measured formerly with a lot of fancy equipment that monitors the gases you breath out and levels of lactic acid in your blood, the casual guideline for finding your zone 2 is a workout at the level where you can just barely hold a conversation while doing it. The casual definition of zone 1 is you can easily hold a conversation, zone 3 is you can say a few words but can't hold a conversation, and zone 4 is you are breathing so hard you can barely talk.

So basically, even if your wellbeing does come from winning races, zone 2 training might also be the best thing to do (at least for the majority of your workout times).
I'd say parenting is the one that really made a difference.

Not because I had a strike of common sense, but because I actually cared very much and started to listen to others. I didn't want to be horrible to my kids.

So "starting to listening to others". Every troll has a kernel of truth. And sometimes what you consider a troll isn't one in the first place.

Which is very apropos those days, where everyone is confined in their own echo chambers by all those clever social media algorithms that always favor short term bliss.

And yes. Trying to explain things to my kids enables me to understand those things way deeper.
BitWarden meets all those criteria!
If people don't think something is worth checking for annually, why would they check for it continuously?
Thanks sammyteee
Which class?
This is a brilliantly potent and beautifully written article, and plan on sourcing it on an upcoming business plan of mine.
And look at HY indexes. The marks that have been in the media are roughly where other HY bonds have moved. Banks have bids but they are seeking bids from hedge funds that trade in distressed debt, who are obviously going to bid with a markup (the same thing happened with British corporates a few months, because pension funds had to sell they had to take bids from hedge funds so the bonds went from 100 t0 90 for AAA securities because there was no bid, you had private equity funds trading at 70p in the £1 on money-good securities). The secured portion is down 10%...that looks about right based on HY indexes.

The 50% markdown that Fidelity is taking means that it is worth more than $20bn. Classic HN.
In a conflict with a near-peer adversary, the attrition rate on reconnaissance satellites in LEO is going to be high. So, it will also be important for satellites to downlink their data quickly before they get knocked out.
This is a valid point. I feel savvy with a lot of things but this is not an area where I'm willing to take risks.
I know electrical engineers that spend their whole day picking out doors for hydro-electric facilities and chemical engineers whose job is to sell various pipe valves.

The programmer equivalent might be refactoring variable names to "int i_FallDistance_mm" or working in crypto.

If you aren't sure if your current job is one that an engineer would do, you could consult the engineer code of ethics. Broadly:

1. shall, in their areas of practice, hold paramount the health, safety and welfare of the public and have regard for the environment.

2. shall undertake only work that they are competent to perform by virtue of their training and experience.

3. shall conduct themselves with integrity, honesty, fairness, and objectivity in their professional activities.

4. shall comply with applicable statutes, regulations, and bylaws in their professional practices.

5. shall uphold and enhance the honour, dignity, and reputation of their professions and, thus, the ability of the professions to serve the public interest

https://www.apega.ca/docs/default-source/pdfs/standards-guid...
> ... Adding a way for people to make income is supposed to incentivize better content and allow people to invest in that content. ...

What it does is incentivise more content. More is not always better for everyone, and is even less likely to be better for those who were early adopters to the platform - but what it is usually is more popular. It's just democracy in action: the largest numbers decide, and sometimes privileged minorities lose out.
Leet code interviews have existed for at least 15 years, probably 20. And they were much more popular back then.
Tangentially related but that's something I've come to realize too as of recent. Asynchronous programming in JavaScript is new to me so as an exercise, I'm writing a document where I explain the concepts to myself and once I shifted from "how I understand" to "how I would this to someone else", figuring out a good enough scenario/problem harder.

Good problem sets that aid studets' intuition aren't easy to come by, oftentimes they're either too easy or too hard.
Discussed at the time (of the article):

Claude Shannon Invented the Future - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=25507627 - Dec 2020 (68 comments)
MATLAB originated earlier than the 90s, and was not "Fortran for the 90s". That's a weird ahistorical view of things.
If you work in the space, he is one of the most well respected people.
a literal answer to your question would be "investors holding berkshire hathaway shares care".
Perspective: You're observing a few major factors in play.

1. The majority of programmers/IT/Tech-workers are young (<=3 years of work experience). They don't have enough experience to know what's good (or even what matters) for their craft. (i.e. no one should care about programming language because often you don't get to pick it. Your employer does.)

2. The majority of programmers aren't in North America. They're in Europe and Asia. So there is a linguistic barrier. And this linguistic barrier will get hit because the majority of programming work is done in English. So many of these young non-north-american programmers are trying to polish off their English in these online forums. (So expect people to talk past each other or losing things in translation or flat out misreading subtext)

3. The majority of employers of young/non-senior programmers are not product companies. They're services, start-up, IT or financial companies. Services and start-up companies are sales focuses. So a programmers career path will always ultimately lead to sales to some extent. IT and Financial companies have a larger focus on infrastructure or data reporting. (i.e. majority of careers force programmers to become something else, like leaders. So there is a very real brain drain away from the craft)

---

for OP:

The simple solution to what you're observing is to stop reading online forums. Instead watch youtube conference videos, read books, and listen to podcasts. When programmers don't have anonymity, the quality and relevance of the content/discussion go up dramatically.

---

Irrelevant comment:

I think the reason for all this is because anonymity allows insecure/young programmers to test waters before asserting their ideas in the workplace. This is most likely what all the young programmers being pushed towards different careers are doing.
They're looking for a magical piece of information that will force a business to align to their own career aspirations rather than changing their own goals to better align with their employer's objectives (i.e. a very uncomfortable sales-oriented self-transformation).
Even without persistence it's absurdly useful. In 2023 loading even a 50MB+ database file into a browser is feasible (that's only 10 heavy React webpage loads) and now you can run SQL queries directly against it in the browser.

Plenty of interesting databases fit into less than a MB even.

I've been using SQLite in WebAssembly for my Datasette Lite project - a Python server-side web app running entirely in the browser: https://simonwillison.net/2022/May/4/datasette-lite/ - here's an article showing how that can be useful: https://simonwillison.net/2022/Aug/21/scotrail/

It's also available in Observable notebooks, which is really handy. Here's a project I built on top of that: https://simonwillison.net/2022/Nov/20/tracking-mastodon/ - notebook here: https://observablehq.com/@simonw/mastodon-users-and-statuses...
Starlink Global Gateways and Pops Map
I get the exact opposite impression from this. If Bolsonaro were actually guilty of any wrongdoing, as opposed to fleeing phony charges by a corrupt government, wouldn't he have picked somewhere more friendly to crime than the US to flee to?
As a piano player, yes.

However, the rhythms and chord selections are extremely weird and no human would ever play this way.

It's a cute toy, but is pretty far from actual piano comping. It doesn't sound human or natural at all.