skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Because large corporations are essentially trying to tear up the implicit contract that they must offer adequate compensation to attract workers to their jobs. "Nurse shortages" "Truck Driver shortages" "Railworker shortages" "Airplane Pilot shortages". None of these are actually shortages, they are just indications that the businesses involved in those industries are uninterested in offering wages and benefits that will humanely support someone working those jobs. I am no fan of capitalism, but this isnt even capitalism its just an attempt to bash workers into jobs they wouldnt otherwise take (or make it so 18 year olds can drive 18 wheelers commercially....?)
I think the reason why you disagree is because you mean a different thing by "the internet".

"The internet" - the corporate internet.
"The internet" - normal people on the internet.
"The internet" - etc.
In economic theory, it is seen as a fact of nature -- moreso the evidence of economic cycles of varying lengths.

So in a sense, yes, one could consider it to be healthy -- like an economic animal shedding some fat.

But I wouldn't personally. Recessions have deep cultural, social and political impacts that, if not dealt with properly, lead to long lasting adverse effects: rise of extremisms, lower social mobility, increased intergenerational poverty and so on.

Because of 2008, millenials lost about 5 years of savings, skill accumulation, etc. they will never earn back.
> Gazprom’s move marked a likely end to Finland’s nearly 50 years of importing natural gas from Russia. The two parallel Russia-Finland natural gas pipelines were launched in 1974.

> Natural gas currently accounts for just some 5 per cent of total energy consumption in Finland, a country of 5.5 million. Until May, nearly all of that gas came from Russia, and has been used mainly by Finnish industrial and other companies with only an estimated 4,000 households relying on gas heating.
Weird, I’ve been using it as a professional desktop for about 20 years now, with a few forays into MacOS for a couple of years at a time thrown in. I can count issues like you describe on the fingers of one hand.

MacOS is generally very stable, of course, because they also control the hardware, but I have experienced unexpected reboots on MacBooks.

I find windows pretty frustrating and opaque, I certainly don’t know how anyone could work on it effectively. Having to find and install third party software packages just to get hardware going is a right nightmare. Recently my windows 11 (I keep it around for gaming) was complaining that it couldn’t activate a safety feature, memory consistency checking or something, due to outdated drivers, and listed stuff for hardware I no longer owned. I ended up on a multi-hour trip down the google rabbit hole to try to fix that because there were no updates and the official line is people should never uninstall any drivers!

All I’m saying is YMMV, maybe you just grok windows but not Linux. It’s not universal though.
I share your intuition.

I don't think many people panic about a recession though. Maybe make some adjustments. Panic only comes across from media outlets.
Yes. And it’s actually correct. I’ve thought that US financial system and US dollar would fall since I was roughly 13. The problem is that at some point central banks and governments will be unable to avoid hyperinflation due to debt accumulation. They will be forced to print. Additionally, the debt is inevitable when politicians are bought and paid for and therefore incentivized to provide lucrative contracts to donors, and when interest rates are so low that borrowing is a good idea for private parties. On another note, there is inherent instability in debt-based economics (I don’t think capitalism actually exists at this point, as that word implies the accumulation of capital and current systems substitute capital with debt). If dollars are created through debt and leveraging that debt (as is the case in the USA) a massive default scenario like 2008 becomes a matter of time. If that scenario is large enough it will trigger a deflationary depression that will only further encourage printing as the central bankers try to avoid making all of the debts too expensive to carry. The fact that we’ve avoided a collapse of the current system for so long is more due to cleverness and media cover than anything else. The bankers figured out new ways to manipulate the economy and stall the inevitable but math is real and you can’t do it forever. On a final note, debt based economics will always sacrifice the wealth of future generations for the sake of the current, and this is being felt right now as younger generations are struggling to get started, and the the older generations are living in relative luxury.
Except that is much more than 30% for a large set of the population, hence why so many above 30 years old still live by their parents.
For improving cardio? For sure. It is a very time efficient way of increasing your cardio. For improving back health? Not really, studies indicate that walking and running give about the same benefits. Obviously if you are unfit enough you need to walk before you run or you will just have a miserable time.
The fact that this article is behind a paywall leads me to believe that the editor-in-chief of the Economist has no idea what's about to happen in 2023. ;)
Verge was amazing, but slowly seemed to drift in the direction of being the Vice of tech news. I remember watching a "how to build a PC" video that I was convinced was parody but was actually serious.
i'm staying on 1password 7 to avoid their subscription fees, and using sync'ed, shared vaults to have access on my devices too (and share vaults with others as necessary). there's some duplication in apple keychain and firefox for convenience.

i use 1password's built-in 2FA (TOTP), but only for a couple accounts as i find it unwieldy generally. i'm also keeping an eye on how passkeys develop over time.
> The vast majority of California water comes from out of state, less than 30% comes from sources in-state.

That's quite a preposterous assertion. Source? CA has ~85% coming from the Sierra Nevada watershed, only 15% is the Colorado River at the bottom.
"California receives 75 percent of its rain and snow in the watersheds north of Sacramento."[0] CA is more than water self-sufficient if it loses the 15% Colorado River, but reduces the ag. water usage (80%) that ships out most of it to the rest of the states.

https://water.ca.gov/water-basics/the-california-water-syste...
The problem with even short recessions is that we should question whether or not we really need actual people to endure actual hardships while worker efficiency continues upwards for the sake of imaginary numbers.
Well, those pencil-whipping the definitions, for starters.
> I've attacked it as a viable option because linux users seem to handwave some of the things that make it a non viable option for a large % of the population.

Yep, exactly this. A portion of the Linux Desktop community is so high on its own farts that it can't tolerate the idea that people might have legitimate reasons for not using Linux as their desktop. If you have a problematic use case, their suggestion is to get a different use case.
Counter-signalling partly explains why pure status symbols are not among Gen Z. Taste, or aesthetic sensibility, is also an explanation. An expensive watch, such as a Patek Philippe, is still status since it's durable – to be passed on. A Mercedes? Not so much.

I also agree on your last point. Most young people today are unable to afford a home, or even pay off college debt. Wealth distribution is increasingly fat-tailed.
The fact that the inflation predates the war in ukraine by several months should be evidence that Ukraine isn't the primary reason. That at least shouldn't be in dispute.

I am not sure what sort of evidence you would expect. Every time you print money you create inflation. Even the post 2008 QE created massive asset inflation that wasn't captured in the main CPI, but the logic still stands.
Power of static typing, that it allows one to develop complex programs faster and better, not slower.
To me it looks more and more like the whole southern europe is incentivized to form its own union. Something like a reunited roman empire of the economically frustrated and brain drained South
Would be cool if we had wearable patches like Continuous Glucose Monitors, but monitoring for all kinds of diseases. If these were ubiquitous, we'd detect diabetes, Alzheimer's, many types of cancers, maybe heart disease years before they showed symptoms.
It turned out to be a stupid question indeed.

People have not been able to afford rent and food in rich countries to the point of creating social unrests, let alone in poor ones. Unironically check your privilege, man.
I can see how someone who only read the covers and article titles, and didn’t read any of the actual content could come to that conclusion.
I'm not sure oscillation is a good metaphor. It could be a random walk, which might appear periodic, but is not.
cf Craft (2008) https://linusakesson.net/scene/craft/index.php
> Without death and scarcity we could never have evolved.

Without disease, we would have never evolved an immune system. Therefore we shouldn't try to cure disease.

I think the flaw is very clear in this analogy: human ingenuity and science is better than evolution by natural selection in pretty much every way. Now that we've evolved science, we no longer need evolution by natural selection.
If you fire everyone who knows how to cut a check, your outflows will reduce dramatically.
found the goldbug. afaict inflation is great for indebted earners, bad for savers. Still waiting to learn why hoarding tokens is socially beneficial behavior that should be rewarded.

Sorry you can't predict the future of your stuff just by putting it in a contract. But nobody promised you that, and there are bigger problems to solve than the perfect autonomy of your resources. I guess your only hope is that the limited, motivated, holders of extremely large bags of capital will be able to move your regressive philosophy forward. Oh look that's what happening lucky you.
What worked for me was developing an interesting project and presenting it at a small programmers' convention. That was enough to get the attention of a company that decided to hire me.

The number one thing you should do is network: get out there and meet people (in person, not just over the Internet.) Here is an ancient secret of success, handed down to me from my father, that I now give to you neontomo:

STP ·)(·

What does it mean?

"See Twenty People, Belly to Belly"

(Normally you draw the belly buttons closer to the belly curves, like on a napkin or something, the dots are belly buttons, yeah? Anyway...)

See twenty people belly-to-belly every day. Every day. You'll have a job in no time. :)
For us, real-time refreshes weren't necessary. So we ended up refreshing it every 12 hours through application crons.
Parent is likely making a referencing the fact that Musk obliterated Twitter's employee base to such a majot extent there is literally nobody left in the corporate communications department.
I think I used https://www.worldtimebuddy.com/ (or a very similar site) a few times, but the clock version looks more nice.
Easier to just screen for this during annual or biannual physicals with a blood draw, no? Would be sufficient for all except the most aggressive and fast moving cancers.
Real Estate is a sketchy business. Musk is not going to stand out as an especially bad tenant. And if you dig into the history of these landlords you shouldn't be surprised to find out they have also fucked people over
In some ways, the Year of the Linux Desktop has come many times over. We've got phablets, tablets and other Android devices. Alot of the things people would use a desktop computer for are now handled by the aforementioned devices (browsing the web, checking email, personal finance, etc).

I just paid $170 for my new Android phone (unlocked). It has 8GB of ram, 128GB of solid state storage, Wifi, a 5G radio, Bluetooth, a 50 megapixel camera and a nice large screen. It's really incredible the computing power you can get on a phone so inexpensively.

For me this device would handle all of the personal computing needs if there was a good way to dock it into a large display with a keyboard and have more of "Desktop" UI mode.

Desktops/laptops for personal computing are dead.
Just here to say it's been Linux on my Desktop for years and I like it a lot. Not perfect, but certainly better than the alternatives.
Of course, my mistake.
...And Nouriel Roubini is famous for predicting 8000000000*10^(uncountable infinity) of the last 3 recessions.
In F# list comprehensions, for example, you can have full blown expressions such as loops and conditionals. This is really nice for templating.

[
if List.isEmpty items then
p “No items”
else
ul
[
for item in items do
li [ item ]
]
]
Ubuntu is still riding high on their very real and definite status as "The most usable Linux Desktop" from ~2008, but they've long since destroyed everything that got them there, so personally I think the community really needs to pick a new champion in that regard.
>If we have a period of inflation, with increased wages (obviously with a painful lag), but house prices remain stagnant with no increase, would that bring them down in real terms without a "housing crash"? Could this be a "good thing" and does that even make sense?

It's still only part of the equation since interest rates are much higher now so mortgage payments are double what they were a year ago. So even if the home price isn't rising, the costs to finance it are.
Whenever somebody makes claims like this I do wonder whether they actually bet money on that
> I've used Ubuntu since 2006 and never had any issues like you describe.

Listen, if you're using Linux and you've never spent hours trying to find out how to install something or fix a problem deep in some obscure configuration file somewhere, are you even on Linux? Don't lie to yourself: you use Linux exactly because you enjoy doing that and pretending like everything works and you never have to fiddle with anything is just dishonest.
Zanny Minton Beddoes (the writer of that piece) has a degree in economics from Oxford, a masters from Harvard, worked for the minister of finance Poland, and has worked for the economist for the last 30 years.

She’s conducted surveys and covered policies across the world from South America to Moscow (all this per Wikipedia).

I think she’s well qualified to provide opinion, not sure if I’ll take it - but that’s the point of an opinion piece.

What have you done to qualify yourself for your job? Except write snarky, poorly written and ill contributing comments on this forum for the last decade?
The author is an Oxford- and Harvard-trained economist with work experience at the national and international level. Your comment is ridiculous, whether or not this prediction proves out. The author is qualified to make it.
There's a lot of good advice here, but to add - this is a very tough job market and probably will be for the next year.

Freelancing is another entry point and it'll teach you a lot about shipping features/products. Take small jobs initially and scale outwards. Obviously you can't charge top dollar but I recommend listing your hourly rate at slightly below market and then during the negotiation giving a discount to try and seal the deal.

If you find yourself being forced to do very low priced/almost-free work, keep the projects really small to limit being exploited but still being able to build your initial resume.
Thank you :)

I think for people willing to put in the time — things have certainly become much easier. I started with AVR microcontrollers about 20 years ago, and couldn't even dream of accomplishing things I am easily able to to today. Raspberry Pi, Arduino; have changed the scene for sure.

But at the same time; maybe there is less inventive for someone to really dig into something, as you say: with soldering iron in hand. As so much is available as a product or service already.

My first "serious" soldering was a few PCB kits :)
Yep... Ford, GM, and the rest have played that game for years, including just telling suppliers they are now going to pay less for parts.... and since the suppliers have built their business around that one contract there is not much they can do about
I'm certainly not well educated in finance - but having had my business crushed by the events of 08/09, I started paying a lot more attention to economics than I had previously. From what I can gather, I think part of what is happening is that "the can" keeps getting kicked further down the road. That is to say, we should have already been in or even through a recession. By postponing it, it's just going to be that much worse.
You mean something like this?:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_JVM_languages

https://www.graalvm.org/22.2/graalvm-as-a-platform/language-...
The only reason they were in the fast lane to bankruptcy is that Musk voluntarily gave up almost all Twitter's revenue, he put them in that lane. They could have cut head count, massively reduced costs and restructured whilst simply saying "No policies will change, advertisers are safe" and stabilized the company over night. Instead they spooked advertisers which crippled their only revenue stream, and tried to claw it back with a Twitter Blue subscription that generates a laughably small amount of money.
The exact timing is always tricky but I have seen the .COM bubble and the 2008 crash. In both it was pretty clear that the economy was in a huge speculative bubble that made no rational sense but the bubble was prolonged until there was no way forward anymore. The 2001 crash was bad, the 2008 crash worse and I think this one will be even bigger. We ran up huge deficits during good times, kept interest rates artificially low to keep things going. And most of the superstar businesses (unicorns) don't even know how to be a business that makes profits.
I think I 100% agree with this. There have been threads here about burnout and disillusionment, and I think it kind of feeds into this. There's so much churn and confusion about what is the best way to do things, and there's no real guiding force - everything is still so young.

For me personally, it's frustrating how so many new ideas are really solutions to problems tech itself has caused. I like to say that Docker is great, but really it shouldn't need to exist - packaging complexity is self-inflicted and a sign of an immature discipline.

Also, what other discipline can spend millions of dollars, and 10s of thousands to millions of man hours building a package/framework/language/ecosystem, then decide a few years later that "meh, seems dated", and "look, this new stuff is so refreshing!". Again, the inability to focus is a kind of immaturity.
Kissinger will be 100 this year.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Henry_Kissinger

President Carter turns 99 too:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jimmy_Carter

At some point over the next 50 years, science gets a few wins and a lot more people will reach 100.
> Advocates of desktop Linux have endlessly sung praises about how customizable it is and how that flexibility is a core tenet, so why shouldn’t it be able to act identically to Windows or macOS, at least as far as UI goes?

This is something that I always bothered me. I love using middle click to scroll (you middle click, then move your mouse up and down) in Windows, but there isn't any way to do this in Linux. You can enable it in Firefox for Linux but not on the entire OS, and trying to ask people about this just makes people reply with "why would you want to do this if the default is middle click to copy??".

There are ways to sort of mimic this behavior, but none 100% matches how Windows work.
I think this is a good model if perhaps narrow. You mention the lifecycle of a single game. But there are many games released over many years. Software is the same. For example we may have reached some level of maturity for building a CRUD app with RoR. But there are still all kinds of innovations happening at the fore.

I agree with the overall point though, we’ve been making roads, constructing buildings, doing banking for centuries or millennia, compared to a century or less of software. But those fields aren’t 100% mature either — finance cooks up new derivatives, and we find new materials, techniques for constructing things. In some sense I think foundational principles for tech are already there, but not as mature as other industries due to time.
Slightly tonque-in-cheek, but:

> The main sentiment in your comment which I don't think I've seen addressed in other comments is the fervency of the people attacking the mere notion that Linux is not a viable option...but I'm often surprised with the confidence and sheer malice of people who will attack any notion of Linux not being a viable desktop.

> I've seen it on HN, I've seen it in Gaming subreddits, I've had it in non-technical subreddits and I've had it in real life. People just have no qualms shitting on anyone who expresses problems with linux and it confuses me that people care so much and have so little consideration for the opposing point of view.

You can see it up and down this thread, anyone who expresses frustrations or compatibility issues immediately gets 3 replies to the effect of "You're wrong, I've been running linux since 1954 and it works perfectly and no issue like that exists".

I like linux. I maintain a cluster of linux machines at work, and have 2 linux boxes at home because it does things that windows just can't. But those 2 boxes take up about 90% of my "tech support" time.
If your concern is looking healthy and athletic, you need a decent amount of muscle mass and a low percentage of body fat. Running helps with none of that.
Capitalism no longer exists. Current economic systems are based around debt and not capital.
SQL is a programming language. It's simply one of if not the only successful fourth generation programming language in a world replete with third generation ones.

The error is confounding a fourth generation DSL for set theory with a third generation general purpose application programming language. There's a really good reason ORMs have their impedance mismatch with relational databases.

Aside from this minor nit, your comment is spot on!
Vergecast is both informative and entertaining.
This is probably a comment worth ignoring, but I still feel inclined to say that journalism is a cornerstone of democracy on which, love it or hate it, we in the west have chosen to build our societies on. So yes, it is important and certainly requires skill.
> You ask a normie "what's your opinion of Windows 10?" and they'll have one, good or bad. You ask a normie what their opinion of Linux is and most of them won't even know the word, let alone have one.

True “normies”, my mom for instance or most of my wife's colleagues, have no idea on which version of Windows their computer is running, let alone have an opinion on the specific version they are using. They don't even know what an operating system is.

People who do know about the different versions of Windows aren't “normies”, they are people who are somewhat tech savy but not nerd enough to try Linux (which most of them have heard about somehow, often from their nerd friend) because it sounds scary and time consuming (installing an entire operating system, wiping your entire Windows including the drivers that comes pre-installed is rightfully scary for most people).

“Linux on the desktop” for the masses cannot exist until it ships with the computer you buy without knowing it. Like Chromebooks for instance.
recessions aren’t surprising or avoidable right? it seems to align with everything else in nature that things fluctuate and move in waves, entropy causes things to come into balance, dead weight is shed because it’s dead weight and economic health depends on shedding dead weight, a recession is just the trough of a much bigger economic wave, ride the wave! it’s just like cutting back some roses in fall to enable more healthy flourishing growth in spring