skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
> “LLMs can’t even do addition”

> We show that they CAN add! To teach algos to LLMs, the trick is to describe the algo in enough detail so that there is no room for misinterpretation

Algorithmic prompting paper

https://arxiv.org/pdf/2211.09066.pdf
it just first example I found in my head. try to display citation is must and every researcher do it because they q6re moral.
What if you wouldn't make it home and have a night outside? Two times 75km and down to 12% charge is not inspiring confidence in such situations!
Nautilus is where writing goes to die
Aren’t you adding extra work for him out of pity?
No, if I say "below zero", I mean below zero Fahrenheit. For below zero Celsius I'd just say "below freezing", which I know as 32 degrees Fahrenheit.

Zero degrees Celsius is no big deal. I do long walks with my dogs out in it regularly, and often don't even wear a hat or gloves. Zero degrees Fahrenheit can be dangerous and I try not to be out in it long.

It got down to -33 degrees F after wind chill yesterday. That might be the coldest temperature I remember experiencing around here. Except for a couple brief moments herding one of my dogs back inside since he stupidly takes his time out there even in this cold until his paws get too cold, I didn't go out in it at all.
> People feel strongly about football, but hopefully not that strongly.

For better or for worse, I’m guessing a lot of people care more about what happens to the local football team than whether creationism is taught in the local schools.
You don't need organized religion to have that sense. Please, everyone, read and apply:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Demon-Haunted_World
But should the classes be made worse for everyone for the benefit of a fairly small group of people (i.e. people with an invisible disability and the desire to keep this private)?

In the end, it may be impossible to satisfy everyone, so some trade-offs will have to be made. "We can make accommodations if you ask" seems reasonable. Anyone can keep anything private for any reason as far as I'm concerned, but at the same time you also can't expect policies to be designed in such a way to accommodate every possible need automatically (i.e. without people asking for it).
> you see a lot of churn in the web ui world because browsers implement new features that new libraries take advantage of

Also because of design language evolution (whether this is “fashion” or “advances in usability research” is a debate I’ll sidestep here); the old stuff still works fine, it just isn’t current style; if all you care about is “UI that works” and not “UI that looks and feels current”, web isn’t a bad target.
This chart summarizes % change by state. CA population change is in the middle band and doesn’t seem particularly notable.

https://www.census.gov/library/visualizations/2022/comm/perc...
Only by title. Everyone else has covered the meat of the essay content.
Yeah, strangely people talk as if hybrid id a thing of the past although its the best of both worlds.
From a bystander's perspective (I'm nowhere near a PhD, but have friends who are), I think there's value in learning academic rigor (which is what I think PhD does). I see it like learning to submit a high quality PR into a field of science. You learn to make sure everything you do is well-written, properly backed up, tested, verified, reviewed. There are just way too many ways for humans to come to the wrong conclusions, make unintentional assumptions, or miss alternative explanations. A highly passionate person without academic training is more likely to find themselves falling into these traps. (I'm sure there are notable exceptions). I think with all its flaws, PhD might be the last bastion, in principle, where you're trained to be insanely precise and pedantic. The reality is a lot messier than the ideal, but it's still a valuable pursuit.
You are describing an unfree market. By definition, the EMH applies to a free market where people choose where to put their money.

The EMH says nothing about efficiency of producing value, only about price discovery.
Brain circuit that converts spatial goals to escape actions discovered in mice
From my past 5 military deployments it’s not what I would learn. It’s what I would write. On my last deployment I created a new way to perform test automation in the browser that is dramatically faster and more simple than the big tools. I also refined a tiered security model for decentralization. On the deployment prior to that one I made some refinements to my diff application and created a data model for stacked language representation (a uniform less powerful but more scalable alternative to abstract syntax trees)
Vint Cerf helped create the Internet on the back of an envelope
> By definition, the EMH applies to a free market where people choose where to put their money.

“The EMH only applies to an idealized analytical fiction and is not applicable to the real world” would also be a problem with the EMH.
Yeah additional electric heaters and stiff oil reduce mileage but Nowhere in that range.

Your car must be faulty.
I've heard that Amazon is prototyping this technology and is about to open a chain of grocery stores where you just walk out with your items.
New Delhi. Population over 32M. Nearest ocean is 900km away.
Technically not because my boss insisted since I started in September I can wait until January. But my teammate left me as a shadow secondary (for learning purposes mostly for daytime pages), so if my team gets paged for anything I'll also get the page. I don't entirely mind at least to be aware of things going on. Fortunately our services are generally fairly quiet compared to my previous jobs'.

Hope you all have a quiet few days!
There are some market inefficiencies that have been documented but they seem rare. The post earnings announcement drift (PEAD)[0] is a thing that exists but shouldn't if markets were totally efficient. That gets used for gains pretty consistently but not 100% of the time. Euan Sinclair had a book where he mentioned a return of 9-27% when traded on annually.[1]

Some of the big players have moves like that which work well given the right market conditions. My guess is that they have many, many patterns like that to trade on or models which are right more often than not. I don't know anything though since I'm a 101 retail investor... Positional options trading and volatility stuff makes my brain hurt :(

Have you seen strategies like that before? It's really interesting to dig into but seems to require a lot of knowledge to know how to trade on.

[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Post%E2%80%93earnings-announce...

[1] Positional Options Trading: An Advanced Guide, pg. 90
I wonder when batteries will come with better thermal insulation to work during cold weather. A battery which is not near-dead has enough energy to heat itself to the point where its capacity increases a lot, given adequate thermal insulation.

(But, of course, that would require even better cooling for a battery on a summer +95F day. OTOH ICEs have a similar problem.)
Redistribution does not rely on fixed pie fallacy. The idea that the root of poverty is "hoarding" does.

Also, somehow you seem to be under an impression that the US does not implement the welfare state paradigm. Did you ever look at the budget and see how much is spent on mandatory and discretionary welfare programs? The fact that it did not fix poverty should give you an idea that maybe it's not Elon Musk being too greedy that is the problem here.
College-aged students are called young adults. And they definitely are. Infantalization of young adults is not good for their development in my opinion and experience.
Aw, thanks. glad it was useful. I do wish I didn’t write it from my phone. So many typos. :)

About creating millions in value, it really does compound, and it’s about capturing the value too.

I have self-funded customer discovery regularly, if they won’t buy a discovery, they probably probably won’t buy a solution. It’s ok to educate them, let them try to solve it on their own and then the good ones come back.

Getting investment can be super helpful though. I like knowing how’s to get 2-10x value out of each dollar. It helps with growing fast. Current recession likely makes it easier for me to raise investment in some ways.

I sometimes go out of my way to recommend everything but my own solution. It’s better when they connect the dots, and if they can’t.

Most B2B saas in time need a professional services division of some kind - so why not get the customer to pay for the sales cycle, as long as it might be. It’s an easier form of seeming the breakthrough. I hang out in Academia and other slow industries though sometimes and have to pass the time. It’s changing though thankfully.

Many customers want to pay to learn and get comfortable and build buy in to become a 10-20y customer.

Business skills get you in the room for conversations at the level of strategy and direction, way better than selling in. It’s great leaving management consultants making way more than you adding no value to the convo because they don’t get the fundamental shift in the business is doing the change not studying it.

Lots of people will say that’s not advisable to go this deep, and they might be right. I’ve found going deep on things leads to warm introductions to other people’s problems. Demonstrating care about someone else’s business done right does open doors. Doing things that doesn’t scale gets you access that doesn’t scale to the many.

I’ve recently come across an author by the name of April Dunford that made my add value first and awesome approach fell a little less alone, and special which is awesome. She is amazingly well written and spoken. Going to read more of her stuff in the next few months.

I accidentally closed a paid pilot over a lunch by making fun of all the software in my space including my own as the reason to refused to put it in place for him even though it would get him forward in the short term. He is a pioneer and because the future needs to be built in his world his tools have to be as well instead of doubling down on tech anchored the past.

I find most sales are the byproduct of trust in showing people how to navigate the information overload out there. It’s good to get the bad fits out of your hair, the rest more than make up for it. I’m going to try to make 2023 more vocal about being very different and see how it goes.
The second lowest of five bands is not “the middle band”.

I would agree that it is not particularly notable; a lot of the headlines are “look at the big numerator and ignore the big denominator, because narrative agenda”.
99.99% of human thought is repetitive, derivative and generally just cached computation being reused. Adding one original thought on top of everything can be a life-long endeavour and often require a PhD.

AlphaGo started from scratch and surpassed human level by having access to more experience. It was enough for a neural net to learn this game, because a simulated Go board is close enough to a real one. Remember move 37?

More recently AlphaTensor showed a better way to do matrix multiplication than humans could manually discover, also based on massive search followed by verification and learning.

Humans appear more intelligent because we have access to validation in a way the AI models don't, we have access to the real world, tools and labs and human society, not just a text dataset or an impoverished simulation.

Even so, it's not easy to validate abductive thought. Saying is cheap, proving is what matters. Same for language models - unvalidated generative language models are worthless. Validation is the key. When validating is cheap, a model can beat humans, the neural net architecture is not an obstacle to surpassing humans.

When validation is expensive, even humans fumble around - remember how many cooks were around the pot at the CERN particle accelerator a few years ago? All of them sucking on the verification soup. With so many PhD brains, verification was still the scarce ingredient. Without our labs, toys and human peers we can't do it either.

One other thing we can't do, for example, is to discover how to build better AI. We just try various ideas out, seeing what sticks. Why can't we just spit out the best idea if we are "intelligent"? Why are we calling working with neural nets a kind of alchemy? Because we haven't verified most of our ideas yet.
If I post this on Twitter, would my account be suspended?
>buy the data to avoid GDPR lawsuits

You cant "buy the data", but what you can buy is couple of south American assassins.
Sibling went to Stanford in the mid-late 90s. The absolute freedom some of the student groups had made me so jealous. Intelligent kids, doing ridiculous things, with minimal oversight, on a beautiful campus. Doubt we'll see that return unfortunately.
Uh, yes. Have you not been paying attention to the weekly "what potential fed action is the market pricing in this week?" articles?

Efficient markets take into account everything from politics to corruption to the odds of natural disasters. I'm not sure where you read otherwise.

You think investors don't price in the political risk of dealing with, say the Chinese government? You think bond investors aren't paying attention to the fed?
> Well, that and corporations have been pointing the finger at inflation, raising prices without meaningful competition, and we see profits at record levels. [1]

There are a few object lessons in "how to lie with economic data" here. Let's tease them apart.

1. The original chart is in billions of dollars, across long time periods. So the first error is use of long run time series in nominal values. In that case, most of your time series are going to be "at record levels". Care to guess why?

2. If you look at the source of that chart, which is NIPA data, you'll see those magic words "without CCA and Inv adj". What do they mean? What it means is that you are ignoring depreciation of fixed assets and revaluation of inventory. So for example, if you run your business and pay $10 in labor and inputs and obtain $20 in sales, then you have a profit of $10, right? Well, not if you wore down your equipment by $5. Then you only have a profit of $5. So capital consumption must be taken into account if you want a measure of profits that is close to what an actual business would use. For the same reason, if you have a pile of unsold inventory, do you value it at your purchase cost or at the cost you would be able to sell it? It should be the latter, so again you do want the inventory valuation adjustment. The net result is you want to be looking at net operating surplus if you are mining your NIPA data for a measure of profits, not profits before capital consumption or inventory valuation adjustments. Of course NIPA style net operating surplus is not the same as GAAP profits because a number of other adjustments are made, but it's a reasonable proxy when looking at macro data.

3. Mixing non-financial and financial is a big no-no, especially as you are talking about inflation, and this means non-financial goods.

So if we fix all of that, then what do we see? Record profits? Nope.

Here you go:

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=Y4h3

As a pro-tip, it generally pays to have an awareness of economic history. So, for example, if someone shows you a chart that says there was low inflation in the late 1970s, then you know they are lying somehow, because you understand this was a period of high inflation. This is something you should know without a chart, and use it to check the chart. Similarly, a basic fact of US corporate history is that the corporate profits in the 1950s and 1960s were enormous. Higher than any period since. That was the golden age of corporate power in the U.S., when we were told "What's good for General Motors is good for America". It was also the conglomeration mania. Additionally, Baby Boomers were having kids and buying tons of stuff, borrowing and spending heavily. Credit was loosening. The US was the undisputed king of the world, without foreign competitors of any serious measure, and they were raking in the cash.
Miners/stakers do not make the rules and never have.
Bitcoin's proof of work is not that complicated, even though you threw out some words that are peripherally related to it. Nice try though.

I had to look up hotstuff proof of stake. As far as I can tell that's not what Ethereum (the coin we are discussing here) uses? Not sure where you are going with this.
Pass new laws to ban all those woke communists. But that's not going to work in CA. There is a bunch of rich dudes, like Soros and Pritzker, that create grants for supportive admins, professors and teachers. For example, a grant may require one to publish 5 papers on certain topics every year, or enact policies in your workplace. They get addicted to the grants, and eventually get used to the new way of thinking, so no grants are even necessary.
I don't even do that. My workflow is really easy.

1. Use netboot.xyz to boot Nixos
2. Copy over nix configurations. I use nix flakes, so I can pre-build all my packages on another machine and debug the config in a more comfortable environment.
3. Run nixos-install (and generate a hardware config if needed).
4. Reboot
Any of the existing packaging solutions work to a greater or lesser degree so long as the namespaces guarantee uniqueness in the package identity and dependency graphs which is what most packagers do when they put it together for other distros.

As for automating the identity hash generation so it is perfectly deterministic, its not possible so long as you map onto Galois Fields due to their finite field length (and inherent non-unique solutions).

I'm not aware of any mathematical alternative for cryptography, to finite fields, and a hash is a cryptographic function.

Strictly speaking, you have a tradeoff in terms of stability as well as additional cost from the language complexity, and non-deterministic behavior is the fallback when discrete time invariance or determinism is violated.

Many people like Nix, but many people also don't understand how it works, and thus it will work until it doesn't, and then you'll be stuck.

Its not like there is tooling to check determinism, and if time invariance fails because of say a cache (memory property), then you can't even troubleshoot because everything we do to troubleshoot relies on those fundamental system properties with exception to Guess and Check which to be successful requires the highest specialization and understanding of the system.
Decades ago because this panic is old.
I've always wondered if Google has ever tried contacting Norad to see about syncing their Santa data. Norad has been doing this longer, so it's always been a minor annoyance that Google's data has to be different.
You can make an exception for the pager duty providers number. That will it will always make a sound no matter what.
Same here, except I think I might be older than you because it was still called "Beryl" back then for me. It's amazing how much impact a video showing windows wobbling around on Ubuntu had on me. I also installed Ubuntu, I remember doing it through wubi.
Right heat + humidity is bad, humidity alone isn't even noticed.
I get where you're coming from, folks like Vaclav Smil have talked about how the haber bosch process is arguably what's kept 2/3 of human population alive ( https://www.youtube.com/watch?t=3013&v=5guXaWwQpe4&feature=y... ). The issues are also:

- Thinking beyond the anthropocentric and realize we've created many ocean dead zones: e.g. https://oceantoday.noaa.gov/happenowdeadzone/ . Think about what this'll mean in terms of ocean temperature in life within our lifetimes.

- Many farmsites simply use way too much nitrogen, possibly impacting human drinking water (one good person to follow in Iowa is Chris Jones ( https://mobile.twitter.com/RiverRaccoon/status/1541487782933... ) and Silvia Secchi ( https://mobile.twitter.com/ProfSecchi )

- Despite the above the predicament of deciding to use nitrogen inputs during adverse weather conditions (curious to hear about the alternatives here, from what I see even smallholder farmers that try to minimize nitrogen input still use a bit of it).

- The haber bosch process itself, and industries seeking to find alternatives to produce ammonia gas (iirc likely used in making diesel DEF fluid urea - https://newatlas.com/energy/green-ammonia-phosphonium-produc... ).

- The article also cites norman borlaug, of which there's plenty of questions to ask around the economic and ecological narratives around that work - e.g. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10460-022-10325-2 and likely 'the violence of the green revolution' by vandana shiva, and 'the globalization of wheat' https://upittpress.org/books/9780822947349/
I hope less people live there, too crowded.

Making western nevada and much of the mojave habitable would go a long way. Artificial rivers and lakes, importing sand and desalination (at scale to develop more sustainable water systems not on its own) and bullet trains would be ideal. The money and tech is there just not the collective will.

Places like Parhump NV, Bishop CA and Reno,NV have huge potentia as population centers.

It's so nice there from the mojave to the eastern sierra range and tahoe. Bullet train connecting these areas to PNW and coastal CA plus more water is needed. Why wouldn't you live the towns I mentioned above if LA and SF are 1-2 hours away at most and Seattle is half a day away at most even from LA?
That's still considered a luxury moving experience by most. Most people rent a U-Haul for a few hundred dollars and have maybe a few hundred more dollars in gas and hotels.
I hate self checkout. I won’t even use it if I have a single item and the self-checkout lanes are wide open.

The Costco in the last town I lived in did away with self-checkout because not enough people used it. If we unite we shall prevail!
Thanks for narrowing the gap between income tax contributions from CA and TX by bringing your earning power to TX.
My HDMI cable is not asking me to trust it with my hard earned money ;-)

Vaccines and cars and everything else you hint at have been around a long time and the trade-offs are pretty well understood. Proof of stake (and it's various implementations) have a long way to go before they reach that status
This is me. And fingers crossed it’ll be an uneventful few days for us both :)
and investing in “index funds” is not gambling?! :) if you buy index funds do you even know what you bought? or is it just “hey everyone else is doing imma do it too?”
> rather than being troubled by the athlete salaries, be even more troubled by the vastly larger owner salaries

We can be troubled by multiple things at the same time.
Plagiarism as a student can ruin your life. It's insane that a professor can get away with it.
I have much the same question -- it seems like PHEVs would be perfect for the next 10 years or so, while we improve batteries and build out charging infrastructure. And yet there are relatively few PHEVs on the market, and most of them have <40 miles of electric range, whereas I think you'd really want something like double that number (especially in the context of this article!).

I'm really curious to see what Mazda will do with the MX-30 next year. It's an dismal failure as a pure EV, but apparently they're planning to add a rotary engine as a pure generator to it (i.e., not driving the wheels). If the car keeps the current version's 100 mile electric range that could be a very interesting combo.
Distance fron ocean is probable less important than elevation, but 216m seems pretty safe (not Bogota or Mexico City safe, but those are somewhat smaller cities, though not that much in the case of Mexico City.)
Haha. I became a user of superhuman recently and have been thinking the same.

You’d might get stuck with Flutter instead :)
I am, but from experience it will be uneventful. We didn’t deploy any significant code changes all last week. The few we did do are all minor and very very low risk.
Sure. How many businesses have more employees than "customers"? It's not a perfect analog but it's not unreasonable to ask "what are we really doing here?" either.