skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
So, excess deaths were always going to be higher. Covid is a new virus that's circulating in addition to all the existing viruses(virii?) that circulated throughout the population previously, and it's also significantly more harmful than the existing viruses.

So what's interesting here is:
1) The size of the jump in excess deaths.
2) Not all the excess deaths are attributable to Covid.

> That equates to an extra 18,671 deaths. Of those, only 7727 were attributed to Covid – or 41 per cent – leaving 10,944 non-Covid excess deaths.

So, 41% of the excess deaths were attributed to covid, leaving 59% of the jump in excess deaths to be things that were already killing us, but for some reason are killing us _more_ this year.

> So far in 2022, deaths due to dementia are up 18.9 per cent, diabetes up 20.8 per cent, cancer up 6.1 per cent, and ischaemic heart disease up 3.3 per cent, according to ABS data.

and all the things that:
1) aren't covid
2) are increased excess deaths

appear to be things that covid _makes worse_. I don't have any scientific papers or news articles to hand or anything, but I've been reading for the last few years now that covid impacts the brain(brain fog in long covid), hits overweight people & diabetics harder, causes heart problems, etc etc.

Which is the simplistic take. but I do wonder if there's anything more to it, that I can't think of at all?

Also, no idea about increased cancers. Delayed treatment? Less effective treatment or diagnosis due to covid precautions? something completely unrelated to covid? Any thoughts there?
"Some details"... Have you ever built anything?

Driving steam turbines, even with other costs at zero, leaves you uncompetitive with renewables. But other costs would be very, very far from zero. Extracting the grams of tritium at PPB concentration dissolved in 1000 tons of FLiBe every day so you have fuel for tomorrow is an expensive job all by itself.

Making a whole new reactor every year or two because it destroyed itself with neutron bombardment is another.
Yes:

The Twitter Files Part 2: Twitter's Secret Blacklists - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=33915734 - Dec 2022 (507 comments)

The Twitter Files - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=33838556 - Dec 2022 (1568 comments)

But it looks like not since then.
The truth is reversed. Software eliminates work; that is, it makes people more productive by making the boring parts of their jobs automated, which as a side effect can increase capital (and profit everyone, not just startup founders). The diatribe against capitalism is thus unnecessary.
> USA probably won't have an effective arsenal within a century.

If other countries joined, it would be a great outcome.
its (a|b)*
The reason why "globalization" is associated to these cross-cutting financial investments is that it creates dependencies. A sells lots of oil to B, and in exchange it gets an account in B's financial system with lots of B-currency bonds.

In that case, A depends on B to not seize the bonds. This dependency reduces the sovereignty of each nation - power flows from the nation-state to the global consensus - to the world's largest importer, whose currency is the world's largest reserve currency. Moreover international investors -- international capital, so to speak, have enormous power over individual nation states. This is globalization - the reduction of the autonomy of the individual nation state, subordinate to the rules laid down by the world's largest importer, and it's associated international investment community.

On the other hand, if A just sells oil to B, and B builds a port for A, then B cannot seize A's port. The transaction is finished. There is no room for any international investment banker to make a lot of money on this. There is no possibility for B to threaten to seize A's holdings if they don't do what A wants. There is still some dependence just from the trade, but not nearly as much interdependence as having much of your bank reserves under the control of another nation.

In that environment, nations become stronger and the world's largest importer becomes weaker -- much weaker. It goes from being the banker to the world to being the most dependent nation, which is a huge fall in terms of power.
For a non-violent crime which saw the recovery of a large fraction of the loot that's not 'only'.
this cleared my confusion. Thank you
Snakes have cl*toris: scientist overcome major a taboo around female genitalia’
Here in The Netherlands it is quite common for employees to work 4 days a week and receive 80% pay. Most employees will even ask you about it during the interview process.

Most of the people I know who do this is because of the cost of daycare here, which is in most places higher than your rent or mortgage. Both partners will work 4 days but have different off days, so they pay only for 3 days of day care.
That would also be the case for just spamming people with "go join our cult" links, and I haven't seen this once. The limits load on other things:

- Local presence of the cult

- Ability to operationalize victims (convince them to do terrorism, in your model)

- Ability of victims to "function" in society (hold down a job, do cult administrative stuff, earn money)

For an idea of what is the upper bound, look at Scientology or Jehovah's Witnesses. They don't have to use an AI to talk to people, they just hand out fliers on the street and talk to whoever is interested. Lonely people already today can sign up for Scientology, so the AI adds nothing.
Thanks for this.... https://www.gtaportal.org/
Maddening mess? Come on, this is silly nitpicking. Airport codes are as clean an logical as it gets with century-old international standards. In fact, most of "maddening mess" in the video can be essentially ignored, which author basically admits by stating closer to the end that these are used by different organizations for different purposes. It is just that story is being told backwards and in a snarky voice for dramatic effect, otherwise it would become clear that IATA codes are pretty much the most natural and logical thing in the world, which would rob author of a passable video topic. There is no real pressure to use ICAO codes instead of IATA codes, and the switch would be quite complicated because of all the legacy in GDS systems, not to mention organizational effort.

From the top of my head, I can come up with only one reasonably annoying thing about IATA airport codes, which is much less than most other legacy standards. While EWR can be used both as a city code and as an airport code, according to every airline in the world airport EWR belonged to the city NYC until this October (because it's "New York metropolitan area", despite being in a different state). This is no longer true, but there still are a couple of other peculiar cases like that in other countries. This is important, because airlines have different rules for fares, exchange rules and stuff for airports in the same city and different cities (like there will be different fares for round-trips and non-round-trips, and the definition of round-trip obviously depends on different airports being in the same city or not).
I used ChatGPT to generate a basic Azure ARM template for spinning up simple resources in Azure.

Worked flawlessly for simple infrastructure like VMs.
> I fully expect a working fusion plant of some kind by 2030

Right. The first law of fusion physics: working fusion power generation in 10 years. It has been proven true for the last 7 decades. Rock solid.
Designing My Life's System
Full Wayland support depends on OpenJDK. It was supposed to ship in 2020, but that's Java for you...
I'm not following the joke, can you elaborate?
> The diatribe against capitalism is thus unnecessary

that would be true if you had no understanding surplus value. i highly recommend you at least try and read the first few chapters of Marx's Capital, which was quoted directly in the article.

notice profits are skyrocketing while wages are dead? "rising tide raises all ships" economics is dead.
Given the market of the last couple of years they may actually have been able to re-finance that loan with a different bank and gotten better terms. 40 years is a long time.
Why won't fusion still be a worthwhile goal even if we do have abundant solar/wind?

Abundant and cheap are relative terms. Solar and wind could be abundant in a "powers everything we have now and for the foreseeable future of population growth" sense, but maybe not in a "gigantic power-hungry megaprojects which aren't remotely possible today" sense?
Indeed. It's emerged that there are screenshots of a signal chat group called (in what must have seemed at the time to be an amusing joke) "Wirefraud" with SBF, the CEO of Alameda (Caroline Ellison) and two of the other top folks from FTX/Alameda.[1] So one of them (probably Ellison as everyone is speculating) almost certainly turned to provide that. That's the sort of off-chain evidence that is somewhat awkward when you're trying to defend (amoung other things) a charge of wire fraud.

[1] https://futurism.com/the-byte/sbf-caroline-ellison-allegedly... and elsewhere
Thanks. I wasn't aware of the nuance.
Most likely, spacecraft will rely on power delivered via laser.

If anybody succeeds in working out D-3He fusion, that could work in a spacecraft. (D-T, no.) We could probably scare up enough 3He to use for that, if there weren't too many.
Russian Trolls Made Fake Kid Rock Fan Accounts – and Fooled Donald Trump Jr
Or better try telephone region codes, which are ambiguous when a phone number is written as a consecutive string of digits, without +/()/-/space.
I got the loose leaf bagged stuff from that brand. How does it compare to other brands?
I would mostly agree with these ideas if only there wouldn't be one large obstacle in the face of having RSS publishing and consuming be considered "social media": the main tenet that makes social media, well "social", is the consumers' ability to interact with the content they're consuming. If the plan is missing that essential component, then it's not "social" media, it's perhaps a better way of consuming and aggregating media, but that's it.

If you want to bolt interactivity on top of RSS then my question is why use an XML document with a very limited vocabulary when you can have a JSON document with a wide (and extensible) vocabulary in the form of ActivityPub. (I don't mean to imply that the later is perfect, but it's a better fit than RSS). An ActivityPub actor's Outbox is exactly an RSS feed by a different name. Instead of a list of "content" items, it has a list of "interactions" the actor had with the rest of the ActivityPub ecosystem, but once you reach the interactions which signal new content, you get that RSS feed experience.
Dropbox Helps in Making Friends
Except that this isn’t really true. Some writing systems lack the ascenders and descenders of the Latin alphabet and reading still happens. Lowercase letters themselves are a late addition to the Latin alphabet. Most readability studies fail the replication test yet they get repeated as if they were scientific facts.
> The Golem by Gustav Meyrink

I read this more than 20 years ago, and it still comes to my mind frequently. It’s haunting. Keep trying to read it again.
4chan has a technology board that obsesses over old CLI utilities and stuff less mainstream that they consider to not be “bloat”. So yeah, a vim YouTuber probably is trying to reach out to the 4chan crowd.
No. As a seasoned tereré drinker, the fact that you're drinking lots of (mostly) cold water, added to the higher polar and ionic charge of various organic compounds and soluble mineral found in it, should somewhat encourage movement of your lower intestinal tract. Doctors here do not discourage drinking of tereré, but warn that it does not hydrate the body properly, but the contrary. And this is one of the reasons: in the balance, your body loses more water than it gains, so you should supplement it with regular hydration.

There's also the fact that regular Camellia sinensis tea has astringent properties, and people keep expecting that yerba mate, being a "herbal tea", might have similar effects, when in fact it doesn't.

Of course, as parent stated, many people never experience such effects. YMMV.
Of course it's not just a lottery, it's a lottery weighted (at least to some degree) by a variety of factors like the game itself and the marketing you put into it.

The point I think people usually mean to make is that the odds are low (really, extremely low) so it's not really a prudent financial choice unless you have other ways to support yourself and don't care about potentially throwing away the time/effort if it doesn't work out.
Being fired for asking questions handily beats going to jail for not asking questions.
> Something as simple as installing a lightswitch all of a sudden becomes a major piece of coordination if your building is made of concrete.

It seems most buildings in Taiwan are simply made of concrete. IDK too much about construction but when I watch them build it's like, frames of metal into which they pour wet concrete. It's crazy how fast buildings get put up this way, they tore down an entire building down the street from me, started construction about maybe 3 weeks ago tops, and today there is a fully formed building with fixtures, windows, the works, sitting there. Quite pretty, actually.

But this quote is for me one of the huge downsides. It's a NIGHTMARE to hang anything on my walls, first off. If I try to put a pin in for a poster, it bends. A nail could end up taking out chunks of the wall if I'm not careful, if I can even penetrate. And, once the fixtures are in, that's it. To run more wire, you've got to get out the (I think?) jackhammer. It seems every day all I hear is the sound of concrete being banged away at with some kind of power tool. If it's happening in my building, it's reverberating through the whole structures. It's horrible lol.

There's upsides though! Normal sounds stop HARD at the boundaries of an apartment. If you're outside someone's apartment door, maybe you'll hear something, but we don't hear shit from the neighbors, and I've checked, they can't even hear when I'm producing bass heavy music. I like that. Gotta make sure to get some stuff up on the walls though to prevent echo.
What a dreadful Marxist way of viewing something so dynamic and interesting, something that has and continues to delight many of us, not to mention provide us with the means of living incredibly lavish lives by the standards of our forebears.

Software deserves much better than this myopic nonsense.
> It would be sweet to have a page + RSS feed on my website that contained all my comments from Hacker News, Reddit, Mastodon, Twitter*, and of course Discourse.

I've been thinking about doing this "manually" by parsing JSON responses from Reddit and etc, because about a year ago I realized that all my absurd volume of posts there, on twitter, here, basically constituted labor I was giving to these places for free, that drives up their valuations. I wanted to "take that back" and make it my own by reposting the material somehow on my website.

Obviously, a huge part of the "value" of these comments comes from the context, the fact that the websites exist to have discussions on. If I just posted my comments on my website verbatim, that value and parent comment context would just be lost, and I bet a majority of the content would be almost meaningless.

Still though I really like this idea of being able to link to "my posts across the internet," cause I do it a lot lol.
unique identifiers are so passé.
Since you mention stable diffusion, there's this: https://github.com/nod-ai/SHARK/blob/main/shark/examples/sha...

Looks like it's still early days, but clearly it has recently been made to work and there's an effort going on to make it better.
> as opposed to what the a sibling comment implies, the dimensionality of Clifford algebras is 2^N for an N-dimensional carrier.

Indeed you are correct -- I should have used the word "degree of freedom" to describe it more accurately in the sense of dimensional constraints, as opposed to "dimensions" which are the individual members.

To elaborate, the 3D space have the following possible members:

scalar component (3 choose 0): ()
vector components (3 choose 1): x | y | z
bivector components (3 choose 2): xx | yy | zz | xy=-yx | yz=-zy | zx=-xz
trivector components (3 choose 3): xyz=yzx=zxy=-zyx=-xzy=-yxz

which is 1+3+3+1 = 8 = 2^3 different members
> I have been told by some vaping friends that they like the "toasted" effect at the end of a long pull, which is the polymer heating, fracturing, and crosslinking. Ugh.

I'd be very interested in reading more about this. Do you have any info on hand? Thanks.
Interesting, though that seems to be talking about “ethical” vs “sketchy” behavior, which is not quite the same as Effective Altruism principles.

I too am interested if anyone has a source that quotes SBF saying that his EA involvement was in any way inauthentic.
I’ve driven many many tens of thousands of miles through landscapes with intense sun and extremely close to zero vegetation or life.

Damaging that has got to be a lot better for the planet than coal or nuclear.
That is not my experience at all. It either says “Full self driving unavailable. Poor weather detected,” or it freaks the fuck out and tries to kill me.

FSD can’t adequately handle rain, let alone snow where the road lines are not visible.
Of course you can invest enough and make solar equivalent to continuous power.

Solar + reverse hydropower, solar + synthetic fuel manufacture, solar + appropriate sized batteries, solar cranes-with-weights, etc.

Solar is so cheap that all those are plausible. Fusion is still far from ready.
Ignorance of the law is never an excuse if you are found to be breaking the law. So if you think what you are doing is possibly in violation of the law you better bone up or ask a lawyer for a statement on letterhead that what you are doing is ok.
So for how many milliseconds did it run? Those things are incredibly unstable, I see only one private US company making the stability breakthrough
That means they got a plenty of free time for both the AoC and their language :)
I was going to joke Musk is also going on a one-man Quantitative Tightening spree with Twitter & Tesla, but a few B is a drop in the bucket compared with the Fed's planned few T.
They have the audacity to get mad because because people are "spreading FUD".
Nothing new under the sun.
The innovation everyone is waiting in haptics is on the actuator side.

The patches are vibrating, but humans perceive static and low frequency forces mostly.

This create a haptic metaphor which always sucks.

The rest is easy, or easy to figure out.

Never heard telehaptics as term in my whole life
Yeah, take out the last few years and look at it. Pretty flat. Not much of a trend line, and the slope could differ depending on your slice.

Also, keep in mind that some of the hottest and worse years we've had in recent history in the US were early to mid 1900s (not sure about France). Starting the graph at 1959 is also a misleading slice.

But I assume good intent, and assume that these are things you know or could discover for yourself.

I've burnt enough karma on this (which is weird that I care about), and honestly have just become a bit exhausted by the partisan comments and downvoting on here.

I just keep getting called mean things, and it's hand waved away by comments like yours, like, because I tend to look at things from a lot of angles and don't accept any particular "winner" or "accepted truth", I'm in "bad company", whatever that means, so it's ok to call me things and be mean.

It's ok, it's not just you. It's really common on HN recently.

It's time I took a break anyway, so thanks for giving me the little push I needed.
DeepMind’s AlphaCode Conquers Coding, Performing as Well as Humans
Reminds me of a similar Chess.com iPad app issue from a few years back https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=14539770
I had the same issue and lost access to a few things. Next time I moved overseas I found a provider that offers $99/yr unlimited talk/text (in Canada) but gives free incoming SMSs when roaming. They even support eSIM so I can have it at all times on my iPhone, although I turn it off since it seems to use extra battery being connected to two networks at once.
> Plus, you don't have to know the law to be found guilty of breaking it.

Precisely, ignorance is never a valid defense.
can't wait to re-read this headline in the morning so I can spit out my coffee.
It also appears to retain the current state of arbitrarily higher recursive instances, not that they move much when you're zoomed in. Makes me wonder, how do you code for the current 'position' in the whole stack in a way that remains consistent? Conceptually the space is very big. If you zoom/recurse in to a random metapixel 13 times in a row, you're almost certainly looking at a pixel that no other human has or ever will see, and you have scaled from the width of the observable universe to the width of a proton.
Got it from a comment on here.

The 2004 targets didn't work. Neither did the 368 shots in 2021. Maybe ones that work cost more?

Even $2500 for 1 kWh is rather steep.
Ah my mistake. Thanks for the correction. Though it looks like they've made some contributions
Sorry, I wasn't clear. What I listed was not in fact what they wrote, but what _I_ would write given this exercise.

What they wrote was (summarizing) that there is not a lot of tooling available, there still isn't API stability, and not many libraries available.
That means nothing i.e. Ignorance.

It is a question of Education and Why one should not trivialize it.
A Fire Upon the Deep was astoundingly good. Highest of recommendations.
You've been all over this thread with some aggressive takes that are pretty seriously not supported.

> Turning dumb heat into electric power is expensive. Nothing that depends on doing that can ever compete with wind and solar, anymore.

This isn't even strictly true today when focusing on current "dumb heat sources":

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cost_of_electricity_by_source#...

"cost of extension of operations of existing nuclear power plants (LTO, long-term operations) has the lowest LCOE of low-carbon energy sources; "

I'm going to go with the OECD and NEA on this one.

> Tritium doesn't grow on trees.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Breeding_blanket

Saying that there are unknown engineering challenges is kind of a "duh", otherwise we wouldn't be researching we would be implementing. As you also mentioned there are other alternatives which we could consider than tritium.

> Fission is not competitive, and gets less so by the day.

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S03062... yeah that's not true

> Fusion is nothing but a money pit (with the just barely-possible exception of D-3He).

We genuinely don't know if fusion is a money pit or not, because we don't have any idea how much a successful form will cost. Tritium blankets may be easy or not. Maybe helion's D-3HE will have a breakthrough. Maybe it's ICF.

I've not seen suggestions by anyone that wind and solar build-outs stop, or get diminished. Indeed at this point because the cost are low, industry will continue to invest in them regardless.

However, we will need a lot more energy production than folks think. We need to decarbonize the atmosphere. And that's going to require a lot of power.

All that aside, solar and wind are not getting you to mars in a timely fashion. We have reasons to research fusion that escape large commercial power generation.
care to be more specific?

for example, imagine how much MORE comfortable and wealthy we would be if all productive activity was channeled straight back into public projects, instead of through the business owners and then ostensibly downward?
That's a very nice quote.
Binance CEO Zhao Warns Bumpy Road Ahead in Message to His Staff