skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Right, I didn't bring it up in my post but obviously the March of Technology is (we are told) supposed to bring prices on that kind of thing down independently of the effects of offshoring.

I actually wasn't entirely fair—cotton and synthetic casual clothes are so cheap they're basically free, anything that can be made of absolutely terrible steel and stamped is cheap (really bad knives, terrible dining utensils that bend under ordinary use, that kind of thing), and so's any plastic shit without expensive IP/branding attached. I think that's all some mix of efficiency improvements (especially for the plastic shit—we put a lot less material in most plastic goods now, than we did in, say, the 1980s) and, maybe, some actually-beneficially effect of offshoring. Oh, and kitchen appliances guaranteed to break within two years because some nylon gear wears out and it can't be repaired for less than the cost of a new one. Those are cheap. Meanwhile, actually-good stuff is about as expensive as it ever was. Be rad if we could apply this alleged cost-savings effect of offshoring to, like, nice things that function well and last, but mysteriously it only seems to materialize in things that are also a level of quality so low that we didn't used to even have such a category. Or rapidly developing technology (consumer electronics). It's as if consumers aren't seeing the bulk of these supposed benefits from offshoring, and instead what price decreases/stability we do see are mostly from tech improvements and obvious quality decline....

I'd add that I think cost increases of onshoring are overblown. US-made goods in e.g. clothing often command a large premium, but that's because if you're going to use US labor instead of Vietnamese or wherever, you may as well also use better processes [EDIT: and better materials] to produce a higher-quality item, since you can't compete with poorly-made goods on price anyway (though, sure, some places try to cheat and turn out crap at US-premium prices while implying it's better than it is). For extremely price-sensitive goods like bottom-of-the-barrel T-shirts that wholesale at like $1, even a 10% increase in costs would mean you fold even if the absolute increase in costs of the article is pennies, so of course those aren't made in the US when there are other options.
> not as a museum piece but just as their expected day to day operations

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Escanaba_and_Lake_Superior_Rai... run a 1951 FP7A as well. Gorgeous power even when it's pulling freight: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NMybdRb1EtA
I just also think that these things were (at least initially) due to absurd levels of hubris and incompetence rather than outright malicious intent.

Is there really that much of a difference between these two in this financial context?
Usual caveat about all fusion "got more energy out than we put in" stories:
https://backreaction.blogspot.com/2021/10/how-close-is-nucle...

From a quick skimming it seems only one of the experts quoted here even mentions that (Tony Roulstone).

(Update: i wrote this comment in response to another story and the comment got moved here, so it lost a bit of context https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=33958678&ref=upstract.c... - the press release indeed does mention this caveat, but many news stories missed it)
> Shows Model3's off almost 16% in the last 90 days.

Imo, this could be attributed to a few factors all compounding each other.

1. Most Tesla owners/interested consumers are more "online" than average. (no evidence, just my experience)

2. Tesla recently asked the FCC to withhold docs on a newer radar system. [0]

3. The Model 3 has also been rumored to have a refresh next year. [1]

But also I think they are just cherry picking data points to try and make a claim. [2]

Other brands are down worse than Tesla but not mentioned.

- Tesla is down 9% YoY or 15.03% in the last 90 days.

Now let's compare to some others in the list...

- Lexus is down 24.56% YoY or 5.69% in the last 90 days.

- Wagoneer is down 28.92% YoY, or 5.99% in the last 90 days.

- Infiniti is down 9.44% YoY or 6.76% in the last 90 days.

While others are still down similarly (within a few % points), but not worse than Tesla.

- Scion is down 6.45% YoY or 7.76% in the last 90 days.

- FIAT is down 5.95% YoY or 8.84% in the last 90 days.

- Dodge is down 7.04% YoY or 6.63% in the last 90 days.

- Chevrolet is down 6.19% YoY or 4.97% in the last 90 days.

I think what we're actually seeing in the numbers here are just signs that people are slowing on buying used cars, but also slowing on buying more expensive vehicles in general (at least until you hit the other side of the curve, where rich people are still buying ex ferraris).

[0]: https://insideevs.com/news/625502/tesla-alerts-fcc-new-radar...

[1]: https://www.carscoops.com/2022/11/tesla-working-on-model-3-r...

[2]: https://www.cargurus.com/Cars/price-trends/ (9/13/2022 through 12/10/2022
Unfortunate phrasing, i meant the pre-omicron strains rather than original, since that's when the effectiveness changed most drastically. Up to and including Delta we still got 95+% effectiveness against hospitalisation (https://www.health.gov.au/our-work/covid-19-vaccines/advice-...) and the omicron did not hit until late Dec '21. (https://www.theguardian.com/world/datablog/2021/dec/23/how-m...)

By December we were already just doing the long tail of vaccinations getting to that 95% in Feb (https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/datablog/ng-inter...) So while I agree we had issues with the rollout, I don't agree "we were always behind each and every variant".
This is exactly it. He thinks he's the smartest, most persuasive guy in the room. And, given that he was able to raise $420 million while pocketing $300 million in the last funding round, he's probably right. But I doubt even he can talk his way out of this one. I hope not.
I agree with you and I was thinking the same. It may work as some form of wordy search engine. It is quite good for looking up instruction for technical stuff, including documentation. It might take google’s job? I am so curious!
red flags for me: bean bags & ping pong, disruptor, move fast and break things, rewrite, cloud, teamwork, culture, rock star, ninja, Christ-centered web developer
I mean, one thing said was "Manhwa are very mobile friendly, the language is simple, and most notably they are colorful" which is true of "webtoons", not of "manhwa".

I don't agree that there's too much incorrect momentum behind the words; what I see in fan/piracy circles tends to be pretty clear about it.
> No one else has such an extensive and easy to use charging network.

Maybe in the US? In Europe, that's not even remotely true. Lots of choice among providers, Tesla is one of many. Germany has ~12k stations, about 900 are Tesla's.

EDIT: I was way off, there are about 900 Tesla charging stations in Europe! In Germany, it's about 150. Of course, this is all debatable because many of these 12k stations have only one connector and often have limited kW, whereas Tesla's are usually equipped with several superchargers, but still, it's a small player in Germany's charging network.
On the other hand, the parent's wording kind of made it sound like it was a lot of people. "Nearly half" of "six or seven" could be ... two.

That might be a lot percentage-wise, but it's also a really small number of people to draw conclusions from, isn't it?
> I also believe there are lots of companies who run their own internal git services to not be dependent on GitHub.

The same is true of Subversion or CVS or Perforce, which are all very centralized source control systems. Relying on Github.com itself is another level of centralization over and above the near-universal industry pattern of having a centralized repo.

> I agree though, in theory, git would allow some fully p2p working mode, where each developer just adds the machines of the other developers as remotes and there is no "authoritative" remote at all. If that was ever seriously proposed as a real working mode, it definitely didn't catch on, due to it quickly becoming extremely confusing.

That is more or less how Linux kernel development works, with Linus' own repo just being more respected than others, but with many entities maintaining their own central repos (e.g. many distros and larger organizations only manually take patches or merges from Linus' repo, they don't otherwise rely on it in their automation). Changes are often collaboratively worked on for months or even years outside in sine of these repos before being sent to one of the official maintainers for inclusion in Linus' repo.

Now, this practice makes no sense at all for a centralized entity like a company, which is why virtually all companies used centralized repos where all code and collaboration happens by mandate - whether using Hg, Git, or SVN.
I really enjoy this comment because I feel like it articulates a pattern which we are all kind of familiar with.

Perhaps you also need a 5th category, for the rare post which is so well-written (or remarkable along some other axis) that people are too stunned to leave comments. E.g. [1] which arguably fits into 2) but is so on-point that the normal opinionated argumentative comments didn't even break out for the most part.

[1]: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=31840331
Elon's antics and politics are causing problems. IMHO the politics don't change Tesla huge lead in the EV space. Seems like people are conflating their hatred of Elon with Teslas potential as a company.

None of the other car makers can produce EVs at a profit. Tesla has very high margins on their cars and are continuing to reduce their production costs.

They have the following advantages:
1) Most efficient use of batteries (kWh per distance)
2) Most extensive charging network
3) Contracts for battery minerals, and battery supply contracts

Once the the 4680 dry electrode process, structural battery pack and castings for the new Model Y and 3 are worked out and ramped, their manufacturing mote with be even bigger.

I'm ignoring the FSD software, even though they are in the best position to pull that off. It's still too far off.
I'm not struggling, yet, but, when I think what I could do with more than 5h of work a week, I get sad.
I think the article could be better titled "IPv6 Internet Is Broken Right Now" because I read the title initially as the architecture is fundamentally broken, and in reality the article is saying that the architecture isn't broken but it is broken right now because of lack of peering agreements.
Nonsense. See Ch11 of the last IPCC report. The evidence that increases in global adverse weather events are (as was predicted decades ago) and will continue to be driven by increases in global temperature is entirely clear and hardly disputed. If you really think the article you cited even attempts to refute (let alone successfully) that body of evidence, then you haven't read (or understood) either.
>"I'll add my own opinion which is that he seems to—at least on some level—legitimately believe that all of this is extremely complicated and impossible to understand unless you're someone of his intellectual caliber."

Yes and I think that was an image he actively sought to cultivate. This is the whole "cult of the genius" trope that the VC's want us to believe in. This is where you hear people regurgitating things like "he's playing 3D chess", whatever that is means.

Perhaps a telling bit of this chicanery is this incident:

>"In this context, the most telling detail in the FTX saga doesn’t have to do with dubious tokens or suspicious accounting. Rather, it involves League of Legends, the massive multiplayer online game that is a favorite of FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried. In September, the tech venture-capital firm Sequoia Capital published a profile of “SBF” on its website, explaining how the crypto prodigy convinced the firm to invest some $200 million during a Zoom meeting—while playing League of Legends the whole time."[1]

Further from this same source:

>"What’s significant isn’t just that the now 30-year-old entrepreneur didn’t think it necessary to give the deal his full attention. It’s that Sequoia published this detail in an article meant to advertise its FTX investment. (The article was taken down after the firm began to collapse in early November.) Far from seeing Mr. Bankman-Fried’s gaming as a worrisome example of distraction and disrespect, Sequoia was impressed by it and expected readers to have the same reaction."[1]

[1] https://archive.vn/AiEEO#selection-243.48-247.34
also in the 02004-8 timeframe the danger hiptop was the hot smartphone

As aaronsw explained in December 02008 in http://www.aaronsw.com/weblog/forgottensidekick

> It’s been a frustrating year for us Sidekick users. It seems like every television show, periodical, and man in the street is raving about the amazing world-changing capabilities of the iPhone (and, to a lesser extent, the Google Phone). How having a device that can conveniently surf the Web, answer email, run third-party applications and fit in your pocket is as big a technological breakthrough as hovercars.

> Which is infuriating to those of us who have been using a superior device for the past five years.
Well, good news. He isn't rich anymore.
I only learned about Zevon's letterman appearance a few weeks ago and watched that. Quite ... powerful, in a very low key way. Was never a huge WZ fan, but had friends who were always in to him - his work is making its way in to my rotation now.

Brainwashed very much seemed like a 'best of' from George. Creative, spiritual, humorous, polished (but still a bit of a 'raw' feeling, in some ways). All his skills and talent seemed to come together at the same time, if only for one last push.
IIRC there might have been Soviets in a Zond capsule launched on a Proton beating US to the lunar orbit in play when changing the plans for Apollo 8.
Can you cite figures for SC2 viewership? I sometimes watch it but from what I've heard from announcers on Twitch, SC2 viewership outside of Korea is basically dead. The last SC2 event was last month, Dreamhack Atlanta and it only managed to get a peak viewership of 26k for the finale. The average viewership for SC2 was 15k.

That's abysmal, it's not even on par with people who watch competitive hot dog eating.

[1] https://escharts.com/tournaments/sc2/dh-sc2-masters-2022-atl...
Yup, not everyones diagnosis is the same, but mine was definitely combined with childhood trauma in a way that made it hard to notice anything was wrong in the first place. Can't begin to describe how much easier life feels now that I'm not using negative self talk to get through my day
We need Linux phone.
> why he would take this approach as opposed to simply cashing out when things started to turn and disappearing

Because he wasn't expected their balance sheet to get leaked.

He had enough liquidity from FTX customer deposits to cover any Alameda margin calls from losses and Alameda wouldn't get margin called from FTX for any losses (due to their god mode).

So, he could keep just keep holding levered losses and wait for the tide to turn.

However, the FTX balance sheet got leaked and that caused CZ to want to liquidate his FTT stake.

This caused a huge wave of customers wanted to withdraw their money from FTX just in case (a very smart decision in retrospect) and he didn't expect that many customer withdrawals to come at once.

Or, maybe he thought he'd be fine if 10-20% of customers withdrew (in a worst case scenario) because he could sell the FTT "collateral".

But, the price of FTT also collapsed simultaneously and that caused the ponzi to fall apart.

Edit:

Or sorry, do you mean he should've cashed out and disappeared last month (after it was revealed that FTX lost all the customer deposits)?

Yeah, I don't think that's possible.

He would've been on the FBI most-wanted list and multiple intelligence agencies would be looking for him.

Having a billion dollars is pretty pointless if you're a top 10 most wanted criminal. Unless you have a country that's explicitly willing to shelter you, then you can't really spend the money otherwise you'll give yourself away.

Also, I don't think he's a complete psychopath. Him just disappearing would force his parents/siblings to also have to become fugitives and I don't think he wanted that. (if he disappeared, he would not be able to talk to his family again as aiding a fugitive from justice is illegal. Also, it would be completely impossible for his parents to live normal-ish lives if their son was on the FBI top 10 most wanted list. It's slightly more possible if their son is in prison.)
Are you familiar with 'amphetamines'?
> border: 1px solid black;

Personally, I edited it to be

background: lightblue

on my site (trilium.cc) - IMO this is better than the border while still looking natural.
A moat is really not a monopoly per se. Major laptop manufacturers all have a durable competitive advantage due to their brand name and economies of scale, but they are all not monopolies. Porsche is also another example. You could argue that any company with a moat is a something-poly but then why even mention the poly and not talk about a moat instead.
It was/is. Tesla recently announced they are opening it up (https://www.tesla.com/blog/opening-north-american-charging-s...)
(FWIW, I agree with your conclusion.)

> But why would $45k change Musks mind about the matter?

One reason might be pride. I could conceive of somebody believing that they've offered something that is "fair" and being insulted when their fair offer is rejected (and especially more so when they're also told that the offer was 10% of "fair"). Anyway, to your point, there's lots of reasons Musk would never even consider making the offer in the first place, so it's a rather dubious claim.
> In my experience, most ADHD is really just a case of "I have limited willpower for extremely boring shit."

I'm really happy that ADHD has had such a limited impact on your life experience. However I think your statement is an unfair oversimplification & reads like a dismissal, whether you meant it to read that way or not. Very minor distinction, but phrasing it as 'most of MY ADHD' would have been much better.
> Also these same people with "ADHD" never lose focus when they are driving, snowboarding, skateboarding, riding a motorcycle, on the witness stand at court, etc.

Yes, they do.

> In adults with ADHD, most studies investigated whether there was a correlation with traffic accidents with the patient as the driver of a motor vehicle (car or motorbike), and found a significant association.

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S014976342...
Take the 5 to GC and transfer for the shuttle to TS. Fastest way on rail is by going in a straight lines. Anytime the train has to turn, it slows down to a crawl.

I'm 100% for transit projects, I just don't see a lot of folks in the bronx would take advantage of it. Commuter from new haven lines and CT are probably the most likely customers. It would be better if the new line connects to Harlem Line as well.
This is now an Elon-hate post.
Like many folks, I suppose, I thought I had a reasonable layman's grasp of globalization. Turns out it was mostly superficial. I'm currently reading "The End of the World is Just the Beginning" by Peter Zeihan [1] and it is enlightening. Highly recommended in helping to add (especially historical) perspective to understanding the death throes of globalization. Paired with "normalcy bias" [2], which I was vaguely aware of, and beliefs and behaviours begin to become somewhat more understandable and an opportunity to shift my worldview in an appropriate and preparatory manner begins to reveal itself.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_End_of_the_World_is_just_t...
[2] https://jessicawildfire.substack.com/p/its-not-cool-to-overr...
Ah, thank you for that! So you could fetch 1/(60ns) bytes per second synchronously, then (assuming the CPU could run in a loop that tightly)?
Yet only 54000 km at the more typical average speed of 30 km/h. Are aircraft engines typically under high load at cruising speeds? It would seem they are generally overbuilt to overcome the high demands of takeoff.
I also think there is a common problem that people are addicted to stimulation and novelty. As soon as something doesn't give that dopamine hit of being new or interesting, something else has to be found to replace it. I think this addiction is very common in society today and manifests in internet and device addiction
For the data diode you can find a start on https://github.com/Vrolijk/OSDD and https://github.com/CyberInnovationHub-NLD/OpenSourceDataDiod...
They should have the same restrictions as everybody else has. They can buy their into using tons of waters in drought areas, park wherever they want, blow insane amounts of fuel in their superyachts and much more. It's a small group but they should limit themselves in the same way as the regular guy has to.
> But ALL of the humanities combined were only 2.6K PhDs out of 52K total

Ok, I just looked at the SED (Survey of Earned Doctorates) to see how they break it down, and I notice that "Psychology and social sciences" is huge. Larger than education, larger than math & CS, almost as large as engineering.

So when you combine psychological and social sciences, humanities, "non-science and engineering fields not elsewhere classified", and a few other fields, you've got a huge number of degrees that seem to be ignored in your discussion, and that would explain the conclusion: "For all earned doctorates these numbers are closer to 33%, so flipped in the opposite direction."

I also think you're stereotyping education and life sciences.
How does country population density play role where people in both countries live in cities?

Rules in Sweden were no nursing homes visits and no gathering above 50 people.

Look at youtube videos of social distance in Swedish metro during covid, hint there were no distancing.

Average age person who died with covid was 84 years old. Most of these deaths were in nursing homes, which once government realized it, visits were banned.

https://www.science.org/content/article/it-s-been-so-so-surr...
I'm not from the UK but Im old enough to remember Corbyn running a very much "anti-globalist", anti EU/Brussels agenda just packed a bit different than your Brexit campaigners - the substance all the same.
Interesting. Maybe a mini arms race would develop there. But regardless its still raised the effort required (which right now is pretty trivial) of writing bots.

This would have to go hand in hand with better user authentication and biometric login but I didn't mention that as there's no novelty here. But for example try writing a bot that creates Facebook or Apple accounts and you will quickly find its not trivial.

Right now, twitter, reddit etc actively encourage bots that are deemed useful in someway such as auto moderation bots and gimmicks like the gif reverse bot.

My argument is essentially for a service which decides the good bots are not worth the bad and dedicates some resources to shutting them off.