skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
> averaging a cost of $200 million per arrest is an insane statistic

That depends on the deterrence of having air marshals.

The argument sounds like one that gets brought up here regularly, when executives lay off 90% of the sysadmins because "nothing ever goes wrong, so why are we paying for them?", and teams that are constantly running round looking like heroes for fixing broken stuff all the time get more kudos than the teams that keep things quietly humming along without any issues.
> That there, though, also shows why AI-generated text is something completely different; calculators are deterministic devices: if you calculate 4,839 + 3,948 - 45 you get 8,742, every time.

ChatGPT is just a program. Given the exact same input and seed, its result is going to be 100% deterministic too. It's just that it's going to get the same wrong result in a deterministic way. Determinism may be hidden away from end user (I don't know about that) but there's just no way around it: it's a program and give the same inputs, it's fully deterministic.

And if the user / discussion trains it with more input, it's possible to replay these inputs, in the same order, and get the exact same answer from the AI.

StableDiffusion allows users to use it in a 100% deterministic way.

ChatGPT may or may not (I really just don't know) but that'd just be a detail / choice made by OpenAI. I can try it now and have ChatGPT tell me 1309849874 divided by 2 is 24891, being several orders of magnitude of. And then try it again and it give something else. But that's just because I got connected to another instance, using other seeds or a slightly different model.

At some point there's going to be a free model and it's going to be fully deterministic if the user wants it to be.

It's just code running on data. There's no magic.
I have multiple consumer grade drives made in 2008-2010 that have been used a lot and have more than 7 years of recorded time of the head flying over the platters and they still work fine. Some with zero reallocated sectors and others with 1-10 in the last decade. But the number hasn't changed for 3+ years in any drive so it doesn't bother me.

Before you say it, of course I keep backups of everything. That's why I still use decade old hardware without much worry.
The real issue here is that W11 doesn't solve a problem or fix a need. Instead what it does do is makes unnecessary UI changes.

File explorer right-click menu change: check
Advertisements for MS store/MS services in working areas of the UI: check

Harder to create/use a 'local-only' account on non-enterprise versions of the OS: check

Not that long ago, the `safe` option for businesses was to wait until ServicePack 2 for an OS was released before we installed it. MS would have better W11 adoption if they had just called it Windows10 SP2.

I used W11 (because it came pre-installed on a laptop I bought) for 2 weeks. The right-click menu changes were infuriating. The 'Start' menu is still an abomination. I had more popups advertising MS services and pushing a MS Account then I ever saw on the popup-hell of the 90-00's internet.

IMHO It would take using 'Start10' (is the new version called Start11?) to de-crapify W11 before I would want to use it, and since the upgrade is primarily cosmetic; then what's the point of upgrading?
The UK used to have an ID but the conservatives scrapped it.
No it doesn't. It should, if assessed accurately and without bias, but it doesn't, largely because those conditions are impossible.
All of those examples involve reactors, single cores, or fluid containers.
See, the whole problem is that you're running Outlook, probably on Windows. A light-weight Linux desktop is not slow. If anything it's a bit faster and snappier now than those older systems were on their historical hardware, since it can save a lot more disk I/O via caching in RAM.
And this relates to the article how?
In addition to being impressive technically, this is just plain fun. I downloaded a game my friends and I wrote way back in the day [1] and... it worked in my browser. Such a nice blast from the past.

[1] https://www.macintoshrepository.org/2851-infotron
Right, you would have some survivors, but people would not be concerned with paying taxes or anything related to tech/the internet.

Even rural areas would be very rough. Supply lines for gasoline would probably be disrupted so unless you can grow enough food for subsistence on your own land, local agriculture wouldn't help you much. We'd have to go back to horses and carriages, but with the exception of Amish areas, I doubt there are enough horses and related equipment around to make it work. And then there's security, which is probably the biggest issue. Even if you can sustain yourself, you'll need a way to deal with packs of hungry, desperate people going around with guns.
if you graduate a CS program in europe at a university, or at an ivy league university in the US, the chances of you not knowing how to write software are extremely small.

employment is at will here in the US, so you can be fired at any time. so there is no reason to not hire you based on your degree. companies can request transcripts and see how well you did in your various subjects. AFTER requesting a degree and transcript copy, they can decide to give you a coding interview, or not.

the interview processes today exist primarily to make it difficult for you to get paid fair compensation. they do not exist to weed out incompetent people.
I came here for copper and I found gold. Thank you
GPT-3 definitely has a writing style. I assume it would be detectable, ironically, by an AI.
It is strange how much the unique capabilities of CANDU reactors are ignored. It can run on unenriched uranium.
I'm not an economist, but I feel like we talk about sustainability a lot when it comes to the environment, but not about the economic aspects.

As someone born in the 80s, it seems like every financial crisis hasn't been corrected, just the can gets kicked down the road.
Believe it or not, full screen apps are a Windows thing. Apple has added full screen app support only recently, and any Windows convert who has switched to macOS and has problems adapting to its UI has one thing in common: they haven’t let go of the idea that all apps need to use the whole screen at all times.
And yet insurance companies go belly up. Google "failed insurance companies". Remember just 15 years ago? MBIA, Ambac, AIG?

Regulation doesn't get rid of the risk. And it's got zero to do with naked speculation. We simply cannot make risk disappear. Contracting with someone else to eat the risk creates a new risk. Counter party risk just doesn't go away, despite our hopes and dreams.
It’s interesting to find this out!
Well, that's fucked up.
That last one is the important part? I dont really want to send my loved ones a copy of the key because I can't trust they wont keep it secure.
yep, we're using too. Very happy so far.
> Something like this is on my roadmap,

Superb!

> would you mind telling me a bit about the metrics and the scale you'd expect?

It will depend mostly on what the service offers.

If the service only supports running a single isolated container without any scaling whatsoever then it would be helpful if we could monitor básico stuff like CPU and memory utilization, and also network traffic, free disk space, and also disk IO. If the service supports auto-scaling then it would be helpful to track all resource utilization rates along with all alarms and events involved. Auto-scaling also implies load balancing thus if that's the case then it would also be helpful to track the basic load balancing indicators, as well as request logs.

In the end it really depends on what services you're planning on offering, and how you'll charge for it. As a user I would need to monitor any metric which is directly and indirectly involved in determining cost, and on top of that I need to monitor performance.

> Would you expect always on or more of an ephemeral container?

The most pressing need would be always on containers to be able to go the lift-and-shift onboarding route to managed services, but ephemeral containers sound like function-as-a-service and those are pretty exciting as well.
I’ve had others recommend Forest Mims books before.

I tried to read the “Getting Started in Electronics” but the notebook style to it makes it difficult for me to read for much time. Content is still very great for beginners.
The problem on 9/11 wasn't the crashing of the plane, people accept risk in transport -- the deadliest means of transport in the US in 2001 was an automobile -- 10 times deadlier than being a passenger on a plane. The problem was the using the plane as a weapon.

car - 4600 billion pax miles, 42,000 deaths, 1 per 100 million miles

plane - 500 billion pax miles, 246 deaths of airline travellers on 9/11, 265 from Queens, about 1 per 1 billion miles
I'm guessing it's more difficult to contract a respiratory illness if your lungs are already damaged, malfunctioning, and covered in tar.

Plus, smokers are not exactly the pinnacle of health. They would be less likely to voluntarily test for COVID and would be less concerned with coughing and wheezing, since those are more normal occurrences.

Smokers are also more likely to be in the same political mindset as people who would ignore or lie about positive test results, intentionally do a bad job of testing, etc.
>I think this is one of those cases where you didn't ask the right question. The TSA officer of course doesn't know the ID issue policies of 50+ ID-issuing regions.

I thought that because it was a (main) Ohio airport, this will be an appropriate question but probably you are right.

>If you had asked "How do I know if my ID meets the Real ID requirements", the answer is very simple: "It has an image of a star on the top of the ID".

I was asking this question so that I can decide if it is worth getting one because I don't want to keep using my passport on domestic flights (risking it getting lost, and heache to have a replacement outside my home country).
Ah, the classic "this is fine" comment on any HN article suggesting that we may have been underestimating the scale of systemic risk.

The issue that BIS is raising isn't the mere existence of derivatives. It's both the scale of debt and the lack of public visibility into it.

The concern BIS has is basically that policy makers are making decisions that can have major impacts on price of the dollar and global interest rates. Given both the scale of this debt and it's lack of visibility, BIS is pointing out that policy makers might not have all the information they need to make safe decisions.

It's neither a case of "the sky is falling" or "it is what it is". This is absolutely something that should not be shrugged off with a "meh" which is why BIS wrote the report in the first place.
I often have read "I wonder if it _really_ understands or is just regurgitating ${something}" about AIs like this and I wonder what the difference really is? Ability to explain why it's one way and not the other? Extremely low frequency of errors? If it doesn't really understand lisp, maybe we'd expect to see a fairly high rate of incorrect interpretations?

Presumably most _actual_ compilers don't produce the correct solution 100% of the time (i.e. they have bugs), but I think it's reasonable to say that the compiler _understands_ ${programming language}. Maybe the difference between "understanding" and "just memorizing answers" is more subtle than often portrayed?
Don’t forget the feature regressions!

Also amusing to report that someone installed Windows 11 on an old pentium [0]. Evidently Microsoft used a processor blackist, but nobody thought to go back that far. So yes, arbitrary hardware restrictions.

[0] https://www.pcmag.com/news/no-new-pc-needed-windows-11-runs-...
If you want to know what Hobbes really advocated for in Leviathan, you can go and read it. It's available off the Internet.

What to do when printing duties are handed off to statistical models that print the most likely sequence of words and punctuation given the author and topic, rather than reproducing the real historical text, I don't know. Hope someone kept old copies.
I remember WindowBlinds and an MP3 utility (but just vaguely) that used a theme similar to Aqua on Windows.
> There are millions of humans out there that are either highly susceptible to or are already caught into believing all sorts of nonsense, getting scammed in all forms, costing them money, time, well-being and even lives. The issue with fake flood is that until the saturation/breaking point (when the understanding that existing trust system is fatally broken becomes truly mainstream) it's going to make this situation worse.

The people who are willing to engage in charlatanism and mass manipulation are already enabled by this tooling and will use AI as a force multiplier whether we use it to jam the signal or not, and the results will be far, far worse for victims because these people will actually have directed, dangerous goals and agendas to push them toward rather than having them flail in a contradictory trash pile.
One underappreciated benefit of the lack of national ID is it forces the system to deal with a plethora of different IDs, and therefore makes the lives of those with rare forms of ID (such as foreigners) much simpler.
Those deep space missions use plutonium 238 to power radioisotope thermoelectric generators: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Plutonium-238#Use_in_radioisot...

Surplus weapons plutonium is plutonium 239: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Plutonium-239

Since plutonium 239 decays 275 times slower than plutonium 238, it also generates 275 times less decay heat and is therefore not useful in RTGs.
No one knows exactly, but I'd guess closer to about 10000 pounds.

Semi's battery is not going to need as much armor.
> The real issue here is that W11 doesn't solve a problem or fix a need

Having a scheduler that actually works with 12th generation and 13th generation P+E cores coming out of Intel is a pretty important problem methinks. Especially if you're a user who wants to take advantage of the E-core's efficiency to increase battery lives on your laptop.

> Instead what it does do is makes unnecessary UI changes.

I do wonder why the Microsoft / Windows folk keep reinventing their UI. Literally reinventing it. We're on WinUI 3 now, from like Silverlight -> Windows 8 Metro -> Windows 10 UWP -> WinUI3 (I'm not sure where WinUI1 or 2 stand, but its probably somewhere in that Win10 UWP era).

I get that Microsoft's business strategy keeps changing. But it has to be annoying for Windows developers to try to keep up with all that.
Play Windows Pinball (Space Cadet) on the Web
Source code: https://github.com/alula/SpaceCadetPinball
Personal experience of someone who previously had a lot of trouble with wax (due to narrow tubes I'm told).

1)Normal soapy water around the ears during daily shower. Not in the ear.

2) Let the inner ear clean itself via natural oils.

3) Annual microsuction if needed.
There was a substance called FOGBANK. This is an aerogel used in thermonuclear bombs. It used acetonitrile in its construction. When absorbed into the body, acetonitrile metabolizes into hydrogen cyanide.

All of the records for making FOGBANK were destroyed. Too many workers were being poisoned by the stuff, so rather than pay out worker's comp and wrongful death lawsuits, the records were eliminated. As an aerogel, the stuff is brittle, crumbles and fractures. When the warheads needed to be reconditioned, it turned out that the limiting factor was the lack of FOGBANK. It turned out that some mysterious contaminant was needed to give it the exact properties necessary. So it had to be re-invented.

To address your other points, China's nuclear position has never been Mutually Assured Destruction - they've only wanted enough warheads to deter the opponent. In the past, this has meant about 200 warheads. Since the US has been developing anti-ballistic missile technology, that means China needs more warheads and more missiles to guarantee a sufficient deterrent. Only the US & USSR built so many nukes that the START treaties were even necessary.

> But the US no longer manufactures nukes

Yes we do.

Final assembly (and disassembly) is at Pantex in Amarillo, TX. Parts are made elsewhere, some in Kansas City, some at Lawrence Livermore, some at Y2. There have never been "production lines". All of them were built as individual projects. All of them authorized and approved by Congressional oversight.

> But what if?

But what if I get a pony?

How many countries has China invaded? How many have the US invaded? How many has Russia invaded? China may be run by buttheads, but I don't see them attacking others. Not like We The People have attacked and invaded.

Links:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fogbank

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Acetonitrile
YoutubeDLStreamer – A 99% AI Generated Kodi Addon
This took me 4-5 hours which is longer than writing myself would have taken, however I did this as an experiment.

I fed the specs into ChatGPT, and went back and forth with it until we had a working addon.

I also used Stable Diffusion for the icon and fanart.

It uses yt-dlp to scrape any URL for all the available streams, and then present them to you in a dialog to choose and play back.

Most of the time I either requested changes when I saw bad code or provided error output, to allow the AI to correct it.

Pretty interesting!
Love it. Does anyone know of any active artists who do a similar style of art?
Human Composting Should Be an Option for New Yorkers
I will +1 enterprise. Consistently had good customer experience with them.
You have to imagine that we're recognizing and reacting to these things faster than we're often aware of. It's largely an unconscious process where edge detection is the very first step. Even a subtle change like this will have a significant impact on how quickly you can visually process and react to it. This patch is meant to make it easier to discern the model from the background and it does that perfectly without affecting game balance too much across the game.
On the balance, aren't the risks still heavily against smoking?

So what's the point of promoting one benefit of smoking when you still want to advise everyone to stop or never start smoking?

This article suggests a coverup, but as the author points out, there's no shortage of science showing that smoking is associated with a lower chance of getting Covid. The author is really complaining about the interpretations and conclusions... but those are right: people should still not smoke. So all he's actually complaining about is the lack of nuance in the expression of the conclusions. I don't disagree with that -- bad writing about the meaning of scientific studies is very common -- but at least in this case the overall conclusion is still correct.

I wouldn't take this one to the mat. You're just going to end up convincing certain people to start smoking and any larger point about the poor state of scientific reporting is going to be muddied by the political partisans.
It's different when it hurts his constituancy.
If you know where your stolen property is your best way to get it back is to let the police know you're on your way to get it back. They tend to react to that because while they DGAF about stolen property they really don't like what it would look like if "serious violence" ensued from them not acting.
They would require a lot of tools that would be difficult (not impossible, TSA is garbage) to smuggle onto the plane.
I'm a heavy drinker and I agree with this
Yeah, but what if I'm writing ten thousand articles simultaneously for a new blog, each page full of ads that only monetizes .02 cents per click. /s
> You did not read the article, or understand nuclear weapons at all, correct?

The article backs up my assertions.

The hard part of assembling a nuclear weapon is the materials, not the timing mechanism.

> The pit presents two problems. First, even without the rest of the components, the plutonium pits can be reused to make new weapons, either with a similar geometry to the current weapon, or melted down and formed into the pit of a new weapon with a new geometry. We know from experience that once state-level actors get access to enough plutonium to build a bomb they generally succeed. Of course, non-state-level actors might have a much harder time building a bomb from raw plutonium.

The thing that stops nations from getting nukes isn't the mechanical parts of the bomb but rather the actual raw fissile materials.

Fuel for reactors does not contain enough fissile materials to present a problem which is why the security around it can be much more lax. On the other hand, shipping the pit for a nuclear bomb is inherently a lot more dangerous. Once you have the plutonium, making the bomb isn't an expensive prospect.

The first nuclear bomb was a gun. We shot an enriched uranium bullet into an enriched uranium pit. The timing is only complicated if the intent is to drop the bomb or shoot it as a missile. Otherwise, a gun is pretty much all that's needed to have a suitcase nuke.
AI Effect: When onlookers dismiss AI as not *real* intelligence
No, they think their constituents are that dumb. And they probably right in most cases.
An Excel 4.0 was peak Excel. It brilliantly chose axis limits for you in scatter graphs, rather than wasting two minutes of your time every time you created one. Create new data series in the formula bar. Write your own functions and macros without consulting documentation. (I had to create my own ATAN2 (quadrant sensitive two-variable input arctangent. Ironically, when it began appearing as a standard function, it was called ATAN2!)
A free preview can be found here: https://chrislaffra.com/The%20Secret%20to%20Developer%20Prod...
Has the article been removed? The link leads me to a Reuters page with no content.
Why would you say it's over? There are a ton of people who support him on this. Polls put him neck and neck with Biden in 2024. I don't expect this to change anything -- if anything, it might make him more popular.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general...
>Universities and schools need to accept that writing essays without AI support will simply not be a useful skill anymore

It’s kind of mind-blowing that anyone could think this.

You’re posting on a website for essays. Small essays, generally speaking, if we restrict ourselves to the comments section, but essays nonetheless. You yourself just wrote one, because you wanted to express your thoughts on an issue and you wanted to solicit responses from others.

Would you be fine with a future where all written text on the internet, everywhere, was generated by AI? Do you not see any problems with that?

The point of writing is that you write to express your thoughts. Not anyone else’s. If it doesn’t come from you, then what’s the point?

I can’t envision a future where people voluntarily cease all written communication. Unless you’re a hardcore singulatarian, and you want to plug yourself into the Matrix so you never have to interact with other people again.
An outstanding result, if your only goal is to get people to ignore laws.