skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
I went though a phase when I was happy to get a daily email from Best Buy and frequently saw an offer I liked, also I was a fan of Ars Technica’s Dealmaster, but about a year before the pandemic both of these seemed to go downhill (Amazon Fire Tables are on sale… again. XBox Gold is on sale… again)

I got back into having fun shopping for electronics when I encountered the YouTuber techmoan who got me buying things on EBay again after a ten year hiatus.

I’ve thought about an intelligent shopping agent that would extract offers from web sites, emails and such and filter really good ones. I have taken an occasional stab at it but it takes some discipline, after spending a few days or weeks getting the thing running it is tempting to buy something right away to close the cycle but you are only going to get an exceptional deal if you wait.
This is how we could describe any procedures in this area of medicine, so the intentions seem to meet the criteria for calling it a test and not torture, but the sloppiness is the extra cruelty on top.
Any industry permits both charitable and uncharitable readings. We shouldn't focus only on the best possible interpretation, nor the worst, but the most accurate one.
>Notice how you have just moved the goal posts!

Nope.

>Since you did that I am going to assume that you now take back your silly arguments about the impossibility of only punishing people who are super obviously engaging in unsportsmanlike conduct.

My argument has always been that Magnus did not act unsportsmanlike. Obviously obvious offenses can and should be punished.

>am glad that I am able to convince you so easily, that actually yes it is possible to punish super obvious cases without also punishing people who are dying of a debilitating disease and much engage in an emergency withdrawal!

Good that I never made such an argument. I was just objecting to the rule as you had written it. I obviously agree that obvious misconduct can and should be punished, but not because there is some hyper specific rule you proposed.

>It's really entertaining that you were actually trying to claim that it is impossible to find obvious cases without punishing uhh, sick people?

I was refering to what you said the rule should be. Basically any sport has a general rule against bad behaviour. FIDE surely has one already, which could be applied, had any significant misconduct actually happened.

What is funny on the other hand is that you have moved the goal post from a specific action of Magnus to a nonsensical debate where you pretend I believe a rule almost any sports association has is impossible, when I was refering to your very bad proposal for a stupid additional rule.
Turns out, Agile doesn't work in healthcare.
... Another? Like Starlink, Tesla and SpaceX? Geez I don't know what people are on about sometimes.
I don't think so for several reasons.

First, there's the uselessness of entry-level engineers. They are hired for their growth potential (that every human has, but language models don't) and are expected to grow into mid-levels and seniors. In most of the sw industry, entry-level roles are also not terminal, which means that such an engineer must get promoted at least +1L to keep working in the company. Someone (or something) perpetually stuck at the entry level is a bad value proposition for a sw company.

Secondly, the code that language models produce is buggy. They can, on occasion, produce amazing code and even entire codebases. But this is an exception, not the rule. You can generally prototype something or get an idea for something from language models, but you can only push very little of that into production. What good is code you can't use? You still need an engineer to oversee the language model's outputs.

Overall, if some company replaced their juniors with AI, that would be incompetent management.
I remember reading that making chips requires a lot of water, something that Arizona is running out of, will this be a problem?
Carbon was a moving target; each "update" cut more core MacOS tools and added OSX service interfaces. It was quickly obvious that there was no intention of letting MacOS run in the future, so why port to Carbon? many social signals in the developer group at the same time.
The previous version of this post received some downvotes.

Could you give me two examples of a more balanced view? Here's the original post:

"""

> Tired of Hearing about ChatGPT

No. But tired of all the complaints.

Here's "my" oppinion.

-------------

Please give me an example of a comment of what an intelligent person would complain about that feels ChatGPT is overhyped and if they are tired of the conversation?

> An intelligent person might complain that ChatGPT is overhyped and that they are tired of the conversation because it is not living up to the expectations that were set for it. They may argue that ChatGPT is not as intelligent or useful as it is made out to be, and that the hype around it has been overblown. They may also be frustrated with the limitations of the technology and the lack of meaningful conversations that can be had with it.

"""

>>> ChatGPT:

Here are two more balanced views of ChatGPT:

1. While ChatGPT is a fascinating and impressive technology, it is still in its early stages and has limitations. It may not be as intelligent or useful as some people claim, but it is still a valuable tool that can help us understand and improve natural language processing.

2. ChatGPT has generated a lot of excitement and hype, but it is important to remember that it is not a perfect solution to every problem. It may not be able to have deep, meaningful conversations like a human, but it can still be useful in certain situations. It is important to approach ChatGPT with realistic expectations and to consider its limitations.
Of course, moving less fast to get a cure to a deadly disease also kills things (well people) because of the delay introduced...
I'm not even sure how copyright will work with AI generated content.
How is the copyright distributed amongst the program, the programmer, the company distributing the program, the user that enters the input, the author that wrote the input, the authors of content ingested by the program, etc.
What dangers must we overcome before we can live on Mars? Essays
The counter to that is that there's a lot of room _under_ that median case, too. Not everyone needs to be at or above the average. Not everyone _can_ be at or above the average.
Well one of the founders of OPEN AI is Sam Altman, who was also former president of Y Combinator, so saying we should stop talking about ChatGPT, when it might be one of the biggest successes to come out of Y Combinator, is a bit .. unusual
Unfortunately our economic system ends up producing companies that do evil, and promoting people who are evil, just because of its own internal feedbacks.

Consider: if you start with 10 companies in a given field, 9 of which are run by decent people with strong ethics, and one which is run by an evil bastard with no scruples whatsoever, which one will have the highest profit margins? The evil one. And so the evil one will eat the other 9, and the employees of the other 9 will be put to work doing evil things, and if the company gets large enough, the political system of the country the evil company is in will be bribed to do evil things.

The counteracting force to that is organized popular movements, but those are on the defensive lately- witness congress intervening to undermine a strike when all the workers wanted was to be able to stay home when they were sick.
Midori Browser's default search engine is AstianGo, this is a new search engine which protects the user's privacy.
This is a problem?

NGT has done actual work. But the main difference today is that he hews close to the favored mainstream speculation.

But probably Brian Greene is a better comparison. He has not done any actual physics (i.e., connected at any remove to actual experiment) in decades, if ever.
Not too sure about that. I visited NYC several times after covid, and it is packed every time. The offices might not be full, but the streets and apartments def are.

> Dense downtowns in Austin and New York have seen steep increases in rental demand, a sign that people continue to be willing to pay a premium to live in a social district.

(^^from the article)

People, especially young people, still find NYC desirable enough to pay a lot for rent.
Make the Most of Your Developer Content
Unless you are a vegan, I really don't get the outrage over a company killing 1,500 animals, most of which are rodents, pigs, and sheep. How many animals did Chipotle have killed yesterday to serve their customers? They serve cow, chicken, pigs. I bet they kill pests in their kitchens too! Horrific!!

Edit: And to think all those animals used for food, why is it so bad to use animals for research that could heal the paralyzed or give sight to the blind? That is far more noble cause than just being food.
This.

Effective Altruism is not the same as Earning to Give, and I really wish that the distinction was being made more clear.

You can embrace EA to, for instance, make the most of the $1,000 you give to charity every year. There's nothing nefarious about asking "Where does this money do the most good?"

Earning to Give is a becoming a bit of a nightmare though as it's turning out that a lot of people embracing and pushing Earn to Give aren't giving as much as they're keeping, and aren't earning as much as they're stealing.
Grim? There's a company out there using AI voice modification to make south Asian call center workers sound American on the phone. It's just depressing any way you look at it.
> What numbers could they have looked at? How could they guard against those numbers being lies (cooked/parallel books)?

That was part of the problem. The red flag should have been the fact that there were no numbers or books. Neither FTX nor Alameda even had a CFO.
If you employer pays for Teams, assume they can monitor it and MS facilitates it. In the US, I believe, this isn't considered legally wrong, meaning it is OK to monitor employee use of company assets.
Or VR, or shitcoins, or the Cloud. That was not organic engagement, it was clearly being pushed to tech circles with various means. This is a different kind though, cause openAI didn't do much fanfare. I find it exciting, most exciting than anything else in the past decade and it s already usable , not a promise 10 years down the road.
I'm no Web3 proponent, but hard disagree here -- I think Fred is onto something clear.

- Current experience is that most folks do not own their own domain or do not have audiences that will consume the content on their own domain, they instead depend on content being copied and distributed on other platforms.

- Threat is that modern AI makes it much easier to convincingly impersonate you on other platforms -- including robust profiles and statements that match your style or even tweak real content.

- Web3 potentially offers a platform-neutral, globally accessible place to claim ownership of content itself, so that people know if they are viewing a primary source or something edited.

There is a TON of productization to be done and a network effect problem to solve (there must be a simple, widely used protocol for verification that can either be used by everyone or built into trusted tools). But the value prop for a public signature ledger is not some fantasy IMO.
My daughter slept fine for like 5 years straight, and then started waking up around 2-3 am almost every single night for the next 18 month. That was fun.
Are you saying China is more likely to invade Taiwan if the destruction of TSMC’s Taiwanese fabs could be mitigated by buying the same products from TSMC’s US-based fabs?
AI and GPT is unfortunately the new Crypto. We are going to see a lot of "Get Rich quick" schemes with the buzzwords even though there may be really good real world applications. It has become too popular too quick for the grifters to come out and will distract from the real possibilities it can achieve. My 2 cents.
Clearly humans are output machines and draining all creativity from their souls by burning the midnight oil is the way to build great products.

I’m excited for the next wave of companies to prove this mindset wrong. I think some will but perhaps ultimately the “hero coder” stories will prevail in popular media.
Testosterone is not a simple "more is better" hormone. See this video: https://youtu.be/C8dfiDeJeDU?t=682
In all fairness, high speed rail in California was an outrageous boondoggle without Musk's help.
Boundaries like paywalls and walled gardens with human verification of users seem inevitable to me as every other platform just becomes flooded with AI generated junk food.
Lol. And who chooses the geniuses?
This is the true path to financial success
This is clear to anyone with freshman macroeconomics - The Cobb-Douglas function for factor productivity:

Y = A * L^β * K^α

Value of your work depends on how well you wield capital (K) and labor (L).

Code, Cloud and AI have massively improved α while β is at generational lows.
> I think what I implied (and others are trying to communicate across) is how do we know the galaxies are independent variables as you claim?

Simple. I never claimed that the random variables were independent. Instead I just observed that if one made an ASSUMPTION of independence (and the rest of i.i.d.) then could use the theorem the law of large numbers and get a result without being concerned with what fraction the sample size was of the whole population.

I didn't even try to argue that there was independence or even approximate independence.

The independence assumption is really common in applications of probability and statistics. Maybe then people comfort themselves by believing that independence holds approximately and close enough. As I recall, there has been at least one attempt to investigate approximate independence, but that work is likely not well known.

Questioning independence in this discussion of cosmology is appropriate.

Again, in practice, an independence assumption is common, and with all of "i.i.d." could apply the strong law of large numbers and get results about a large population from a comparably small sample thus responding to the stated concern I was responding to:

> ... a frighteningly small sample to draw conclusions from?
Hasn't this been the case since the first machine or even tool was invented?
Or, hey are just as bad but know when to shut up. There is no evidence for "they are regular good people" and many big companies acting shitty...
Yes I am tired of reading about it, but discovering new and novel technologies is half of the reason I read HN so for me it's par for the course. Also have to admit both are pretty cool, and likely in the future sometime game changing.
Wage is a cost and profit comes after costs. If owner want's to share profit, they need to give company shares to the employees and pay dividends.
For me Dwarf Fortress demonstrates why good and accessible UI / UX is required and is an art of itself.

I repeatedly tried DF and despite having spent hours in similar games, this one eluded me to this day due to it's borderline unusable UI (for me at least) and art style.

I'll be happy to give it another go since the mechanics seem to be supremely refined.
It sounds like you probably worked on passive devices like joint implants or evolutionary things like a slightly modified version of a previous valve or pacemaker.

The type of system Neuralink is building - a surgical robot that implants thousands of individual active electrodes into the brain - has no comparable in med tech development history. But compare to original DBS, pacemaker, artificial heart - 100s to 1000s of animals for development.

(To be clear - you took something to market, and this same complexity gives me doubts about whether Neuralink will be able to!)
Yes Balsamiq is nice. TinyUX is a mobile app, so unique in that sense. Also TinyUX is cheaper ($5). Price will get up once the app gains in features.

Once there is traction adding online features, web- and desktop interfaces will also make sense.
Sounds like the mitigation might be just blacklisting the publically seen malware sideloadable APKs, that's a pretty weak mitigation if the keys have leaked.
Wait! Wasn't that the point of these credits in the first place?

Penalizing ICE auto manufacturers who weren't doing enough switching to clean energy alternatives, while also rewarding the competition that were trying embrace these alternatives?

Effectively having those that weren't doing anything subsidize those that were.
Did this somebody from history also spontaneously know that the clothes were markers of another gender?
Surprised not to see Pololu laser cutting, also surprised not to see Fictiv for 3d printing and cnc machining.
Laughing with people is bonding and generally seen as a good long term strategy for life (creates friendships, gives meaning, etc)

Replace all instances of laughing with friends with masturbating alone in your room and tell me that’s a good, meaningful life you want to live
Hmm, so his example is Instagram. But Instagram was sold to FB, sorry Meta!, in 2012.

Where are the new examples of that kind of startup? 13 employees selling for 1bn USD.
Wow that's pretty bad. SK will soon have to make a decision.

They drop their restrictive immigration policies and let people in; or

They reduce their minimum age to work. Embrace child labour; or

They increase the retirement age greatly; or

Accept the consequences of societal collapse in population decline. SK already dealing with silver crime.

So Germany's decision was immigration. When yugo collapsed and eu formed, germany stole a ton of people from the balkans. They accepted a crazy amount of people from the arab spring and syria. and now ukrainians. Not to mention open door to practically anyone.

North america is debatably the one behind events like the arab spring with hopes to bring those people here.

Not the only thing, one of the big deals was retirement funds are allowed to go bankrupt now. Quite unpopular to increase retirement age, instead you basically just let their retirement funds die and they naturally get forced back to work.
Prosperity after population decline is supported by history, look up the economic impact of the Black Plague for example.

What confuses things is local areas tend to lose population due to economic decline and prosperous areas attract people. However, when the decline is on much larger scale things flip.
A couple of days ago I googled for the cost of running those models and didn't find anything except guesstimates of a few years ago. Running them is as abstract as training them for me, but does anyone have a realistic figure?
Also this is not about a dystopian village with one single employer that exploits workers that cannot move. Startup employees agree with free choice to work somewhere for the agreed upon profit share, be that % based or fixed, or mixed.
> Those who think the city is good place to be, explore a little outside your urban bubble.

And for those that thing “small towns” are some homogenous idyllic 50s family fantasy, be careful. Last one I lived in was a pit of unemployment, methamphetamine and heroin.
I’m not looking for anything atm but using my (small) savings to learn and get some perspective on what to do in the future.

I’ve wrapped up the Fast.ai deep learning course and switched to studying the language of my country of residence. The rest of my time is calls with random people via my office/mentoring hours (https://sonnet.io/posts/hi) and learning how to live with a dog!

I try to code a bit and have some side projects I want to monetise or share, but tbh I’m struggling with getting them out because for some reason I’ve started to be overly critical of my work. I know it’ll pass.

I’m also exploring different ways of working, such as co-ops.

I’m a founder/SWE with 20 years of experience.
https://twitter.com/IlariKaila/status/1600120645211201536

Ilari Kaila

@IlariKaila

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1h

Replying to

@paulg

Why did you delete this banger?

<Screenshot of a now deleted tweet by @paulg with the words: “Automation is an inductive proof that Marx was wrong”>

|

|

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Paul Graham

@paulg

·

1h

Replying to

@IlariKaila

I forgot that mentioning Marx attracts angry fools. Since I could make my point without mentioning him, I just reposted it without.
In hindsight, I think Microsoft should have done the following, going back to the mid 90s:

As soon as Java comes out and you see that some developers actually like AWT layouts, develop a C++ wrapper over Win32 that mimics that ability to lay out a UI in code. That would have muted my disgust at Win32 and MFC when I got Visual C++ 6 as a teenager. Not a new OS API, mind you; all of this has to be done in a way that works downlevel, back to Windows 95 and NT4. (I was using NT4 at my first job until I lost that job in early 2002.)

When the industry discovers the pain of registering COM components and ActiveX controls for VB6 apps, come out with a new registration-free flavor of COM (edit: or maybe go straight to registration-free WinRT) that lets application developers just drop the DLL and OCX files in the same folder as the app. Again, not an OS feature, just new interfaces and conventions to be used by applications, components, and VB itself.

Implement something like Chrome's installer and updater, so mere mortal application developers can have fast installation and smooth automatic updates. Something baked into the OS like MSIX is better, of course, but every advance has to work on the machines of users running old versions of Windows, or the rest of the industry will just ignore it.

Every advance in UI technology and fashion should be done in a way that can be incrementally adopted in Win32 apps, as the parent discussed. Direct2D did this right; it's just a shame that the internal UI frameworks Microsoft built on top of Win32 and Direct2D were only internal.

When developing a new high-level language like C# as an alternative to VB, go with ahead-of-time compilation, so mere mortal developers can ship self-contained, fast-starting applications that work on their users' older Windows machines. But also keep real VB alive; the jump from VB6 to VB.NET only further fractured the platform for third-party developers.

Edit to add: Also don't lure Anders Hejlsberg away from Delphi. Perhaps Microsoft didn't fully appreciate the value of a third-party development environment, free of Microsoft's internal politics, that was enabling ISVs to kick ass with self-contained applications that exclusively targeted Windows. One of the most successful Windows-first apps of the 2000s, Skype, was developed in the early 2000s with Delphi.

I think with these moves, Windows would have stayed dominant in desktop apps, possibly even preventing the rise of web apps.
Twitter is unequivocally a fiasco. You disagree?
If I was conspiratorial, I’d say this serves as a excuse for building more pipelines for getting more water from other states.
It is sad to see that our generation is on its way to being the one to transform the world into a nursing home. I myself don't have children, but half my life taking antidepressants, trying to have a house that I couldn't have,it haven't helped me. And I feel that my circumstances are unfortunately very widespread among the population, regardless of whether or not there are people who want or not to have children as their own decision, instead of because of an impossibility due to their life circumstances.
For the vast majority of people, the diaper phase is temporary.

Sure, but it is far from a guarantee. And you should at least be aware of that.
You are asked whether you want to give that permission, and the rationale is probably in the context. You can always refuse to grant the permission when asked.