skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
>1) Why do we have a reason to believe there’s a cap to intelligence?

There's a cap to all things. Diminishing returns is a thing. Both physical substrates have limits, and there's a utility limit to thinking or having more data. Limitless intelligence is fairy-tale magical thinking - especially in the way it's portrayed as some magical ability to build and control everything. Like, invent working cold-fusion - as if you don't need the experiments, iterative process, random breakthroughs, and such, but just "smarter" thinking.

> 2) No, you don’t need to assume it happens via adding hardware

Yes, you do, else it's just the same capped-capability hardware, thinking itself into being smarter.

> 3) No, you don’t need to assume it can expand by itself

Well, I, personally, don't need to assume anything. But people talking about AGI, do assume it.

> 4) We’ve already seen people connecting AI systems to open internet and open internet to command and control of physical systems (cars, utilities, soon weapons systems) - turns out there was no convincing necessary

That's neither here nor there, though, because I didn't say that connecting AGI to the open internet is impossible or can't happen. Just that it doesn't mean much. We still control the kind of control we give an AI, and any physical systems any AGI would be connected will still have limitations. It's not some magical portal into conquering the world.

>5) Nanobots also not a necessary assumption

Didn't say it's necessary, just pointed out that it has been made - along with many other non necessary, and far-fetched assumptions and hand waving...

>Also, incentives, not charisma, are what steer human behavior.

Both do. With charisma you can do it without incentives - and even instill incentives into people. Otherwise you're stuck with innate incentives like people wanting to be rich - which you don't need to be a AGI to exploit, just rich or a con-man.
I tend to think the opposite.
Truth is free: just head on over to the philosophy section or talk to some friends,
The lies: they are on a pay what you can afford model.
Federation is a very weak form of decentralization.

In practice, many federated platforms turn into cartels of giant centralized providers. It's better than Twitter, but not something I'd call decentralization.
These are definitely important considerations, but it’s not clear 1) we’ll see those intermediary steps, or 2) we’ll be able to stop at them. In reality we’ve already blown through many red lines e.g. not connecting AI to the open internet, not connecting it to physical systems. We didn’t even blink!

Agreed a ban on AI research is unworkable, which is part of why this threat is so insidious.
Brave Browser states 50M monthly active users [1] and MetaMask states 30M monthly active users. [2] The Chrome extension shows 10M+ [3] which is the source I used. It seems like Daily Active Users (DAU) is more often used than Monthly Active Users (MAU), so I maybe should have stated that in my comment.

[1] https://brave.com/2021-recap/

[2] https://decrypt.co/95039/metamask-consensys-30-million-users

[3] https://chrome.google.com/webstore/detail/metamask/nkbihfbeo...
You weren't wrong, EA is basically the mindset of donating using analysis. As you fear, at the start the movement suffered from overemphasis on causes that can demonstrate impact. But it's not incompatible with risk-taking, if you personally deem the potential payoff as more than enough. Lately the movement is more nuanced, allowing room for harder-to-measure, "softer" causes like moral circle expansion, even if they're riskier, and even if you outsource part of your judgment to people closer to the cause: https://guerrillafoundation.org/additional-thoughts-on-effec...
Accounting does not imply Capitalism, nor does ownership of property generally. Capitalism is the private ownership of productive capacity and the use of it for private profit. That's a peculiar and recent invention.

I know supporters like to believe that it's as natural as the sun rising. But if you look at sheet amount of social displacement, violence and legislation that was required to make it a stable system, you'll see that's definitely not true.
Tbh, I get your imperative examples instantly but my mind struggles to autograsp these multilevel functional parts like list(map(lambda. Too much noise, I have to think through it to get it.

I’d prefer a loop with ifs and continues/breaks.

It may be a lack of experience or habit, but then I can write code like that (and worse), and it doesn’t make any sense to me. Don’t get me wrong, not that I refuse to use maps or filters or folds, but not that I want to make a whole program of them either. They have their place where factoring-out a block of code feels stupid, but if I had something like:

[1, 2, for (x of xs) {
if (cond) {emit x}
}]

I’d never bother with these function-al things. It’s not FP that is rich, it’s a traditional imperative syntax that sucks. Paradigm shift is not equal to usage out of [in]convenience.
"Enough" money varies widely between people. There are plenty of people who choose lower stress at the cost of not maximizing income and it sounds like OP might be interested in that.
Airbnb 2022 Winter Release
Everyone else can leverage it too. Why don't they?
I was pondering this as I read, as well. I would be a bit disconcerted to find that a coworker was recording EVERYTHING they say all day and that meant I was on those recordings throughout the week. The lack of any acknowledgement of that piece in this writeup is a little confusing... I don't question their intent but I do question their lack of awareness of others (based on the writing).
Broken window fallacy. Doing the same things cheaper is good. SLA is a disgrace.
I drink a lot of soda.
No. It’s in Pakistan. Double check your map.
The market going giddy over the slight slowdown of inflation is suspect, due to a change in how medical costs are measured. Without that change inflation would officially still be rising. https://wolfstreet.com/2022/11/10/services-inflation-spiked-...
> from which all the funds will go to my brother’s college costs so he can stop working 12h/day jobs.

This is cool. I hope you make a bunch of extra sales from your (correctly) upvoted comment here :-)
Sounds like everyone can work from home now, because he said only exceptional work is a passing grade.

Finally the first piece of good news coming out of Twitter. Why didn’t he just start with this email rather than anonymously laying off half the company and picking fights with engineers on Twitter, though now I guess people have a crystal clear picture of the culture they’re choosing to stay at, it would have been much more humane to start with this.

Sounds like a lot of people will choose this path, I wonder how many will be left.
Correct me here but Server and Enterprise/LTS have a proper evaluation period (180 day?) that upon expiration shutdowns the machine after 1 hour of use.
That promotion, on the other hand, was real, and pretty much totally destroyed the company!
Peculiar analog watch shows metaverse and real time on the same dial
It's funny that when a phrase is used enough, it stops just being it's constituent parts. In this case, the inversion has no effect on the meaning.
I think it's worth separating the technology of cryptocurrencies from the culture surrounding it.

Blockchain technology was innovative and is interesting, but still early stage. I doubt that many of the early adopters of Bitcoin expected it to blow up in the way that it did, rather than just being a cyberpunk experiment that would potentially lead to some world-changing technology in the future. I would consider myself an early Bitcoin adopter, and all I ever really used it for was to buy pizza for like 10 BTC back when it was all a bit of an interesting joke. It certainly seemed like something that could change the world, but not in its current form.

When viewed in this light, issues like carbon emissions are more understandable. When you're prototyping some new idea, you probably aren't thinking about carbon emissions at that point. That's something that can be hopefully figured out later, like Ethereum are trying to do.

What turned Bitcoin/cryptocurrency from an experiment into the toxic hellscape it has become are cryptobros, scammers and gamblers looking to make a quick buck, helped along by investors and finance companies who are drawn to buzzwords and don't understand anything about technology.

Clearly we're entering a long crypto winter now, which I think is a good thing. However, I doubt the story is over quite yet.
Splines are also a great tool to know about when you're trying to approximate smooth curves from sparse data! I reached for splines and martingales a ton when we were developing a patient simulator.
To quote William Shatner to a room full of Trekkies: "Its just a TV show, get a life, losers". Good grief. :P

He made an off hand simile about your favorite childhood book you don't find accurate and therefore he is Voldemort incarnate and literally wrong about everything. You're really only proving his point.
I think that Mastodon's problems are less than 10% technical.

That's not to say ActivityPub isn't a pretty trash protocol, insecure by default (no E2EE), wide open to abuse, and very wasteful (because posts have to be replicated in every server, making unnecessary copies of a post that aren't then distributed via P2P).

But the social issues of pretty big Mastodon instances blocking other smaller instances with complete impunity, means the Fediverse as a community (not a protocol) encourages bullying and isolation. I find this extremely troublesome in the wake of the Capitol attack, fake news campaigns, State-sponsored disinformation campaigns and everything else that is wrong with social media today.

You will get your server banned from other servers if your server doesn't ban the servers these servers ban (second-grade sanctions). You can get banned for not moderating enough, or for incompatible code of conducts. You can get banned for an instance that is too small, as other admins believe you are using it for ban evasion.

The worst part is the user can't know if the posts they make will be seen in other servers. They can't know if sending messages to other user will work. They can't opt out of these admin-imposed forceful defederations.

And even worse: it is absurdly simple to push illegal content like child pornography into other servers, making these servers store illegal content in their hard disk. And the only way to avoid this is to have server administrators manually see the offending post and possibly block the offending domain. Perhaps with the help of users reporting this post.

If Mastodon is the best Twitter alternative, I think nothing can replace Twitter as it is today.
I believe the real problem is the black and white view of everything. Combined with the obsession to label things.

In a sane world, we would look at things based on their value and merit, using whatever makes sense. Whether that be web2/3 or some other buzz world tech.
Please leave this sort of pandering somewhere where it makes sense. Nobody comes here to read yet more state propaganda.
Sad to see distutils going away. I have very old projects which use distutils for distribution. Wrote them in Python 2 days and they were ported easily to Python 3. But distutils going away is going to break them.

I know setuptools is advanced and recommended but distutils worked fine for me and my users for so many years. It is going to be overhead for me to comb through all my projects and replace distutils with setuptools, test them and testing out packaging and distribution is quite a lot of work.

I am growing unhappy with Python due to these breakages. Is there some other programming language whose maintainers don't break the "user space" like Python has been doing time and again?
It was very frustrating when they hide the proxy icon behind an obscure modifier key trigger and a delay in Monterey. Thankfully enough complains were made, and they've since added a toggle in Monterey 12.1 to always show proxy icon (Accessibility -> Display -> [ ] Show window title icons).
Car seat belts become compulsory in the UK (1983) [video]
"nestlekillsbabies.com" wouldn't be a trademark violation. If anything, it'd be libel, but the defense there would be either a) truth or b) protected opinion.
Mhm, say, when in the 60s have they made a full-flow staged-combustion methalox engine?

Bare-skin stainless steel rockets?
Like the around 88% of American drivers considered themselves to be above average at driving - everyone also believes that they are the exception. As for redistribution of wealth, even many multi millionaires consider themselves to be on the poor side of the wealth divide.
There's literally tons of different variations (public official, defense attorney, etc. etc.), but my point is it's worse legally than regular kidnapping.
I wouldn't have said that modifying the last-printed glyph breaks rule 2. Either way, I think modifying the glyph is the better answer.

If you send a console command to move the cursor or do anything else to it, the simple answer is to make that a barrier between glyphs. If you output a combining character after doing that, the combining character goes into the next cell all by itself.

Backspace sent to a terminal should move the cursor left by one cell as usual. A backspace sent by a user would probably delete one glyph if no IMEs are involved. If an IME is involved that's a different problem than plain old combining characters.

Being the last character on a line isn't really any different from being in the middle of a line. The cursor auto-moves, but if the next bytes the terminal gets are combining characters then you can pretty easily shove them into the last-printed glyph.
Fleetbench: Benchmarking Suite for Google Workloads
The history of financial market regulation is written in blood. It started out very much like the crypto grift space where anything goes, until governments wised up to the negative effects and decided to regulate.
It seems you're right and I was mistaken.

https://digitalitskills.com/how-to-stop-windows-server-auto-...
Apart from the already financially secure, who can possibly afford to be an effective altruist in the current climate (in the sense of donating a significant proportion of one's income). Similarly, who can afford to work for these EA foundations and charities on lowish salaries based in major cities but trustafarians?
If you're hoping "web3" is gonna negatively impact the power of well-off westerners, you're likely to be disappointed.
The US is hardly an exception. It conquered the west, invaded Mexico and even tried to invade Canada once precisely because of this geographical determinism.

Its later stability is a testament to just how geographically secure its borders are.

If, in an alternate timeline, America was a weakened ex super power and Canada joined the Warsaw Pact I imagine it would take all of 5 minutes for the tanks to roll into Vancouver.
Look up launch page templates. There's tons of Tailwind launch page templates to use.
I don't fully agree with Aaronson's take, I just think it's underappreciated. I am a sorta-rules utilitarian; in contested questions, I think the moral obligation is to behave in a fashion so that the standards by which we act, if universalized, maximize beneficial outcomes. And I think there is an argument to be made that getting rich people to donate is a thing that a moral system that tries to lead to good outcomes, should focus attention on.

Like it or not, we have set up our society so that economic decisionmaking power is to a large part concentrated in the hands of a small fraction of the population. This population is a moral fulcrum; the things they decide to do have a significant effect on actual events, in some ways even outstripping governments (which generally hold obligations on par with their power). I think an effective morality needs to acknowledge this and make special dispensation for these people if they decide to bend their power towards creating good outcomes, whether or not one approves of their existence in the abstract.

Assume you are trying to invent a morality to sell to the one percent. The pass-or-fail condition is that this morality must absolve their sins. It seems to me that the default option here is laissez-faire libertarianism, which has cultural bias against doing work to improve the worse off; in my view, being able to make inroads in this moral market is a significant victory for EA and good outcomes in general.
I draw a distinction between a particular charitable organization being effective, i.e. the amount spent on overhead vs going to cause they claim to support and a particular charitable cause itself being effective (mosquito nets vs. community theater).

For the former I agree, seek out charities that most effectively support what you want to support.

For the latter, I don't think it's worthwhile to deride people for supporting a cause just because you think there's some other cause that might technically result in more living humans. Raw population is not a worthwhile metric to optimize for. People should be free to support things they care about and believe make the world a better place as long as it's not harming anyone.
Good news for you:

> For projects still using distutils and cannot be updated to something else, the setuptools project can be installed: it still provides distutils.

From: https://docs.python.org/dev/whatsnew/3.12.html#removed
CSIS on YouTube is okay-ish, atlantist so to take with some grain of salt sometimes.

Personally, I liked the podcast of the Chair of War Studies at King's College: https://www.kcl.ac.uk/warstudies/war-studies-podcast (note: I've not listened to any potentially new episode for the past 2-3 years).
After launch, for a quick moment can be seen frozen images from inside the decoupling tube, so it is my guess that something did not worked as expected. The only detail I did not liked is someone decided to introduce some unforgivable images of the probe rendered with CGI, without warning to the viewers about the source (Perhaps telemetry data was expected to be overlayed on that image?)
> Just look what happens in Spain with Catalonia, what would probably happen in Scotland, Texas or California. This is not fascist.

If Scotland votes to leave the UK it will. The UK isn’t like Spain. It doesn’t believe in itself. The US looks like it does so it would likely be willing to wage a war of occupation. The US is far more nationalist than the UK.
Rust Easy Modern Cross-Platform Command Line Tools to Supercharge Your Terminal
> “This will mean working long hours at high intensity,”

I bet long hours for no increase in pay, which is wage theft.

Apparently Musk's pathway to profit is to steal from others.
> Functional programming is a big mistake for some real-world code.

Generalizing much? I write C# for a living, Elixir in my free time, I would take Elixir codebase any day of the week. If you try to write C# in a strictly functional fashion it's going to be shitshow as well. Moderation is the key, using immutable data structures, getting rid of side effects if possible etc.

You had a bad experience because you and/or people you worked with simply tried to fit a square peg into a round hole, you didn't get it in, threw a tantrum and now you're blaming all the squares for being bad.

I on the other hand, after learning functional language, have trouble looking at most code written by pure 'OOP developers', most of it is a spaghetti shitshow of hierarchy classes, dependencies and jumping across 20 different files of factories and providers because DUHH sOlId and ClEaN. That doesn't mean that OOP is a 'mistake for real-world code'.
1) Obviously intelligence plays a role in how fast science develops. The quality of experiments and the quality of inference from those experiments are (very obviously) modulated by intelligence. No reason to believe the absolute pinnacle of intelligence happens to sit inside a species of mostly hairless apes here on earth. Lots of reasons to believe fundamental understanding of the universe is more accessible to intelligent beings than to unintelligent ones.

2) Nope. Could be different hardware. The brain consumes far less power than any human-designed computer that could hope to match its computational power.

3) Sure some do, but it’s not a necessary assumption to take AGI risk seriously.

4) Meh, this seems to me just the next concession in the line of “we can’t do that, we wouldn’t do that, we do it but it’s not that bad”

5) Okay so it’s unrelated to this conversation except I suppose some sort of ad hominem?

6) So we agree charisma is at best not necessary to manipulate the world
30 Rock executed this type of hamfisted product placement to great comedic effect, ending with a fourth wall break and "...can we have our money now?"

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d36wUmJGzvA
> Federation is a very weak form of decentralization ... not something I'd call decentralization ... is not decentralized

Uh, OK; this is not all the same claim.

> In practice, many federated platforms turn into cartels of giant centralized providers

Sure that's a worry; for example: email is global, so lets all use GMail. git is decentralized onto GitHub and a few other providers. I think that this tendency is not just a mastodon thing, and is a separate and wider concern though than "it is not decentralized".
How did you learn sales and which books would you recommend for example?
, until ~next month
Quite a few things in martial arts that are claimed to be ancient are in fact turn of the century inventions by Kano Jigoro, the inventor of Judo: grades and belts, the keikogi uniform used by many martial arts today, etc.

Kano was all about modernizing what he saw as outdated and ineffective training techniques. He thought that by making jujitsu a sport he could save it from irrelevance, in an age when people where more likely to learn tennis than martial arts. He was very successful, he created Judo and some of his earlier students went on to develop BJJ.
Sharing the link on the appropriate platforms is my best working version of marketing. Word of mouth takes over after this. See my comment here: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=33621814

I tried paid ads on all major platforms, but unless you have money to sink in, you’ll mostly just lose money and annoy a few people.
I buy the book on Kindle, then I remove the protection and save it as a PDF. Let's see how long that lasts...
Fear of Flying
You are thinking of just amphetamine (so d or l) while speed often is/has other Ahmphetamine type stimulants[0], typically other similar substances with a longer name that has amphetamine in the name and a similar effect. It just depends on what was easiest to obtain/make due to legality, availability of ingredients and a host of other reasons.

0. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Amphetamine_type_stimulant
at some point several people asked me whether it was inspired by enso (i didnt know about enso at the time) or whether i was involved in the Arrival visual effects (i was not) because of this higher resolution rendition of the same algorithm https://img.inconvergent.net/generative/78b7266.html
You never know what your explanation will lead to.

- Maybe a future billionaire -
Absolutely. Musk drew first blood by making a public accusation of his own employees and then got all torqued after getting a public response. Notice that he didn't really continue the conversation and his last argument was "you are fired".

It's like he is living the real-world Apprentice, even though Trump never really fired anyone on the show himself - it was the producers who made that call for maximum drama.
Q&A with Twitter engineer who was fired for correcting Elon Musk
Whoa, calm down. Subsidizing afghan plumbers may be 0.5% more effective than those nets.