skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
> And let's say another 500k for bennies. So our operating expense for top dev talent comes out to 20 million a year. You can have an elite tier dev team, for 20 million a year that could easily build a twitter. He could've tried to interview ex-Twitter and get feedback on technical debt, pain points, problems to have fixed in the newly architect-ed model.

No, you won't. There's a lot more to running a social media site than just building it. You can't just build and ship.

Either it is a paid service, or it runs on ads. For the former, good luck amassing any substantial amount of users.

For the latter, well, evidence shows that brand security is important and advertisers don't want their brands displayed along the endless stream of n-words, racism, and homophobia enabled by free-speech absolutionists like Elon. So with such a cesspool, why would anyone in their right mind join? Without users, you can not run an ad-based social network either.

Now that I covered the bare minimum; this is a great read on why you can't just build and ship, if it was easy, twitter wouldn't have been unprofitable for years, and all other twitter clones with free speech wouldn't have failed.

https://www.techdirt.com/2022/11/02/hey-elon-let-me-help-you...
To be clear, the FTC is more than happy to pursue criminal charges against individuals when they screw with users.

The (former) CSO of Uber, Joseph Sullivan, is now a felon because of a 2016 hack of Uber and his attempts to cover up the hack.

Joe is looking at a potential of 5 years in a federal prison, where there is no time off for good behavior and the like. In the Fed, you serve the whole sentence (some caveats do apply). He'll also loose the right to vote and hold public office, employment rights, domestic rights, and financial and contractual rights, plus a lot of 'probationary' issues. This will follow him for the rest of his life, likely.

https://www.justice.gov/usao-ndca/pr/former-chief-security-o...
BTW, I literally found it by asking Metaphor (https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=33551131) for the worst website ever :)
Delegating Trust Is Really, Really, Really Hard
Randomization is independent from blinding. Open label studies can be either randomized or not, and controlled or not.

The FDA will usually push for blinding if possible (sometimes it is not). They will also usually push for a randomization zed control with standard of care. They way the FDA views it (and I agree), is that control patients are not harmed because they are still getting the same care they would outside of the trial.

It is usually unethical to have a treatment free arm. However, this has its own problem, where if you keep using equivalence comparisons, the end of the chain might not actually be any better
So you complete changed the argument from retail to wholesale. That licensing fee applies to digital and physical copies so why is it relevant?

Retail is a physical space, rent applies to properties in the real world. Rent does not apply to near infinite digital spaces run by a single company.

It was cheaper to purchase in store than on the digital store, why is that? Is it because platforms only allow a single store to be available on their devices, their own. Imagine if there were competing stores? Im sure that 'rent' price would disappear really quick.
For such a large effect it is quite possible to implement an adaptive trial design with unbalanced arms and interim analysis for efficacy. But you have to ask for this, the FDA will not necessarily suggest it directly.
Thanks! Author/developer here, happy to answer any questions about this topic.
Your theory is the one that seems most plausible to me. Pushed into a decision he thought he could back out of and now trying to fix it the best way he sees fit.
>"In my opinion, one of the most fundamental human rights, maybe even the most important human right, is the right to refuse to answer to a question"

I agree 100%. Not respecting / recognizing the right of being silent and jailing people for that in my opinion is a crime itself.
Hardly. This website actually shows text and images. A web application written in JS with non-HTML HTML web components doesn't show anything at all. You're lucky to get blank gray placeholders.
Wait, is refusing to give up your encryption keys actually a crime in France (not only the UK)? I thought (though it’s been several years since I’ve looked that up) it was only an aggravating circumstance if the encrypted material in question has been used to commit a different crime and you have been convicted of that.
Everyone is looking at it too short term. Twitter isn’t going to disappear and he has shown a willingness to ride through rough economic times to reach his vision.

Social Media is how people interact with the world now, most info we receive is filtered through it in some form. In the last 10 or so years the idea that these platforms need tight moderation to control what and who is speaking on them has become ubiquitous. I think his main gamble is that the future of social media does not involve automated moderation and tight content restrictions, but a more open platform and he is gonna use twitter to play that bet out. It isn’t a horrible bet.
I may be missing something, but would it have been that hard to fail to get financing and get out of it, since it was a bad deal that others shouldn't want to finance, if he had started working on failing to get financing before he... succefully lined up financing?

I guess it would have been a hit to his ego if he had failed to get financing... it'll probably be a bigger one to drive twitter into the ground and throw away his and others billions.

The whole thing is very bizarre from the start to now.
A computer is not the means of production for Twitter. Twitter, the company, is in the business of producing ad impressions for the advertiser. They use Twitter, the platform to do that, so that's their means of production. A computer is just the tool to build and maintain the platform, not directly to produce value. (If Twitter were an IT consulting company, the computer would be a means of production for them.)
The US really hit the geographic jackpot - long coasts with good harbors on Earth's two biggest oceans, an immense river system connecting basically the whole agricultural heartland, an immense area with good soil and temperate climate capable of supporting large scale agriculture, substantial oil reserves and other mineral wealth, and few regions prone to natural disasters. It's hard to imagine a better starting position.
Docker solves this problem. Could be coupled with other technologies (VPNs, etc.) but that's effectively what docker does: abstracts the app from the deployment environment.

You probably need to setup a delivery channel (a docker registry) and a release lifecycle scheme.
I wasn't interested in buying a Tesla. Now I won't pay for Twitter.
If you paid me anywhere between 750-1.5M a year just go on in the office 40 hours a week I'd take that offer any day every day.

I did the same for less than half of that not even 2 years ago.

The problem with Musk companies is
1) It'll be MINIMUM 40 hours a week, no WLB
2) His companies aren't known for paying competitively
You are right, he was a fighter pilot but was injured and ended up in Canada and America doing diplomatic/intelligence work.
Her sleeves are literally a Yamaha DX7, which makes it obvious to synth nerds everywhere, but... not sure how much of the weeb population are also synth nerds.
You’ve got it backwards. Markdown is a superset of HTML.

Markdown specific syntax is not valid in HTML pages, but all HTML is valid in Markdown.
It's unpopular because it's a bad idea. Sometimes products or services aren't unit economical at small scale and need to be subsidized until they are adopted en masse.
Changes in terms of employment, like going from WFH to mandatory in-office, makes employees eligible to collect unemployment should they choose to quit. It's one of the few reasons you can collect unemployment after voluntarily quitting.

Such a move can backfire, and more people can quit than you planned on laying off, and that can make your UI liabilities larger than they would have been with just a layoff.
Independent doesn't mean that there isn't a profit to Walmart in having it there. I go to one of those Walmart eye docs--she's independent of the store and has her own office staff, but her office has a second door that opens into Walmart's optical center.
but we already knew yesterday what time would be tomorrow - there is no new data in that sense
This looks awesome! I’ve built similar CI logic using git and docker apis for an autograder system. Looks like I can throw out some of this code… and replace it with dagger.
This.

He let emotion laden political nonsense lead him into making an extraordinarily bad deal. OK. Fine. Not what prudent businessmen would have done, but now he's where he is with the Twitter deal.

So at this point it's all about leading from where you are, and sometimes where you are is in a place where there are zero good options. Every option is terrible, and probably won't work to extricate you from your situation.

But here's the thing, you have to take one of the options because you cannot stay where you are. The one thing you know is that where you are leads to certain death. Go left. Go right. But you can't stay here. That's the situation Elon is in.
Even then. If you are a low performer, in this market, that’s managed to survive to this point? It’s head down, cover your backside, sacrifice the person next to you if you must, and hope you make it through… People in survival mode will do anything to keep on surviving.
The thing that shocked me about this documentary about the 747 is the claim that they went from napkin sketch to working prototype in just 20 months. Twenty months!!! The world is a different place now.

https://www.amazon.com/747-Jumbo-Revolution-Christopher-Spen...
And war reparations germany never made. Fortunately everyone is now well aware of the damage germany is making to europe. We also know how germany treated east europe by attempting to share it with russia. The pipeline was a warning shot: change course of suffer consequences.
And also don’t lose you a significant proportion of your advertising revenue…
CORRECTION: As others have pointed out, many ETFs secure the investment with a custodian. This makes these ETFs immune to a sole bankrupcy of the issuer. In case of a domino effect or a close interwovenness between issuer and custodian this might turn out problematic nevertheless. But there are many kinds of ETFs, most notably swap-ETFs, that are not backed by real stocks. For these, what I have written applies without restriction.
> I doubt any of them would want to put in the number of hours he puts in.

I guess that would depend on whether they'd be getting employee comp/equity, or Elon's comp/equity.
Top dev talent is overrated imo. Not to mention almost every dev thinks they are top tier even if most of us are just mediocre.
I'm talking the agencies who get involved in competition law. In the US that's the FTC and the DOJ, and others in different jurisdictions. It's pretty different from the FAA. The FAA is the aviation authority. They are presumably stacked with folks who understand a lot about aviation.
Increased work hours, forced relocation to one of the most expensive metros in the the world, and threat of imminent job loss probably make that yearly compensation less attractive in reality than it is on paper.
Thanks, xhfloz! I hadn't seen mmm.page before, but it looks powerful.
"State-based" my ass https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2018/jan/31/amazon-wa...
So the internal trades aren't on chain. Well, that's going to leave a mark.

Is there a coin that distinguishes agent and owner? Seems like you want trustless agency if you're pursuing trustless finance.
> He has to strip down the car fast

You know what we call a vehicle thats undergoing Rapid Disassembly? An Explosion.
Personality, lol!…
The labor market is still incredibly tight for engineers. Even these current layoffs have targeted non tech departments for the majority of their cuts, if they included engineering at all. Companies still want to build and there’s not enough hands.

From everyone I’m in contact with it’s a terrible time to be in sales, marketing, or hr, and the engineers are mostly bitching about no raises this year
Sure, but in this case you'd hardly make any profit. Interests on that $13bn loan alone are somewhere around $1bn annually.
Thanks for the comment. Yes, that's a great idea - agreed that it's very important to get the narrative across. I'll add an about me + some blog resources
Alright. Even if you double it to 40 million to hire the elite tier dev team, ops, and sre. They could definitely build, ship, and maintain. Yes, he'd be losing money at 40 million a year just on salaries, but I'd imagine they could build something pretty amazing at that rate.

Advertisers have already pulled out of Twitter and Elon is talking about publicly shaming them. How is his current reality any better than starting fresh. He could've invested in building technology from scratch to handle hate speech and removing bad apples.
Yep you get away with a lot of shitty leadership and tough conditions if you can get everyone to buy in to the mission. Hard to see how you could convince anyone that twitter is worth fighting for now.
Yes, just like Tesla, SpaceX, probably NeuraLink.

That's how he motivates people
This is the correct answer. When you move your tokens into a centralised exchange like FTX, your funds are pooled with everyones deposit.

There are always deposits and wihdrawals, and of course maybe you traded your tokens for another before withdrawing. So its hard to parse how much customers deposited vs genuinely withdrew, and so you cant really tell if the exchange is short unless they declare their actual assets and liabilities.
I mean you have got a point. Forces serving governments are known to kill innocents in cold blood, and commit plenty of genocides, so yeah…
Part of the reason for standards committees, is that just saying “this flavour” is not enough to convince everybody.

Standard is not only specification, but also tacit agreement by many parties to use same standard.

People that have skin in the game usually want a say on what flavour should it be.
He’s continuing to repeat that getting rid of bots and spam is a top priority so that’s just straight up bull.
Let’s not be hyperbolic, it’s a ridiculously cushy job by comparison.
can't speak to aeronautics of it, but from a pax perspective, the md80 was a fantastic jet. probably the last vestige of what flying "used to be like" since they were too old to retrofit for "efficiency". also its planform looked AMAZING; retro-futuristic even

closest modern aircraft to it is the 717/MD90, which Delta is still flying, but not for much longer iirc
Plus having more engines doesn’t help if failures are correlated, such as some fuel issues, or http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/magazine/8622099.stm
CiteSeerX has broken all paper links
For example http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?doi=10.1.1.219.7269&rep=rep1&type=pdf "Modern B-Tree Techniques" from https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=15409757 no longer works and says "This page could not be found". It seems from searching for the paper that they are using a new scheme based on hashes, so for example https://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/document?repid=rep1&type=pdf&doi=0b19f413ffb5bc68b43f3bd05a97c282a7c6d6ab, but it is quite frustrating that the old DOIs do not work.
>For Twitter, the vision Musk is selling is that "it is important to the future of civilization to have a common digital town square, where a wide range of beliefs can be debated in a healthy manner, without resorting to violence".

Unless you make fun of the owner, that gets you banned ASAP.

Also, I don't think most people associate a massive increase in hate speech and harassment with a healthy town square. Threatening paying customers who show any reticence is an "interesting" way to grow a business. It's early still, but this has basically been the vision pitch so far.
LTCM was a problem because everyone lent to them since they had lots of government bonds to hock as collateral. So that 4.6 billion loss due to impairment of the value of the Russian loans was a huge problem.

By contrast no bank would have touched Alameda with a ten foot pole. Loan to a crypto fund?
> Or maybe he's just a guy that believes in free speech and wants to change Twitter for the better

How many times does this need to debunked? Elon Musk has a long and storied history, with direct evidence, of attacking and taking punitive, perceived or actual, action on anyone that has even mildly disagreed with him. He even tweeted, several times I might add, "Chomsky sucks" just because Chomsky said a few mild things that disagreed with Musk.

> which includes making it not hemorrhage money

Why does he even care enough about it? Oh yea, Twitter is a source of people disagreeing with him. Further, he overnight added billions of dollars of debt to Twitter.
My corollary to this is that bugs are a sort-of conserved quantity. For every 1,000 real* bugs found, 1,000 bugfixes are required. Bug report in, bug fix out.

The longer you delay fixing bugs, the more concurrent issues are present in the codebase. So then when you add a feature, instead of either having 0 errors or diagnosing a bug in 1 new thing, you now have to diagnose n+1 bugs, where 'n' is the number of unresolved bugs.

The more this is allowed to fester, the worse this becomes, to the point of hopelessness. I've seen a codebase with ~1K open crash bugs, and hundreds of memory corruption bugs. Developers were making things worse and convincing themselves that they were fixing things because randomly the memory corruption was less bad on that test run.

*) To make things simple, just ignore false bug reports for now. Pretend all bugs are real, such as "makes the program crash".
It's the buried `yield` in a loop somewhere, magically changing your function into a generator, that can be confusing – it's on the original coder to have the docstring say `"""Generator yielding records from DB."""` or something.
> to this day there's a 15% service charge on your bill in France

I can't think of any place that bills service separately. They just say the menu is €20, and you pay €20.
How is this "fighting this ownership change" if Twitter has been under this consent decree for over a decade?
I didn’t (mis)use the term “rent seeking” the parent poster did.

Just like Apple gets a cut of every app sold on iOS, the console makers do to. Even when you buy a physical disc

The original poster was calling it “rent seeking” when Apple got 30% of sales. This is what every distributor does - they mark up the price. The “wholesale” price is the price the original manufacturer sells it to distributors for.
No, it is good to call them stupid. If you call them evil or Machiavellian they actually like it and take pride in it. To them not being those things is WEAK.

So you have to actually see where they have a fragile ego, E.g stupid, bad with money, poor, or they have no class.
Wi-Fi security hack allows drones to see through walls
Yeah, nah. Most of them can easily find work elsewhere for as good compensation.
Franchise agreements should have a very narrow path to the top of the chain. Maybe a state / locality, country, and global entity at most and that entirely for tax zoning / similar reasons.
Idealistically, I don't disagree. I just meant they're not a great example of something I'd expect the FTC to knock down with a new stance here.

They don't break (current) US laws in terms of being a pyramid--not going to get into their history of fraud, racketeering, etc, which isn't an FTC concern.

Anyway, I know you're basically making a "this cause is more important than that cause " argument, but of course a stricter stance specifically re: being anti-competitive wouldn't touch them at all. They don't lead a market in anything anymore.

What I realistically would expect this to bring down, if anything, is the walled gardens, where they exist on devices that have become so central to our lives that this amounts to broadly restricting what goods or services you're able to consume. The wording of what they released seems very specifically crafted to highlight walled gardens and similar concepts, at least where there's arbitrary action in the name of rent taking happening as well.

I suspect this--along with the anti-competitive payment system decision from the Epic case--is the shot across the bow for Apple and Google to either loosen up on iOS and Android (and very specifically, App Store and Play Store) or be targeted.

That'd be good enough for me, for now. I don't like MLMs either, and this may be a first world problem, but it's a daily one I face.
Thank you. I was looking around the site and thought it was odd there was no link to source.
The hole in that theory is that by all appearances, Elon Musk really, really likes using Twitter. I don't think he wants to kill it. I think the madness is two-fold:

(1) he approached this with a "pfft, I could run that business better than the bozos in charge" attitude -- it's not as if Twitter has been known for great management up to this point, right? -- but never actually came up with a plan beyond "not what they've been doing." After he initially made the offer, he spent all the time he should have been formulating business plans trying to get out of the deal instead. Then it got forced on him, and he's had to scramble.

(2) Elon has millions of people who treat him as a combination of Steve Jobs, Thomas Edison, and Tony Stark, and bluntly, I think he's started believing his own press to the point where he just figures, "Why, yes, I am a super genius who can do anything, and anyone who contradicts me is clearly not worth listening to."

I would be very surprised if Twitter recovers from what Elon Musk, Super Genius is doing to it; the question is whether Elon Musk is going to recover from it. The best case is that this will be his Steve Jobs Exiled From Apple moment; the worst case is that he becomes Howard Hughes.
You can find plenty of interesting UI design in video games: 3D animated menus, non-uniform layouts like radial menus, skeuomorphic design [1], etc. and they aren't difficult to navigate.

> I don't go there to wonder how cool web design might be - I go there to buy stuff or start video.

A gamer starts a game so they can play it, but that doesn't stop designers from making the menu both creative and easy to navigate. They aren't mutually exclusive. If game designers can do this, then why can't everyone else?

[1] https://i.imgur.com/tYuAd4w.jpeg
Then where is the time bit?
When you use open source software you are not entitled to anything
By anti trans rights I mean whipping up paranoia about surgeries not actually being done, causing threats to be sent to the hospital where my kid was staying, including a bomb threat that was taking very seriously about a week before my son was admitted for a very serious case of RSV. This is all about things, and I can't stress enough, DIDN'T FUCKING HAPPEN.
That architecture is scarily coupled with UI and it doesn't inspire a lot of confidence in Android.

Ship it mentality much?
I guess there's that.. but at a rate of 2 million a year, if someone was under-performing I'd imagine Elon would quickly be able to cycle in and out. And if the whole thing fails after 1-2 years, it's still not even half a billion spent. Compared to the titanic Twitter sinking.
By sending all of his companies into bankruptcy? He motivated 5 top execs to leave!
Mastodon is not going to become the next twitter. Based on what I’m seeing it’s going to be substack. They’re gunning hard for twitter atm, they’ve dropped lots of twitter like functionality in the last few days. The authors, thought leaders and journos all love it already because they get more interaction with the audience, they actually get to earn money, it’s easy to use, and everything is centered around longform ideas rather than cheap throwaway comments.