skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
How've I not noticed this? I've instead seen a whole lot of graphs with no prediction whatsoever and lots and lots of people in positions of authority who seem totally unable to extrapolate from those in their heads, resulting in idiotic back-and-forth on various restrictions for the first 18 or so months of the pandemic.

Shit like schools releasing plans ahead of the school year that they then immediately ignore because otherwise they'd have to close in the first two weeks of school, when it was fucking obvious the numbers would be like that around that time, just from looking at the graph and knowing more-or-less how disease spreads. Or "Ok stop masking and open up restaurants wait oh shit it's going up again I thought the tiny dip we saw would continue forever, for no good reason". Just baffling levels of data-illiteracy.

But not a lot of long-term prediction graphs. Who was publishing those?

[EDIT] Wait, I did see total-deaths-at-time-X predictions with/without measures, and with/without vaccination at high rates. That's true.

[EDIT EDIT] Is there a tone issue or is my having seen vanishingly few graphs for all of COVID that tried to predict trends more than a week or two out an outlier experience, and those were in fact extremely common in, perhaps, media I didn't look at? Truly, the main problem I saw locally was an astonishing near-complete failure to consider trends and likely projections, over and over again and often by the same people, who seemed weirdly incapable of learning a very clear lesson, rather than too many projections looking too far out.
Isn't it? Some viruses are airborne, and some are not. I'm not aware that it's "not all that hard" for one type of virus to become the other, but I'm no expert.

As far as I have heard, ebola outbreaks are almost exclusively in poor third world areas with generally bad sanitation and cultural practices (such as washing the recently deceased body) that contribute to transmission by contact with infected bodily fluids.
Not sure about abuse but I imagine many coders take nootropics to give them an unfair advantage over their peers. I don't take research chemicals or anything like that, I prefer all natural things like the Alpha Brain supplement. I've also found nicotine & caffeine helps with focus. Beer helps, but only at the sweet spot of 4 cans of %5 alcohol volume. Any more and productivity drops dramatically.
Even without the edit, your response feels like a no-true-scotsman

i.e. an attempt to remove bad actors who deal in decentralized cryptocurrencies from the purity that is defi.

What are some large, successful defi organizations today?
I think this is needlessly pessimistic. A virus spreading uncontrolled in one of the world’s largest cities? It would be journalistic malpractice _not_ to report on it in the current climate
send them to school so they can be with their peers, I implore you
The fear with COVID was mutation of the disease into something more deadly and more contagious. What looks like fearmongering now was cautious behavior around mutation at the time. Conversely, Ebola isn't likely to mutate now, so we don't need that same level of caution.
That's a great question. Healthcare tech is a big and diverse space, and we are still honing a product description that speaks to all audiences.

Among technical decision makers (Software Engineers, Architects, etc), the Firebase analogy clicks much faster. Among traditional healthcare administrators, "EHR" or "API first EHR" or "Headless EHR" resonate more.

We're definitely open to suggestions!
Because it will eventually come back to earth.
It's practically free. I bought the app once many years ago and have never sent more than 1000 pushes a month.
Thank you for creating this. I was just looking for something like that to send notifications to my mobile without setting this all up and deploying my own app to the store. Using ntfy now :)
You start to loose correlation with IQ really, really quickly as you move away from feats of solving established math problems to football management and entrepreneurship. Solving established math problems is more like taking an IQ test than any other activity that I can think of.
Show HN: TwitterBreak.app – quickly find/follow your Twitter follows on Mastodon
Built this in my spare time over the last couple days to help people explore Mastodon with some friendly faces.

Feedback welcome!

Early feedback:
Random errors connecting to twitter or mastodon instances. - working on this.
But... a tank _is an_ AFV.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Armoured_fighting_vehicle

You may have meant an IFV, and in some cases those work. But that's like saying that a rifle and a machine gun both shoot bullets, so why would you want a machine gun?
Glucose-starved yeast poisons neighboring microorganisms and its own clones
You’re telling me Ebola-cases.com is not a reputable news source? /s
First of all Twitter is SF based, and is NOT a Silicon Valley company. It's frustrating how many people get this wrong, and most of the times when it suites a particular narrative.

Secondly: Not to say that Twitter, or other tech firms, don't have a bunch of people who are not very productive/contributing - but is this a problem unique to tech companies and not every other company that grows beyond a point?

Are pharma companies, car manufacturers, utilities, CPG, etc etc all running a perfectly well oiled machinery. Or, is it just that the people who have been on the outside looking in with jealousy suddenly get to vent their rage during times of such correction since it gets them eyeballs.
Generally you say you "feel" those low frequencies not "hear" them.

But I get what you're saying, what is sound exactly? Is it something that is perceived in our eardrum, or is it something beyond that?
This explains why the scene in Jurassic park never lives up to the expectations of watching it in my friend's home theater when I was a kid.
So it seems we have found a self-referencing loop of assumptions about each others' culture! Interesting.
We have? I’ve certainly been bombarded with graphs showing trends, but six month predictions? Where are you seeing these? Can you point me to some?
You're speaking really about the National Vaccine Injury Compensation Fund. If someone is harmed by a vaccine the maker is immune from suit, but they can apply to the NVIC, which has paid out to some. However the difference is that the NVIC uses tax dollars to pay those claims. The drug companies themselves are immune.

In business terms it's a win, but not very much for the public.
Context would matter here, but the above question on its own wouldn’t typically rise to bad faith, even if phrased as written.

The job of the PM often demands creating project schedules, delegating assignments, spurring their team to deliver assigned tasks on time, and managing the team. It very much is their business to have some sense of how long things take, why they take so long, and get a sense whether the bottleneck is a personnel skill or motivation issue or the technical nature of the problem space.

A good faith answer would likely include an explanation why shipping a button took 3 weeks, would likely explain the relevance of those HTTP calls in your use case, and would help to give them a better sense of the work involved so they can better mentally cost out new interface items without creating expectations you’d be unlikely to meet.
Is there a difference between static or dynamic linking for LGPL?
JoltPhysics: Truly open source physics library, used in Horizon: Forbidden West
You should design it such that everything is in one monorepo and the entire system can always be run on one developer's local laptop without ANY serverless/cloud stuff...and in a single process if possible.

Then if you ever have a bug, you can easily set a breakpoint, step through the entire execution, and fix it.

Agree that this MUST always be possible whatever architecture changes occur.

Then have a flag/config to allow specifying certain things to communicate over network instead of as function calls, and using serverless functions.

I've NEVER seen teams do this though. It's like no one can imagine they will write a bug.
Yes. But why that permutation? And although there is a relationship (like Q and 1 being on the same key) there isn't a relationship with Baudot or ITA2 (e.g. Q/1 isn't 00001 it's 11101).
No layperson is qualified to understand any advanced technical field these days. Semiconductor fabrication is utterly out of reach for the typical voter, but they still have to form an opinion on the CHIPS act. Most of us aren’t lawyers, but still sometimes need to hire them. This is the dilemma inherent in not having a /u/PhdInEverything.

But the answer isn’t “go away and let the grownups decide”, the answer is to try to learn what constitutes an expert, try to understand what degree of consensus does or does not exist amongst those experts, try to ferret out some obvious biases (e.g. red team / blue team idiocy) and be as informed as possible.

The standard model of particle physics, or Wiles FLT proof, or 1000 other things are every bit as technical as anything in virology, but you’ll notice the mathematicians all agree: the layperson doesn’t have to look very hard to know what the takeaway is there.

It’s medicine’s (including virology’s) job to get its shit together on the public’s behalf, not the other way around.

This kind of condescension infuriates me, I’m working hard to be as polite as possible here.
They didn't need much more than noting Rt and experience of Wuhan, if you're thinking "IMHE!", sort of a red herring: yeah, they predicted X million of deaths, but it wasn't anymore complicated than take Rt, use in formula, and yeah we should probably see if we can eradicate this thing locally, early. Was never a global decision.
HTTP Status Codes as PHP Exception
I mean you can die on that hill, but I'd hazard a guess that nearly everyone considers SF a part of Silicon Valley
> but when 95% percent of your bugs are syntax related rather than algorithmic design... it fails the sanity check.

And you, of course, have study that proves it, right?
Yes, though they were already taking on serious credit losses before any normal creditors were.
Yeah the music stops when the naive outsiders stop having the extra cash into the system.
These are IT and manufacturing hubs and the respective State governments and the Centre gives them special attention because they want industries and jobs.

Maybe if the elites start taking their lives more seriously and threaten to move away from these cities we might start seeing some action.

> the kind of person who lives in a Housing Society in Noida, Gurgaon, or Ghaziabad doesn't know or care to partake in Gheraos, Bandhs, or Dharns to push their point through.

That's what I wanted to say with my earlier comment.
How does ActivityPub make sure posts on other hosts are "real"?

I would have gone for a pub/priv key solution instead and supported tree structured comments and real private messaging.
Really seems like vindication for the US's regulatory scheme that in that it keeps US customers out of these shenanigans.
Background: I'm working at a company currently in a pivot to build a support system for managers and burnout detection and mitigation is our main goal.

If you are open to speaking a little, can we get in touch?
I'm only finding the quote, no source. But here's something we can be sure he said:

> The complete syntax of LISP can be learned in an hour or so; the interpreter is compact and not exceedingly complicated, and students often can answer questions about the system by reading the interpreter program itself.

https://web.media.mit.edu/~minsky/papers/TuringLecture/Turin...
If it's going to happen, better sooner than later.
In some (vague, old) theories, students in a traditional school are learning F2F social skills, developing friendships & relationships with a large-ish group of their ~peers, and other soft stuff.
Yes, but…

While Lambda supports containers, you lose out one one of the largest benefits of having Amazon patch/update the runtime.

Which brings me to my opinion on the value proposition. There’s a concrete cost curve where ECS/EC2 is cheaper than Lambda in what you pay AWS, there’s a much higher inflection point where you are responsible for maintenance/operations. Under that line there’s still a place for serverless.
For those talking about the "3 hours under fire": Dexpan is an expanding cement that cracks concrete over a few hours.

Once placed into a hole or crack, you don't need to hang around to do anything.

The reason for the hammer drill is to make holes in the dragon's teeth to put the Dexpan into. For that, you only a minute per tooth, and it doesn't matter where you put the hole, so you can use the teeth as cover from defensive fire while you drill.
The pursuit of realism hit diminishing returns years ago; the manpower needed to make a game hyper-realistic isn't justified by the number of additional sales it will produce. Instead of becoming more realistic, most games have instead focused on having more bright neon particles swirling around on screen. That's much cheaper and much more effective than chasing further realism.

This will likely change in the near future as the industry invents ways to replace human modelers, texture artists, etc, with automated "AI" tools.
I don't think "live coding" music means that musicians would actually write code in front of an audience live -- it's not like musicians compose music in real time even without computers. In either case there is a lot of trial and error in getting things right that you wouldn't want an audience to see (or hear). I think "live coding" is just a fancy way of saying a programming experience with immediate feedback -- like a REPL but even more so.
>> If you're in a factory with both hands building the widget or on a roof nailing shingles

There is a long history of construction workers on amphetamine, opioids or cocaine.

https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/31685308/

https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32677121/

https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35700122/

https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35143279/

A job in construction is very challenging, both physically and mentally. Many in the construction industry resort to drugs and alcohol to cope with stress or to self-medicate physical pain. Some of the reasons that construction workers turn to substances include:

* Long work days

* Physical pain and injury

* Stress (pressure to work quickly)

* High risk of work-related disability

https://americanaddictioncenters.org/rehab-guide/workforce/b...
The assets are fine. Just the value of the assets is not sure.
Right. I'm not trying to make an anti-vaccine point or anything like that here. I'm simply saying that 29 payouts in a decade, even with ridiculously low odds of injury, is still way, way, way too low and it lacks justice. Showing it really isn't about patients - if you get hurt, you'll never be compensated, too bad. Just like Theranos. You got hurt - too bad.
It seems to my layperson’s eye that that would be a reason to get a loan for a week or a month, not to sell the company.
Why on hold? That's another example of rich privilege. Why should she have her sentence delayed until all appeals are exhausted? Non-rich people are not typically afforded such luxury, it's off to jail immediately.
I‘m very interested in starting my own business, I’m not interested at all in making it huge, at least in terms of staff.
The GP is invoking the idea of a compelling understanding, one that produces action by buy-in.

If you're confused on that point vs sinister authoritarian actions, then the risk of other people lying to you is far from your biggest problem.
> Beer helps, but only at the sweet spot of 4 cans of %5 alcohol volume. Any more and productivity drops dramatically.

Looks like you found the Ballmer peak.

https://xkcd.com/323/
YouTube URL: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0j0xzuh-6rY.
really can do without all the silly animations and effects. it's suppose to be a simple "lazy" tool... certainly lost in its design
> He knew it would be losing $millions/day because he forced the situation that created the debt.

No. He knew about the company's finances because that's part of M&A due diligence.

https://morganandwestfield.com/knowledge/due-diligence-check...
just looking at the graph: why do they expect this to be linear?

Their graph has two lines: (month 0 == december)

- totalcases = 180*month+300

- totaldeaths = 83*month+84

Recent experience with covid shows that usually epidemics initially grow exponentially.
FTX/Alameda holds tons of illiquid FTT tokens that they cannot sell and which Binance was dumping. Thus, they might have not technically lied. But they were still wrong from the accounting perspective - they surely understood that FTT token cannot be used to cover gaps in large scale.

It was the question that matters "how fast you can process user withdrawals and with what risk"

Sam owns 8% of Robin Hood that is worth around ~$1B - he could sell that and cover some of the gap. But what we do not know yet is the size of the gap in time and space. FTX had $6B withdrawals pending on Tuesday.
You lost me with "Plus, it's just common sense."

https://www.logicallyfallacious.com/logicalfallacies/Appeal-...
I have experienced this at work. We were working on a somewhat complex embedded system and seeing some unusual performance corner-cases. Everyone had a different theory for what was causing the problem.

So I fired up SLIME and wrote a high-level simulator for the system, starting simple and adding in the complexities. Once we were seeing the same performance profile as the embedded system, I stopped, and we now had a malleable system. Then I spend the next 15 minutes implementing each of the recommended performance fixed individually, and we found one that worked in the simulation and then implemented that one in the real environment (it took almost 15 minutes just to update the program on the embedded target, and much longer to run a full test-case).

Making it so you can check your guesses faster means you need not be as good at guessing. I should put in one additional warning though: don't fall into the trap of "make random changes until it looks like it works" and call it done. At this point we had only demonstrated that we knew where the issue was; the final fix was significantly different than the "quick and dirty" fix suggested by the simulation. The simulation I wrote definitely saved weeks
(if not months) of time because 90% of the team was convinced that the issue was in a different part of the system than it ended up being in. We found the issue only because "It will take less than a minute, so what's the harm in trying?"
Meanwhile half the population is freebasing TikTok and insisting that it's healthy.
I deleted my Facebook in 2016, and the only reason I've ever wanted to go back was for Marketplace and Events functionality. And if I wanted to keep up with people's feeds, I'd use Instagram (roughly the same thing, I know, but less wordy for me and more enjoyable).
By fire do you mean weapon fire? Sorry, maybe it's obvious but my brain keeps jumping to literal fire.
It's so awesome to see the medplum team here!!

Medplum is a truly amazing solution to so many problems of building healthcare apps quickly. Before I had started chatting with the Medplum team it felt like an insurmountable task to experiment in the EHR area - the amount of infra & prep work we'd have to do made it so even for a proof of concept we'd have months before we could see anything useful.

It's really awesome to have so much of the hard part of handling health records done for us - and the depth of knowledge of the Medplum team is bar none when it comes to this area.

Y'all rock, congrats on the launch.
I see this when giving and receiving form advice in a few physical disciplines. "Just relax your shoulders here and move naturally."

Physical mastery often looks relaxed, natural, and simple, because all extraneous effort has been removed. When you're training hard to reach that state, the "just" can really sting. It feels like: "not only are you bad at this, but it's simple to not be bad at this".
A guide to using Google Analytics in the EU
Yeah, they’re fucked. They’re just not dead (yet)
No. The $13B debt he saddled Twitter with did not exist during the due diligence phase, which he also waived.

Word was prior to the takeover, their debt was on the order of $200M.
Netflix Explores Investing in Sports Leagues, Bidding on Streaming Rights
It's not a problem because corporations never had "the rights of people" - people still do. People have free speech rights, and people can go to jail for crimes.
It would almost certainly make you a criminal...
Yeah. I can't be bothered to verify, but i remember that Binance has a huge double-digit percentage of all FTT tokens in circulation. Dumping all of them would crash the tokens value. And since this is FTX's own token, they would hurt a lot, maybe even terminally.
There absolutely are HFTs running off arbitrage on the major exchanges, so you wouldn't need to hit many, just a couple major ones.

We are talking about theoretically crashing the market, not an auction, and illiquidity won't protect it.
The oil states have a huge problem with this - an oversupply of educated but useless people. The government ends up as the employer of last resort. Egypt used to guarantee a Government job to anyone who completed college. Then the oil ran out. There's been much unrest ever since.

In the US, only about half of college graduates have jobs that require a college education.

Craigslist has about 50 employees. If you really had to, you could probably run Twitter with a very small staff, and the computing outsourced to AWS.
We were talking about the right hook as a major danger to cyclists. That article is all about "cyclists shouldn't pass turning drivers on the inside". While that can be a contributing factor in some right hook collisions, many (most?) right hooks do not involve that situation. The article does highlight an error that most drivers make: if you're turning right across a painted bike lane are supposed to shift over tight to the curb when that lane becomes dashed. The driver essentially merges into the bicycle lane (and needs to do that merge action safely, which is the actual cause of most right hooks).
I'm guessing it frustrates you because you like solving problems? You hear someone stuck in a rut and you want to help them out of it?

Totally with you on this. I'm a solutions architect by day, and my entire skillset is helping people solve problems.

Do a role-play: someone comes to me complaining about how it's really frustrating having to type all this crap into Excel, so I suggest using OCR, or taking a course on getting quicker with the numpad. Unfortunately, I missed their real problem: they hate their job. Me telling them "here's how you could be better at a job you hate" doesn't really help them, it simply looks uncaring and assumes they haven't already thought of those things.

So I could just nod and say "oh that's sound terrible" every time they mention it. You're right, it might look crass and robotic.

Even better here would be saying "Wow, typing all that crap into Excel, you mentioned it last week as well. Sounds like you really don't enjoy doing that?" and encourage them to expand a bit. Is it the typing? What makes it so frustrating? Do they think it's their job in the first place?

Eventually, they admit to you (maybe they hadn't realised themselves) that they hate this bit of their job, and need to discuss with their manager not doing it any more. (Or maybe they hate the company they work for, and need to find a new job. Or it's actually the keyboard they're using they hate. Or whatever, you need to listen to find out.)

This is how you help them out of their rut. They feel that you're interested in their problem, and when they do find a solution, they'll own it because they found it.
Note that FTX.us is regulated under some US licenses and is unaffected. What was blown up was FTX.com operation that is licensed and regulated in Bahamas.

[insert coconut meme.gif here]