skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Burry is subtly wrong, and I'll tell you why.

The biggest bubble for the past 20 years has been in bonds. Stocks went along for the ride. When you can't get a reasonable return on debt, you'll be fine paying for a zero coupon stock that has the chance of 10xing (Tesla.)

The script has now normalized and may soon flip. Say the Fed unloads it's QE balance sheet from even as far back as '08. Debt will become extremely attractive and there will be a massive allocation out of relatively low yielding index funds into debt.

Right now yields are eye poppingly good, and we're not even quite to the long term historical average of 4.5%+.

Also, there's a lot of fear of certain forms of debt that are actually safer than they've ever been. Mortgage REITs for example are incredibly attractive especially after the post '08 regulations. The shift back towards debt and classical savings is what will drain the market, not some index fund issue--although I do agree index funds will probably underperform some active managers until they rebalance towards businesses with nearer term cash flows.

For everyone screaming about a depression, go out on a Sunday to a restaurant. Everything is packed. Working people are making a better wage, inflation has slowed, and they get better savings at their bank.

Finally, I know there's this narrative that governments will "inflate their way out of debt" which makes debt more risky. Sure this is a possibility. It's just as possible as a company issuing more stock, but it's not guaranteed. There's a political question that needs to be answered. Maybe we solve the debt issue by taxing those who benefited disproportionately from ZIRP more. Maybe we just slow government spending and let the economy continue to expand on its own. We as a country get to decide whether we inflate it away or we do something else along with who benefits and loses from that process.
Curious, isn’t pointing out individuals like this and call-out culture ironically the same thing?
I agree, it’s just variations on a fairly miserable theme in the UK.

We love the Algarve in Portugal so that’s our primary focus - Portuguese is challenging to learn due to pronunciation but we are getting there.
They took the trouble to put a sign on it. Yes perhaps they should have taken it to a thrift store but it seems they're trying or hoping to have it reused rather than trashed.
Tesla and SpaceX aligned with his vision from childhood. Twitter takeover is born out of the greed to be the first Trillionaire.

Telsa and SpaceX were built ground up to challenge atatus quo. Twitter comes with baggage, is a new space for him and a new competitive area altogether.
Classic BPF vs. eBPF
> No, wait. The QuickSort from the article is O(n²),

What article are you referring to? This article is about binary search and mergesort, not quicksort?

And which quicksort has O(n^2) typical behavior? That's the worst-case behavior you normally only get on adversarial inputs, not the typical one. (And standard libraries have workaround for that anyway.)
I moved out this year after finishing uni and for the first time ever I’m not completely dreading winter, and this comment contributes. I live in the Pacific Northwest and the worst part of every day of winter was scraping ice and snow off my crappy old minivan that sat outside over night and had barely-functioning heating that didn’t kick on until I’d made it to school.

In retrospect, I’m amazed I made it through high school without snapping, what with such mornings and going home when it was already completely dark out. Teenagers are a different breed.
The premise is intriguing. I was really looking towards the show. Until I watched the first episode. Sadly the show turned out to be boring.
> One being paid to do so? People still work with COBOL. If you have trouble finding engineers to do it, offer a higher salary.

Higher salary than who? Do you really think old COBOL programmers (FWIW I’m 48) are making more than the average new college grad working at any major tech company?

And besides if you know how raises and promotions work at tech companies, you would know they are based on “impact” and “scope”. You don’t demonstrate either by saying “I spent all last year supporting MacOS on a PowerPC 6100 from 1994 doesn’t speak well to either.

Unless you work at Google where it’s based on creating new messaging app that will be killed in a year.

Is the average COBOL programmer even making close to the same $170K+ that I’ve seen returning interns make at major tech companies (including the one I mentored)

> Some software is still supported for Windows XP, and that's considerably older than the last PPC Macs.

How much mainstream software is supported by XP? Microsoft Office? Adobe software? Modern browsers? Modern games?

> In any case my point is that they absolutely have the resources to do this. I don't see how that's at all controversial given how much money they have

Yes and they also had the money to buy Twitter. But what moron would do something that stupid?
Due to “recent revelation” Binance is liquidating their FTX Token holdings
> more money (smart) active investing will earn you.

One problem is: which index fund and which active fund (which changes managers every couple of years anyhow) would you compare?
> If stocks are so over priced, can anyone show an example of an fund that's making a killing off of these mispricings?

Are we talking 2022? If so then yes… PSQ, SH or for a more targeted approach FNGD.
It is a feature, WSJ used to do this for a while. At one point, the article links they posted on Facebook would also be paywall-free.
Yup. You will also need to externalise your executive function and working memory. Get a fitbit to buzz for all alarms so that you don't miss meetings, etc because you silenced your phone and turned off buzz.
Context: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=33464494
I'm really passionate about learning Docker. I know it is probably super easy/familiar to a lot of you but it is phenomenal to me. I've been in technical sales for the last 10 years and while I really know my products really well I've let my actual technical skills lag. I've since switched roles and I'm now doing more hands on technical work with my products and less sales. I've had to start learning new stuff. In the past I would spin up a single purpose VM, put the thing I needed on it, and move on. I was recently forced to use Docker for a project and I was totally out of my depth. I've been learning as much as I can as fast as I can not only for my job but for my own personal stuff. Kids want a Minecraft server? Docker container. I need to use some of my own products in a different way? Docker container. All the things I have single purpose VMs for on my home network. Migrate to Docker containers.

In a way I'm disappointed that I didn't do this sooner BUT I'm also really happy that I'm learning something new AND it is something so practical to me.

P.s, if you have some great Docker learning resources please pass them along!
I genuinely can't tell if you're trolling.
The environmental problems we're facing are down to the explosion of the global population.

While all the talk is about emissions and net zero, we must reign in our overall impact on the planet and that includes stabilising the population, and perhaps even better letting it decrease.

The cultural paradigm shift is to accept this and to think about how to adapt our economies and societies.
Look at this cool house I designed on sand.

It's odd to design a secure system and write a paper, when the security is based on something like TEE. There's tons of literature on breaking TEEs. I can't imagine anyone doing other than checkbox compliance with that level of security.
> I don't want to create 100 accounts to access each countries totally unique and special websites. It's a bad system and ultimately will lead to less discourse and not more.

However, unless you are a resident of 100 countries, it's probably not particularly essential that you do so, is it? I mean, I can imagine my being interested in the official channels of communication for governments of countries in which I am not a resident, but I cannot imagine why they should care to make it particularly easy for me to access those communications. It seems that the most that I should be able to ask is easy read-only access without having to sign up for a special account.
There Is No Such Thing as an Index Fund Bubble (2019)
Ah, but what happens when a deepfake video of that professional journalist starts going round saying 'today this presidential candidate said X, and I heard it myself' that matches the previous deepfake?

I guess the counter (which I think you're pointing out) to that is to publish text to a known-trusted website rather than a video, but I wonder how many folks who get their "news" from TikTok would read it.
To cite present causes is to accuse the present administrators. Citing past causes is safer.

Maybe?

Or maybe citing causes after they've passed gives investors a chance to shift their investments before the hammer comes down.
International Prototype of the Kilogram
Indeed. "Put on blast" is first of all slang and therefore anti-intellectual, ageist, and soon to become antiquated itself. Worse, it's ambiguous: A web search turns up alternate meanings, either public vilification, or publicizing of personal details (aka "doxxing).
> In principle, you could boot one up with pocket change and operate it with a small budget.

In practice, a site with user generated content from millions of users and a shoestring budget is an unmoderated, spam-laden shithole. Or, you can leave the moderation up to AI which permanently bans people for arbitrary and inscrutable reasons. Neither of these outcomes is appealing to the general public.
I am guessing that you missed that the legality of US companies in the EU is very much under question ?

> the US takes the view that foreigners don't have privacy rights. I doubt that the US has a future as the cloud provider of the world, if non-US persons have no rights under their laws

https://noyb.eu/en/new-us-executive-order-unlikely-satisfy-e...

This has been a looong time in the coming, maybe since at least the Patriot Act (2001), and definitely since the Snowden scandal...

It's indeed the US companies dominance in the EU which explains all the denial around this, and of course the still good relations between the countries : compare with the ban in the USA of the Chinese company Huawei... (which is an issue in EU too !)... or what the reaction would be if it was Russia instead of the USA !
Or just don’t use it?

These sorts of comments always ignore the bidirectional relationship between websites and web users. They don’t owe you anything, you’re just another customer with a choice to make.
Man personally I’d love an S&P 497 index fund where they remove three dumb companies.

I hate being forced to hold doomed companies.
> Ok, I looked at it closer and I admit that quicksort implemented in C won't take days on an input of 2³¹ elements. It will take less than 1-2 hours, I think.

How ancient is your machine? Quicksorting (2^31 - 16) elements (because that's Java's hardcoded limit) takes < 11 seconds on my machine, and a big chunk of that time is taken in the random number generation to create the input...

# Temp.java
import java.util.*;
public class Temp { public static void main(String[] args) { byte[] arr = new byte[0x7FFFFFF0]; new Random().nextBytes(arr); Arrays.sort(arr); } }

$ javac Temp.java && time -p java Temp
real 10.30
I think they keep saying the opposite and you keep talking past them and insulting them.

Seems like the posters are saying every pixel is showing yellow but the sub pixel layout (not any artificial sub-pixel sampling) produces the artifact you're seeing.

|R--G|R--G|R--G|R--G|R--G|
Or Linux only for that matter.
Absolutely, that's why it's important to look at his other bets not just his big win in the GFC.
Europe maybe doesn't hire beautiful people to push drugs on prescribing doctors? Maybe Europe has better surveillance?
Thanks for checking it out.

No, it's not open source yet. I don't yet know where to go with this and if there's enough interest to continue development. I'm currently working on having accounts, so users can upload their tracks to their own profile. Also, integration with Garmin Connect is almost finished (so Garmin tracks will be automatically synced to your profile). Sign up to the newsletter if you want to keep in touch (or write me an email).

Regarding 3.: It only works for GPX files with timing data (i.e. from a n actual activity) in order to show speed etc. But this is the most requested feature so far, so I'll work on it...
As opposed to pulling this sh!t? https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=33494109
Yes, that would be technically correct. Which is the best form of correct :-). I guess a more accurate way of say this would be that I have a 0 burn rate life based on owning a single modest property I share with others (the other properties don't factor into that equation), by embracing a more communal way of living in N.A. that is generally looked down on for independent adults.

I think a lot of people with a single family lot don't want to share a house, don't want to share their property, with a slightly more community based approach you can get your burn rate to 0 or even into negative numbers which opens up all kinds of flexibility. After the age of 15 I didn't have a familial safety net so I effectively built my own through modest and shared living long after the age it's frowned upon culturally.
>And OS vendors cannot afford to support old versions indefinitely.

So instead they built Vista, 7, 8, 8.1, 10 and 11?
Bitcoin is a scarce asset, there will only ever be 21M. So based on the number of people on the planet and Bitcoin’s growing adoption with both individual and institutional investors, I’d say the fundamentals look pretty good.
The article rests on the assumption that Taiwan really is the center of the conflict and the West only defends it out of the goodness of their hearts (or to defend some local economic/strategic advantages such as access to TSMC or an open South China Sea).

Following that assumption, the conflict could be instantly defused if some compromise about Taiwan's status on the unification/independence scale could be reached (or where any option to change the status quo would be more costly for all sides than keeping it)

I worry that the situation could really be the inverse - that Taiwan is just a flashpoint in a larger US/West vs China conflict which is already well on the way. Another consequence of China's explosive economic growth that the article didn't go into was that China is now becoming a US rival and is openly challenging the international system and the "liberal international order". They are increasingly setting up counter institutions, such as the Silk Road or the SCO and the West sees itself pressured to react to that.

As such, I think Biden's "autocracy vs democracy" line was at least getting the scale of the conflict right.
I mostly agree, but:

> the US is a 23 trillion dollar GDP. sooner or later, all private corporations adhere to its law.

While the EU and China are not quite as large as the USA on their own, they are close enough that many multinational corporations already face the challenge of being the servants of three masters.
Seems like they can stay overpriced for as long as there is no better place to put the money.
Not if your job is only to make people better programmers, not responsible for product deliveries but responsible to code quality, code brevity, long term maintainability, that sort of thing. If you keep pairing with people and pointing out better ways of doing things, ways of doing things that they might have considered impossible but have some hackish solution of a category they haven’t used before, or of building things towards your desired long term plans but not specifically asked for by product/customers, the job is only code and coding, but also enculturation of a group into a common vision that can make for very high performing groups of developers.
Is there a way to shift light frequency outside of the laser? That could open up more applications.
The underlying reasoning is that any system that is too uniform is fragile.

In this case, the common belief that S&P500 is safe is valid up to a point, if too many people rely on this assumption this can turn into a big problem.

For most humans 99% == 100% but this is not true.
This guy isn't worth your time, buddy. Just ignore him.
There are all kinds of potential ways to address this or any other problem besides confiscating a farm, and even confiscating a farm doesn't necessarily have to violate any individual freedom principles, since nothing is pure. There has always been eminent domain.
If the goal is to have children, then efforts must be made to ensure people can afford to do so and to make sure the health care system nurtures them. Some countries and provinces are doing this but “spending money on others” is really out of favour right now. Children are both a direct and indirect cost: primarily women are removed from the work force and raising them costs money.

This means companies and governments have to create things like child care and career retention plans to allow parents to raise newborns and then return to work. They have to retain jobs in the country or province/state so people can make money, and such jobs have to provide health care or the governments must do so. Domestic production will raise prices a little, and this is something societies must do to keep job opportunities present.

Will this happen? Today, no. Having children will remain the domain of the (very) poor and possibly (very) rich. Everybody else has to work to preserve their current situation. Perhaps immigration will provide the needed younger workers, but that’s politically unacceptable. Better to let food rot in the fields than let “them” in.
Gruber’s deeper point is that Apple is so particular about design and design standards. Apple has their own typeface. So having this slip through is, jokingly, a fire-able offense.

It’s actually not about font snobbery, but about mocking Apple about their design standards.

It’s a joke, not sure why people are taking it so seriously.
A high capacity factor sounds like a benefit, however demand isn’t a constant. The perfect power source would be capable of running 24/7 but be profitable if run for 1 hour a year.

In the electrical industry a base load generation has historically been the least valuable electricity and it’s the only way Nuclear can operate.
Yes, let us switch from biased humans to biased AIs for content moderation. If it's with most automated content moderation systems based on reports it would still need to be validated/disgarded by a human so it doesn't make much sense in the end. I would love to see one of the bigger platforms implement a fully automated system based on a large language model just to see how it holds up in court.
Its probably more reliable income though. Screw up in tech (not even big tech), or have some kind of life misfortune, and your salary can pretty quickly go to zero. Knowing how to reverse a tree on a whiteboard is not some kind of important skill that employers want.
The literal point of the article is that too many people dollar cost averaging is why we have a bubble
Also, the sub-pixel layout is indeed WBGR. This is easier to see in the green-gray horizontal transition.

https://imgur.com/a/a1UL57t
There are definitely a lot of people whose “casual” weed use is uncomfortable and not fun

One day we will be able to call them out the same way we do to alcoholics

Right now there is a hysteria towards people that are prohibitionists, and anyone pointing out moderation is overfitted into prohibitionist
Definitely not a satire but the hard truth. Your kid might end up having a strong existential crisis about why pursuing a "science" field ends up with 80k salary jobs when with that effort you could just go to FAANG as a SWE with a much higher salary with a bachelor's degree. If you don't get there as a bachelor's, just go there with a master's.

The "strategy" is to get your kid interested in science enough so that they make a strong resume to a good college and have a strong foundation, then sway them to learn CS and get a SWE job.
Ok, but what about the point in the article about the underlying not being traded in 96% of the index trades? Isn’t this hiding valuation, liquidity, or some other aspect of the underlyings?
“I have yet to invest in survival food products myself, in part because I’m optimistic enough to believe that we won’t need them.”

This line irked me. I know it’s an opinion piece yet but this is insulting.
> Alternatives for dealing with overpriced stocks are abundant: shorting, options, index futures, etc.

All of these either have a timing component or some sort of a penalty for holding them when the market increases, even if just temporarily.

There is no downside equivalent of blindly DCA buying and holding a broad basket of stocks (like index funds).
Here's an exhaustive explanation:

https://texaslawreview.org/fair-learning/

Here's some relevant case law:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Baker_v._Selden

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Whelan_v._Jaslow

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Google_LLC_v._Oracle_America,_....

Here's some relevant legal doctrine:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Abstraction-Filtration-Compari...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Structure,_sequence_and_organi...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Idea–expression_distinction

The only thing I can say is that if there is a tool that is consistently outputting copyright protected works that this burden would not be worth it for most people. But as I have yet to see a single output from my own use or from Twitter that would pass the filtration test I am not worried about my personal liability.
I didn't think Mastodon would make sense for me as any kind of twiter alternative, but then I found someone created ruby.social and now it actually makes sense for me, and offers something twitter doesn't.
Earnings are a fundamental factor. Forward earnings as well. In the last bull run, market caps skyrocketed way beyond sensible forward P/E because rates were 0% and growth equities were worth the risk. Now that rates are going up, the risk profile has changed. In the last year growth stocks that have not shifted to value stocks have been slaughtered. Think meta, snap, etc. At the end of the day there are way more factors than earnings influencing price. The options market even has a big impact on underlying assets. Anyways the risk profile has changed and value will become a stronger factor.
> It's not about the cost of the service, it's that it's a pointless endeavour it's never going to succeed. Every social media company succeeds or fails based on the network effect.

I think that's a valid concern if your main goal is to create a social network, but less so if you're trying to create a reliable and trustworthy organ for government communication.

> Where did I mention Elon?

This:

> > Why don't they buy a considerable stake in these American social media companies instead of trying to reinvent the wheel that is deflating as soon as it launches.

does not refer explicitly to Elon, but Twitter is a much more common organ of government communication than any other big American social-media company, so it seems disingenuous to pretend that this wasn't at least suggestive of buying a considerable stake in Twitter (and so giving money, indirectly, to Elon).
You need to explicitly request cognitive behavioral therapy alongside medical management. You might need to look for a psychiatrist that understands that as a component of ADHD management.
If he wasn’t in the contact list, perhaps that is his phone number.
Jason Calcanis always had the worst ideas. Classic example of failing upwards.

I remember mahalo which was supposedly a "human powered" search engine which would out compete flawed algorithmic search of Google. Mahalo eventually became a spam content generator for SEO.