skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
It's much more than running the service, the instance owner is the moderator of that instance basically, if nobody else fills that role. Lack of moderation will eventually kill an instance (other instances will blacklist it, if it is seen as a safe haven for whatever they don't want to see).
Only dumb phones seems decent in theory and for kids, it will help increase self control around screen usage, but there's a lot of unscientific theories surrounding the consequences of screen usage. People aren't forgoing real life for the sake of their phones, communication and friendships have become more technology based.

The school did this as a response to a student live-streaming a fight. Banning phones is not solving the underlying problem there, it's just covering it up. It's not a big school, with only 57 students.

I also strongly dislike the continued narrative of pushing "dopamine" as an "addiction" that you control with screen usage. Dopamine system dysfunction most commonly presents as ADHD, it's not a bad habit that can be fixed. I understand phones become an easy way to escape and it becomes a negative coping habit for some, and it's especially important to teach teenagers how to address it, but pretending less screen time is always a good thing is a very pre-broadband internet mindset. It's not the direction modern society is headed.
Finding something useful to do with something that almost works is such a drain. I don't have the bandwidth to fix everything that broke in my life. And it seems very hard to funnel these items to the people who do. There are probably not enough such people.
What are Metas plans for expanding their datacenters for AI?
Meta has received much attention for significant growth in capex, but I was curious from a technical side what the plan is? I'm assuming they are investing in datacenters optimized for training large amounts of data on NVIDIA GPUs?

A few quotes from Meta's Q3 Earnings report and call:

"First, we are significantly expanding our AI capacity. These investments are driving substantially all of
our capital expenditure growth in 2023. There is some increased capital intensity that comes with
moving more of our infrastructure to AI. It requires more expensive servers and networking equipment,
and we are building new data centers specifically equipped to support next generation AI-hardware. We
expect these investments to provide us a technology advantage and unlock meaningful improvements
across many of our key initiatives, including Feed, Reels and ads. We are carefully evaluating the return
we achieve from these investments, which will inform the scale of our AI investment beyond 2023."

"For 2023, we expect capital expenditures to be in the range of $34-39 billion, driven by our investments
in data centers, servers, and network infrastructure. An increase in AI capacity is driving substantially all
of our capital expenditure growth in 2023."

"We believe the additional data center capacity will provide us greater flexibility with the types of
servers we purchase and allow us to use them for longer, which we expect to generate greater cost
efficiencies over time"

"Our AI discovery engine is playing an increasingly important role across our products -- especially as
advances enable us to recommend more interesting content from across our networks in feeds that
used to be primarily driven just by the people and accounts you follow"

https://s21.q4cdn.com/399680738/files/doc_financials/2022/q3/Meta-Q3-2022-Earnings-Call-Transcript.pdf
The main thing for me is that prepping only work if there is a transitory situation where a buffer can make it easier to navigate.

If we are going full steam ahead towards the collapse of civilization your prepping just delays the inevitable.

Also, if shift hits the fan, communities that are able to band together and work together will more likely do way better.

I don't care how much food and guns you have stockpiled if I can just take them away from you when I need them. If things are dire other will come for your stockpile.
Everyone on my team, including myself, mutters to themselves like this. I’ve asked some of my team members about it to determine if it bothers them and was surprised to find they feel the same way I do. It’s actually somewhat endearing. Granted, we could be drawing the line at different places here. I just curse under my breath at things that have me stumped, sulk for a moment to collect my thoughts, and then get back to it.
Yes, there is some hand waving, but it conveys the general idea that current wisdom and circumstances have made investing in large sets of stocks all the time with no regard to the underlying fundamentals does put an upward pressure on prices.

No the s&p 500 is not "everything", it is one, albeit very popular, index. There are many others, but the underlying concepts are the same. Further, the companies are not selected for long term performance. Ignoring some finer details, the s&p 500 is the largest 500 US companies by market cap. Perhaps you are confusing this with the DJIA which is hand selected, though not selected for long term performance by any means; rather, it is selected in a way to represent the economic landscape - how well it achieves this is a matter of debate for sure.
And herein lies the problem with being contrarian. It’s impossible to be both contrarian and correct with sufficient reliability that you beat the market. You will get it right sometimes and wrong other times. But not consistently.

Everyone should go and read A Random Walk Down Wall St and Irrational Exuberance. For a retail investor, the first book teaches you that beating the market is a random process, so there is no point in trying. Any advantage you gain from being smart will be paid for in time invested in being smart enough to beat the market.

Irrational Exuberance teaches the retail investor that markets go through long, yet unpredictable, periods of irrational behavior. Even experts struggle to explain the movements of the market, so as a lowly retail investor, you’re unlikely to have any chance at winning the game.

Ultimately, while each book looks at the world in a contrasting way - one assumes investors are collectively rational and the other assumes the opposite - the lesson is the same for a retail investor: just live your life, invest passively, and give up on trying to get rich quick in the market because it’s random whether you’ll succeed.
>Passive investing has removed price discovery from the equity markets. The simple theses and the models that get people into sectors, factors, indexes, or ETFs and mutual funds mimicking those strategies — these do not require the security-level analysis that is required for true price discovery.

Maybe with enough blog posts and Bloomberg interviews, we convince everyone to go back to a culture which prefers more complicated, specific investing strategies. But after you completely destroy peoples' wealth by crashing the index fund plane, how exactly are you then going to convince them to buy into your focused strategies (and importantly, with what wealth)?
Jack Dorsey seems to be describing Mastodon, unless I misunderstand.
In the 90's my aunt bought an old chemistry set from a yard sale and it was amazing! From the 60s or 70s I think. Had all kinds of crazy stuff you'd never get (even then) off a big box store shelf.
"Prepping is an act of community resilience, “the capacity to anticipate risk, limit impact, and bounce back rapidly through survival, adaptability, evolution, and growth in the face of turbulent change” (Plodinec, 2009). For example, Huddleston’s (2016) study of a Midwestern prepping group indicates that the micro-resilience of these groups enhances larger local systems and may improve a community’s ability to withstand disaster. The philosophy of preparedness encompasses protecting one’s families from disaster, homesteading and sustainability. Their belief in self-reliance, approaches to survival (sheltering in place or leaving the city), gathering resources (supplies and skills) and networking, demonstrate capacities of community resilience (Faulkner, 2018)."

from:

(2020) "New Yorkers’ Street Smarts and Survival Smarts During the Pandemic: Preppers, Community Resilience and Local Citizenship"

https://www.researchgate.net/publication/347094445_New_Yorke...

"Conclusion: During the COVID-19 pandemic, urban preppers bolstered community resilience by relying on prepping strategies to protect themselves and shelter in place more effectively, and sharing their knowledge and resources with their neighbors. Their philosophy of self-reliance has helped them to survive the pandemic and brace for future surges. As noted by the Partnership for New York City (2020), “the pandemic unleashed political, racial and economic tensions that can either leave the nation’s largest and most important urban center in chaos or. . .provide the impetus for working together for recovery and positive change.” Now, survival is dependent on the resilience of the city. ..."
Yes, that's implicit to the complaint: "too much tracking and profiling being requested: won't use." And then you post a comment letting others know, in the hopes that they do better on their own websites because they see people voice the fact that they'll bounce on unreasonable tracking modals.

They don't owe me anything, I don't owe them anything, and when someone with whom we have no debt relationship one way or the other goes "give me your personal data or I won't show you anything, not even a preview to justify handing over your data" should be called out as making an unreasonable request before, as you suggest, moving on.
Starlink is getting daytime data caps
Note that the pupil is almost always at the very edge of the eyeball. It's actually more realistic-looking to simulate the cursor being some number of inches above the screen, so that it more smoothly transitions from center to edge.

Here's an example: https://peeryview.org/about
Hah!

Economy is going to explode. If you cannot see that you need to find a set of glasses.

Shit can't peak forever and it can't follow an upward trend towards growing yoy either.

It has to go down at some point. Of course it has.

Please. Cash out and sell all excess things you don't need. Don't trap yourself by not being able to maneuver.

Buckle up. I truly believe it will be a wicked ride.
If they could answer that, they would be making a killing in the market, not handing out free investment advice on the Internet.
Jes, kaj estas tre malfacila kie homoj diras kun lingvoj ce mi ne komprenas.

Do, ĉiuj homoj devas paroli Esperanton.

;)
What to do when a beloved employee quits
Smartphones and smart watches are your friend. Noise canceling headphones come in a close second. You need to remember while unmedicated to take your medicine so an obnoxious, hard to ignore medical alarm is a good tool.
> Preppers, as the community of bunker builders and food hoarders is known, emerged during the Cold War as fears of nuclear holocaust drove some people to go to great lengths to prepare for survival in a burned-out world.

The mentality of storing supplies in case of an emergency, or simply as a matter of practicality, is older than the cold war. Long term storage of food for times of need has been the rule rather than the exception for all of human history, except for maybe those few, strange decades after WWII. Drying, pickling, burying, canning, and so on: your great grandparents were certainly "preppers", if they lived in a rural area, even if they didn't know the term. The framing of this practice as a paranoiac response to the cold war was something the media created, to have some group to deride, and through tidal processes it was inevitable they would reappropriate it eventually, to have some new trend to write an article about.

But really, nothing has changed: the idea that the supply chain will always be there to provide anything we want, anywhere, at any time was what was crazy, not the precaution to store things against the day you might need them.
Yeah I got a really big kick out of The Big Short. I don’t know how anyone who was a home owner or potential home owner in 2005/2006 could not see what was happening. We sold our home in San Diego in 2006 because it was obvious to me the real estate market was a mirage. I wasn’t some high flying hedge fund manager, just some shlub that could do basic math.
Black Hawk helicopter flies autonomous “rescue” mission without crew
Twitter's interest burden wasn't this ridiculous as a public company, and they make $1bil/quarter on average (well, they were before Musk ran away advertisers). When you say "money pit" I imagine investors dumping in cash to make up for low revenue, and this hasn't been the case for years.

Musk's purchase, as you may know, increased Twitter's interest burden, so now Twitter is losing $4mil/day.

In the absence of Musk holding the company hostage from April to November, yes, of course Twitter would have to make some cuts like so many others who've had a drop in revenue.

But there's no reason to believe they would have cut the estimated 50-55% that Elon has.

edit: And now there's impact of this decision: of those who didn't get cut, how many will decide this isn't a healthy environment to work in?
Tech Vision at Bol.com
It is not true that ground water from wells is freely available to whomever owns the land. See recent judgements regarding multi-billion dollar disputes in Nevada, Idaho, and Utah.

It is not a new thing for some wells to run dry because of neighbors' water use. And it isn't catching anybody by surprise. There's a whole lot of gunfighters flowing into these here parts. Uh hem, sorry. I mean lawyers.
What part doesn't "make sense"? If he predicts earnings going down and prices going down even more selling 99% of his portfolio - down to one single stock - seems consistent with that view.
Wow, is he an optimist:

> Michael Burry has exited all his positions which as of March 31st, 2022 had a value of +$200 million. Private jail operator GEO Group was the only stock he held as of the end of the second quarter of 2022.
> If we are going full steam ahead towards the collapse of civilization your prepping just delays the inevitable.

We all die in the end - isn’t a delay of then inevitable all we do everyday ?
Two Development Team Configurations I Lobby Against
Effective Sync Meetings
People would ask if they can have a mastodon at home and how fluffy it is.
From an investment perspective, bitcoin does not have a significant advantage as a store of value as you would think. Its expenditures are in energy+equiment hash rate, which is going up at the rate of value being put in. and its profits are based on transaction costs, which are also going up in tandem with the value put in.

Take away the speculation and you'll have a zero-sum game which always leverages power costs trough transaction processing. So the store of value is a benchmark of computational energy.

index funds will have better track records than bitcoin, even if all index funds drop 50% tommorrow.
Jason Calcanis always had the worst ideas. Classic example of failing upwards.

I remember Jason's mahalo which was supposedly a "human powered" search engine which would out compete flawed algorithmic search of Google. Mahalo eventually became a spam content generator for SEO.

I think he was a tech journalist who failed upwards into becoming a VC. Which reminds me- what is parislemon up to?
> the homepage (Pixelfed) url is just a login screen with no explore page or even a landing page.

That's a pretty faithful clone of instagram then…
> Speaking about productivity, software is far from a guarantee of increased productivity - see the case of EHR in hospitals.

Was this conclusively measured? I imagine there are fewer errors or better decisions made due to quick and easy availability of health history.

I trust auditable, easily legible notes over chicken scratch handwriting faxed from office to office in previous years. With EHR, I can also catch healthcare providers writing notes about stuff that did not happen in the visit to cover their ass, although I imagine many doctors do this because a lot of the minutiae is a waste of time that just serves to help in case of lawsuits or billing disputes. But in any case, I would rather have access to that info than not in case in need to dispute it.
Is anyone aware of a tool to produce graphs of the S&P 500 with specific companies added or removed?

I would be really curious to see a graph of the S&P 500 with and without TSLA (was added to the index in December 2020).

Side note: I wonder if owning a S&P 497 index could be achieved through any currently available Direct Indexing passive investment providers.
It might be good for everyone to know that "DMs" on mastodon are not even secret, anyone can sniff them if they read the traffic between two instances.
Not entirely true. If your employer’s rewards are tied to performance then working more could make you look better: more bonus/promotion/etc.
Why high UK energy bills were decades in the making
My real point here is poking fun at how, as has been observed in the past, "it is easier to imagine the end of the world than the end of capitalism." People are talking about world-ending cataclysms when the much more mundane "downfall of an economic order and rise of a different one" is a possibility too.
There is the old saying about analysts correctly predicting all 49 of the last 3 dips.
I've got an older phone so my fingerprint scanner is on the back. The finger I use for that is different from the screen one.

But yeah thanks PayPal
There is a constant stream of people retiring and entering the workforce. There are no cliffs in either, even though people who espouse “boomers!” and “gen z!” would have you believe there ARE cliffs.
> I wonder if this is like an implanted memory that you have or what?

As pointed out below, it's because in my normal latitude (south UK) the sun moves from left to right (as you face South) and at a similar distance below the equator, it goes from right to left (as you face North). So at home when I look at the Sun I know that a couple of hours later it be quite a bit to the right of where it is now, and I can use this to assess where shadows will be.
That sub-pixel arrange isn't correct though, as seen by closely inspecting other transitions.

I have not insulted them. They have been rather hostile and at most I mocked in response to comment that only contained insult.
> guy who held a short position on TSLA through the entire rally

TSLA is Wiley Coyote waaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaay over the ledge. "Investors" also created a rally for GME out of thin air.
Preexisting conditions was torture. I spent way more than I should for therapy and medicine because of it. Look. If aca ever gets repealed, we need to require insurance to be insurance and have the carrier under which you were diagnosed indemnify you. Period.
The Engineering Manager’s Tools. What is in a manager’s toolbox?
How far do you go with that line of thinking? Was the Agricultural Revolution a mistake? Should we have remained hunter gatherers?

Aside from that, while I agree that people have historically often used technology to consume more, some of your examples seem at odds with facts, especially recent developments:

1. Fuel economy has been improving for the last few decades https://www.greencarcongress.com/2019/09/20190930-sivak.html

2. Birth control has greatly reduced fertility rates. This suggests that your fellow humans may not simply be mindless maximizers of resource utilization, eager to exploit every technological advance to increase their consumption. They want sustainable lifestyle like you, and will choose it if it isn't too difficult to implement.

People want to live sustainably, but will struggle to adapt on a rapid timescale dictated by the
planetary greenhouse effects. Giving more time will provide a better result.
Maybe that's what you like to do. Personally, I like to update my priors on whose opinions are more likely to be correct.
Is Elon Musk's Takeover of Twitter the News Event of the Year?
As someone who had a Twitter account several years ago but lost interest in it and haven't posted in about 2 or 3 years, I was under the impression it was just YASMS [Yet Another Social Media Site]. And that Elon Musk's takeover was just another case of "One rich turd buying another rich turd's company".

But judging by the amount of coverage it's been getting in the press --and not just the tech press. I'm talking all the main news channels too-- I'm beginning to feel like everyone else but me seems to consider this the most newsworthy event of the year. Right up there with the Russian ivasion of Ukraine.

Only a couple of days ago, I heard an interview on a national UK radio news station with a soon-to-be-ex Twitter employee which seriously ran for about 20 or 30 minutes. And this was just some guy who worked there, speculating about the company's future. Not a top executive or anyone with any real info.

And, as for the tech press. Well, it's almost becoming a challenge to find a story which isn't about Elon-bloody-Musk and Twitter!

Search on HN for "musk twitter"[0] and I counted 15 pages of submissions to go back 10 days to when the takeover was confirmed. At 20 results per page, that's 300 submissions to HN alone, just in the 10 days since Musk took over.

In a similar period, the BBC has had 18 news stories on the subject [1]

And I counted no less than 60 stories on the subject in the Guardian, during the same time frame [2]

I'm assuming the story is pretty much the same in other parts of the world too.

Am I missing something here? I don't see the fascination with social media myself. But I know a lot of people use Twitter, Facebook, Instagram, TikTok or whatever and get enjoyment from them.

But are these vacuuous time-sinks so newsworthy that the change of ownership at one of them is attracting this kind of blanket news coverage. Can the press really find nothing more important happening in the world?

[0] https://hn.algolia.com/?dateRange=all&page=0&prefix=false&query=musk%20twitter&sort=byDate&type=story

[1] https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/topics/cmj34zmwx51t/twitter

[2] https://www.theguardian.com/technology/twitter
Everything old is new again! Nice job!
Yeah, that's the point. Mastodon was created because its developers thought Twitter didn't have enough censorship.

I don't mean to trivialize their achievement, but I thought that was pretty funny.
It was really only one example and what prompted me to write this. It is the exception in terms of this, definitely not the norm.

Anyway I picked it up, tested it out, and donated it, so maybe it'll be useful to someone yet.
> > Major OS updates always introduce more bugs than they fix.

> This was my major point.

I don't think your words said what you thought you might have meant: "with Snow Leopard, Mountain Lion, and High Sierra standing out as focusing on bug fixes rather than introducing new features (and new bugs)"

Major updates never focus on bug fixes rather than introducing new features (and new bugs). Otherwise they wouldn't need major updates at all, they'd just keep releasing minor bug fix updates. There's nothing really special about 10.6.0 (Snow Leopard), 10.8.0 (Mountain Lion), or 10.13 (High Sierra) compared to other major releases. These were all much buggier than the previous stable release.

> Yes, thank you, this is the entire point of my criticism of annual upgrades in that a year is not enough time to fix bugs before introducing instability and new bugs in a major release.

Except the annual release cycle actually started with Mountain Lion, which was 1 year after Lion, and High Sierra was also 1 year after Sierra, but you put them in the "the glory days of OS X stability".

> Apple isn't pushing upgrades, and I don't think the OS can be configured to upgrade automatically, only update.

I wasn't talking about automatic upgrades, I was talking about how macOS annoyingly advertises new major updates, for example in Software Update, and even permanently badging your System Preferences Dock icon until you upgrade. This didn't occur in the days when major updates were on physical discs.
But… COMIC SANS!