skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
She says that the ROI probability calculation is wrong, which is the last part of her video and a separate topic.

The part about correlations has not been retracted AFAIK. I agree that there's a need for a baseline though, there is one example on her recent twitter feed but more samples are needed to get a better picture.
You are actually suggesting what Java does in a container environment lol.

https://developers.redhat.com/articles/2022/04/19/java-17-wh...
This ends with

> We should do all we can now to prepare a massive political response that might deter Putin from crossing the nuclear line.

What would this possibly be? At this point, he must be feeling pretty secure that whatever he does he'll just face more scolding

There's an article from earlier this year that I wish I could find, that basically says the longer the west waits to stand up to Russia, the worse it will eventually be when we have to. I think this is coming true, and will continue to get worse
Clozapine
As an outsider, this debate has been entertaining for me. This is happening in online tournaments with money at stake. Is it just me, or are you basically just begging for some sort of shenanigans to occur?
I guess I totally missed this. Can you please explain in more detail?
> Nuclear blackmail is also used. It is not only about the Western-encouraged shelling of the Zaporizhzhya nuclear power plant, which threatens an atomic catastrophe, but also about statements by some high-ranking representatives of leading NATO countries about the possibility and admissibility of using weapons of mass destruction, nuclear weapons against Russia. I would like to remind those who make such statements about Russia that our country also possesses various means of destruction, some components of which are more advanced than those of NATO. If our territorial integrity is threatened, we will use all the means at our disposal to defend Russia and our people. This is not a bluff.

From https://pastebin.com/9jGGjyRD, transcript of https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_7ICK2zNTBE
He's starting from a totally blank slate and hoping he'll end up at Physics. In some sense, that's guaranteed by definition -- any sufficiently complex foundational system or algebra can represent any other, including the current models of reality. But this has no predictive power. It's like saying digital circuitry is a theory of physics because a computer can run a physics simulation!

My approach is more akin to assigning a lower probability of validity to papers that have long been generally accepted as 100% true. Then I try to hold all of them in my brain simultaneously while reassigning joint probabilities, almost like those computer game map generators that use "quantum decoherence".

The idea is to find a parallel path that goes through most of established physics but avoids the trap of local minima. The challenge is that it's really unclear which existing theories are the traps, and which are true and need to be kept.

Something like this is clearly needed, because existing theories are either contradictory or inconsistent. They can't all be right. Something somewhere must be discarded.
No, that's all he has said thus far. You don't have the faintest idea what he "can say". In fact, Magnus hints that he has more to say, if GM Cheatboy gives him permission to do so without threat of a lawsuit.

I imagine Magnus is telling the truth about that.
This is only just posted 18 days ago[0] with 309pts, 105 comments
[0]: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=32764501
Are you all thinking about, or planning to allow plugins?

eg say I wanted to use jmap to implement some of hey's functionality -- for instance the screener that isolates and allows ban of new emails on first contact. Rather than a client, can I have a server that listens to my fastmail inbox and (potentially) moves emails as they're delivered?

Any chance you're thinking about allowing UI space for things like that?
Now I’m waiting for the big reveal when it turns out Carlson has been three PC Jrs stacked on top of each other all these years.
Uh oh. I see you didn’t yet encounter the Einstein-notation for tensors :-)
QUIC is a TCP replacement for many uses, just not all. It (or something like it) will probably the dominant protocol in the future.
Run an emp in the room before starting the game?
The annoying thing about software is that we still haven't quite gotten the transfer of knowledge working to the point that you can communicate all knowledge about a piece of software purely through code (and no, being able to emulate all behaviour is not the same, otherwise decompiling wouldn't be a thing).

What this means is that for most software an essential part of that software consists of knowledge that needs to be kept alive. The only proof people can have of this is activity surrounding the project. This puts us in the uncomfortable position of having to designate someone as the 'keeper of all knowledge' surrounding a project if it is to be sustained, and failing to do so will result in knowledge being irrevocably lost.
What if you assume 91.7% efficiency?
Basically that means it is for deterrence.
I have seen similar calculations discussed many times on HN. Usually the suggestion is to charge 2x your salary. So if you would usually make 150K per year, then charge 150$/hr to make up for the self-employment taxes, health insurance expenses and other things.

But does this really work in practise. What I have usually seen is that the client usually pays in that range 125-150 /hr. But then a huge chunk of that is eaten up by the middlemen - companies like Randstad, KForce, Adecco, Robert-Half et. al.

In the end, you are barely left with 70-85$/hr at which point consulting makes no sense and it is better to go full-time becase you get better health insurance from the company rather than buying it from the marketplace.
I wasn't saying that redefining words was a bad thing. It's actually great.

I'm just wondering how it works in Holonforth. I checked their guide as well.
> I find memorization very difficult (poor passive recall), yet my comprehension is superior (aiding deduction.)

So, the [learner's paradox](https://fs.blog/the-learning-paradox/) is that students do things that are easy and gratifying but have no lasting impact. Baseball players practicing batting should be practicing a random mix of pitch types but vastly prefer 'massed practice' sessions. I.e. 20 fastballs then 20 curveballs then 20 changeups or whatever. Yes, you can do very well on that 20th pitch, and perfecting it will be gratifying, but you come in tomorrow closer to pitch 1 than the person who mixed it up does.

It's worth pointing out that "Photographic memory" isn't durable (typically), and may in some ways impair a person -- like a guitarist who's so good at listening and replicating a song they never bothered to learn sheet music, they may end up using short term memory as a crutch and commit fewer things to long term memory in a way that impairs them in later life, especially versus someone who had studied other similar networks of concept in the past.
Correct, imagine if they had recognized not having enough information and chose not to form an opinion that needed changing once more evidence was gathered?

Imagine if they had chosen not to be a loudmouth (their words), and thereby adding to the cacophony of uselessness that happened around that time?

The problem isn't that they reached the wrong conclusion, it's how __CONFIDENT__ they were in that conclusion despite NO ONE knowing enough about covid at the time.
I am not as optimistic.

Beyond individual camera data, there’s already huge amount of behavioral data you can legally buy (usually from tracking apps the users either willingly chose to use as such, or didn’t fully understand it what it would do) and probably associate with other databases to get individual profiles.

Even full on data breaches associated with complete identifying data have had very little impact on the control we have on them. The companies leaking millions of records didn’t get much more than a stern look and a slap on the wrist from regulators around the globe, and the EU is the only entity starting to take it seriously at this point.
The things you enumerate seem to be on the “Mozilla good” side of things, to be simplistic. Can you say more about Mozilla bad?
I 100% believe that’s it’s possible to build a library without tons of bugs, and appreciate that there’s people who put out quality libraries like yours.

I do think as a general heuristic no updates for 3 months means it’s been at least 2 months since anyone paid attention to outstanding bugs, especially the npm ecosystem.
This is a logical and normal term in strategic military planning, the concept of knowing that your own important thing will almost assuredly be destroyed in a retaliatory strike, should you be the one to initiate the war. See also the last 70 years of cold war era mutually assured destruction calculus.

This is one of the reasons why highly advanced anti ballistic missile systems are seen as very dangerous because they upset the parity of two nuclear ICBM armed states being in approximate equal capability with each other.

The cold war never really ended.
Doesn't seem extreme at all to me. I used to work at a place that would stress the importance of keeping implementations easy to understand and documentation up to date in case "[team member] gets hit by a bus tomorrow and we have to replace him." (Some people apparently thought this was too macabre so they would try to change it to "they won the lottery and quit instantly," but the engineering team thought this to be a less likely scenario than getting hit by a bus)
Author of the post here. Good comments. I was being deliberately provocative in the title to make a point. As I note in the article, it may or may not turn out that QUIC replaces TCP; the main point is that we didn't need a "TCP replacement" as much as we needed something new to meet the requirements of RPC (and HTTP in particular) and QUIC is doing that nicely. It may turn out that is all we need and TCP disappears, but as you say, there are reasons to doubt that including the extent to which TCP is baked in to existing systems.
Why does this effect the existence of physical sims?
Machines can throw objects faster, further, and more accurate than humans, but field sports are still popular. It's interesting not because the object goes far, but because it's being done by a human.
Oh absolutely. If you’re using it in production manufacturing, $100-250k is a small startup cost. I was thinking more of personal ownership like with an FDM 3D printer. Maybe one day!
A human making a TAS isn't playing the same game. They're playing a version with slow motion, rewind, memory inspection, etc.

And a computer performing a TAS isn't playing the game at all.

So many cheating scandals boil down to splicing, which is again not playing the same game.

Tools that don't hack the game are very often allowed and openly used.
In other words, it's completely true. Right? Things are either true, or not. Which is it?

Come on, just have the guts to admit it.
I don't follow this at all. The open interconnection of the internet still works no matter what Cloudflare does. My users can still get to my site. When they no longer can because of Cloudflare I can easily drop them and/or switch to an alternative. Cloudflare is literally not capable of preventing people from reaching my site unless they ask me to. The minute they cause a problem I can drop them. There is no shared commons problem or monopoly problem here.
> If the stock is valued at $10 and the strike price is $0.01, the option is currently worth $9.99.

Right, but isn’t that a good thing? Then the employee gets some actual compensation, versus having to pay money for something that may have no value at all.

> Issuing an option with a low strike price would be better handled by issuing shares

Maybe that’s my real question then… why doesn’t every company issue shares? It would seem way more appealing to me.
For sure! It's absolutely reasonable to believe that Hans beat Magnus completely fairly. It's also completely reasonable to believe there's a better-than-even chance that Hans cheated in this game.

There are a number of comments here which promote the idea that this is simply sour grapes by Magnus and totally uncalled for, and I find those perspectives to be overwhelmingly uncompelling.
Hans trolling like this, as an admitted cheater winning a play far above his rating, would be an astonishingly bad move.
but it could _trivially_ support 8 eSims _and_ at least one physical SIMs for like a few cents of additional production cost and basically no cost for maintenance because that is already supported in some places anyway.
> But a technical CTO can stand up to reports that want to go down an obviously bad road, whereas a non-technical CTO would have as much defense as I would at jiffy lube when the tech asks me if I want my fluids flushed. It kind of sounds like a scam, but I really don't know.

Very true. GP probably had good tech judgement which is why their technical CTO was following their judgement.
Is the current ELO accurate though? How many fide rated games were played over covid?
Certainly some of the folks doing the pharma/banking/politic post-ad proformas would be contenders if not augmented in some ways.
The standard interface for paths on Linux is "bag of bytes", do you want to see bag of bytes or do you want to see human-readable path?
That is hilarious! Yeah, my qualm is less about Shell's sort being named after him, and more that many places present it as shell sort, where you can easily think there will be some form of shell game involved. Akin to thinking a bloom filter must be something about growth or flowers blooming.

I also don't mind algorithms named after people, and can understand some of how that gives provenance, at the least. The Knuth-Morris-Pratt algorithm is a good example of that. What makes things difficult is that many of the other sort algorithms were not after people's names. Unless there is a Merge that I am unaware of. :D
Thus, zk is akin to all doors within the castle being locked and only the appropriate persons can access their respective areas: chefs -> pantry; knights -> armory, etc.
Pretty crazy to me that this has never made it to the supreme court. Is there some reason for that? Is someone blocking it?
If I may ask, I'm curious about why you wouldn't use it to build a User Interface?
Hey Xenodium, thanks for this post. I love your site and use Plain Org regularly. I wanted to ask: what utility do you get in jumping back to the old prompts? Can you edit them in-place and re-run them or something?
Listened to whole podcast, 2x is audible:

- YC sees itself as software company;

- Small percentage of YC companies reach true product market fit;

- Standard deal increased in response to irrational market conditions and to help YC companies manage economic downturn;

- Finding founders from under represented groups remains challenge;

- Micheal loves working with YC founders.

______________________

My take is: YC needs to start a software engineering boot camps that target software development skills startups need. Should give percentage of YC equity to anyone referring under represented founders. Remain focused on finding product market fit for itself so it’s able to scale to 1000-3000 founders a year.
NASA about to Deflect an Asteroid
I don't think anyone's arguing RDS doesn't have useful features. The problem is that it's stupid expensive for the performance you get. RDS makes a lot of sense when prototyping, and if you want a failover database with checkpoint backups, but having it be your primary database of record only makes sense if you're not developing a data product, otherwise your profit margin becomes Amazon's.
Heh. It looks like I set out inadvertently to demonstrate the importance of copy-editing. "bulks that never leave the computer" should have been "books …"; and "to which you were responded" should have been "… responding".

I'm curious (but not complaining!) about the downvote—whether it indicates disagreement with my claim that some of these services are not needed for some books, or something else. If the latter, then I'd like to know what, to understand better the nature of the argument. If the former, I would be very interested to hear that case! (That is, the case that all books need all of the services "edit, copy edit, fact check, type set, market and fund writing".)

As an academic, where publishers are particularly parasitic, and where academics do, indeed, provide all of these services for free (and worse, since we still wind up paying, directly or indirectly, the publishers' exorbitant fees), I share the sentiment of my sibling commenter pessimizer (https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=32975366).
It’s funny how experiences differ; I can’t comment on how Go fares here, but if anything, I find that the compiler takes such a mental load off of my shoulders that Rust is the language I find easiest to make large refactorings in.
I had to check that because it sounds too "execute arb shell scripts on dhcp lease" to still be there... but there it is... decades later and --force-local not the default?

It's almost worse that rsh isn't installed on most systems.

pledge(2) is the correct model.
Ai written summary https://www.summarize.tech/youtu.be/jfPzUgzrOcQ
> Nobody edits (or copyedits) for free.

I think Wikipedia is a massive, living counterexample to this. It has tons of problems, but the lack of people willing to do the work for free is not one of them.
> My guess is the income from a reduced subset of apps offsets special maintenance for only those parts of the old SDKs which that subset uses.

Again, a guess based on zero empirical evidence. Also, Apple's "rule" here makes no distinction between paid and free apps. Indeed, free apps tend to have more downloads than paid apps, which means that Apple would be targeting the wrong apps if they were looking to offset costs.
Likely zero. It’s a payday for the violence monopoly.

I’m very stoked for this guy though and curious what his cut is and how that is determined. Any ideas?
> which Carlsen can get away with because he's Magnus Carlsen.

Exactly.
Right wing and Republican aren't synonymous though any more than progressive and Democrat is. For instance, some of Trump's biggest critics were Republicans and much of the early opposition research on him that was used to create the seeds of what would grown into the Steele dossier was funded by Bill Kristol, a longtime Republican kingmaker.
I learned of this working at Apple that they don’t really strive for backwards compatibility. I think I upgraded some internal tool and discovered this MO. This was in such a contrast to Microsoft where I heard crazy stories of incredibly old software still being able to run. What exactly is the overhead to achieving such astonishing backwards compatibility as Microsoft has?
> I can almost guarantee the reason they're pushing for eSIM is because it's cheaper to manufacture a phone without a milled out slot with water sealant lining, little switch to pop out the SIM deck, etc.

That's precisely it, it's just that Apple et al. don't need to explain their reasoning to sell phones. They never have an official reason for removing the headphone jack, but their COGS is definitely lower.
And what is the right size?
In a nutshell, the difference between the fair market value of options and the strike price is considered income. That means the employee has to pay taxes on it in the tax year of the grant. It's non-cash compensation, which means the employee may not have the cash to pay those taxes, which can leave employees in the bind of owing the U.S. government money that they don't actually have. In the example you give here, where it would cost $100K to exercise your options, you would probably owe $30-40K in taxes if they granted them to you at close to zero cost, and you would still have only illiquid stock options (not even stock, which is what you get when you exercise the options).

From the company perspective, they have to book this as a compensation expense, which means that their earnings are lower (perhaps negative), their burn rate is higher, their runway is shorter - and these are all the metrics that investors look at to determine if they're going to give the company more money, which can sink the company.
What substance? He made an assertion with no examples.
The security Key could also be a Bluetooth-enabled security key or pixel phone.
When evaluating libraries, recent activity is one of the things I look at. It's a far from perfect heuristic. I've probably rejected libraries like yours for what amounts to no very good reason.

I don't know if this is a good suggestion or not but I wonder if some form of "keepalive commit" might help here. I can imagine a few ways they might work, some simple, some more elaborate.
I watched the livestreams of Andrea Botez's games in Vegas. Something I was really struck by is even though she's not a GM strength player, her mental board visualization skills are way up there. She did post game debriefs on the streams where she went rapid fire through hundreds of variations with her cohost just verbally. She'd go through them faster than the host could click to show chat at times.

Now imagine what people like the Super GMs are capable of.
I don't think that currently the west needs to do more than supply Ukraine all it needs to stand up to Russia. And the west is currently doing that, or very close. I don't see how much more they have to do before you think they're actually standing up.
Sherlock Holmes is a fictional character.
Yes they can also tell you they don't log anything but blocked content but then log everything anyway, you have no way to know.

To top it of even just logging blocked content can be a major invasion of privacy as things like union sites and similar are sneaked onto block lists all the time.
> A metric for this is "time spent in front of a screen." It inexorably climbs year after year, generation after generation.

Inexorably? That's not a measure that even can grow infinitely. There are only so many hours in a day. Nor should it grow infinitely. Many people find that taking up hobbies away from the screen improves their lives significantly.
And the goal of hitting 2900 is basically impossible if there are cheaters in the mix. That has to really make him annoyed.
You could look for "research developer" type positions where you are writing code to support research work in an area that interests you, so you'd get exposure to it. They would mostly only work it areas that have some immediate commercial potential, though there may be some university positions in more theoretical areas.
Of course it doesn't have any purpose, but we're not 14 anymore so we get on with practical concerns
I did not intend to attack or defend Hans with that statement, I just wanted to point out that both you and the original comment could be right at the same time. That being said, it's quite funny that this case showed both sides.
When twitch says they're not making enough money but fail to disclose their revenue and costs it becomes hard to justify.

In any case, as others have pointed out, the ad situation on twitch is abysmal. Because adblocker doesn't work properly (there are other extensions that do work for blocking ads specifically on twitch) I had to suffer the "regular" experience and it literally made me quit watching the platform entirely. Maybe I'm over sensitive but having to watch 4 to 6 ads whenever I tune into a stream was awful, specially a new stream of someone I hadn't watched before. Of course if I know the streamer I know what I'm in for but if I don't and I'm greeted with 6 unskippable 30 seconds ads... Sorry but no.
CS research is generally more common in the functional programming sphere AFAICT. Doing research on type systems and type theory is something you can do at home with few prerequisites.