skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
I suspect there are plenty of people who worry quite a bit about the Russians dropping nukes, but don't speak of it publicly.

From what I've read, the nukes people think Russia would use are the small, "tactical" nukes. If Russia set off two or three of them, they won't lead to immediate nuclear winter. Fall-out and persistent radioactive contamination would depend on detonation altitude and other targeting factors. I'm not saying we wouldn't get our hair mussed, but it's possible to detonate a small nuke without ending civilization.

But the problem with Russia detonating a small nuke is what happens then? How would we respond? Do we nuke something? We're not officially belligerents in the "special military operation." Would we declare war? Would we torpedo their Arctic drilling platforms?

I think at least part of the lack of public discussion from various governments is that we're not really sure what we would do until we know exactly what the Russians do.

I also think there is a strategic benefit to ambiguity about how we would respond. We've always said we would not be the first to use nukes in a conflict. But I don't think we (the west) have explicitly said we would consider a nuclear attack on Ukraine a nuclear attack on us. There's some benefit in being ambiguous about this as (I'm sure) someone in the national security policy hierarchy thinks there is a deterrent effect.

You can't live your life continuously frightened and expect to be effective at achieving any of your foreign policy objectives. But there are certainly times when it's legitimate to be more frightened than others. I started getting more nervous after Russia started massing troops on the Ukraine border. Personally, I thought Putin was bluffing. Then his troops performed less well than any of us seemed to anticipate and I started worrying a bit less. Now he's calling up more troops and is doubling down.

I think the nuclear threat comes in if Russia perceives the west has crossed the line to become a direct belligerent. We don't know if Russia would respond with a tac-nuke or the full tour nuclear armageddon.

I think it boils down to... We don't know if they're going to drop nukes. Which means they could maybe not drop nukes. If we truly believe they will drop nukes, prudence dictates we take steps to prepare for nuclear war. But they'll see us prepare and assume that we're going to launch first.

When Mutual Assured Destruction is no longer a deterrent, what then?

So yes. Be afraid. But also be brave. Assume there is a situation that doesn't lead to nuclear war, and that we can find a path to that future. Be brave because to show fear may be to invite your fears to manifest.

Or at least I'm sure this is what Kissinger would say.
Those crickets just won't quit!
That’s my point, kinda. I expect there to be some savings, but I’m not sure where from and how much. I feel like millions of jobs is a lot though.
> I've been astonished at how often a feature was added 3 years ago to a program I've used for 8 years,

This looks suspiciously similar to lifecycle of a social media, especially how they grow new features and eventually dies when users migrate.

Maybe it's a viable strategy for a social media, mobile OS, MMORPG, anything aaS to not explain features or educate users, but to grow as users consume added mechanics, until it becomes impossible for new users to catch up and old users to keep up?
There was quite a bit of time between when the invention of the (Western) printing press commoditized publishing, and the invention of the concept of copyright. (Specifically, ~270 years — Gutenberg was in the 1440s, and the https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statute_of_Anne was in 1710.)

Before 1710, there was a concept of government licensing of printers and publishing houses (see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Licensing_of_the_Press_Act_166...) — but this was used for censorship (i.e. blocking libel, anti-government propaganda, etc) rather than for enforcement of any conceptual property rights over published works per se.
How to Write, Speak and Think More Effectively by Rudolph Flesch is still a great book and good bang for your buck. I got mine on bookfinder.com
Most libraries have ebooks these days.
> Entirely different market 320xx vs ARM (at the time and even now). The simplicity you're advocating as successful for ARM was not applicable for the market NSC was attempting to compete in.

Except the original IBM 801 RISC was built - with c20 people - explicitly to compete with VAX. The next set of RISC machines likewise had small teams and high performance.

The whole 32016 approach was just less effective both from design and performance perspective.
Yes, the main feedback from HN back then was that we don't have any click-through or impression data. That is true, and we don't want to introduce any user tracking to make our idea possible. That was a very hard nut to crack, but after a year of research we finally think we have a practical solution: Instead of views, we estimate the attention a story has received. The main idea is to track how much time a story spent on different ranks. We created a causal statistical model to approximate the amount of attention a story gets on specific ranks. These are used to calculate a total accumulative attention number for every story. This attention value is then used instead of the views mentioned in the article. That's the main idea. A more detailed writeup will be published, together with the implementation of that frontpage.
Here are some offers, by the author: https://survivingtomorrow.org/this-real-estate-bubble-wont-p...
Seems pretty clear cut to me. Rioting implies violence. The examples you noted are bound to happen durring such times.
> I went through a few years in which I saw many anti-aircraft missiles...

How many exploding, breaking-up 747s, though?
Charge higher rates for essential. Offer rebates for certain users with life safety requirements for uninterrupted power.
My Pixel 6 will get five years of official security updates, and if past phones are any indication, it'll get several more years of unofficial ones via custom ROMs like LineageOS after that. Once Apple decides your iPhone is no longer worthy of getting security updates, you're just out of luck, and your choices are add it to our growing e-waste problem or accept a bunch of security vulnerabilities that nobody will ever fix.
I agree, they're behind from the start. Lots of other market spoilers too for that matter. Our points coexist.
The "pro nuclear lobby" doesn't even exist.

There's two big players, oil and renewable companies. Which are actually the same and both hate nuclear.

I thought this was obvious to everyone?
https://openlibrary.org/

So shadowy!
I’m browsing this page on mobile as well and found it easy to read, so it may be that understanding what the page is accomplishing is an important aspect to finding it readable.
I read the whole thread. At one point he goes on and on how France is shaky because their nuclear plants are offline caused by corrosion issues etc. On the very next tweet he blasts Germany for prematurely shutting down "the most reliable energy source nuclear". Well if they're reliable, why is France in this world of hurt right now?

I agree about one thing, and that it really is a perfect storm of issues, and that the winter will be very rough. I hope it brings a needed change in a lot of ways.

The part about renewables requiring trillions in investment to replace nuclear I didn't get at all - they're the cheapest possible solution. New nuclear that is needed would be even worse. If he thinks they're expensive, don't know what else is there. My guess is that renewables will continue to be a huge winner, especially in this crisis. Even Macron came out a couple days ago and said France needs to build more renewable capacity and ease regulations and remove road blocks. That was a huge shock for me.
I'm pretty sure you misunderstood what I wrote.

> there’s a difference between number of characters and width

Billboards use large letters to fill the space, but normally they would be readable on a business card.
I picked those societies because those are some of the ones I've interacted with therefore can have an opinion.

And what I saw was not racism, what I saw was Arab immigrants trying to make Danish schools ban pork, or having a complete disregard to the "tidy" Danish way of life (whether you like that way of life or not)
The "corporations are just greedy" thing makes zero sense. If it's just greed, then why have they just recently started? It's not like they all got together and decided to raise prices.
Tracked: Colleges use AI to monitor student protests
> If people who write books for financial gain decide to quit, I'm not sure it's a big loss.

Plenty of people write software for free. Why don't we just use all software however we like? If people who write software for financial gain decide to quit would it be such a loss?
A BBC tour of the world's most top secret museum
Thanks. So yes, located in switzerland. The plan is to start in switzerland but go global later on if I see good traction. Now I have thought about meeting in a restaurant, which takes a different approach and one would not need to have the cooks. My main issue is the price point. I want to give something more affordable. Of course the people can set their own price and it could be expensive but when trying to validate the idea I actually found myself getting invited for free very or paying way less than in the restaurant. Also for me. I like the home feeling better. The noises in the restaurant aren't given and I believe one can connect better because it is a different setting. Of course one could say there is a safety issue and no openness, but in trying out the idea so many people came to my place and didn't feel unsafe at all when I asked them. I also went to other people and at the first time had some concerns but now after many good experiences am not anxious at all. It also is quite similar to Couchsurfing, which has been a proven business model. I totally forgot to write about my business model. It is that I would charge a 5% fee on top of the ingredient costs, which is why the business model as it is just works if I have many people on the plattform.
2018 was already too late. Tax subsidies for warehouses: why are they building those warehouses? To supply the purchasers.

If all my business had for the year was tax breaks, I have no revenue.
Europe sanctioned Russia so they retaliated? It was obviously expected and politicians were okay with that outcome. It was not a 4d chess move
I make absolutely zero apologies for the fact that the rings on my Watch helped me lose 40 pounds last year. Sure, I’m gaming myself, but good grief.
The author makes the point that it’s not more engineers (and the corresponding resource contention problems) causing slower delivery at large companies, but complexity.

However one of the driving forces behind complexity is the amount of engineers. Microservices largely exist as a way of enforcing boundaries to allow more people to work together.
Exactly.

So why should I buy into the narrative that they are gonna be able/it's their intention to invade all the Baltic states, Poland, Romania etc... which are also NATO members?
Sounds like a non-sequitur. Don't know how you got from "government accepts this" to "it's psychosomatic". I see no relationship between those things.
Came here to say this. I fell down this rabbit hole years ago trying to figure out what they were.
>The idea that we'd want to increase unemployment rather than have everyone working is frustrating.

Keeping unemployment low is part of the Fed's mandate -- along with keeping inflation low. But sometimes you can't get everything you want.
Biological weapons are less ethical because the chance for collateral damage is far higher. Weapons like railguns and lasers may be destructive, but they are far more precise than biological agents- the main feature of the biological weapon is its infectious nature. Even if a laser missed an intended target and harms a bystander, or strikes an innocent due to bad intel, that is still a contained tragedy.

Biological weapons can mutate or spread in unforeseen ways to infect victims other than initial targets, and a virus or bacterium does not destinguish between combatants and non-combatants. A biological weapon can cause suffering on a much larger scale than the initial deployment of the weapon, which is why they are widely banned.
> now it is the pro nuclear lobby.

Its hilarious that a real button support for nuclear is claimed to be driven by a nuclear lobby.

The scary Nuclear lobby of Greenpeace imagination has never existed and was always tiny and almost totally incompetence.

But it just so happens that these dangerous underground force comes out of nowhere during this energy crisis to destroy renewables.
The US isn’t meddling in Central American affairs by banning drugs here in the US. Although it does affect them! They should also feel bad for allowing poison to be created and sold from their country.
OK sure, I'm all in favor of more accountability. But I also think it's absurd right-wing media portrays the FBI as a Democrat controlled and biased organization.

According to a (likely poor quality) poll, when only considering Hillary and Trump in the poll, 92% of police officers chose Trump[1]. I believe it's fair to say that law enforcement overwhelmingly votes Republican, even if the poll is not great quality. 9 in 10? Maybe not. But likely far more Republican than your average voter. That was also in 2016, prior to the Defund the Police movement which would likely bump those numbers up.

That was general law enforcement, but FBI is law enforcement. Given the average FBI agent is probably more educated and urban than the average LEO, their numbers are likely slightly more Democrat, but it's reasonable to believe it would still lean Republican.

65% of FBI's supervisory positions were male, and 78% white[2]. As we know, white male demographics skew Republican at 58%[3]. The total FBI workforce is 75% white, 56% male. Looking at demographics, we'd expect the organization to be more Republican than average.

As mentioned previously, 16 top officials were given the director/acting director title and only 1 of those was a Democrat. If top officials are at all representative of the political beliefs of the organization on average (it's a fair belief, as those top officials typically spent decades climbing the org), picking Republicans that many times would mean either a very rare coin flip, or the numbers skew Republican.

The FBI has spent most of its resources throughout history targeting left-wing organizations a la COINTELPRO. This is still the case over the past decade.[4]

At the same time Peter Strzok was texting about stopping Trump, another agent shared her experience as "The FBI is Trumpland" and that Clinton is "the antichrist personified to a large swath of FBI personnel," and that "the reason why they're leaking is they're pro-Trump."

All of this gets overlooked by right-wing media and instead they focus on right-wingers getting investigated and prosecuted. When--I dunno--maybe it's just Republican politicians are more criminal?

Without having actual party affiliation polls of the FBI, I think it's reasonable to look at the information we do have and say if we were to guess, the organization probably leans Republican.

[1] https://www.policemag.com/342098/the-2016-police-presidentia...
[2] https://www.govexec.com/workforce/2020/02/fbi-has-failed-mov...
[3] https://news.virginia.edu/content/what-exit-polls-are-tellin...
[4] https://rightsanddissent.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/Stil...
Your statement in italics is new to me and quite insightful, I think. Whoever is the most powerful gets to enforce his own principles. I do think, however, that the Establishment was more supportive of free speech when it was conservative than it is now, now that it is leftist. That is, the conservatives may have been hypocrites at times, but they really did believe in freedom of speech. The woke left is opposed to freedom of speech as a matter of principle.
Of course the author is losing something, someone stole his intellectual property and distributed it for free. It's not your responsibility to put food onto someone's table, but it is your responsibility not to steal it. Immoral acts do not become moral because they are easy to commit.

It’s amazing the lengths people go to justify self serving bullshit. The apologetics in this thread are no different than the ones made 20 years ago for stealing music and software. Indie software only escaped because the sass model made piracy hard. Music is in terrible shape and its only saving grace is that it’s also a performance medium.

If piracy makes it so that it doesn’t make much sense to produce novels, it’s the world that’s poorer. Justifying that because it happens or because it’s easy is nothing more than the naturalistic fallacy.
>ProtonMail is an interesting case. It does not provide SMTP or IMAP servers,

Just half-true..

https://proton.me/support/imap-smtp-and-pop3-setup
Hey has been well worth the $100/year, especially since they improved search. Curious how it worked when you returned after a year. Did you get your old address back?
Out of a whim, I checked the Playstation store, and they actually had the PS5 in stock. I'm paying some extra for the blu-ray edition with Horizon bundle, but it's still cheaper than scalpers.
>The content of books is available to everyone, instantly, at maximum convenience.

Which is awesome if we are striving to optimize the social benefits of media.

We want to optimally benefit society, right?
These sort of comparisons are rarely meaningful, of the way you seek to imply: We have software that can beat any human at calculating partial differential equations. We don't have software that can beat even a mediocre cat-picture-identifier at identifying cats.
And how did that end up for America ? A country so fragmented and divided, torn by tensions to the point where recent discussions were mentioning civil war as a possibility, or even as an ongoing thing in a new form.

Does immigration offer so much more other than cheap labour ?
It's as much as we got through the pipelines in one day.
My products also were affected by the pirating of your books.. Revenue dropped 80% for one of the saas products
Could the default style in browsers be adjusted so nearly any webpage can look great with plain HTML?
I don't think we ever had the training budget for that.
Show HN: ToolJet – open-source alternative to Retool
MH17 was similarly reconstructed.

https://www.reuters.com/world/mh17-aircraft-wreckage-viewed-...

Modern laser scanning makes retaining the original long-term less important, apparently.
It's been some years since I've looked into this, but from what I recall there are different packing strategies for internal and external backpacks.
David Graeber has a long book on this, called "Bullshit Jobs". It turns out many of those people do think _their own_ job is useless and could effectively be removed with no impact.

In the book he offers some numbers on the healthcare system in the US, where in administration and insurance there are indeed many such bullshit jobs. What is worse, they often bring a bureaucratic burden on people like nurses, who do have real work to do. (All by the assessment of the people doing the bullshit job)

He offers quotes to show this was even the point of view of Obama

> Everybody who supports single-payer health care says, ‘Look at all this money we would be saving from insurance and paperwork,’ ” the former President noted. “That represents one million, two million, three million jobs.” Graeber describes this comment as a “smoking gun” of bullshittization. “Here is the most powerful man in the world at the time publicly reflecting on his signature legislative achievement—and he is insisting that a major factor in the form that legislature took is the preservation of bullshit jobs,” he writes. Politicians are so fixated on job creation, he thinks, that no one wonders which jobs are created, and whether they are necessary. Unnecessary employment may be one of the great legacies of recent public-private collaboration.
Being unmotivated to write is still a problem even if it's not a financial one.
But a very small number of people want to edit, copy edit, fact check, type set, market and fund writing for no pay.

The publishing industry is a whole lot more than someone drafting in word…
You think books having a cost is a restriction of your freedom? Why? And why books, but not your work?
I just tried selecting using iOS and had no trouble selecting tags, although I did notice that the behavior was “different.” Did you try selecting with a ctrl-a or with a mouse or something else? You’re right at it is not identical, in several ways, but I’m not sure it ought to be, either.
Cleese’s context is within the scope of doing your job. If you need to do something creative, you need to make time for that creativity to come out.
Funny, I want exactly the opposite.

I don't give a fuck about 5 choices if they are all bad. In fact, most people in the USA are in this exact conundrum with certain types of utilities (e.g. Internet). In fact, public ISPs in the USA have a phenomenal track-record compared to their private competitors.

I want one good choice for my utility. Portland, for all of its problems, has a pretty excellent electric company, also named "PGE", which absolutely mogs the fuck out of the other "PG&E" that people on HN are likely more aware of due to the blackouts that the public private partnership, PG&E have instituted.

In fact, I can't think of any large-scale situations where public utilities in the USA were privatized and it led to improvements in services rendered.

As it turns out, fiduciary duty is kinda fucked up when you're talking about essential utilities. I want there to be no profit incentive.
This doesnt make sense, at least not for Ontario.

Prior to "Time of use" billing (and having to upgrade all our meters in like 2016) i dont see how this was possible.

The old meters simply measured how much power was used, they had no idea of WHEN it was used.

The electric company would go house to house and "read the meter" once a month and report this back to billing. Based on your usage a bill would be produced and sent to you.

How/when would a "high usage light" come into play?

I grew up in a house which was over 40 years old, there was no "high-usage" lights near the waster/dryer. Mostly because homes built back then had the waster/dryer in the basement and any "usage lights" would be ineffective.
Yep. I have a corporatised Win 10 install so shame about that.
The download button that's front & center on the homepage leads to a Google Play Store 404.
Wi-Fi is stilled used for cold start — gives you a radius before GPS lock. As far as I know at least
Literally Milton Friedman's son, so inculcation into the Rand cult probably started at a young age with him.
Yeah that's definitely what it was. I'm no westerner, so I know what this looks like and what local fascists interpret it as. Tell your stories to someone else.

Also, quoting your link:

"According to the Alma-Ata police, on the morning of January 6, dozens of rioters were killed during the storming of administrative buildings in the city and its environs."
The introduction of copyright by the royal censor had measurable negative effects on literacy in England[0].

[0] https://archive.ph/ybifz
Not to mention that next generation nuclear in France was also killed by the Left and the Greens in the 90s. France could have many Superphénix by now.
AC might be comparatively more efficient at cooling the room 1 degree rather than 5, that doesn't mean that keeping that temperature for 8 hours will consume less energy than cooling it once you come back in.

If it were really overall more efficient it would be cheaper for the hotel owner to just keep it on all the time, but clearly it's not.