skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
There were two popular models, in rough agreement. https://publichealth.jhu.edu/2020/transparency-reproducibili...

> Among the two popular models, we found that the ICL model is more transparent and reproducible compared to the IHME model. The former sometimes over-predicted future deaths while the latter clearly under-predicted post-peak deaths. Both models predicted the timing of peaks reasonably well using data until one week prior. The ICL model produced a much wider band of uncertainty for New York state, possibly because the pattern did not conform well with their internal training data used from European countries.

Nature (on 08 June 2020) reported "a computational neuroscientist has reported that he has independently rerun the simulation and reproduced its results. And other scientists have told Nature that they had already privately verified that the code is reproducible." - https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-01685-y citing the CODECHECK certificate at https://zenodo.org/record/3865491 from May 29, 2020.

You should also be asking why public health is so under-funded world-wide that many countries looked to the ICL model - which in turn was a repurposed influenza model - rather than use local expertise or be able to use better validated models.

> Running the same simulation with the same inputs produced wildly different results between runs.

As I recall, the replication issues were the normal issues related to parallelization and random number generation, and not things which greatly affected the results. There were a number of HN threads on the topic back in 2020. Eg, https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=23212268 , which linked to a couple of those issues and their resolution.

> I can't think of better example of a situation where requiring replication would have altered the path of humanity as much as it would have here.

I can. The Reinhart-Rogoff spreadsheet error which was widely used as the excuse for "austerity" cuts, rather than the real reason of wanting to lower taxes on the rich. https://truthout.org/articles/excel-spreadsheet-error-lesson...

I wonder where that tax money could have been used. Perhaps into public health measures?
"How to Make a Million Before Lunch" by Rachel Bridge
FYI Sheldon Brown passed many, many years ago and the site has gone downhill since. The current "editor" has been replacing and adding content but has little to none of the practical knowledge Brown had from working in a bike shop for decades.

A lot of content is now merely the new editor's opinions, quite a bit of it is bullshit, and sadly people treat it as authoritative because Brown's name is so strongly associated with it.
am surprised they didnt use time
THAT is a very interesting question WRT protocol (USB) specs vs hardware interface specs.

Congrats, now I've really something to ponder.
Disagree, don't waste my ports on something most people won't use on a thin and light laptop. Gaming laptop? I get it, but for most uses of this machine I'd rather just connect to WiFi
I think its for overcoming the braking that occurs when you turn because of the normal force. Even if you hold down the clutch the bike will brake more that if you run in a straight line.
As much as you can trust SSL certificates and code-signing certificates.
I have been riding a bicycle all my life, so I suppose that I was counter steering unconsciously. I recently started riding a motorcycle and the experience is quite a bit different because it takes force and conscious effort to turn the bars on a machine weighing several hundred pounds. I think that people try to turn with their bodyweight instead of steering inputs if they don't know any better.
lol this would be a fantastic study of how closely tied your Gmail account is to your identity :) Granted it's a study of N=1.

But if you were to say "close down" all your Gmail accounts (I presume you have them) Will Big-G find you or deem it worthwhile for you to be found ?
> For those with the structural advantage of frontrunning the flow of information to the team, it is literally effortless to accidentally cultivate the impression of being some kind of wizard

As someone more junior, I've already seen this and realized what was up and I absolutely hate it.

In many cases there is literally no reason other than seniority that people can't do things. If you gave the same information access to a capable junior or mid level eng they would be able to solve these problems, write the document, etc but that doesn't happen because it's not explicitly part of your role.
Fun fact: If you report the ad, it skips that ad and all remaining ones and goes straight to the video.
Well yeah, this is what I consider "stupid".

I prefer the "oldschool" way... give us a bunch of usb ports, ethernet, sd card reader, one or two video out options, etc. then add a few (back in the time pcmcia/expresscard) expansion ports for other things.

The current options seem like configuring a car, and having a steering wheel as an optional addon module.

again, as I said, I might be getting old :)
Did you see where the link says:

>For the technique with a similar name used in automobiles, see Countersteering (Automobile).

?
This is much better. Honestly maybe the submission link should be changed to this?
I can only really explain it intuitively, in that when you pull on the rear brake or engine brake, the angular forces of the rotation of the wheel are transferred into making your bike straighten up vertically. I don't know if that actually happens, but that's how it feels.

Part of it is also similar to the reasons you trail brake into corners, in that you're managing the weight distribution over your tires. You don't want to be erratically changing how much weight is on the front tires, otherwise you'll find you suddenly have a lot less front grip.
YouTube copied a lot of features from pornhub like the heatmap of the most watched parts of a video.
Now imagine you had half as much USD for your groceries, because you decided to put it in BTC a year ago instead.
Microsoft Edge already offers this (with online TTS) on all platforms, so I assume that the legality is not necessarily suspect.
I don't think there are any online sources. I don't think I've met a polish coder that wanted to work for them. Some companies won't even hire a candidate that spent more than a year at Comarch (they would argue - if a candidate could withstand that company for that long there must be something wrong with them).
Prediction: El Salvador will look genius in the next Bitcoin cycle. Other emerging market central banks will proceed to copy their model creating the next cycle’s peak. Once they stop buying, the market will crash again creating either a global depression or a bailout of the btc economy by USG, causing a repeat of the bank bailout that spawned btc in the first place.
The timeline of this development exceeds the timeline of my own experiences since the 90's.

I've always driven cars with rack and pinion steering while wheels went from something like a typical 185-65x15 to 245-40x18. So, wheels are larger and the profile is much smaller (more rim and less rubber between the car and the road).

Higher power warrants bigger brakes and bigger brakes warrants larger rims but for the average car rims have grown way oversized. Many cars have the space to take rims that are 2-3 inches smaller than what comes as standard.

My anecdotal and average empirical results is that cars with wide rims and little rubber mostly seem to reduce comfort, increase noise, and make the steering very susceptible to unevenness, slopes and grooves of roads and layers of snow and ice and thus requiring constant steering response from the driver. I've had both kinds and the difference is huge, and exaggerated by bad road conditions that we find on our roads. On my older vehicles with a higher and narrower tyre profile I barely have to steer at all but just keep my hand relaxed on the wheel while the car ploughs pretty much through whatever in a direct line. Of course, I keep the wheel geometry of all my cars well-aligned so they shouldn't wander around.
The hate for IT/sysadmins here is funny. The above would of course never happen here or if they where a dev!
The win is that one entity owns all the nodes, and does not need to follow edges to manage them. Edges are just edges; what else you imagine about them is on you. (CS grads do love their pointers!)

If size varies much, a deque-like structure would work better than a naïve vector.

You can always do the dumb thing if you are in a hurry, but then you have a dumb thing.
My first job was in a company fully dedicated to milk the European H2020 projects' cow. Their business model was to offer the lowest budget on a series of projects and then have a bunch of interns like me do all the work on their own with very bad conditions (very few were actually even paid and we didn't have right for holidays).

At some point we all realized the profit the company was making with us and demanded better conditions, they rejected our claims and we planned to leave all at time they had to deliver the projects and get paid. Nothing got delivered, they didn't get paid and just went out of business.
People in thumbnails make weird facial expressions for different reasons
Yes, you can also access on-demand episodes and clips in the app (plus the live stream). I think it’s available on most platforms.
The title reminds me of an oft-cited anecdote of how someone running an online shop of this or that sort can tell that an order is from the US — it will be the only one where the provided address doesn't include the country.
> Lots of kids to play with from your own block (...) safe enough

I bet that your part of town was the one that kept the poor plebs away.

> over reliance on cars, no public transit, lots of things are just a little bit too far to walk to.

That by itself already should be an immediate disqualification to consider a city "nice".

> Brasília had more easily accessible green space dedicated to people than most cities in the world imo

I guess if you stick only the planned area and exclude the satellite cities, that could be true. Even then, I'd really like to see some data on that.
It’s been on most if not all pages for years now.
is this because 90% of consumers are stupid or even idiots and getting more stupid every year?
Are they? What’s the alternative?
This is not what I meant. I used this setup before. But you need gpg, the right config, the ssh-agent from gpg etc. I did a setup like this on macOS, Linux, and windows. It was a nightmare to setup. MacOS starts an ssh-agent by default so one needs to rewrite the environment etc to inject gpg ssh-agent. Linux is a little simpler though.

What I wanted is to use the external ssh keys on a Fido key [1] in combination with the commit signing feature. With that I would skip the whole gpg part of the setup and only configure git and maybe ssh. But the generated keys (they have a -sk postfix) didn’t work with the signing feature.

https://fido.ftsafe.com/open-ssh-with-fido-keys/
tl;dr: you can have big positive impact but 'fail' financially.

The inverse is also true: you can have little impact but attain big wealth/success.

Moreover, due to competitive pressures this lack of correlation happens is quite common. If impact requires a mix of skill+luck+timing and success requires skill+luck+timing, then impact+success is (mathematically speaking) exponentially harder.
Do you really think your US banks have no overseas operations / outsourcing centers?
that honestly depends on the person who has taken the responsibility for that.

i remember finding old charlie chaplin movies torrent, "all movies", or classics.

then, most of the modern animated movies/shows that has been curated from imdb/commonsensemedia

i know i know the whole piracy thing, people are put off by "tools" because "it could be used to stream pirated media" but that is honestly the end users responsibility.
Poland: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polish%E2%80%93Soviet_War

Czechoslovaks, United Kingdom, France, Greece, Estonia, Serbia, Italy, Romania: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Allied_intervention_in_the_Rus...

Germany, Romania, Hungary, Italy, Slovakia, Croatia, Finland: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eastern_Front_(World_War_II)
Plus, fiat is too new to tell - it's only been 5,000 years! /s
There is definitely more than just that in the author's reasoning. Just in case anyone is reading the above and thinking it is the proof. There's a lot more like asking questions on the age old creation ex nihlo vs always was.

Most interestingly to me is the suggestion at 'discovering cellular automata out of entropy' that consistently shows itself as patterns within consistent frequency bands and harmonics.

That could suggest a "fundamental note" in the universe (bflat like the NASA blackhole findings) or that all computers have a back-door in it :P.
What rail needs next is better co-ordination.

Connecting multiple carriages together to form a train was an amazing innovation - those carriages are separated by inches, whereas trains are separated by miles.

If everything could be separated by inches, we could have a network with 1000x the throughput. 1000x the throughput means we can use all the existing (expensive) rails, and be able to transport everything the interstate road network does today.

And, with enough innovation, that's possible. Imagine an infinitely long train. If more cargo needed to be added to the train, while in motion at say 60 mph, one link in the train could be broken, the gap widened to fit an extra carriage, and then an extra carriage comes in from a side rail, just like merging on a highway, and the whole lot is reattached again. All while still moving.

Infinitely long trains already exist - for example an escalator is a continuous 'train' of steps in a loop.

Disconnecting trains while in motion already exists - it was done regularly on the british railway 50 years ago.

And the rest is just a coordination and timing problem - one that computers are really good at.
The article was about bicycles and motorcycles, not opposite lock countersteering in a car.

I don't know what exactly you mean by "losing traction" (understeer or oversteer) but your advise does not sound correct to me.

But when you get into an oversteer situation in a car, the aligning moment acting on the tyre contact patch will automatically counter steer the front wheels to the outside corner (assuming the fronts still have grip).

The correct response to oversteer is opposite lock (counter steer) to the outside (not to the inside!) and rapid recovery (center the steering wheel) when the car starts to correct itself. In a front wheel drive car, some throttle can help to correct the oversteer faster but it can also induce a really bad tank slapper pendulum and you shouldn't do this in public roads. In a rear wheel drive, if the reason for the oversteer is too much throttle (power slide), easing off the throttle will correct it. But getting off the throttle quickly (esp if you're not power sliding) can also induce lift-off oversteer and make the oversteer worse.

In an understeer condition, just easing gently off the steering and the throttle will usually correct the situation but doing it too quickly can induce a tank slapper oversteer (from lift off oversteer), which you need to correct by counter steering. It sounds like this is the scenario you're describing, but you should definitely not apply more steering input in this situation.

In a road car you will almost never get to an oversteer without deliberately inducing by power sliding, hand brake, scandi flick or other rally driving moves (or accidentally in the case of a bad recovery from an understeer). Road cars' vehicle dynamics are set up to be very understeering through mass distribution and suspension set up.

My driver's education had two full days of skidpad training in slippery conditions. Opposite lock was the response that they taught for oversteer (which the instructor induced by pulling the hand brake in a turn). I also used to do a lot of parking lot snow drifting back when cars didn't have nanny electronics to prevent it. On top of that I have done lots and lots of simulator racing, both track and rally.
I realize that, but only a small proportion of high risk/high payoff buyers is interested in seeking (gambling) entertainment in the stock market, namely the retail investor sector and specifically retail investors in meme stocks. There are plenty of other players in that market who are very much interested in maximizing return. The title as posted on HN that "lottery seeking is everywhere" is simply not true and certainly isn't backed by the paper that it links to.
I admire your optimism, but I can't get on board. It would be naive to deny the growth of cryptocurrencies over the last few years, but it seems like the people who were meant to make money have since cashed out, that everything's peaked and turned a corner and the general public have turned against it (due in no small part to a few many shitcoins, rugpulls, scams, BAYC, and a couple of defunct exchanges). I'm sure crypto will live on in some form, but it won't explode again like it did before. I don't know who is left to fuel the next bubble.
The concept of explicitly declared inputs and outputs is awesome. Though it's closed build and the necessity to define the builds down to the compiler level makes Bazel complex and breaks some developer workflows.

For this reason we are building a Bazel competitor with a less restrictive build environment which can also be applied to projects with lower than 1M line of code.

https://bob.build
An adblocker. I don’t see any ads on YouTube at all.
Although you're right, and we're talking about different things in the article, it's still called countersteering when you correct an oversteering car.
They got better results for their advertising dollar than any other customer, to hear some tell it.

How much did the USA spend on influencing Afghanistan for the last 20 years? How well sis that work? If the "bot armies on social media" are so effective let's just do that next time.
I can't speak to motorcycles, but when driving a car at the track there's "maintenance throttle" which is partly to counter the slowing you get from the tires scrubbing, and partly to balance 'weight'; most cars are far heavier up front than in back, so a bit of throttle puts a bit more weight on the back of the car, which helps keep the front outside tire from getting overloaded but also puts some weight on the back tires for more grip. It also offers the option to induce some oversteer via throttle lift, if necessary.
As a junior engineer: ask for this kind of work! A good manager will be receptive to requests to work on things outside of the role you've been assigned, whether it's for career advancement/cross-functional knowledge/interest.
Yes because in may Southern US states no enforced lockdowns happened.
That's beyond me. I guess I prefer to look at what can happen during my life-span. :)
urgh, Cables.

because the studios were pretty well booked, we had a fair few repair jobs. Cables break, normally its where they are soldered into the XLR. From what I could tell, the main difference between cheap and expensive cables was the amount of string that was bundled into the core along with the actual cable. I suspect now is both string and the woven sheathing on the outside.

sure some were copper, others were aluminium coated in copper (although they broke more often, I'm not sure because copper is more ductile and AL just stress fractures, or because they were really cheap and shoddy)

They all sounded the same, apart from when we used phantom power on long cables. Then sometimes they turned into microphones. You didn't notice it unless you were in the theatre, and people would accidentally stand or kick the cable, making a massive thud.
I can customize the ports to my liking without having anything protruding from the laptop (aside from ethernet, which I agree removes the utility).

I like having a microSD reader built in for instance, even if most people don't need one. With most laptops now I'd need to carry a card reader around and it wouldn't be flush with the laptop.
Making Sense of the Energy Crisis
I think the most important thing is to recognize that you can’t objectively assess others and you can’t objectively assess yourself if it’s something you care about. You may find yourself comparing anyway, but knowing that your “findings” have the credibility of an Elon Musk tweet helps to lower the stakes.
Oh the poor corporate lootbox peddlers!
No one spends hundreds of millions on audio engineering. Or at least, not at achieving the best audio experience. The company that spends the most on audio R&D are probably Bose, and their whole goal is to produce speakers that look good and sound acceptable.

The reason DIY audio gear matches really expensive factory built gear, is that the secret to good sounding audio is good sounding speakers, and good sounding speakers are heavy and big, and have intricate cones made out of expensive materials. Imagine how expensive it is to manufacture such a thing and have it marketed and shipped, and you'll realise they need large margins on something that's already expensive. Combine that with that the actual construction of speakers is very simple anyone could it do with a basic set of woodworking tools, not to mention that many people enjoy doing it as a hobby.

Of course good amplifiers are also part of the story, but their development is a sort of by product of the computer industry, as better transistors has generally meant better amplifiers, with class D amplifiers basically being the state of the art right now.
Ban the FBI from providing CSAM. Probelms solved. Even back to the 80s whenever there's nekkid kiddie pics, there's a Fed at the other end of the line.
Northeastern Bomber Targeted Virtual Reality Club on Campus: Report
In the bottom right of the image is the text "countersteer left", denoting the part of the turn where you might countersteer left in order to get the bike to turn right. You would not go perceptibly left according to the line, when you steer slightly to the left, the bike immediately leans over to the right and the front wheel steers right immediately also. The act of countersteering is entirely about leaning the bike over, the resulting turn to the right is actually a second order effect of that lean.
Nope. It's still "assemble the legendary set of the month and then maybe farm more legendary sets".
Firefox + uBlock Origin = no ads. Also on mobile :)
Mobile Handset Privacy: Measuring the Data iOS and Android Send [pdf]
One point which is missing from this article is how information should be aligned and formatted within cells. This is an underrated feature which can really improve table readability.

For example, right aligned numbers make skimming by size a bit easier.

There's more common UX guidelines but I can't remember them off the top of my head.
The only problem I have with the NSA here is that they got caught
I found out that if you do that enough times, your account will permanently lose the ability to report ads. At least, the option is no longer present on my account.
Looks like this is related.

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=32834988
interesting interview but i can't shake the idea that they have a very biased view of the situation (and i'd even risk saying somewhat unrealistic, as it is very us centered). not a single mention of green energy policies or the power struggle inside the eu that's been blocking lng imports from africa.

> Her proposal for a broad-based bailout of the British consumer for energy costs does, I think, place extra pressures on limited supplies because there’s no price signal that people should be saving. You end up with less faster. So I would’ve let the prices roll a little bit longer.

this is a glaring signal that they're not even up to date to what's going on in the uk regarding the energy market. the "signals" have been out for a few weeks now.
People talk about crypto cycles like they talk about metal cycles and I'm not sure how to distinguish the two (and that's why I'm not invested in either).