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Beware of the Fallacy of Composition.

A lot of the "virtue" of Germany is actually a vice when extrapolated globally. The current position of power of Germany can be traced back to its net exports. Quite often in the last two or three years, you could hear commentators proclaim that if everybody followed the path of net exports, the crisis would be over. There are only two problems with that:

1. It is simply impossible for everybody to be a net exporter. That's the fallacy of composition.

2. The way Germany became a net exporter was by savaging real income of the majority of the population. If you look at data for how the quotient of (real income / labor productivity) developed in the Eurozone, you will see that while the majority of countries had a reasonable development (the quotient is around 1), Germany's quotient for this development is much lower. German workers are being cheated out of their share, which means Germany is essentially price dumping in the global market.

Right now, Germany is essentially sending presents (real goods) into the rest of the world in exchange for promises (financial claims on the ROW). The majority of Germans are working their ass off and not getting anything in return, just so the top 0.01% of the population can increase its power base by accumulating financial assets.

To say that other European countries should follow this path is deeply cynical, and probably comes from not seeing the whole picture.
until recently, the uk got much of its tax base from the financial sector, much of which is run on the backs of immigrants (hedge funds and invesment banks), especially those from america
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A friend used to work in security at Akamai, and in fact he would bring home stories about the secure enclosures he was designing for insecurely colocated machines. They were supposed to emphatically destroy the data on the box if it was opened.

This would have been in the early 2000s.. no idea what, if anything, made it into production.
There are so many (very) large niche areas available that new opportunities abound. A specialist can (and should) outperform the generalist sites even where supposedly specialist areas exist within them.

We are shooting for just one in a sporting area and I can't believe just how big it is.
It's an abstraction on top of reality so that we can wrap our brains around it.

And unfortunately, it can be a very leaky abstraction at times.

For example, most people have an implicit abstraction of money equals real things in their head, which causes them to believe certain claims about the relationship between the money supply and inflation, and this in turn leads to monetarily sovereign governments running deficits that are far too low to support a healthy economy.

Because if you only see that particular abstraction, you cannot see the effect of monetary saving. With that abstraction in mind, you can never understand the Paradox of Thrift.
If you believe that currency market are somewhat efficient, the chances of a catastrophe happening are already priced in. For example, the Eur vs. Swiss Francs historically hovered around the 1,50 mark for a long time; now it's at 1,23. The swiss franc is considered clearly overvalued and there is speculation that their national bank wants to push it back up to 1,30.

Anyway if the Euro problems get solved, you would probably lose at least 10-15% of your assets. Of course maybe such an "insurance" is worth it, but it is by no means an easy decision.
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Decreased wages for those who have jobs, plus more people having jobs, might be an excellent tradeoff even if it wouldn't appeal to a 100% selfish person who has a job and doesn't fear losing it.

And you need to be awfully careful about what "polls show that most Americans are for". For example, polls show that most Americans would like to see US foreign aid reduced from about 25% of GDP to about 10% of the federal budget. The trouble is that the actual level of US foreign aid is about 1% of the federal budget. So, do "polls show" that most Americans would like foreign aid cut by 2.5x, or that most Americans would like foreign aid increased by 10x? -- In the absence of more information about what "most Americans" actually think the level of immigration is, and what they think its impact is, polls purporting to show that most Americans would like more or less immigration are pretty uninformative about what would actually benefit most Americans, or what they would choose if they had better information.

It would be better to keep party politics out of this. (Though from what you've written I wonder whether party politics are your only reason for being interested in the matter at all.)
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pg was specifically addressing the issue of management that is out of touch, while Coase was explaining the role of the firm. There is no reason why these reasons couldn't co-exist.

The main driver behind running a startup and working in a big company is a tension between two factors: control and leverage. As the chief of a small startup, a young person exerts a great deal of control over their destiny. However, they are short of resources. Even $20k from yc only goes so far. In contrast, at a bigger company, one has to constantly fight for resources. However, when they are available, and applied judiciously, the money can go a very long way. There is also the added benefit of working with some very brilliant technical people who may have no ounce of business-sense in their bones.

On the far end of the scale, when one has advanced further up the rank, there is a great deal of firepower at your disposal. It is actually the same with startups. No startup can forever stay at 2 employees. In the end, there has to be sensible management in place.
yes.. trying to appear interesting is not the same as being interesting, but it is a step in the right direction. it's one of those fake-it-until-you-make-it situations, where in the process a person discovers that he actually enjoys taking photos.. these are some great tips to get started IMO. How many people will actually act on those? that is highly dubious..
So ads are less annoying now than they were a couple of years ago...

Is it perhaps because they've adapted to the increasingly common practice of adblocker(and browsers which prohibit unprompted javascript popups)? Let's not forget that adblocker is a great thing, if only because it incentivized a move towards less obtrusive ads.

Another thing: ads may be less visibily intrusive but things like tracking cookies are still widely (100%?) used. So if privacy is any sort of a concern, an adblocker is probably still a good thing to have.
very interesting and helpful post. thanks for sharing
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Some sites I use detect AdBlock, and either ask for me to switch it off or to give them a donation.

I've always assumed they detect it by noticing that a function defined in the ad-serving js is not present in the page.
I think the major problem is that you need a high temperature difference for efficient power generation. Assuming an outside temperature of 0 celsius, and a maximum temperature of 100 celsius, you have a theoretical maximum efficiency of around 25%, and in practice much less than that. (see Carnot cycle)
You are probably one of the wisest people here :)

Here's my humble opinion for what you should look for if you truly want to understand this particular situation better. Forget about microeconomics (supply and demand and so on) and fancy mathematical models at least initially, and try to understand what money is.

What is money? What is the relation you have with money? What is the relation the government has with money? What happens when you transfer money to pay your bills?

These types of questions should be your guide initially. Look for bloggers who write on Modern Monetary Theory - there are quite a number of academics and hedge fund type people who do so, you can start e.g. here: http://neweconomicperspectives.blogspot.com/p/modern-money-p... - or go straight to the book "Understanding Modern Money" by Randall Wray (economist at UKMC).

That is roughly the path I took over the last one and a half years, though I started via Bill Mitchell's (Australian economist) blog at http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/.

As always, seek out different perspectives, but I've found that with some minor nitpicks, MMT really does seem to provide the best framework for understanding what's going on.
Most of the debt Italy has taken has been taken under Italian laws. The Italian government can rewrite those laws at will. Sovereigns define their own laws as they see fit - that is the meaning of being sovereign.

Sovereigns entering obligations under laws not their own is a totally different thing though, and cannot be changed this simple though.

As to how the US would react in such a hypothetical scenario, they'd probably send diplomats to Italy to try to bend some arms and influence the terms to be better for them, but it is the Italian government that is the bookkeeper for deals made under their own laws.
There is no conspiracy, there is only the importance of monetary sovereignty. To get some idea of what the latter perspective entails, you could take some looks at the (under devleopment) Modern Money Primer at http://neweconomicperspectives.blogspot.com/p/modern-money-p...
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> Okay, so what is the proper way to live then?

Some (very) old school answers in:

"The Meditations of the Emperor Marcus Aurelius Antoninus":

About the book (including some pithy quotations):

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Meditations

Get it here free, in a variety of formats:

http://www.manybooks.net/titles/aureliusetext01medma10.html

Also here (Long's translation):

http://classics.mit.edu//Antoninus/meditations.html

http://classics.mit.edu//Antoninus/meditations.mb.txt
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<3 confreaks, listed there.
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It is often said that war spurs innovation, with WWII as the prime example. To some extend that might be true for the USA and in particular the bay area. But I wonder what all those great minds could have achieved if they hadn't been forced (by circumstance or otherwise) to work on machines for destruction.

We also tend to forget that WWII utterly destroyed the scientifically and industrially most advanced nation at the time: Germany. That must have set us back a few years.
Where is Instagram, Youtube or Wordpress/Blogger in this? Google+ has yet to be tightly integrated into Youtube, Android and Chrome so i wouldn't count that out yet.
Vaccines and drug treatments are two different avenues of attack. The primary purpose of a vaccine is to prevent infection. Certain vaccines, if administered immediately post-exposure, can have some use as treatment, but they are generally used to prevent the initial infection.

If you were to become infected, the first route for attack would be neuraminidase inhibitors. There are two widely available kinds of these drugs, and so far they have proven mostly effective against H5N1. There is the possibility for resistance to develop, but so far they do work. If they prove to not work, then (and I am not a doctor, so don't quote me) I imagine the recommended treatment would be high-dose steroids coupled with antibiotics. This is the generic treatment for problematic inflammation. If this treatment proved insufficient, then as a last resort you might try immune-suppressive therapies, but as far as I know that route is largely untested in the field.

The bigger point, though, is that modern medicine has many tools in its toolbox, and homeopathy is definitely not one of them. It has never been proven to have any real effect in any sort of rigorous trial. In contrast, all of the other items I listed above (vaccine, neuraminidase inhibitor, steroid, immune-suppressive) have all been extensively tested and verified to be effective.
Now that Facebook has implemented "subscribers", and owners of pages can broadcast to their fans, my use for Twitter is pretty much zilch.

I can hear from celebs, and I can hear about sales from my favourite stores, and I can hear about where all the food trucks are for lunch. All without visiting Twitter. It's a pretty big win.
That website seems like a "generate content for the sake of driving traffic, regardless of what you write, just give us ad impressions" pool. I'd prefer not to see such garbage.
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This description, while not being without merit, omits an important part of the picture: while it is true, that the majority of german workers had to live through an extended period of no/low wage growth, or even wage reductions, german wages are still substantially higher than greek wages. So by your (implicit) argument that all that matters here is wage levels, Greece should be doing much better than Germany. But clearly it is not. So other factors must be at play. It is quite clear what these other factors are: higher labour productivity, higher education, less corruption and so on. Printing money is not going to help with any of those . So really your position is not seeing the whole picture.
Did you see the discussions on the AdblockPlus blog a while back around trying to be fair to sites with reasonable advertising [0]? That approach does seem to be the reverse of your idea (whitelist sites you frequent, rather than blacklist the bad guys). Maybe if there was an easy way to mark advertising as good or bad, similar to a spam filter?

[0] http://adblockplus.org/blog/an-approach-to-fair-ad-blocking
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If you like 59 seconds I'd also recommend the Happiness Advantage. Also based on scientific results and studies:

http://www.amazon.com/Happiness-Advantage-Principles-Psychol...
I've read the paperback and it's good. I can't see why the Kindle edition would be much different: there's scarcely any fancy formatting or anything.

(By "good" I mean: so far as I can tell the science Wiseman reports is correct; the material is interesting; I haven't tried enough of the concrete advice to have strong anecdotal opinions about how well it works[1]; the quality of the writing is perfectly decent. If you are in the market for either reasonably-scholarly popular psychology or self-help, you should probably get it.)

[1] We see here a concrete example of one reason why self-help books generally don't work.
I've never used and adblocker for slightly different reasons. First, I'm kind of fascinated by ads, from Google's ads to the obnoxious fake news reports about the latest miracle cure.

The other reason I don't block ads is that most of them just don't get in the way of what I'm doing. If I'm on a web site where they have ads I disapprove of or make the site difficult to use, I leave that site.

It's my way of voting with my feet about those ads and that site's practices. Of course, there also seems to be a strong correlation between the quality of the content and the quality of the ads, so I usually end up not reading something that's of low value anyway.
I think the reason that sites like this do not give you an option to pay for an ad-free version, is that their selling point to advertisers is their large nation-wide reach. They would shoot themselves in the foot if they did that.
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You can't use merge sort or any other standard sorting algorithm in this case. All these algorithms assume you can compare any two elements. To use a sorting algorithm, you would need to be able to say for any two images which is further left.
"The $150/hr techs you will rarely see are super nice, and would absolutely love a problem they haven't seen before" This is kind of what I was trying to get at. The guys who know their shit, relish a challenge.
Would it not be more practical to use the heat in a district heating system?

[1] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/District_heating
We are actually largely in agreement. If you reread my comment that you replied to, you'll see that I was writing about the "real income / labor productivity" quotient.

The point is that the exchange rate with which countries adopted the Euro was more or less appropriate when it was set. Since then, the different development of the countries has changed the level of the exchange rate that would be appropriate if the countries still used different currencies.

So the question is: has the picture of corruption in Germany vs. Greece changed significantly in the last 10 years? Has the unit labor cost (which is real income / labor productivity) changed significantly between Germany and Greece?

Those are the questions you need to ask to understand where the differential is coming from.
That's the problem, though. I am no economist, but I have the impression that these repeated "rescue scenarios" just end up causing more and more irresponsible behavior, all the way from when it all started with Long Term Capital Management.

Can you point out a single time where intervention to prevent a disaster after irresponsible money management has eventually resulted in more responsible economic behavior?

In the end, something has to give.
I spent a long time browsing without an ad blocker. I only started using one a couple years ago after getting hit by a 0-day exploit in an advertisement on a major website.

Now I whitelist the sites that I know don't host third-party script/media content (basically, text/image-only). There aren't many of them, unfortunately.

At present my two choices are: Send ad revenue to websites I like and get my machine owned by exploits, OR, browse without worrying about those exploits AND without the annoyance of advertisements. The latter is a vastly superior choice, even if there is some moral argument to be made about how I'm depriving those websites of revenue.

If someone has a sound technical solution for this problem, I'd love to be able to uninstall adblock plus. It tends to erroneously hide non-ad content sometimes.
If by "Stalin's big famine" you mean the man-made famine in the Ukrainian SSR, then that happened in 1932 and 1933, before the EU was started [1].

It is also wrong that to say that all big wars were started by Europeans, as a quick look at e.g. Chinese history shows, e.g. the Taiping Rebellion [2].

[1] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Holodomor
[2] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Taiping_Rebellion
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Self-help books are (very) often crap. But when they're good they really push your motivation. So you don't learn a lot because learning requires always doing and failing BUT usually you get some motivation and energy to try it again, start something over--better books know how to brain wash and reframe your mind for a few days. You get a very positive mindset and that's what you need to get out of your daily routine which wears you out. Some examples which gave me this motivation push: Poke the Box from Seth Godin, Millionaire's Upgrade, Ellen Cars Stop-smoking book and some more (the ratio of good to bad books ist as the OP said: 10 to 90 to even 5 to 95. And as I wrote the motivational push keeps usually a few days only but hey, that's often enough to start something new and get traction.

But somehow I am not sure if the post is a clever way to sell the promoted book ...
Guilt is not a business model.

If you're a content creator, you have the right to be lazy. Slap ads everywhere, just don't get upset when I call you out and tell you it sucks.
Thanks! I'll look into that!

My current analogy of money is kind of that society is a giant vending machine capable of producing eg hamburgers, thai massage, anal lube, laptops, BMWs, etc.

Money is kind of tickets that you put into this vending machine. And then there are people loaning out these tickets (banks) and also there are different kinds of tickets (currencies) and vending machines (countries) with exchange rates.

Another analogy: money is to the bottom-level production of value (ie real goods and services) as functional programming is to assembly language. Ie you can do a lot of cool tricks and abstractions with it, but you can also shoot yourself in the foot with endless recursive data structures and what not.

Am I on the right path here? I seem to grok most things in terms of analogies and pictures btw, it's how my mind works. This isn't always a good thing, though, sometimes it's more useful to see something as sui generis (unlike anything else) rather than to say "it's like X".

When I have more time I'm going to read my copy of this book: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Georg_Simmel#The_Philosophy_of_...
Is it time to stockpile Tamiflu again?

But, seriously, isn't it obvious that publication of the fact that this research is blocked is already enough for terrorists? From the preliminary report they already have an outline of what needs to be done, they know where to go and who to ask or what to steal if they can't do it themselves.
adblock is a waste of time.

i use 3 browsers, a mobile phone, a tablet... i would go insane with something unpractical as adblockers.

Just use this instead: http://someonewhocares.org/hosts/

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Be careful of decontextualized quotes. "Computer Science is a liberal art" could be interpreted a lot of ways, so here's some context:

"In my perspective ... science and computer science is a liberal art, it's something everyone should know how to use, at least, and harness in their life. It's not something that should be relegated to 5 percent of the population over in the corner. It's something that everybody should be exposed to and everyone should have mastery of to some extent, and that's how we viewed computation and these computation devices."

So it seems like he meant "liberal art" in the sense of "subjects that are essential for everyone" (the original definition of liberal art) as opposed to "subjects that don't use math."

Source: http://www.npr.org/2011/10/06/141115121/steve-jobs-computer-...
really nice job, loved the concept.
keep it up.
Nice bait and switch you did there.

We were talking about economy as a whole, while you only fixate on labor market and capital market.

Greece had a plenty of raise in wages - see how well it worked out for them.

Beware of the Marxist fallacy. Nowadays in Europe anyone can join the ranks of "Evil capitalist" and secure a "bigger piece of pie" for themselves.
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The interest rate is a measure of the leverage you can apply when buying that mortgage.

Lower interest rates mean more leverage. Increased leverage increases risk.

If they lower the interest rate, you can buy a more expensive home.. but you increase the risk you'll lose all your equity from a small change in house prices.

Right now in the US, more than 30 percent of homeowners are underwater on their mortgage.

If they decide to raise interest rates and you have a variable rate mortgage or have to renew it, your mortgage payments can shoot skyhigh.

Either way, record low rates make the system susceptible to systemic shocks and cascade failures.

Free trade and de-regulation means capital is free to flow quickly around the world. Investors can lose faith and a country can go from solvent to bankrupt in a matter of months. Interest rates shoot up and anyone caught with debt races to pay it off with dwindling incomes while the payments get bigger every day.