skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
The submission title of the submitted article (which does NOT appear as the original title of the article) is probably a hat tip to the famous article by John P. A. Ioannidis, "Why Most Published Research Findings Are False."

http://www.plosmedicine.org/article/info:doi/10.1371/journal...

The article by Ioannidis, which I think is the most downloaded ever article on PLoS Medicine, is well worth reading for guidance in how to avoid errors in research design.

But to the point of the accuracy of the submission title, what the underlying journal paper

http://www.nature.com/neuro/journal/v14/n9/full/nn.2886.html

said was, "We reviewed 513 behavioral, systems and cognitive neuroscience articles in five top-ranking journals (Science, Nature, Nature Neuroscience, Neuron and The Journal of Neuroscience) and found that 78 used the correct procedure and 79 used the incorrect procedure. An additional analysis suggests that incorrect analyses of interactions are even more common in cellular and molecular neuroscience." In other words, half the time when the specific issue came up, the neuroscience authors got the procedure wrong.

AFTER EDIT: Meanwhile, a lot of other interesting comments have mentioned the role of statistics education or math-aversion in higher education in various disciplines. I'll comment here about some things I've learned about statistics since I completed my higher education, things I've self-educated about as a homeschooling parent for the last two decades and now a mathematics teacher in private practice.

First of all, even when undergraduate students take courses in statistics, the courses are not likely to be very helpful. Many statistics textbooks used in colleges are poorly chosen

http://statland.org/MAAFIXED.PDF

and many statistics courses are taught by professors who themselves have very poor backgrounds in statistics, so the essential point that statistics is all about DATA never gets emphasized. Moreover, the undergraduate statistics curriculum historically has emphasized the wrong issues about valid inference

http://escholarship.org/uc/item/6hb3k0nz

and most undergraduates who complete one or two statistics courses still have a very weak sense of what valid statistical inference is.

And all of this is not even to get into issues such as Bayesian versus frequentist approaches to statistics

http://yudkowsky.net/rational/bayes

in modeling reality. Yes, biologists need to get over fear of mathematics for biology to progress as a science,

http://www.guardian.co.uk/books/2011/apr/16/mathematics-of-l...

and everyone can gain by learning more about statistics,

http://knowledge.wharton.upenn.edu/article.cfm?articleid=192...

but statistics education isn't easy, and it can still be greatly improved even for the students who do step up to take statistics courses.
Why should it be on the front page? The only new (low current score) item on the front page at the moment is the story about the BBC and net neutrality. If that does not continue to pick up votes then it will quickly drop off the front page as well. New items get a very short life - they prove their worth or have to wait for interest to build more slowly.
> But, in the larger context this is similar to creating a sculpture and then displaying it covered in a tarp.

The Hope Diamond doesn't need to be covered by a tarp for 99.999% of the population to fail to distinguish it from a solid fake. I think the "is that diamond real?" question is a decent equivalen to the "is that hard drive empty?" one. Using special tools, both can be verified.

Edit: I realize that the hope diamond probably is not art, so my main point has to be about the intrinsic value of the object.
Because the item is a copy, and (digital) copies actually do cost nothing. That is just the physical fact, and people will always have some underlying sense of it -- as they should.

The idea that you should not be allowed to make copies, but must pay for them, is very unnatural. Humans are evolved to copy and share information -- that is the most effective behaviour. The problem is not people's inclinations, the problem is copyright/IP. You possibly can make some case that IP is a net positive system (although no-one seems to have found any evidence), but nevertheless, its essential structure/mechanism is intrinsically problematic.
For me the linear gradient hints that the surface is curved on one axis, i.e. is cylindrical, not spherical.

Of course the context plays a role too on the perceived illusion; the appearance of changing light source may be stronger for lonely button (vs. group of elements sharing the same light source).
Ha, I'm quoted on slide 115. Thanks! Great resource, too. I'm about to tweet it out.
Can't tell you how good it made me feel to read this comment.
More like $16 trillion: http://www.rawstory.com/rs/2011/07/21/audit-fed-gave-16-tril...

So this story isn't exactly news.

Here is a good timelime of the economic crisis, all the way back to WWII:

http://www.jamesaltucher.com/2011/11/pearl-harbor-caused-the...
The Release Early/Often example describes a situation of releasing a product that does not have all the features of its competitors: "The Windows Operating System, in the initial version (1.0) did not support overlapping windows which was a breakthrough feature on the then contemporary Macintosh."

Identically, the Polished Release example also describes a situation of releasing a product that does not have all the features of its competitors: The first version of iOS "(then called as iPhone OS), did not even have MMS"

Seems like the author didn't pick a great example to demonstrate a Polished Release.
Or because Google did move out of mainland China and stopped censoring searches in 2010.
Tradeoffs in Innovative Careers
Method chaining and lazy evaluation in Ruby
The studies I've seen have shown have very different numbers, and show that our bodies are very good at dealing with lots of Vitamin D but very bad at dealing with too little. From what I know, there is no known negative side effects under about 14,000 UI a day, and based on blood tests, Dr. William Davis, a cardiologist, has been recommending amounts in the range of what I take (even a bit higher). The official recommendations have been too low for a long time.
Negotiate like you don’t need it (and other worthless advice)
You think it would be a problem if the ILS was sketchy in Cat 3 auto-land with ceiling/visibility at minimums ?

But the checklist should check that the ILS is alive... and if it's centered horizontally and vertically the pilots should notice.

OTOH a crafty terrorist could wait for a bad weather day, unplug the airport ILS, and set up an alternate one in a nearby building. Still, the tower would probably notice something was amiss and just say 'go around'.
You are going to have to bite the bullet and buy a mac to do real iOS dev. Alternatively? You could try and use something like Phonegap or Titanium. See http://phonegap.com/. Not XCode or Obj-C, but if you have some good HTML5 or Javascript chops it is a step in a good direction.
I think you skimmed a bit fast:

"Nieuwenhuis looked at 513 papers published in five prestigious neuroscience journals over two years. In half the 157 studies where this error could have been made, it was made."
Indeed, but I believe - based on the research that I did - that these amounts are quite safe, and with a good margin of safety too.
Setting up an iodine IP-over-DNS proxy
The best and simplest approach IMO would be improving peer review. If it was understood that scientific journals would reject papers with poor statistical analysis you would see changes fairly rapidly.
Could you elaborate on this? Does this assume "you" extrapolate the effect of treatment A to the general population?

I mean, I understand that if you have a sample size of two, find that treatment A does not induce an effect, and conclude that treatment A has no effect [for all test subjects] this does not hold. However, surely if the sample size is big enough (which obviously isn't always clear, but for the sake of the argument let's assume it is) then drawing such conclusions does hold (within the certainty thresholds predefined for your statistical test of choice, such as 99% or 95% probability). Or have I misunderstood?
LOAD"CANABALT",8,1
"which are continually changing due to doppler effects"

Doppler effects will be extremely small, since the greatest speed differential you'll see will be twice the speed of an airplane (when two planes are moving directly towards or away each other), which is not a substantial fraction of the speed of light. There will be some shift, but not nearly enough to bump a device from non-interference to interference. Or did I misunderstand something?
I like the reference to China, considering Google recently backing out of there due to these sorts of reasons. Makes me wonder if they'd ever consider doing the same in one of their key markets, such as the US.
Sherbrooke, ma chaumière bien-aimée
I'm not going to disagree with the meaning behind your post, but I am going to disagree with the wording.

Calling kids who shouldn't be in university dumb is incredibly harmful and reinforces the idea that you need some sort of Bachelor's degree to be successful, not-stupid, a real adult, etc. That attitude only encourages people who really should enter a trade get a random arts degree instead which causes them far more misery in the long run.

Besides, effort is not enough for smart people either -- for some careers, you'll need a variety of talents that even for a "smart" person may be difficult or slow to develop: people skills, aesthetic sense, artistic control, etc. Not to mention some people have an easy time with biology and have no trouble at all going through med school but find calculus hellish, and people who are the exact opposite. If anything, the whole "If you believe in yourself and work hard, you can go anywhere!"-attitude has a chance of backfiring with everyone.
The best web to lead approach
Social science has exactly the same problem. More statistic classes are desperately needed.
I'm suffering cognitive dissonance here. This is Nathan Myhrvold of "Intellectual Ventures" fame, right? Given that the state has granted him many, many intellectual monopolies, what gives him the brass to complain about styming innovation? Monopolies are widely regarded (in conventional, fact-based economics) as caps on innovation.

This seems more than a little bit hypocritical. One has to speculate that either Myhrvold feels his monopolies threatened by whatever is subsidized, or he feels he's not getting his "fair" share of the subsidy money.
> Think of all the iconic products and designs that endure, and remain incredibly successful, while dozens of also-ran knock-offs appear, wither and die on a monthly basis.

Bluuuh. "Think of all the X" just invites the availability heuristic. You immediately think of the products that became huge successes and introduced something new into the mainstream. Successful but boring products don't come to mind because they're boring, and the failed but novel products don't come to mind because you never heard of them. Averaged over the whole industry, I would guess that new products need a fairly small amount of originality, and adding more is correlated with failure.

If you want to be the best in your area, by all means go the extra mile to understand the problem deeply. But if you want to be good enough in 20 different areas, your best bet is to be a copycat in all of them, because originality is expensive and risky and your resources are not infinite.
You can downvote. Check my post that says that this thread has been removed.
That's his point..if someone can't write and position two characters of text and have it be cross platform easily, the HTML platform itself has failed.

I had a similar thought like the author recently. Flash could have been awesome with a smaller runtime, 3D sooner, progressive rendering of content (text and images getting loaded in like in the browser instead of loading bars) Who would still use HTML? There would be no upside at all, Flash has always had better tools.
First, I would say take a break and get a little perspective.

What is the cause of your stress? Is it the work? Is it the lack of traction for your product or company? Is it cash flow? Is it physical exhaustion?

Assess the source of that stress and start figuring out why it stresses you out. Then do something about fixing the "being stressed out" part by changing your perspective on the problem.

Second, realize that number of hours work is not necessarily the best approach. Figure out if you are spending the time efficiently. Figure out what could be done by someone else. Compute the cost of doing some of those other tasks and if the task is non-essential to your business and the cost of the task is higher than what you would pay yourself on an hourly basis, then outsource the sucker.

Third, remember that YOU ARE NOT THE PRODUCT. The product is the product and it may need fixing but it's not you, as a person. Get that perspective and start looking at it as something that you put in customer hands, not something that you are. This should greatly alleviate the stress.

Now go on to 40 (and beyond) with those concepts in mind. It took me until a second stay in the hospital at age 39 to realize that I was doing it wrong. I had burned myself out a few times (12 hours? pfft... try 18!) and after a near-death experience, realized that I could do a better job by refocusing. My new company, as a result, is moving along nicely and I believe it will succeed but I also realize there will be bumps in the road along the way and those are part of the natural course of things when growing a business.
Again, I'm not a psychologist, so this is only my (limited) interpretation of what I've read.

I'm not saying that there is no nature-component. But, (AFAIK) there is no real evidence for something that would correspond to some idea of 'Raw Smarts' that (a) has a meaningfully large effect compared to practice and experience, and (b) generalises.

What I've read suggests that, yes, there are a whole bunch of nature-components and nurture-components which initially serve to differentiate ability in young children. But the direct effects of these get quite rapidly dominated by the feedback loop of ability->motivation->practice->ability. So there's an initial differentiation - because of a subtle difference in brain chemistry, or earlier maturation, or better access to books, or competition with high-achieving siblings :); but in the longer term, there's a pretty consistent picture that excellence and ability at a high level is dominated by deliberate practice and sustained effort over time.

Of course, psychology research is hard to separate from its social context and underlying cultural assumptions, and it may just be that our egalitarian culture is uncomfortable with the idea of innate ability dominating, and steers research accordingly. Or I may just be missing the point entirely.

The essence of my point is that, as things currently stand, the research suggests that innate ability is not a significant component of ultimate achievement, and that we should therefore not predicate our approach to education upon the idea that it is dominant (which is what the comment I was replying to seemed to suggest).
Looks really interesting, will start reading this tonight.
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Weekend Commodities Review
I'd take it a step further. People don't weigh the coffee-purchasing decision at all. That's the key difference. Coffee buying has become a routine, whereas app buying is consciously considered. The process of considering and purchasing an app is -- at least for most people -- not a daily, habitual, automatic one. And so it is with most purchases in life. Anything we're not doing on a super-regular basis does not become automated and relegated to subconscious action to the extent that a daily routine does.

That's not to say that buying an app can't become a daily routine, of course. Anything is possible. But it seems unlikely for most people.
I'm definitely going to quote you on that :-)
The programming assembly-line
People should try to understand that the need for the capabilities of Flash and Flash itself are being lopped together in a single, partisan viewpoint. Regretfully.

There is a need for crazy, highly interactive studio/movie sites, webcam support on the web, cross-browser reliability, fast drawing for animation and games, cross-browser 3D, audio API. Saying that these features will come one day is not an answer. "You don't need those features because..." is also not an answer. The OP's points are no more constructive that those who have answers like these against Flash.

Criticizing HTML5 means you are pro-Flash. Which means you are wrong and all of your points are invalid. Even if you're not pro-Flash.
Thank you, I wasn't sure if they were
Is it art, then, or is it making a point? I don't deny that something can be both, but it seems to me much of the "crazy modern art" you see only succeeds in making a point, not in being beautiful.
Vim on Cloud9 IDE
Cloud9 IDE now supports Vim keybindings!
I completely agree that money changes the vast majority of people.. especially if it's a large amount very quickly.

I still think your "similar roles and similar levels of responsibility" point is incomplete. Employee #3 will always have a different relationship with the company - and its leadership - than employee #30. They've been through quite a bit together that #30 was not there for and there will be a different level of trust, authority, etc. It's not a criticism, just a situation.

It's the difference of going to school with the same kid since kindergarten and the new kid getting there in high school. There's quite a bit of history.. good or bad.
"I am not sure the world would be a better place if most engineers shifted to becoming business owners."

I know plenty of engineers that aren't capable of owning a business. They need to be told what to do..otherwise nothing will get done. Owning a business requires self-discipline and many people just don't have it.

"but so are most successful businesses"

It depends on how you define success. There are plenty of businesses that make enough in profit to give the owner a good lifestyle (as good or better than working for someone else).

I've worked for other people for the 15 years (I quit a little over 2 years ago to start my own company). In every single job, no matter how good it seems like in the beginning, it eventually turned bad.

You will almost always be asked to work on something you don't like, work extra hours, or get denied vacation time. I got tired of it. I got tired of being forced to ask someone if I can take a day off of work to go to the doctor or visit family after Christmas. It felt just like when I was in school. I suppose school is good training for real life.

As a business owner, I have more freedom. There are many times when I don't want to work on something, but it's still enjoyable to me because it's mine. Life also seems to pass by much slower. I don't feel like I'm wasting my life.

The downside is that I have more responsibility (if you can call it a downside). I can't just go into work and collect my check at the end of the month.
Discover How To Create iPhone Apps With No Programming skills
In domestic abuse cases between wife and husband where the man is abusing the wife. The reason the wife doesn't get help sooner is because she is trained to focus on the good. This process can cause a phenomenon where the man only abuses the wife and does nothing good, yet she will focus on inconsequential things as she lives in complete denial.

I see pincus as manufacturing this situation where the employees are the abused yet thankful wife.
I might respond to that as follows, which has the benefit of both encouraging effort, and being what is most likely the truth:

"It may not seem like a lot of effort now, but that is because you have worked so hard on so many similar tasks in the past; long practice makes for easy work."
Writing Vividly: the Power of Description -
I wasn't assuming consulting/freelancing at all. If you're going to run a business you're going to have customers. These customers need support and can be much worse than anyone you deal with in office politics.

The problem is that you're presenting a false dichotomy. Either work for yourself or slave 12+ hours/day for someone else. There are plenty of good 8 hour/day engineering jobs that pay well and have interesting problems to solve. If 'might make [you] rich' is why you want to do a startup you're probably going to be disappointed. The odds are stacked against you and the risks are high. If you're really good at tech, most of the top companies pay well and give job stability which is what many people want.
Laravel 2.0 - A Small, Elegant PHP Framework With Awesome Documentation
Used Woodworking Machinery Auctions
Consider purchasing from used woodworking machinery auctions when you are setting up a new small wood working business.
Very well done.

I read this book the week before I began a JavaScript class in college, and the first hundred pages alone were enough to get me through the course.
Even my grandmother got immutability
I believe my wife budgets both restaurants and fast food. I suppose that means at a fundamental level, the problem is shifting budgeting from one line item to another is a PITA.

I don't think it's anything to do with marketing. I just grabbed Wendy's as an example, but I also recently ended up at a relatively fancy restaurant I'd never heard of before walking in their front door, and I spent more on a single glass of wine there than that album would have cost. On some level, I think it comes down to feeling like food is a necessity and buying more music is not. But at the same time, if you'd offered me the choice ("Don't buy the wine and you can buy the album") I'd have taken the album for sure.
Does HN have a "mechanism" for tracking how people flag posts? Like if someone is an active "flagger", but doesn't upvote, does that get noted at all and affect their ratings??
> "art" is: something which is made/done for the purpose of being perceived

That is actually quite Kantian. But maybe best left there: recommending a normal person look up the 'Critique of Judgement' would be like recommending a normal person read a book on computational type theory . . .
If you prefer print, like me, No Starch Press published it earlier this year too. Just checked on Amazon and even Brendan Eich gave it a review(!) :-) It's probably the best overall introduction I've seen so far, although other books do go further into the details, naturally.
It worked great for Minecraft: many ideas from the mod community were siphoned back into the main game.

The iPhone does make this difficult, as a release usually takes one week to go through Apple's approval system. Therefore you can't make mistake today and fix it tomorrow.

This is what the Android market is good for. However the stores are different, so lessons learned on the Market may not suit your iPhone audience.
Who here studied Latin?

Well I did Latin for 6 years in High School (Sydney Boys fyi). I find this title "Coding - the new Latin" as a bizarre way of inducing people to learn to code.

Latin is dead. Very dead. Back in my day Latin was billed as "The Fastest Growing Language", but that never transpired.

Now if you want to read Caesar, Virgil, Catulus et al, then fine learn Latin. But Latin is no longer the ticket to an elite private members club that it once was.

Latin - is also a language that you exclusively read. There is so little creative element to it. One furthers oneself in Latin by re/interpreting existing works.

Coding - is a creative craft where you take instructions and make something that never existed before.

It would be better to strap coding onto something intensely creative:

Technical Drawing
Metal Work
Fine Art, Sculpture
He has a great point if it's legit. Without source we have no idea what's going on or if he even has valid HTML to begin with.

I have no problems centering content horizontally cross browser (which he complains about).