skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
The lottery.

Honestly it bugs me a bit that I don't know the right way to model it - because so often people will slate it for having a terrible expected return (E[X]), but.. some very high percentage of us here could play every single week without noticing it (negligible downside), and yet winning however slim the chance would be somewhat life changing - even if it wouldn't make you quit work it'd be a nice windfall.

I suppose you can just view it as a microcap, very high risk investment.

I don't play, fwiw. I do have Premium Bonds, a lotteryish government scheme in the UK where you keep the invested amount and it can't go down (other than in real terms) but has a shot at winning various amounts each month up to the maximum of £1M. That's a lot easier to justify to myself, but I do wonder if it's a bit too easy to dogmatically hate on the lottery.
Daring Fireball – 20
These problems exist because we no longer live in an economy with true competition. Look at the post about Whirlpool owning almost all major appliance brands I see at best buy.
Yeah I think that is the big conceptual failure of beginners: inability to scale their perception, and "think big" when navigating.

You can still get a little lost if you happen to find a road that's not on the map on your way to the road that is or something of the sort, but usually it's pretty obvious.
> keep the ingredients somewhere the customers can't see

How do Coca-Cola get around having to list all ingredients when they sell a bottled product? They just list 'flavourings' don't they - what if you're allergic to one of the anonymous ingredients? Are they just not allergens?

I guess a cocktail bar also has extra protection in that I think non-retail food and drinks don't have to list ingredients anyway.
An Indonesian here.
If you apply for a job through recruiting platforms, you'll find some companies still require you to submit your cover letter as well as your CV.

Perhaps those see CV and cover letter are different. Cover letter summarizes why you are fit for the job. Then if you need the details/supporting facts, then see the CV.
Battery packs are not designed to be serviced, I would imagine that a Semi has like 4-6 packs and each one has to be fully replaced. The same thing goes for the engine, you just remove the whole engine assembly and put in a new one if one breaks.
They do happen at once if the stories are working slices of software, and they’re all in different stages.

Agile planning has used kanban-style stage notation for a long time. It’s just not always laid out in a grid.
> Investing in call options on AMD in 2014 or Tesla in 2019 also had huge asymmetric upside. It was clear that these stocks had massive risks, but while the upside wa potentially s huge, the downside was capped at -100%.

This is a terrible example. No one knew that the stocks would skyrocket. So at the time it was asymmetric on the downside because the cost of options were ridiculously expensive.
It's not crazy. If you grow the company, and if you have had stock compensation at any point in the past, it's in your interest to scale the company as much as possible. Profits don't go into your pockets, but the growth does.
…the comment was suggesting not dealing with it, at least until earlier-identified problems had been dealt with, so it’s not clear what you’re responding to.
Are you referring specifically to their car reviews? Those seem to regularly attract criticism for not being more like traditional car enthusiast-oriented reviews.

I think that's largely due to car enthusiasts having insufficient self-awareness about the degree to which their priorities differ from those of mainstream consumers. PC gamers and PC building enthusiasts are also frustratingly prone to this kind of thing. (I spent several years reviewing PC hardware for a living, which included constantly fielding comments from readers who seemed to be genuinely unable to understand how their could be a market for low-end components.)
And more than consumer protection. At least here in Australia we have the ACCC, even though it feels somewhat weaker than usual in recent years, it can still help. It probably contributes to the so-called 'Australia Tax' we have on products here in addition to our small market and large distance. But at least a TV or car manufacturer offering a 4 year warranty here is still obliged to replace it later if it's reasonable to expect such an expensive product to last longer than 4 years.
Yeah, that's the exec short term gain thing. But it doesn't take too much research to check if that's happened before pulling the trigger, people are pretty vocal when that happens to their favorite brands.
This is an good point. From the perspective of a casino, most of their games have asymmetric upside.
One place I worked had too many meetings. One thing me and a colleague noticed that everyone (including ourselves) tended to sit in the same spots every time. So we started getting there first and picking random seats to sit in each time.

It was fun to then watch the mental gears turn as each person walked into the room, saw we those that arrived before them were sitting somewhere unexpected and then had to figure out where they would then sit. The cultural and power dynamics involved really did annoy some people.
Top refrigerator engineers are probably making lab freezers. I imagine a lot consumer hardware is JDM these days. Parent company mostly doing industrial design (if that) and the rest is farmed out to China where they have a standard design they're working from.
And what about the highly skilled lower paid workforce also using automation in China? And with fewer safety requirements the machines are cheaper too.
Worse yet, even some of the traditional "expensive, but built like a tank" companies are starting to shift to being "better branding, advertising" from your list.
We're both talking about the same elephant but we're obviously touching different ends of it. The end I'm touching smells really bad.

The fact that so many distros have to go extremely far out of their way, breaking their standard processes, shows that Rust is unique in it's tomfoolery. You guys are advocating for the tail to wag the dog.
Was the blender part one of these:

https://www.thingiverse.com/thing:4415363

https://www.thingiverse.com/thing:3969534

https://www.printables.com/model/172705-bosch-blender-coupli...

You could try printing it yourself, or using a 3D printing service to get a replacement. It would be interesting to see how different material options hold up.
> Using a map and compass in an area with numerous social trails, unofficial/unmarked trails, animal paths, etc is a different beast

Sure, it's different, but it's hardly difficult. I was a boy scout and was doing it regularly at 10 years old. The scoutmasters would hide caches of things (candy/toys/etc) in the woods somewhere and we were given compasses + paper maps only, not that there was anything else we would have reasonably had back in those days.
Investing in Bitcoin in 2011 after learning about it on Hacker News.
That "large node to run the gateways" cost me a total of $250, hard drives included. If you want to spend even less, people can get an old laptop and install dappnode on it. They can even share with their friends.

On my dappnode I bought a single 3TB drive to set up Storj. It paid for itself in the first year, now it generates enough revenue to pay for its power consumption and turn a very modest profit. Based on many different nodes just like mine, Storj offers a S3-compatible service at a fraction of the cost from AWS.
Seems we are losing sight of the difference between 'interpreted' and 'compiled'.

Personally, I prefer 'compiled'. My language of preference is C and has been for many years. I have tried looking at various 'fashionable' languages over the years (including Perl, Python, javascript, even Java itself) but I always gravitate back to C as the my best fit between speed of development and speed of execution.

The interpreted languages (like Python) can be fast to develop but, even there, they can get long-winded and convoluted to write because they don't require the programmer to be as rigorous regarding data types as she should.
One is curious as to why anyone needs to justify their existence.
Tornado Cash shuts down as it “can’t fight the US” and keep contributors safe
Why does nobody mass produce a high quality version of this outdated technology that only myself and a small collection of enthusiasts care about? Has the free market failed yet again?
Correct, I forgot about that and just watched it again after years and realised he didn't go to visit the Slabbers. It would have been fun if he went there and ate something, though.
That is really slick, I like your style. I could definitely live with like, one `.so` somewhere that never moves, I mean we've already got `vDSO` and stuff which is sort of related.

The quote about "glibc maintainers being non-helpful" slayed me. I guess at least some of the kernel people aren't exactly thrilled about the tireless efforts of the GNU project to gatekeep, take credit for, be obstructionist around, and otherwise subsume Linux into The GNU Operating System.

I hate that it's gotten to the point where I'm the "anti-GNU" guy, I never wanted that, but they need some fresh blood in the leadership or something.
Plus selling barely functional products under a DONGJOY etc brand isn’t fraud, only trying to sell a counterfeit Prada bag under the Prada brand is (and only in Western countries at that)
Buying a house in the United States. For as little as 5% down, and low-single-digit-fixed rates over a 30-year term, you can purchase an asset worth hundreds of thousands of dollars and you get to keep all the upside if its value goes up (which is historically quite likely, especially since housing policy in the U.S. deliberately keeps supply low). It's insane leverage, an excellent inflation hedge, and you get to deduct the interest payments from your taxes, to boot. Oh, and when you do sell, a bunch of that upside (up to $500k) is tax-exempt if it's your primary residence.
How is the market rate determined in those places? If no one can lower prices unilaterally, it seems like price discovery just can’t happen.
Check out Geek My Ride [2009]. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5kG-Qprpt80

He claims to have the fastest web server on the planet. It'll do about 160km/hour.
Ford CEO to Union boss: "how will you get your men to build cars as fast as my new robots?"

Union boss: "I don't know Mr Ford, but how will you get those robots to buy your cars?"
This is the worst part about all this smart phone junk and cooking. It's normalising leaving the room and then cooking something remotely a bit too much.
There was an attempt:

https://reactos.org/forum/viewtopic.php?f=4&p=146310
What does this say about the longevity of items priced higher in their category?
You are only taking into account the negatives and ignore the positives. Electric trucks will have cheaper maintenance. TCO is much better in pretty much all electric vehicle and every study looking at vans in cities has shown this. Semis will most likely show the same thing.

Such semis will also be faster exhilarating and more maneuverable and be a much more pleasant vehicle to drive. All those things are worth something as well.

Of course they will not dominate from day 1 simply because can't produce enough but they will eat away at ICE market share every year for a long time.

By the time they can produce enough of them to take on long haul routes, batteries will be 2-3 generation further along and the economics will tell.
Yeah. My friends swear by it, but I can't stand it. I miss my old Kindle 3G with side buttons.
The point isn't whether you "knew" the stocks would skyrocket. It's whether they could with some reasonable/acceptable probability. I remember these stocks being in the doldrums in each of those years and thinking that they could explode with a little execution. I was thinking of buying the stock (but didn't). If I was thinking along the lines of the call option (adding more asymmetry), I might have pulled the trigger. This isn't a "hindsight is 20-20" example.
We are a net importer of crude oil. We are a net exporter of petroleum products.
CSAM represents an increasingly invasive trend of Apple's idea that "your device is not yours", and integrated ads would be further in that space
When I was young, I thought to find answers to my problems by asking my peers for an advice, talking my problems through.

It was a suffering for me, because the advice I got were always from the perspective/experience of other people, not suitable for my individual core values or my understanding of the world, not really fitting to my physical and emotional situation.

Once I admitted to myself to be an introvert, I could start dealing freely with my problems in my own way, making my own world experiences and learning form my own trying, building my own opinions.

Now I am very hesitant to give other people advice -- any opinion I try to put upon the next person feels so manipulative. People (including me) are very selfish when giving advice.
I don't think thats true. I think thats a biological version of "if you are a climate scientist I don't believe you" distortion of science and society.
Well, the cassette tape is obsolete, unlike toasters or refrigerators.
I've realized it's open source, the arm64 OSX build is taking way less cpu!

There is a render bug when the application is not focused, it's taking a tons of cpu resources.
Good point. Except, lack of sun probably changes use of both AC (ok its britain: they dont HAVE AC but they do have heat pumps) and hot water/heating systems, a bit. So it would be setting an error bar on it maybe
Have you ever tried to use your "warranty"? It's a "lifetime warranty", the lifetime being the core components of the washing machine. When it dies, that's it's lifetime.

There is little enforcement of warranties from the FTC. They cannot afford to do investigations, because they are civil litigation.
Consumers Report still has a magazine - I subscribe to it for a lower cost than the online access.
>Changing a security model that has been used for decades to a more restrictive model is difficult, especially in something as complicated as macOS. Attaching debuggers is just one example, there are many similar techniques that could be used to inject code into a different process. Apple has squashed many of these techniques, but many other ones are likely still undiscovered.

> Aside from Apple’s own code, these vulnerabilities could also occur in third-party software. It’s quite common to find a process injection vulnerability in a specific application, which means that the permissions (TCC permissions and entitlements) of that application are up for grabs for all other processes. Getting those fixed is a difficult process, because many third-party developers are not familiar with this new security model. Reporting these vulnerabilities often requires fully explaining this new model! Especially Electron applications are infamous for being easy to inject into, as it is possible to replace their JavaScript files without invalidating the code signature.

It makes me sad that we are likely not going to see any new fundamental design rethink for security's sake in mainstream operating systems. It is cost prohibitive at this point to do something that gets security right for the world of 2022 and yet not break all the apps which would never be rewritten!

Mobile OSes were a good break off point as far as security goes but that came with a lot of functionality sacrifice.

Although something like QubesOS can theoretically dream of being semi-mainstream with support from hardware and OSS OS vendors like RH/Suse/Canonical or even Microsoft.
Thanks, that's great feedback!

I honestly didn't know gRPC had server reflection, will check it out tomorrow. A quick search makes me optimistic that it'll be easy to add. Same for the universal build. Might as well start signing the package while I'm at it.
I think it's used in the KFC veggie chicken burgers, and tastes just fine, actually maybe better than their chicken.

I don't understand why mycoprotein is not much more popular, I think only one company makes products currently?.

And it seems like the kind of thing dedicated home fermentation enthusiasts might be able to try. I'd love to grow my own Quorn-like food.
This might be simplistic, but the concept of "asymmetric upside" might be captured in any situation where "the worst thing can happen is that the person says no."

This includes: applying to competitive positions when you don't seem completely qualified, cold calls in sales (sales seems to be heavily based on asymmetric upside, where sales people call many different people until they get a few Yes-s), and asking people to hang out just to make friends.

More related to money, I've thought that cheap (and often free) educational material to have a large potential upside. Good books are often time well-spent, as long as there is enough time spent applying the concepts too. A cheap online course on video editing (I think about $10 USD at the time) has also come in handy many times.
James Mickens: It Was Never Going to Work, So Let’s Have Some Tea [video]
Yes, it is hard. It's okay if it's a little unbalanced. Thing is a lot of altruistic people end up getting stuck in a pattern they're there for everyone but nobody is there for them. That seriously hurts.
Generally agree for topic, but OP article isn't good. They should test efficiency of 50s compressor for refrigerator workload, and also consider auto defrosting that is evolutional feature. 50s is the decade that many inefficient cars run.
The lottery seems like a really dumb thing.
Things that break lead to greater sales. How do you deal with this?

If they're competing on sales, then they need to optimize for the point at which it can break without losing brand confidence.
Weird that we've been making a lot of the same appliances for so long but haven't really gotten any better at making them reliable. I mean, if I'd been making fridges for the last 60 years I'd probably know how to make one last, right?
Nope, server is accepting connections but isn't sending anything in response to requests:

$ curl -v http://reactos.aaron.cc/
* Trying 136.244.80.24:80...
* Connected to reactos.aaron.cc (136.244.80.24) port 80 (#0)
> GET / HTTP/1.1
> Host: reactos.aaron.cc
> User-Agent: curl/7.79.1
> Accept: */*
>

(no response within 60 seconds)
I used routing on my phone, but without the instructions, just the map, route and the GPS position marker—plus I had the map always with north on top, no rotation and no ‘3d’. This arrangement actually taught me about what is where in this city and how that looks from above. Otherwise I would be practically like a recent city-immigrant who knows the route from home to the subway and from the subway to work, with mysterious void in the middle.

Still, idk how people were driving here before gps maps, what with five-road crossings, and six-lane ‘guess your lane’ junctions with exits in non-obvious directions, and the old districts with streets packed tighter than GPS accuracy (of yesteryear), and the one-way streets going whatever which way.
Who decide expected life? Isn't it fixed by product category?
> lot of them (no matter what they say), actually don’t care about a little bit of slave labor in the supply chain of their new TV

So we can't trust what consumers say they want, but we can trust what you say they wan't?

What is the basis for this extraordinary claim?

So far your argument reads a lot like 'market is infalliable, if it doeant serve your needs, its your fault. And even if you find it ever fails, it's your, the consumers fault too. No flaw in the system is possible'
Autoconf makes it convenient to write configure scripts. Configure scripts existed long before autoconf, but were written piecemeal.
'enough charge and adequate backup devices' are very moveable feasts. I'm experienced on field trips and I still screw up or encounter unexpected power issues.

If your devices become available or unusable, a map and compass are way more likely to get you home safe. Also, it's not that hard to read a map.
Everything is originally bespoke before it is mass produced. Forgeries have gotten so much better than they used to be. I know antique dealers and they often rant about the job of recognizing reproductions having become significantly more difficult.

Like others have said, the first ones have issues, but late stage is when things get problematic.
You need access to the public, which is DNS, which won't be accessible after it rotated.

The provider has no reason to keep either the public or private key either.
You mean like this? It was literally the first result.

https://www.wired.com/story/ios-exploit-jailbreak-iphone-ipa...
Opportunity costs make the lottery a poor option. If you could only invest money in the lottery and nothing else, sure, it's better than no chance of multiplying your income.

But if you invest in an index fund, there's a very high chance of getting a 15-30% return on investment, versus a near-guaranteed amount of just losing the money spent on the lottery. It may not seem like a lot each ticket, but the costs add up over time.
1. Figure out which kind of job you want.

2. Look at job ads for those kind of jobs.

3. Learn the languages/libraries/… most frequently mentioned in the job ads.

4. Use your acquired knowledge to get one of those jobs.
Richard Thaler, I believe, talks about how the lottery can be a rational bet. As there is very little downside if not played frequently, but if you win, as unlikely as it is, it is life changing.

Obviously this only applies to something like PowerBall or Mega Millions. There is no rational reason to play the scratch off.
not when the return is a year after purchase (even shorter for most products these days)
Mark Zuckerberg summed up the Valley ethos at age 22, when he told a Stanford audience, “Younger people are just smarter.”
I know the Chicago boys get some flak for what they didn't get right but it sounds like Argentina would have benefited greatly from a few of them... jeez
In the mass consumer market there really isn’t much variation in the design lifetime. Everyone prioritize low construction costs and shoots for about the same timeline (last long enough that you don’t piss people off or get warranty work). Most of the difference in observed reliability isn’t planned, but circumstantial: bad design decision, etc.

If you really want something engineered differently, you need to look at something where cost is not prioritized, which won’t be something that costs 20% more, or even 100% more. It’ll probably cost at least an order of magnitude more at least.
Nice work! Possibly an alternative to TinyMCE. I can imagine using this in a variety of places that today I mostly provide a simple text box. The language component in particular is very powerful.
Lowering prices isn't illegal. There are only certain very limited circumstances where selling below the market rate can potentially be illegal. One is dumping, where foreign companies sell at artificially low prices in an attempt to drive domestic competitors out of business. Another is when a domestic monopoly (or near monopoly) does the same. But if a fuel retailer wants to sell gasoline at $1 / gallon less than the competition then that's totally fine (although local law enforcement might be annoyed if that causes a traffic jam).
That was long after they sold the Cussen household their toasters.

They're responsible for what they sold when they sold it. The didn't sell responsibility for stealing my food.
I remember reading their computer reviews a few decades ago and being gobsmacked at how ignorant their process and conclusions were.

I assume that other articles have similar issues, and that I'm just unaware because they're not within my area of expertise.
Show HN: Japanese Complete Book One Released