skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Pretty unlikely. Outages are common, especially in this above average summer, due to higher transformer load and temps.

Ever since the freeze, people who have even planned outages, refer to them as “rolling blackouts”. ERCOT is a pretty open data organization aside from QSE and generator data, and it’s unlikely that this data would have been fudged. We would have seen EEA3 in addition to $5k settlement prices if there was enough of a shortage to invoke rolling blackouts. These prices directly affect end users, e.g. businesses, datacenters, end users still on RTM rates, and solar buyback users. Generators definitely have offers open up to the $5k price point, and there is no way they’d be able to lock the settlement price without it being obvious to businesses/end users, or to generators/REPs/TDUs that there is market manipulation.

As far as sagging frequency, this is also wrong, because frequency sag calls up additional reserves, and we haven’t run below 1 gigawatt of reserves since the winter freeze. The number to watch for is 59.5 hertz, which is automatic EEA3 (we haven’t hit this since the winter storm, where we reached a whopping 59.3 hertz) This is also directly measurable by TDUs and (maybe) end users.
The drunk guy about to T-bone you is more difficult to encounter in the first place than the drunk guy about to stab you on the subway.

I agree these are civic issues, not issues with public transportation. However I always get the impression that many ardent public transit advocates are the ones who are also resistant to cleaning up public transit so that it is more attractive.

Yes, let's definitely work towards providing mental health solutions, but let's also not let the psycho claim an entire subway car because "he has every right to be there" or "it's inhumane to forcibly remove him" and still expect the general public to delight in giving up their cars and take the subway instead.
There’s about 100GW of solar generation in ERCOT’s interconnect queue at the moment. If there is uncertainty, utility scale developers aren’t signaling it.

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=32071998

> As of 30 September [2021] developers had 100.3GW of solar capacity in the queue, 42.4GW of utility-scale battery storage, 22.5GW of wind, 13.5GW of natural gas and minor amounts of other technologies such as biomass.

For comparison, ERCOT has a maximum capacity of 15GW of coal generation, and 65GW of fossil gas generation (per electricitymap.org, which sources zone capacity data in the US from US EIA-860 reporting).
I've done psychedelics before, but never with the idea of treating BID, and I've never noticed changes in my BID from psychedelics. I've been waiting for psychedelic psychotherapy to be legalized so I can make a good effort at it with a therapist.

as for hypnosis and temporary paralysis, that's interesting as well. I've never been hypnotized, but I'd certainly give it a shot. I have induced numbness temporarily by stretching my spinal cord - I have a spinal defect from my genetic disorder, so bending forward yanks where it's snagged. it's extremely painful, though.

I've also never used antipsychotics, though I know they've been tried unsuccessfully in others.
> that alters people's behavior

I've always understood this part of the description to be more than a single one-off choice, so none of that around the decision point in the financial product would count.
I don’t disagree that the govt has an incentive and likely even a backdoor agreement with Intel (pun intended), but trading that for a subsidy is unnecessary. The intelligence community need not trade $ for backdoor access.
I got hit by a rolling blackout. It was a blackout drunk rolling his truck into a utility pole.

Outages can have a lot of causes.
>>However, the biggest dread now in Bangalore is stepping out of our home or the complexes.

Don't wish to make presumption, but please if you stay in those gated communities, I have to say you know nothing about Bangalore. That entire Whitefield/ORR crowd lives in a tailored bubble, everything from their home to kids schooling is kind of tailored to make them comfortable in a cocoon which doesn't apply nearly all of Bangalore.
>> Statistically, the opposite is happening: human knowledge is becoming deeper.

Do you have a source to point to? (honestly wondering)

>> to converse intelligently about things outside one's area of expertise

Just had this conversation the other day. 90% of my old college teachers (engineering) could talk about and explain in depth many many topics out of their field (philosophy, history, geography and what not). That's not the case today.
So that's enough for one national highway.

What about the others?
Anti-intellectualism was much more popular with kids of past generations than it is of "Gen Z."

The youngest are not the generation that came up with the "math isn't cool", "nerd", etc. archetypes.
Appreciated these examples, thank you!
That was an incredibly interesting story. Where can I find more government declassified documents?
> Was Lenin a conservative?

Lenin ruled for barely 4 years. Since November 1917 till late 1921, when he already had been gravely ill and was largely removed from all power and left as a figurehead. In 1923, he had his third stroke, and his days were numbered. So, compared to overall Russia's history, Lenin's four years have been but a brief episode. Stalin, who replaced him, was a conservative ruler (though of course not the kind of "conservative" that we have now in America, obviously), so were all up to maybe Gorbachev - who ruled for about 6 years overall. As you can see, not being a conservative leader in Russia means a rather short tenure, somehow.

> Now this have changed and we have entered very 'interesting' times.

If you think people in Russia will raise up and overthrow Putin because of the suffering he has inflicted on them due to his insane lust for conquest - don't hold you breath for it. He has much better chance do die as a Tsar (which is what most Russian Tsars did) than to be deposed. Russian people, as a mass, have absolutely zero inclination to overthrow Putin's regime.
My day to day assumption is for nearly anything I want to do, someone else in the relevant domain has already done the deep dive and it's a variety of premature optimization for me to over invest.

If it's important, or my domain, or something interesting, sure, I'll dig in deeper. However, we live at a time where vast expertise is a few clicks away, so I find it's usually more valuable to know how to find and analyze someone else's solution than to create my own.
> As a cross-platform compatibility layer

We use docker in this way for work, and it’s merely okay. We use docker to bundle the environment (which changes rarely) separate from the code and build system (which changes often). For this, docker has been great for 95% of all our internal users: way more than a makefile helped, but the remaining 5% were a huge pain. The most recent issue was the in-docker user having a different id from the local user, which isn’t a problem on macOS but is on Ubuntu.

At the point where docker made sense as a compatibility layer, it was trivial to convert the whole system into a service running on Kubernetes.
> civil and nuclear engineering would like to disagree. Shortages are so severe that retirees are routinely brought back these days.

This has to do with funding shortfalls. Looking at the current political/economic landscape, I would practically be an idiot to invest time in trying to become a nuclear engineer rather than getting deep knowledge of a subject that capital holders have shown more interest in rewarding.
You’re talking about the company that removed the headphone jack so they could (very successfully) sell you wireless headphones. Nothing about an iPhone is really necessary” so of course they’d still sell the cases.
In the special case of tunneling in order to bury high voltage power cables, the power source for boring could be quite remote.
...and those kinds of cheats are best avoided with a bit of server-side validation.
When the author says “use modern techniques like forecasting” in the section on estimation, what do they mean, specifically?
I think it is important to remember not to value judge these sorts of widespread skills. Does it matter today that I can't shape a flint or ride a horse?
There is no stopping of "current" mode. Yet.
When presenting my PD work for the young guns, I UX them to unconsciousness:)

Scratching the surface of a given topic and focusing on comfortable for them communication is the key.
I always let the door be open for the deeper questions without selling my "extra" knowledge or experience. They have to be the stars in the room, knowledgeable professionals have a critical way of thinking which is "annoying" and "unproductive".

Be soft, forgiving, friendly, and willing to learn the "new trends" without asking questions. Just tell you deeper knowledge to take back seat.

My only hope is in the recession. Maybe if we are lucky things will reach a critical point and all the "unicorn magic", "empty words", "big ideas" will meet reality. And we know that reality has no sense of humor or "culture fit". :)
“ The total power draw in a "stage 3" system like this could get as high as 1.38 gigawatts”

New York City uses ~11MWh per day (i.e. a capacity of 458 MW). This means the above would amount to ~3x that usage. I don’t know much about this and may misunderstand something here, but this seems infeasibly high for a mobile system, no?
Anti-social remote is also problematic. Why would it not be?
I wish you were wrong.
Accusing strangers on the internet of being dupes for expressing their opinion seeks to chill their speech instead of criticizing their ideas.

If one believes their criticism is worthy, they shouldn't feel compelled to wrap it in bad faith tactics in order to express it publicly. If they feel that it can't stand on it's own without such tactics, it isn't worth expressing.

This tactic is counter to what to suggest. It seeks to attack the other person's qualifications to hold an opinion rather than allow your arguments and theirs to be subjected to equal scrutiny.
The simplest way is to store everything locally, as was proposed by V Bush in 1945. His Memex included an output (on microfilm) of all the relevant pages, along with the annotation trails.

If you have a local copy of everything referenced, none of your links break.
Oh definitely. I find though, that if leadership has their head screwed on that kind of thing doesn't happen.

Laziness seeps in from the top down.
The people who are vocal about those issues and share the perspective that you are implying are not the majority. There are lots of people who take the opposite stance on those issues, and the largest group (larger than both of the passionate sides combined) is those who don't really care either way.
It is an honest question: the first of my many AVR-based projects was at least 15 years ago, and it was an improvement over PIC prior to that, but I just don't see the draw to AVR anymore. For the cost of pint at the local pub, I can have a delivered STM32 development board. The tools and techniques that make sense to use with that development board will serve me well both in a hobby and professional context. [Edit to add: there seems to be plenty information/guides/forums freely available.]

Picking AVR seems a bit nostalgic, frankly, and I get that - a lot of my hobby time is working with old tech (like, sharp steel) because it's more enjoyable to me. I agree with you that there is a lot of "accidental complexity" in getting started with embedded, but I don't see how that really speaks to AVR vs newer 32-bit. Yes, the 32-bit chip itself is more complex inside, but a beginner doesn't need to know/care about that if the surrounding tooling is doing its job. I thought Arduino IDE had SAMD21 as a first-class citizen these days, so assumed it took care of that - is it not the case?

I work on firmware for my day job, and help run a makerspace. At makerspace, people starting fresh usually learn SMD soldering, and ESP32 with Arduino IDE seems like the most popular platform. At work, I'm a big fan of libre/free firmware, but hate how Arduino IDE fits in to a professional context (highly variable library quality, library management is a mess, difficult to handle build scripts, etc). I am 100% on the embedded Rust train.
Tariffs are a thing, but there is absolutely no shortage of demand right now, and hasn't been for a while.
Hmm, that's actually a very clever hack.

I'll try it!
I've had a similar experience. I think this loss of generalization is (dishearteningly) most visible in CS departments: many of my CS peers were openly scornful or disdainful of their liberal arts requirements, which in turn were diluted to ensure that mediocrity or inattention would not filter them out of their degrees. The end result: thousands of yearly graduates qualified to program (and by virtue bring money and renown back to the department), and nothing else.

Edit: And to be clear, these were not stupid people, and there is an important sense in which they were right to be scornful: the classes were clearly not intended to challenge them. I don't believe that particular blame can be levied on them.
The Questionable ‘Chinese-Ness’ of Chinese Sci-Fi
I think it's been like this for thousands of years. The forefront of human knowledge has not been advanced by everybody all doing their bit. It was by a vanishingly tiny number of super-intellects, plus a much bigger (but still small) group of experts and deep thinkers who help carry and refine and expand those ideas.

I would say most people don't have the capability to usefully contribute to the complicated problems of today. The good thing is that those who do are inclined to share it with the rest of us because they can't do that in isolation either, and are dependent on the blood and sweat of others too.
I don’t think percent is ever more clear than “times”. Wish we’d just use that. But I think people like the big numbers.
Generalizing about the younger generation, a tale as old as time.

You are so much smarter and wiser than all of them, good job.
Reading is a huge problem with certain developers.

It's not only documentation, which they ask for but never read. They also won't read error messages, and ask seniors for help on almost every situation.

(But the most infuriating thing is when they assume the error message doesn't have any info, and when sharing the screen you have to repeatedly ask them to not navigate away because you're reading it)
College professors are like the academically top 1% of CS graduates. Are you comparing apples to apples?
thank you.

my case is kind of special, since I also have a progressive genetic disorder that's led to me being disabled. it affects me in some of the ways that I "want", but not as completely as I'd like, and causes other issues I never wanted at all.

I attempted to integrate like you suggest, shifting my BID towards the direction of my newfound disability. mostly using cognitive reframing, acceptance/commitment therapy, and working at the peripheral issues like imposter syndrome, shame, grief.

I feel much less shame now, and I'm able to use BID as a coping mechanism for my physical condition, but the darned dysphoria is still present.
That’s my main beef with them as well - I haven’t used the later models so I don’t know if this has changed, but my 7 and all iterations I’ve had before that literally launch out of my hand if I’m only casually gripping them and make even a moderate movement.
> 90% of my old college teachers (engineering) could talk about and explain in depth many many topics out of their field (philosophy, history, geography and what not).

How do you know they could explain it in depth?

I've heard a lot of people who think they know history/philosophy/economics (especially on HN), but what they really know is pop history/philosophy/economics.
1. I have deep long discussions with the customer to understand the business problem they want solved. Usually over a nice coffee in a relaxed environment.

2. I document it in a Spec and make sure the customer reviews and understands exactly what they will get. Again, while enjoying good coffee!

3. The customer pays up front for this initial Spec work. If they don’t want to pay up front I walk away. I don’t work with customers who doesn’t understand that work costs money.

4. If they are happy with the spec I then negotiate a contract and payment terms. This always includes an upfront payment. Usually 10%. If they don’t want to pay a percentage upfront I walk away. Cheap customers are not worth the pain. The rest is paid based on milestone deliverables. I always make sure that milestones are backend heavy so that I have a time buffer if needed.

5. I quickly implement what I call the “skeleton” of the application. All use cases are implemented with a minimum ugly/super simple UI and an in-memory hash map “database” for storage. Test cases cover all use cases end-to-end. I use an in-house code generator to make this step fast (80% of the code is usually generated).

6. I then iterate, refine, and improve the whole application step by step until it is done. With regular demos to the customer getting feedback on progress.

It works well. It isn’t perfect (what is?) but it has been successful for me.
My sense of smell is fine, I just don’t often find the occasion to smell my friends.
I couldn't help but notice that many young people don't want to spend months pulling their hair off to get a deeper understanding of what they do... they want to obtain value very quickly.

so how big of a sample size you're talking about. A lot of young people are producing cutting edge research in math, physics, computer science, coding etc.
Ha! I implemented "concatenative" programming for Java as Binding [1] (or Unit) expressions, but had no idea. Seriously, never came across that term before this post.

The idea with binding expressions is the type of expression A and the type of expression B implement "reactions" with one another in order to form a binding expression when they are lexically adjacent.

65 mph

The type of `mph` defines a post reaction method with the type of `65` as an argument that results in type Rate. As I understand it this is concatenative, right?

Another example:

Money payment = 1.5M USD;

There are tons of these.

Concatenative programming in general feels like it should have a more prominent place in mainstream languages. Just my take.

[1] https://github.com/manifold-systems/manifold/tree/master/man...
The context of the person you replied to was:

> Our currency loses value because too much of the economy is constituted by unproductive jobs where people just attend to each other instead of creating any value.

Which is a broad enough context for my point. The incredible inefficiency of the U.S. economy means that it is not providing the quality of life to its people that our per-capita economic activity suggests that it should be. In the aggregate, there's a lot of people paying a lot of money and getting a crappy life in return. That manifests itself in, among others, physical/mental health problems, constant economic precarity, overconsumption of natural resources, degradation of public services, profligate time-wasting, frustration with each other and one's self, and unachieved potential. And those things put the U.S. on the path to long-term decline.

After you account for externalities, and the fact that much of American economic activity would not exist if it simply had a better-structured society to begin with, the amount of value it actually creates starts to look a lot lower.
I think the obvious answer is "no the world isn't"

Do you have any evidence that young people are significantly different than people of the past that is not ancedotal?

I would suggest you probably just have nostalgia for an imaginary past which never existed. You remember the impressive people of your youth and forget all the mediocre ones.
I wish I could go deep into something useful and interesting but the compensation is really an issue. I guess for now I'll continue to make sure ads appear in youre lists of text updates :(
I was responding specifically to your premise that people's opinions on Musk are shaped by reporting rather than their knowledge of Musk's actions and character. In expressing this, you were dismissing their agency and suggesting they were simply empty vessels into which opinions had been poured.

In other words, you were asserting they had no ability to form an opinion.
I think the error here is in judging the absence of specific skills, and not in judging the broad absence of non-specialized skills.

In other words: it's wrong (and ridiculous) to judge someone for not knowing how to shape a flint, but it's correct to note that we should all have some general set of skills that aren't tied directly to our academic backgrounds or professions.
> a platform that's simple enough to stay compatible forever

Two things that make this impossible in a general sense: security vulnerabilities, and hardware that fails and is no longer manufactured.

It's only possible by defining the forever-platform as a sandbox abstraction, such that the containing layers can be updated for vulnerabilities and hardware.

This is what happened with the old game platforms, but even that is leaky. The NES Zapper is at least one case that remains troublesome. More generally, input and display lag always pose a problem and always will, since there always must be some translation layer for hardware that won't exist forever.

It's not just a matter of software programming. The hardware matters. For your forever-platform to truly work, it would need to include hardware manufacturing instructions from raw materials. Which is possible, but you can see where it goes out of feasible scope for any commercial endeavors.
Ah, that certainly could fit the bill.

Thanks.
That was superb
They don’t show the phone after the fall because there is a big spider web crack on the screen. But relax, it’s an iPhone. Vibrate still works.
Yes, you can also see it here: https://www.ercot.com/
Meh, my OnePlus 8 is still scratchless and in perfect condition. Rubbing diamonds on glass is going to scratch it, I'm not sure why anyone found that surprising at all. The hardest known material is obviously harder than Gorilla Glass. Pavement isn't made from diamonds though.
Wonder if there’s one for blackout central — CA.
Both of these articles were actually interesting to me as a dev who built a b2b SaaS company.
Yeah, it’s all about the landing. One of these phones can survive quite a drop, probably several meters easily, if they land correctly when they’re dropped. But an incorrect landing, say, if you are unlucky enough to have the thing land exactly face down, will destroy the device with very little distance.
Why Is It So Hard to Adapt Jane Austen?
I think there’s a huge difference between being able to do something and being able to intelligently converse about it. The former I would not expect of people for tasks outside their specialization, but the latter seems like a more reasonable ask - especially if the demographic is college professors.
Well if you are a solar developer it makes sense to get in line in the interconnection queue and hope that this stupid tariff stuff gets sorted out before it's time to actually buy all the panels. But I bet we'd have a lot more installed all over the US if it weren't for this.
ERCOT actually falls under Public Utility Commission. Natural Gas actually falls under the Railroad Commission which was one the issues during Uri, ERCOT had no authority to get natural gas flowing to power plants.

One of the issues, not the issue.
OP, you will likely be interested in this talk by Bert Hubert:

How Tech Loses Out over at Companies, Countries and Continents: On how companies lose deep knowledge and stop innovating

https://berthub.eu/articles/posts/how-tech-loses-out/

As a video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PQccNdwm8Tw
It sounds like it’s pretty small.
https://archive.ph/nxpo7