skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
That’s a scenario people don’t seem to explore.

The scenario in which demand for labor drops massively but human labor is still needed. Many industries would lose 80% of workers, but 20% would remain. Those 20% would be very high status and well paid, at least compared to the UBI neo-serf class that yheir former colleagues of the 80% have fallen off into. It is yhese 20% that woll form a new upper middle class. They will be isolated from the UBI serfs and live in gated communities.

These communities won’t be like the extremely luxurious communities of the one percent, but still isolated from the poor.

In another thread on this topic I’ve predicted a rise of technologically driven authoritarianism where the human elite uses AI to oppress the poor. The 20% that maintain such a system’s infrastructure (technical and otherwise) would probably support it politically. In most right wing authoritarian states the government has drawn support from its upper middle class. In left wing authoritarian states like the Soviet Onion there was a vast beurocrat class that was structurally isomorphic to the upper middle class.

I’m predicting that the humans that hold onto their jobs the longest, and work in high paying stem jobs, will form the core of such a regime. This is good news for many HN users, because you’ll be part of those 20%. I’m just worried what happens to the people that aren’t so lucky.

Of course there are caveats here that the automation may not happen soon, happen quickly or lead to societal upheaval or fascism, but all of those are still possible.
> That spec literally recommends 80 char lines.

You mean this recommendation?

> The more conservative 78 character recommendation is to accommodate the many implementations of user interfaces that display these messages which may truncate, or disastrously wrap, the display of more than 78 characters per line, in spite of the fact that such implementations are non-conformant to the intent of this specification (and that of [RFC5321] if they actually cause information to be lost). Again, even though this limitation is put on messages, it is incumbent upon implementations that display messages to handle an arbitrarily large number of characters in a line (certainly at least up to the 998 character limit) for the sake of robustness.

Are there many user interfaces that can't handle more than 78 characters anymore? Even terminal windows wrap now. I'm inclined to believe that the 78 character recommendation really isn't that important anymore.

That said, I'm curious if the 998 restriction really is important too. That comes from here:

> The 998 character limit is due to limitations in many implementations that send, receive, or store IMF messages which simply cannot handle more than 998 characters on a line.

Are there many such implementations hanging around that can't handle more than 998 characters?
So going back to the original topic, 80% of science doesn’t work but actually a lot of science is done by engineers and that’s what the 20% that works is?
In person it is built-in implicitly, people will be social naturally by proximity alone. Anti-social in person environments are de facto considered problematic.
Nudging is like SEO, both nudges and perception filters are constantly evolving. Yesterday's nudge is today's fodder for memes.
> For every n irrational numbers you name, I can name n+1 rationals.

I name "x+pi for every rational number x". Good luck!
I can see the appeal as a replacement for make; in fact, it might be something I do without ever thinking of using make — just because I use Docker more often than make.

I use Docker for sort of a virtual network interface to allow me to connect to two VPNs (a VPN inside a VPN environment). Any good hardware/software finds all sorts of niches to fill in time.
"What will happen when my beliefs are proven true" isn't really a question, in the same way that "do you still beat your wife" isn't really a question.
It's at around 9% of market share and doubling annually.

https://www.iea.org/commentaries/electric-cars-fend-off-supp...

They are missing out on the easy part of the S-curve of adoption, and will have a far far harder time securing key competitive tech and supply chains by entering too late

There are currently ~8 major battery manufacturers, and right now a large bevy of battery startups. But right now is probably the last time in history to enter the market, because you can't just innovate on electrolyte or anode or cathode and enter the market, you have to do it all. And the lead times for development of new products, even in wel established companies with solid pipelines, is around five years.

The US did innovate quite a bit in this space, but political interference and strange political beliefs about batteries, like the physics prevents them from being used in all the ways we are currently using them, has significantly held back the US from leading as much as it could have in this space.

This is I n large part because industry leaders like Ford were so anti-scientifically anti-EV.

We kneecapped our future to let current rentiers, masquerading as gigantic industrialists, collect rent.
The same thing has been happening to me, for the last few months the average search results have been of very low quality.
Sounds like the AI will need a decentralized money to value compute costs and trade freely with other AI. One advantage we have is that AI is not smart enough to buy Bitcoin yet. That is my hedge against Exponential AI. Another megabull scenario
> The fact that you are aware of what was censored shows how little impact individual companies censoring information has.

That may be your fundamental misunderstanding here.

Censoring millions of posts and drastically reducing engagement on hundreds of millions more has a very serious effect.

I'm aware, because I sought that information out - but most people I talk to still have lingering misinformation on those subjects. You yourself seemed to think there wasn't any such censorship, before the goalposts were moved. I'm reminded of the narcissist's prayer.

> how do you know those posts didn't have content that violated those companies rules?

Maybe many did violate the companies rules. But the rules were wrong-headed. Legitimate and necessary debate was stifled and perverted at a global scale, and up until half an hour ago you hadn't even heard of it.
http://loki3.com/flex/
> A nudge, according to Thaler and Sunstein is any form of choice architecture that alters people's behaviour in a predictable way without restricting options or significantly changing their economic incentives. To count as a mere nudge, the intervention must require minimal intervention and must be cheap.

Thaler and Sunstein wrote the book on nudges, quite literally. So their definition counts, and it's the one from the article. The opt-in/out decision you mention isn't a nudge in this sense. You're not asked what you prefer, you have to be aware that you can opt-in/out and then actively pursue that option.
No, it works for anything. The key that people misunderstand is that if the task is really uncertain, you're allowed to give a really wide range. In fact, you're supposed to -- that's the only way you can be correct 90 % of the time.

As a concrete example, I recently estimated "somewhere between 1 week and 4 months" when asked about an semi-well specified feature because I felt there's a 5 % chance it's done in less than a week, but even under pessimistic assumptions, there's about a 5 % risk it takes longer than 4 months.

When asked about a larger, unspecified projects a few years ago, I didn't hesitate to respond "between three months and 15 years". Sometimes that's the best you can do due to the uncertainties involved. It sounds useless, but it's really useful to have a quantitative measure of the uncertainty.
100%; the interpreter is the main missing thing right now, otherwise crystal is my go-to today; I use crystal and ruby a lot, and even on an M1 Max it's still ~1-2s of waiting for a compile, vs ruby with near-instant feedback.
In 1970 my parents, sister and I went on a cruise which had a stop in Haiti; we rented a cab to drive through the town (I think Port-au-Prince) and I can admit I have never seen such poverty, as a child it was beyond shocking. There were also AK-47 toting men everywhere. My parents had no idea what they had gotten us into (no way to know much ahead of time back then). We eventually got outside town, and found a culture of mahogany carving and really amazing people. Sad to think that despite how depressing the town was (garbage dumped in streets for people to pick over, cardboard box houses) it's only gotten worse, and most of the trees are gone. The countryside was very beautiful but the poverty and terrible leadership and disasters eventually destroyed it all. As a child it made a powerful impression on me as to what people are capable of doing (or not doing) to each other.
I built so many, as a child, after reading Martin Gardner. Six faces for the basic ones, then many more. I used the tape of calculators with mechanical printing.

Edit: looking for the original article from Martin Gardner; meanwhile: the submitted video was commented by the Scientific American (the original container) - https://blogs.scientificamerican.com/observations/flexagon-b...

The original article was Flexagons // In which strips of paper are used to make hexagonal figures with unusual properties, published on December 1, 1956. The Scientific American has it online, but paywalled.

Found it:

https://archive.org/details/martingardnerthecolossalbookofma...

in Martin Gardner - The Colossal Book Of Mathematics (page 385)
You might want to make the validation case insensitive as well as make the validation ignore any black space around the answer phrase.

https://imgur.com/a/AD2YZ0l
Surplus renewable electricity is incredibly cheap. Losses matter a lot less than the cost of the infrastructure you need for storage. Batteries have great efficiency, but they're not cheap. We already have a bunch of infrastructure that can handle gas.
I cannot echo this enough. As someone who's experimented with this a whole bunch with a million things, here's the thing I realized: Get good at understanding what the COMPUTER is good at vs what the HUMAN is good at. For me, all the wasted time was a result of me misunderstanding and mixing these two up.

Namely: Things like mindmaps and lots of little individual connected nodes (e.g. Obsidian) appeal in theory to human minds, because that's how our minds work.

But for me, I realized they weren't good tools for this because my brain is much much better at doing this than the software.

Ah, yes then: The software is good at 1) writing things down verbatim for detail and 2) re-reminding me of them when I go to look at them. The other stuff, the thinking and the connections, that's ME. That's NOT the software.

So for me that means. What I look at on the computer needs to be dense and well organized, not a mess of nodes. Which usually leads back to bigger, simpler chunks. I still use http://zim-wiki.org, but try to minimize the number of pages.

(To go broader, yes, this has very much deepened my skepticism of AI and machine-sentience)
while this problem negatively affects everyone worldwide (because many shops ship everywhere) the vast majority affected is in the US.
I mean, there is certainly a class of issue that can be fixed on ARM, you're not incorrect there. Rosetta is not a panacea though, and ARM will not be there to save you when you're trying to spin up a half dozen Docker containers to run your testing framework locally. There are genuinely some issues on M1 that are too big to bikeshed, most of which unfortunately come down to software compatibility and instability. For a lot of companies, you either get an x86 workstation or you don't do local dev. That's unfortunately the status-quo when dealing with traditional, legacy codebases, and it kinda puts the Macbook Pro on the same level of usability as an iPad or Raspberry Pi. Still cool and situationally useful, but if I'm just going to SSH into $OTHER_MACHINE for all of my work, I may as well just get a different laptop.
If there’s sufficient demand, the World Cube Organization could (and probably should) organize two events, or one event with two championships.

You see that in many other sports. Basketball has 3×3 championships, road cycling had the road race and the individual time trial, cricket has at least 3 different game formats (tests, one-day, and T20), soccer has indoor and outdoor forms, sailing has many different boat types, swimming has separate events for 25m and 50m pools and for open water swimming, etc.
Most humans with power like to keep it, or even grow it. Profit is just a form of power.

The masses arguing over which form of control they are under is the best of the lot is more than acceptable to those in power.

Progress and power do not seem to typically go hand in hand. Lots of “progress,” very little progress.
I think we're arguing the same thing.

Write an abstraction on top of the hard to use API for the majority to use, and people who need to use the low level API directly can learn to do so.
I’m sorry dang. I’ve gone too far. I’ll take a break for a while.
Self-checkout isn't a great example since it's mainly just shifting the work from one human (the employee) to another (the customer), rather than true automation.

It may not be true automation, but it's very effective, and it's something we're seeing not only at the grocery store. What used to involve calling a person up and asking for services is now done through web portals... taking a few minutes of the person's time.

The real issue in this degradation of customer service is usually not the time cost but the fact that, while it doesn't change the amount of random human error that occurs, it shifts the penalties onto the users... if your travel agent screws up, you get a refund... if you screw up (in something that used to be someone else's job) you're told to eat the costs.

Thing is, the replacement of a process when an ersatz alternative may not be "true automation" but it doesn't need to be in order to work. And job destruction across an industry isn't 0/1. There are still jobs in car factories in Detroit, just far fewer of them. There will still be jobs for truck drivers in 2040, but there probably won't be nearly as many. Employers will still need programmers; they might not need the same number of us. It only takes a dip of a few percent in job supply to cause wages and working conditions to crater (that's inelasticity), and even this says nothing about the ripple effects and systemic calamities (up to and including the possibility of economic depressions that last decades) that occur when large numbers of working people lose substantial income.
Another funny bit from the same source: https://web.mit.edu/kolya/misc/txt/cow-govt
>That's pretty close to saying it doesn't work.

No it's really not.

To say things a different way, I don't think this study will change anything for people actually doing choice architecture in applied settings. They have results that speak for themselves.
What you're saying might be true (I'd take a bet against Rs suddenly winning the popular vote if the game changed, though) but it could also true that we're playing the wrong game.
Reminds me of Nicky Case's "Nutshell" [0]

[0] https://ncase.me/nutshell-wip/
OTOH, people have been looking for evidence of nudging, and didn't find it. Since the a priori probability of a more than marginal effect of nudging is unlikely, we can conclude that it's much more likely that nudging doesn't "work" than that it does.
Why do you think there is no evidence that if you reduce calorie intake you lose weight?
Are you saying that if your calorie intake was 0 you would remain fat?
Why are anorexic people skinny then?
That's the thing. If they were laws proper, then we'd get a proper defense.

Its the worst of all possible worlds: its a "bureaucratic policy" that was made without oversight, lawmakers, or anything. And it was powered because of some line "bureau will conduct appropriately the $thing"

And then, you start getting law/notlaws, lilliputian 'courts' that follow their own rules, fines and punishments that are expressly criminal but for some strained definition aren't defined as criminal.
Yeah, I would say "cannot be preempted", so the author is right it can be understood to mean different things. I've never heard of this "has a deadline that can't be broken definition" before.
I have recently decided to pick up go.
Most of my background is in low level development and especially in C. I have decided to document a bit of my journey here, thinking that it might give a simple overview of the language to other developers coming form a C background.
> make your own ketchup sometime

Any recipe you prefer?

Also, fun fact, tomatoes are a new world plant. So, no ketchup in the EU until after trade between America and Europe was established.
I think of it as synchronous and continues.
If it is cheaper to go by car, that depends on how you compare it. If you travel 1 day a month, the train will almost certainly be cheaper because you don't have to buy the car and pay the taxes. If you travel a lot, a car _might_ be cheaper, but even then I doubt it. Don't forget that unlimited train travel in The Netherlands is roughly 380 euros. Is it extremely expensive? Yes. But depending on how often you travel through the country, it might be cheaper than a car.

Secondly, I complain about NS a lot about delays and about not being able to sit. I am not going to argue that it isn't a problem that has to be improved. During rush hour (and plenty of times, outside) it is sometimes impossible to find a seat. But, horrible unreliable? that is not how I would call it.

Along with that, don't forget that our train system is extremely busy. For example, the trains that go from Amsterdam Zuid to Schiphol is the 7th busiest station in the country and it has only 4 lines, all of them which are almost constantly in use. The moment anything goes wrong, that has a domino effect on all other trains.

Personally, I own a car and I use it quite a lot. But I also use public transport quite a lot. For point to point travel outside of cities a car is a no brainer, if you stay within the cities, it is probably not worth it to have a car.

Finally I want to point out that our train system has problems, it has delays quite often, there aren't enough seats, and it is expensive. These are all things that we really have to improve. But It is nowhere near as bad as you make it out to be.
I cannot share the reason I am convinced it works.
But I can tell you I am convinced it works.

I'm sure many people here are in similar situations.
Just switch to "Latest tweets" (chronological feed), creating a list of all users you follow is also a good solution.
Interesting— Vi Hart was a PI for YC Research's HARC (known mostly for Bret Victor's Dynamicland) – small world

https://hn.algolia.com/?query=harc
I've seen plenty of women with facial hair.
The root cause is explosion of number of people with the capability to travel and travel far for leisure.

8B people on this planet and only so many tropical resorts and beaches, accessible snow capped mountain hikes, and grand waterfalls.
Yep. A lot of times, your legacy test suite will depend on some obscure Oracle Docker image that hasn't been updated since the late 'oughts, and unless you get it running then your tests won't run. On x86, this really isn't a problem. On Linux, you don't even need QEMU to get things working.

I wish this world was friendlier to the RISC ISAs of the world, but CISC supremacy is still real, and can hurt you.
You don't have to prove something doesn't exist , you have to prove it exists.
Small nitpick:

>When we received the first samples with the CNC cutout for the display enclosure, we noticed that it was a few millimeters off which caused a tiny gap between the display and the enclosure.

a few millimeters off may cause a huge gap, given the overall dimension of the enclosures, maybe it was a few tenths of millimeters.

I can feel the pains you went through, though it seems like the typical hiccups that may happen on any manufacturing process, apart the COVID related issues, I have seen same or very similar delays/problems in any non trivial project, where diferent manufacturers/suppliers are involved.
Tesla recommends charging to 100% because otherwise it has trouble accurately estimating the vehicle range and battery state of charge.
I am a speedcuber, and the video missed this point. Inspection is needed to make the measurements precise.

Imagine how a no-inspection event would occur. A judge would remove the cover from the cube, and the timer would start simultaneously. Your solve would be partially dependent on how quickly the judge removes the cover, which is unacceptable in a race that can be decided by milliseconds. It would be like in a 100 meter race if a human whispered in your ear when you're allowed to start. Human variance should be avoided at all costs in a race that needs precision.
I think this experience probably varies a lot person-to-person. For someone like me who often experiences social anxiety even from the most minimal of interactions, being able to keep my earbuds in and not have to talk to a stranger can be a huge difference if I'm happening to feel stressed on a given day. The biggest issue I used to have was when I wanted to carry something out instead of putting it in a bag, but since all they check for bagging is that the weight is placed on the surface, you can just put the item on the surface outside of a bag after scanning, and it will accept it as being "bagged".
That NHS data collection recommendation says nothing about "wrong body", though. They're trying to elicit accurate information about something potentially medically relevant (assigned biological sex). Their concern is that if you ask a trans person simply "male or female" you'll get an answer that either reflects the gender someone is living in, or the sex on their birth certificate. The former is useless if you're trying to assess the risk of chromosomal disorders, the latter if you're trying to work out how to politely address them.
If they can be nugdged one way why not the other?
Patanjali Kambhampati: on merit, fairness and equality
I could be wrong, but I'm interpreting it as a sort of analogous system to Word's autosummary feature. That is, You put in a complete text, and then have periodically briefer summaries of it (perhaps in sections, such as paragraphs?). You start with the summarised version, but then as the reader stretches out the text, it dynamically provides more detail in the areas that are stretched out.

e: For those like me who just went looking, apparently autosummary was removed in Word 2010, which given I had 2007 til about 2 years ago and thus didn't realise it was missing :)

Here's a description of it: https://www.officetooltips.com/word_2007/tips/getting_to_the...
That's what I wonder, how will they actually do it?
Wow, good for you because that platform has become a shit show.

I closed my account in 2020.
> I expect GOOG to be the epicenter of tech worker pain for this leg of the cycle.

Given what you just said about how people cut costs during a down cycle, why GOOG and not AMZN? Seems like discretionary spending (and a lot of Amazon's sales are impulse-buy junk rather than essentials) is also likely to take a huge hit.
Have AI fit your newly ordered clothes so that you do not have to return ill fitting clothes.
i’m sorry, but you haven’t explained why people should not get vaccinated. It would help the discussion if people got right to the point.
Software isn’t inherently a problem. FOSS software is good for innovation. It lets scientists and technicians try out now things without having to rely on centralized tech companies.

Centralized sofyware is also a net benefit but you’re locked into various walled gardens.
AWS open sourced the AWS console design system