skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Simply reframe the question so that it's more accurate to what would actually happen in a civil war: "Who wants to enlist as an E-1 and lug jerry cans around for 14 hours a day only to die from a drone strike in the middle of the night?"
> It seems like most Americans already live in bubbles where most people are aligned politically

We're not.

The most likely geographic split would be urban/rural, cities against everyone else. Around half the population is tightly concentrated and align mostly with the Democrats, the rest are spread out and align mostly with Republicans. Even blue states are mostly red outside of cities.

For just one example of something that could spark it, the current hot topic of abortion access: the often-disregarded side sees abortion as killing babies, not even close to how the other side sees it. With that viewpoint and tensions rising in general, how long do you expect such a huge number of people to simply endure?
Very interesting!

Generally, in the country in the Europe I've lived in, the people who want to secede are those who don't want to see their taxes go to the country's lazy and scammy region (almost all countries have one).
> 8,620 respondents, but I don't see how they were recruited

This is from the PDF listed on the page that you linked:

To establish a nationally representative panel, members are recruited on
an ongoing basis through address-based probability sampling using data
from the US Postal Service’s Delivery Sequence File. Recruited adults in
households without internet access are provided a web-enabled device and
free internet service. A probability-proportional-to-size procedure was
used to select a study-specific sample. All panel members who were aged
18 years and older were eligible for selection. Invitations were sent by
e-mail; automatic reminders were delivered to non-respondents by e-mail
and telephone beginning 3 days later.

A final survey weight variable provided by Ipsos adjusted for the
initial probability of selection into KnowledgePanel and for
survey-specific nonresponse and over- or under-coverage using design
weights with post-stratification raking ratio adjustments. With
weighting, the sample is designed to be statistically representative of
the noninstitutionalized adult population of the US as reflected in the
2021 March supplement of the Current Population Survey.
I dont think the 'system' is designed to be unfair, but instead our two political parties have corrupted the voting process through gerrymandering. Then again, it's not as bad as some people seem to imply it is - https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-new-national-congre.... We are talking about a net gain of a seat or two in either direction. If the two parties weren't so dominant this problem wouldn't be nearly as bad either. Given most Americans are independents, it would be great to see more candidates breakthrough without party alignment.
Chess requires rote memorization (gotta know every book opening 20 moves in), short-term memory/visualization (calculation), and general problem solving (tactics); almost in equal measure. It's absolutely crazy to me how hard it is. I can't play it unless I don't have anything else to think hard about that day. It wipes me out. And sure, you can kinda wing it and not give it 100% of your capacity, but then you just lose. It's brutal. And I suck at it. I can't imagine what these high-level folks go through.
Which side has 95%+ of the guns and land?
Great! I'd like to experience living until old age and owning a tax advantaged two bedroom in Manhattan that has appreciated wildly through no effort of my own. Where do I sign up?
Any correlation to how much news, social media, internet they get in a day too? It seems those that are the most passionate about these topics are also constantly glued to a device.
States are increasingly polarized, as people move to states that have politics that they like. The states don't clump all that nicely, though.
Not only are the cops going to be useless, they are the ones who are trying to stage the coup. Things like the Constitutional Sheriffs and Peace Officers Association are just organized gangs of armed people who reject the authority of civilian oversight. Right now, today, a prominent CSPOA member is trying to arrogate to himself control of elections in Overland Park, KS. Armed men who say they alone can adjudicate elections is no different from any other coup in any backwards banana republic.
See that's an important thing people don't realize about a new civil war.

In the civil war you had various clearly defined government apparatuses that chose to withdraw themselves from the union to form a new nation state. This time however it isn't a certain group of geographic area it is divided along urban vs rural lines. If a "civil war" were to come again it is much more likely that we'll see something more along the line of the "The Troubles" that happened in Northern Ireland than anything approximating what happened in the 1860s.
It is easier to change a class name of a public library than the name of the public library.

One is a breaking change, one is an official fork.
The article itself espouses similar doubts from one of its subjects:

>Barbara Walter, a political scientist at the University of California, San Diego, who was also not involved in the study, agrees. But she suspects the survey responses overrepresent the number of Americans who would be willing to turn to violence because, she says, surveys tend to overstate what people actually think. “The numbers always tend to be shocking, but in essence, are probably not true.”

Hardly sensational to lead with "all this is probably BS" but that probably wouldn't get as many clicks. For sure the alarmist title got me to read it, only to wind up feeling I wasted my time.
It'll never happen, the US military is far too strong.
Thanks for the insight about annotation platforms!

How might Excel have been better for you in these tasks? Or put another way, in the first case of merging 25 files - did you wind up using a different tool to merge and then re-opening them in Excel? Was Excel limiting because you needed to do some kind of fuzzy matching against the labels, e.g., wine, Wine, white wine etc. to do the merge?

On the labeling task that you had - what might have made that easier for you? Some kind of custom scripting that's above and beyond what you can do in VBA?
Exactly. They totally suck, and the tokens don't add value. The "metaverse" in the context of crypto is bullshit and I believe it will ultimately be a market fail. Those promoting this crap are only interested in selling the tokens, they don't care about building the world.

I like cryptocurrency. An NFT can be a nice way to hold a position in a liquidity pool or some type of debt.

A game designed for entertainment purposes is different. If you're making a game, and you want to sell items, just sell them for dollars, cryptocurrency, gold coins or whatever money you want to accept. The value is in the game engine and running the server hosting the world, not in some tokens. The tokens mean nothing outside of the game engine, so why bother.
Yeah fair it's somewhat cultural, in that they are trying to roll out an insane number of features to best Github, but aren't building them with high quality
Yeah it's really hard to imagine a full blown civil war just because of what the battlelines would be in a right-left split in the country.

I've heard people jokingly say, "One side collects guns and the other collects mental disorders."

That's obviously an unfair shot but there's some truth to it.

Left leaning areas tend to be centered around city centers where right leaning areas tend to be rural and control things like shipping and food production.

The police and the military all have a noticeable conservative bend at least at the lower levels.

This wouldn't be a north vs south situation where each side would be roughly equally matched.

In a true right vs left civil war, at least as the politics line up right now, the right faction would win by simply isolating and choking off the cities.
Nakamura also said he doesn't believe Magnus won't play the WC.

Perhaps, just maybe, Nakamura doesn't quite understand what Magnus thinks, being different humans and all. So far it seems Magnus has been more accurate at predicting what Magnus will do.
I’ve tried to build a similar thing several times over the years - once in flash and once in JS.

Timing is the hardest - especially if you’re going to try to let people record on the fly against the running track. Have two or more play at the same time… rough.

And I suggest you checkout https://www2022.thewebconf.org/PaperFiles/40.pdf there is an implementation called wam out there that lets you use VSTs in JS. It works pretty well.

Good luck! I’ll be one of the first to sign up.
My understanding is that was based on research from SLA Marshall which might have been fabricated [0].

[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/S.L.A._Marshall#Research_metho...
I don't see what problems a civil war or secession would solve. America is very purple - what would we do with, say, Illinois? Make Chicago its own country? Are we going to forcibly relocate people across one border or another?

Who gets the nukes?
If there is a conflict it will be short lived, but violent. There’s too much money, inteligencr, and infrastructure for a civil war to truly take shape.
Thank you for writing this guide. I really enjoyed reading it and it helped me get my first job.
A civil war isn't always a war by civilians.

Consider a scenario where the government is increasingly turned into a mexican standoff between completely entrenched branches of government. Supreme court is completely doing its own thing, the president starts abusing emergency powers to circumvent a ceaselessly filibustering congress and senate. Nothing gets done, and the country starts suffering from neglect and mismanagement.

It wouldn't be unheard of for a military coup to occur in such circumstances, in fact, it's a rough parallel to Julius Caesar's coup d'etat, which resulted in a civil war because some people didn't like the idea of having Caesar as a dictator and wanted to remain a republic, even if it was incredibly corrupt and dysfunctional.

Whether that is realistic today in the united states is another thing.
As far as I know it would be optional like any healthcare
http://www.paulgraham.com/aord.html is contextually relevant to the point you don't understand the meaning of. They are operating in an abstracted representation of the situation related to what Paul Graham talks about. In that abstracted representation you get some not so obvious corollaries: a deep relationship between confidence and the reasonableness of default alive versus default dead strategy.
My bigger uneasy feeling here is the advertising/marketing world where ROI basics like attribution are highly questionable and bohemeths like Apple & Google are using their $T war chests & monopoly positions to cripple the sales/marketing ecosystems of their competitors. So risks a repeat of the dotcom bubble collapse when cpm/cpc collapsed. So much of saas is directly serving these questionable areas, and in turn, more neutral b2b (data, ...) is in turn powering those and thus also fragile.

Variable sales+marketing spend is easy to scale back on during a recession. We've seen preeemptive layoffs due to valuation drops, but not this stuff yet. It's hard to handle. Our team largely focused on helping enterprise/gov/etc customers (think visibility/ai for core fraud, cyber, supply chain operations) and prioritized more self-serve etc for the crypto markets: they came to us with similar questions, but had way more risk, and so luckily we're seeing only a bit of churn right now. But if/when the sales/marketing/etc. collapses hit, that'll be much harder to avoid for many people.
> Part of me thinks this is the result of countless foreign adverserial brainworms [...]

> which is unlikely to meaningfully affect the ultrarich and powerful.

Or perhaps non-foreign ultra-rich and powerful whom see creating divisiveness as a sure means to retain their status. I am not so quick, personally, to point the finger at those outside the US and see far more obvious evidence of it being perpetrated by domestic actors. Russia does not control what broadcasts on ABC each night, and they don't control what trends on Twitter.
The US barely traded with Russia anyway, and most of it was aircraft, vehicles and various services [1]. Sanctioning off Russia was and is easy for the US, the only major problem is the loss of soft power the US had with the OPEC and the resulting hike in oil prices.

The ones really affected by the sanctions are us Europeans.

[1] https://ustr.gov/countries-regions/europe-middle-east/russia...
Underneath of it all, American is facing a huge class divide. If a civil war erupts, it will be not because it’s right vs left or North vs south as it were before but most likely because there is a good chunk of the country who think there is a class of people who are banking on their back while at the same time being dismissive towards them and while they pay the price for the decisions they make. These people largely are evenly distributed across both right and left, so that clearly indicates why this is a different equivalence than say the last civil war we had where Democrats were for slavery for example.
Fundamentally I have two categories of issues I see with DALL-E, but please don't get me wrong -- I think this is a great demonstration of what is possible with huge models and I think OpenAI work in general is fantastic. I will most certainly continue using both DALL-E and OpenAI's GPT3.
(1) Between what DALL-E can do today and commercial utility is a rift in my opinion. I readily admit that I am have not done hundreds of queries (thank you folks for pointing that out, I'll practice more!) but that means that there is a learning curve, isn't it? I can't just go to DALL-E, mess with it for 5-10 minutes and get my next ad or book cover or illustration for my next project done?
(2) I think DALL-E has issues with faces and human form in general. Images it produces are often quite repulsive and take the uncanny valley to the next level. I absolutely surprise myself when I noticed thinking that images with humans DALL-E produced lack of... soul? Cats and dogs on the other hand it handles much better.
I done tests with other entities --- say cars or machinery -- and it generally performs so so with them too, often creating disproportionate representations of them or misplacing chunks. If you're querying for multiple objects on a scene it quite often melds them together. This is more pronounced in photorealistic renderings. When I query for painting-style it works mostly better. That said every now and then it does produce a great image, but with this way of arriving at it, how fast I'll have to replenish those credits?.. :)

All in all though I think I am underwhelmed mostly because my initial expectations were off, I am still a fan of DALL-E specifically and GPT3 in general. Now when is GPT4 coming out? :)
It's literally the plot of Who Framed Roger Rabbit but somehow people think it's gospel. Amusing.
I second this.
Progressives wouldn't fight. Some small radical groups people would, but they aren't large enough or organised enough, who/what can they do other than spot violence/terrorism?

I don't think the US can have a proper "civil war" there are too many disparate groups.

But then again, Germany was very divided before WW2, so maybe one of these charismatic cult leaders could to come along.
> when the vast overwhelming majority of existing apps will remain on the official App Store.

Oh my sweet summer child! Lol
I like Matrix's write-up on it: https://matrix.org/blog/2022/03/25/interoperability-without-...

Also there's a line in the final full act:

>The level of security, including the end-to-end encryption, where applicable, that the gatekeeper provides to its own end users shall be preserved across the interoperable services
New Rails 8 feature? (I’ll see myself out).
They won't simply ignore it, but they will do the minimum amount they can possibly get away with, which will amount to effectively ignoring it.
The writing has been on the wall for years. Sounds like a problem of their own creation.
I have thought about this and the whole right to bear arms that seems to be rampant in those circles (I live in a more rural community and work in Ag Automation).

On a careful reading of the lengthy 2nd amendment ("A well regulated Militia, being necessary to the security of a free State, the right of the people to keep and bear Arms, shall not be infringed."), I realized that ownership or property is not actually enumerated here. But when I visit with my peers, what is emphasized is gun ownership. "My" guns, is the important piece that is shared with me. The ability to exchange wealth/property for a mechanism that can assert violence helps gun owners file safe, strong, secure, even if it comes at some risk to self. The gamble seems to be that they're more willing to pay this price for this comfort.

So the thought experiment I walk them through goes something like this: "You know, you're right! Guns are good! This 2nd amendment thing is awesome. Power to the people, ya know? I think everyone should have a gun" (and this is where the expression starts to shift from glee to suspicion) "I support funding that provides everyone with guns. Everyone gets a machine gun. And a days worth of ammo. The Canadians will definitely think twice before invading then." At this point, there's a look of horror on their face as they begin to ponder a world where the threat of violence is equalized throughout the entire country. There's a weak laugh as the satire I'm pushing dons on them.

Suggest that everyone own a current and power weapon, and you'll see the suggested legislations to limit who participates start flying.

Sometimes More is Less
I feel like the rest of the world is catching up. Growing up muslim is FELT like my community was misrepresented and framed on a particular way. Now, I'm sure either side of the political division feel exactly as I have for years.
> Congrats, you've just outsourced the decision making process about which versions of libraries to use to some 3d party.

Aren't we already doing that, to some degree, by watching for notifications of vulnerabilities, and then manually patching or updating? Sure, with this method, we have the ability to decide to ignore a vulnerability, but I'd guess most people aren't great at assessing risk (and may not fully understand the severity of a vuln, or if their use of the software makes them exploitable), and should probably just update whenever a fix for a vulnerability comes out. So you might as well automate this.

> So the exact software you compile will depend on whether or not you can connect to a 3d party service?

Anyone who builds against public package registries (Maven Central, npm, pypi, crates.io, etc.) already has this problem. Some people will go to the effort of putting their own proxy cache in front of these registries to insulate themselves from downtime, and I expect these sorts of people would do the same for a 3rd-party vulnerability updater service.

Regardless, I wouldn't expect this to be a "pull" model, wherein you wait until the next time you'd build before getting security updates. More likely you would get a notification or even an automatically generated pull request (like GitHub's dependabot does) when a security update is available. Then it's up to you whether you want something else to automatically apply those updates, or you can review them yourself and apply manually.

I think you're just making a mountain out of a molehill. There are several existing options to automate or partially automate this, depending on your trust of the relevant third party. And you can still do it manually, if you so desire.
For me, dawless seems to smooth over several points of friction at the expense of things I don’t care about right now.

One is the dedicated configuration. I turn on a 36” power strip and everything is ready to go in less than a minute.

An important part of that is everything is ready to go every single time. There are no patch Tuesdays. No semantic versioning.

The process is rock stable except for how I change it.

A second affordance is that I can make tradeoffs around the specific capabilities I think I want.

An example is my 1980’s Yamaha QX5 sequencer will record Sysex. Ableton Live Lite — came free with my first controller — won’t.

It is an upgrade or finding another daw or running another piece of software and managing sysex outside the daw. The QX5 was fifty bucks and has a well engineered interface because Yamaha knew what it was doing.

I don’t care that the UI is dated because so am I.

A third affordance is dawless means line level audio can be the dominant signal path. That makes it easier for me to reason about my setup.

There are a some of this is just what works for me caveats.

Mostly I just want to put on headphones and make noise because it brings me joy. I am not trying to make an album and if a song comes out of it that’s just a bonus.

I am doing it all on the cheap. The $999 for Ableton’s top package represents a lot of gear I would rather spend money on.

I’ve fallen into the Turing tarpit enough times to know what mine looks like. Mine looks kind of like a daw.
I mean, there are plenty of perfectly functional graphics cards that are given a pass because their drivers don't work with Wayland or refuse to implement resizable BAR. These are pretty solidly driver issues (ones that have persisted over decades, at that), and nobody really ever brings it up because it's not necessarily Nvidia's responsibility to address it.

The larger factor (in my eyes) is implementation. Bluetooth quality is all over the place: mobile Bluetooth stacks used to be abysmal until ~5 years ago, and desktop OSes still don't have it ironed out yet. It makes perfect sense that reviewers would focus on the hardware, as opposed to enumerating how each device works on each operating system, and so on.
Can you lay out the conditions under which you'll accept references? I've had a lot of issues before where I provide this sort of evidence and the counterparty relentlessly and tediously explains why every single source is either wrong or doesn't meet their arbitrary standards, so I want to be sure this won't be turned into one of those situations.
>> Lyft and Uber are both very near profitability

As they have been for over a decade. Just not actually GAAP profitable, except maybe a one off sale to DiDi.

>> Established markets have been profitable for a while.

So what market is Uber not established in? Are they pouring their oceans of profit from New York, Los Angeles and London into building a business in La Paz? I am sure they are trying to grow in places but they are way past the point where their profitable markets could fund growth. But they don't seem to.

I am sure there is a profitable and enduring business in Uber in some markets and at some prices. I just think they know that the economic realities of that business would not support their public stock valuation. So they work on self driving and buy postmates rather than focus on those profitable established markets.
>* User any browser and browser engine and choose to make it default

...only works if the OS doesn't unchange it every. sodding. day.
> And all that porn!

On that note: I can't wait for the resulting proliferation of photorealistic tentacle hentai. Imagine the possibilities!
Could be a cyberwar though.
the whole secession thing blows me away.

I live in Texas and had a couple friends who were on that bandwagon. I asked them had they thought about going toe to toe with the US Marines while bombers are over Austin and drones over everywhere else. All i got back was silence. The union will be preserved at any cost, there's precedent for that. No state will secede without defeating the US military first.
What pay was that? Last I checked Gitlab's pay for a junior QA/SDET positions was about $15,000 $30,000 more then most local Canadian tech companies pay for senior/staff level.