skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Interesting article about long term planing. It does bring forward some interesting thoughts about how one should execute on a plan, but mostly I find it interesting in how this article misses the point of a plan.

I’d like to propose a slightly contrarian, if not, more nuanced view of what is the purpose of a plan.

If one considers a plan as a map that must be followed in minute details, to travel the proverbial territory then, of course, you’re much better with small, unplanned iteration that allow you to learn from each story you deliver.

The image that the author proposes is a very powerful one: yes it is much better to play the lottery by buying one digit at a time, because overall, you’ll cut your losses short in most cases.

However, this only focuses the value of the plan in it’s execution phase, absent from the planner, and the feedback he will get from the divergences from the plan, and the updates he will be able to bring to the mental model / explanation linked to the plan.

Let me be clear: *plans are meant to fail*. Why? The value of the plan is in *HOW* the execution diverges from it, and in so help us to update how we think and reason about the world.

Each plan, has as origin an explanation, theory, of how the world/market/customer works. Changing your explanation of how the world works is the goal of learning. To learn, you must make predictions. That is what the plan is, a simple prediction. Of course we should not expect those to line up with reality 100% of the time. It is quite the opposite: *expect your plan to fail* but most importantly *improve your understanding of the world / your market / your customer based on what you did not predict.*
This open banking regulation actually makes it pretty hard for banks to provide you with easy to use APIs. You'll always need to do interactive authentication and these sessions have to be expired all the time.

I wrote a pretty simple budget webapp before the regulation took effect but was forced to stop after.

It's kinda good because it reduces the risk startups take security on the light shoulder like I did with my self hosted app, but it's obviously annoying as a user.
There are GUIs based on mpv that provide a user-friendly interface and just use mpv for playback, see Celluloid [0].

[0]: https://celluloid-player.github.io/
"There's no way to make that cheap" doesn't lead to "will never work".

It means it's at most a niche product, but it surely can work. There are plenty of people that transport only high-priority products. But yes, those companies promising to do it cheap will fail.
Anecdotally, most of these startups also don’t seem to have a frugal culture. Which is fitting because they came about in an era of easy money.

People don’t talk enough about Amazon and its culture of frugality. If Amazon wasn’t a frugal company right from the very get go, I doubt it would have survived the dot com crash.
There's been talk of eliminating sockets for years. Something has got to give.
I have heard from a former military officer in the USSR that this specific example was key to why Perestroika was adopted, and why the USSR fell.

The USSR noticed that the USA was developing personal computers. So had a 5 year plan to clone some of the personal computers. They succeeded. By which time the USA had personal computers in mass production that were 10x as good. The Soviets studied HOW the Americans were doing it, and Perestroika was their response. However the freedoms created by Perestroika destabilized authoritarian rule and, well, everyone knows the result.
Well maybe. These kids are listening pretty broadly too, fwiw.
Global Income Coin
The M1/M2 has the RAM on the same package as the CPU but it's not actually on top of the die, it's adjacent to it. Here's a pic of one someone on reddit delided https://imgur.com/a/RhGk1xw

Obviously this is still a lot of heat in a small space but it does mean the cooler gets to have good coupling with the die rather than going all the way through some DRAM first.
Designing an ML-family language on top of TypeScript: import and export syntax
Not on any of those carriers.
Snappy website.

I also find it amazing to read about businesses that I had no idea existed.
To be fair, Iceland is only about 16 million years old, and trees have been around for about 350 million years. What's native to Surtsey?
The Gigerian Farce (DALL-E 2)
Created this short visual narrative with Dall-E in the style of H.R. Giger.

Human figures live their lives in a surreal dystopian world, until they find a hole leading to an even stranger one.

Video was made with React Remotion which was pretty cool. If anything, check that out.
Synonyms include: powerful, muscular, sturdy, robust, tough, rugged, stalwart, hardy.

In ordinary English these terms can be applied to mental as well as physical fortitude. I'm a bit nonplussed by the confusion.
The article reports that 90% of plankton is gone, not "the plankton are gone". Additionally, it seems that this is a correction of an earlier estimate according to which 50% of the plankton should be gone by now:

>> The landmark research blames chemical pollution from plastics, farm fertilisers and pharmaceuticals in the water. Previously, it was thought the amount of plankton had halved since the 1940s, but the evidence gathered by the Scots suggest 90% has now vanished.

Even if this correction is an overestimate, and the old estimate was right, the quantities of plankton halving since 1940 is still a disturbingly high amount of reduction. As to seeing plankton from space that doesn't really say anything unless we know what proportion of the plankton that exists is visible from space. For instance, it might not be possible to estimate total plankton quantities just from looking at a picture with a particular "bloom" concentrated in an area.

I'm surprised about these numbers also but I don't know how I could easily trash the research reported, just because I've seen pictures of plankton. I think that's just making an overgeneralisation.
I did, actually. Rather than trying to dismiss my comment as not having read the thread, consider that you might need to make a good argument before trying to “rest your case”.
The Minstry for the Future: Chapter One
Darryl Cooper spoke about this in an earlier episode of The Unraveling[1]. The thesis of the episode was something along the lines of "If you pull the thread behind "honest journalism", you'll find that the US has been cultured to being told what to think since the days of Dan Rather and Walter Cronkite."

When we consider the current state of journalism we should check the presupposition that we ever had a "free and functional press". I can't remember a time, nor can I find evidence, that it ever truly existed without some sort of circumstantial asterisks polluting the results.

1. https://podcasts.google.com/feed/aHR0cHM6Ly9kZWZjb3J0aGV0aHJ...
> They can re-clock their brain to think faster than humans.

What if the physical resources required are such that at human brain can be simulated 20 times slower than a natural brain using the most powerful supercomputer? Almost certainly the first generations of the technology will be the ENIAC of mind simulation.

> They can modify their own software to add in virtues and erase vices.

If they understand it and if they have access. They can be sandboxed away from manipulating their innards, or maybe it's just too complicated for a human mind to comprehend and you need a whole organization of specialists to customize. And if science is advanced enough to figure out how to manipulate such high-level concepts on a synaptic level or below, they should be able to do that in a biological brain too.

> And most importantly of all they are completely free from physical needs. If for some reason they desire scarcity or biological functions, that can all be simulated.

I'm sorry, we're gonna have to shut you down for a while, we need to run some high-priority jobs.

Hey, it could be worse, you might have to hustle to cover your AWS bills.
Show HN: Authum – Awesome command-line SAML authentication tool
Awesome authentication tool for connecting command line applications to SAML identity and service providers
A Deep Dive into the Residential Proxy Service ‘911’
Situation: there are 14 competing standards

https://xkcd.com/927/
Thanks for your blog! I've learned a ton of great stuff (especially about Nix / NixOS) and it's always fun to read.
Carriers don't allow multiple active SIMs without special exception (e.g. paying additional subscription).

Not sure how your solution factors into the fact that each subscriber number is only allowed to have one active SIM on the side of a carrier.
It's a combination of chemistry and geometry (and other factors). Maybe there's some luck.

There are ICs and components built for operating in extreme environments, like drilling. You can get SiC (silicon carbide) chips that operate above 200°C (473K), if that's important to you. There are also various semiconductors that are worse than silicon at handling high temperatures, like germanium. Old germanium circuits sometimes don't even work correctly on a hot day.

If we lived at 200K, I'm sure that there's a host of semiconductor materials which would be available to us which don't work at 300K.
> some of their concerns could be worth reframing and considering in a different light.

There are some legitimate concerns about AI that sound almost like something out of the Book of Revelations, but are entirely rational.

The biggest one is the idea of AI being used to implement "automated con artistry at scale." Imagine assigning every living human being a virtual AI powered con artist to tail them around and try to convince them of whatever is ordered by the highest bidder. This AI is powered by mass surveillance and big data and is able to know the "mark" intimately and work on them 24/7 both directly and via their social network. Now throw in deep fakes, attention maximizing "compulsion loops" and other adversarial models of human cognition, etc.

It's basically the hydrogen bomb of propaganda, a doomsday machine for the mind. It would be like creating Satan, except this one would be entirely amoral and mercenary.

At the very least this would be the end of democracy in any form. I could see this ushering in the permanent eternal victory of totalitarianism since I can't imagine the masses being able to organize any resistance when constantly bombarded with propaganda from their demons. The new feudal aristocracy would be the ones running the demons.

This is one of the darkest plausible visions of the future I can think of at the moment, far worse than anything related to climate change or similar problems. If we manage to avoid these kinds of scenarios but still drown Miami I'll say we didn't do too badly.

Transhumanism comes with some analogous concerns around the potential for enhanced humans to enslave the rest of humanity through superior cognitive capacities and the incredible accumulation of wealth. I can imagine a scenario where a few wealthy people gain access to technologies for life extension and cognitive enhancement and then "run away," effectively becoming a new species and exterminating or enslaving "legacy humans." This isn't mutually exclusive to the AI hellscape I describe above, since that would be an ideal mechanism to enslave the rest.

Ultimately I think these technologies are all neutral. The problem is that we are not. I don't fear AI. I fear what humans will do with AI.
> You can only cool something by making something else warmer by a larger amount.

Why isn't it also true that you can only make something warmer, by cooling something else by a larger amount?

The movement of electricity generates waste heat, why isn't that process reversible? Making the heat disappear into a cold wire, rather than just dissipating into the atmosphere? (not suggesting it's would be easy or even practical).
Elon Wants to Fight the Bots
Absolutely, because the trees non-ecologists pick for rapid reforestation happen to grow aggressively and they tend to out compete the local species. They tend to pick either rapidly growing species, or particularly hardy ones. Both characteristics make removing them after introduction difficult.

Hawaii has a huge problem with this, but also California. The eucalyptus trees they imported from Australia have had the terrible affect of making wildfires in California even worse. There's also a horrible negative feedback loop because the Eucalyptus is adapted to recover quickly from such fires.

"It has been estimated that 70% of the energy released through the combustion of vegetation in the Oakland fire was due to eucalyptus.[41] In a National Park Service study, it was found that the fuel load (in tons per acre) of non-native eucalyptus woods is almost three times as great as native oak woodland."
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eucalyptus#Adaptation_to_fire
Not to answer you question, but a note on HN submissions: As you found, uppercase is converted to regular case (SAFE -> Safe). After submission, if you edit it back to the way it should be, then it stays like that.
5 coding interview questions I hate
Of that review, Hanson wrote: "If I ever have an executioner, I want him to be Scott Alexander." https://www.overcomingbias.com/2016/05/alexander-on-age-of-e...
Well that's an interesting question, the short answer is it's shining anyway and hitting the surface regardless, might as well use it. The long answer is only so much is hitting the surface and you have to raze living areas that need it to use it so you still have to be cautious and selective.

Geothermal is radiating into space from the center and is residual energy from formation and from the decay of radioactive material inside. If it is used that increases the rate at which it radiates, and too much of that has terrible potential implications, such as slowing of tectonics and lowering of the magnetic field. It may be hard to see humans using enough to do this, but someone could've said the same about fossil fuels when they began being used. This is not so with the sun, which is radiating the same regardless.

So how is geothermal considered renewable?
Unexpected Behaviors (2019)
I suppose it’s all about finding a small enough geographic area where a sufficient number of these emergencies occur for sufficiently rich people.
Ask HN: Is writing code a requirement to be able to call someone technical?
Video of the "Ball Washing Machine" (this is actually from the US):

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PrHvFiePokI

This is UK:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T8VjIJuMyiE
Fear and pain are just programs operating at a higher level of privilege. Wouldn't a simulated brain have privilege levels that usurp other directed goal seeking behavior in ways that strongly resemble fear and pain?

If they don't, wouldn't they probably be outcompeted by the ones that do?
Because the rides are legitimately becoming too expensive to attract a large volume of riders.

As volume disappears, drivers start leaving the app - no fun being logged in all day and getting no rides.

If drivers start leaving the app, Uber has to incentivize them, eating into the company’s margin.

Essentially, the real, unsubsidized market for on-demand chauffeured rides is much smaller than anyone anticipated.
You dont have to map out the entire probability space, but for each stage maybe you can have 3 scenarios the good, the bad, the nominal. Then you can start adding decisions to each stage and see how different decision strategies (decision sequences) have different outcomes (expected, worst case, best case, value at risk etc).
What's the incentive structure for careful handling of packages?

E.g., I think delivery drivers have quotas for speed and completeness. But those are also easily measured by existing systems.

But with shipping damage, is there currently a good way to assign blame? Seems like you'd need a way to attest that everything was okay prior to each handoff.

I know shock sensors, etc. exist. But I'm guessing they're reserved for expensive items?
Gartner and their "magic quadrants" and all that crap is also, at least in part, pay-for-play, no?
The detailed manpage is great. The more details the manpage has for each flag, the easier it is for me to find the flag I'm looking for by searching for related terms. Longer descriptions means a greater chance of my related search term hitting a relevant result.

Common flags and short descriptions of them can be found with `mpv --help` or `tldr mpv`

rsync is another example of a manpage I love. Very detailed means very useful. With a detailed manpage, I don't have to waste my time figuring out where the real manual is.
The article mentions that this block of buildings had many immigrant families, who likely don't want any trouble with the cops. As the Nigerian man quoted in the article says:

“She would always greet my children, but I didn’t know her name and I never went inside her flat. In this country, you don’t communicate with your neighbours.”
I disagree. YouTube content has never been better for me. There has been an explosion of specialized and niche videos and the recommendation algorithm really seems to be working for me.
Ad income without putting the work in, it's a dream come true for some.
> I sense a bit of Fear of God motivating your story, something that motivated your management to care -- who is that authority, so that I might get them on my case?

Haha! :) The authority is none other than Remzi Arpaci-Dusseau at UW-Madison, along with NASA's Power of 10: Rules for Developing Safety-Critical Code [1]. Storage faults and safety bugs, or the general lack of assertions in so many software projects, do indeed terrify us as a team!

It's also all credit to Coil's leadership, for caring and being willing to invest long term in better open source infrastructure for payments for everyone—and particularly Interledger, as an open interoperability protocol, to create an ”open network of networks” for payments, to fix the problem of payments for everyone [2].

I'm glad also to see that sibling comments have given tips on how to unblock that nightmare scenario you encountered!

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Power_of_10:_Rules_for_Dev...

[2] http://interledger.org/
I was looking for inspo for my own blog the other day and saw yours as like the pinnacle of what a tech blog could look like.
> In fact, it's a new strategy of oil/plastic/meat/dairy producers, to stop people from changing status quo.

I would have thought exactly the opposite: that these groups would adopt the strategy of portraying these types of issues as being primarily about “individual responsibility” knowing that the only way to actually change things is collective action.
I shipped a ~8KiB status page app last week, it's still early days, but even with the features I have planned I doubt the size will be above 10KiB.

With frameworks like Remix it's easier than ever to write React and ship pure HTML/CSS.
> It really seems to me that we're going to have to get lucky on multiple dice rolls here in the long run.

From a materialist/evolutionist view, this will always be the case.
You can still see the downvotes with a browser add-on. But yes, I'm also quite disturbed this by this absolutely idiotic decision.
I understand why you're getting the downvotes...but you're kinda right.

I don't really get the defeatist/martyr attitude of Euroland people when it comes to all sorts of issues like this. They seem encounter an economic (or other) problem and immediately think it means they should forfeit quality of life vs. fighting or working hard. Maybe it is more common for those people to see the world as zero-sum?

As an American, I find this "lay down and die" attitude quite confusing and repulsive.
I haven't seen a new play area in years, but some of the older franchise locations continue to run the ones they have.
In Taiwan and Singapore, ball pits exist in like every single childrens in-door playground.

https://honeykidsasia.com/indoor-play-centres-in-singapore-f...

Few of these have photos.

Here's a couple of local articles about the mum drowning in the ball pit and the response from AirZone.

https://mothership.sg/2018/02/airzone-suspended-playground-s...

https://mothership.sg/2018/02/suspended-playground-net/
That’s another big claim. If Google did this covertly, and it was found out, Google’s reputation would be in the toilet. That’s why I think they don’t do it.
Nice one, I like the self made one.

Wouldn't that lead to a rebellion of the clones though? because you know your self and your definitely would not trust yourself to be good to others and by extension your other selfs.

the novel 'mother of learning' has something tangentially similar called simulcraniums.
AWS has a lot of problems but at least it has decent docs and customer support.
Unless there are dogs involved, in which case you'd cool them before people, or just cool the room and everyone is comfy.
How did he pay millions in taxes with money he sent back?
You don't see the utility or freedom of a way to spend money that that governments and corporations can't track and store indefintely? Look no further than the current abortion issue here. The government knows everyone who got an abortion in the past and paid by a credit card. Not by cash though.
Solely because the data you are suggesting (very wrongly) doesn't exist.

Anyway, the point is you are way more likely to be a victim of rape/burglary in your own home than you are to be killed by police anywhere, for any reason.

The previous poster was making it seem like dealing with this edge case is very important, meanwhile is happens somewhere around 1k-10k times less frequently than the situation I presented.
Skycomputing is like Skyscanner for k8s.
> You can sign up for emails that go into the black hole of your inbox

You could also just get the unique email address of a channel and let the email notifications go there, same result: https://slack.com/help/articles/206819278-Send-emails-to-Sla...
There's so much fiction that deals with this beyond what Stross mentions, though he had finite space. On the topic of torturing someone in simulation (at high speed), see Altered Carbon.
Well now you're just being hyperbolic. As you say, this is an engineering problem so solutions are far from their ideals states in either direction. However, 1% increase in ram failure rates ruining the world? That doesn't sound right. Errors are encountered in RAM all the time and guess what, they're corrected often by the hardware before even bothering the system. I'm sure we could deal with a 1% increase...
Typically the Japanese knotweed is considered as highly invasive and a pest in Europe. Almost impossible to get rid off due to its fast growth and deep root system.
The M2 chip generates more heat than the M1, with 20% more transistors and about a 12% higher clock speed. M2 Mac Pro has thermal issues compared to M1 Mac Pro as well, even with the fan.
I used to work for a startup that does ML for detecting payment fraud. Our untested theory was that the industry should be fairly recession-resistant because fraud increases in recessions, and fraud-prevention has measurable ROI, so you're probably not considering cutting back on it.

What'll be interesting is the meta-fraud of claiming false chargebacks or what the new fraud looks like because the shape of fraud is changing, and the model wouldn't have seen as much of it.
When, in 2018, Matteo Salvini was minister and often didn't show up to his office, taking important calls from his mobile phone, the Italian Secret Service went pretty vocal (as much as a Secret Service can go vocal, anyway) against the practice for security reason. This time, we don't hear anything like that.

So either they decided that there's no hope in trying to secure the communications of Italian politicians, or they found out some way to secure the device to a degree they find satisfactory.
Great, not your computer can have a thrombosis or a stroke!
What practice is it?