skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
I have a mostly Pinkerian view of the modern world, which is to say that by nearly all metrics, the world is better today than it has ever been, and is continuing to improve.

Will we go through local minima while on the path towards absolute upward progress? Of course we will. Right now we might be in a local minimum. Maybe we haven't reached the bottom of the current local minimum yet. Maybe we won't reach it during this generation. But we will get through it.

The other thing is that we simply can't predict societal progress simply by pointing to current trends and extrapolating to the next 5, 10, etc years. Think about the following:

70 years ago, there wasn't a single artificial satellite in the sky. 50 years ago, there wasn't a single personal computer in anyone's home. And 20 years ago, there wasn't a single smartphone in anyone's pocket. All of the above happened within a single human lifetime. I'm saying that it's taking shorter and shorter intervals of time for society to completely transform itself, and we simply can't know what the next transformation will be. For me, that's a prospect worthy of excitement instead of dread.
Structural editing is basically a hard requirement with Clojure - I don't think you can realistically live without it. Paredit is fine, but it does take 2-3 months for your fingers to adapt. It would be even better if they didn't have to though.
Against stupidity the gods themselves struggle in vain.
> rosé

Maybe, though it's still halfway the same word.

> maté

Not a change, both spellings are valid.
Bill Gates, for one.
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/07/13/business/gates-foundation...
Once public transit is at the frequency of Tokyo trains and familiarity of the back of your hand, it’s often a no brainer.

The problem is, until it hits that point it involves a LOT of planning and conforming to other peoples schedules.

Which for many people (parents, folks going to and from a lot of different places) can dramatically decrease their ability to actually exist or do what they normally do.

If it’s in an environment where cars suck to drive/park/etc. (dense urban environments), then it quickly goes to public transit.

But especially in the US, density is low, cars are easier than the alternative unless someone spends several trillions at least on some giant initiative (which they won’t). So for most of the (physical) US, public transit makes no sense.

There are areas on the border (SF Bay Area, a lot of outlying Seattle Metro, etc), and in those cases both options suck.
> Supposedly the population of the USA pre-colonialism was comparable to today's population

Agriculture didn't arrive in the US with white people.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prehistoric_agriculture_in_the...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prehistoric_agriculture_on_the...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eastern_Agricultural_Complex
You want this until it gets integrated into Microsoft Teams, management gets ahold of it, and now these pie charts are treated as an indication of your contributions to the company. Everyone is itching to talk as much as possible, dragging meetings on forever, a bunch of people saying absolutely nothing as insurance against when layoffs come around and a manager has to choose between 2 people roughly as valuable except... Hm... Bill contributes 3.8% less than Fred in meetings...

Every time I get an email from Microsoft Viva telling me about my productivity last week, I can't help but feel that's the direction we're heading.
If you liked this you might like [0].

0: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-a5hLBuW6tY
Audioflow AI uses sound to identify abnormal human urinary flow
Even without elevation, a process can "only" [1] interact with your whole profile

[1] https://xkcd.com/1200/
I have purchased a hundred or so since I got with them almost 10 years ago, but keep about an average of 5-10 at any given time. Monthly spend is minimal, I pay for 2yr+ up front.
"CMC Threat Intelligence" flags that PDF as malicious.

https://www.virustotal.com/gui/url/081fd12ade3ff10b2812f630f...
Ahh, only seems to have that issue in private mode.
The thing about the future is that it hasn’t happened yet, so we need to predict based on history. 1) Things that start in high-end luxury items eventually trickle down to the base models. 2) Always on mobile connectivity is getting cheaper and better. 3) It’s obvious to everyone that every companies goal is now to get all users on the hook for a recurring subscription.

It really doesn’t take a genius to see how all those things will come together on the near future. A subscription to heated seats is merely an example of where things are clearly headed.
Chromebooks have been incredibly present in elementary schools in the US. I haven't seen any metrics for "successful" that go beyond "make sure every kid has a Google account."
My apologies dang. I'll flag in the future.
Godot is really cool, but a clear and publicly delineated path to console distribution (and not "go talk to these guys", as they currently do) is going to be necessary to get material interest out of most of the gamedev space.
> isn't he a eugenicist?

No. Although the term is widely abused and misapplied, so he might fall within whatever definition of eugenicist you're working with.
sex robots to look like your favorite celebrity

On the face of it that sounds like "wahey, sexy fun!", but if you consider it for a second you're actually suggesting a life without a real relationship with another person which is beyond depressing. If that tech becomes mainstream humanity has a major problem.
Wow, is your home LAN thicknet!?
Fair point, I've edited the Medium post's title, but I'm not able to make changes to the Hacker News post
Man exonerated in Malcolm X's 1965 murder sues New York City
I hope for:

- Cheap sustainable-ish abundant electricity for all humans, maybe from fusion (not so optimistic on that one), maybe from massive solar arrays, maybe from wind farms in the oceans, maybe from nuclear fission, if we find enough fuel. I don't care where it comes from, we just need massive amounts of it to replace other energy sources.

- Quantum annealers solving the traveling salesman problem and other optimization problems even for super complex problems, allowing us to get optimized solutions which use fewer ressources for equal effect.

- Machine learning allowing us to solve most problems of our time that are solvable by pattern recognition and optimization without causing the collaps of society due to sharply rising unemployment numbers.

- Humanoid androids and massive automation replacing manual labor without causing the collaps of society due to sharply rising unemployment numbers.

- Geoengineering to reverse climate change, praying that we use the right strategy that doesn't suprise us with some unforseen consequences years down the road.
No, but it can lead to trouble when the painting is re-framed or cleaned because any kind of manipulation of the canvas can crack the paint. This is specialist work (especially on paintings with this kind of value) so they're in good hands but the problem is much less pronounced with thinner layered paintings.
Oh, common? What interest could Mozilla have to break up the encryption of the few users still using their browser (and ruin everything they fought for?). Vs what could the government do when breaking the encryption of 500M users?
Weird. 1 out of 87 vendors. I wonder what they found that others didn't.
Very nice thinking regarding ultra popular folks like Musk.

However, IMO it doesnt hold truth for others which risk rage and clearing from insulted.
Insulting people is always risky buisiness but if you want to show that you give a shit that shouldnt stop you.

I pesonally dont like to work with polite people very much because I know they always euphemize the truth. Some things are so shitty that if you frame it in polite way you simply lie.
> If the demand rises by the same amount over the course of 3 seconds, you'll get a much bigger voltage drop and the power plant has much less time to speed things up.

More than that, if the voltage drops too low, like from a sudden large power draw, you could get a brownout or even a blackout in severe cases. Voltage level is monitored and wild swings indicate instability which trips various safety systems.
I noticed something like this with Nintendo's early Switch games. Both Breath of the Wild and Mario Odyssey had a design philosophy that something should always be just over the horizon, waiting for you to explore. It sounds romantic in theory, but the problem is that the game never gives you a good place to take a break, and it drives that same kind of addictive behavior you're describing.

It's a set of design habits that served the industry well back when they were trying to get people to pump in money, but which don't really do anyone any good when it's just you at home on a fully paid-up console game. It's not malicious, it's just a habit that got uncritically elevated to a Best Practice.
how does something like this make it on HN
I think the future will be great. Solar, wind and battery storage will provide so much energy we won't know what to do with it. Self driving cars will enable us to go anywhere door to door without the need for owning a car. Video conferencing and VR will reduce the need for international travel. Eventually VR will be so good that you can easily hang out with your friends or family across the country. Living fulfilling lives more and more in the digital realm could reduce our usage of physical resources. With the immense progress of machine learning in the past 10 years, real world robotics is finally becoming feasible. This will be key to help us deal with declining populations.

The crises that we're facing now are nothing new, every decade has had its own challanges. We've had immense progress in the last 50 years, or even 20 years, I don't see a reason for this progress to slow down. It's just that in the moment we don't feel the change because we're in the middle of it.
Sound seems to begin at 3:45
Which works fine when you’re not trying to get through 6 inches of slush, 100+ F temps, or dealing with daily monsoon rains.

Which almost every part of the county except SF (pretty much) has to deal with some combination of regularly.

In a dense urban environment? Sure maybe, as long as the sidewalks and streets aren’t packed.
A lot of this is simply a raw population effect. When I lived in Austin, I got in the habit of locking every door I went out of. Now that I live in rural Alabama, I frequently leave the house doors unlocked. I've forgotten to close the garage door for a day or so. My truck is frequently unlocked.

Statistically, where I live now is the same or significantly worse than Austin. But with the lower population, there are simply fewer incidents.
I focus on myself and my achievements, health, family, friends, etc and realize that it's impossible to make an accurate mental model of 'the world of the future'
But a city is the sum of all its residents. Saying that the well-off parts of the city are safe and ergo, the city is safe reeks of incredible privilege - that crime is okay as long as the people who suffer from it are the poor.
Hello Scene – Events, Organization, more drawing
It's certainly possible that that's the case, but I've seen a lot of projects go from Mono to .NET Core without much of a hiccup, too.

Probably worth pricing in some slack time to deal with it if it's a problem, but I struggle to think of changes from Mono to .NET Core which would be threatening to the ability to finish a project.
There is a lot of terrible law in cases relating to the EPA and wotus and this is a pretty good example.

Planting a garden over a puddle that forms in your backyard during an exceptionally rainy year can be a wotus violation.

I tend to agree with the image at the end of the article. Who cares. There are people doing real substantial damage to Wetlands. This is a few hundred square feet next to a rocket launch pad that had some ice on it.
> but it's interesting that he says "two minutes when it should have been an hour," instead of the other way around.

Didn't sound very nice to me. More like an elder drug lord who knows that too many overdoses are bad for business or a virus that evolves to be less lethal because dead hosts don't spread.

Or in this case: a two minute compulsion loop would probably make it really obvious that the game is trying to hook you and might trigger some kind of counter reaction: Players realizing it's a slot machine and uninstalling it to stop themselves from wasting time. Whereas a hour-long loop might keep a player hooked without them realizing it.
> I get why people like living in big cities. I will never again live in one myself, though.
I totally get your take as well. In fact.. sounds like a really nice life that I hope to live one day.

But perhaps it's your stage of life & social context that makes the difference (it does for me). If you were single, didn't have many friends/family (or they were all in the city), or were dedicated to a career/passion whose nexus is in a city.. suddenly you might be running towards those people and institutions ;)

It's not all about the cute bodegas. The sheer number of single women in my demographic nearby is worth inflated rent for the next few years. $5k for a single person is some maxima, I'm living alone in a big apartment in a nice/safe neighborhood for $3k, 2 blocks from the train. The salary possibility in NYC easily covers the delta to smaller cities/towns.
I deleted 72% of my PostgreSQL container and it still works
Even if AR and VR becomes a thing that won’t buy that many more licenses from them. They already offer 10(?) platform targets. I would imagine the number of dev seats stays about the same as studios shift or expand to the new platform. It’ll be quite a low multiplier
Got it so harvesting everything
I'm really looking forward to playing with DALLE-2 when I get beta access. I also think 10-20 years out there will be a combination of large language models and the image generation stuff that will make video games absolutely amazing.

I have no idea how realistic it is but if fusion power becomes a reality in the next few decades I think that would have huge positive impacts. I expect energy to become insanely cheap and terraforming the Earth to realistic. I'm imaging carbon capture, water desalination, maybe indoor farms providing cheap local food worldwide.
Pay attention and you'll start noticing them more. And if not, become a helper yourself and you will certainly meet fellow helpers.
> I was a kid in the 70s and people were far gloomier about the future than they are now

I was also a kid in the 70s and while it did seem pretty gloomy then, I think people are gloomier about the future now.

> And even the re-emergence of some of the worst people (let's just aggregate them into "the racist shitheads")

In the 70s there were racist shitheads, but they were pretty afraid to come out into the sunlight. Now they're just out in the open. I think I liked it better when they felt like they had to hide.

The other thing about the 70s compared to now: it felt like pretty much everyone was on the same page back then. There wasn't right-wing news and left-wing news, there was just news.
> Does precoo[l]ing really work?

Depends on the shape of the temperature graph for the day, the power of your AC system, your insulation, etc.

If your on a day that doesn't get below 90 and gets above 110 during the hottest part of the day and your AC is barely rated at the minimum recommended for your square footage and you have average insulation, no, and even regular AC use is going to be marginal and your AC is probably going to frequent service.

(And the things that make precooling work better also will make your AC work better and, for the most part, more energy and maintenance cost efficiently when you aren't precooling.)

If you live in a place where you frequently need AC, aside from decent insulation, getting an overrated, high-efficiency unit (which seem to be correlated for residential units, probably because both drive up cost, and there is a correlation between people looking for more capacity and people concerned with efficiency) is a serious quality of life improvement.
> I remember being called a "Cassandra,"

It's off-topic, but, why do people throw that as if it's an offense? They are certainly not self-identifying as stupid ones that will refuse to see real problems.
A fossil fuel plant operating nominally without any incidents will impact the entire population as the fossil fuels are consumed and the byproducts of their combustion emitted. The number of QALYs / DALYs / deaths lost that are directly attributable to air pollution is absolutely staggering.

The magnitude of the risks we're contemplating when we're discussing nuclear are completely insignificant in relation to that.
Too late to edit, but I should emphasize a comment down thread that this is a crude, worst-case estimate of the difference between OP's town and NYC. Don't take this as 'NYC is 10x more violent', take this as 'The difference is at least 10x _smaller_ than stated'
Instead of being dismissive, could you then explain what is the comparison being made then? I illustrated how they are not very similar but you haven't really given any additional context on what should then be compared.
Bitcoin Is Civilization (2021)
Unix didn't use to support '#!', a brief history
> It's possible, for now, to turn off Windows S mode. For now. Usually.

As much as I enjoy seeing someone trash Microsoft, this is just a dumb take. Like I said to the other user, how do you think software development happens? Microsoft wants people to develop using Windows [1][2][3]. You can only do that by installing additional software. This is not, and never will go away. Yes, some corporate setting will have locked down computers, but thats how its already been for several decades.

1. https://wikipedia.org/wiki/.NET

2. https://wikipedia.org/wiki/C_Sharp_(programming_language)

3. https://wikipedia.org/wiki/F_Sharp_(programming_language)
Open Source has been a resounding success. It has become so ubiquitous that we don't note it anymore. Its the normal. Moreover, its general cultural practices, openness, collaboration etc have also become norms. Back 20 years ago, this was unimaginable. A great change has happened.

On top of that, user-generated content has become the king. Its not 6-figure columnists working for corporate outlets who are setting the trend on the net like early 2000s anymore. We, the people, who were once in small forums on the fringes of the internet, have become the motor of the internet.

Crowdfunding, citizen-initiatives etc have grown. Independent content creators, software developers, even journalists are funding their activities by the support of their audience, using crowdfunding or membership tools. Democratization of these sectors bear great changes.

All of these combine into a world in which a lot of things are being democratized, and given into the hands of the people. Reducing the power of the corporations.

This was unimaginable in 1990s. We would sit pretty, shut up, watch and listen to what we were told and consume. All that we could do would be to send back some feedback to our corporate overlords about some product if they ever stooped so low as to ask our opinion.

Compared to those times, things are MUCH better now. Which is the reason for the discomfort in a lot of the old establishment and the noise they make about various things. From attacking net neutrality to wanting 'content to be auto moderated'.
I’m in the midst of making a 2d game in monogame and was toying with switching to Unity, thanks for sharing this. Man I wish I could find some resources on how to do 2d shaders in monogame though, like making sprites wave in the wind/water without needing a ton of sprite frames, hard to find this kind of thing.
My favourite possibly apocryphal Picasso moment[0] has to do with just that painting. I saw it myself at the Reina Sophia some years ago and found it quite stunning.

[0] https://youtu.be/EFZuYi2oXsM?t=1233
Even if they're all on by 6:30, that gives the power plant time to ramp up production to meet demand from 5:30-6:30.

If everything is synchronized and everyone in a region starts drawing lots of power at the exact same time, the line voltage on the grid will suddenly drop below safety thresholds and could trigger a brownout for that whole region. The point being, randomizing power draw over a period of time allows the grid more time to match demand.
TrueBiz (YC S22) Is Hiring a Founding Machine Learning Engineer
I am the author of the article and would be happy to answer any questions.
A coming copper shortage could derail the energy transition, report finds
I tip the Dominos takeout window in cash.
you absolutely can pay fewer dollars for dollars delivered at some point in the future
Yes, but not non-destructively. This has been done to some paintings where the painting 'underneath' was considered to be far more valuable (either monetary or historically). Personally I think this should never be done but obviously opinions on such stuff differ.

See:

https://artenet.it/en/removal-of-overpaint/

When the chemical properties of overpaint and underlayer are close this can get extremely hairy, removal speeds of a few square centimeters per day are not unheard of, you need to patience of a monk for this sort of thing.
Putin has always been paranoid. He's ex-KGB, yet all of you apologists claiming that NATO pushed him into the Ukraine war ignore that he's a dictator who invades other countries, assassinates the opposition and media, steals from the Russian people, the list goes on.

Keep on trying to make it as if he had no choice. Or that Russia had no choice.
It's also worth noting that Steam has partially opened up for independent developers in 2012 with Steam Greenlight (via manual curation), and fully opened up only in 2017 with Steam Direct. Before that, you had to be an approved partner to be able to publish on Steam.
Whether it is stupid or not is an opinion. I don't see the point in ridiculing a group of people who believe that a certain way of life is best for them.
There is a book that actually tells you not wait for Godot : https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Waiting_for_Godot
Meta's 'Make-A-Scene' AI blends human and computer imagination into art
I was thinking I was about to hit a landing page for a laptop with qubes or something featuring ready to go Kali VMs and lots of ports/connectivity like IR, exposed GPIO, an onboard SDR module, etc.

One can dream.
The iPhone must be an illegal fly-by-night operation then, since the electrical engineers hired to design it have no such requirement.

https://jobs.apple.com/en-us/details/200343080/electrical-en...
Bill Gates blasts NFTs as 'greater fool theory', mocks Bored Ape Yacht Club
So the current Seattle district attorney is a current Republican and an ex-Democrat. So crime should get better then? Is she materially better at her job after switching parties a year ago? Do you see how weird the logic is to blame Democrats for all that goes wrong?

I know this sounds insulting but you seem like seem to have bought into a narrative of them versus us. There are ills on all sides, we are all humans who are mostly trying to make it through. Yes, there are people that are terrible at their jobs and cause harm. Yes, they are in both parties. If there was a third party they would be there too. Sure, vote and support people that align with your values but life is not a binary thing.
> adding jitter to the startup times would solve the pickup problem

There's minimal jitter in people's behavior when they are explicitly synchronized by a television broadcast, and none can be added within the constraints of broadcast television.
Evening. Sometimes as late as 9-11pm. I am an evening person though. Usually go to sleep 1am ish
I would not expect this sort of solution to be super useful in a place that gets 111 degree days, where AC is literally keeping folks alive. You'd probably get more benefits from a housing code that requires extended roofs for shade, light colored exteriors, etc.