> ...under Roe's trimester framework, there is a nationwide right to elective abortions in the second trimester

Dobbs overturns both Roe and Casey, which replaced Roe's trimester framework with the undue burden standard [1]. Trimesters are completely irrelevant. Please learn this; I feel like half of your abortion comments push this in order to setup your 2/3s Gallup stat, which is also problematic.

> and something 2/3s of Americans oppose

We've also talked about this before. Here are some countervailing stats from the same poll [2]:

- Would you like to see the Supreme Court overturn its 1973 Roe v. Wade decision concerning abortion, or not?: 53% No, not overturn

- If the Supreme Court were to overturn its 1973 Roe versus Wade decision concerning abortion, it would mean there is no constitutional protection for abortion rights and each state could set its own laws to allow, restrict or ban abortions. Do you think overturning Roe versus Wade would be a good thing or a bad thing?: 63% bad thing

- Do you favor or oppose [A ban on abortions after the 18th week of a pregnancy]?: 56% oppose

18 weeks is well into the 2nd trimester. Again as we've discussed before, polling on abortion is very difficult. Mostly they show Americans' ignorance of the issue, which you even acknowledge.

In particular, most Americans don't know that providing elective abortion access is crucial as so many things can go wrong--especially in the 2nd and 3rd trimesters [3]--and you really can't enumerate them all.

Why do people have second trimester abortions? Ironically, it's mostly an access issue [4], but there are other reasons [5] [6]:

- microcephaly and other fetal anomalies are typically only detectable in the 2nd trimester

- many people can't get the time off or can't get the funds (abortion is expensive for many people)

- waiting periods can force people into the 2nd trimester

- delayed recognition of pregnancy and delayed confirmation of pregnancy with a pregnancy test

- logistical delays occurred in arranging insurance to pay for the abortion

- problems locating a provider and time lost due to an inappropriate initial referral (abortion clinics are busy)

Your argument is that Dobbs moves the US closer to what Americans want by making "that right... narrower than Roe." But in truth, we already mostly have what Americans want [7]:

- 79.3% of abortions were performed at ≤9 weeks’ gestation

- nearly all (92.7%) were performed at ≤13 weeks’ gestation

And the other 7.3% aren't due to evil or cruelty, they're the result of the US' restrictive abortion regime and intense tragedy.

And what Dobbs does is not to preserve the right to abortion in the first trimester, but to give States the power to proscribe it. Here's what the dissent says [8]:

"Today, the Court discards that balance. It says that from the very moment of fertilization, a woman has no rights to speak of. A State can force her to bring a pregnancy to term, even at the steepest personal and familial costs."

This is plainly not what Americans want. If your argument against Roe is that it was out of step with public opinion, mustn't you also level that argument against Dobbs?

[1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Planned_Parenthood_v._Casey

[2]: https://news.gallup.com/poll/1576/abortion.aspx

[3]: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/10426234/

[4]: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/22176796/

[5]: https://www.self.com/story/why-people-get-second-trimester-a...

[6]: https://journals.openedition.org/eces/248

[7]: https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/70/ss/ss7009a1.htm

[8]: https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/21pdf/19-1392_6j37.pdf