skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
> This sort of FED that we have now that tries to control the overall economy is - to me - at least as hopeless as centralized 5-year plans under communism.

This is a CRAZY comparison. The Fed is barely doing anything, basically trying to keep things stable using two simple tools, and is doing so iteratively and carefully. It is the literal opposite of a Soviet communist 5 year plan that details everything to the n-th degree and damn the consequences.
It's true that we are incrementally getting out of debt commitments by debasing the currency

But as others have pointed out, bonds eventually come to term and then have to be rolled over into the higher prevailing interest rate. With such a high debt burden, that debt service can become a significant portion of all tax receipts, at which point all services are funded from deficit spending.

2021 tax receipts estimate is $3.86trillion [0]. Debt stands at roughly $30.5trillion. Ignoring compounding for simplicity's sake, 12.7% rates would mean 100% of taxes go just to pay for servicing current debt.

When you look into discretionary spending (stuff outside of medicare/medicaid/social security) it's way worse. Subtract that away from the $3.86trillion and you only have $3.86- (1.3+1.1) = $1.46trillion to spend on defense, all services, and debt service from tax receipts. 1.46/30.5 = 4.8%, meaning that no tax receipts cover defense or any discretionary spending (services) if rates hit 4.8% (actually lower because of compounding), and all services are from debt. The most recent White House budget [2] suggests 10-year treasury bills will hit 2.8% by 2028; your faith in that number comprises a major part of your faith in the long-term solvency of the US government.

[0]https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/budget...

[debt, medicare/medicaid, and social security numbers] https://www.usdebtclock.org/

[2] https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/budget...

Edited for sources formatting
Stagflation?

Do we have a good sense if this will stifle inflation because from all accounts I've seen, it appears we're in the worse possible situation of stagflation (recession + inflation).
Funny, I seem to remember a certain president running on trickle down economics that coincided with the decline of worker compensation compared to executive and the shrinking of the middle class, but maybe I have history completely backwards

Edit:also look at the economic system practiced in the United States that led up to the introduction of trickle down economics. That happened in the 80’s and there’s 4/5ths of the 20th century that happened prior to that
Do you think this shortage might be very recent/rather localized? It seems to me as if there are comparatively few places that hire PL folks.

I'm a (relatively early on) grad student at a chair that does PL and ML, and it's been pretty depressing to look up alumni or authors of papers more on the PL/FM side and seeing those that left academia at 'normal' jobs that seem unrelated to PL, whereas the vast majority of people more on the ML side work directly with it. I like PLT a lot, but especially if you're not at a top school it seems like quite a gamble.
People aren’t buying gas or groceries with “cheap money.”

Housing, business debt — sure. But there’s a long, convoluted path from cheap debt to inflation of consumer goods.
On the maps of where it can fly, are they using some super advanced model to give the 'odd' shapes (for example the delhi one, which is totally not just a circle projected onto the globe and then reprojected onto a map)?

Or is it just an artist impression who was given a list of cities and has drawn a dotted line around them?
My sarcasm meter is all over the place :/
Under the "Have technical chops?" banner, you've got outdated links:

https://github.com/SpeciesFileGroup/taxonworks_doc/blob/main/CONTRIBUTING.md

should be

https://github.com/SpeciesFileGroup/taxonworks_doc/blob/main/docs/develop/contributing.md

as of

https://github.com/SpeciesFileGroup/taxonworks_doc/commit/e4314cad417e75fc77f9318eef860df17ec36ca1
Sure, maybe in tech, which had been in an unsustainable bubble for a long time. But unless everything changed in the last few weeks, we haven't seen this in the overall labor market, which remains as hot and labor-friendly as ever. Only interest rate bumps will put a dent into this unprecedentedly strong labor market.
I switched from web dev to semico this year and the amount of things i dont understand is huge

Majority of ppl here are after electrical eng.

Cs seems to be easy in compare
Is the problem the difficulty of running complex systems or the complete resistance to the idea from politicians and voters that reality is massively complicated. People just want “common sense” solutions and politicians who speak plainly but maybe that’s not what we need.
Well I think the point is that using it for tick bites isn't going to materially increase rates of prescription / usage.
“We believe in free speech and no government interference”.

“How dare you leave an anonymous opinion on Glassdoor. Here are our lawyers and the government forcing you to be doxxed and the speech to be removed”.
Thanks, accidentally posted the wrong URL apparently.
Russian language isn't banned anywhere in Ukraine. Indeed, 5 minutes of combat footage from the Ukrainian side will quickly show that the majority of their armed forces speak Russian.

Even Russians themselves reflected on this, noting that most volunteer forces they have faced so far come not from the Western (majority-Ukrainian-speaking) regions of Ukraine, but rather from Kharkiv, Dnipro etc. Their explanation is that all those people are "brainwashed by Ukrainian Nazis".

There is some real contention with the status of Russian as 1) the official government language, and 2) the official education language in schools. But I don't think it's fair to phrase that as "banning Russian".
I am curious. What does Rescript have that Reason did not have ?

I know the syntax is now incompatible syntax with OCaml so I see the broken eggs but I don't see the omelet.
> You have to either overprovisioning if you use nuclear or use battery storage.

Whereas with solar and wind, you need to do both, because you need the overprovisioned capacity to recharge the batteries.
It's quite important to highlight that what was Ng's single course is now a specialization containing 3 courses.

The site describes the specialization this way:

> It provides a broad introduction to modern machine learning, including supervised learning (multiple linear regression, logistic regression, neural networks, and decision trees), unsupervised learning (clustering, dimensionality reduction, recommender systems), and some of the best practices used in Silicon Valley for artificial intelligence and machine learning innovation (evaluating and tuning models, taking a data-centric approach to improving performance, and more.)

A question:

From the email -

> An expanded list of topics that focus on the most important machine learning concepts (such as modern deep learning algorithms, and decision trees)

How much deep learning is in the original course? I got the impression - perhaps wrongly - that it was mostly about older approaches.

Does it make sense for a learner to jump directly into deep learning?

(Obviously the quote above doesn't say "directly into". And "Deep learning" isn't mentioned in the course overviews until Course 3, "Unsupervised Learning, Recommenders, Reinforcement Learning”… But I’m still curious.)
Fun fact: gender was not indicated on United States passports until the 1970s, when it was added to combat a perceived rise in androgyny. In other words, it exists to enforce gender roles, not as an actual identifier.

edit: here's a source: https://www.thedailybeast.com/how-the-rise-of-androgyny-chan...
I am by no means an expert on this, but I am curious:

1. What makes you think Jerome Powell is raising rates to prop up short-term stock gains? Don't higher rates typically decrease short-term stock gains?

2. Even if you disagree with his strategy, what makes you think he's doing something nefarious or illegal?
I think a lot of commentary on this thread is losing sight of what the world "model" really amounts to in a scientific context.

It's an abstraction. A bunch of math that just-so-happens to result in accurate predictions. That's all it really is. How the universe really works (putting Tegmark aside) is a separate, ultimately philosophical question.

Much of particle physics is simply exploring the parameter space in which various models might be applicable. In the most exciting case, the model crumples in some new, unexplored region.

The value of bigger accelerators comes down whether the higher energies, in which we have not yet explored, are worth exploring, relative to the cost of doing so. That is certainly debatable.

But it's not a "desert." Nobody knows what higher energies will reveal.
The US spends more per capita on education than any other large country on earth. The only countries in the OECD that surpass the US in per capita education spending are Luxembourg, Norway, Austria, and Iceland. https://nces.ed.gov/programs/coe/indicator/cmd

So, the US is actually doing both: doing its best to brain-drain other developed countries while also spending more than anyone else on education. Is college the best place to train people to function better in teams? Or would Amazon be better served in funding lots of youth sports teams and recruiting from those?
Why do we have to subsidize? According to the news: these companies have plenty of money; free trade should supply this; we have the some of the lowest corporate taxes.
Given that a recession hasn't happened (yet?) and inflation is still high and not trending down (yet?), I wouldn't say it's an over-correction (yet?)
> They can send their hitmen all over the world to kill dissidents without getting ratted out, but a little cable tapping is too much for someone to hold in?

Well, you have to account for the individual. Suppose this informant is an ethnic Russian working for the targeted company and was approached by Russian intelligence who presumed his ethnic ties would make him a sympathetic collaborator. They might have simply misjudged his character. And obviously an informant can only inform on things he's aware of. A tech worker might be approached as a collaborator for a tech espionage plot, while obviously never being told anything about polonium assassinations.
Yes, that's important to keep in mind.

If the overall system of auto driving plus human turns out to be safer than a human alone, that could still be a good thing.

I'd also like to see data, come to think of it, for systems with the safety systems that aren't self driving like lane departure warnings, front and rear collision warnings, adaptive cruise control, automatic braking, driver awareness warnings, head position warnings, directional headlights, night-vision HUDs, and such.
DevRel Driven Development
Yes And? bot was built to help come up with better hackathon ideas. I've found it to be legitimately helpful, and I think it's great for people who struggle to consider the many variables around their idea.
We built it by using GPT-3 on autocomplete, and feeding it this prompt:

In a meeting room, two people are talking about an idea they have for a new startup. The first person needs someone to validate their idea. The second person is very creative and experienced employee, so they are trying to help the first person by pointing out things that might make their idea fail. The second person guides the first person through a thought process towards a successful idea.”

Then we added examples of dialog of these two personas:

First person: “Hey, I was thinking on creating an app for the company so we could get points every month and we send those points for people we like their job.”

Second person: “How do people earn points? And what do they do with them?”

First person: “They get 25 points every month, and they could redeem rewards like caps, t-shirts and custom iPhone cases; things like that so people can feel how much they are appreciated by their team.”

Second person: “Wouldn’t that be a big cost for the company?”

With this the AI(Second person) has context and the format to ask questions the same way during the real conversations.
GitHub and Google/Gmail certainly do.
Narrowbodies have much less people in them. Already they're enabling much cheaper business class seats across the Atlantic.

To me international narrowbody travel is all win.
> Nonetheless, being able to meaningfully participate in the conversations generated by the article on link aggregator sites like this that provide comment sections means I need to read the articles, doesn't it? If the only options for consistently being able to do that are either 1) purchase 300+ distinct subscriptions to sites where I have no idea if I'm ever going back again, or 2) bypass the paywalls, I'm going to bypass the paywalls.

You're looking at it purely from the perspective of a consumer, which misses pretty significant parts of the picture. Someone needed to get paid to produced a lot of that content, and in many cases they won't have the revenue to do that without a paywall.

Your justification isn't too different from one that goes "if I want to meaningfully participate in American society, I need a car. However I don't want to pay $30,000+ for one, so if I can pick locks and hotwire a car to get the transportation I want, I'll do that instead of paying."
Sure, for an ex-resident, partially because you might move back. The person I was replying to was talking about people who might want to move there in the future. This is more akin to being a UK citizen and thinking you should get to vote in the US now because you plan on moving there in a few years.

Quoted: ...track down every person who would in the future purchase a new-build home in Whitby, and did a vote of those people...
Most US Gov debt is fixed rate debt, however the government issues new debt all the time, which is issued at a yield that is set by a Dutch Auction [0]

[0] - https://home.treasury.gov/services/treasury-auctions
The US and UK are probably the only English-speaking countries that measure efficiency in miles per gallon (and not even the same gallon). Everywhere else uses litres per 100 km. I believe my car (2003 VW Jetta TDI diesel) gets about 4.5 L/100 km, which is quite good compared to a typical truck that gets 15+ L/100 km.
This seems like a smart cross-section of the existing ECE major and IE majors offered at Purdue, and would likely be a good way to lighten up the major (IE was considered easier than the other programs when I was in undergrad).
No issue with Canonical making some money from their OSS efforts, but as-is the pricing seems crazy. At the least, I wish they'd do something like make brand stores free for less than 100 devices. That would also serve to hook people in, then they pay as they grow.

Ideally though, Canonical would let anyone run their own "brand store" on their own hardware.
Russian tanks aren't a representative of a modern tank as among other things they have crappy active defense - it is all about electronics. Israel's is a good one, and their tanks survive multiple shots by actively killing incoming RPG warheads and the likes.

Also Russian tanks are on the light side as they can't manage a powerful enough engine required, ie gas turbine of 1500hp+. The best they have so far managed is 1000hp diesel on may be 200 tanks by now, the rest is old one 800hp. Thus their tanks have armor lighter and of older type than say Abrams.

And there is huge area of discussion about integration of all weapons on the battlefield - without such integration any weapon loses its efficiency tremendously - and Russian military is very bad at integration, and tanks in isolation are much weaker target as opponent much easily finds the window opportunity.
That existing debt gets rolled over, and as it does it rolls into the higher rates.
While having some cash is good, if you're planning ahead for a disaster it's better to have stuff than cash cause in the event of disaster your ability to buy things is likely to be decreased.

Or at least that's my experience from living in an area where hurricanes sometimes take down power for 2+ weeks.

When things shut down for a long time the government usually sets up free distribution of MREs and water and already having gas in your tank is more valuable than having cash to buy gas at the theoretical gas station with power to pump but not payment network access.
Didn't see mention of the path these drones would use to get to the customer's house and then their backyard. In most jurisdictions there's some degree of expected privacy in a backyard, especially if you have a privacy fence. Should one lose that privacy because a neighbor needed a spatula delivered for their cookout?
I think there's a meaningful difference here, and it's very incorrect to consider it an incremental change.

An infantry squad dug into foxholes in some forest in WWII was really quite safe against artillery. A forward observer can maybe spot a tank or artillery battery (sometimes). A drone can scan an entire battlefield and identify infantry 10 miles behind a line of trenches, and coordinated artillery strikes can wipe them out.

That's hugely difference! It vastly changes the lethality per unit of artillery, and the relative risk for infantry units who aren't in obviously-fortified positions.
Is the whole patent clerk discovering stuff in their free time still possible? I know people say do what you love etc but I’ve found something I kinda like as a day job but I’d rather be doing astronomy.
I understand just fine, I just don't share the naive "invisible hand" narrative. I think there are a lot of places where free markets make for better products and services, but not all products and markets are fundamentally the same, so I believe the same prescription of "just remove all limits to a free market -> all problems solved" does not work everywhere.

But Google can charge their "actual" users, i.e. advertisers quite a bit, and it is much harder to do any advertising without also advertising on Google Platforms, such as Search, Maps, Youtube, Adwords, etc. The wages may have only slightly gone up, but the profits definitely have gone up quite a bit, which shows that amount of workers and their pay has little to do with how much money can be made (which I believe is perfectly fine, because tech is not a place where I think free markets create a detriment to society).

I don't want to start a debate on free enterprise in general, just to show that free enterprise is not a once size fits all solution. My argument was just that the supply of doctors has very little to do with the price of medicine, because the market forces that determine price and can lead to lower prices in some markets do not work correctly in this market.
Frankly the poor are always going to get hurt no matter what you do. Being poor isn’t a position of strength in the first place. When you’re living hand to mouth you are very sensitive to any changes in the environment.
People at my company have, in all-hands meetings. Is the company going to raise our salaries to compensate from the widely acknowledged inflation that's going on, given the company nets billions a year? No comment.
No, today it's probably an indication to traders that the Fed is taking inflation seriously, since all the risky stocks are sensitive to inflation. A lower raise may have cause a further sell off.

Traders' minds can be tricky. They're also reading the news!
An anchor on a rope would do fine no sub needed.
I am hiring, and you look like a perfect fit for my team. Send me a message.
> He also questioned their use of preferred pronouns and led a discussion about “who can refer to another person as the N word.”

This is a guy who just wants to be shitty to people and not have consequences

https://archive.ph/rFoq9
https://twitter.com/molly0xFFF/status/1537105903048183808
OMG, I’m no fan of Feinstein’s position on many issues - and am not her constituent - but yes. That teacher should be ashamed of herself, not only for trying to use kids as a front to push her own agenda, but clearly she’s been preaching apocalyptic visions to these kids. Wonder why your kids have anxiety problems?? Because people they view as ultimate truthful authorities are telling them the world will literally end within their lifetime. There will be plenty of time for those kids to make their lives a stressful hell, but as adults there’s something to be said for sheltering children from the worldly issues that make our own lives hell. Try your best to insulate little children from stress, provide a solid sense of strategic security (along with freedom to make tactical mistakes, get injured and recover), and avoid passing on your own insecurities and daily anxieties to them. Above all, don’t use them for political gain. It’s one thing to teach them civics that young but you can just hear the fear in that little girl’s voice saying we only have 12 years and we’re impacted by you not voting for this shitty spending proposition we have no earthly comprehension of. Bad adulting! Bad!
Thanks, that is enlightening analysis.

> a truly interactive story is really freaking hard

Why do you think that is? I am not ignorant of reasons and explanations, such as needing too much content, but what do you think are the fundamental reasons?
> You probably know this already, but I thought I'd pass on a correction to what is a common misconception. If you start making more money and end up in a higher tax bracket, only the amount of income in the new tax bracket is taxed at the higher rate, not the whole income.

Oh, for sure. But that money that moves into those brackets will be taxed higher.
As a tall person, I don't think there really is any significant difference. The seat pitch in economy on most jetblue flights is 32" (per seatguru), which is generally the same as united/aa on transcontinental. Yes there are UA/AA/etc layouts with 31, as there are jetblue with 34". The bottom line, is that if you don't fit in these smaller seats, paying the upgrade fee on a crappy airline/ticket generally gets one more space than flying a more premium airline. But the difference is frequently nullified (cross airline) simply by selecting a different date/flight with an alternative plane/seat layout.

(and the widths all tend to be ~17.5" or so)
Are you Android Auto in Canada? I've had it tell me numerous times that I'd be home at 8:04 micro-meters.
How Google’s Emma Haruka Iwao helped set a new record for pi
Google and FB rely on ads. Less consumer demand, less spending on ads.
Kudos for getting this page together. I've only ever had mediocre results with Cotman watercolours which can give muddy results and I absolutely disagree with buying cheap paper. When I started buying the most expensive watercolour paper I could afford (300 gsm) my watercolour practice got much better. Obviously that is just my experience and people have to work out what works for them. I'm on Instagram @chloegilbertartist and if you scroll you will get to my watercolours.