skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=48636

"At the beginning of 2021, 129 refineries were either operating or idle in the United States (excluding U.S. territories), down from 135 operable refineries listed at the beginning of 2020. The additional refinery closures in the 2021 Refinery Capacity Report largely reflect the impact of responses to COVID-19 on the U.S. refining sector."

Claims below that leases reduced production is a canard. It takes years to develop a lease. In 3 or 4 years you could blame Biden, but unless Exxon produces by time machines it has nothing to do with production issues in 2021. Domestic oil producers are sitting on 1000's of leases.
Just curious, for a software engineer that only works with managed languages such as Java and Python, what kind of embedded job is easy to squeeze into? Thanks~~
Tanks used correctly and in sufficient mass produces something called the Shock Effect of Armor. Smart munitions are getting more and more effective, but it's really hard to calmly lob missiles at a charging unit of tanks supported by artillery, infantry, CAS, etc.

"Principle: armor in strength produces decisive shock effect

The psychological shock effect that comes to troops on the receiving end of a massed armored assault is terrific. This effect radiates from the point of attack in concentric semi-circles, as do the waves from a stone dropped in the water near the edge of a millpond. If the attack is in strength, these shockwaves reach to the enemy division, corps and army headquarters. Shock effect gives armor part of its protection and hastens the disintegration of the enemy force attacked. The shock effect of the mass employment of armor varies as the square or cube of the number of tanks used. Attacking with armored strength too small to produce decisive shock effect often results in great losses and inconclusive results."

https://www.benning.army.mil/armor/earmor/content/Historical...

Simply put, they are pants-soiling terrifying spectacles of death and they prove overwhelming. Once significant momentum of a well-executed armored attack has been gained, they are difficult to slow or stop. Drone swarms may make this tactic obsolete, but we're not there yet.
Nomophobia and the Future of Social Cryptolotteries
Exactly, the best time to raise rates was 6 years ago when the economy was humming along well. Instead the fed kept them too low creating huge bubbles, which it's now in the process of popping. These next few years are going to be a lot rougher than they needed to be.

This isn't just hindsight bias either. Plenty of people have been warning about exactly this problem for years.
Why should I believe that algorithms written by some random software engineers will be better stewards? "Algorithmic Monetary Policy" includes things like premining and exponential decay of rewards and causes huge community rifts over things as simple as block size.
> likely to report the message as spam and reduce the scammer's reach

Q: Is reporting spam (and if so, to whom?) actually of benefit? If so, how?

If you "report" spam at Gmail or in Office 365, what actually happens?

Does some magic kick in and move - in real time - all identical (similar?) messages out of Inboxes and into Spam folders across the globe? Or is it more about training filters for the next wave?
How is that provided? Do they get their IP address whitelisted or something? I imagine it isn't just a library account logged into those sites.
> pensioners

Are US pensions not tied to the CPI or some other inflation measure? (In Germany, pensions are, in principle, tied to the development of wages, which are generally assumed to outpace inflation.)
I've had this bite me in the ass on many projects too, but I still agree with the parent. When I get an idea I get a rush of motivation to implement it. If, after that rush is over, all I have is a document, the motivation isn't coming back and the project isn't getting finished. Starting with a mostly-functional MVP means I can show it to people or use it myself, which gives me the extra motivation needed to make it less hacky/more maintainable/perform better/all the other things, that I could've thought about in the planning phase.

(I just went through this cycle in the last month or so actually - I got pissed off at the state of public transport apps after I missed a train, so I decided I should make my own. I made a buggy hacked-together web app, started using it daily and showing it to people. Every time I used it, it made me want to work on it more, so I did - rewrote the backend to cache and segment data properly, made the map run at a non-sideshow framerate, made the icons consistent, started building a native version... It's actually getting close to something I'd call "good" now. Knowing myself, this would never have happened had I started off with a specification or even a mockup)
These instructions work on either Firefox Nightly for Android (through Google Play Store) or Fennec F-Droid (through the F-Droid store). They won't work on regular Firefox for Android. https://blog.mozilla.org/addons/2020/09/29/expanded-extensio...
I think I found a small typo, where you have delta (instead of delta/2) in the third line. I believe it should be

sqrt(h(2R+h))-R * arccos(R/(R+h))-delta/2 = 0

This can be solved for h given delta numerically, such as with a spreadsheet. Use caution here because this formula leads to a loss of significant digits from cancellation of nearly identical terms.

For example, given R = 6378000 meters and trying h = 193 meters: the first (d) term is 49618.0 meters and the second (s) term is 49617.0 meters. The difference is 1.0 meter, which is the half delta we wanted. But there's been a loss of 4 significant digits (because the first 4 digits in each value are the same: 4961). The smaller the arc distance, the smaller the angle, the worse the relative error becomes.

It's possible to analytically factor out sqrt(2hR) from both the d and s terms. In the first case,

d = sqrt(2Rh+h^2) = sqrt(2Rh) * (1+h/4R) using Taylor series for (1+h^2/2Rh)^0.5

In the second case, I can derive one formula, but the coefficients aren't the same as my numerical best fit, which is

s = sqrt(2Rh) * (1-5h/12R)

Combining the two series versions for d and s, gives us this for delta,

delta = 4h/3 * sqrt(2h/R)

Finally, solving for h given delta, take the cube root of h^3:

h^3 = (9R/32) * delta^2

Thus for a delta of 2 meters, I get height h = 192.88 meters.
GurneyJourney.blogspot.com is a treasure trove of great advice and information.
Eh, most narco-submarines aren't really submarines; almost all are semi-submersible boats that run low in the water with snorkels.

However, organized crime using unmanned true submersibles might [soon, or presently] be feasible. The expertise needed to actually attack a cable in a constructive manner would be a significant barrier to clear, but not inconceivable for crime organizations that can kidnap and coerce tech professionals. The ability to splice fiber underwater with a drone submersible seems extremely advanced though. I think only a few nations might presently have such a capability.

Nice summary of narco subs from HI Sutton: http://www.hisutton.com/Narco%20Subs%20101.html and https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BR18qhnGEpM
The study does seem to be solving a non-problem.

In the case of vaccines, non-vaccinators do get a "free ride" from those who do. Even without herd immunity, vaccines at least slow down the rate of spread, freeing up resources to help those who do get ill.

In the case of the climate, there could be a free ride for climate denialists, who benefit from actions that others take. But individual action on the climate is mostly meaningless, and even international action without the major CO2 producers is insufficient, so the free ride is minimal.

The real issue is not the game-theoretic decision to aim for a free ride, but the paranoid belief that both conditions are part of some sort of global hoax. The information to make a rational decision on both is readily available, but has been deliberately polluted with so much misinformation that anybody inclined ideologically to disbelieve finds enough support. Assuming, that is, they are willing to believe in a vast conspiracy of scientists.

In the case of COVID especially, they are assisted by the free-ride they are getting: the disease has far fewer consequences than without the vaccines, and so they don't suffer as much as they might. That enables them to believe that there was in fact no problem to vaccinate against, which would seem like an absurd cognitive dissonance given how many people are dead, but the costs of cognitive dissonance are small enough that they could ignore them entirely in this paper.
Not well and mostly disappointingly. It’s a nice enough UI but I don’t find it substantially better than OneNote - at least not enough to replace that use case.

I finally am getting my head wrapped around Tinderbox and it clicked. It’s a better tool for thinking for me. No sharing beyond sharing a file but that’s fine. I don’t tend to like collaborative software for that sorta thing.
With the name of this I assume it was a lot of BS, but can't read it because they've set their account to private. Did anyone archive it somewhere?
I think the thing I never hear people talk about however is redundancy and consistency. Wind and Solar are great and likely should be a huge huge portion of our power production. Something like Nuclear though we can project huge consistency (assuming the plant does not get destroyed by a giant natural disaster) long term and day to day.

Personally though I really have always liked Geothermal!
Sample size of one. Bay back when I had an offer from a three-letter agency, I wouldn't have been pseudonymous but I would have been officially working for some other government organization. I also had to book my own travel and they paid my expenses in cash on the spot.
Spiekermann said it best: Don't work for assholes. Don't work with assholes.

https://www.creativeboom.com/uploads/articles/a3/a3e652c7fa0...
Diversity of thought is great, but framing it as the only kind of diversity you need is often code for "We're totally on board with misogyny, racism, and homophobia, which is diverse from all this woke bullshit! If you can't deal with seeing those things at our company, there's the door! And it's totally coincidence that our leadership is all white men!"
What's your offered solution? Throw our hands up and just go back to bartering? The federal reserve doesn't micromanage the economy (throwing rocks into the lake, as you put it) they have a few levers at their disposal that I would describe more as environmental variables (like setting the "temperature" of the lake, or limiting the size of rocks people are allowed to throw).

They are also doing everything at a pretty high level where you don't need to be able to predict economic events with 100% accuracy. You can know that throwing a 50lb rock in the lake will likely cause a bigger wave to come up on shore (regardless of other rocks being thrown) without being able to fully characterize and predict the timing of it.

5-year plans from centralized sources seem to struggle to even survive for 5 years, whereas the current system in the US has been generally functioning well for over 100. I'm not convinced they're as similar as you think.
I think that in order to have any chance of actually measuring the value of money, whatever metric is used would have to be something that cannot be sold (because otherwise, when the value of money drops relative to the value of the inflation measure, people will sell the inflation measure to buy money, and vice versa, in order to keep their portfolios balanced). We see it with gold, and with bitcoin, and with stocks, and housing, and the general saying that "during a market crash, everything is correlated".

Of course, that leads to the question of "what would serve as a good proxy for the actual value of currency", and I don't have a good answer to that. CPI is the traditional answer, but I don't think it's a sufficient one because

1. CPI misses out on some of what people care about (e.g. asset prices are actually important in determining what kind of long-term lifestyle people can afford)
2. We want to disentangle "commodities went up because of supply shocks that will resolve themselves" and "commodities went up because money is permanently worth less", to the extent that it is even meaningful to disentangle these things

So yeah, it is entirely possible that the dollar is worth less [relative to what people care about], and also gold is worth less [relative to what people care about], and it is even possible that that is causally downstream of injecting a bunch of dollars into the economy, but I have no idea how one would robustly demonstrate that that was or was not the case. If you have any ideas on that front I'd love to hear them.

Also if you are aware of any assets that are _strongly and reliably anticorrelated_ with most other assets during recessions, I would be interested for much more personal reasons.
Okay, maybe I explained it badly. You said that there's always a cushion. Which would still be true after you raise wages. So you can repeat and repeat and you'll end up with infinite wage for 1$ spent. This quite obviously doesn't work, so the point can't be true. Therefore, we can't deduce the existence or the size of a cushion just by the fact that a product is being sold.

--

I still agree with your general point; in a lot of industries, there's a lot of cushion right now. But there are also companies operating on razor thin margins (especially when competing with cheap labor overseas). At some point, companies will either raise the price (if they can get away with charging more) or shelf the product. They might also do so if they think the margin is to small; they usually don't create stuff for net zero just to keep employees happy. We simply can't deduce from a general argument how close they are to taking either measure.
How many years earlier does that let you retire?
> I was reading this article on Cloudflare workers [...] and seemed like isolates have significant advantage over serverless technology like lambda etc.

You are conflating serverless (which is a particular deployment and lifecycle model) with a specific technique for implementing it.

There are inevitably going to be different performance/capability tradeoffs between this and other ways of implementing serverless, such as containers, VMs, etc.

> Simultaneously, they don’t use a virtual machine or a container, which means you are actually running closer to the metal than any other form of cloud computing I’m aware of.

V8 is a VM. Not in the VMware/KVM sense of the term, but a VM nonetheless.
Nope, it's reviled because of its hostile user experience. Try finding an official, working way to stop automatic snap updates!
Here is one example. "Not Even at $200 a Barrel: Shale Giants Swear They Won’t Drill More"

[1] https://energynow.com/2022/02/not-even-at-200-a-barrel-shale...
I guess it‘s more telling if people try to use rhetoric devices like trying to force charged, binary answers on a very nuanced, and definitely nonbinary topic.

You like painting people into a corner, do you?

Rhetoric question.
The brain runs fine off ketones. Better than on glucose, in many cases. This is why so many of the therapeutic targets of ketogenesis are neurological.

Only red blood cells and a couple other actually need glucose.
Ha! That's only in the REPL, which I never use
Ukraine has, in fact, been partly occupied and claimed by a foreign power since 2014.
That's fair enough but to simply dismissed a book by the fact that it's written by some qualified and professional company engineers is not acceptable. To be honest there are only two books on segment routing at the moment both are over $100, just trying to be helpful on the book because the recommended one is what I have. Here is the main website for segment routing for the IETF documents, software, papers, etc:

https://www.segment-routing.net/
Yes, if those opinions aren't talked about at work then it's irrelevant
Not every weapon system has a direct and obvious replacement when it becomes obsolete - the nature of the combat itself changes around what's viable given the tech.
Most places where people live have enough sun and/or wind to meet demand.
First of all, the Institute for Family Studies is not a credible, respected source of scientific information. They're a conservative think tank, funded by religious partisans, that cherry-picks their data in order to make persuasive political arguments. However, I'd be open to peer-reviewed papers from reputable social scientists not affiliated with a partisan entity.

Second, it is never horrible advice to suggest to someone that they try to minimize their unhappiness. Jealousy, neglect, and unkindness are all toxic to a relationship; and sometimes you just aren't attracted to certain people at a basic level for whatever reason. By "don't settle," I'm not suggesting that one hold out for a pinnacle of perfection (e.g. a supermodel), but rather, a partner that makes you feel good, loved, validated, and respected - and whom you feel the same about in return.
I am happy that it is, but it's not my domain. I am trying to finish my degree in CS or a related field.
Interest rates are not the only government mechanism that can be used to control interest rates.

Stimulus can be done in a way that is highly targeted. When it is not, it has the same effect as rates being too low and can lead to things like overemployment and inflation.

Politically, there has been significant demand for overemployment, that is, unemployment levels that are lower than they should be, or, put another way, an economy where labor is too scarce.

Anyone who has tried to hire tech talent domestically in recent years has faced significant scarcity and can attest to the quality tradeoffs that must often be made such as hiring someone with insufficient experience and hoping it works out, or needing to invest more heavily in training and mentorship than seems reasonable.

In growth areas like tech, this is normal and is the result of growth itself, but recently the US economy has seen this kind of thing in many different kinds of jobs, even retail and food service jobs. It's not uncommon to find a packed restaurant being handled by one or two waitstaff, leading to slower turnaround and overall reduced capacity of the restaurant and less money being made overall.

This is blamed on the pandemic and all kinds of other causes, but the root cause is the infliction of intentional labor shortages on the economy for political reasons.

Similarly, the COVID stimulus in the previous administration was given out with minimal vetting and significant misallocation (payments to businesses that didn't need it), and there has been no retrospective accountability for any of it. It boils down to something that was supposed to be a targeted stimulus (to prevent firms from going out of business or laying off workers) became an untargeted one and spoils were given to firms that misrepresented need and used the money for things other than staying solvent or keeping payroll going.

So of course we are seeing the consequences of this now in the form of both inflation and economic stagnation.

This is not the fault of one political party. Neither has any restraint when it comes to wanting broad stimulus and artificially low unemployment numbers, and there is a lot of finger pointing about the extremely predictable inflation that is occurring.

Raising rates penalizes all the firms that did not seek stimulus inappropriately, as well as the ones who sought it because they needed it.

Chances are rates will go up at least another 1.5 or 2 percent in the next year. This is unfortunate, and the economic correction resulting from it will be significant and will last for many years longer than the brief period of artificial joy we got over the past few years.
That's awful. I did a two week course but had no adverse effects.
could you rephrase this question?
Exactly.

Im not sure how the Cult can justify this.

I get that Tesla are aspiring to lofty goals, but if your L1000 system (which is called L2 due to the need for driver supervision) can't compete with an L2 Nissan.... you may as well pack up and go home.

Tesla should have just stuck to what they're fantastic at. Driving
the cultural and technological adoption of electric vehicles.

Anything else, from FSD to basic build quality is something I wouldn't touch with your barge pole.

And that's even before considering its man-child branding problem.
> Oil and gas pipelines do not normally leak.

But they do. Normally. A fraction of the fuel transmitted through the pipe will be lost, seals, punctures, breaks, medium changes, over-pressure release through venting and so on.

> Power lines do leak. It's called "line loss" and it's a significant factor in power distribution.

Not all that significant in short range transmission, and until we figured out HVDC a major factor in long range transmission but the number of HVDC links that are coming online is increasing rapidly making this much less of a problem. The gear used for this is very impressive stuff, it is a different level of semiconductor engineering than what you normally have kicking around the yard but it works and is deployed at scale already with very good results.
That's very brave, from easy work high pay to hard word low pay.
you're argument is more that American force has been misused, not that it has not place. I'd agree it has been misused for 70 years.
Generating cash doesn’t immediately ensure longevity.
In this genre is one of my favorite games, The Beginner's Guide by Davey Wreden.
I've had to recently approve a surprisingly large bill for Heroku.

For small teams/products/services it totally makes sense. After a certain point, especially in a large organization that understands the value in infrastructure/operations investment, most applications/services can be streamlined and deployed. At that point, no, it is much much cheaper to go elsewhere.
Tell me you haven't dated in the last 10 years without telling me you haven't dated in the last 10 years.

> You become smarter. More confident. More emotionally, psychologically, and financially stable.

Cause all those are relevant for online dating and getting first dates.
Wages have been riser faster than inflation and triggering a recession will reverse that.

People love to act like they’re helping poor people when in truth they’re just hurting the labor market ie everyone but rich people.
I went into a master's program at SUNY CNSE back in 2014 for "nanoscale engineering" hoping to do some research in MEMS/NEMS. Turns out there were no research spots available with the groups working on that stuff so I ended up in a group working on EUV photoresists. I ended up not doing much actual "nanoscale research" and mostly just did some data science/engineering for the group since all the data processing code they had took 10+ hours to run for each experiment trial. I fixed that code to run in under 10 minutes and decided I should probably just start looking for jobs in software. Couldn't be happier.

Every person I interacted with in the semiconductor space was either an academic who was stuck in a lab 12+ hours a day or some line manager for Intel/IBM/TSMC/etc. that was on-call 24/7 if something went wrong. Both of those sounded terrible to me regardless of the pay.
If software is not networked is there really a need to update it?
> I remember reading in the last year about one of the crypto companies that hired an anonymous employee.

Maybe "Sifu" of DeFi protocol Wonderland[0], or "UmbralUpsilon" of Indexed Finance[1], to take just a couple of examples.

[0] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=30120762

[1] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=31478795
I don't understand the field, but it seems to me that chip design is becoming more democratized. Everybody's designing a chip nowadays.

Is a foundry the only employer?
Germany is not building more coal plants it it shutting them down.
Is that the only goal people are supposed to have in life?