skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
If interest rates are 18% the crash will be so hard that some residences can’t be given away (in undesirable locations) because the tax and maintenance will be higher the home value, and the economy will be fucked. You will probably be out of work.

If you can get a job as a liquidator and have lots of cash as it’ll be hard to borrow at all.

The last black swan like that was probably before my time (1980s) but maybe the ERM debacle in the UK was close.
If you are a photographer, this would be epic.
Probably depends on the area. Where I live, OSM doesn't really have anything beyond just streets. But I've heard other areas have much better coverage.
The comment is implying that fixed rate debt below inflation is "free" money. Rate at 2% and inflation at 3% means an effective gain of 1% a year on the spread.

It's wrong though. Home prices are likely to fall quite substantially if you actually look at all the fundamental data and cast it in the light of significantly higher mortgage rates.

Higher inflation also raises the risk free rate which devalues assets. The stronger effect of the two will win out, and with valuations multiple standard deviations above the mean, the end result is pretty clear
I think I'd worry about getting rid of heat. You could do that with some pipes or something to couple the heat to the ground over a larger area. I don't think simply burying the batteries would be a good idea but it depends on the maximum heat output and conductivity of the ground.
> that means there's now 65,535 + 1 more way of serving a web page using Javascript (sigh).

You only need one (or none). I personally recommend Next.js for just about anything.
I wonder what effects emerge from chronically removing intestinal mucosa
Proprietary tools are too big of a risk of going belly up, or not being maintained.
Animats, I was a fan of your Downside site: http://downside.com/

Downside's goal is to remind people that we're experiencing a financial bubble, and that financial bubbles always burst. (We originally wrote that in April, 2000. Any questions?)

And here we are, living through another huge bubble.
Just for comparison, the extended-range Ford Lightning pickup truck (the one that can power a home for three days) has a 131 kWh battery.
In this example, you are borrowing the CD right?
They don't. But for what it's worth, basically all Manitobans live in Winnipeg.
The good thing about grid storage is that you don't need the weight and density of lithium. That's especially good because it looks like we don't have enough lithium for electrification of transportation. Lithium supplies will improve in a few years, but right now I think we should incentivize using lithium in mobile applications. There are plenty of technologies for power storage that don't use lithium.
What could possibly go wrong ?
Would it be much worse than a car with a full tank of gas in the garage or a few cans of diesel for a generator? A lot more potential energy in those than this battery even if fully charged.
> You can argue that people just will stay put, but that assumes they have the ability to service the debt on their home in the expensive area. It doesn't take many forced sales in an illiquid market to drive down prices. It can also drive a panic rush for the exit as folks think they're missing the last chance to cash out of their expensive home.

> I saw a couple of open houses today in the south SF Bay. Ghost towns. I can't say if that's representative of the overall market, but I think the pipeline is already draining.

The houses sit empty because the owner would rather maintain a (fictious at this point) valuation than realise the loss. That panic sell dynamic you mentioned doesn't seem to happen in housing, and foreclosure sales etc. can always be dismissed as unrepresentative.
If rents continue to rise home prices won’t fall substantially.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CUUR0000SEHA
New startup idea: an alternative to those awkward CPAP masks.
I had a friend whose sister was mentally ill. When she wasn't on medication, she did not behave in a normal fashion. But then she took medication, and she was entirely normal. Thing is - her memories seemed to be locked to her frame of mind, so she could only remember what she did off medication -- when she was off medication.
I partly agree. But only partly because Google has tried crazy things recently too. Stadia seemed pretty crazy in my eyes and it's the kind of thing that most people wrote off but I had hoped that Google could prove them wrong. They didn't and have killed it off for the most part (it still exists but I think it's back to the drawing board). A while back Google was working on building a modular smart phone with Project Ara. They killed it before it got to consumers.

It seems like Google still attempts crazy things now and then but the crazy things don't succeed like they used to. Maybe there's just not as much blue ocean for crazy things in tech to succeed like there used to and the crazy things are crazy for a reason and no one's trying it.
There's an annual coordinated showing of Ghibli films in various theatres in America, spread out over the months of each year.

https://www.ghiblifest.com
> but any and all surrounding habitats

They also created new habitats.
I think the batteries would need to have a vent and you would want to be able to access them quickly in case of a fire. All I know for sure is that I would not want batteries attached directly to my house.
ICE cars are also not immune, for example:

On April 25, 1996, Ford Motor Company announced it would conduct one of the largest recalls for a safety-related defect in the history of the U.S. Department of Transportation. The recall covered approximately 7,900,000 Ford, Lincoln, and Mercury vehicles in the U.S. from model year 1988 through 1993 for a defect in the ignition switch causing the cars to catch ablaze spontaneously (NHTSA recall number 96V-071).

https://www.autosafety.org/ford-ignition-switch-fires/
Don’t tell me how the sausage was made!

That said sometimes abstractions leak. I was using Firebase and getting the public Url for a blob given it’s path is an async call! God knows why.
> These people? as in those in authority.

No, as in: the people saying "the science is settled".

> Why are you so willing to vigorously defend them and deride opposing views as charlatans and crackpots?

Because the vast majority of people who challenge established science are charlatans and crackpots.

There are legitimate challenges to established science. All scientific progress starts that way. But mounting a legitimate challenge to established science is hard. It takes a lot of work. And most people I see doing it are just lazy bums who are not willing to put in the hours. They aren't even willing to put in the effort to learn what a legitimate challenge to established science even looks like, let alone actually mount one themselves. They just latch on to some fad and then bitch and moan about how "those in authority" are repressing them or some such bullshit.

In the meantime, there are a lot of hard-working actual scientists toiling away in labs around the world to do the research that actually advances human knowledge.

That's why.
Would be hilarious if Google deranks their site and bans their YouTube for redirecting you to a Rick Roll YouTube video for rejecting their terms.
It also didn't include anything that had to be done in the morning such as commuting. I am not suggesting that school should start at 7:15 but, if school began and ended earlier, all of those activities could be moved after school ended (possibly to the previous day).
Although you might get temperature stability, would it be healthy for the batteries? Maybe they work better at 75F than say 50F.
It's not really encryption, it's just stenography. Pretty smart stenography for the time, but a code cracker who can read sheet music would make out patterns in not too much time.

I'm amused by this quote:

“When we arrived, we were immediately pulled aside, and they went through everything in our luggage, to the point of unwrapping Tampax. It was crazy,”

Clearly, it wasn't crazy enough, as the Soviets were completely right in suspecting the musicians to be spies. They just oversaw a novel way of smuggling data out of the country, kind of how concatenation of JPG+RAR files was used to smuggle information past American checkpoints during the war on terror.
One weird trick to own the speculators and make housing affordable for young people: build some more homes in desirable areas. BlackRock is only doing the same thing that the boomer generation has been collectively doing for years; but I guess giving young people a way to access that unearned NIMBY rent defeats the point.
Australia was a special case. It became a victim of its own success, because it managed to avoid COVID so thoroughly and so long that there was no chance to determine which measures were cost-effective and which weren't. China is still in a similar situation.

In more interconnected parts of the world, the first waves were often really bad. Nobody really knew how to mitigate the spread, except by crude lockdowns. Hospitals became overcrowded and many people died, because doctors didn't know what was the exact problem and how to treat it. People also died from other preventable causes, because there was no one left to treat them.

The economy tanked, and not simply due to the lockdowns but also because of the disease itself and the voluntary actions people took. Facilities were shut down, because too many people were sick at the same time. The demand for some products and services crashed, because (for example) people started working from home. At the same time, there were shortages because the demand for other things increased but there was no way to scale up the production quickly enough.

Things started getting better by mid-2020. There was a better understanding of what worked and what didn't, what was cost-effective and what wasn't, and what was possible within the existing legal framework and what wasn't. People also started adjusting to the new normal instead of being afraid of the unknown. Different jurisdictions around the world made different choices based on their specific circumstances and the values of those in charge.
Yes. The forms change with tech, but the basic dynamics are the same.

In my case, it was programming 8 bit computers and yakking on the CB net a friend and I had setup. We had about 20 people on it at one point. Adults tuned in regularly to listen to us kids talk about all kinds of shit.

Amazingly, they left us alone.
Hybrids (so presumably Prius' too) are the most likely type of vehicle to catch on fire: https://www.autoinsuranceez.com/gas-vs-electric-car-fires/
Sure they do. Seat belts cause injuries in crashes all the time. Sometimes (rarely) even more serious injuries than would have been sustained without one. Airbags even more so. Both will very occasionally even cause injuries outside of collision scenarios.

When seat belts were first mandated, there were lots of arguments about how it's safer not to wear one and government has no right to require it.
I know obviously that it isn't. If only because when I went to school there was no PowerPoint and I am old enough to have TA'd on a blackboard with chalk.
That is not the case.

In fact, Firefox itself did not do this until recent years.

It is true that modern JS development often works that way (as does Rust and some others), but it is not the norm in all ecosystems, and definitely wasn't in browsers.
thats what the authors of uuid4 thought. but if you read the RFC again you’ll see they listed out the flaws and pain points. eg the impact of true randomness on database writes at scale.

having standards encodes lessons from a decade worth of pain. don’t dismiss it so casually.
It's quite possible you know more about this than me, but that's not how I remember it. Do you have a citation of a reputable source? This kind of reads like a conspiracy theory.
I suspect refis massively benefited. I reduced my rate from 3.75% to 2.625% and with a cash out!
No, but plenty of people in various mental states have bought drugs and gotten friends or family members hooked, which eventually resulted in death.

I don’t agree with counting homicides and suicides together as “gun deaths.” But since many people do: there are about 40,000 gun deaths each year. There are 100,000 drug overdose deaths a year now, which is the result both of people’s own decisions about themselves, and people giving or selling drugs to others to get them addicted.
Very enthusiastic about the future and positive return on crypto.
This comment is exactly what I'm talking about. Studies involving hundreds of individuals is struggling to get that kind of clarity around correlations. The observations you've made with a handful of people are anecdotes, not controlled data.
Yeah, as the poster notes, it's not bad. I've had a budget LifePO4 in use for over a year now with no issues. Can report back in 4 more years I suppose.

10 years ago I bought a cheap solar pump (~$100) rather than the standard priced ones at the time (~$1000) I got flack for buying Chinese made goods which were "surely crap". But that pump ran perfectly fine for about 8 years before it started slowing down and running at a reduced capacity.

¯\_(ツ)_/¯
hopefully nobody adds a cargo-buidl package then!
Next (no pun intended) thing we will rediscover is using templating engines (only in JS or so), because we realize, that mixing state and behavior is a problem. Then we will have gone full circle, but probably with some unreasonable overhead as a result. Maybe the whole thing of rendering templates will somehow become a part of webpack and everyone will have to configure webpack.

Good that classic web frameworks are still around and healthy, which have been rendering templates on the server side for a decade or so.
> Of course it does.

What statistics are you basing this on? NSW in Australia has a vaccination rate of somewhere in the mid 90%s [0] before opening up from lockdown. It did absolutely nothing to slow the spread of COVID [1], anyone who has an active social life got vaccinated, had a short break, then got COVID.

The evidence is pretty overwhelming at this point - vaccinations provided personal protection but failed to control the risk of infection. Most people I talk to had COVID and caught it off a vaccinated individual. The R value for the January outbreaks got to about 5. The vaccinations did nothing to even slow that down. The case numbers were high enough that it was physically impossible for the unvaccinated to be the main issue in the story, it was clear vaccinated->vaccinated transmission.

In 2020 pre-vaccine it was obvious that everyone was going to get COVID sooner or later. Now, in 2022 post-vaccine, it remains clear that everyone is going to get COVID sooner rather than later and the vaccine didn't change that. The unclear part is whether suspending all those basic political freedoms on the way through made sense.

[0] https://www.nsw.gov.au/covid-19/stay-safe/data-and-statistic...

[1] https://chrisbillington.net/COVID_NSW.html - State population of around 8 million, the case number records broke down sometime in January and has probably gotten progressively less reliable as time goes on as people get sick of reporting it.
That might be the case if supply was even close to demand, but at least in most parts of the US the demand outweighs the supply by several orders of magnitude. I don't see prices going down. They might go flat, but they'll never be lower than they are right now.
> negative effect on the community members.

You misspelled positive.
Most people refinanced low price mortgages.
We're all programmers? Ghidra is open source. Have at it?
This might be a bit esoteric but is WhatsApp the only such problems she's had?

On Reddit there is this group-stalking phenomenon where if someone (of limited maturity but rich in online contacts who seem to have nothing better to do with their time) for example disagrees with your post, they try to get their friends to get mods to ban you from subreddits by complaining of spam from your account via their inbox/messenger.

Failing that, they usually resort to bombarding Reddit with "concerns" about "wellbeing" which results in inboxes getting cluttered with "A concerned Reddit user reached out to us about your wellbeing" ...

I'm not saying it's that, but human spammers tend to work in networks that respond viciously to anything that messes with accounts they've set up as part of their networks, so if she reported them as spam and they somehow zeroed in on her or suspected her as one of the few possible causes of one of their accounts being flagged for spamming, perhaps they collectively retaliated against her out of spite?
Could you elaborate why? I’m finding the concept appealing, but would like to learn more about the tradeoffs.
Every drug overdose death hurts random innocents.
Well, a pretty high rate from 6 months ago might be a reasonable rate today?
I think it was also the first to see a HMAC timing side channel exploit in the wild.
Foone uses they/them pronouns.
It would be cool to have that on video to show them eventually.

If they're young enough, I'd do that!
> The houses sit empty

Who can afford to let a > $1 million USD asset sit idle? There is an opportunity cost to that. You also have to service any outstanding debt on the property and pay the property taxes. There are also life changes(i.e. retirement, illness, children, etc) which force relocations. The owner could try renting the unit, but that involves risk and still has issues with opportunity cost. What if the home sits idle and the owner relies on the income to afford a rental in another market?
Black Lives Matter merchandise
It seems a bit overkill to do this instead of just waiting 10 seconds to click on the little green button, but I suppose this is a viable alternative.
Against Cozy Catastrophies
You buy the CD (and give the issuer your money on deposit against the rate of 3.5%)
Then don't use it in the [insert warm place] ?

-20 C to 45 C might not cover every place on earth, but they cover a significant portion. If you had to design a first version of a product, in order to gauge interest of the market, wouldn't you have enough data point with these ? If the number one complaint is "operating temperatures are too narrow, I can't use it", I am pretty sure V2 will cover you.

On top of that, it's pretty safe to say that the true operating marking of the product are wider than that, but that significant safety margins are taken just to be sure a unit does not explode.
How is that any different than a regular business?
During total ego death (from quite a significant amount of shrooms) where I have totally forgotten who I am, where I physically was, that I am human, or where I came from, I thought to myself “do I exist?” shortly followed by “wow! I still have language! I must exist!”

Shrooms are wild.
If so, how does it play out in practice? Do people really make most things in a way that does not require hydration, or do they make simple text and forms a hydrated thing, that does not work without JS?
This is surely resume (or consultant) driven development in action. High Scalability™ is like an epic side quest in the game of making software. The final boss at the end of the quest, Yagni, can only be defeated by those who have reached a large enough scale already. Many attempt the side quest too early and as a result get so distracted that they suffer delays or even lose the whole game.
yeah, i was starting to feel queezy...
One of the reasons that they prefer not to have them linked here is that the discussion inevitably boils down to "why did they post this on twitter as a thread instead of making a blog post and writing it out long form." As well as complaints about them getting distracted.

It's just that the community here tends not to like twitter threads, but likes the content.
Most people would say that they should have more say about jobs versus community trade offs in their local area than folks somewhere else. It’s only due to accidents of history that New Yorkers can veto economic development in Alaska in a way Alaskans can’t do with New York. Not just due to numbers but due to the historical development of the relevant property rights.
Yep. We have come full circle. This is php with a better experience
That actually seems like a pretty low accident rate compared to the F-14... in the 80s it seemed like there were a half dozen lost every year
F150 is 98 kWh standard range, 131 extended. But the important point is this sentence:

Toyota explained that the system supports supplying power from hybrid electric vehicles

Presumably, this means you have a short, medium, and long option for emergency power:

- short: the battery

- medium: the battery + your car's battery

- long: use your ($25K) Prius as a gas generator to power your home for as long as necessary.

This seems like a more versatile setup than the e F150 at least for my use cases (rural WV -- power might be out for long periods but I can always get gas). It'll be interesting to see the price range of course, but this could be a good "mostly battery + gas if needed" backup option to compete with the diesel generator situation now. And of course the eF150 isn't really a good backup power (or transportation!) option in my case.

The eF150 generator use case always seemed like suburban prepper fantasy bullshit. The actual use case is for running power tools on site.
Black Hole Passing
> Amazingly, they left us alone.

One of the best things we adults can do for our kids, a lot of the time.
> To the skeptics in here: As someone who experienced long COVID for almost 12 months, the first problem is that most people won’t even get diagnosed with long COVID.

This is very much the case. A friend of mine has a bag of symptoms and the smallest hypothesis to explain them is long COVID. Or a sudden, but severe, onset, of several usually live long conditions like allergies and respiratory problems after a case of bad fevers. However, since they were never diagnosed with COVID, they will most likely never be diagnosed with long COVID. It's just a strange increase in respiratory problems in adults.
My impression is of post-apocalyptic survivalism. If you are installing renewables, it is because you will not be able to rely on anyone else in the world, for anything, forever; or anyway must never be obliged to.

Dependence upon imported oil, cars, aircraft, microchips, shop tools, home appliances, clothing, and ... everything, really ... has scarred them deeply, and they cannot consider entering into any new such arrangement.

One could ask, but I would expect only sputtering.
You're right; I haven't read the whole document. But I doubt it prohibits anodyne conversations with family members. And they explicitly said that a large number of people have complained about her account, and the ban stems from that.
The article mentions the tool `mptcpize` which converts TCP into MPTCP by hooking calls to the networking API.

With the tooling already there, I think this makes for an excellent use case for MPTCP.
Research on perfluorocarbons in humans progressed into several inventions. Being immersed is not one, but increasing air transfer within the lungs using a spray, reducing the impact of the bends through an injection, or reducing incidence of traumatic brain injuries due to swelling is a third.

There's quite a large group of doctors out there researching them.
> Fox's Tucker Carlson has gone against the system

I really don't like how MSM refuses to link to original sources. Here is a place that uploaded the video https://www.newsweek.com/fox-tucker-carlson-attacks-metric-s...