skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
It is not a moral statement, just lawbabble.
They still sell it, even better, now they sell a couple of them.
Yes you want the center of mass to be more forward than the center of lift. Otherwise, a small deviation in the pitch becomes hard to impossible to recover -- the system is unstable and stalls extremely easily. If that is a fighter plane of course you want that, so you make sure the opposite is true, and have a computer counteract that during normal flight.
You are misunderstanding conditional probability. You keep doubling down on the idea that the alternative scenarios don’t matter, but this is mistaken. They very much matter. They are the crux of how Monty Hall “works”.

Bayes’ theorem is the relevant piece of information here. It tells us the relationship between a conditional probability and the information you have. Specifically, the probability of P(door 3 has the prize | host opened door 2 and found a goat) depends in a very important way on P(host opened door 2 and found a goat). You are acting as though it does not, that only the specific current state matters. This is the cause of your confusion: everyone else is working out the conditional probabilities and you are declaring them irrelevant.

The key is that if the host doesn’t know where the prize is, he can’t avoid picking the door its behind. This changes the probability that he would open that door and reveal a goat in the first place, and how that relates to the various places the prize could be. It would be really strange if the host’s behavior were in some way controlled by the location of the prize and this didn’t give you additional information on that location.

To spell it out:

You choose door 1, the prize is behind door 3, host opens door 2

Prop A: the prize is behind door 3

Prop B: the host opens door 2 and found a goat

P(A|B) = P(B|A)P(A) / P(B)

P(A) = 1/3 in either scenario

In regular Monty Hall, the host will open door 2 always if the prize is behind 3, and half the time it is behind 1. So:

P(B) = (1/2)(1/3) + 1/3 = 1/2

P(B|A) = 1

Thus P(A|B) = (1/3)/(1/2) = 2/3. You’ll recognize this as the answer to Monty Hall. Note that conditional probability is foundational to how we got that answer.

Let’s try with the new rules. The host can pick either door, whether it has a goat or not. He can do this because he doesn’t even know which door is which. The host opens 2 half the time. 2/3 of the time he picks that, the prize is not behind it, so he finds a goat.

P(B) = (1/2)(2/3) = 1/3

P(B|A) = 1/2

P(A|B) = (1/3)(1/2)/(1/2) = 1/2
> is there any logical reason why it's being removed?

Yes. The versions they shipped with macOS were typically outdated, and shipping them with macOS would basically mean that they only get updated with macOS, so a lot of people were/are running old and vulnerable versions of those tools, and they decided to scrap them altogether.
Jay-Z and Jack Dorsey launched a Bitcoin academy in a public housing complex
> Tangential, but are fines from FCC, SEC, etc a violation of the “innocent until proven guilty” principle?

I believe that you can take these kinds of things to trial in federal court, if you so wish (I'm pretty sure companies take stuff from the SEC to court all the time).

However, for the FCC to actually smack you down, you generally have done something egregiously stupid and they explicitly told you to stop and you ignored them and they have you dead to rights.

So, you can take it to court. Your probability of winning is just realy, really, really low.
> That's not historically accurate.

It is historically completely accurate, as lived by the brother of my grandfather who was one of those forced laborers. Never saw a judge or a court.

> Countries can make whatever laws they want.

They can, but if lawless and brazen enough they can also 'convince' you of anything regardless of laws, which is what often happened. Written laws were not worth very much back then.

> I grew up with the same Cold War info like everyone else

Born on the oppposite side of the Iron Curtain, I did not grow up with the same Cold War info like you, I presume.

> but comparing that to the Spanish conquest of the Americas is night and day

It really is not. Just the Holodomor killed millions of people and that is just an episode.
I agree with Tom: a well functioning eng org allows engineers to fix critical bugs without going through a bureaucracy. This empowers the engineers and makes them a product owner as well, though you need good engineers who care.

If you force every little bug to go through the product manager, you take time away from the PM to do big picture things by forcing them to track every little thing that's broken, and create a lot of friction for even the littlest bug to be squashed. This fosters an eng culture of "not my problem," which leads to bugs slipping through the cracks for years.
I think you're sweeping a ton of valuable applications under the rug by saying "few applications besides the classical ones" ?
Like celery by itself or like celery with MQ batteries included?

That'd be something.. with the batteries.
It's a less prescriptive sentiment than that.

It's your right to not be excited about cryptocurrency, and your reasoning is fair enough. Also, the article does a good job of clearing up misinformation about what cryptocurrency is intrinsically incapable of. I don't think those two things are in conflict.
Ah, Gaming companies... I remember moving from Eastern Europe to UK, and getting an offer lower than back home. In London!

An the job isn't that good even.

Can somebody explain all the kids that scripting an off the shelf 3d engine is not really fun?
Was a good program when i used it many years ago. If i look at the past, GUI designers shall look at popular file sharing programs to learn how a good GUI looks like and what features are needed.
Exactly.

Microsoft stock is basically fungible whereas houses and most other real-world property very much are not.
I don't click Medium or Substack links anymore. I know they won't load on my mobile phone.
> Cost-per-use by itself is fairly meaningless, costs needs to be compared against value-per-use.

That implies the only alternative is not doing things? You can just order a taxi?

I think for many car users the total 'cost per use' of their car exceeds the average taxi fare they'd pay for those journeys.

Nevermind considering public transportation.
Elk river Idaho is a tiny town surrounded by mountains and wilderness on all four sides, if he was set up with a company banner at the local airfield it was probably very obvious.
By mistakes, I mean you can’t make an incorrect cut without real cost. You can’t edit the mistake. There’s no undo. It costs real money.
He has since try his luck on the recently held 2022 general election as a new party but lost.
Curbing the Growing Power Needs of Machine Learning
A light weight site run on a traditional web host is fine for most use cases early on in my opinion. The problem is so many people think of costly cloud hosting as the first move and burn up all their capital even before they reach 10k users.

That is why the dot com era was more fruitful. People started in their basement, and service outages were not a big deal... Heck, service outages were often the thing that spurred more interest in products and also spurred users to invest so that products could scale.
It is. I mean there's plenty of other software out there. Cloudflare has a blog about it. I tested wrk on CloudFront and they really do count Every. Single. Request. It's insane, but I don't think it's common enough to really hear about it. Cloudflare doesn't protect against DDoS for the most part though. Spamming a non-cached content on an average Cloudflare site is enough to crush it. Especially if you're logged in already. As much as these services claim to do, they really don't without extra fees and complex configuration.

TL;DR Do your own content distribution and app firewall solution. It's cheaper and it'll perform better. That's why Facebook and the big guys aren't using cloud services. Even Google uses their own private networks. CDN's are a scam if they're charging per request.
> Or what if you get paralyzed and have no need for durable shoes?

While this is possible, I don't think that's really something you can go about with your life. Shit luck does happen. But you can keep your boots away from your dog.

You should acknowledge black swans, but you shouldn't plan your entire life around accounting for them.
> Always think in absolute dollars and not in rates. $1000 is $1000 whether the cost per use is pennies or tens of dollars. Thinking in terms of rates is how people would fall for predatory installment purchases in the old days (you can have a new computer for just $2.5 a day!)

It depends on the opportunity cost. If you can get a house for 3600 a month, and the house appreciates in value in excess of the discount rate, then it's worth it to purchase that house.
*inaccurate

;)
Meta has stopped developing its Apple Watch rival
Look up land registration. These databases have been around for centuries.
> Imagine having to stop work every few hours to hone the edge on an IDE that’s gone blunt.

So emacs?
Also shoutout to https://github.com/sissbruecker/linkding which is a nice self hosted bookmarks service that I've been using over the past one year or so.
This in particular has been in the news:

https://www.natlawreview.com/article/fifth-circuit-decision-...
If he sells a lot of Tesla stock it could cause a run. If he does it with a pretence he might avoid the run and preserve his stock price.
Don’t be pedantic, they are synonymous.

In American English there is a convention where different terms are preferred for different types, but even then a jail is not just pre-trial. [1]

I think the main point of the parent was the problem of societies that like to start inflicting punishment on people accused of crimes even before they are sentenced, as a response to the great grandparent which talked specifically about being sentenced.

1. https://www.expertlaw.com/library/criminal-law/what-differen...
i don't think you've given enough details.

i say stay.
I’m glad to see I’ve brought the emacs/vim people together for a common purpose!
> Still, only 16% of Germany's total energy consumption comes from renewables:

Sure but this has nothing to do with nuclear.

Germany heats with gas and oil. We don't even have 5% electrical heating here.

> In particular, giving up the ability to smooth out variations in production without the use of fossil fuels will be extremely costly,

It's not even close to how costly nuclear is and will continue to be for GENERATIONS.

Germany is connected to the most stable continental grid on this planet. Something other "developed" countries like the US can only dream of. Germany has been expanding their national grid and will continue to do so. Also we have build up renewable energy for the whole world. Paying for it. So don't worry. We'll manage. It's the rest of the world you have to worry about since they're stuck in the past. Especially France with their single source which is a rotting fleet run by a bankrupt state company eating up taxpayer money with no end in sight.
Actually that's exactly what it means. Investments are measured in Rate of Return on Investment - the time to break even. Because the sooner you get your money back, the sooner you can re-invest it.
Sugrue is great. His YouTube lectures are fantastic.
Sriracha didn’t exist before the (Vietnamese-) American sauce.
Great article but let's get real, a great deal of the cryptocurrency criticism is rationalization. HN recently revealed the true motivation behind much of it[0]:

> It's less that I'm glad the market is crashing, and more that I'm glad that the insufferable crypto bros are finally getting a punch to the mouth. Seriously, these people are the worst. Your average "crypto investor" has no skills, no mathematical foundations, nothing. Except for pure stupid luck, and the ability to spew inane crypto babble 24/7. And yes, they think they are much smarter than you, because they achieved better financial results than you did while only doing 1/1000 of the work to get there. I truly hate the fact that these people are so rich. It makes me want to move to Alaska and just try to ignore society for the rest of my days.

> This came off as pretty bitter. I apologize, but I am bitter, and I'm having a shit couple weeks.

[0] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=31356857
I laughed the first time I made an airplane with the centre of mass behind the centre of lift in Kerbal Space Program.
Owning a piece of Enron through the S&P500, and actively buying shitcoins is quite a big difference.
it seems a very expensive way to buy information, he could have just offered them 10 million for the data as to how many bots they have.
You need to cd src; ./confugure ; ... (install 20 libraries with dependencies); ./configure; make ; su make install
> Many real world systems are "nearly trustless"…

> But in the 99%+ of times you're in the happy path, economic transactions occur based on autonomous rules encoded in software.

In the happy path, people just “trust” that the system works; that the merchant and cc company transact properly, that cc company and bank work together, that the software underpinning all this is tested and has no errors, that the bank and cc company can help in disputes of fraud from the merchant…

It’s actually based on a lot more trust than the normal person realizes and polar opposite to nearly trustless.
>If whales are using their songs to communicate with one another, they are doing so not just across space but also across time. A call made by a humpback near Bermuda would take twenty minutes to reach a humpback swimming off the coast of Nova Scotia. If the Canadian whale answered immediately, it would be forty minutes before the Bermuda whale heard back.

So whales aren't speaking on the phone, they send mail. :)
So it wouldn't be helpful if he told them the firemen were working over a live gas line or that there were a dozen schoolchildren trapped in a fire?

I get that he was probably a nuisance, I just think it is absurd that everyone here is speaking as if they have perfect certainty.

I guess the moral is never talk to cops, even if it would save lives.
Ok, I think I see what you're saying. I would definitely expect the expanded market for modern blockbusters to be a big factor in driving the upward budget trend. As you say (I think), most or all of the different production departments will then get a bigger piece of pie.
> Now instead of directly transacting at the very low-tech county property registrar

I think you've overlooked this in the grandparent, because you've probably never had the experience of going to a low-tech county property registrar's office to pull a record.

> it's the absolute ton of bureaucracy and paper-shuffling that takes several weeks

Of course, but so much of that bureaucracy is about being risk-adverse. I really do have to take my shoes off at the airport because somebody tried to wear explosive shoes once, about 20 years ago.

So, yes it's the "ton of bureaucracy and paper-shuffling that takes several weeks", but that doesn't really address what's going on. Our governments will easily adopt new technologies when they're simple.

If minting officially signed records is as cheap and easy on-chain as it looks like it's going to be, it would be silly not to use the technology, even if you think government should have been the entity to build and maintain it.

> Choosing blockchain + API vs DB + API here doesn't address that.

This whole class of technology precisely addresses that.

It removes the "who has to build and maintain this DB and keep access to it forever" step, which is pretty significant for important records.

Literal teenagers can buy and sell pictures of apes easier than I can prove to a mortgage company that I own my residence. Something isn't right there, and I don't think it's the children and their fancy record keeping that's wrong.

When the intern at a county clerk's office somewhere in the middle of the country says "hey boss, let's mint NFTs for these records, it costs about a penny each and I can set up the computer to do it as a summer project", that's about the threshold we need for widespread local government adoption.
The brainwashed cannot know they are brainwashed. So they feeling might be in the other way: They know the truth and you are brainwashed.

I bet you and many HNer's won't be able to understand what I said. There is another saying: The new version of Nazi will be reincarnated as anti-Nazi which might or might not be true.

Human has nature cognitive defects caused by the evolution not being able to catch up the pace of changing society. It causes conflicts, war and even self destruction.

Edit/Fix:was

Human has nature cognitive defects caused by not being able to catch up the pace of evolution.
Space debris threatens modern life
I would say it's worse than a dark pattern. It's fraud. They say if you create a free account you'll be able to read the article, but then when you create the free account, you still can't read the article.
No, I'm not basing it off that tweet. I'm basing it off (summaries of) his interview on the podcast "All-In" from mid-May.
The Wall Street bet Reddit thread basically does the opposite of what Cramer advices and I’m starting consider doing so as well.
Where I work, we kind of organically setup two different teams: the ones who move ahead, go fast and make new stuff, and the ones who stay behind slowly cleaning the mess the first ones did years ago.

Ideally you rotate people between the two teams. And you adjust the number of people when the ones ahead create too much to clean up.

The problem with complexity is that it doesn’t come out of nowhere, it mostly comes from changing requirements. So it inevitably is always cheaper to hack a system to do something it was almost meant to do than to figure out where in the original design things need to change for the new stuff to be supported.
You're pretty quick to act like there is a lot of blame to be allocated, but GTA 5 is arguably the most successful game in history. With games that truly have technical problems so bad they ruin the game, people don't complain - they just don't play it.

Maybe a long load time just wasn't that important for the success of GTA.
Drupal has been solid. It needs a good developer who knows how to architect it properly so that it endures.

Wordpress has been overrun by paid modules, which contradicts most of the benefits of it being open source. It also has had far too many security breakdowns. Paid modules are also now developed on Wordpress to break on updates, the eco-system at Wordpress needs serious attention.
Write-once physical storage?
If you haven’t read it, I recommend: https://www.gutenberg.org/files/6949/6949-h/6949-h.htm
You can guarantee whatever quality you want, though, which is nice. You'll know for sure whether corners were cut or material substituted, and if you do do that you'll know it was done as an explicit trade-off that you made.
> People don't throw away foreign currency

Are you sure? If I find a single bill from a random country I assume the worth isn't a whole lot. Such bills get stashed in the souvenir box which may or may not be thrown out at any point when space runs out.

> I don't follow any of your reasoning here

I don't think the birth certificate analogy is that hard to follow. It's easier to hold onto a US-letter-sized document than it is to save a single bill that you should not place in a wallet.
> That's quite the non-sequitor

Is it? If nuclear is indeed able to throttle output up and down to match demand - or perhaps we should say, to match spot pricing(!) - why on Earth would we need to fix a minimum price for decades in advance in order to attract investment to build new ones?

"Given its commitment to building Hinkley Point C, the [UK] government had no choice but to make EDF an offer that was too good to resist. It offered to guarantee EDF a fixed price for each unit of energy produced at Hinkley for its first 35 years of operation. In 2012, the guaranteed price – known as the 'strike price' – was set at £92.50 per megawatt hour (MWh), which would then rise with inflation. (One MWh is roughly equivalent to the electricity used by around 330 homes in one hour.) This means that if the wholesale price of electricity across the country falls below £92.50, EDF will receive an extra payment from the consumer as a 'top-up' to fill the gap. This will be added to electricity bills around the country – even if you aren’t receiving electricity from Hinkley Point C, you will still be making a payment to EDF."[0]

[0] https://www.theguardian.com/news/2017/dec/21/hinkley-point-c...
Oh gosh how does anything in the world work today without the blockchain
If the Canadian government suddenly grows some skepticism, they can just take the money and continue to shovel more funds at Telesat, which is now about 7 years behind schedule on its starlink-competitor LEO network.
> With your phone, if all you care about is texting and making calls, yeah, you're not getting any added value paying more.

If that's all you care about, paying $400 like I do is silly - you can get it much cheaper.

The $400 phone I get takes fairly good photos (it's one of my main criteria in deciding on phones). Sure, if I want great photos, I'll have to pay more. I've decided that an extra $1100 over 3 years is not worth it for the marginal improvements in photo quality. But I know for some people it is, and that's fine.

Regarding the boots, we're both saying the same thing, which I think is not what the author is saying: You're fixing a time interval (e.g. 30 years), and calculating that it's cheaper to get the expensive boots vs the cumulative cost of cheap shoes in that time period.

When you fix the time interval (e.g. 30 years), comparing rates vs comparing absolute totals is equivalent.[3] What I typically see is that people take this equivalence and begin to compare against different time intervals (option X is for 2 years, option Y is for 5 years). This is what leads to so many silly blog posts saying you'll never get a better investment than your employer's ESPP benefit, because you get a huge return.[1][2]

In any case, the author isn't using the Boots Theory. He's looking at cost per use - and not utility/cost as a whole.

[1] https://thefinancebuff.com/employee-stock-purchase-plan-espp...

[2] I'm pro ESPP - but looking at those claimed return numbers is almost useless. It's trivial to make more money with, say, a mere 5% annualized return.

[3] When comparing investments, you also need the same input. It starts getting messy - which is why the standard advice is to convert to absolute dollars and compare.
Why it sucks? They are doing you the service, you just don't realize it. Each new Windows upgrade brings more disadvantages/limitations than advantages. I'm using W10 and I guess that will be my last one, when I installed new OS on other laptop I went for 8.1, if I installed new OS on my main laptop I would probably go for W7 or at worst W8.1, those two were peak Windows, it's all downhill since then.
>(If you have cookies enabled on all websites by default maybe it would decrement, but you really shouldn't.)

That's a very rare configuration. You should have instead said "if you clear your cookies, you can read as many articles as you want".
Always appreciate control theory articles. But this one needs some editing. Take ice cream example;that is not zero dynamics that's still pretty much convolution. Now zero dynamics examples must have no effect on the system. Thus it is not a zero if you continuously chugging ice cream. It is indeed a step input that you equilibriate at a constant ice cream input and some happiness comes out constantly. The moment you stop happiness goes away. That is not related to zero.

Also a pure zero action is supposed to cancel the input completely. Not at first but completely (restricting the discussion to linear systems).

Zeros effects are not so trivial to untangle as the article suggests unfortunately but fun read anyways and very nice flow.
CPU Utilization Heatmap