skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Real estate will not crash anywhere near 35%. Even before Covid, housing economists have been warning for a decade that we’ve spent the entirety of the 2010s underbuilding housing[1]. Against that we have huge demographic demand from Gen Z reaching prime home buying years.

People who aren’t familiar with the underlying fundamentals of the housing market assume the Covid boom was a RE bubble. In reality it was just demand getting pulled forward. A generation of new entrants played musical chairs to grab a house before the supply ran out. 28-year olds who were waiting until they were 35, moved out of city apartments to grab suburban SFHs because they were afraid of being priced out of the market forever.

Those same people, sitting on cheap mortgages, aren’t going to sell their house to move back to the city, just to buy a house again at a much higher price in a few years. Covid compressed 7 years of price appreciation into 2, but these prices are the new normal.

[1] https://www.freddiemac.com/perspectives/sam-khater/20210415-...
I think this is fair. Part of the issue is as the number of users increase, the support staff has to increase, which in turn would increase the "attack surface" where a support staff might go rouge etc, and cost also increases probably super-linearly.

Google took the opposite approach and delegated everything to automation, which had other problems.

Being a paid user also probably helps with contractual side of things, but ianal.

Everything here is my personal opinion if it weren't clear.
I moved to London at 30 and I've made a handful of new, close friendships through people I worked with. I'd recommend going to work events, work socials, and making plans with people. And saying yes to social opportunities whenever they come up. London's a great city for socialising and has a work culture based on it. A lot happens midweek, and many people leave the city from Friday and head back to the home counties at that age. There's a lot of people in a similar position to you, I wouldn't worry too much, it just requires the effort and putting in some time with people.
I imagine OP was talking about the odd marriage of crypto tech and VC business, which as you also noted, is a shitshow.

But even though I do see value in BTC, it is hardly going well, and I don't mean the price.
I play classical and jazz (which extends to every other genre), and while I think eye contact is somewhat overrated, it is so vastly more important to establish communication "out of the page" in classical music due to the many many more ritardandos, accelerandos, tempo changes, subdivision changes, meter changes, cessuras, fermatas, and the list goes on, all not uncommonly happening in the same movement of a larger work. The only genre that could exceeds what classical music requires would have to be the many more rhythmically complex world music traditions. What I see on a daily basis in popular music or even jazz doesn't hold a candle to any of those.
America has always had huge amounts of immigration though. The entire country is built on it, just like other former British subjects like Australia and New Zealand. I'm genuinely unsure who has to get on board given that most Americans can trace heritage to immigrants? We're not talking about unskilled or illegal labour.
*For executive staff - headline should be updated.

This is normal and understandable - if you work in a position of leadership in any company where a large part of the workforce need to be onsite (eg: a factory or another manufacturing type environment), then it's a huge morale thing if your bosses are simply never around.

If you've never worked in this type of company, either as a line-worker or in management, you won't understand this, as your frame of reference is our wonderfully comfortable tech-only remote-always orgs. This simply isn't possible for most other businesses where being onsite with your human reports is highly important since they themselves cannot work remote.
I've been doing a small project in SolidJS recently and really enjoying it. It is a lot easier to reason about than React. My only complaint is that the router is kind of alpha and a moving target, so the examples are now out of date with the latest version. Also, like most open source projects, the documentation is lacking in a lot of ways. That said, if you know React and you're not doing anything too complicated, I highly recommend it.
Not entirely related, but I always like to take a moment to remind everyone to download their Google backup codes as they are the only way to recover your account if anything goes wrong.
> I'd still be up from when I bought it.

I’ve had similar thoughts, but then I realized there’s substantial inflation that seems to be sticking around for the foreseeable future. So even though certain assets I have are where they used to be 2-3 years ago, that’s in nominal dollars, not real dollars.
The more and more I grow older I think these types of forums are pure unreadable garbage.

There are nuggets of great information and wisdom here and there, but the people that dish that out aren't commenting that often. However; you have no way of knowing if a given poster- most of the posters you are reading from- have any fucking idea what they are talking about. I'm reminded of being told not to believe anything you read on the internet by my elders in the early 2000s...

Instead what I find is that I'm participating in a massive maw of negativity and panic, almost a desired state of entropy and failure. I think it May Be Time To Stop Posting. I think I'll keep my head down and do my best to keep food on the table instead.
> removed the line about replying Unknown to trick questions

Did you need to remove this because it identified your question as a trick question? If so, doesn’t that indicate that the model does in fact know the difference?
I was just illustrating the normal circumstance delete is used. But there is no reason a delete can’t be used any time on an active domain.

All I can say is read the rfc or take my word for it, I’ve run a registrar.
I love the idea but this is poised to be limited only to my use. I can't get my wife and kids to do the same. Platform wins, if we're on iOS, the best calendar is the one that will sync across our events, period.

Additionally this is not a great format for recurrence, which has to be done manually, reminders(nil), notifications, change tracking (without git), location information and you're obviously at the mercy of typos.
From what I understand, the way it usually works is that LPs don't give the VC funds all of the money upfront. They pay in a portion, and then the VCs have the ability to subsequently make "capital calls" up to the total commitment value.

If the market is really bad, you could see LPs start to default on these capital calls. There are consequences to doing this, so this isn't a likely scenario, but it could happen in a worst-case scenario.
That is what backfills are for :)
This sucks balls. Sorry.
I had similar things happen in the past with Twitter and Google.
The problem with these giant tech companies is that we are products, not customers. And so because of that, they don't give a shit.
Hope you resolve it.
I’d been active-ish in US-RSE and worked at a national lab for 10+ years. I left about a half year ago for a position at a FANG-ish company.

My pay was almost doubled (after counting bonus) and with RSUs it’s double+.

I could have squeezed out another $XXk maybe when I left the national lab system, should I had stayed.

The biggest reasons I left were as follows:

1. Too much legacy responsibility. Legacy responsibility is usually underfunded or unfunded but “important”. It’s a lot of work to keep the lights on. NASA usually handles this with contractors which are usually paid even less than a National Lab person.

2. Bifurcation at the lab towards very large projects or very small projects. Not a lot of stuff in the $250MM to $750MM which is large enough to have an effective team and go full time, but small enough to not be anonymous/matrixed out to subprojects. The high end is a very funny place

3. Related to (2) is not enough new blood or turnover. This may be a good thing but you can be hired as a junior engineer and end up as a senior engineer without anybody below you for years. Getting an intern is a dark art if your not a staff scientist

4. Institutional BS. Looking at you, security drones with professional certificates running qualys/nessus scans. and you too, data center people afraid of the cloud.

Some to zero agility in terms of compute - everything is a nail and slurm is your hammer

The university-based RSEs complain a lot about not being respected/publishing. I never really had that issue much specifically, but that may be because there’s a stronger understanding of value in the national lab system. On the other hand, poor leadership/project management means you may still be at the whim of an idiot, servicing their desire for some crappy web app project. In those cases, it’s best to ignore.

I will probably go back after some time when I’m throughly annoyed by BigCorp. In the mean time, it’s fine on the other side and at least I don’t have to patch Jenkins every two weeks.
Canoe and kayak strokes are different because kayak strokes alternate sides. The recovery of one kayak stroke is the same motion as the beginning of the next. Whereas a canoe stroke has a more linear progression of phases since there is one blade. Each forward stroke fully completes, and you reset before taking the next.

Power/endurance for kayak strokes comes from the lower core: the obliques and lower back muscles. The muscles you would use to twist from side to side about your spine. Imagine laying on your back with your legs sticking straight up; now keep both shoulder blades against the floor while you swing your legs from side to side. Those are the muscles for kayaking.

A smooth kayak stroke looks like the balance wheel in a mechanical wristwatch, smoothly swinging back and forth with no hitch or pause. The body doesn’t pitch forward or backward, just twists.
But I do know people who have designed systems to make it more difficult for those 0.01% of people to contact a human or get anything done about it because that increases their profits.

Okay, maybe you're fine that some amount of people are just collateral and the system is not going to be adjusted to minimize that because there are other priorities (eg. meta's share price).

But when people need to spread their wings and fly off in to a fantasy world in order to pretend that isn't happening, then it's probably not going to end well for them / be conducive to their mental health in the long run.
Having a browser that can natively “render” a SQLite file is actually an amazing idea. Some default table-like representation along with a cli would be killer.
Interviewing the Guarneri quartet is about the most extreme example they could've found in this regard. They are one of the most longstanding and in lockstep chamber ensembles on the planet. Most chamber groups engage in enough eye contact to get them through changing elements of a piece, like ritardandos, accelerandos, fermatas, etc.
A good tale can tempt us to forget the truth about markets
Supreme Court blocks Texas law on social media censorship
I suppose in this case a "correction" is a crash of some form. A fundamental shift, and Agreed there's no basis for a fundamental problem.

Valuations are too high so a "30% hair cut" is warranted, but something like "ninja" loans or IPO'ed tech companies with 0 revenue isn't a thing right now.

There were market wide fundamental issues that cause huge shifts. This simply missing this time. The VC space isn't wallstreet and it definitely isn't mainstreet. Even if a crypto+vc crash happened, we'd only be in "haircut" not full on crash as a general populous.
I'm more thinking of factoids like "the top X% have Y% of the wealth." People find these to be profoundly illustrative about the state of the world, justice, and policy, and aren't normally placated by the information that this is paper money or that the inequality in actual consumption is much lower. If for example housing collapses relative to stocks, the world will seem a much darker place, at least to the extent that you think these stats indicate the kind of place the world is.
A can't collapse to sixty. It could still be 30, 60 or 120. The expected value calculation includes the value of A as defined in two different worlds: the world in which A/2 (30) and the world in which 2A (120).

But these two worlds never exist together. They are different realities. We can't determine which of them we are in without more information.

Trying to do so is an error, because we are in multiple subgames simultaneously. In imperfect information games you are already in more than one world. You are in the reality A and counterfactual 2A and you are in the reality 2A and counterfactual A. You can't tell which. You're in both.

In perfect information, you're not in both, so you can do this case based reasoning and not run into as much trouble. But when you're already in both worlds? Well doing the case based reasoning implies that the counterfactual world = the case based world. Its overwriting that part of the equations. Which means you just accidentally declared that either A/2=A or that 2A=A. That 2=1. You do this because you're still in the counterfactual reality, but you're pretending you are not.
That's because everyone in those groups backing them up had to keep their eyes glued on them!
Disappointing, but not surprising. Fingers crossed for the similar pending federal and state bills.
How is TC at Tesla, it it high enough to make these sort of statements digestable?
You never "own" a domain. You just rent it from a registrar, who had permission from ICANN to let you rent it. There is no "good" that you can take with you when you give a registrar money for a domain.
The UI of this game makes you appreciate how much of a technical achievement Wordle is.
This is cool, when it talks about packaging, I was reminded of statifier. It would take a dynamically linked ELF executable and package everything up into a single binary. I last used in the early 2000s, but it looks like it had an update as recently as 2016.

https://sourceforge.net/projects/statifier/
It's terrible if you ever want to move and market rents don't cover the mortgage
> Those 3 thing are basically what most people look for in a job.

When you put it that way, it makes it so clear why nobody wants to sign up

(BTW I'm the same way, would love to work on research, especially if it is something which could improve people's lives, but I'd have a hard time switching for these reasons)
In my experience, it's the opposite, contractors are the easiest option for companies to cut to reduce cost and headcount, unless the person is in a key/vital role. They tend to be more expensive than permanent staff, and have shorter notice periods.
I bought my Legion 7 in singapore and ordered a new keyboard in Taiwan for the Taiwan keyboard for typing Chinese.

I replace the ram/ssd/wifi in my X1 Extreme Gen 1. And ordered a speaker from Lenovo to replace it.

Yes it’s more complicated to repair. But look at the hardware you get in the form factor compared to the framework.
Don't sweat it. This pain will be at the top and by the more senior folks.
I got into the business in 02 at a startup. Moral was low, lots of folks had seen their options become worthless and extreme growth had stopped.
Once the frat party was over, just as the post said, the company had to learn how to live off the land. So while it wasn't easy doing more with less, working with smart people that were forced to be ingenuitive was invaluable.
The other positive with starting out in a rough patch is you'll get to learn what to be skeptical of during those quartly earnings calls (there are only so many times EBITDA adjusted ARPU can be said before you start to wonder why there's little talk about profit)

I guess what I'm saying is, you're going to be OK, the bits still need to flow, servers will still need to scale and software won't write itself.
Where do you find these jobs? And are they only available at Universities? I'd be happy to take the pay cut to work on something that contributes more to society than getting people to click on ads, but not at a college or university.
I heartily agree. Climate change isn't about a gentle 2 degree rise in temperatures. It is about 2 degrees over the whole damn planet being a LOT of energy and it isn't distributed evenly. This means more extreme weather events - both cold and hot - than we have been historically used to.

Electrical distribution will have to get better to keep expected reliability. Or if you are cynical about the prospects of that actually occurring, you cover your own needs.
Metamask can sign data, which would help you prove the user has the private for a given public key.
You do not need the blockchain.

The chrome extension to cryptography would help - but we have FIDO that does exactly that (and webauthn i guess).
May Update: Worth the Wait
Underground 80s has been my favourite station for years.
According to a quick search for the case of researchers, and the stereotype of most staff in academia across the board being underpaid, this means academic researchers would have even less incentives/perks/reward, because now they have one less beneficial status differential.

Is there some way to make human respect feel like it's not a zero sum game? The world may never know.
> There are FAR more non-ads people than there are ads people.

Not to be terribly facetious, but ads pay the bills. I'm not aware of any significant money-making ventures Meta is involved in outside of ads. In the end, that makes all employees "ads people". All ventures, projects, features, enhancements, and bug fixes are to serve the ads machine. Unless, of course, there is legitimately a new market opportunity that will create revenue without ads.

Even the Oculus arm of the company is really just a new platform for ads in the end.
Science needs more "technicians" of all types, and less PhD students. Good luck making that transformation though.
It’s not hypothetical that a person would buy a pickup truck and expect to use it at all, heheh. You chose to reframe it as “the person is exclusively relying on this grid-tied vehicle for all their transportation needs as well”, which is framing an argument I did not make. I think that’s some kind of rhetorical fallacy on your part.

Please help me to recontextualize such an inane counter. It’s like you have no response at all and just reframe things so you’ll have something to refute.

That’s dishearteningly dishonest for HN.
I'm not sure where you live, but where I'm from, the hip leverage of.choice was to take HELOCs (home equity line of credit), which a lot of people use to extract the "value" they have in their homes to help fund their lavish unsustainable lifestyles. The sh*t hits the bricks and their houses are underwater, they're now basically double screwed because the home is worth way less and they can no longer extract money from the home (possibly being unrecoverable crippled in debt)... It'll get real bad really fast if we're in for a notable correction.
Challenge that might make the omega more preferable: define an omega usable with strict evaluation similar to the relationship of the Z combinator for the Y along with the corresponding polyvadic combinator using the X combinator ref http://www.cs.uu.nl/research/techreps/repo/CS-1989/1989-14.p...
Like self destructing object that is provable secure after a read x times seems interesting outside DRM.

For example a lot newer military hardware uses software to be more effective. So if the gear has to be abandoned for some reason a secure erase sounds useful.

How much better than is than current solution of a chip on a glass substrate storing a crypto key with a heating elements or explosive to shatter it dunno. Although glass being brittle makes making sure it does not break accidentally has design challenges.

Polymers tend to be more durable.
Fortunately, we don't use sound to propagate signal across long distances, so Jamulus/Sonobus is actually a thing.
If a company's answer to 100K of its users having insolvable problems is "it's scale, deal with it", maybe that company has no business being so large. And yes, that applies to Google and all the others as well.
Nothing about Musk has ever been digestible, he's just removed the thin layer of veneer that wowed so much of SF/SV for the past couple decades.
Berkeley Sprite, ~1991: https://www2.eecs.berkeley.edu/Research/Projects/CS/sprite/s...

Everything that wasn't immediately successful is tried again in 15 years. This is why the old farts on your project are grumpy about 'new' things that... aren't.
Thankfully, with cloudflare offering 10 year renewal terms, things are much better these days. You could bet prices fall and go year by year but given inflationary pressures, it almost certainly seems to be a good deal to do a 1
The other side of "We need software engineers in research" is surely the botched covid model from Imperial College way back at the beginning of the pandemic. The group that produced it had the audacity to complain that the software industry didn't make C++ foolproof enough, and it was our fault that the modelling was wrong.

This shows the attitude that some folks in these places have - what you do is easy, and rather than your industry being exceptional as a profession that makes its tools open and shares knowledge openly, you are at fault for releasing things which I can get wrong.

"Scientists" in this view are smart people, and anything you lesser mortals do should be obvious to them immediately, or it must be your fault. Training and experience be damned.

I'd hate to work anywhere where that attitude was prevalent, or even really existed at all. And yes I realise that non-software folks often hate to work with us because of the exact same thing!
I don’t agree at all. Linux was fairly ubiquitous even in the late 90s. For example the entire line of Cobalt server appliances were Linux based, and they were a favorite in colos and shared hosting.
But there's more to a Linux distribution than just the kernel, and a lot of the other pieces aren't copyleft, so Red Hat can change the license, but they choose to keep them open source anyway.
I think that as well as having something like Crev for distributed code reviews / audits, it makes sense to have some sort of Web Of Trust system for letting entities say who they trust (and how much they trust them).

There's a big difference between some unknown anonymous person being one of 100 contributors to an important free software package (and their work being signed off by two lead developers), and this unknown anonymous person suddenly taking over complete ownership of a package that they've bought off a burnt-out developer.

It should be possible to programmatically distinguish those two cases without even having to abandon the idea that people can contribute to free software anonymously, but the process for someone to bootstrap a certain level of trust might be difficult without more of a culture of mentorship, or businesses adopting the process of cryptographically vouching for their employees (and not revoking that vouching when the employees change job).
I always hear this about Google making it difficult and scary but that has never been my experience. There are a couple of warnings when you 1st install an app through a 3rd party app store but I wouldn't classify them close to be aggressive or overly scary.
wrongly?
It doesn't help sell ads if there's nobody to sell ads to.

But the "monetizable eyeballs" are interchangeable, 100% so.
Absolutely, but I will give them the hand that achieving a good software dev experience is extremely hard inside a uni. There is a number of ways that they need to match the industry and are having a tough time doing so due to the institutionalization of all the adjacent processes.
Is my dog too cold? How cold is too cold for a walk?