skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
I think this, because I disagree with most people here about what the actual paradox is.

I think the paradox is that the algorithm equates the expected value of the contents of an envelope with the expected value of a policy choice for a player. When I correct what I feel is the root of the paradox, my solution drastically differs in fundamental ways such that the way the problem restricts to pointing out the wrong step feels disingenuous.

The entire structure is wrong, because even if you do correct the error that leads to the wrong EV for the envelope, you still haven't resolved the paradox. The right probabilities don't resolve the paradox, because they still imply that always switching has the same EV as not switching. If they were really equal, I could always choose switch, but I can't - so the paradox is still there.

My resolution ends up being so critical of their argument that the entire way they go about solving gets thrown out. I end up seeing, not just a specific wrong EV calculation, but a decision problem that is just fundamentally using an inappropriate algorithm to determine the policy function.
This is why I was very glad RDR2 always had on-screen prompts for the various controls since it was so often context sensitive and you were always riding a hair-thin line of waving at a townsperson and saying howdy, or drawing down and getting everyone really, really mad.
Ketroc in the Starcraft 2 AI Arena tournament mentions the same pattern. Starcraft 1 came out before the internet and web had crushed the meta. People would figure out how to play with their friends and then meet up at local tournaments to find out who knew how to play. It was an awesome period of discovery. The guys behind aiarena.net are having a blast running the AI bot tournament because they are making the meta up as they code better bots.
The same article at Ars Technica, without a paywall:

https://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/2022/06/everything-is-go...
I think you're right. Anecdotally I, as well as most of my friends that still game, have become increasingly conscious of avoiding "help" when playing a new game. I'd never played a FromSoft game and beating Elden Ring with zero spoilers or advice was just about the greatest gaming experience I've ever had.

I suspect it's partially an age thing. Now that we're older and becoming nostalgic for the wonder that games held for us as children this is a great way to capture some of that magic again.

As mentioned elsewhere, gaming guides aren't a new thing, but for a certain segment of the population they were pretty uncommon for a large chunk of our childhood. So, instead, knowledge was shared around the lunch table or at recess.

It's maybe not quite as exciting in my 30's as it was back then, but it's a hell of a lot more fun to discover things with my friends than it is to watch a 20 minute video about optimal strategy.
Hololive is just one example within a specific niche (and even within VTubers it's not the only one -- Nijisanji is pretty large as well now). Are you really telling me that people like Amouranth, Valkyrae, and Pokimane aren't aware of the girlfriend experience? That the whole hot tub streaming drama that led to the creation of an entire new Twitch category wasn't extremely exploitative of lonely, addicted men?

Unhealthy parasocial relationships are an extremely lucrative revenue stream for content creators, just like whales with gacha games. Platforms do nothing to discourage this and in fact even encourage it.
I’ve had the same problem.
Alternatively the control could be given to insurance companies. For example you get a lower deductible in an accident if you're wearing a seatbelt (or bike helmet or whatever) compared to if you're not. Insurance companies actually calculate the risks/costs, as opposed to governments cramming something resembling moral judgement (or just blindly perceived risk reduction) as law.
If this isn't a quote from somewhere, thanks for the funniest original comment I've seen in months
Indeed, or otherwise not tradeable.

How would a broker treat a customer's short position in, say RSX?

https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/RSX?qsearchterm=rsx
That's a generic flamewar tangent and those do not make for good HN threads at the best of times:

https://hn.algolia.com/?dateRange=all&page=0&prefix=true&que...

https://hn.algolia.com/?dateRange=all&page=0&prefix=true&sor...

This is obviously not an article about startup growth at all costs; it's the story of what's been happening to a startup in a war zone. I don't think it's in very good taste to lecture people who are going through that, let alone toss cliché internet swipes like "this reads like a satire", which are against the site guidelines anyhow.

https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html
Something tangentially related happened to me: After my wife's card was cloned and used, I decided to block all my cards. My banks allow me to use their app to block and unblock my cards at will. So I decided to block all of them and then only unblock them when I am going to use them.

I got a surprise that *most companies, including Google!! do not support this*. Apparently, Tidal, Google (all Google related billing including Youtube, Google Domains, etc), DigitalOcean, among others attempt to bill you at some random time during the night/early-morning. Of course when they tried to charge my card the payment was rejected as it was blocked.

I contacted all those services asking them the process to actively perform the payment (like, me clicking a button so that they could charge me), but they DON'T have that option. AWS surprised me, because they DO have an option to charge on demand.

How is it possible that something so simple like that is not commonplace? So now, I have to leave one card unblocked, exposed to being stolen, so that all these half cooked services can bill me (I got several warnings from Google Domains saying that my payment could not be processed). At the end, I left a card with $500 USD limit permanently unlocked... but I shouldn't have to.
You can’t increase real gdp per capita in the long term by quantitative easing alone.
> I think this is going to look a lot more like 2001-02

You mean Mar-Nov 2001?

That’s kind of my fear. Because while it was an extremely mild and short recession in aggregate terms, the recovery afterward had the worst distributional profile of any recovery in recent memory, seeing declines in the bottom three quintiles, the second-from-the-too quintile mostly flat, and almost all the gains concentrated in a very narrow slice at the top of the top quintile, which was a big reason for how bad the Great Recession was.

And there is a lot of indication that a 2024-ish recession could see a similar, or even worse, policy environment in the US to the one that produced the bad outcomes of the recovery from the 2001 recession.
Warranted or not, what is unacceptable is the lack of transparency in the whole process. At least point the developer towards a path into compliance, not just black-holing them altogether.
I feel that man pages should add a TLDR section after NAME and restrict the bottom EXAMPLES section to more elaborate / less common examples.
You're confused about the roles here. An editor is someone who works either directly for the author or they work for the publisher. In any case they don't work for the printer / distributor, which is KDP.

An editor or "professional" publisher may be able to explain the author what the problem is, but if they upload the book to KDP, they'll the exact same information I do. Unless there's some old boys network of course.

There may also be publishers that have an in house printing service. But then you lose the distribution advantage Amazon offers, because they can get a book from the printing press to the customer much faster (without inventory).

As I pointed out in the blog, it takes Amazon about 3-4 days from their printer in Poland to my home in Utrecht, and that includes 1 day in some sort of intermediary Amazon delivery warehouse in Rotterdam. IngramSpark needs two weeks to get book into the EU, but even in the US - when a customer orders from Amazon - they seem to need about a week. Old school publishers are probably even slower, if they can do print on demand at all.
Have you ever tried to withdraw more than 10k from a bank? You have to call ahead and schedule it to the minute. Banks really don’t like to have a lot of cash on hand. I suspect you don’t actually want to have that much cash on hand either. It should go straight from one bank to another.
It looks like the title got changed and now it says Svelte instead of Svelvet. Congrats on the launch!
Mostly no: it's tiny particles that get embedded in the filter.

One way to see this empirically is that pm2.5 levels don't go up again after turning off the fan
I use PlantUML + Dropbox to share . It's not pretty but it is powerful. We make it interactive by editing the text file and saving the changes. There is also a VSCode plugin for PlantUML,which I have not tried.
Is it literally just your codebase or a shared one?

Generally with submodules we run into issues like each dev having to maintain the setup on their own machine, and unique commands to work with module repositories.

For WAY more writeup: https://codingkilledthecat.wordpress.com/2012/04/28/why-your...

Whole tools were created to get around these issues (git-subtree for ex).
> at this moment in time

yup. So was The Great Suspender.

This is why privacy is a one-way circuit breaker kind of system. Once you give your privacy away, you can never assume anything about how your data is used. No matter the entity, you simply cannot trust that they will hold your data secure and use it in your best interests. Even Apple, hell even Signal, has leaky bits and "side channels" that can, and you must assume will, be subverted.

VPN services are well off the mark in terms of privacy protection. That the ~~marketing~~ propaganda is so focused on the opposite is an abomination.
The problem is that uncontrolled emotions can lead to far worse losses than you could possibly gain so most people should just keep their urges in check and follow a boring strategy.
Switch is more powerful than PS3.
>an alternative currency like China

Until China is a lot more transparent, the yuan won't be a major reserve currency.
>YAGNI

But not the ordinary YAGNI. You're Absolutely going to need some way of dealing with low-quality input.
Yes this seems extremely obvious. People with anxiety, sleep and/or heart problems are probably more likely to avoid coffee.
Awesome app simple but limitless
This is a fantasy. China is not even close to a peer competitor if you look at the amount of food insecurity it has. China is hard pegged to the US wether you like it or not.

> US didn't have 30 trillion in debt

That's not how national debt works, like, at all.
Fines are stupid to begin with. If they are too low nobody will care and the sheer number of people breaking the law makes enforcement pointless. If they are too high, they can send the average person into financial ruin, and the wealthy can continue paying their way around trouble. Even a ticket of a couple hundred dollars insane to the average American.

In either case, without any proper oversight, this money just ends up going towards the funding of police departments, who are then incentivized to give out more tickets. Ultimately they act as tax collectors rather than protection for those living in their jurisdiction. Our people used to run bad cops out of town, now we can't even be bothered to fire them.
They could have just as easily considered the terrestrial invertebrate in question (the Trinity bristle snail) to be an exception or to fall under "mollusks". The problem is that there are canons of construction by which they could go either way. The statute is poorly drafted.
Ask HN: Please mention dev collectives working on cool projects
The other day there was a comment in a thread making reference to https://100r.co and I wonder if you know more dev teams creating something interesting.

I'm also interested in small for-profit teams, like Panic, as long as they work in multiple projects.
Yes. A month.

I wanna read an article about the $100/month patreon tiers and the people who pay for them.
It requires some important tending in the current environment, as that years savings is no longer a years savings. If you're not adding to it as inflation increases and costs rise you're in for a surprise when you need it.
I agree that the definition is problematic, though commonly accepted. The argument for goes back to Hobbes, and thus is in one sense foundational to western democracies.

But it runs into problems when you look at the other aspect of western democracies, which is that power resides in the people and is only conditional granted to authority figures (i.e the "king" rules by consent of the governed, not by divine right). Thus the people have the ultimate right to legitimate violence.

Also remembering that Hobbes was arguing for a king, not an elected representative...
I'm still willing to celebrate this happening. An exception to normally bad behavior, and the first instance of a genuine change in approach, look identical.

Example: how many people here were skeptical of Microsoft having a change of heart regarding open source back in 2012? And now a decade later, it's clear that was genuine.
> After Trump's nativist rhetoric, a steady stream of police brutality against black men like George Floyd making national news

The media coverage of police brutality against black men predated Trump's candidacy and it was entirely falsely predicated: the media cherry-picked instances in which black people were killed by police (or rather, those instances were plastered on the front page of national outlets for weeks while egregious killings of white people would rarely break into national news at all where they would be footnotes), which gave the impression that only black people were being killed by police or that police killings of black people were more egregious--neither of which are true.

> a resurgence of white nationalist terrorism like the recent shooting in Buffalo

Yeah, this is precisely why we shouldn't legitimize extreme, racial politics or political violence. Every thinking person saw this coming and warned about it (e.g., "we shouldn't engage in racial politics because it's going to embolden and swell the ranks of white-supremacist types").

> But the blame doesn't lie with overzealous woke activists

Of course, but woke activism is the only kind of racism that is still regarded as legitimate (i.e., we even allow our most influential institutions to preach it), and by tolerating it we (1) legitimize racism generally (2) allow it to drive a right-wing reaction. The most effective way to treat right-wing racism is by dismantling left-wing racism and re-establishing a liberalist orthodoxy.

Racists on both sides like to frame this as a dichotomy between left-wing racism and right-wing racism, but the only dichotomy is racism vs egalitarianism. Left- and right-wing racism are just two sides of the same coin.
I didn't know about Rtings and they look interesting. Who publishes them, do you know? It's not discussed on their About page. Also, in some ways they seem similar to Consumer Reports. Have you seen CR and how would you compare them? Thanks!
"(1) It is not in fact a concept in law that the wording of a law must always trump the intent of its authors"

I have precedent in my state that says otherwise - that you cannot ignore the text to pursue the spirit.

"We don't even reach that problem here, because there is no ambiguity about what this statute says"

Please explain what invertebrates was added under fish with other aquatic-relates species while the other addition of plants was given its own category.
> My savings (including 401k) have gone down 24% since a year ago.

If your 401k correlates much with the S&P 500 to some degree, can't you comfort yourself and get some additional perspective just by looking a few years back, rather than one?
I was comparing to peak, not specifically a year ago, my bad.

Most of my savings are in index funds, specifically FNCMX and FFIDX. I know in very real terms the value of my savings is down 23.57% compared with November 23rd 2021.
"If a household can’t afford it, then a necessary normal amount should be provided, but let others fund the infrastructure we need."

This sounds ass backwards. If a company can supply water into the communal system at the current supplier prices, they should be free to do so, taking into account corrections for negative externaities etc. .

However, if they insist on creating a price differentiation on vital commodities, I think the state has an obligation to prevent them because otherwise the system of basic survival solidarity goes down the drain (maybe even literally in this case).
And the economy is not doing bad by most measures. The stock market is only one component of the economy. Unemployment is at near record lows, there are 2 job openings for every job seeker. Wages are up. Profits are up for many industries.

If all your assets are equities, you might not feel like you are doing that well. If your assets are in real estate, you are probably richer than you've ever been.
"The only other company to do well without advertising is Apple"

Apple heavily advertises. They have many iconic ads that are taught in history classes. The 1984 ad, the white iPad headphone print and ads, the "shot on a iphone" billboards all over SF. Where is this coming from? Apple spent $65 million on search ads in 2020 alone. This is not "not advertising" Apple spends billions a year on advertising. My source noted below specifically contradicts your comments about Apples advertising (or lack there of). It states that they advertise for every new product release, including all phones (which I can personally vouch for as well having personally seen many ads for the newest iPhone tablet the time).

Earlier in this discussion folks say that flamethrowers and boy rescuing submarines are PR, which is marketing, which is advertising. In this comment you note that Tesla and Apple do so well without advertising or marketing.

This has become a circular argument. It's clear that the folks backing Musk are not providing valid arguments with sources. The response is ti saybthat Apple doesn't advertise, but they do. This is all neither here nor there bit what is clear - Elon is loosing his golden boy status in the valley and in popular culture. This is the beginning of his fall from grace, and its his own fault.

Sources:
https://titandigital.com/4-powerful-ps-need-know-apples-mark...

https://www.google.com/amp/s/appleinsider.com/articles/21/10...

https://medium.com/seedx-digital-marketing-guru/why-apple-sp...
That's one of my issues, of course. With half-automated/decided by unaccountable forces strict reading of the "law" (store policy) you get outcomes like that. It would be much better to have "spirit of the law" reading of the policies, but that requires engaged staff/high touch verification process. Google is unwilling to go that way so our only recourse is to make a ruckus and hope we'll get the ear of someone who can whisper to the emperor.

It works, but it scales badly.
I'm currently evaluating/tinkering with an idea:

I think that a well structured monorepo might make a move away from all-encompassing full-stack frameworks and plugins to libraries, tools and special purpose frameworks easier to get close to a best of both worlds situation.

The background is deploying up to a dozen or less new sites and apps per year as a small team while continuously maintaining the old ones and wanting to merge in new improvements found in newer development.

---

Rationale:

Big web frameworks and similar give you per-project productivity, structure and are batteries included, but come with downsides, such as less control, less flexibility, unneeded complexity and abstraction, legacy cruft and gotchas, generally poor performance that you "fix" with caching where you can etc. You end up patching over things with overrides, workarounds, and strip functionality that gets in the way, and in some cases you bypass the framework entirely. You are generally more dependent on framework specific solutions instead of general solutions and can often not do things from first principles without considering the hairball of integration issues that often comes with it.

On the other end of the spectrum you have the possibility stich something together with specialized tools, libraries etc. But you can easily get into the danger of inventing your own framework because you want that common structure. Also once you found some good ways to do something you want to enable straight forward reuse and maintainence. Refactorings, regression testing, performance improvements and possibly new features should benefit everything as easily as possible. All of this is _hard_ if your codebase is spread across many repos, primarily because you don't have a hollistic workspace that helps with these structural changes.

---

My hope is that my learnings and experiments with monorepos lead to a way out, so we can make incremental, cross cutting changes with more confidence and faster feedback loops.

Does anything of the above sound familiar to you? Or do you think I might be looking at this the wrong way?
VR synths have just recently started to come out. A VR interface to VCV Rack would convince me to buy a VR rig. The link below is to Synthspace, a VR modular kit, and that’s got me on the fence already.

You still miss out on knobs/buttons/switches etc., but you can make use of the spatial memory that each synth/module’s design promotes, and that’s pretty big. I can envision a VR controller extension with a physical knob for adjustments that would improve the experience, but it’s probably too niche a product to be built anytime soon.

https://www.soundonsound.com/news/synthspace-virtual-modular...
well, their response is basically "try it out and find out!". I am not sure that it's the best way to express the difference though.
Tf2 is casual quake and has little relation to CS.
Thanks, that's a neat tool. What a bummer that wages are the only recession indicator right now. Particularly painful for the average person. :/
Getting something "for free" is hardly an issue since liquid oxygen is quite cheap as a percentage of launch costs (for example in case of Falcon 9, it's less than $100k out of ~$28M of launch costs for a reused Falcon 9). Now you might argue that the resulting vehicle that needs to be carrying needs to be bigger, but then again, in practice we found it less complicated than hypersonic air-breathing propulsion, so whether the vehicle capable of usefully consuming it would actually be cheaper is pure speculation. So far nobody has been able to build even just one, much less mass-produce it.
I agree the process could be improved, but if they post policies and developers fail to read them and follow them they really only have to say they violated their policies.