skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
At least most banks across the world have liquidity requirements, and most have some insurance for limited amounts, for example if you want to open your own bank in Cayman's you need to have 30-50 million in liquid assets such bonds and gold deposits, it is similar for US banks, if recall correctly.

You might be able to transfer bitcoins from valet to valet, but they will be effectively useless, if banks stop releasing cash, cash will be the most valuable commodity, not digital bits. Furthermore, during the 90's (the really crazy times) in Russia many were doing bond trading just fine without any issues and without internet, this not some story, it happens so I met a few survivors from that time.

On another hand, the only useful thing I find for bitcoin that is "legal" is contributing to sci-hub projects, nothing else, for this reason and other reasons such as drugs and money laundering, bitcoin is here to stay.
This seems quite accurate, and enforces my own sentiment. Personally, I'm seeing even more doomsday scenario, but I'm not sure if that's just fear talking. I'm not even worried about the market, but I'm worried how everyone is going to actually survive, especially in poor countries. As in, how many % of the world population will die.

Both energy and food are scarce, and at the same time monetary inflation is running record-high, caused by monetary stimulus. To me it looks like we're entering an era of unprecedented global stagflation.

I could be totally wrong, and in general I trust the error-correction capability of humans, so take this with a big grain of salt. However, if wrong political decisions and monetary policies are used, instead of relying mostly on free markets, it will very likely make the problem worse.

This is based mostly on intuition. It's just how I feel right now. I don't have the tools to predict something like this accurately.
Maybe, but Barron's also has plenty of day-trader hype. How do you separate the good long-term predictions in Barron's from the bad ones? Read someone else. (You can optimize the process by skipping Barron's entirely.)
Nothing, obviously. But I didn’t think this was a contest to see who could defraud the customer. Clearly we already established they can charge whatever they like, what more do you want? :)
I've done Photoshop work for images which were for someone's Instagram. It won't be able to label those as filtered.
You should read “The Fish that Ate the Whale“ by Richard Cohen. The American government did insane things in Central and South America for/on behalf of the banana industry.
Yes, they did sit down and think that through. That's their job. This is not the first epidemic. Public health departments, unlike people on the Internet, actually study the topic.

You might consider sitting down and thinking about who is making these decisions and what their backgrounds are before you pronounce that they didn't take something into account. On what basis are you making that accusation? Do you have any idea what other things went into that decision?

Perhaps they made the wrong choice. But they weren't guessing. And I don't have a lot of respect for your guess about it if you don't even know that much.
I'm not seeing the contradiction there? "Most of the damage" suggests some still to come.
you are making it seem like it is difficult to tell a David Hockney NFT is a fake. step one: does the artist have a clear history of minting associated with an address? if no, and the artist is not making any claims to making nfts, then most likely it is a fake. if yes, and the artist is promoting the nft at that address, it is probably not a fake.

in the case of Hockney as he has been expressly against nfts and has never publicly made one, a fake is easily detectable. in the case of Beeple who has been expressly for nfts, it is easy to authenticate as it will be associated with his address.
Again, anecdotal. Not all the Middle East is the same. That is the point I was making. Is Iraq your example? Some other country? He moved in and out of combat zones, but most of the article he shows the good side of civilian Ukrainians not in active combat zones enjoying life and not threatening them. Do we think all of Syria, for example, during different parts of the conflict was a giant war zone?

This is HN. When people talk vaguely about technical problems like this without data or pose with anecdata, there is usually a higher bar of proof. Saying "Ukraine is full of white people who look like me, so less risky" and "Syria is dangerous" are not apples to apples comparisons in my book.

https://idlewords.com/2014/07/sana_a.htm
Pedal Me should instead mandate that all staff riders wear helmets, but that those helmets must be 'high-visibility' (painted neon yellow, green, or pink, and with reflective stickers.)

They can then tell customers that the helmets are there to improve visibility and therefore safety of their passengers.
are you a plastic surgeon?

i’d imagine there would be a lot demand by instagram celebrities who would want to keep looking like their filters once the truth is uncovered
> Given that, why would it be unreasonable to offer it?

I'd worry about lice.
Maybe. Or maybe the exchanges/market makers are buying back USDT in order to pay back their loans to Tether.
Thank you very much, I appreciate that!

I would offer it for free but I believe that it's immoral (and potentially illegal) for me to be able to invest in the stocks when it launches, and so I've priced it at a point that I think people can justify. I tried to match Netflix on price, but they increased it so now I can say I'm cheaper than them.

If investing on Monday is making people more than $9 then it's worth it to subscribe, and if it isn't then I need to rethink the algorithm.
If everyone invests in the sp500 then the price of the sp500 will climb, guaranteed, because you know that next months paychecks will purchase more of it.

You can’t really do anything about this even if you’re actively aware of this mechanism and think it’s fundamentally over valued.

It’s like a decentralized Ponzi scheme
End of 2020 I had a serious bike accident. I was specifically riding slowly and carefully because I did not want to fall and end up in hospital - in the middle of the second wave in SA and a shortage of hospital space. Even so, I had the most ridiculous and embarrassing crash, whilst hardly moving, and ended up in the ER. I was wearing a helmet and I still got a concussion. My helmet was broken and certainly saved me from a much more serious head injury. Additionally, the peak on the front managed to prevent my nose from smashing into the ground too (it was a weird angle). I would never cycle without a helmet ever.
Seems callous and erroneous. Also ignoring increased morbidity and strain on the healthcare system. Plus that would have the opposite effect on inflation
Well, we've kind of known that the benefits of active management would be diminishingly small. In theory they could be working just as hard, but at this point they are being paid to clip coupons that aren't there.
For some reason I get typescript errors and a blank page on imgur since today, both in Vivaldi and Firefox.

But I'll look into the issue, thanks for the feedback!
65+ and often at the lower end of economic scale (at least in the USA). I can't imagine that much flowed. E.g., housing prices would have feel as supply outpaced demand.

For the non 65+ that died, that's a negative for the economy. Loss of productive years, etc.
> what about braces and c-syntax in general?

I miss braces when I code in Python. Specifically because their absence makes code hard to read and navigate.

I've never missed the lack of semicolons, and hate to have to use them when I switch back to languages that requires them.
Yeah I am not sure how this will play out for professional illustration...

You can trace a constantly evolving visual style in web design back to a root cause: "The need to look modern and legitimate."

It's hard to remember, but there was once a time where good stock photography was a way to look modern and legitimate. That birthed a thousand cheap stock photo sites and eroded the effect.

So we moved on to a constantly evolving style of illustration. Skeuomorphism, corporate memphis, gradient meshes, clay. Websites use these to signal modernity and legitimacy, but the very use of it erodes the effect and they have to move on.

If we can write an ALT tag and get a professional-looking illustration in any style, that will erode the effect, and we will have to find new ways of looking modern and legitimate.

Maybe that will involve professional illustrators, or maybe it will move somewhere else, just like when it shifted from photogs to illustrators.
What about people who want to make "Authentic" photos outside of the app?

E.g. people who prefer another camera app, or photographers who use a camera instead of their phone.
Problem B may not be completely unavoidable but it also isn't a valid excuse for deliberately anti-repair design choices. Some things are indeed tradeoffs in terma
s of repairabilty vs. features or costs, but some design decisions have little to no effect on features / cost but a large effect on repairability or durabilty.

Now, you can't always legally separate which tradeoffs are which, but I do think there is real value to finding ways to incentivize companies that make durable, repairable products. Those products produce a lot of value for society but manufactures can have a hard time recouping much of that value in the sale price, leading to bad incentives.
+1 for Dream Theatre. Progressive metal is my number one source of Frisson. Brutal, heavy lows followed by soaring, melodic highs really does it for me.

Before I learned of the name frisson, I always thought it was an adrenaline response.
Right but the comment I responded to was comparing transaction fees. I pay zero transaction fees for using cash. I am willing to pay some small percentage to help protect me from fraud (and I have used that protection). Why would I pay a fee AND assume all the risk?
Doesn't it only work if everyone has one? If only one or a few do, they can be as cautious as possible and still be the victim of another reckless driver who doesn't have one. It reminds me a bit of the trend where parents buy larger vehicles for their teenaged children because of their perceived safety. It ends up having the opposite overall effect because less experienced drivers are getting into accidents with larger and more deadly (to those around them) vehicles.
I disagree with that characterization. The Panama canal was a huge gift to Panama, and the country has benefited immensely from it (I live in Panama.)
There are also significant legal penalties for being at-fault and injuring/killing a cyclist in the Netherlands as compared to the US.
There needs to be a chemical process to break down the harsh chemicals into something environmentally friendly. Ideally, something that uses solar power or other highly available energy sources.
If it was from RT I would add "According to Russian media". Is that then a barely noteworthy western propaganda line or just the truth?
Please explain why this is different than the first machine calculator. There’s already been semi Turing tests on Twitter for DALLE and it “passed”.
Social insects have nothing on human social structures in either complexity or diversity. Social structures is what humans excel at.
I guess that's why democratic elections work. We believe the elected politician knows us because we know some things about them, even though they have no clue about nearly all of their constituents.
What? You mean this isn’t representative of what the average worker could hope to earn? Say it ain’t so!
I am generally generally wary of one liner predictions that people throw out on Twitter.

We have all seen those recently:
"This is going to be worse that dot com", "This is nowhere near the bottom" and basically bold but unsupported predictions of that flavor.

This, however, seems like a reasonably balanced take. Tries to take cues from the historical events, which doesn't always work imo but still is _something_ to base your arguments on.
> In the early 80s, the G7 economies tightened the money supply, raising interest rates dramatically, in an effort to bring inflation under control.

This article points out a similarity between the early 80s and now. So I think it's appropriate to point out a major difference as well.

Consider this chart[1] which shows both the short term interest rate (Federal Funds rate) and long term interest rate (10-year Treasury yield) since 1962. Before rates started rising in the late 70s, the market was used to an interest rate between 5-10% (both long and short term), after which it rose to 15% (long term) and 20% (short term). Compare this with the current situation. Markets now have been used to 0% short term interest rates and 2-3% long term interest rates for over 10 years. The little blip you see to the far right of the chart is how much interest rates have risen so far (to 0.83% short term and 2.85% long term). If such a tiny blip (historically speaking) is the cause of the current correction, then it seems reasonable to expect that this is only a tiny part of a much greater correction that comes if interest rates get even close to the levels seen in the start 80s.

[1] https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=PIsi
As a frequent mountain biker, I can attest that wearing additional safety gear results in me taking more risks. I ride downhill faster, I take corners more aggressively, I take more jumps and I am less cautious over dangerous terrain. When wearing only shorts, a jersey, and a standard helmet, without pads or a full-face helmet, I ride subdued.

Some of this difference is due to the innate and insidious sense of invulnerability with protective gear. It comes naturally even the first time you don it. It's a common source of accidents and something that must be trained out of you.

Being able to get back up unscathed from bad falls also reinforces your future confidence, or lack thereof, which I can also attest from having fallen many times both with and without protective gear.

I'd still never ride without (at least) a standard helmet. If helmets do factually cause more accidents, which is plausible for the reasons I just mentioned, I'd support making helmets mandatory for employees through legislation. It doesn't matter if the numbers support the opposite conclusion: maximizing individual safety in the eventuality of a crash is paramount. If you have ever had a head impact while wearing a helmet, you will understand why.
Human-created images are not curated?
Probably biggest change between this recession and all the others is the people's willingness to work in an office. This is all orthogonal to the massive $24T budget deficit, not sure what impact that growing deficit will have, but it's been pretty large for decades now anyway.

US is mainly a services driven economy, which means people can work from anywhere. Offices and adjacent sectors will suffer irreparable damage, but the gain in productivity in other sectors will more than compensate for it. I think we will come out with a stronger and more efficient economy after this recession.
OP can clarify what they meant but I understand it as: sum return_i/yield_i - price < 0
Multi language dataflow analysis to debug and communicate how data goes through a system.

AI image to html/CSS. I hate fiddling with css keywords when I already know what I want it to look like.
The good news is the US Government doesn't have to pay back 5.5% of its debt. Unfortunately the spending keeps increasing.
Hey there! Language designer of Raw Strings here.

The use of whitespace to affect the meaning of strings was actually a big ask from the community and was due to a lot of confusion and frustration over the years from customers who didn't like that if they had a multiline string that it would then not indent properly with all the rest of their code and would cause things to look cluttered and unpleasant.

Users participated in the design here and we got feedback from thousands in multiple venues about this design. The behavior around whitespace here was viewed as being both very beneficial and intuitive.

Finally, to help out here, the VS ide will also draw a line showing what part of the code is content and what is not.

You feel this is overcomplicated, but this was the result of a lot of cooperative design with a lot of the user base to something that was near universally felt to be desirable over not having this behavior. :-)
When a contract or peer is so surprised at how satisfied they are with my work that they feel compelled to tell me.
Do you live in SF? If so, I'm curious what neighborhood.

> ordering take-out food is oftentimes comparable

I find people who do the daily shopping thing tend to order more take out than people who do the bulk shopping thing. it might have to do with them skewing younger though
Google blocked patch to disable extraction to APK
Roslynator is a collection of refactoring enhancements for VS. Resharper/Rider add a ton of things beyond refactoring. Its unit test runner is way better (IMO) than VS's native test runner. Support for Unity & Unreal Engine development for game developers. Rider works on Linux, Mac and obviously Windows.

I've been a happy R# customer since 2006. Since then I converted to JetBrain's all products subscription - DataGrip is a really nice database management GUI that supports nearly every database you could ever want (from SQL Server to Postgres to MongoDb!) If you do any frontend development Webstorm is IMO a much better experience than VSCode.
One thing I found useful with Trompeloeil was the tracer. You instantiate a tracer, and then every call made into a mocked object is logged for you. Really make it easy to see how a mysterious controller operates on the thing you are mocking.

Plus, the very act of engineering in a dependency injection for the mock if not already provided, enforces a testable interface.
One factor that I think might be different this time than from the 1980's is productivity increases from WFH. There are a number of studies showing that WFH has resulted in an increase in overall productivity. And has also helped curtail the demand for gas, although that is picking up. It remains to be seen if the Fed can wrangle the so called "soft landing", but productivity increase could potentially make that a bit more likely.
Always hilarious to see people justify colonialism / controlling another country. I'm sure you wouldn't feel that way if this was your own country that would not control its destiny and was controlled from imperial powers abroad.

Ask anyone in Panama, they feel much better being independent. Yes Panama is obviously still having strong ties with the US, but they are happy that their own land is not owned and managed by of a foreign army.
It wouldn't be hard to get it to change words so it doesn't give you what you want but something with similar properties.

I don't think that's art; it's just a social game, yet that's somehow meant to be the definition of art these days.
The host redeemed himself on LTT

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QKzmYsySGFQ
I think your comment is over the top and unnecessarily rude. No, parent commenter doesn’t need “psychological help” because they prefer to use a basket over a cart in order to buy fewer items. But, in case you’re actually curious about why someone would say such a thing: https://www.fastcompany.com/3057306/how-the-shopping-cart-sh...

It’s also addressed pretty early on in the posted article.
I can't speak for it's relation to inflation, but have you _tried_ getting a new mid-range mirrorless camera or other similar electronic consumer good? Chip shortage is real.
Seriously? Quality feels 2x higher compared to US in my observations
By ignoring the day-trader hype? (shouldn't be that difficult to spot)
> or giving the illusion that the activity is risky.

Urban biking is inherently risky, especially in countries/states/cities with lackluster or nonexistent safe cycling infrastructure.

Wearing a helmet is just trying to reduce the potential damage from unforeseen and unexpected accidents - things that may likely be 100% outside of control of the biker once they are on the road. It's not a matter of "I want to wear a helmet so that I can take more risks" and it's ridiculous that Pedal Me is peddling such an excuse.
if it's a 5 minute walk, it already adds up to an hour before you count the multiplied checkout, shopping, etc. time.
uncle roger voice just use SQLite haiyaaaaa
> Everytime one of these articles comes up, someone says, "but who will do price discovery, this is terrible"

Note that this has been around since 1980:

> The Grossman-Stiglitz Paradox is a paradox introduced by Sanford J. Grossman and Joseph Stiglitz in a joint publication in American Economic Review in 1980[1] that argues perfectly informationally efficient markets are an impossibility since, if prices perfectly reflected available information, there is no profit to gathering information, in which case there would be little reason to trade and markets would eventually collapse.[2]

* https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Grossman-Stiglitz_Paradox

Paper:

* http://www.dklevine.com/archive/refs41908.pdf

* https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=228054

Price discovery happens at the edges: you probably don't need a lot activity for it. I think we're seeing a lot of the also-ran active managers (slowly) being weeded out, and the remainders will increasingly be those that actually manage to get things right every so often.
Yes, but the main effect is how much it costs to “buy” money - if the fed rate is zero then companies can often get money at 1% or so - which means if they have a way of making only 1.5% on the money it’s worth doing it and they grow.

When the rates rise, it’s no longer worth doing these marginal businesses and so growth slows down. You’re not going to borrow at 5% to make 3%.
Back in the day, yes. https://archive.org/details/byte-magazine-1984-05/page/n69/m...
Dominos wouldn't do something that controversial unless there was market proof of people using it successfully as a positive marketing gimmick.
Sure, but why even bother with this stuff if there are (more or less) safe ways (VPN, Seedbox in another country) available for cheap? :D
> One takeaway from this whole conversation is that DeFi might be more similar to Bitcoin than a lot of people thought, deriving its value from collective agreement that the ‘thing’ (in this case the box, or yield-farming protocol) is worth something rather than deriving value from a fundamental usefulness.
Whenever I go get my own groceries, I can buy my lunches in advance for the next week as well if the expiration dates for my usual lunches are long enough. But whenever I've ordered my groceries delivered, I've had to assume that the expiration dates last for about a week.

There's definitely advantages to someone picking out your groceries for you, but also some drawbacks.
Looking from the entertainment industry perspective: Ai art is somewhat similar to photobashing, in my view. It's primarly a tool used by skilled artists to convey things quicker and with less effort. The finished piece still requires the artist to have enough taste and competency to apply it in a way that is pleasing to the viewer.

If I hire an artist to deliver the concept for a building that has x number of parameters, I don't really care what % of the image is generated by AI, photobashed or drawn by hand as long as the parameters are met, the overall image looks good and isn't plagiarized.