skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Oh yeah baby! Here's my top 5 reasons...

5. Crypto bros deserve a punch in the face. If you don't feel that way, it's probably because you're a crypto bro. The world is secretly (or not) cheering for this to all burn to the ground because it's easy to perceive people who promote crypto as obnoxious swindlers. Really, they are. Sorry, if this isn't a good reason, but I'll just spill those feelings out right there before making some more reasoned arguments...

4. Crypto not useful in a real way. Speculative investing, money laundering, hiding wealth, pyramid schemes. I'm a tech guy and I have no idea how I would go about acquiring crypto currency then using it to pay for something tangible of real value without eating an exorbitant amount of fees and taking my chances moving stable fiat currency in to a highly volatile asset. I know here are exceptions, but let's be real, crypto in 2022 is about creating shady financial tooling.

3. Crypto's externalized costs make it expensive to society while providing little benefit. Graphics card shortages, energy usage and global warming, brain drain from other real tech problems, aiding and abetting criminal activities like money laundering. What are the benefits that make up for any of that?

2. People losing savings sucks, but the longer crypto insanity goes on the worse that's going to be. Taking a statistical view, unsophisticated investors almost certainly will be taken advantage of in unregulated markets. The longer this insanity goes on the worse that's going to get. End it now and fewer real people with real savings are going to get hurt.

... and the real reason we should all be excited about...

1. I used to be excited about blockchain technologies. I think there are some really great uses for them. But then speculative investing in crypto became a craze and that kind of swamped out everything else interesting. If speculative investing becomes no longer feasible, hopefully we can start to get some focus on some of the more interesting and beneficial applications.
Just freeing up a chair for himself after the deal closes.
I want to add that I believe the way forward in this debate (and others) is to acknowledge that both rights are valid but neither are unlimited. The best compromise is to be found by sounding out the limits of each right. That is a political debate, not a quasi-religious one, and one that should be rekindled from time to time to update the compromise to match contemporary circumstances. In this regard, for either side in the abortion debate to enshrine their preferred right in the constitution would be a disaster.
Yeah, this thread reads as very weird to me, it's liking I'm watching the SV tech bubble manufacture consent in real time. In reality, crypto has been tracking the market almost 1:1 for like 6 months now.
Isnt this a general reinforcement learning agent with a transformer as the policy discriminator? Very cool, but not necessarily a giant leap forward, more like a novel combination of existing tools and architectures. Either way impressive.
> Obviously it's bad if people lose their entire life savings

Honestly, I don't feel too bad for people who put their whole life savings into crypto. Never put all of your eggs in one basket as the old saying says.
What Cowenism Is
When you want to get fired or don't care.
It's important to understand that your average Series 6,7,63-licensed "investment advisor" knows less about the stock market than your average crypto bro. They just follow a script of "invest into retirement-target fund over the long term". None of them adjust anything based on market conditions unless you get into "family office" territory at (at the very least) over 100 million in assets. A lot of people make the mistake thinking "investment advisor" bros know anything.

- former "investment advisor" with all those licenses, CFA, etc
Another issue with copy + paste is that history isn’t preserved. Why a clipboard manager isn’t a piece of the OS is a mystery to me.

Every so often I wonder how much data is lost by copying over the copy and then finding the initial copy is gone.
Love it: Solar punk is fundamentally nonfiction. Now that’s an optimistic storyline with enough tension to make it readable.
It gets worse: on Microsoft Edge I have to wait half a second or so after selecting text before I press Ctrl-C. If I try to copy too fast it won't copy.

Yes, this "cloud clipboard" thing is off, verbatim copy is on. i have no idea why on earth they do this, but there is some three dots overlay popping up after selecting text.

I have no plugins or similar installed. It drives me crazy.
I wouldn't call you a crypto bro then. I've mined and traded Bitcoin for around the same amount of time, so I can say comfortably that those in our situation have seen the cycles, and are rarely surprised, boom or bust. The crypto bros are the hypers and pumpers, infused with plenty of cockiness based on their own confirmation bias.
It didn't say anything about advocating. It was a vision of the future that cam true in a lot of senses. But now it's run out of steam. It seems dated. New visions of the future are necessary, and solarpunk is one of them. That's the point.
That assumes this is an actual pattern and not just extreme volatility of something with no intrinsic value to steady it.

The other day I was driving through a rougher area of town and noticed an old, grubby "Buy bitcoin here!" sign out in front of a convenience store. IMO about the time that started becoming A Thing, the writing was on the wall. I predict tulip mania will end relatively soon.
Keep in mind that for every one of the rich crypto babblers, there's probably 5 that got in at the wrong time and are penniless.
Right. It could have more succinctly summarized just by quoting Hayek's: "The curious task of economics is to demonstrate to men [or people, if you'd rather] how little they know about they imagine they can design."
DHS Disinformation Chief: “Verified users should be able to edit other’s Tweets”
Did he have a prenup?
This wasn't meant to be sneaky! We're iterating on the design of the page and this is good feedback. We'll make it clearer.
stocks are a pyramid scheme as well, just an accepted one. To profit in stocks, new investor funds are required same as crypto. Truly the only non pyramid schemes are income producing assets such as a business or real estate.
US nuclear weapons in Europe are in a stored posture, and have substantial procedures required for their release to their host countries' air forces.

As far as I know, the US hasn't stationed M/IRBM or nuclear cruise missiles in Europe since the early-60s Jupiter MRBM [0] and GLCM [1] were withdrawn.

[0] https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2013/01/the-rea...

[1] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/BGM-109G_Ground_Launched_Cru...
Back then Russians had the will to fight. They knew what they were fighting for. Nowadays very few would want to fight for another oligarchs yacht.
Despite having money in the crypto market, I don't have an opinion or real emotional response to this so-called crash.

If you're glad the crypto market is crashing, I think that speaks more about you than the crypto market.
Yes, I think that's the most sensible framework for looking at this. The challenge is that antitrust laws may need to be updated or reinterpreted for platform companies. And there doesn't seem to be too much political will for that. All sides mainly seem to support laws and private action that align with censoring views they disagree with and forcing hosting of views they support. Well only make progress when people (a) agree there will be views they don't like or agree with on the internet and (b) as you say, outside of a monopoly power situation, private companies can choose what they decide to publish or not publish.
It was literally a speculative design. These things happen a lot in architecture. They lay the way for future projects even if they themselves will never be built. They are rebuilding the roof exactly as it was...
>just stay off social media,

What do you do when literally everyone you know IRL is into it? Everyones brain has been warped by speculation.
i became obsessed with mtr. your ping latency and variance is a better indicator of vc quality
Clinical Table Search Service
> But so far as shorting stocks (betting that they'll fall) and buying stocks (betting that they'll rise), there isn't much real math, is there?

A lot of the math is automated these days. PE ratios, SMA (simple moving average), etc. etc.

The basis of most stock analysis is price per earnings, or also known as "How much does $1 of profits cost?". Ex: PE of 20 means that it costs $20 to buy $1/year of profits. PE of 100 means it costs $100 to buy $1/year of profits.

Using this as a baseline, you can estimate the future performance of many stocks. You then correct for public sentiment, bailouts, supply changes (are chips getting rarer and/or more expensive?), and try to predict _future_ profits, not just historical profits.

The company with the most profits, at the lowest price, wins in the long run. Buying $100/year worth of profits for just $1000 investment is better than buying $100/year worth of profits for $50,000.

But the "math" is easy. You just take the profits from last year, then divide it by the #shares * $value of the shares. You can also try to be "forward-PE" by predicting next year's profits and dividing it with today's #shares * $value of shares.

-------

The #shares changes over time. Companies can make new shares or "buyback" shares at any time. That is why when you hear about company "share buybacks", the stock goes up (fewer shares means lower PE, meaning the people who are buying the remaining shares get more $profits per $investment).

-----

EDIT: Note that under this theory, it doesn't "matter" what the company does with its profits. Profits can go back to the investors through dividends. Or, profits can be spent back on the same company through Capital-Expenditures (ie: building bigger factories or larger systems). "Growth" companies issue no dividends, because they "recycle" all profits into growing. Or the company can buy another company with the profits. Etc. etc.

While "Value" companies tend to return the money as dividends to the share holders.

Shareholders don't really care. If the profits are given to the shareholders, then shareholders can buy up more of the stock (growing their %ownership, and they themselves get more % of the profits next cycle).

If the profits are invested into itself, then shareholder value goes up as appropriate (instead of $1-million worth of factories, next year the company is doing everything with $1.1-million worth of factories and gets 10% higher profits all around).

If another company was bought, same thing, except the factories are separated by different names / locations.

Of course, the "details matter". Some industries are better suited for growth than others. But the fundamental assumption is "control more profits for fewer dollars".

-------

EDIT2: Anyway, what ends up happening is that the math-part is easy. Its the prediction part that's hard.
To be fair, when I'm at work it's 3am in China, too.
Bloomberg pegs him as having $9b in cash, $3b Twitter, $40b SpaceX, $3b Boring Company (silly valuation), $5b in misc liabilities, and the rest Tesla.
What is an ant to man, and what is man to a god; what's the difference between an AGI and an (AIG) AI God?

The more someone believes in the dangers of ai-alignment, the less faith they should have that it can be solved.
But, but, Matt Damon said "fORtUnE FaVORs tHe bRaVE".

Yes, I'm glad this ponzi is crashing. You can feel somewhat sorry for the greater fools, but they're learning an expensive lesson and hopefully will not repeat their mistake anytime soon.

However, it's not like crypto is the only bubble crashing right now. Stocks, bonds, and (soon to be, but to a lesser extent) real estate - they're all going down in a pretty big way because the Fed is taking away the punch bowl. Yes, it seems unlikely that crypto would have inflated to the point it did without the Fed's easy money policy for the last dozen+ years, but neither would stocks or real estate. It gave us a culture where people thought they didn't need to work to obtain wealth, a few well-placed bets and you were gonna be set. But that mentality is corrosive in the longrun.
If copy-paste didn't copy formatting it'd be impossible to copy formatting without a special other interaction - it's usually easy enough to get around this behavior by either using ctrl+shift+v or else paste into a plain text editor and copy out of there.

I almost never appreciate this feature but I can comprehend why it exist and it'd be extremely awkward for users that rely on it if it didn't.
Paging John D. Rockefeller, Mr. Rockefeller, you're wanted on the trading floor.
It is that simple to some extent, recycling and resource control is a major factor in aging.
Targets:
Autophagy, senolytics (don't take senolytics), lysosomes, metabolic rate, proteasome,chaperone proteins,amyloids,Lipofuscin.

The best example of stuff literally accumulating macroscopically in your body (besides the impressive images of Lipofuscin) is metals accumulation in bones. They cause a lot of damage, including a major cause of neurodegeneration. They can be removed via chelators.

BTW I would avoid hyperbaric at all cost even if hornesis is a thing. Oxygen is literally the reason we are all slowly dying, we oxidize and implode. But don't refrain from breathing, hypoxia incurs more damage. If you want to prevent oxidation you need Skq1.
The math that most investors (not traders) use isn't necessarily about trying to predict the market, at least in the short term - but to get signals like "this company is over/undervalued compared to competitors or compared to the size of market its targeting" etc.

These types of analysis don't necessarily predict anything on their own especially in the short term, though they likely do have value in the long term when you stack up lots of these signals.

The problem with applying math to crypto investing (not trading) is that there's no market, no sales, no cash burn rate, no actual accounting going on to base a longer term thesis on.
> central banks are going to be launching their own crypto?

That'll be permissioned/private blockchains (if at all), though, without that PoW nonsense.
Bitcoin is a bubble, but their 500k salary with bonuses is not. Go figure.
It also brings over "On 13:05pm on 5/2/2010, linuxdaemon said:"
For the entire image? I'm not sure, but a lot. Usually an EHT observing session is days in length, and the responsible astronomer(s) will reside at the telescope for a week or so...but I don't believe that 100% of that time is spent feeding data into the collectors. I can ask my coworker tomorrow for clarification on the actual observing time and post an update.
Whenever TE is mentioned here I always struggle with the parallel to apple. As a non-designer too Apple always embodies form over function minimalism and these TE products seem to be almost entirely function over form.
Because this is largely a trivial usage calculation and long-term contract automation.

57% is the common savings number by moving to a 3 year commitment on AWS. Many people are hesitant to commit to 3 year contracts, it's hard to predict usage that far. Consider we may be going into a downturn and you are now legally required to pay for today's usage. Seems like OP is taking on some (all?) of that risk? I for one would not want to be the one holding those bags today, given the near-term economic outlook.

To get towards the 80% figures requires a deeper understanding of a company's usage, processes, and code. These need code changes
Here's the full quote:

> You have definitely not had 67 different governments since 1946 in the sense that I think was meant.
I think Mr Musk will no longer be the world's richest man by end of 2023.
For whatever reason, I expected this to be a work of art, something of an impressionist style painting, of rather pleasant-seeming snakes enjoying some bubble tea in the grass on the shore of a river.
Neat idea. Why gate it to companies that already have existing AWS setups though? You are basically a secondary EC2 marketplace. Couldn't people just get an instance from you directly? I'm sure lots of people would love to get reserved instance pricing without the commitment. And in that case what would you price it at (since there is no comparison point for savings)?
To my recollection they were called Ninja in UK to start with but renamed.

The mythology for the rename was that kids copied them and hurt themselves, but that seems an unlikely reason as changing the name wouldn't change kids copying from them??
Doesn't that apply just as well to public stocks, at least at the scale of most retail investors? Like sure, you "own part of the company" and the company might produce things, but I'm pretty sure everyone knows deep down that they're just purchasing in the hope that someone else with the same mindset will pay more for them in the future.
I haven't read the paper yet but it looks like the breakthrough is that it uses the "same weights" for tasks in completely different domains.

Which implies that it can draw from any of the domains it has been trained on for other domains. Speculating here but for example training it on identifying pictures of dogs and then automagically drawing on those updated weights when completing text prompts about dog properties.

If my interpretation is correct then this is a pretty big deal (if it works well enough) and brings us a lot closer to AGI.
yikes! Hope you and your family are ok!
I'm not sure you're supposed to be acclaimed for the features you listed.
If you don't see anything it likely means there are no recommendations at the moment. We will make it more clear on the app when that happens.
I think we will look back on crypto and marvel at it being the most effective voluntary transfer of wealth in memory.
I used to have constant ping spike at regular interval and had to do that bat script thing, which fixed it but it was really annoying. Eventually I figured out it was because of a Qt bug in the Qt lib that an application running in the background is using, and there is a system property to disable that behavior.

https://bugreports.qt.io/plugins/servlet/mobile#issue/QTBUG-...
No one ever lost money underestimating the intelligence of the American public.

- Donald Trump

Not really but I am sure he is a practitioner of the philosophy. The actual quote is from H. L. Mencken and applies to both money and politics (which might be the same thing:)

No one in this world, so far as I know—and I have searched the records for years, and employed agents to help me—has ever lost money by underestimating the intelligence of the great masses of the plain people. Nor has anyone ever lost public office thereby. The mistake that is made always runs the other way. Because the plain people are able to speak and understand, and even, in many cases, to read and write, it is assumed that they have ideas in their heads, and an appetite for more. This assumption is a folly.
Hey, that's an idea... we know who the sponsors for this are in the European Commission; maybe Anon or someone could take a stab at uploading something special to their devices.
I think there's some confusion on your part about what the image purports to show.

I shall put aside the parent comments concern about the signal analysis techniques. Those may be valid concerns, and I don't know enough to assess them.

> I'm not sure it's physically possible to take a visible light picture of a "naked" event horizon
The event horizon telescope isn't purporting the image emission from the event horizon itself. While the theory of those emissions (Hawking radiation) is very persuasive, they would be incredibly weak for a black hole of even stellar mass, and even weaker for a supermassive black hole. What is being imaged here is hot around the black hole, which is heated due fluid dynamic effect (compression or viscosity, I'm not sure which dominates) as it spiral in to the black hole. The 'image' of the event horizon is the 'shadow' where the black hole blocks our view of the hot gas on the far side.

The fact that this shadow is compatible with the expected size given the mass of this black hole is a scientifically interesting result.
The core is not too bad in the sense that it's stable, well-maintained, and mostly well-documented. The online code reference is also pretty great. The quality of the code is otherwise atrocious. Nobody should look at WordPress for any sort of guidance on what good code looks like.
You can't think of any reason people would provide productive labor without their being profit-seeking capital? Do you really, truly believe that? If you do, I have a bridge to sell you.
Severance packages are usually a deal: company pays you $X, and you agree to say (or not say) certain things, and also agree where you might work in the future (i.e. not at a competitor). The current board/CEO may want to keep things stable, and offer generous money to keep things on an even keel; Elon may not care what a former executive says or does.
As some have pointed out, CTRL+SHIFT+V will save you here on Windows.

It was annoying before I learned this trick; I had been using Notepad instead to strip formatting.

With the shortcut, this is fine for me for most apps.

What drives me barking, raving, drooling mad is the fact that it is possible for an app to lock the clipboard. Bad apps will silently cause the clipboard to fail to update, which leads to the attentive interrupting their work to go back and re-copy. The less attentive, this leads to them sending a message they did not intend to send!

Bad apps locking the clipboard have been around for a long time now, but seem to have been becoming more common lately. As near as I can tell the locking behavior started with Windows 7, but may have actually been Vista (I never used Vista for my day-to-day work, just test environment).
I don't take issue with housing as a topic which is most of the article because there actually is scarcity issues, but I take a lot of issues with the idea in general summed up in the piece as "Everybody loves abundance, and everybody hates scarcity"

While I'm no fan of 'web3' or cryto I think the existence of artificial scarcity imposed on abundant digital resources not by a cartel but by ordinary people dispels that idea. Scarcity is in many ways the only way to create individuality and authenticity. We're already in a world of abundance in the West at least, our waistlines don't suggest that we lack in essential goods, with few exceptions.

The idea that bigger pie = more stuff = world better has little pull any more even among people who aren't particularly well off. Another user is quoting a Christian theologian, and I've personally seen younger people be interested in religion again, mostly for that reason. The article also mentions healthcare in the US but ironically it seems to me that abundance lifestyles are by far the biggest drivers of healthcare costs. We could safe ourselves a lot of doctor and dentist visits if we cut down the soda and took the bike out for a ride. I don't think it can be overstated how much of our disease burden is related to our consumption. Heart disease, cancer, obesity, diabetes and so on. Among the poor predominantly.

It seems to me almost bizarre when one looks at countries like Singapore where national healthcare spending is 4% of the GDP, compared to 20% in the US that the issue is not having enough doctors. Rather than talking about the culture in which we live and how it's affecting us.
Oh absolutely. Your experience is in line with what Douglas Adams was originally saying. Plenty of people get a better sense of time from analog displays.

I'm not saying digital works better for everyone. I'm not even saying digital works better for most. It could easily be the case that I'm in the 1% of weirdos who have an easier time with digital. My only point is that it isn't universal either way. Adams said digital watches are silly because everyone gets a better sense of time from analog. It is a funny joke. But he is wrong about the facts.