skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
The crypto believers told me US dollar would enter hyperinflation very soon and Bitcoin will be the only viable currency because it has a finite supply.
This looks fantastic for customer support!
Imagine if you had invested that cash in Rivian last year. You would be down about 80%. Compared to the ~8% inflation we have seen in the last year, suddenly holding cash seems like a pretty good deal.

The Fed is basically trying to control inflation by inducing a recession. Holding cash is generally ill advised during times of high inflation, but holding assets during a recession can be pretty painful as well. At least with cash, you can buy the dip if you are so inclined.

If you haven't already, take a look at I Bonds. Those are safe, and have returns tied to inflation. Also, it is probably a good idea to start thinking about how and when you might want to invest your cash. It already feels like there are some good deals out there. But if inflation persist and interest rates keep rising, I can only imagine things will get cheaper still.
Well for one thing you're downplaying several massive, global businesses.

PayPal is a $25b sales, $4b operating income giant in the financial sector (payments / payment processing specifically). They have an $83b market cap and have sales equivalent to Germany's largest bank. Musk doesn't own a meaningful part of PayPal, it plays no role in his present wealth (other than he sold his ownership stake in PayPal to fund the early days of Tesla & SpaceX).

Tesla is very obviously overvalued by a lot (by $400b-$600b at least), there's no rational argument against that. However being a major owner of BMW, which is perhaps what Tesla is best compared to in size and profitability now, is still a rather dramatic financial position to have (obviously). If we (when the market does) adjust Tesla to a more rational valuation, Musk would be a lot less rich, but still among the ~20-30 richest on the planet. Owning 16% of a segment-leading, tech-leading, growing car company that generates $12-$14b in operating income, is a very good business to be sitting on.

SpaceX is a lot more than a very good rocket company. Their connectivity business will likely be worth tens of billions of dollars in the future. No other entity on Earth can presently match what they've accomplished in rocketry and satellites, that includes China, the US Government, Russia, or their corporate peers. The connectivity network they're building is exceptional and very, very difficult (and expensive) for others to compete with. The value of their ability to deploy zillions of satellites rapidly, will increase dramatically as more uses are figured out for such constellations (the US Government in particular).
Yes—would like to hear more about how we can fill in the gaps. (Can also email me directly at edwin@stripe.com.)
Twitter's launched a Snapchat competitor, a Substack/Patreon competitor, and a Clubhouse competitor, plus Twitter Blue.
I assume revolutionary in that other companies have only really started taking EVs seriously due to the success of Tesla.
I'm curious why you feel the need to try to distort and spin stuff to benefit a company like Tether? They don't deserve your loyalty and they help give the crypto community a bad name.
> You can’t argue that more housing supply is the answer to affordability problems and also argue that vacancy taxes are pointless.

I don't follow at all. The argument that vacancy taxes are pointless is that there just aren't many vacancies compared to the enormous housing shortage. We could tax vacant apartments 1M$/day and not move the needle on pricing.
> It worried me that they might have actually replaced Japanese music and actors with western "equivalents".

There's a weird inverse to this in the manga/anime Jojo's Bizarre Adventure. Many of the characters and their special abilities are named after well known American bands and songs (e.g. Steely Dan, Killer Queen, Crazy Diamond). But when localized, many have been censored due to potential rights issues. So Killer Queen becomes Deadly Queen, which is kind of sad since the references make me appreciate the cultural cross pollination you mentioned.
Permanent poverty is built into this economy for all but a very very lucky few. We can do better, and framing the options as market-economy (what we have) and non-market-economy (everything else) is a false dichotomy. Markets can exist without the second-guilded-age capitalism we're in right now.
I'm assuming you why want me to explain what the difference between a static data-shape check and a type system is (since i'm already saying type systems are about static information).

For sure there is a non-empty intersection in some way, but the two are differently structured. For one 'data' is a runtime concept (some programs might be data, but some others are computations). So already a data-shape check isn't always doable statically like you would at runtime. And the other way around, some information might be statically available but not materialized in any kind of data shape, like type parameters for polymorphic functions, lifetimes in rust or in general irrelevant proof-terms in dependently-typed languages.

Perhaps you would be satisfied if i said that type-systems are a shape-check for terms and not for data.
The only assumption is that analog means a gauge of some sort with a pointer or pointers moving between symbols, rather than a series of symbols that change for digital. I wouldn't have any problem with assuming a circular gauge (because we calculate periodic things using circle math), but it's not necessary.
> I'm hoping this crash and those in the future rid the space of the toxic backrooms these $30,000 jpegs provide access to and get us to collectively work on building really exciting cool new things

None of this prevents people from working on cool things, cryptocurrency is just a dead-end technology without much potential to create cool things. I don't think it can be denied that the concept of bitcoin is pretty interesting from a technology perspective, but in terms of practical utility there's really not much blood to squeeze from this stone.
15 vs 12 is huge gap in relative age, development, and maturity. But it sounds worse from your description, like a 15yo can have sex with a 10yo and it's considered consensual??
The cloud reseller motion is something we briefly explored but not currently on the roadmap.

Our roadmap for the next 2 Quarters is Full Multi Cloud (Azure, GCP, and AWS) support.
> I don't think it's hard to find flaws with generated content

I do wonder if you were to apply the same level of scrutiny to individual humans, you wouldn't also conclude that most people cannot do creative work.
> Yes if we ban E2E then it will solve the problem of CSAM

No, because content like CSAM will immediately switch channels and you cannot really ban encryption.
Does the sun have fuzzy or sharp edges?
When someone only mentions a fault with nothing else to add it comes off dismissive which is a common theme for comments on AI research.
So, several answers - for someone in a priviliged economy, you can more easily deploy this capital to gain a return (deposit in a dex, etc). For people in less favorable conditions without access to USD, it's a way to access a relatively stable currency.
> What real math is involved in predicting the stock market?

Given the apparently inability of active funds to routinely outperform passive funds[0], "not much" would be my response.

One could be really cynical and reduce it to: some people get lucky, some of the time. That's all.

[0] https://www.ft.com/content/06317e0e-b6bf-4fdc-9255-cf664cb92... ( https://archive.ph/NumMp )
I have no problem with people winning the lotto. It happens. People get lucky. What I hate is people who win the damn lottery pretending they're geniuses who are on the right side of history changing the world. That's what much of the crypto ecosystem sounds like. Fxxk off. You won the lottery.
I just don't get why people think this is unique to crypto. Crypto is maybe 4% of my total net worth, but literally every asset aside from my home has been deep in the red for weeks now. Hell, my high volatility ETFs are way worse off than my crypto.

People either aren't paying attention to the markets writ large, or have an axe to grind.
> There are competitive cars vs tesla for electric

It is my belief that those "competitive cars" wouldn't have happened if it hadn't been for Tesla.
Discover newly launched micro-startups
I do this all the time. Cmd+tab into browser, cmd+t, cmd+v, cmd+a, cmd+c, cmd+w, cmd+tab to where I need to paste, cmd+v

But now that I've seen you can add shift to remove formatting, I'll have to try to remember to do that instead.
I did try to do the way as you said in your 2 cents but the more I solve problems like that I tend to feel empty. It feels that I don't know anything and I just know some exceptions or just some solutions to some problems. I don't feel I have a fundamental knowledge base that lets me think from my own neural networks.
The papers do not mention any machine learning.
But there have been quite a few scientific papers that have used discoveries from AlphaFold already. There have been many scientists who have been stuck for years, who are suddenly past their previous bottlenecks. What gives you the impression that it hasn't helped us?
I wholeheartedly agree, and I may even be working on what you're describing here, which I wrote a little bit about on my company blog (bit of a shameless plug, sorry): https://blog.molecule.dev/system-integration-tool-not-framew...
I'm not convinced of this. One of his leads seems to have trouble getting the 'Da' out: https://youtu.be/MsfUiTJv2lE?t=123
True, I've done that too, but you're right it's obviously a limited way to go about it.

It's funny, I kinda feel like this is what the OP1 was trying to be, or maybe what I wanted it to be, but this actually delivers on that promise. I want one:
https://polyend.com/play/
How about first getting to "as safe/performant as a non-drunk, non-sleep-deprived, non-brand-new driver with 0 human intervention" before asking more advanced questions?

Tesla FSD is definitely nowhere near that level.
Yeah well maybe those pesky pedestrians should stop being poor and buy a car. Problem solved
Breaking Down a Phishing Attempt
I enjoy coding when I have a problem code can solve. (Sometimes I enjoy it a little too much, and before I know it I've skipped dinner.) I don't think I'd code just for the sake of it, though.
Yep totally agree. The number of times I've pasted into a WYSIWYG editor and discovered a mess of nested divs that came along for the ride...
I saw a current events comedy show filmed live in the UK (The Last Leg), and they filmed two intros because the Australian network which bought the rights to rebroadcast couldn't afford the rights for the theme music. It was bizarre.
Crash was inevitable, I guess I’m glad it happened now vs later when it would be worse.
I worked at a big company that was being acquired. The bigger acquiring company needed our company to sell off some divisions to avoid regulatory issues. So we were in this "going to be acquired.. one day" phase for like 18 months.

In the meantime our company actually had to tell the a subsidiary of bigger acquiring company.... to sort of shove off on a partnership we had with them.

This subsidiary was crap and they were not holding up their end of the partnership. It was reiterated many times that "while we will likely be acquired by their parent company our job is to operate in the interest of our current stockholders and that best interest is to no longer work with <subsidiary>".

No word if the acquiring company ever responded negatively. By all accounts they understood (and really had a bigger picture in mind).

That situation seemed pretty logical to me.
>I don't see a huge amount of difference in crypto except for physical assets, which don't cover the stock price for public companies, generally.

Stocks represent part of real businesses which produce real goods or real services. So they are tangible.

Crypto are just some bits somewhere. They don't represent anything meaningful.
Oh lord does it drag, but yes by the end it's socialism and dirigibles for all.
Look into issues with Dolby Atmos on AppleTV and your soundbar.
The unintended consequences of this seem off the charts. It's not clear what type of moderation is acceptable under the law. The law was designed to target big sites, but very little stops someone from registering tens of millions of users on a site with a particular slant, posting something that will obviously get moderated, and then suing the site.

I can imagine that both active moderation and meta-moderation by voting would expose a site to litigation.
Is it common to have huge vesting cliffs at senior management level at those time frames?

This isn't some junior developer waiting for their 1 year cliff, even in that scenario options usually vest on a monthly basis after that.
It's amazing how horrible a UE is involved in reading that thread. It's so fractured.
Codecademy, no setup, just follow the lessons.
Periscope was one the main reasons they killed Vine.
No part of microservices is needed for actors and I didn't imply that at all. I said that microservices can be easily modeled as actors.
Matt Strassler: «The details of the reconstructed image depend on exactly what assumptions are made.» https://profmattstrassler.com/2022/05/12/in-our-galaxys-cent...

What does this mean? If they assembled an image to fit their assumptions, that would be circular reasoning. I don't understand.
Not in 2014 it wasn’t.
I wonder what changed….
I'm on Wi-Fi on my MacBook (Pro 16" 2021). I opened Maps.app (which gets my location correctly), started pinging my router, it's been a few minutes...

No spike. It must be occuring at some corner case, not for everyone.
Usage does take on all the risk. The good thing about cloud compute is that it's recession-proof -- compute volume isn't something companies can cut.
It shall be noted, that it does not work on Windows Server up to and including 2019.

I would also like to add, that I am puzzled, that Microsoft has not been able to deliver a proper shell, that is comparable to …sh and delivers remote access like ssh. Yes, Powershell, but not by a long shot. And for some things you still need cmd!
Looks pretty nice. Not sure I would try it out without a free tier.

Is your "Beyond" pricing correct at 3.49/Year? Perhaps you meant month.
Are you making some profound point that, somehow, wrongs in one camp, negates wrongs in another?

I’ve never understood tribally infected voters (if you could call them voters).
Are you familiar with Gain of Function? The virii in question were not the original strains found in bats. To this day, the original COVID-19 virus has never been recovered from a bat or from any wet market.

The fact is there was never any evidence to support it.
Paternity leave is likely worse, due to losing insurance coverage and other benefits that are useful and otherwise costly for a newborn.

Yes, there is COBRA and he is probably doing just fine financially, but significant unplanned changes in income/costs are never fun
Fascinating. SIDS is... so strange.

Can someone comment whether this is a significant result, vs minor contributing factor? I can’t really interpret the results... there is a significant coef on (quantity of something in blood) in a logistic regression... how big is the residual?
The phrase is I think, "Greater Fool Theory".
Maybe it wasn’t a problem worth fixing at the time? Maybe they’ll do exactly this in future versions of the location finder stack.

Edit: somebody pointed out that these scans could be for roaming purposes as well. Maybe there is another access point with a better signal and it’s time to move?
Twitter's Head of Revenue Product is leaving the company
> We rely on huge conscription army of 900 000

This is about what the Soviets lost in the first two months of WW2.

Considering Russian population of 144 million, half of which are women and half of the rest either too old or too young to fight, the Russian army reserve can be (conservatively) estimated at about 30 million men.

With that in mind, in the possible conflict Finland would need to continuously maintain a loss ratio of 30:1 or more.

In the Winter war, the loss ratio was about 5:1, which is a "good" news tactically, but not "good enough" news strategically. It meant that Finland moved to the point of not being able to fight faster than the Soviets did.

Another discrepancy — the one that did not exist in either the Winter war or the Continuation war — is that the Russian nuclear arsenal is somewhere between 3,000 and 10,000 nuclear weapons, while the Finnish nuclear arsenal is none.

Finally, Russia won't fear any sanctions for its conflict with Finland, because the sanctions weapon is already used against them.

> You may ask why would we need NATO if we have such a military?

I may ask why you think that seeking NATO membership is putting Finland in a less dangerous position and not in a more dangerous one. After all, getting in an alliance with Germany in the past proved as a costly mistake.

> After what Russia did to Ukraine

Russia is in a process of wrecking Ukraine because Ukraine wanted to join NATO. They seem to have achieved at least the goal of keeping Ukraine out of NATO, because NATO will not admit Ukraine while it fights the Russians.

I fail to see how doing exactly the same thing that Ukraine did is not a very dangerous gamble.
Sensible, peer reviewed science, funded by a crowd sourcing campaign.

Spend a moment to click on the link to the funding campaign, lots of parents that lost a child there. I literally started crying, when I read the comments of the donating families,
Cornelius Vanderbilt left his heirs the inflation-adjusted equivalent of something like $300 billion. Within 50 years it was gone.

Nope not even close. He died in 1877 with a net worth of $100 million . This is $2.7-$3 billion today

Also he had a large family, as was common in the day, which diluted the wealth fast.
I usually paste it in an edit box that doesn't accept formatting list Firefox's search box and copy and paste again to get rid of stupid formating... but I agree that this shouldn't be the default
I was thinking more about things like the weird, blurry, dream-like artifacts that you see in some GAN-generated content. Things that look like work done by someone who was both severely impaired yet somehow still extremely meticulous. Things like that seem characteristically un-human.
It was me. Sorry, my bad.
I made an interesting discovery yesterday. When you allow a symbol to have both a function and macro binding, it behooves you to implement the following expansion rule:

If a function call form (op ...) is the result of the expansion of a macro form (op ...) then after its argument forms are recursively expanded, if those recursive expansions make any difference, the resulting form should again be tried as a macro form.

This is because transformations on the arguments of the function call may turn the call into something that is interesting to the macro again.

With this, I can do the following now:

This is the TXR Lisp interactive listener of TXR 275.
Quit with :quit or Ctrl-D on an empty line. Ctrl-X ? for cheatsheet.
TXR contains many small parts, unsuitable for children under 12 months.
1> (defmacro sqrt (:match :form f)
(((* @exp @exp)) exp) ;; (sqrt (* x x)) -> x
(@else f))
** expr-1:1: warning: defmacro: defining sqrt, which is also a built-in defun
sqrt
2> (defmacro expt (:match :form f)
((@exp 2) ^(* ,exp ,exp)) ;; (expt x 2) -> (* x x)
(@else f))
** expr-2:1: warning: defmacro: defining expt, which is also a built-in defun
expt
3> (expand '(sqrt (expt x 2)))
x

See? (sqrt (expt x 2)) reduced down to x, even though the sqrt macro has no such optimization case.

First (sqrt (expt x 2)) is tried as a macro. That immediately hits a fixed point by returning the form. The expander makes a note that expansion took place (even if a no-op). Then the expander expands it as a function call, expanding the argument expression, turning the form into (sqrt (* x x)). That expansion having made a difference, together with the fact that the form came from a macro, now means that the expander tries the form again as a macro: (sqrt (* x x)) is expanded again, and now there is a "hit".

(For simplicity, these examples don't care about multiple evaluation; and it is a given that algebraic changes are risky in the face of floating-point. It's a good way to illustrate the technique.)

CL compiler macros could do something like this. I don't see the requirement in the HyperSpec. The requirement could be that when a compiler macro declines expansion, then after the resulting function form is recursively processed for more macros, the compiler macro should be tried again, and this process should repeat until both conditions are met: the macro declines, and the function form no longer contains any arguments that are macros.

Of course, a compiler macro can capture an &environment and do its own expanding via macroexpand. In this example, that would work. What I implemented is subtly different: a complete expansion is performed on the function. You would need macroexpand-all to simulate the feature in the macro itself. Not having to do that at all, having things Just Work, is pretty nice.
This kind of thing happens way too often and is one of the problems my startup (Molecule.dev) solves. May I ask which payment processor?
> They are conscious participants in what they know to be a get-rich quick scheme.

What do you think the slick-talking salesman was peddling back in the day?
>Each time this happens, the AGI pessimists raise the bar (a little) for what constitutes AGI.

Why does this need to be repeated in every discussion about AI? It’s tired.
If parental leave should legally be counted as "working" (which it is, in many jurisdictions), with pay increase, bonus and promotions being based on virtual work, then why shouldn't firing be just fine too?

Obviously not fire in any way related to parental leave, but if it's to be counted as work then it should be consistent.
Are there really no clauses in contracts or laws to prevent something like this? That sounds incredibly scummy.
I just took a look at Fly.io, but one thing I liked about Heroku was the fixed pricing; for a small site I could know for sure exactly how much I'd be paying (or not paying) each month. Fly.io looks good for an actively-monitored business product that wants to scale and is trying to be really efficient with spending, but doesn't look so good for a fire-and-forget website that gets updated once a month or less.
If only society were a deterministic machine where we as the operators had perfect knowledge of the internal state.

If society and economics were a computer, if we were the infallible geniuses we think we are, we could simply compose a software to centrally plan society.

This is the impression I get from cryptocurrency haters on this site.
He has a theoretical degree in astrophysics.
No paywall: https://12ft.io/proxy?q=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.wired.com%2Fstory%...
Why is it ethical for you to fly in a plane and run your clothes drier but not for someone in Afghanistan to buy food and protect their money by using bitcoin?
You're talking about Apple, right?

First smartphone, produced by IBM.
First portable media player, produced by Archos.
First tablet computer, produced by Cambridge Media.

Apple are infamous for taking someone else's idea, giving it a bit more polish, than marketing it as though they came up with it in the first place.
Same. Have been trying for minutes with the same software running and on Wi-Fi. All pings around 4ms with no spikes at all.