skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Is there a reliable base rate for accidental lab releases and near-misses. I really wish we had better data on how often accidents occur.

Even with that I struggle how to use base rate analysis here. Depending on how heated up a a pathogen is a simple error or rogue employee (Ft. Detrick) could doom a significant fraction of humanity. Is the juice worth the squeeze? Doesn’t feel like it.

Gain of function research does not strike me as particularly distinct from of bioweapons research, though (hopefully) the intent is different.
No, it's not either of those, it's just launching useless threads, plus all the down-stream effects of launching useless threads, e.g. if you have blending on, that will block the ROP unit which needs to wait for the threads for a given pixel in-order. If you have depth write on, that will move the write to late-Z.

More vertices is not a big problem, doubling your vertex count is not a big deal, since most GPUs process vertices in groups of 32 or more, and whether multiple instances get packed in the same group depends on the GPU vendor.
Doesn’t account for the fact that many are under rent control, own houses from decades ago, etc.

It’s better to look at the average incomes of people who are buying houses in SF.
Pascal lacks destructors and templates. No dice.
His post on how GPS works is equally excellent[1] (as are, I'm sure, the rest of his posts).

[1]: https://ciechanow.ski/gps/
Agreed, if you have no need to bust a NAT, just set up wireguard directly yourself, and avoid closed source products from corporations managing your most secure and private data.
Lovely and wonderfully punny write up.

I wonder if they've done any proper Cox proportional hazards lifetime analysis across the different models? The stats for this sort of problem are well developed. Of course, the hazard is not going to be proportional, I suspect, bit I'd love to see that come out of the regression...
It has always been this way. You are getting old and it will get worse.
“You got a really high CME this cycle” is the meme du jour I’ve heard
Acid Attack
As someone who uses stock GNOME on Fedora with only minor theme tweaks on most of my devices - speak for yourself! On my touchscreen laptop the large buttons are welcome, and when scaled down on a 4K display it doesn’t matter that much. On my desktop I do use arc-theme however, so I see where you’re coming from.
> I guess those people … really don't matter? They're no longer working, they can't hurt anyone else.

Of course they matter. They're reflections of the entire system they existed in. There are a lot of Detective Conleys out there, and Detective Conley probably mentored at least a few of them. The same goes for the prosecutor.

The question isn't how do we deal with them, the question is how we change the system to stop manufacturing people like them and then giving them the power to do these things.
Nice! Now show us how a mechanical watch with a 3-axis tourbillon works: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5TveIl2whXY
Came here to say the same thing. This incredibly well done, well written, well executed, well... everything. How does one find, not only the talent, but the patience to do such incredible work... Mind boggling.
I'm not a big fan of Java personally, as in I would not start a side project with it.

But in this case it's actually a great choice. Static typing, stable, mature, good performance, known by tons of engineers all over the world... And heavily used in the enterprise market which has a very real need for SSO.
Electric bass player here. Oh and I'm quite mediocre too.

I think a musical notation system should not be driven by edge cases, which is what a bunch of HNers pointing out where this system falls short (microtonals, equal temperment sucks, etc, blah blah). Second, I think standard notation is designed for piano soloists, not for bands.

I've found the most effective system for sharing musical ideas with a band is the so called "Nashville Numbers System." Why is this? Well because you can't apply a capo to a vocalist. Every time I play with a different vocalist, there's going to be a key change. When we talk in terms of scale degrees "hey guys play 6m, 5/7, root", rather than "oh hey play a Em, D, G, wait j/k, that's too low, can you play G#m, F#, B? oh wait, earl over there says playing G#m on acoustic is impossible, go another half step up" everything is easy.

What does this require? Every musician needs to memorize scales, which isn't very hard. The process is: decide on the root as a band, then jam. And you handle accidentals as they come up as edge cases, rather than have them drive the bus off a cliff.

So how can we take this successful concept and apply it to notation?

I think there are two main issues with standard notation: First, the key signature is embedded into the notation. This was like HTML before CSS: the presentation should be separated from the content.

Here's the hill I'll die on: given that you're going to be playing in equal temperament, we don't need to have _any_ information about the key in musical notation. The only thing that matters is intervals. 99.95% of the audience doesn't have perfect pitch and they don't care either. All notes on the staff should be relative to some arbitrary root.

Which brings us to the second problem: Standard notation does not represent octaves consistently. This is the dumbest UX failure that annoys the absolute shit of out me as a bass player. If I want to mirror the melody line in a song for a section, I have to switch my brain from reading Bass clef where I live, to fumbling through Treble cleff notes, and they're all in the wrong spots.

Looking at the link, there are some improvements on the above two points. I do think there is still a leaky abstraction about the key signature. Given that I write things down as relative scale degrees anyway, I'd take this over standard notation any day if I learned to read it.
> What is median household income for families in both of these cities?

What is the median credit card debt for them in these cities?

What is the median annual savings for them in these cities?
Is that generally true? A third-party authentication servive is needed just to get it going, or is that needed for specific use cases?
Also every 90 days you have to do some weird dance to keep the apps receiving your data, it never seems to work right and you forget. I would think building a business on such flakey APIs is dubious at best!
I agree, but don't think the original comment deserves down voting. It's an acceptable argument. Might not hold water, though.
I'm building a SaaS for e-commerce analytics. It's pre-launch right now, so not too much to share :)
Yandex Food Fined 60k Rubles (US$773) for Leaking User Data
I’m self-taught in all that I’ve learned in tech, even in music production and audio engineering. I was thinking the Google certification would be beneficial because of their network of companies, and the entire tech industry is much more formal it seems compared to the hip-hop music industry which is like the Wild West to the tenth degree.
I’m trying to learn a new skill, that’s why I was perhaps thinking of a Certification, where I can still create music and run my studio as I gain the tech knowledge and confidence in a 6-month course and continue forward. Thank you
Don't you have to also trust Tailscales closed source coordinator node?
Mechanical watches can last a lifetime (or more) if properly maintained and periodically serviced, just like old cars.

People all over the world pass down their Rolexes and Omegas, still ticking, to their children and even grandchildren. Patek Philippe is well known for their slogan, "You never actually own a Patek Philippe. You merely look after it for the next generation," showing confidence in the longevity of their watches.

Of course those are very expensive brands, but I think part of what makes expensive watches last longer is that their owners take good care of them. Few people bother to get their SKX checked up on a regular schedule, on the other hand, because they're so cheap and easily replaceable by first-world standards.
I completely disagree - it’s trying to be too much. It’s concept of tags is insane. Tags shouldn’t be a link they should be a means of categorization and more.
A month is really slow. When I last interviewed every place gave me an offer within a week, and they would informally tell me I was getting one usually within 24 hours.
The APIs aren't amazing, and you need to be a financial service provider to access production environment. Aka useless for any startup or person
All of these carrier expansion boards are just using switches...The RPi CM4 just has one x1 PCIe lane exposed. If that's "hacky", yes, you need a big x86 ATX motherboard with 24 or 20 lanes of PCIe.

You might find some boards using an ASMedia ASM1184e 1->4 PCIe mux. There are riser boards available that just have this one chip on them and let you plug in four PCIe SATA cards. Those cards often use something like a JMicron JMB585 chip to convert one PCIe lane into 5 SATA lanes. Boards like this embed, for example, chained Realtek RTL8367 Ethernet switches to offer more network ports.

It's true that when all your carrier board IO flows through a single PCIe 3.0 lane, you do end up with a bottleneck. You're going to be unable to saturate 10 SATA drives simultaneously. However, your data source is probably not /dev/random, it's more likely a single network client reading from a single SATA drive. Remember, this isn't a high-performance server, it's a low-power ARM SBC (now an MBC, once you stack a CM4 on a carrier under a PCIe switch with some PCIe-SATA cards...)
So how do you use this for personal stuff? I know you mentioned the Pi, but what else do you use it for?
Noncustodial bitcoin wallets are still wallets. The function of a wallet is to keep your money secure and facilitate sending it to others. Having a bank be a proxy to this is both absurd and normal.

Users should be aware and make a conscious decision about where their keys are kept, however this is usually something that doesn't matter until they either lose their phone or law enforcement freezes/seizes their money. It's pretty high up on Maslow's hierarchy of financial freedom.
I recommend breaking up a large body of text into paragraphs for easier consumption.

But also, certifications aren't bad but having a small project that you can apply what you learn to will give you a lot of confidence.
Yes, given "getting hit by a bus" is a probabilistic event that is independent of my working hours, I would rather make 2x for half as many years, all other things being equal. I'd also rather make 3x for a third as many years, and so on, if it were possible. Given time value of money and compounding interest, it's always better to front load your working time and make Nx for 1/N as much calendar time worked.

And for the controversial part: The above is why I think it's insane to, for example, take 1-2 years of not working, early in your 20s, to go see the world and "find yourself." Those 1-2 years, if spent earning, could mean retiring an extra 3-6 years earlier.
I haven't payed them a penny despite using their product for a while. And now that I've realized this, I've signed up for their personal pro plan.
Dear God I need to find my CD of it and try. Good that I didn't skip the DVD drive in my second latest PC build ...
I kinda work this way on my personal projects: first I come up with a rough idea of the UX, and only then do I start implementing it. The desired UX ends up driving the decisions about the implementation details and technicalities — not the other way around as it often happens in much of modern software. And I, of course, disregard the time component.
The currency and account names used in the demo seems to be localized.
I get kr and olanordman (johndoe in the US?) on my Norwegian IP device

If it gets peoples attention like it did mine maybe it’s worth the dev time to implement?
Could you please go into more detail regarding "a full little identity provider and authenticating proxy"? Does nginx-proxy-manager do something like SSO?
Take Five
Erm that’s not true at all.
>I believe that the collapse of our global civilization is both inevitable and imminent. Climate changes make it inevitable. Peak oil and cultural bankruptcy make it imminent.

Climate change isn't making it inevitable. In fact, climate change and a shift in society will make the collapse impossible. The economic boost of needing to adjust society to handle the migration away from oil regardless to climate change will employ many people and should reduce scarcity greatly. Crisis situations are what bring economies to bare. It's the idea of the war economy, but really any crisis economy operates the same. We have even see the moon race economy, the entire 'crisis' can be entirely artificial.

Peak oil? No, we are artificially depressing the oil industry with carbon taxes and other similar efforts. We aren't at peak oil. Not to mention, we haven't even hit the price scarcity threshold to push synthetics to the forefront of production, and so synth peak oil hasn't even started rising.

Cultural bankruptcy? I'm not sure what that even means? Reading the footnote and the rest of the article never explains this to any satisfaction.

>What I'm more interested in is that regardless of its timeline, we're going to get there, we're going to reach the threshold where civilization collapses. So, you can make the point that civilization still stands at 3C. When does it fall? 4C? 6C? 8C?

None of these. These are all lies.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Representative_Concentration_P...

Read exactly what 8.5 actually says. It's an unscientific, 'we magic coal out of thin air' to pollute more than the fossil fuel reserves could possible do and it's still only 3.7c by 2100.

There is no 4C, 6C, or 8C.

>We're going to reach it because we've already failed. 1.5C was the limit, we busted it. The goalpost has moved to 2C, but we're going to bust it too. The feedback loops have begun and are out of our control now.

Says you? That's not the limit at all.

>It's official, we've passed peak oil in 2019. Big oil now officially admits it itself: even in their more optimist predictions, they are not expecting production to reach 2019's level again.

Lol no. Tons of governments are actively working against 'big oil' and artificially created peak oil and that isn't even official like you said. In fact, your peak oil assertion was disproven only months ago post-ukraine.

>The underlying cause of this is that for 200 years, we've been on an energy binge. We're at the end of it, we're looking for our next fix, but there isn't going to be one. We just need to drastically reduce our energy consumption.

China and India is literally building Gigawatts of coal power plants right now with amortization periods of 20+ years. We are VERY far from reducing energy consumption. This binge just started.

You know what's collapsing right now. The political viewpoint that is behind this article. You can definitely tell.
Sorry if I ignore anyone who compares the authority CDC should have to that of a cop
So pay is a prerequisite and not skillset? Surely that would just be a "professional researcher", no?

And even so, does a freelance researcher "have a job", in the traditional sense?
Some 5/4 on 5/4:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Take_Five
> Feel free to check their app for that

First-party end-to-end encryption is broken by design, especially in the presence of auto-updating.
Should have just said toxic humanistic traits
Better to spend $1.1b lobbying for a $100/tonne Carbon Tax. Heck, for $1.1b you could probably just buy a US President or their children.
Do you have a link ? There are many smart home software so I am wondering if it is a specific one.
You can use a security key or TOTP app instead of providing your phone number.
Afaik github doesn't force you to reveal your phone number, you can setup OTP or U2F token instead.
This echoes my read of this article as well. Any system for promotion has tradeoffs. You can't just say "this system's tradeoffs suck, we should have a new system with no tradeoffs."

I'll admit, I don't really have a good solution. My strategy has been to just stick to early-stage startups where everyone is aligned on company success. Would love to hear some more meaningful discussion of alternative systems for managing career ladders.
Pretty sure Plaid already has integrated directly with bank's APIs and has been moving away from screen scraping for years.

Plaid's flakiness / reliance on screen scraping is probably that a lot of these banks don't expose APIs / OAuth etc.
The freezing of bank accounts of political dissidents has precedent in recent history
There are still plenty of decentralized (non-corporate owned) social platforms like Matrix, Scuttlebutt, Mastadon, Gemini to experiment with, set up for your own community or meet people and make friends online.
SQLite?
Depends on how high. You don't want to be in the "off in the corner" research group which is usually comprised of very high level engineers (senior or staff level or higher). You definitely don't want to be high up in the middle tier either. What you want is to be known to your Vice Presidents and above. That's when you reached "high enough" to avoid the great cull.

I witnessed this more times than I can count.

Otherwise its all balance sheet calculations and maybe your manager can pull a punch or two if the product area is critical enough.
I can't help but feel the article is biased. The first line is "The launch of ... Chivo, has been a flop ...". Has it? It seems like there's more nuance than this broad stroke.

Here's a snippet from section 4, "Concluding Remarks" of the original paper [0]:

"""
Despite these efforts and the incentive to use contactless payments caused by the
COVID-19 pandemic, bitcoin is not widely used as a medium of exchange. While most
citizens in El Salvador have a cell phone with internet, less than 60% of them downloaded
Chivo Wallet, and 20% continued to use the app after spending their $30 sign-up bonus.
Further, 5% of citizens have paid taxes with bitcoin, and despite its legal tender status,
only 20% of firms—mostly large ones—accept bitcoin and 11.4% report having positive
sales in bitcoin. In the first quarter of 2022, we find almost no new adopters and the
share of remittances in bitcoin is at its lowest point since Chivo Wallet’s launch. Our
results highlight the challenges that cryptocurrencies face to become widely accepted,
even after a governmental big push and under favourable circumstances, and are relevant
for countries studying their viability as currencies
"""

So, 60% adoption of Chivo, 20% (total, not of the 60%) still in current use. 20% of firms accept Bitcoin and, as far as I can tell presumably over half, 11.4%, of total firms report positive sales in Bitcoin (figure 8, page 24), with 2% (total) seeing losses and the rest, 87%, reporting no change.

It's not the large scale adoption that proponents had hoped for but 20% adoption by people and businesses still seems pretty large.

[0] https://bfi.uchicago.edu/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/BFI_WP_2...
The sexist part is not the "hard problems" but the competitiveness. I don't think sexism is intrinsic to solving hard problems - certainly gender-inclusive companies work on hard problems successfully. But in my experience those companies tend to be more collaborative.

Google needs to celebrate heroes. Like Jeff Dean. Or Sanjay Ghemawat. Those are Great Men. They are "Living Gods" because they solved Really Hard Problems. Getting into that class of people requires being a "lead" which necessarily means other people around you aren't leading. So you need to prove why you're worthy of being the "lead" which means proving the others around you aren't. This is toxic masculinity. Not solving hard problems.
Tailscale investor here. I can assure you we share the same vision with the founders.
GitHub does not have my phone number (although it's trivial to obtain). I use their TOPT 2FA.
I work at Google and the who promotion culture is very toxic. People are incentivized to "Launch" things just in time to get promo and only to abandon it or switch teams in search of the next promo. It also gets hypercompetitive and harms teamwork sometimes. The promotions are usually B.S. anyway, they add stress and usually remove a good functioning engineer from doing good work into more "non technical leadership" work.

The Truth is, people really want promos for the extra money and more stock. I say, just give them the extra money and stock privately, and only promote people when there's a job to be filled for that position.
You could spend time to learn about the process, deal with months or years of lobbying, deal with counter-lobbying, and eventually win your position or maybe not. Or you could use this technical workaround.

And maybe we're all worse-off for it, but now you're done dealing with that issue.
> Stealing/nationalizing property, even for a year, results in higher costs to do business in the future due to the assumed risk.

It's a good thing that's not what they did, then. Making landlords wait to be paid for a limited time is not the same thing as "stealing," and furthermore there were billions upon billions in subsidies passed around to mitigate the effects of this very reasonable measure.

It's telling that the best we can come up with to criticize the CDC's actions is "won't someone think of the landlords."
> nobody's allowed to question it otherwise it's civil flame war.

With enough years in this industry I'm starting to see how much of the culture is just "cargo cult Silicone[sic] Valley!" -- People are doing things just because the latest/greatest unicorn did it that way, and frequently there is a form of Zen/Chan disregard of meaning or learnings from the past. "Move fast and break things" often plays out as "Disregard knowledge and act like there wont be consequences" . I frequently see threads/posts on HN by experienced people laughing that "we've known this since the 70s" in reference to The Mythical Man Month, or other bits from Computer Science, and yet most managers think they know better than decades of industry experience.
Consider checking out the ‘no code’ movement and learning a platform like Bubble.io. If you’ve tinkered with code before you’ll have a leg up and there are tons of free resources to help you learn. Quite a few opportunities from there to turn it into six figure freelance or full time gigs, or continue the journey and become a full stack dev.
You run it still..?
We need app store competition, not Apple's 1960s style paternalistic monopoly
If they just scammed 1.1 billion from John Doerr, they have my respect to be honest.
I don't think you can, but if you're uneasy about spending that much money on underwear, you don't have to. There are options that are 90% as good at half the price. It's like with most other products, there is a point of diminishing returns. If you really want the most comfy underwear, they are worth checking out.
There are a ton of unsolved problems in both ML and quantum computing with photonics.

We are so far away from being able to do this with photonic quantum computers that I am really skeptical that you actively work in this field.

FWIW, I know quite a lot of people involved in AMO physics (which involves related techniques) and work in ML myself.

2025-2030 is way too soon for these things to come to fruition.
In my experience most of the perf-review is a show.

Promos typically have a "pecking order", determined by how long you have been asking for one (or performing at the next level if you have some meritocracy), the amount of budget available for promos this time, your age (easier to promote "mature" people), D&I status, proximity of ethnicity to your managers biases (could be implicit, doesn't matter for the outcome), height (tall people promoted easier), introversion vs. extroversion, and just if your manager likes you.

Also they ask you to give vague, subjective snippets that will be weaponized against your colleagues in form of "feedback" for the next 6-18 months.

So it's better to not partake in this type of time wasting activity.