skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
> Someone needs to actually issue the futures, and I'm not sure who would do it; these 'futures' contracts seem more like straight bets than actual futures.

You're right I didn't mention specifics of on who would create these. A naive answer would have been "why not anyone?", but you bring up an interesting point on who would actually hold the bet for a long duration of time and be guaranteed for pay-offs.

I disagree with the problem of enforceability of the paying out in case someone looses a long position, since it's also a current problem with the standard futures for stocks/commodities, where the brokerage firm would be liable for paying up in case of defaulting on a margin call, so similar structure might be imagined for these cases.

With regards who might create these futures, the government seems like a good candidate, but really if we do have a solid clearinghouse with similar structure for handling margin calls etc. I don't see why not anyone can create these.

The regulatory concerns for implementing these is very valid, but I was primarily just interested in exploring the idea.
What Scott is doing there is a hyper-advanced blogging technique called "making a joke" and he's using hyperbole to do it.
IKEA are already moving towards the latter with normal banking. Large retailers offering banking services is fairly common in some places.
Outside academia you need to do a lot of data cleaning and feature engineering, and if you’re constantly changing the model as well as the data you’ll never be able to attribute changes to either.

I get the concern but sometimes I really just do want a black box regressor or classifier. Model performance monitoring is important, but I don't care about attribution.

Chances are a DBA wouldn’t consider letting you do data engineering in a live production database anyway, so this really is all academic.

Maybe it isn't data engineering, but I'm curious what you'd call using Google's BigQuery ML? "BigQuery ML enables users to create and execute machine learning models in BigQuery by using standard SQL queries."

I haven't used it in production, but I'd use it in a heartbeat if I was on BigQuery.
It's not that modern, on a phone the photos are only half visible.
Conan is the best type of character to deal with terror-inducing beings like shoggoths or Cthulhu. His extremely uncomplicated conscience coupled with high intelligence makes him totally immune to fear that suppresses 'civilized' people.
> That went well for Texas' abortion law, didn't it..?

That would depend on what your conscience says, wouldn't it?

> Majority is also not always right, not when it's used to tyrannise the minority.

If a person's conscience tells them that abortion is murder, how would enacting a law against it, for that person, be any different than enacting a law against murder? Nobody argues that laws against murder are "tyrannizing the minority" who want to commit murder.

Or, to look at it the other way, if a person's conscience tells them that abortion is murder, but the majority in the state they live in think it isn't, and the laws of the state they live in, which are in accord with the wishes of the majority, permit abortions liberally, is that majority "tyrannizing" that person?
That's his name on hn!!

I just realized it looks like I'm calling him a bad name!
A fun guess-the-output to illustrate the implicit/permissive nature of JS:

console.log(parseInt("020" + 020, base=5))

Most languages would throw an error because "020" + 020 = "02016" and we try to parse this in base 5. However, the parseInt function silently stops reading the input if it encounters an invalid character.

Language design nitpicks:

- the octal prefix is kind of difficult to see and could lead to accidental conversions, at least the clearer representation 0o20 is also understood.
- the parseInt function understands the prefix 0x, but not 0b, 0o and only when the base is 16 or not set
You're comparing apples and oranges. Compare how many cars Toyota vs Tesla puts on the road. Then divide the number of cases here 89 by that multiplier. You will find that even if Tesla had similar issues, they would in many cases just not be detected.
You can still count on people to use it as an argument 5 years from now.
Ya that actually sounds like a pretty decent course. I asked because the impression I've got from bootcampers over the last few years has basically been some React based thing and not much else outside that, except probably some basic node stuff
Now that's a creative way to burn a pile of cash. Makes me glad that my government hasn't heard about mEtAvErSe yet.
I don't know whether Shakti didn't support C extension in the past, but it certainly supports it now. I just checked the decoder source code right now.
just in case you haven't already seen it, David Rumsey's website is the most amazing collection of historical maps.
https://www.davidrumsey.com/
This is also against the same HN guidelines.

Not the right venue for ad-hominem attacks with zero information:

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=31156073

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=31134308

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=31057599

etc
Meatballs are pretty common all over the world and many cultures have their own variants. The Swedish ones are quite similar to the ones in the rest of the Nordics, apart from their smaller size. I suspect there's as many recipies as there are grandmothers.

G'Kar describes it well in Babylon 5:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bVLkxSSvegc
It's also not free. The shop is also convoluted, its not clear what version you should even be buying. This might be a great case for the reasons behind the original OPs share.
5kloc isn't really all that much code, especially in assembly.
> I'm surprised they wrote a minimal C compiler in assembly rather than any LISP dialects, then make a C compiler in LISP

I recommend you check out the author's GitHub page. It includes Forth and Lisp projects, explains why C was a success while those projects failed, and challenges any Forth and Lisp fan to actually substantiate their baseless claims with actual work instead of pushing beliefs that don't have any bearing on reality.
> "300 megawatts (MW) of electricity ... is enough energy to power 300,000 homes for one year."

This statement reflects the quality of the article.

There is nothing very interesting about SMRs. They are much more expensive than equivalent renewables, so they will only be built by coercion of ratepayers who would be better served by the alternative.
Is there an app store link anywhere?
Is this only in the US or in the EU as well?

The other day I was really happy to see Pans&Co use all paper based packaging, including somewhat paper straws. Now thinking that those straws could contain these chemicals scares me a bit. Although the staws I used could only be used once or twice, they get all mushy after a bit (which is a good sign, hopefully).
After getting frustrated with SSG, I evaluated a few options. SSGs usually begin as niche products and then add more features and become bloated with them. Ultimately, they have so many bells and whistles I don't need that it's not worth dealing with them.

I wanted something simple e.g. based on pandoc. I have also tried writing posts in pure HTML. HTML has lots of advantages, but when you have to read your own stuff, it's not very pretty. Markdown brings more clarity to your documents and also allows you to embed HTML.

I have used Sergey [1] to create some basic HTML templates, but it is not as pleasant to use as Markdown. Also, generating RSS and creating archives are problematic. This should be automated.

I decided to use Blot [2]. I am not familiar with the author, but I think it is a good tiny product worth recommending. It will turn any document into a page. You can create an HTML page and it will be embedded into your template. The author appears to be nice [3]. The code is open source.

[1]: https://sergey.cool/
[2]: https://blot.im/
[3]: https://blot.im/about/notes/politics
Does it often happen to you that you talk about Ai and, three minutes later, find yourself arguing with every search machine on the planet that it’s impossible that someone would say nasty things about your favorite fascist?
I also appreciate honest dialog, like the fact that every single survey has found that the majority of americans support women's rights. That a sitting member of the Supreme Court has a very plausible rape accusation that has been ignored, the another member of the Supreme Court has a track record of sexist treatment and harassment of court staff, and that one has written at length about how she would at best recuse herself if the law ever disagreed with her faith.

Rulings like this clearly attack all women in America, which is over 50% of all Americans. They don't get to just ignore it. It was also realistically a planned ruling - from the GOP deliberating preventing the nomination of an SC under Obama (because it was a "lame duck" session, also "the replacement should also be conservative"), before placing their own appointment on the court, or when they then replaced RBG with a hyper conservative judge in a few weeks despite it being a lame duck session mere weeks prior to the election.

The reality is one major american party has stated, very clearly, that its core principles are: removing women's bodily autonomy (check), removing LGBT rights (multiple states have even started passing legislation to explicitly allow bullying LGBT kids at school), suppressing votes of non-white americans (even republican judges, appointed by republican controlled state governments, in republican states have repeatedly declared numerous actions taken by the GOP to be unconstitutional).

The fact that you're literally threatening to flag me, because you disagree with me politically, about a matter of whether all humans have rights no less, is quite revealing in of itself.
Oh why we do this to ourselves cohort?
Aquapur: The World’s First AI Water Dispenser
From a minute of googling this isn't the full picture. Abortion in Texas is legal up to the point where there is a "detected heart beat", supposedly around 6 weeks.
On the closure and event loop one, I suspect some people might wonder if you can change the output by adjusting the timing; if an iteration took over 100ms, would it then emit different values? Well, you can try it:

for (var i = 0; i < 3; i++) {
const end = Date.now() + 100;
while (Date.now() < end);
setTimeout(() => {
console.log(i);
}, 100);
}

The answer is no, it will still log three thrice, because of how the event loop works: execution is single-threaded, which means that anything you queue up, whether microtasks like promises or tasks like timeouts, has to wait until you finish what you’re executing. There’s no preemption.
It's not mythical, it's very real. Look at the constitution and educational credentials of UK cabinet ministers and Parliament. It's often Eton > Oxford U. In order of prestige, it's undeniably Oxford, Cambridge, and Imperial in that order (and St Andrews if you allow for Scotland). The reason why name-dropping Oxford in that cringetastic manner is done is because people respond to branding, just like Americans do with Ivy League schools such as Harvard and Princeton.
Author here, just wanted to say thanks for making Capacitor. It's been an absolute pleasure to use. Something about the plugin architecture just really clicked for me. I hope I wasn't too negative about Ionic at the start of the post, I get a little carried away while writing sometimes. Love your work, and thanks again. :)
This is pretty cool, there's so much value in knowing how to create things, same as in manufacturing, producing drugs etc.

I would love to get guided through how they wrote this.
I ordered a Bip U, they just sent me a Bip U Pro for the same price stating it is better and the Bip U is discontinued. I cried a little because the Pro has an lcd screen. Are there really so little people that want a Pebble like experience?

BTW TBH I don’t really like Amazfit/Xiaomi, their terms tell you they can get basically all your data. With Pebble I felt a sort of trust, which I also have with Apple (but sleep tracking on a 1 day battery smart watch is bit of a bad joke).

I used the Bip U Pro on Android with GadgetBridge which is really amazing and perfectly privacy focused. Sadly when I switched to iOS I found nothing equivalent.

I want Pebble back.
For some reason, I always enjoy reading about UA history. There’s rarely anything new (for me, partially because I lived through some of those earlier changes), but I’m still entertained.

This had a new tidbit in the final section, though: They are working on a new XR browser [0] and history is repeating itself.

Only tangentially related, but when I checked the mobile browser stats for Germany, I found out about Instabridge which seems to be some ad-tech wifi password sharing app and seems close (7.75 % - 10.58 % to overtaking Samsung Internet as 3rd biggest browser. It appears as if almost all their users came from Safari.

[0]: https://wolvic.com/

[1]: https://gs.statcounter.com/browser-market-share/mobile/germa...
I agree. However, it was refreshing to find that it meant it was for Linux, which is the defacto OS to ignore in the "PC and Mac" world.

It's also not a bad exercise for Windows and Mac users to learn that the best way to determine this is to go to the downloads section and/or look for system requirements.
They're extremely cheap to make and very light yet strong.

A plastic jar is going to weigh like 10% of what a glass jar the same size weighs and it won't shatter if you drop it. That's a pretty big advantage when you're shipping a tractor trailer full of jars of spaghetti sauce or something.
they usually used triangulation, the same as today. they select an line as the startimg point and measure it exactly as possible(doesn't need to be long) and then you can calculate the rest with the measured angles of the area you want to measure. The rest is replicating it on paper with the required factor.
>It's a perfectly frequentist thing to do to compare a sequence of probabilistic predictions to the realised outcomes to see how well-calibrated they are.

Yeah but it's a philosophical point of view. The bayesian sees this calibration process as the probability changing with more knowledge. The frequentist sees it as exactly you described a calibration... a correction on what was previously a more wrong probability.

>A weather forecaster that looks at satellite images will score better than one that predicts every day the average global rainfall. Being a frequentist doesn't prevent you from trying to do as well as you can.

Look at this way. Let's say I know that the next 100 days there will be sunny weather every day except for the 40th day, the 23rd day, the 12th day, the 16th day, the 67th day, the 21st day, the 19th day, the 98th day, and the 20th day. On those days there will be rain.

Is there any practicality if I say in the next 100 days there's a 9% chance of rain? I'd rather summarize that fact then regurgitate that mouthful. The statement and usage of the worse model is still relevant and has semantic meaning.

This is a example of deliberately choosing a model that is objectively worse then the previous one but it is chosen because it is more practical. In the same way we use approximate models, entropy is the same thing.

Personally I think this is irrelevant to the argument. I bring it up because associating the mathematical definitions of these concepts with practical daily intuition seems to be help your understanding.
In todays world there is no apology he could give that would make people happy.

People online are brutal. It's better not to engage at all.
Tend to agree with your sentiment. What are, in your opinion, three undervalued novels from the last 100 years that you would consider to be among the highest human achievements in fiction?
I'm aware of the population distribution.

Only WA+NT are not connected to the national grid.

The problem with having a nuclear power plant on the coast where there's sufficient reliable water is that nobody wants one in their back yard.

(Yes there's parts of the WA/NT/QLD/SA coastlines where population drops to bugger all, but they're generally less suitable for all sorts of reasons)

Putting them inland where they're still near major interstate grid connections runs into the water problem again.

Which is a problem Canada doesn't have.
It definitely sounds better than AMBE2 in DMR.
Chart-topping original movies have gone extinct
> They are much more expensive than equivalent renewables,

This statement reflects the quality of the comment.

Renewables need significant storage to be directly comparable, cost-wise, to nuclear. There are no currently existing grid level storage solutions, same as SMRs, and both are invested in.

And you're missing a huge part of the equation - we're talking about Canada, the northern cold parts. Which renewables would run there ( maybe wind?) and which storage solution could be viable to withstand the cold and storms and what not?
It's not really as bad as you suspect. A lot of homesteaders target food self-sufficiency on a quarter acre; while there's some debate [1] over whether that's possible, pessimistic estimates for the amount of space needed to feed a skilled organic gardener's family of 4-6 top out at about an acre. A 100x100m plot is about 2.5 acres.

The bigger problems are a.) skills and b.) labor. Homesteading methods basically require full-time gardening by people who have put significant efforts into maximizing yields, intercropping, planting multiple harvests, growing vertically, etc. The advantage of our mechanized farming system is that we can feed the population with 1.4% of the population.

[1] https://www.theseasonalhomestead.com/the-truth-about-self-su...
Good point about cultural differences.

In Finland for example small talk is seen as a waste of time. A famous example of course being Kimi Räikkönen :)
Finally! I have a VM set up for years with calibre to automatically convert epub to mobi and email them to my kindle.
Keeping Up with Google Semiconductor
I feel obliged to state that I am submitting this, because of all the examples of ridiculous consumer largess, a water dispenser with corresponding mobile apps being sold for 130 USD in a world where 25% of the planet lack a tap that produces water that is safe to drink [1] really does take the biscuit.

[1] https://www.unicef.org/press-releases/billions-people-will-l...
Vast swaths of uninhabited land makes plenty of room for solar panels that will not threaten to poison anybody. Build out enough of them, and they can desalinate sea water to turn the whole continent green.
> _no_ model can predict what state the cat is in.

Perhaps you meant to say "...state the cat will be in when observed"?

Otherwise, an important nitpick applies: superposition means that the system is not in any single state, so there's nothing to "predict" - it's a superposition of all possible states.

Prediction comes in when one asks what state will be observed when a measurement is made. As far as we know, that can only be answered probabilistically. So no model can specifically predict the outcome of a measurement, when multiple outcomes are possible.
> But that doesn't poof the bacteria out of existence.

By “definition” I meant “the rhizopine signaling pathway”, implying that no pathway → no symbiosis. Of course that signal insensitive strains or species can exist. It’s a symbiote and not a parasite, after all.
For what it's worth, since you mentioned it, I've found Elixir & Phoenix to be incredibly easy to setup for that purpose.
In an hour I had a website running plain HTML and CSS and a few pages with server-side dynamism. In two I had a database, secure auth and stripe integration, it is insanely fast.

I think the issue is more cultural than technical to be honest. If you want to learn how to make a website the first thing you're told to do is install node and spin up npm, it's nonsensical. You can't even buy an HTML template anymore, I wanted some nice looking CSS for my website, I searched all over, even bought a few and they all came with 20 scripts out of the box. Even the supposedly pure CSS libraries that advertise themselves as JS-free come with Javascript (just try to make a responsive header in Bulma). It is an insane culture that seems to have forgotten that HTML and CSS are sufficient to implement 99% of what's online today.
I only know internet commentators to talk about how VS Code is fast enough. In meat space, no one has ever said that VS Code is performant, just that it is free and X company has standardised on it.
The Measure Of All Things is a book about the effort to measure the circumference of the earth to establish the length of the metre, about twenty years after these maps were made. The book goes into a bit of the technology used to reduce errors.

But on further reading, it looks like there was an advance in theodolite design between when these maps were published and the survey for the metre. Wikipedia provides a good rabbit hole.

https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/847635.The_Measure_of_Al...

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Theodolite
They all have biases. Many have ugly ownership too.

Rather than write them.off blanket style as is implied here, best move is to seek diversity.

One way, on economic labor issues, which are basically not covered from a labor point of view in the US, is to seek that from indie media and or foreign sources.

Say it is war. Same deal due to owner conflicts of interest.

Other topics work in a similar way. Each one can do great work and often will so long as it does not run afoul of a stakeholder.

Watch for that, factor it in and pay attention to specific authors.

That is how I generally get broad opinion and more inclusive bodies of facts.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Onkalo_spent_nuclear_fuel_repo...

Is a good starting point. There has been a lot of thought put into this.
300 million in todays day and age seems like a bargain.
Also Openshot and specially Shotcut.
Why are they "super corrupt?" That would be criminal, would it not be?
This is a great app! Well done, and you’re right barely any difference.

That said, raising compliant kids is sooo boring :)
UFS: A filesystem semi-microkernel designs for device performance delivery
If there is a coupon on the bond, then there must be risk.

No risk, no reward.

You've only addressed credit risk above. But come on, we all know there are all kinds of other risks at play here.
Real world:

Compile 3 times to figure out the answer in 30 seconds and never do the wrong one again, saving your employer about 1,000 man hours across the team, which they’ll instead use to interview additional people seeing if they unnecessarily memorized these answers and smugly pretend that “anybody that doesn’t know this basic knowledge is a joke, source: me, I made that up on the spot for my ego” not knowing what the day to day coding challenges are at all from the very people that were hired to “hit the ground running”
Why write "base=5"? That makes it a variable, not a python-style named argument.
A little silly to assert that with respect to Orange County, when it's the home of the largest indirect potable reuse system in the world.

https://www.ocwd.com/gwrs/

Only one out of 19 of the municipal water districts have committed to buying Poseidon water due to the cost and risk.
Signicant storage is cheap and getting cheaper, much faster than wind or solar ever did. By the time we have built out enough renewables to benefit from storage, storage will be cheap enough to hardly notice.
Thank you. All of the above are fun. I will take the jump off points you linked and go looking.

We like to get lost in the art, story, puzzles and exploration, ideally with other fun to be found.

And it is just us. That is nice.
Things like cobbling on a bunch of heuristic rule-based behaviours that wouldn't look good in the public repo of a supposed quasi-AGI system?