skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
> Real worker earnings fell by another 0.8% during the month as the cost of living outpaced otherwise strong pay gains.

Most post-WWII recessions were preceded by or coincident with a spike in CPI (and not coincidentally by record-low unemployment numbers). This point is widely overlooked and plain forgotten. A substantial CPI-spike preceded the GFC, for example.

Here's a handy chart to look into this further:

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CPIAUCSL#0

Way too much attention is being focused on the Fed at this point. The Fed is pretty much a bystander engaged in a psychological operation on the American Public. It talked up the current stock market bubble with its pointless QE and now it's in the process of talking down the bubble as gently as it knows how.

Meanwhile markets are telling you what's about to happen. The inversion of the Eurodollar curve in late 2021 and Treasury yield curve more recently are telling you that a recession is on the way. The speed with which interest rates have been fluctuating tells you that something big could be in the works. The sudden appearance of large amounts of housing inventory, partially resulting from spikes in long-term rates tells you that market is peaking. Overvaluation of the stock market by just about any metric (e.g., "the Buffett Indicator") tells you that the bull market is transitory.

And of course, there's falling real wages, which the article notes. 0.8% MoM decreases in purchasing power are not sustainable. Consumer spending makes up the majority of the US economy. Give people less to spend and they start going into debt to keep up appearances. Take away their job during a recession, and they default on those debts.

Every time these kinds of warnings flash, spinmeisters write them off as peculiarities of the current situation. Every time, there's a reason this time is different. It never is.
> And what happened in 2021 Jan?

People started getting vaccinated and returning to normal? I know a few people got it in december, but January is when things really ramped up.
I have to admit, I'm WAY more afraid of the various police in the US than any criminals or terrorists. There are so few restrictions on what they are able to do to people regardless of culpability with very little chance of real repercussions.

The fact that some goon is allowed to pat me down at any time in an airport with zero probable cause. They stick their hands in places I wouldn't allow ANYONE else to touch. They remove my shoes showing my bare feet in public. I have to travel without any cash because they can steal it from me for no reason.

If they lie, they will be believed automatically. If they arrest me and charge me with a crime I didn't commit I will be required to pay absurd amounts of money for my own defense. If they shoot me, it is trivially easy to justify it as long as there are no witnesses.

What do I get in return? Do I really get to feel "Safe?"
UPS workers are unionized and they never seem to have a shortage of seasonal employees
Now I don’t know what to do, thanks.
I am a proud user of the pebble time round since a year (60$) and proudly wear it every day - especially on business trips were all have their bulky apple watch.
> Employees would have to pay a comparable amount in additional income taxes to purchase comparable health insurance for themselves.

This is false: they would pay a lost less in additional income taxes. Americans overpay for the same services as every other developed country. They are being fleeced.
I don't think it stopped being cool. If you want to do something cool, level yourself up and start a company or build a product that is cool. Otherwise you can just accept 200k+ offers and enjoy hobbies/spend time with family, and not take tech so seriously.
And yet group 2 is the one that full-throatedly supported an authoritarian president. Funny, that!
Tienanmen Square is taught in Chinese schools as well. There's a key difference however: people responsible for Tienanmen were punished, with Prime Minister spending the rest of his life in house arrest. Those responsible for Kent State didn't. And that's a common pattern with "bad things" happening in US.
Same in China. Your point being?
Incarcerating someone for a few months is "delayed death"?
Yes, I have bias due in Spain you can use AVE and other lines who are +250km/h average and a 600km trip is like max 2hs.
... which would give printing more Yen outsize impact. There's demand for new US dollars all over the world. There's far less demand for the Yen. The Yen, for what it's worth, is the preferred Asian reserve currency. And the 'petrodollar' is a consequence of US power, it doesn't give the US power.
spot on, but they used coffee to make a unique pattern.
I've actually never heard it pronounced "Jiff" in conversation. Ever. I'm not going to categorically claim that people don't do it, because anecdote isn't evidence, but I've only ever heard the word "jiff" in the context of an Internet debate I'm increasingly believing is made up.

EDIT: Additionally, I've never heard anyone say po-tah-to or toe-mah-to outside of the song. Where does this urge come from?
This confirmed that Texas is, indeed, the best place for me to live personally
A friend made a trivial extension like this https://www.overmod.org/

No promises that it still works since he abandoned it to go work on other things.

I wrote some of the code so I could probably port it if it's broken.
>they are far more likely to be covering up incompetence than they are to be covering up the hypercompetence

I like this as a sort of modified Hanlon's razor for conspiracy theories. "Never attribute to hypercompetence that which is adequately explained by incompetence." Afterall a hypercompetent conspirator would do a better job of hiding all the breadcrumbs that led to the conspiracy theory.
The universe is terrifying.
The longshoremen forcing inefficient business practices for job protection is one good example. They have policies like requiring a three man crew in a crane that has enough automation to run on two and refusal to use electronic devices to manage containers.
It's a publicly traded company with a fiduciary duty to increase shareholder value every quarter. For Facebook specifically that means a jumbled mess of a feed of ads, random notifications, and clutter that keeps users as engaged as possible. Any feature you can think of that would improve the service would probably go against the dark patterns that entice a drip feed of dopamine hits to max eye ball time. The system is working as intended.
Re-viewing Pompeian domestic space through VR-based eye tracking and 3D GIS
We haven’t had oil long enough to do the exercise.

In 500 B.C. in Babylonia apparently an ounce of gold would buy you 350 loaves of bread. It’s roughly the same today.

Augustus paid his centurions about 40 ounces of gold a year in 0 B.C. Today the median wage is about the same.

I don’t disagree about the booms and busts, I’m not saying that a gold standard is a solution.

The fact that pricing in gold is stable over millennia even within an order of magnitude is pretty cool. Certainly no fiat currency could say the same even on a 100 year scale.
I agree with this page about GIF. However, I disagree about PNG. The creators say it's pronounced like ping, but I find that to be ridiculous because: The acronym contains no vowels, there is no letter I in Portable or Network, it confuses with the useful network utility named ping, and many many other acronyms are simply pronounced by spelling out their letters. Hence for me, PNG is P-N-G.
Yes, and if you didn’t move your rent/mortgage went up much less than that
> At one point, all of the relevant facts and figures were loaded into your working memory, and with that information you arrived at a conclusion.

I often say "X was explained to me once and it sounded reasonable, but I don't remember the details anymore."

Sometimes remembering the reasons themselves for X off the top of your head may not be important, but knowing that there are reasons (that you can look up) is.

What the answer is for something may not be as remember as remembering that an answer exists.
How do peers negotiate keys? Do they need a trust store like Firefox etc? (i.e. https://wiki.mozilla.org/CA)
Sure.

What is the exact scientific criteria where it'll be settled enough for you to take a vaccine?
> but the trend in unions toward damaging their employers more than protecting the workers

It's an American thing because of lax labour laws missing protections from being fired and missing social security.

The company wants to close an unprofitable branch? The union prevents it, because the workers will fall into a hole when their job gets taken away.

Currently in Germany Nordex is closing down a plant and the union is demanding that the plant is sold faster, so there will be new jobs for the workers.
"Not an out-and-out grifter" is what carries the day, lately, on a good day.

We are left to pray for such good days.
Putin said he invaded Ukraine to kill the Nazis.

The Rand paper describes why the US military funded report believes Russia invaded Ukraine, and it's as a result to the provocations we implemented. It's fair to disagree with it, but it didn't come from Russia, it came from a US military think tank.
Dolphin browser is pretty similar except you can find home and go up directories.
I would counter with the comment that threatening to leave NATO was his strategy to get them to contribute more of their GDP to the military budget.

https://breakingdefense.com/2020/10/trump-admin-sets-allied-...

I at the time thought that was a very wise strategy. Recent events have proven that true.
Yesterday my friend was trying to take pulse ox measurements on his Apple Watch. After searching on the web, he downloaded an app called Blood Oxygen App, [1] which costs $20/yr. It didn't work without a subscription, it seemed, so he asked me for help. I figured out that the Apple Watch comes with a built-in app called Blood Oxygen (no "App" at the end) that does this for free.

I can't believe Apple let this through their review process. Think of how much money they've made by fooling people into thinking their app is the official Apple app.

https://apps.apple.com/us/app/blood-oxygen-app/id1541992656
The Juno spacecraft is orbiting Jupiter right now. I think the mission got extended for another couple years.
As someone who's currently feeling left out of the housing market and who thinks the stock market has been pants-on-fire insane for the last 2 years of covid... I pray for a recession so I can actually own a home.
This isn't Tor-like multi-hop (but is similar to other multi-hop VPN providers out there). A proper multi-hop would happen across two different vendors in control of two different networks, as it were.

The iCloud Relay paper outlined a pretty private and secure design [0] (and the intention to standardize it via IETF would probably make it simpler to self-host such a solution [1][2]). Among the VPNs, orchid.com's distributed VPN stands out as a cross-provider multi-hop solution whose privacy guarantees are closer to Tor's.

Eventually the hope is HTTP (www) itself bakes in desirable privacy properties, so regular users don't have to pay the cost of multi-hops [3].

[0] Overview: https://datatracker.ietf.org/meeting/111/materials/slides-11...

[1] https://ietf-wg-masque.github.io/

[2] https://tfpauly.github.io/privacy-proxy/

[3] https://datatracker.ietf.org/doc/draft-ietf-ohai-ohttp/
Nobody owes another country trade. If a country wants to act out, then it cannot be surprised that countries will stop doing business with them. This is the fault of the Russian administration, not the rest of the world for wanting to avoid trading with a warmonger.
Apple believes they always have the best way, and rarely gives you options to do things in other ways..sometimes they're right, but not always.

I switched from Windows last month, after installing rectangle, bettertouchtools and speeding up all animations possible, I'm left with the following gripes.

1. No magnetic windows the way windows does unless in the clunky fullscreen mode.

2. No way to turn off animations for maximising windows.

3. No way to let mouseover select window an action is taken in (i keep closing the wrong chrome window using mouse gestures)

4. Finder still sucks (so does no cutting and pasting files)

5. All apps cost money, e.g. ScreenX for windows is free and better than all paid macos options for screenshots.

6. Chrome window resizing seems artificially slow.

Overall windows still feels more productive, but also sucks more in many other ways, such as preinstalling candy crush or its opaque update system.
Yikes, my apologies.

Some of what I said still stands but that's a big enough mistake on my part that I just need to apologize and back off.
> simply pull out the RAM

One does not simply pull out the RAM
The m1 graph is incredibly misleading to the point of bad faith IMO because they changed the definition, causing the spike in April 2020. The M2 graph https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WM2NS still shows that the monetary base is expanding (less drastically) without effectively lying.
On the plus side, you’ve now got plausible deniability if your fingerprints ever turn up at a crime scene.
All these places are doing their best to make me dread buying from them

Newegg: Make it as annoying as possible to filter out all non-newegg sales, make it harder to verify if something is in stock unless I click on the item itself, and those damn ads they insert into the top of the page 1 SECOND after the page has rendered. I start scrolling and all of a sudden everything gets pushed down. This happens every time I load a new page!

Target: No realistic indicator of stock whatsoever. I have verified this with multiple employees and stores, the number of items at a particular store is just a pure guess. The search by store is so poorly designed its laughable, I have to select a different store location if I want to view stock and finally still gotta filter out non target sold items.

Walmart: Similar issues as Target except this time, the search bar resets your store location every time you begin a new search. I am also creeped out when I was suggested items I bought before in a non logged in account just because I used the same credit card. (I don't know if they still do this)

I still prefer to buy from these places but man I really wish there was a store that didn't suck as much as these places. All these please are built by monkey developers.

I am thankful these guys still check their supply chains though so maybe I should shut up and stop complaining that America hasn't completely turned into a Chinese bazaar yet(although its getting there).
I did 1000km in airplane (also i was private pilot) and it's a 1h trip. Barcelona -> Santiago is max 1h. I can spend another hour getting into the airport, the total trip will not go more than 3 hours, but in Train it will take me 8hs.
> The covid AZ booster gave me an ischemic stroke

How did you draw a causal link between the two? Anything other than post hoc?

> My GP got only one Pfizer vaccine and got myocarditis. She decided not to get any subsequent vaccines.

Another post hoc?

There have been actual studies we can look at, rather than making decisions based on what randos on the Internet claim to be true.
Facebook is not the largest 'classifieds' marketplace, at least not everywhere, and it did not disrupt craigslist everywhere.

There are multiple other successes to replicate the classified/craigslist model:

Other good notable and successful local models offerup, maybe somewhat ebay.

FB Marketplace only began to overtake craigslist if there was not another dominant space in the area.

Here in Utah, the dominant newsmedia made a brilliant use of their traffic to bundle their news traffic with a more reputable and useful classifieds. They are still more dominant than FB marketplace in Utah, though used about equal now.

Most local newspapers had the right classifieds model before craigslist became a behemoth, though without exception local papers struggled to capitalize on their traffic and keep the flow towards their classifieds.

Classifieds were always the extra cash that gave pure profit to newspapers for a large part of their lifetimes. News and stuff sorta went hand in hand there for awhile, too bad its random BS FB news that's bundled with classifieds now instead of real reputable news sources.
I'm confused by the "Front Vowels" argument, since it doesn't seem to hold particularly well for ⟨ɪ⟩ (the "i" in gif).

I took a look at onelook for all "gi*" words, sorted by commonness [1]. Out of the first 30 words I count using the ⟨ɪ⟩ sound, I see:

- 19 with a Hard G (gift, gig, gill, gilt, gigabyte, give, gibbous, gild, git, giggle, gingham, ginkgo, giddy, gimlet, gibbon, gifted, gimp, gilding, gimmick)

- 11 with a Soft G (ginger, gin, gingivitis, ginseng, gist, giraffe, gibbet, gib, gibberish, giblets, gingerly)

This isn't an argument one way or another, but it seems to discount the entire first argument. It seems that the author is performing a bit of a sleight of hand by focusing on the entire class of "front vowels," instead of the specifics of the ⟨ɪ⟩ sound, because otherwise the numbers wouldn't work out nearly as well. Also, front and back vowels aren't nearly as simple as "I, E, Y = front" and "A, O, U = non-front. ⟨a⟩, the a in "hat" is a front vowel, for instance.[2] And you'll never find a soft g before ⟨a⟩.

1. https://onelook.com/?w=gi*&ssbp=1

2. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Open_front_unrounded_vowel
Just because a project has a larger budget, doesn't mean any of it should be spent on Docker, Docker Swarm, or Kubernetes or whatever other managers of Docker that you can mention here.

Fact is, for 3 servers, it would be hard to convince me of any use of Docker compared to the aforementioned deployment shell script + Debian unattended-upgrades.

What problem does Kubernetes address here? So what if it is "easy to use"? I prefer "not needed at all".

> but also only works for a team of Adderall-chomping geniuses

Of course, not everything should be implemented by yourself. Maybe this project wouldn't have been possible at all without offloading some complexity (like the convenient NodeJS packages).

But in particular Docker and its ecosystem are only worth it when you have an amount of machines that make it worth it - when things become difficult to manage with a simple shell script everyone understands: when you have a lot of heterogeneous servers, or you want to deploy to the Cloud (aka Someone Else's Computers) and you have no SSH access.

> truisms

I don't have any experience with Kubernetes nor Docker Swarm. The reason is that the truisms have saved me from it. If you don't talk me into learning Kubernetes, I won't, unless a customer demands it explicitly.

> Has it occurred to you that it losing money for a while might have contributed to its eventual unmaintainability

It absolutely has. Maybe if the service hadn't used Docker Swarm or Docker at all, it would have lasted longer, since updating Docker would not have broken everything, since this was named a factor in the closure. And therefore, the time and money would have gone further.
There is a difference if something is in the olfactory bulb or the rest of the brain.
Nobody can predict anything with 100% certainty however they can infer with constant externalities based on trends.
Not to mention the following paragraph:

>“In an attempt to retrieve his items, Coelho called the lead FBI case agent on or around August 2, 2018, and used the email address unrivalled@pm.me to email the agent,” the government’s affidavit states. Investigators found this same address was used to register rf.ws and raid.lol, which Omnipotent announced on the forum would serve as alternative domain names for RaidForums in case the site’s primary domain was seized.

I'm not surprised at all, though. These people tend not to be the brightest. If they were, they'd generally find legitimate employment, where they can still make very good money while also not constantly fearing arrest and imprisonment. Most of the people who operate and use these sites often don't have the ability to get even an entry-level infosec job.
empirical data shows that something happened, not that it will happen again

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Replication_crisis
Correct, parent comment is confused. UPS hires many seasonal employees, and even pays higher wages during the holiday season to all workers (Union and seasonal). After the holidays if the facility has need for more workers, some of the seasonal workers are offered permanent employment, after which time they become part of the Union.
Also, https is often dealt with on a different server (load balancer for example).
I can confirm that the DVLA treats everyone it deals with as a liar and criminal, even if no crime or deception is involved. It took me a decade to get my driving licence back after it was confiscated; it needed renewing, and the renewal form required me to state whether I had received treatment for alcohol problems. I told the truth - I had received treatment a few years back, I was clean, and I could prove it. Snatch - licence revoked. Cue ten years of legal and medical hassle and cost.

[Edit] I didn't own a car, I'm against private vehicles on the whole, and especially ICE private cars. I wanted to be able to hire a car occasionally. And a driving licence can be a requirement for certain jobs, even if they aren't "driving" jobs. A driving licence is the standard ID here; if you have neither a passport nor a DL, you will have to jump through hoops to prove your ID. So I'm angry that the DVLA can administratively deprive you of rights for ten years, without the matter ever coming before the judiciary.
Interesting points raised about discoverability, financial incentives of curators, and treating music as "content", but the "pseudonymous artists" bit seems like a pointless distraction.

For example Richard D James, more of an "artist" than a "content creator" released music as:

- Aphex Twin

- Phonic Boy on Dope

- Q-Chastic

- Blue Calx

- The Dice Man

- Gak

- Power-Pill

- Bradley Strider

- AFX

- Caustic Window

- The Tuss (comprising both Brian and Karen Tregaskin!)

- user18081971
Hitchhiker’s Guide to the Blockchain
Because this discussion comes from US trying to manufacture consent for another war.
When my wife and I started dating, we stumbled across this video which I like to recommend to friends and family: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r1tCAXVsClw

The speaker talks about the "Price of Admission" when it comes to relationships.

We consider these "minor irritations" as the Price of Admission :)
> inability to take control of the situation by WhiteHouse.

I see this sentiment a lot here, but it's really unclear what the WhiteHouse can do about it. Maybe they should take Gerald Ford's lead and start printing up "Whip Inflation Now!" buttons? Maybe you want a wage and price freeze à la Richard Nixon? The Federal Reserve is where your ire should be aimed. They left rates way too low for way too long kicking the can down the road and now the next kick of the can could reveal it to be a bomb. The way to deal with inflation is the way Paul Volcker dealt with it in 1980: raise interest rates significantly - not these piddly 1/4% raises.
Many HVAC employees are unionized too; and rarely have a shortage in the winter.
This might be the worst worded press release I’ve seen this year. The first paragraph is repeated almost verbatim in the second and third, and none of the rest of this tells me what it does.

It’s a browser extension - at least they got that out, but it increases my privacy how? What does it do that my browser doesn’t already do?

People, if you get one shot to tell your story - tell your story!