skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
> Wrong. Given your evidence about koins, you should be more than 50% confident that the next toss will land heads; thinking otherwise would be a mistake.

This is straight up false because you know a priori that the chance is 50-50. It’s gamblers fallacy if you know the events are independent.

If you don’t know they’re independent and you’re trying to identify the pattern that’s just an experiment.

This whole write up ignores that events are literally independent and therefore it is irrational, and gamblers fallacy, to believe that provably independent events influence each other.

[edit] > So back to gamblers. What is the gambler's fallacy? Many have suggested to me that it's the tendency to think that a heads is more likely after a string of tails, despite knowing that the tosses are statistically independent. But this can't be right––for no one commits that fallacy

Yeah they do. At the roulette table, all the time. Gamblers do this a lot, which is where it gets its name.
That's basically my mental model of the internet already. An ocean of shit with a few rare islands of quality.
Andrew here, the founder of HyperC. Thank you very much for your feedback, and especially for your attention and time to look at the note.

Our current and today's focus is, of course, not to send the sattelites to the sun to build the Dyson sphere but rather to automate sending average commodities from China to Amazon FBA. Everything else comes after.

And you're right, the supply chain mess isn't caused by the absense of tech (although this does contribute) but rather by the "dark" forces in the logistics world that would prefer to keep things messy and hard to trace. The entire logistics thing has historically always been a shady business. But big data is coming for the dark guys.

So the immediate plan is to build the model of the "black box" of logistics by analyzing the data we can actually collect, then use the combination of technology and HyperC's reputation-leveraged optimal financing offers to beat the shady schemes out of the market. That itself could be overly ambitious, but this is what I believe is right.
Inconsistent user experience between the products. “Oh this is Jira so I can’t use those formatting options that I use in confluence.”
Pharo smalltalk it will show how a system with coherent design works. Ps: it will make you disappointed with everything else.

Racket in particular the language oriented programming philosophy...

Processing if you are interested in art.

Squeak for the fun of it.
I keep those glacier'd files on tape as well.
We spent most of 2020 and half of 2021 living with no fear of the virus because it wasn't here. No one I know has even been hospitalised by COVID. It is hilarious to me (and most Australians I know) that Americans think we had a hard time or our strategy didn't work. It did. We came as close as possible to "winning" the pandemic. Now if you lived in Melbourne life kinda sucked. But everywhere else was fine. Perth and Adelaide had about ~2 weeks of lockdowns between them after May 2020.

Also a 2 in 1000 risk of death is frankly awful. I wouldn't take those odds.
Cool! I hadn't heard of Overtone before, but I love the idea of live coding music.

People might also be interested in a similar project called Sonic Pi[1], which is Ruby based.

[1]: https://sonic-pi.net/
> it will strain Wikipedia's governance model and become more of a single point of failure

Why can't the Wikipedia model be adapted to a federated, directly community run approach? This works well enough for services such as email, matrix, and the fediverse. There's gravitation towards centralized hosting services but that's largely behavioral - the model itself works perfectly fine with lost of small players.

Heavyweight multimedia can be a challenge but text content itself is quite easy to serve up from very small devices.
That was a somewhat hyperbolic statement. Make an application in node, genie, and rusts actix. Run them and see how fast it takes for the cli to load each of them. Feel free to package compiler the Julia one if you want. It's a good experiment with visual results.
Ha, an RPG Maker forum was the first online community I really became a part of, I want to say I was 10ish? I never really made anything of note, but it introduced me to programming, web & graphic design, and introduced me to people from all over the world.

I still remember my very first introduction to programming was setting a variable to flag if a chest had been opened or not.
> It is my god.

That fits. Religious zeal is often how people go wrong.

It's always best to take a step back and give yourself the opportunity to be more objective.
Confluence is unmatched in the niche it is in - if you compare feature for feature many wikis seem comparable; but the amount of addons for Confluence is stupid high, and many do weird little things that are really helpful for business.
I'm scared to use it right now, put all my items in, and then the pricing is obscene later and I've wasted all my data entry...
I'm not sure what you mean. If you have a > 100 person company, you either have managers, or you have too many reporting to too few.
Play videogames.

I struggle a little, because anything too "braindead" won't allow me to wind down, so sport is not good, my brain stays focused on the work stuff.
Playing with kids has a similar problem. I love them, but sometimes it's too "easy" for me and so my brain doesn't relax.

Talking to my wife works too, but we need an entertaining topic. We spend 24 hours today together, so we run out of topic at times, for a few days, so backup solutions are needed. Videogames, kids, homes, life, work are all good topics though.
This should be marked a Show HN: , since it looks like you're the creator.
Great points. India is in a weird composition when it comes to the lifestyles people lead there. The problem is income inequality and lack of an economic balance thereof. I am sure there are a lot less beggars these days than there were in the 90's. The government, albeit corrupt, is slowly lifting people out of the poverty line and looking at the private sector, there are more employment opportunities now. Wage levels are still not up to the mark, and quickly diminish in value after trying to meet the costs of basic necessities like housing and transportation (fuel). We may need to hold on for another 10 years or so and see for ourselves what stage India may get to, at that point.
How? It seems responsive to me. Most actions result in changing the UI a bit but showing data that’s already preloaded. So no delay waiting for a server roundtrip most of the time.
We're starting with small Amazon sellers. And it's just what I believe is right, the technology must take over the logistics and stop the supply chain gangs from thrashing the planet with waste. We aren't getting anywhere with the status quo.
This is a good question. I sometimes ponder how those who write military software such as surface to air missile guidance may feel. When they started Computing Science did they have any idea they'd land up writing such code??
If you're on cloud there's really nothing you can do; on server there are/were some performance tricks you could do by analyzing the SQL queries and designing the fields to be as slim as possible.
I truly believe that I can predict how effective/productive an organisation is based purely on the non-manager to manager ratio. The higher the ratio, the more effective/productive the organisation is. This has been the case for every organisation I have ever worked for and read about. Don’t get me wrong. You do need a minimum of management to glue the organisation together. But anything beyond the absolute minimum will rapidly decrease the effectiveness/productivity of the organisation. The most efficient/productive/successful company I have worked for had a ratio of 20 to 1. The worst/most inefficient company I have ever worked for had a ratio of 2 to 1 (I kid you not).
Toastytech is an important part of the internet's history. It'll be a sad day if the site goes dark.
It's called YouWrite, it's from the guys that did the you.com search engine:

https://you.com/search?q=how%20to%20write%20well&fromSearchB...
I have have been using it all week - up to and including yesterday. No issues.
cloud or onprem? I found cloud to never match what we could get in-house,
They also switched to the Skullgirls engine
I bet it’s more than 99% too. Even amongst the tech savvy, there’s special level of dedication to run your own mail infrastructure. It’s like one in 10-25K.
We are not a crypto company. Moreover, being as clean and open as possible is the only way to win the battle of the good guys vs. the bad guys in supply chain.
Oh yeah Melbourne screwed up badly. But the rest of the country didn't. Don't conflate Melbourne's bad contact tracing and subsequent lockdowns with the quality of life elsewhere in Australia. We spent most of the last two years COVID free and without lockdowns. Even Sydney contact-traced their way out of multiple outbreaks before July 2021 without lockdowns.

It is genuinely pretty funny seeing Americans think they know more about what happened in Australia than the people who lived here. We still live up to our "The Lucky Country" moniker.
As the days turned into years, and the issues into subscriptions; verily did the stories themselves turn to horror stories, and finally into full horror novels, from which no sprinter could ever escape.
Anyone know if there's a cloud export option? I'm not an org administrator, but if I were I'd want to keep an offsite backup of our data. I could throw together a script to do it (their APIs are easy to use and their Python module covers pretty much everything) but obvs would be great if you could just do a bulk export.
Using Clubhouse was a huge pain.

Feeling that even they don’t understand what all their epics, stories and milestones do haunted me all the time. Page load times up to 10 seconds and totally unusable on a big screen (just insanely slow after window size bigger then on avarage laptops).

Convincing my company to switch to Linear was better than any holiday.
Companies will RIF you without a second thought so don't feel bad at all. You have move on so go with that. In saying that, the grass isn't always greener and other folk leaving your team creates opportunities for you.
Ah, refactoring strikes again!
Rage inducing formatting
You're right that I'd definitely be doing more good if I wasn't being an dick about it, sorry. Though probably I shouldn't have engaged anyway. However, I am still drinking so despite my better judgement let's get into it on the facts of the matter at hand. (dang please forgive me for degrading the quality of HN)

> mostly just pointing out that I had different expectations from a "step-by-step guide"

Let's not pretend you were doing your best to communicate this in good faith with your original comment, but I shouldn't have been insulting, again, sorry.

However you absolutely touched a nerve because as someone who's made it a point the last few years to try to switch to using only OSS Meshroom really does a comparatively bangup job of usability.

> Yes, but the step-by-step guide has eight steps.

Sure the guide could be written better, but it does a good job of explaining the process and a great deal of related minutia.

> And the first step cites five papers.

Come on now, if this isn't meant to paint it as some sort of inapproachable academic process (which is not the case at all) why mention it.

> But at no point (at whatever depth) does it tell me what to do.

Step Three absolutely clearly(ish) tells you what to do, and that step alone is enough to get a decent result. Yeah the formatting could be better, and yes there could be a quick start guide/TLDR that says "take a bunch of photos from a lot of angles without moving the object, drag them in and hit start" but come on, if you read through it it definitely does tell you what to do, hence the reading comprehension comment.

Regarding sarcasm, certainly at least the bit about "my enormous brain" fits the definition.
As far as I understand it, yes, as well as, insert an `await` right after, turning the enclosing function itself `async`, which means that anything that calls the enclosing function (the caller) would also need to have `async` and `await` inserted, and the process would keep going.

That is what I mean by viral: if a function low in the call chain is turned `async`, every function above it is too.
4 days is kind of insane and unacceptable
Jira requires a person to tailor it to your org. It can be pretty good if you have people who configure it correctly and have a workflow that suits your team/org, but that's kinda the problem: making Jira be good is a full time job. Confluence is just a terrible experience overall. Terrible editing, terrible browsing, terrible search. I've used both at multiple orgs, I've seen Jira be good, I've never seen Confluence be good.
HiQ – A Modern Observability System
HiQ(https://github.com/oracle-samples/hiq) is a declarative, non-intrusive, dynamic and transparent tracking system for both monolithic application and distributed system. It brings the runtime information tracking and optimization to a new level without compromising with speed and system performance, or hiding any tracking overhead information. HiQ applies for both I/O bound and CPU bound applications. In addition to latency tracking, HiQ provides memory, disk I/O and Network I/O tracking out of the box. The output can be saved in form of normal line by line log file, or HiQ tree, or span graph.
I have no expectation of it; They do everything slowly, regardless of how simple the task, and it’s been that way for ages. And they do ridiculous amounts of configuration.

Im fairly sure at this point it’s just mountains of intermixed logic and death by a thousand cuts; I doubt they could significantly improve performance to approach something reasonable even if they wanted to.
Confluence content is write only.

Good luck finding it ever again unless you know exactly what you are looking for.
One of the problems is looking at institutions in terms if ROI. They have value in and of themselves.

I guess we both favor preferring existing institutions, so I’m disagreeing with your conclusion.

But there’s a word for favoring existing institutions: “conservativism.” Not many people on this board like that word.
30 min a day? That is the opposite of effective management.
I think the reason nobody open sources a competitor is because most people in a position to develop such a thing don’t think the solution to the overarching problems the Atlassian tools supposedly solve is a similar suite of tools.

I’ve learned to translate “We need to buy into Atlassian’s suite” as “our process is broken and we’re blaming the tools.” This has the standard “now you have two problems” punchline. I’ve seen this play out several times at companies of varying sizes. The endgame “fix” is always that one or more people become entirely devoted to wrangling the complexities of the Atlassian stuff, but a dedicated person/team would have fixed the problem with the old tools, too.
We're a tiny team that so far only got the confirmation that it works. The focus right now is to make the first batch of customers happy, and continue to spend effort on the metaplanner.

Btw, I advise you to take a look at the metaplanner's code. It's the definition of the planning task for the planner. So that the planner can learn to solve the planner's (it's own) task. It is leveraging the HyperC core that sits in a separate repository in the same github org.

I heard the approach was circulating in the AI planning academic circles but no one had put it together as many academically-uninteresting details needed to be cared for first. That's exactly what we did.
Unfortunately while this applies to (fair) coin tosses, it does not apply to the normal situations statistics is applied to.

For example. Suppose you have bad thing X. Homelessness, soil pollution, ... whatever. You measure it. It's bad. You have policy Y. You want to know if policy Y improved X. You measure it again. The measurement is better.

Did X improve? Correct answer is: you don't know!

The problem: suppose policy Y is "fake measurement X". Then it's obvious why X didn't improve. If you think about it, you'll quickly realise: X and Y need to be independent. But Y was a response to measuring X! They cannot ever be independent! The very existence of policy Y is dependent on X!

So the standard way statistics is used, to measure something, then make changes to improve it ... is a fallacy. Exactly because it causes the gambler's fallacy to not apply anymore! The gambler's fallacy only applies to situations where successive measurements are independent. And if you actually use your statistical measurement, well that's an excellent way to make successive measurements dependent, and makes measurements invalid.
Unfortunately the thesis is wrong.

Knowing an outcome would always be 50/50 a gambler would be inclined to make the 'fallacious' assumption that string of heads would likely to be yield heads.

The argument made is that someone would not make that assumption! Because it's irrational.

And then through a very long winded and unnecessary example ... posits another kind of coin toss ('koins'), where the 50/50 ratio is not necessarily known, it might make sense to actually bet heads after a string of heads.

The 'fallacy' in the thesis, is that even when gamblers know the odds which is to say, rationally, we know it's 50/50 ... we will still, intuitively want to be to on heads, after a string of heads.

Our 'instincts' want to see dependent results where there are none, which is the basis of the very real fallacy.

I don't know why pages and pages were focused on creating a contrived example when a one sentence description might have sufficed, maybe I missed something ...
In all honesty I just speak full sentences to my dog. Sure, she doesn't understand it all, but she knows my daughters' nicknames, mommy, cat, pigs ear, bed, upstairs.

Pretty good vocabulary really.
Thanks, and thanks for the other message you sent me. Sorry I didn't see your comment amongst the rabble.

Some things I should note that I didn't consider or think to mention earlier.

1. I've changed from one type of Omega-3 concoction to another. The first stuff I was using from Jamieson was the Wild Salmon & Fish oil 1,000mg pills. It took taking 2,000mg to 3,000mg daily without fail to reduce the symptoms.

Meanwhile, the new bottle I got is just other fish oils. The difference here seems to be something to do with triglycerides and the EPA and DHA amounts in these pills vs the original bottle. The OG bottle has basically 2.5x less than the 2nd bottle. Also from Jamieson.

The new bottle? I only take one pill every other day now, maybe skipping til a 3rd day. Haven't tested further beyond that yet. From this very basic and rudimentary 'data', one could perhaps propose that the DHA and EPA amounts are part of what is helping here, since it falls in line with what I would have gotten with the larger dose of the original bottle of Omega-3 I got.

2. Also, The B vitamins are also in my system commonly anyways due to Centrum multivitamins. This obviously isn't as concentrated a dosage as taking a shot of it weekly; but daily consumption of the recommended dosage should keep things adequate I would think. That said, I really should get another bottle of B100 complex.

3. I don't take any other medications right now, beyond imbibing upon alcohol from time to time and enjoying some marijuana on a more common basis. That last one will increase anxiety for some people, but it's always been more of a relaxant for me. Barring of course the rare instances where I find myself in a bad spot from some strong stuff. Regardless of this however, I have been slowly reducing my usage of marijuana and swapping to more CBD based cartridges over high THC for just in case I am just sabotaging myself. To put this into perspective; none of this seems to have really changed anything much. Only the Omega-3 so far has had any noticeable effect.
Even going without for a week did nothing. If anything, I was more irritable and anxious from being irritable. Which is why I started smoking weed to begin with long ago anyways, lmao. So even if this isn't helping, it's also not hurting anything? Sort of...

4. I've been trying to swap to more natural ways of dealing with my issues. I've known people on those benzo's and I just won't be going anywhere near those. The others though, I might look into. I'm not against using proper medication where it is appropriate. But I am definitely looking for ways to handle my issues on a more personal and natural basis. Why?

Because doctors/pharmacists aren't everywhere in Canada. Only in the cities and bigger towns really. And I don't intend on living in those forever, so I need to find ways to deal with my problems on my own to some degree, ya dig?

Anyways. Thanks for the help. Best of luck, and yes a high speed recovery is very much needed and hoped for.
...by gold farmers. You missed a bit at the end of the last line.
JIRA was up and fine on Friday; so, not all of their products have been down that long.
IME Jira is fine when on-prem and managed by a good admin, but that's become impossible as they're forcing customers to move to their cloud offering.
In situations where we don't know the probabilities, the 'Gambler's Fallacy' cannot apply.
Also see Einops: https://github.com/arogozhnikov/einops, which uses a einsum-like notation for various tensor operations used in deep learning.

https://einops.rocks/pytorch-examples.html shows how it can be used to implement various neural network architectures in a more simplified manor.
Mr. patio11's explainer on mobile game accounting makes me doubtful it actually helps at all if you ever want to recognize revenue.

https://bam.kalzumeus.com/archive/accounting-for-saas-and-sw...
HyperC is not affiliated with Asgardia aside from that one of the HyperC's founders being a long-term supporter
Yeah, same experience here. Confluence is just dogshit: the only positive thing I can say about it is that it's better as a wiki than using Google Drive with Docs, which can memory hole even faster if it's not set up correctly.
This reads like a cocksure PhD rebutting a Marilyn vos Savant article.
Thanks for the article!

> QC can only solve two problems more efficiently than classical (and this is proven very thoroughly)

I didn't see a discussion of the proof in your article, although maybe I missed it. I thought your article instead emphasized that all quantum algorithms that have been discovered so far can only be more efficient relative to classical algorithms with problems that can be reduced to hidden subgroup problems.

Is there some other research (that maybe you mentioned) that goes on to prove that no new quantum algorithm could ever do any better on other problems? If not, isn't this a conjecture (perhaps a widely-believed conjecture) of complexity theory? When I last looked at the Complexity Zoo, I thought there were quite a few different complexity classes that had been defined relative to quantum computing, and it was apparently unresolved whether many of them could be reduced to one another.

I don't really know this area at all, beyond having heard of Grover's and Shor's algorithms and read the SMBC on what quantum computing doesn't do. And having seen some candidate PQ cryptographic algorithms, without understanding exactly why any of them were considered credible as candidates. :-)
SystemTap – gather information about the running Linux system
Col. Sanders is a lover, not a fighter.

https://store.steampowered.com/app/1121910/I_Love_You_Colone...
> I've heard that NFTs will make assets "transferable" between games, which I also understand to be currently possible when the games cooperate.

Of course, it still doesn't work when you lose the license to the asset.

https://kotaku.com/f1-formula-1-one-delta-time-nft-crypto-cu...
Don’t Do a PhD
If I recall correctly the read/write head of a floppy drive rested directly on the media. This meant the disks wore out faster the more you used them.