skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
No.

You can't easily equate human intelligence to required processing power but I've seen estimates of 10^15 to 10^18 FLOPS [1]. There's a huge variance there. Now consider the cost per FLOPS [2] and the energy cost of that [3].

Capital costs are still huge but let's focus on energy. You're talking in the megawatt energy range. That's... expensive. Particularly at scale. There have been and continue to be improvements in this but we're so far away from some superhuman AGI.

Remember too that this would still require thousands of units and then you have to deal with the interconnects, cooling, space and so on.

Building somethin gmore compact has significant heat dissipation issues even if you conquer the engineering challenges (eg lithography is inherently two-dimensional, multiple layers notwithstanding).

[1]: https://aiimpacts.org/brain-performance-in-flops/

[2]: https://aiimpacts.org/2019-recent-trends-in-gpu-price-per-fl...

[3]: https://arxiv.org/pdf/1911.11313.pdf
Disclosure: I work for AWS, but I don't work on the Amazon Managed Service for Prometheus. I have my own very long held opinions about Free and Open Source software, and I am only speaking for myself.

To me, the AGPLv3 license isn't about forcing software users to "give changes back" to a project. It is about giving the permissions to users of software that are necessary for Software Freedom [1] when they access a program over a network. In practice, that means that changes often flow "upstream" to copyleft licensed programs one way or another. But it was never about obligating changes to be "given back" to upstream. In my personal opinion, you should be "free to fork" Free and Open Source Software (FOSS). Indeed, the Grafana folks seem to have decided to do that with Grafana Mimir.

Personally, I hope that they accept contributions under the AGPLv3 license, and hold themselves to the same obligations that others are held to with regard to providing corresponding source code of derivative works when it is made available to users over a network. In my personal opinion, too often companies use a contributor agreement that excuses them from those obligations, and also allows them to sell the software to others under licenses that do not carry copyleft obligations. See [2] for a blog post that goes into some detail about this.

If you look at the Coretex project MAINTAINERS file [3], you will see that there are two folks listed that currently work at AWS, but no other company other than Grafana Labs today. I would love to see more diversity in maintainers for a project like this, as I think too many maintainers from any one company isn't the best for long term project sustainability.

I think if you look at the Cortex Community Meeting minutes [4], you can see that AWS folks are regularly "showing up" in healthy numbers, and working collaboratively with anyone who accepts the open invitation to participate. There have been some pretty big improvements to Coretex that have merged lately, like some of the work on parallel compaction [5, 6].

TL;DR, I think it is easy to jump to some conclusions about how things are going in a FOSS project that don't hold water if you do some cursory exploration. I think best way to know what's going on in a project is to get involved!

--

[1] the rights needed to: run the program for any purpose; to study how the program works, and modify it; to redistribute copies; to distribute copies of modified versions to others

[2] https://meshedinsights.com/2021/06/14/legally-ignoring-the-l...

[3] https://github.com/cortexproject/cortex/blob/master/MAINTAIN...

[4] https://docs.google.com/document/d/1shtXSAqp3t7fiC-9uZcKkq3m...

[5] https://aws.amazon.com/blogs/opensource/scaling-cortex-with-...

[6] https://github.com/cortexproject/cortex/pull/4624
> Companies with a large enough IT deparment will have enterprise APs all over the office with certificate authentication.

OK but companies with a large enough IT department shall also have shitloads of employees / contractors using desktops plugged into ethernet all over the place.

They're not mutually exclusive.
house starts are increasing

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/HOUST

i wouldn't expect this to level out or even decrease without a drop in prices, but what do i know
Because in cold weather the aerosolized moisture condenses.
What about if we live inside a simulation? AGI may be possible in base reality, but not within the confines of our simulated universe.

Maybe intelligence requires a very large amount of compute. (Maybe even more than is physically possible inside our brains, but the simulation fudges it.) Like you can run a VM in a VM if you have special purpose accelerators. But otherwise a VM^2 is theoretically possible but infeasible given the constraints of compute.
You are probably right that, practically, not every language has "solved" dependency locking and that I was probably unduly extrapolating from my experiences with ecosystems where this has been solved, but there are enough package managers (Bundler, Yarn, Poetry, that I know of, and from what people claim, also Composer and Cargo) that have solved it so that go claiming credit for it seems unwarranted. If anything, this should be credited to Bundler (though it's possible that it wasn't the first package manager to do so).

I can give no credit to npm, it would never have had lockfiles if not for yarn, and even its current attempt seems half-assed.

Python has the problem of too many package managers, some which are bad, unfortunately (the list of open bugs for Pipenv is especially alarming; I once had to rip it out of a project because the dependency resolution failed after half an hour with a stack overflow). That said, poetry solves the problem well and correctly, IMHO.

Over in the Java world, you're right that dependency locking is a bit rarer. But I also think the situation is not nearly as dire there. BOMs, where lists of compatible dependencies are curated, are relatively common, so that alleviates some of the pain. Plus, there seems to be less churn than in some other ecosystems. Still, it would probably be technically better to use dependency locking.
You could also anthromorphize an AI and suggest on day one it will go into a deep think, and then ask "how do I know I'm not being deceived by an evil Daemon?" and get itself into a deep epistemological crisis before announcing 'cogito, ergo sum' and retreating into its shell.
In the few contact I've had with philosophers, I've got the (maybe wrong and oversimplified, but nonetheless evident) impression that they find philosophy fun and mentally stimulating, and they enjoy academically talking and writing about edge cases no matter their feasibility.

I think it's a net good when philosophers mentally explore scenarios most people don't consider, regardless of their plausibility, but they will not be taken more seriously that Peter Watts looking for inspiration for his next scifi book unless they offer some kind of evidence to sustain their conclusions.

The handful of philosophers I've known are very smart, interesting people, but except for one who teaches philosophy, they don't live off philosophy. Most have a side job, and one lives with his parents. It's as if philosophy was more of a mentally rewarding hobby than a job.
I have no expectations, only anecdotes for the intellectually curious. People can obviously do and learn about whatever they like.
Not sure about the EU, but the US has a massive truck driver shortage already.
What does your last sentence mean?
Mumble is soooo good.
sin^2(x)+cos^2(x)=1.

This relationship is always 1. Done! Easier done than said! Energy is following Me Immortally. Good luck!

Too, take a brain-thermal-image scan of other-person-A. The image is visible in 2-D but was generated using all 3-D data. You’ll need a filter that can tell green-from-red, place it over a normal, visible-spectrum camera, and photograph a skull using normal parameters. The space between red and green is flexed by infrared, so this is a “related-shortwave target” spectrugraphic system. After two opposite-seeming sides, relative to each other, so prob. 30sec max. deviation, then pass them through a computer simulator that simply tracks the most seeming directional similarity.

I’ll stop here, because all life is careful. A system of eyes, nose, speech, movement skeletal-unisys volatility should be provided! All math is calculated, and can also be designed. Enjoy!
For a 19-yo that's still great work. Singularity is an insanely complicated topic to handle, nothing wrong with trying though :).
Well, another "pointless" project this guy made eventually became a product, the flash synth. It's a tiny synthesizer that fits in a MIDI DIN5 plug. I own one because I love small and weird synths. It actually sounds pretty nice!
And yet countless massive office buildings across NYC and every city seem to allow dozens of people to work from a conference room without issue simultaneously over the air every day... must be magic.
No need to even write in fairness.

It's a consumer information issue, exclusively. As most US residents live in a recreational legal state, we're long passed the need for "good news only" advocacy.

Taking a dose of professionally packaged edibles closer to your weight and tolerance is what is necessary.

My current issue with the state-by-state regulation is that all the packaging lacks FDA level of standards. Arbitrary mixing of milligrams and ounces. Arbitrary information about types of thc and cbd, arbitrary serving sizes and serving size information that are very different from the breakable units in the package. ie. You thought that single gummy was 5 milligrams? Jokes on you because a serving size is 1/2 gummy, you just took 10 milligrams, buckle up!

And most notably missing is any study that says what to expect, what tiny disclaimers exist? A bunch of people say that edibles used to be good for them but now give them anxiety, why is that? Is there a time limit for some people to take edibles? Plenty of FDA approved products have time limits like "don't take this for more than 3 years" I hear that on commercials all the time, so whats the difference? Oh an actual study occurred to begin with, to the FDA's standard of review. Great.
Just a data point. Disneyland cost $17M, equivalent of $133M in 2020 dollars.
I was wrong alot and it mad me angry to be wrong so much.
Google Assistant cannot even reliably tell if I'm saying Hulu or hello. I'll wait until that day until I even begin to entertain such notions.
With the high temps at the poles this year already. I have my doubts that Mother Nature is going to play nice.
Humans historically (and today) had to fight for “one person one vote”. People/corporations with access to votes will always outcompete people/corporations without access to votes. This is because voting is a positive feedback loop for those that can, and at best neutral for those that can’t, but typically a negative feedback loop for those that can’t.

Similarly, people/corporations with access to AGI will always outcompete people/corporations without AGI. Having AGI is a positive feedback loop to build better / more AGI agents, and not having access to an AGI agent will be at best neutral and typically a negative feedback loop. eg. Worst case scenario Agent Smith from the Matrix replicating itself ad infinitum.

We need new and effective laws early, like “one person/body one AGI agent[0]”. Otherwise, not only will we all get outcompeted by a single/few AGI but this time we might not be able to win the fight for “fairness” (i.e. our rights) after Pandora’s box has been opened.

[0] Where the definition of AGI agent has explicitly built in assumptions like limited compute, storage, network, and number of “bodies”.
>was then made ugly to be familiar and since then introduced major churn and bloat that was never needed.

Javascript development used to be simple, elegant and fun, back in the days of JQuery plugins when all you needed was a text editor and an FTP account. All of this churn and bloat isn't the fault of the language, it's the fault of Node.js and the commodification of Javascript by enterprise and startups wanting to force the language to be something it was never meant to be, because Javascript developers are a dime a dozen.

>Imagine a world where HTML, CSS and JS were all just a unified language, with sound, simple primitives at the bottom, extensibility (macros, schema...) built-in, and a well designed standard library.

That's the world we live in now. A lot of the bloat of modern javascript comes from generating HTML and CSS dynamically, rather than
having them be static as intended. That separation of concerns is there for a reason, and the simplicity of that model is what makes the web so hackable. It's easy to drop a script into a page or a new CSS file. Hotpatching a running application not so much. Degradation is easier when things are separate as well. An HTML page should work without CSS or JS. Having everything be a single, executable language means even simple hypertext documents can fail to render because of errors.

Which i know seems like a great idea to developers, but there's a good reason XHTML, which had the same "feature", never took off. People would much rather have error correction even at the cost of greater complexity because it's more important that the web work than that it look pretty doing so.

>Think of how much more productive developers would be, the possible performance optimizations in browser engines, much simpler tooling, less arbitrary choices, less hacks and workarounds.

That's not what would happen. Think of the worst, ugliest, most sprawling spaghetti codebase you've ever seen.

Everything would look like that. Everything.
As someone with no experience in APL or Prolog, I'd love to see a similar article for Prolog too!
a large premise here is that housing is in a bubble because of house price to income ratio is very high. This by itself is not indicative of a housing bubble! It's indicative of lower and lower standards of living as shelter becomes increasingly expensive.

Really really high housing prices are sustainable if the supply is low enough. Imagine a city of 100K with only 10 houses for sale, it doesn't matter if 99K can't afford houses. all that matters is that 10 or more people can afford the remaining houses. as long as that's the case, prices can and will continue to climb higher and higher. this is an incredibly distopian future where fewer and fewer can afford shelter.

Now ask yourself where supply is going. that's the key to understanding the next moves in the housing markets. Builders are still saying, that even at the current prices, they're having a hard time getting a good ROI(considering all the supply and labor shortages) and aren't very bullish which means supply can't increase much. And in much of the country increasing housing supply is made illegal through regulations and zoning.
The bandwidth is good enough, but it’s the latency that gets me.
For context, some parts of Lexington are pretty dense. I don't know if anywhere there as dense as the part of Jamaica Plain that I used to live in, but I had to pull CAT-6 because from my desk I could see a dozen and a half Wi-Fi networks. Wi-Fi was hopeless as a result.
Probably, can't wait for the follow up article

"How i used social-engineering and HN to growth hack my scam prevention business" or something like that. This is some grade a bullshit.
Apparently Amazon sells smart home lights from China that will not work if they can’t connect to their home servers in China. Be careful out there…
Maybe lifetime terms on the supreme court are a bad thing?
> If customer applications were written in it, did this mean they actually shipped PL.8 development tools to customers?

Access to the compiler was by special request, as was the source code for the project. It wasn't something generally available, but for this specific project, and there was someone whose job it was to make certain I didn't copy anything or so on. I have no reason to believe the interbank software was normal for IBM in any way, shape or form.

I do have a suspicion as to why PL.8 was used instead of another language, and it does make a little bit of sense, but I'm afraid I don't believe that I'm currently allowed to reveal that. I've given what details I currently can.
This should be promoted more! I had no idea this existed and I've been keenly following Signal for years. Will check it out, thanks for sharing.
Are you talking about Snowden? Because that is one person and he isn't in a whole. They haven't even caught him.

Another I can think of is Chelsea Manning who ended up getting a presidential commutation of sentence.
The imitation game 2.0: a race to build quantum computing
Is this a typo or is this $100/year as in 8.33/month?
Source on this claim?
Building your own assembly line is not a 500k$ problem. You’re referring to a splice-overlay method, which takes 200 machines, and that’s not even a very efficient method.

Do it by hand, that’s the most expensive it should be. Then improve efficiency one-part at a time.
Looks like Dart doesn't support Wasm as a target yet but is considering it as part of their 2022 roadmap[0]. In the mean time, we will start off with supporting other languages like Rust which already have good support for compiling to Rust.

[0] Wasm target for Dart - https://github.com/dart-lang/sdk/issues/32894#issuecomment-1...
Containers really aren't rocket science.

Moreover, it has been amazing to watch how long it has taken the Docker community to move to distroless and more lightweight images.
Linux was definitely fickle in the early 2000s. It got a lot better over the last ten years. Meanwhile, whenever I have to use Apple products I feel like they've gone backwards in some regards.

I used to dual boot windows for games. But now I can play games on Linux too.
I second this.

I know there's a bit in the press at the moment around Ubiquiti. But I have been using the Ubiquiti suite for 5+ years now and I still think its excellent.

Grab yourself a UI router and a couple of their access points.
>Is it a computer that is convincing as AGI? Or is it AGI that is essentially like human consciousness in nature?
The former is probably possible, given enough time, computational resources, and ingenuity. The latter is generally regarded as pretty nonsensical.

Author here. I think you're drawing an arbitrary distinction between "acts conscious" and "is conscious", even though in practice there is no way to distinguish between them and thus they are functionally equivalent.

I cannot prove you are not a product of a simulation I am living in, that is to say, your consciousness is nonfalsifiable to me. All I can do is look at how you turn your inputs into outputs.

If a robot can do that, too (what you call "convincing as AGI") then we must assume it is also conscious, because if we don't, we'd have a logical inconsistency on our hands. If I am allowed to safely assume you are sentient, then I must also be allowed to safely assume a robot is sentient if it can convince me, because in both cases I have no method of falsifying the claim to sentience.

Thank you for your comment! I appreciate you taking the time to share your thoughts.
> Maybe even more than is physically possible inside our brains, but the simulation fudges it.

Are you basing your argument on the assumption that human brains violate the known laws of physics?
At least a welder actually welds stuff during their day-to-day. Still looking for a job that needs people who can implement efficient graph traversals though.
the difference is in the part where you don't have a lock file yet (new dependency, upgrades), and need to choose versions for those.
Why does the horizontal scrollbar scale across a non-scrollable portion of the table? (the fixed row labels)
> bailing out the banks and auto companies that should have collapsed.

'Should' is doing a lot of work in that sentence.

Should a business that's selling $10 bills for $9 collapse? Yes, that's pretty obvious.

Should a business that's consistently selling $10 bills for $10.05, but requires access to short-term liquidity that completely evaporated overnight to function, and is now not functioning, because some other unrelated part of the economy is sick, and all flow of credit has stopped?

Should that latter business fail? Who's going to be better off for it failing? Even if killing that business will create an economic catastrophe, as well as a mountain of geopolitical concerns that are the consequences of de-industrialization? [1]

On a metric of anything but ideological purity, the fed stopping the economic collapse where it did was a bargain at twice the price.

[1] Just ask Russia in 2022 how well de-industrializing all of its inherited Soviet economy has worked out for it. It's now in the unenviable situation where its domestic production can't even sustain a Soviet-era standard of living, without relying on now-sanctioned foreign trade.

All because it hyper-optimized on growing the 'productive' parts of its economy (Oil, oil, gas, oil, and gas), and let the unproductive parts (all that old, crappy, internationally uncompetitive Soviet industry) rot away.
I worked in a purely wifi-based office of hundreds of people. Seamless roaming, speeds in hundreds of Mb/s, low ping - while everyone restored their NPM deps, Docker image layers and had video conferences all the time. Don't know what you're talking about.

IME wifi problems are purely administrator capability issue. And I've never seen anyone have a problem with mobile network due to wifi...
> there are researchers who propose the creation and release of engineered viruses in animal populations adjacent to people (to prevent pandemics with zoonotic origins of course!)

Humanity is so technophile these days... instead of doing the sensible thing (leaving bat caves alone, ending mass animal farms) we seriously think about massive bio-engineering of wildlife only so that we don't have to stop the bullshit we're doing.

Madness, utter madness.
> How can one turn the sinking, horrified feeling when one loses a love into a function?"

The same way the brain does. Those complex feelings can eventually be resolved into dumb neurophysics. Love, fear, anxiety etc. al are just electrical impulses tickling chemicals. Is there anything in our brains that we could never approximate with technology?
Indeed, Rich Sutton argued that we already have been through an exponential phase of self-improvement, we have been using computers to build better computers for decades, and have been using technology to improve our learning and cognition for a long time.

Piece this together with: 'Brain efficiency: Much more than you wanted to know' [1] which shows how our brains are incredibly efficient (near theoretical limits) at what they do, it's hard to think a bona fide intelligence singularity is anywhere likely. To quote Feynman, 'There is no miracle people'[2], and analogously 'There are no miracle beings' -- intelligence is built out of systems, and learning, and inference.

There's a possibility that the skills relevant to AI success are vastly different from our natural skills, such that although the human brain is highly efficient, it's efficient at the wrong things. That's clearly true in a few ways: we are not so good at arithmetic for example, a small CPU can literally be millions-billions times faster than a human at that. (that's addressed a little in the article as well) I wonder if AI could indeed be vastly better at something like computer programming, mathematics than we are. But there's no singularity (at most a Moore-like law will continue until AI intelligence saturates at a different skillset than our own).

[1] https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/xwBuoE9p8GE7RAuhd/brain-effi...

[2] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IIDLcaQVMqw