skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
> that will affect the poorer countries mainly

sending waves of migration into the richer countries.

at some point we are all in this together.

> some massive and unpredictable ecological collapse could conceivably happen by then, which would I guess have the potential of severely damaging food production, but I’m not sure if that’s considered especially likely.

unlikely that we get an unpredictable ecological collapse.

predictable ones, however, are already taking place. Insect populations down 80%, bird populations down 50%, general extinction rate at levels that make me cry, ...

how long until this affects food production? Hell, at current rates of erosion, the US is predicted to run out of dirt by the end of the century.
I do wonder if this has an effect of encouraging the segments of society that don't plan so well, ultimately undermining the goal of saving resources, in the longer term.

In my own country we see significant proportions of multi-generational welfare demographics that are incentivized to breed and often with multiple children, because someone else picks up the tab. However the working class who that try to get ahead under their own steam before maybe breeding are having children later, and less of them if at all.
>Curious that, at least in the case of Georgia

That's not entirely true.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Abkhaz%E2%80%93Georgian_confli...
They are already using 100% of the forces they originally lined up on the Ukraine border.

This appears to be something like 75% of their total operational power, with obvious, serious problems, like relying on civilian GPS, being evidently wholly unprepared for the mud, the fact that there's no comms chain back so they rely on Ukrainian comms networks staying up, the lack of a supply chain, the fact that the domestic population is finally catching on to the fact that Putin is illegally using his conscripts on the front line, the consequent astonishing rate of desertion from an army who weren't told they were invading until they crossed the border to "keep peace", the death of two generals, more aircraft losses than they expected, etc.

It's quite a big fraction of their power and what is very striking is that they appear unable to fully support it

The only people really surprised by this attack appear to be essentially all ranks of the Russian army -- an army spoiled by corruption and grift.

The bigger question is which ends first? The war, or Putin?
What a steal. I hope this doesn’t change any of their threat sharing culture or reports.
Oh, yes, we haven't had this kind of internal unity for years. All the bickering is currently on the back burner.

That won't last forever, but as of now, the EU is quite a cohesive force - for the first time in this century.
If it makes those up north feel better, computer translation was next to useless for anything slightly complex until Hinton and friends figured out deep learning.
My favorite litmus test for "Big Data" is https://yourdatafitsinram.net.

If you can fit it into RAM on a single machine, you probably shouldn't be using complex distributed systems for working with it. The developer time spent setting it up and fixing arcane bugs due to the distributed system is likely to cost you more than a single monster server will.

If your processes generate large amounts of data rapidly, you can get a decent idea when you should start working on a move to a "big data" solution by looking at your rate of growth.

...though in my experience, stuff like logs can be tarballed and tossed on S3 as insurance just in case you really do need to get an overview of some pattern over the past three years. Mostly only about the past six months of logs are really worth keeping on hand actively, IMO.
A Brief History of Encryption
The mis-use of "big data" tools like Hadoop to do with entire giant clusters of systems what can be done more quickly on a MacBook Air encapsulates quite a bit of what is wrong with all modern software development: overengineering, dick size based infrastructure decisions ("look at how big my cluster is!"), stacking up tools to pad one's resume, mindlessly copying what bigger companies do, needless layers of abstraction, etc.

Look up the largest hard drive of any type that you can find for sale. Now spec out a consumer or small business grade NAS with 2-4 of those drives. If your data will fit there, you do not have "big data." If the cost bothers you consider that the cloud footprint (or on-prem mini data center) required to use your big sexy "big data" approach will cost far more than one of those NAS systems, possibly every month.

The only real exception is if you need performance and the computations you are doing are CPU bound or highly parallelizable. If you need rapid turnaround you may want some kind of distributed replicated cluster approach that can do things in parallel. For the majority of jobs though these are periodic or internal facing analytics jobs and getting the results faster is not worth 10X-100X the hardware cost or cloud bill and 10X the developer time.
The best way to deal with any kind of depression is therapy. Seek help.

____

I can give you my personal reason why I am not worried.

Human beings have been extremely resilient and shown extreme innovative nature's when it comes to solve problems.

I do not live in an area near the sea and my house is safe for decades. I also have the means to move with family if needed. That would be devastating, but I will live, and so will my family.

The world is shifting heavily towards renewables, and that gives me hope.

China and India have increased total forest coverage.

Innovation is extremely important so that quick and cheap ways to migrate to renewables emerge. I am optimistic about this one, but the progress is slow.

China has converted deserts into forest, and artificial rain has been made possible.

The thing with global warming is that it is "global". It will require decades and global will to reverse it. But I think it will be possible.
What makes China’s institutions better than the west’s?
There are over 3B devices using Chrome as browser. 2.5B of them are either on Laptop, Smartphone or Tablet. Average Opened Tabs is still under 5.

As much as I want them to optimise for memory usage. Taking less CPU time for rendering is extremely important for battery.

Not to mention faster site is noticeable. And that is what sells. Chrome was faster than everything else when it launched. ( May be apart from Opera )
Uniqlo stays open in Russia saying clothes are 'necessity'
comm(1) and join(1) can do joins on text files. Make sure they're sorted in the same locale you're joining them in; LANG=C tends to be the fastest.
A recent Science Friday segment observed that there's been less big cyber than expected so far https://www.sciencefriday.com/segments/cyber-warfare-russia-...
I am talking about reading IPCC reports and understanding how most of the world we have, won't be the way it is now.
Most hydrogen is produced from methane and is actually worse than gasoline for global warming because methane leaks and is a far more potent greenhouse gas than CO2.

It makes indeed more sense to just use renewable gasoline, e.g. using the Fischer-Tropsch process like VW's eFuel.
...because Russian hackers wouldn't think to come from IPs outside of Russia.
That would have lot of interesting consequences. The big question is what happens to siberian oil.

What happens if western russia gets politically split off from siberia and can't be a petrol state anymore? Who gets the nukes? Can they even keep track of the nukes?

Siberia is enormous and closer to china. An oil rich china sounds scary.
OTOH - new, entry level Macbook M1s come with 8Gb RAM. Those are the ones I could afford (= full monthly salary) but I'm reluctant to buy because of Chrome.
Choices have consequences, don’t complain when they’re revealed…
FYI you can make something very similar by mixing silicon sealant and chalk powder/cornstarch
> There's something different about recent government spending

It could be scale. It's double what its been at its peak in 2008 and for two years straight now.

> (that it gives money to poor people),

12 trillion was allocated, less than half of which went to legislative programs like income support and direct payments. More than half went to things like asset repurchases, liquidity measures, lending facilities, etc. Relatively little spending was "money to poor people"

[0] https://datalab.usaspending.gov/americas-finance-guide/defic...

[1] https://www.covidmoneytracker.org/
Just out of curiosity, are there a fair number of democratic countries (outside of the US) deciding to go to war and then lose it ?

On the contrary it looks like democracies have a hard time even deciding to defend themselves, because people will never decide risk a war on their country. And Putin is exploiting just this, IMO.
Japan paid out $800M in compensation to the South Korean government in 1965. However, Korea was a military dictatorship at the time, so they used it for funding random projects instead of actually compensating the people who suffered.

Also, here's a list of Japanese war apologies: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_war_apology_statements...
When was the last time the US invaded and occupied land on its own?
Definitely a big concern.
I have many friends with large development sites in St Petersburg and while they love their team, they are extremely concerned of a potential "external" influence they cannot control!
> Have you considered a possibility that Ukranian authorities are effectively preventing massive evacuations towards russia/belarus because it would look bad for them in press.

I talked with people who ran to my country. I lack the words to describe how delusional is the idea, they would like to move anywhere closer to Russia, even if Putin personally came in his jet to pick them up.
Sure, in the same sense that a roulette table or a deck of shuffled cards isn't actually random, it's just cause and effect.
I wouldn't count on it. It may have been possible in the past that a failing empire implodes and let the incumbents grab their parts around, but today, it may be very dangerous.

I don't think Russia is even unique here, all major nuclear powers, that have an ability to destroy the whole humankind multiple times, would rather see the whole humanity disappearing, then only their empire collapsing.

Russia, as any empire can be dissolved only from within, by the wish of Russian people. But that's dangerous too, since instead of one nuclear power, we would end up with 5, 6 nuclear powers all having the ability to destroy the whole world.
The equipment Russia is bringing ( biplanes, armoured trains, random assortiments of trucks and self-propelled artillery pieces) are literally out of the 1950-1960s. They sure knew how to manufacture things then if it's still operational!
Laying off half of their employees, bleeding executives, and bringing in leadership consultants.

This has all the hallmarks of a company that took investment money and poured it into hiring as many people as possible without actually stopping to build a valid company in the process.

I suspect we’ll see a lot more of these stories as flawed companies start to run out of investment money from the COVID investment book.
This site provides instructions on how to setup the basics which I find apply to most websdr software. You’ll need to find the correct freq but there a lot to listen to.

https://www.popularfront.co/listening-in-to-military-broadca...
Maybe because Safari runs exclusively on MacOS and so can have a lot of OS specific optimizations ?
Passwords, Fertility Rates and the Ruble
I understand that, I understand we will eventually resolve this. It's not the end result I am worried about, it's the damage we'll be doing to all species (including ours) on the way. It's the killing we're already doing right now.
The thing is, you don't need psychedelics to achieve personal consciousness change. There are a number of mystical traditions going back hundreds of years that will tell you all about how to do it, totally drug-free. And empirically, psychedelic-fueled 'trips' tend to be less psychologically healthy than ordinary mystical ones. These substances may quickly increase your openness to magickal experiences and unacknowledged powers of the sentient mind, but they do so in a forceful, dangerous, totally uncontrolled fashion that leaves you highly vulnerable to very dark sides of spirituality; all sorts of random mischievous things that would never come up with better approaches.

(To be fair, this was not something that could feasibly be realized back in the mid-20th c. when psychedelics use first entered mass popular culture. One could be forgiven for thinking back then that these really were somehow unique in the insights they could open up. So Ellsberg's opinion on this matter is also quite understandable.)
They are certainly very far from reaching their original stated objectives.
You are either misinformed or lying. Even relying on Russian sources it is clear that they have a substantial commitment in Ukraine. Trying to label it as a tiny fraction is honestly ridiculous.
Excellent job. Thank you!
To be fair, this is not something that just happened recently, nor just in Japan (nor just by Russia). Airspace of multiple nations gets violated multiple times per year by multiple nations, all the time. Although the timing makes it a bit suspected, I'm sure it's just a general test of "readiness", which happens often.
Ignorance is bliss: consume less media that talks about Climate Change.

Does Climate Change exist? Sure. Is mankind a major factor? Most likely. Will the problem be solved? Who knows. Will the planet and everything on it die within the next two to fifty years? Chances are no... But will the situation become in any way better if you keep stressing yourself out about it?

Lean back. Relax. Try living a good meaningful life in a community where your actions affect those you care about positively.

Do not let people whose livelihood is to induce panic control how you feel.
Crimea it at least 70% ethnic Russian and was Russian until moved to Ukraine without consultation.

So I think this is a case where Putin's actions did align with what the people actually wanted even if that's too hard for the West to acknowledge publicly (I'm sure that they accept that Crimea is not going back to Ukraine).
Sounds totally reasonable to me. I don’t understand the theory of trying to strangle household energy usage.

Increasing household energy use is not the problem, it’s actually the solution to a huge productivity and standard of living increase for your population.

Energy is the lifeblood of the entire economy. Limiting energy use disproportionately hurts the poorest of the population and drives up the poverty rate.

That 18.85kWh of energy at utility scale is roughly $0.25 USD in energy cost. You figure you got a quarter’s worth of value from everything that energy accomplished for you that day? Probably more like 100x that value.

What’s the opportunity cost of trying to halve your energy bill and save about a dime a day?

The solution is cheap, abundant, clean energy. The featured article shows that’s actually where most of our new production is coming from already. Although in truth that’s more indicative of how overly constrained our energy production growth is, but things are rapidly moving in the right direction due to technology maturation and a supportive tax structure.

Funny that’s all it takes to align incentives and let human ingenuity and the manufacturing learning curve run its course. The problem is the doomsdayers who can only extrapolate linear outcomes from past performance and entirely discount the obvious technological paradigm shifts which are occurring.
A quick glance at Tuva specifically on Wiki has an extremely short period of time in Russia’s political sphere. I’m not sure if the predominately Buddhist parts of Russia have that deep of a Russian history.
Can it show transparent aluminium?
Use adblockers, Use different search engine if you don't like it.

Can't comment about account being banned.
A lot of frameworks have queues bounded only by the available memory. As the article nicely demonstrates it implies that CPU must be idle at least 20% of time for that to work to have reasonable bounds on latency. With various GUI event queues that is OK, but it puzzled me why, for example, Erlang opted to have unbounded message queues. Did not Erlang designers care about latency?
I'm not sure...

1) "while browsing the web", not "in life";

2) This is an article about a web browser and the article isn't trying to compare browsers to real life scenarios, let alone wars...
After years of living in Moscow: No one should expect Russians to rise up now
If you actually sub-segment the population to control for this, I.e. “college educated, unmarried professionals”, you realize women actually make slightly more than men.
The efficiency difference is very small; the main advantage of the Dubai Lamp is that it lasts longer.
> Does anyone believe the EU and US are capable of and willing to degrade the Russian economy to the point of mass famine?

Famine WILL happen..... Russia and Ukraine produce much of the worlds grain.(And Russian gas is massively used to manufacture fertilizer)

Russia and Ukraine together account for around 30% of internationally traded wheat.

Source: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-60644376

If this war is not stopped immediately, the world will experience a drop of global supply between 10 per cent to 50 per cent of major agrarian products including wheat, barley, corn, rapeseed, and sunflower oil

Source: https://www.ft.com/content/02095093-329b-4b66-9f80-13d073500...
"Germans effectively left in the late 40s" - Germans quickly evacuated in the face of the Red Army, because bad things happened to the ones who didn't.

My father-in-law's family considered themselves very lucky to have had distant relatives in Niedersachsen (West Germany) and to have gotten out of Tilsit (now called Sovetsk) at all. He's never been back.
What I really dislike modern cloud DWH such as Snowflake is that it hides a lot of things from me. Since I'm not a CTO who worries about not delivering, but a junior DE who actually wants to learn things, I really prefer that things were done in the old ways where we had to manage our own infrastructure and our own code for ETL. These kinds of things can not be learned "just for fun" because one has to work in a real environment.
Not to go into each of your counter-examples, but while some of them can't be done remotely today, surely we can get there.

Eg. how far away are we from having remote-controlled tractors and combine-harvesters? Sure, get them home into a garage when they need servicing.

Hospitality? There are places which, especially in the first pandemic year, have gone all hands-off (eg. get a token to access a property on your check-in without talking to anyone).

But rather than can we, I think the point should be should we? There's a psychological cost to working with people you've never met personally, never hanged around with... And some people will struggle to get any social activity happening in their lives without work.

I've worked remotely for 15+ years, but I don't think it's for everybody, or for anybody all the time.
Vladivostok/Primorsky Krai is ethnically Russian though. If Russia ceases to exist as a mutli-ethnic empire, it would unlikely be the part that breaks off.
A lot of people predicted it. It's not a novel concept that if you increase the money supply by 25% in one year, you risk seeing a rise in prices. We saw this first on asset prices. During the most uncertain and scariest time of the pandemic where we had no idea if the world was going to end, the stock market rose significantly above pre-covid levels. Later on many, including myself, thought there was a good chance it'll spread to consumer prices. I wrote a whole series about this starting on April 2, 2021

The fed should have predicted this as its pretty textbook economics. But they won't be held to account and working class people will pay the price through higher prices and lower wages. Then the remedy will be higher interest rates and a risk of higher unemployment and economic stagnation,

[0] https://mleverything.substack.com/p/where-did-the-12-trillio...
When is the last time the US annexed land or tried to?
Trained his officers, hi tank division, taught German how to build tanks and kick-started their submarine program. But France lost way too fast for Stalin plan to work. He still went celebrate in Brest their joint victory in Poland.
Realize that so much climate change coverage (and coverage of most topics) is designed to instill as much fear as possible in you so that you click the link/watch the video/etc. If climate change coverage were honest (we'll see a modest increase in sea level rise vs we have 10 years before we destroy the planet) no one would read it. It's designed to reach some lizard part of your brain and not necessarily be an accurate portrayal of what will actually happen. I'm not denying that climate change is real, but we've had "scientific" pronouncements like this since the 60s or 70s and yet the world goes on and everything hasn't completely collapsed. People were saying I'm the 80s and 90s that we only had till 2000 or 2010 to save the planet and yet here we are. My advice is stop reading the news and go enjoy time in nature.
The Romantic movement was all about valuing the "irrational" elements of the human being - religion, tradition, animal instinct (in opposition to the rationalistic Enlightenment wave that preceded it). That's what the parent comment basically went for, so I just pointed it out.

One might take my point of citing the century as a statement on the (lack of) originality of such thought, but tbh I mostly meant as a resource: other people, out there, have already thought and reasoned about those issues for literally hundreds of years at this point, so parent might find some solace (and some critical developments) in their production. This is not restricted to Romantic issues, btw - most of the stuff we pass for original in places like this, are likely to have already been discussed ad nauseam in philosophical circles all the way to the 1970s (at which point academia kinda ran out of stuff to talk about, and started focusing on the meta -- but I digress).
The OP was talking about climate change making the planet inhabitable and nuclear winter fixing that.
Absolutely! There's value in planning for your life and at least trying to act on your plan. Even so, learning when and how to adapt or abandon your plans, well, that's an art form which takes a lifetime to perfect.

Then there are things in life you can't really prepare yourself for because they are, well, life altering. For instance, when you marry, there's only so much you can do to prepare for the probability of losing your partner through death and divorce. The practicalities, such as notary's and testaments, are fairly trivial to deal with. Living through the experience and confronting yourself with reality as it happens? That's a wholly different ball game.
>" I guess now would be the perfect time to pounce on disputed territory"

And get a nuke in response?
Steve Wozniak: Steve Jobs wasn’t a natural-born leader
The article wasn't accounting for other possible effects, it just jumped straight to concluding organic farming was the culprit. During the same time period covered by the policy, agricultural yields in the US dropped significantly as well, primarily due to pandemic and climate impacts. The article mentioned that the pandemic hit months after the policy was implemented and that devastated tourism, which was one of the backbones of Sri Lanka's economy. In earlier sentences, the article implies that the organic farming policy is solely responsible for the economic problems. In short, this is a biased and unreliable assessment of the policy's impacts.
Exactly, same goes for pollution, container ships, aviation..etc.