skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Just my 2 cent crystal ball.

Perhaps people want a more authoritarian world (without realizing it). The ratio of static to noise has been increasing year by year. People don't want to take (nor have) the time to balance alternate view points and spend the time to independently determine fact from opinion. I think the current lack of direction creates turmoil--there are too many options, too many sources of information, and the quality of all of them have gone down while they compete to pull at our amygdalas for seconds of our time. Maybe there is a higher percentage of people who just want answers from someone they trust so they can get on with their lives.

I think I've been on HN long enough to know that (re)implementing limitations on the control of information would make most of you scream. But maybe its for the best. It's already been proven many times over that people aren't going to research facts themselves. So having fewer organizations spoon feed choice bits of information can't be worse. Note that I am not suggesting to deliberately block information, but rather have organizations that are more selective (i.e. exactly like it was during the newspaper era).

I think it's incredibly unlikely for the USA to become a dictatorship. We have too many checks and balances, and the decision making is cordoned off into many compartments, and the country is split 50/50 on who they vote for. An authoritarian-bent president would have to fight three branches of government, 50 governors (all of whom have their own state-level army, by the way), 100 senators, hundreds of congressmen, thousands of judges and lawyers, 150 million citizens, and so on and so forth. And on top of that, manage the country on a national and international level. I just dont see it happening. Trump did not bring us any where closer to that reality by the way (name one legislative/judicial change that moved the needle closer in that direction).

All this to say, there's nothing to be scared about. The internet has been a fun experiment but it's given a microphone to too many people, and has crumpled the gatekeepers who had the job of filtering out the diamonds from the mud (and did that job extraordinarily well, by the way, because they had to, or die). It feels like our culture has been dying. The influence artists had up until the 90s was comparatively huge. If resources were pooled to support the most talented (be it artists, journalists, architects, musicians, corporate / government leaders, etc), I think we would experience another golden era of culture.
i use (and pay for) protonmail myself. then main reason i chose it was because it has a free tier, so if i ever miss a payment or can't pay for some reason, i can still send and receive email. if it wasn't for that reason i would probably just go with fastmail
There were people who foresaw, if not perfectly, how bad WWI would be, and tried to stop it. Many of them were socialists - Rosa Luxemburg and Karl Liebknecht in Germany, Jean Jaurès in France for example - and their final hope was that the proletariat of the European nations would not fight against one another, but we know how that turned out.

The problem was that there were not enough who were afraid, and that goes for WWII too.

There is also the view, which I think has considerable merit, which regards WWII in Europe as a continuation of WWI, and the Pacific war as a largely separate, though concurrent, event.
I just did (in London), mostly Google/Amazon/Meta at the top, plus a few hedge funds, including Jane Street which pays insane amounts of money but who's also much more selective than FAANG.
Google can censor. Censorship is necessarily performed by an entity with the power to restrict information conveyance, but it is not necessary for them to be a government.

It is true that it is impossible for Google to violate the 1st Amendment (unless they were nationalized first).
Most?

Source?

Nearly 9% of US presidents have been assassinated. Over a much much smaller timeframe. I would bet you would be less likely to have been assassinated as a Tsar than as a President.
Oh yeah it is absolutely confusing, and I think it's done real harm to the concept to have it misused in linux so badly.
Why is this good? Your comment lacks any context including and especially any indication that you understand the reason why The Hill played the clip.
> My friends. Just so expendable in the eyes of my employer.

This is a cold, hard reality.

Good to be aware of it, and work on accepting it, processing it, rather than avoid the truth.

We are expendable. Each and every one of us.

And that’s ok.
A /24 wouldn't propagate much farther than the nearest IX and immediate peers, as presumably peers have learned to aggregate and filter in the last 20 years. At face value, it really seems like a shift to backup routes. Also, state level attacker view, hijacking a route from another ASN is a bit 3rd world, as if you were a superpower, you'd have already hacked the routers in question and would just loop traffic through and MPLS tunnel to your analysis centre.
Sergey Brin is getting back in touch with his roots.
Except DNSSEC accomplishes nothing really. It does not make anything more secure. Crypto is not a panacea to the problems of trust.
10 a day doesn't sound like a lot. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Hertz_Corporation says their revenue is US$5.3 billion a year, which is probably about 100 million rental car days, so probably about 30 million customers, so 3400 thefts a year is about one out of every 10,000 rentals. It would be surprising to me if the number of thefts was really that low.

Cold comfort if you're one of the false positives, though. Though it sounds like the risk of that is probably close to 0.01%. This doesn't seem like a big enough risk to worry about.

Glancing at the article, it says the number is actually 1.4 per 10,000 rentals, so I guess Hertz does 30% less rentals than I guessed.
I'm not sure how many "many" is, but my understanding is the vast majority of people involved were merely trespassing.
If this turns out to be true, it's probably going to be remembered as one of the biggest blunders in military history.
The US will become authoritarian precisely because of thinking and assumptions such as yours.

1. Authoritarianism is not a good thing, hard stop.

2. The US is not a long way away from authoritarianism. It's one strongman with actual brains away from it.

Making consessions like you suggest is precisely how we slip into authoritarianism.
Thanks for summarizing my statement more succinctly.
Everything you said I agree with, but I'm very pessimistic that the average person has either the intellect or the will to change their outlook (and thus behaviour) voluntarily, at least over the general population. I do think it's an interesting hypothesis (and I'll claim it for the moment) that the current world, with its facile TikTok morons and the litany of other issues that I think the Romans, Greeks, and even people from the early 20th century would chalk up to stupidity, ignorance, and naïveté, is the result of TOO MUCH peace and prosperity. The overwhelming majority (more than 99%) of the Western world has no idea what proper existential struggles look like, and they haven't for 80 years now. I recall Jefferson's prognostications about the need for repeated revolutions.

I think we need catastrophe and suffering to bring out the best in ourselves, because without them society writ large trends inexorably in a direction that nobody would argue represents the best of our species.
The Politifact article even clarifies that Joe Biden's error was saying Trump advised "drinking bleach", as opposed to "express interest in exploring whether disinfectants could be applied to the site of a coronavirus infection".
As a former Navy man, I can't imagine being told to go fight in some muddy field with a weapon I don't know how to use for a crazy leader with delusions of grandeur. I would find a way not to go.
An average user probably wouldn't want to set it up though.

The security is fine, but it's definitely not plug and play like I'd expect a commercial NAS or something to be.
I don't care why they played the clip because it's not my platform to police.
That was a tactical strike on an airfield. They don’t hold Russian territory. They have not secured a bargaining chip.
Thunderbolt has been royalty-free since 2019, when it was licensed to the USB-IF to be used as the basis for USB4.

https://arstechnica.com/gadgets/2019/03/thunderbolt-3-become...

(I also suspect that Apple's cut wasn't huge to start with; Thunderbolt was developed with Intel, and Intel likely got the lion's share of royalties given that they were the ones actually selling the Thunderbolt controllers and seem to have been the driving force behind Thunderbolt 3.)
I did like the impossible to measure the speed of light one, even though it has Smarter Every Day.

Ok that one has something I can identify clearly: The way Justin (Smarter Every Day) seems to be just badly hamming up the whole "this is so weird and hard to visualize" as though to pander to the audience who are expected to be baffled by the idea being presented. That was Justin though not Veritassium.

I agree with what you point out about this one.
I find funny that on most security contexts, "Trust" doesn't mean something is secure, rather the opposite, that security is definitely compromised if "Trust" is compromised.
Well, also if the goal is the carnage itself and nothing else. The Kremlin is very clearly still operating under the idea that violent repression will lead to a compliant, productive population - which wasn't true at any point in USSR history even.
Every government in the world now seems to think they can control any company in the world. It's rather insane.
That will probably change over time as Russia becomes more and more isolated from the world.

I'm sure the oligarchs are pissed at yacht seizures and banking discomfort too but so what? This is a valid tactic since they didn't attack a NATO member.

If they did, then they would be facing the same things that Ukrainian citizens are.

Russia flexes their might against their own citizens constantly and disrupts their quality of life. There's always going to be some that will be emboldened for the wrong reasons. But it doesn't make sense for nations to sit idly by.

The idea that citizens over there could organize with internet and actually accomplish any change is nonsense.
Yep this is my guess as well. They don't want messy urban warefare, that's a public relations disaster. They want a strong negotiating position and to "make their point".
A couple of Facebook groups, memes, and Twitter posts by Russian trolls != collusion.

The left was screaming about Trump directly colluding with the Russians. When the facts came out and it was clear he didn't collude, the goal posts shifted to "well the Russian troll farms helped Trump win!"

That's not collusion.
The entire advertisement ~~industry~~ racket is a case of an emperor with no clothes, a problem looking for a problem.

Products should not be forced upon people at random times.

All advertising should be replaced by opt-in directories with better indexing and filtering systems that let people search for what they want, when they want.

“I want to see games like Dark Souls but in 2D with pixel art and a soundtrack like Blade Runner”

Instead of mass-raping everyone’s privacy just to guess what people want, let people tell companies what they want.

Instead of manipulating people with false impressions, products should stand out on their merits not on their marketing budgets.

Honestly just banning all advertisement outright would snuff so many ills of society: coerced consumption, waste of resources, waste of time, uglification of public spaces, invasion of privacy, jobs whose sole purpose is to deceive, and other bullshit.
> The answer to 'why now' is COVID. People in the west are already worn-out by the pandemic and are in no mood to engage in a new conflict.

That may have been what Putin thought but it seems like a terrible misunderstanding of western resolve on his part.
Is that what you call this? Trespassing?

https://twitter.com/RepLizCheney/status/1489691175883882496
My read was, he was saying something like:

"If the VKS had the large-scale organizational capabilities we'd previously assumed, then they'd have a straightforward SEAD approach (involving strength in numbers and some moderate SEAD sophistication), though it might lose aircraft (perhaps due to comparably low SEAD sophistication, I don't know). Then, having eliminated the SAMs, they could fly higher, in larger numbers. So it's weird that they don't do that. This is circumstantial evidence that they aren't capable of this type of SEAD, and this in turn is more evidence for my tentative conclusion that they might be incapable of air operations of more than a few planes."

That's what I got out of the SEAD comments in TFA.
There are 150,000 people at Google. But how many people can, on their own and without being noticed, flip that switch. And how much are they getting paid that they are willing to risk their job/career/a lawsuit to flip that switch? I assume their compensation from Google at that level is already pretty healthy, so it's not like they'd need that money for a necessity.
I'm having trouble understanding the problem being solved here. It looks like we're trying to figure out which pixels in each frame of video correspond to an object named in some accompanying text. I'm not sure if the text is an input or output, though, or what other parameters might be in there (timestamps/intervals of the video?).
Cool thanks for a useful answer. I agree with your first point definitely.
> but I guess there doesn’t always have to be a Franz Ferdinand moment?

The official start of WWI was a month after Franz Ferdinand's assassination, even though it's so heavily identified nowadays as "the start of the war". It's entirely possible that in the future, the instigating event will be identified as something that already happened and it's just taking a while for the shooting to start as alliances solidify, and that people who think we're already in WWIII have the same "the instigating event is the start of the war" association.

Russia's incursion into Ukraine near the end of February could, for example, end up being it.
Do they care about Linux ports when Proton works just as well if not better?

And plenty of Linux ports of games don't work on modern Linux anymore because of dependencies. See https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=30490570 from just this week.
Like, a giant and malformed QR code on the ground, causing a buffer overrun?
I don't claim to understand how (or if) Putin's mind works, but my theory is that he doesn't care if said agreement stands up to international scrutiny. It'll be a piece of paper that he treats as a license to invade again if he smells any weapons nearby.

I suspect the plan is to just keep increasing the pressure until this piece of paper materializes.

Maybe at some point Zelensky gets killed by "accident" and whoever takes over signs the piece of paper. Or that guy refuses and he turns up dead. It's a war zone, crazy shit will happen.
Mearsheimer talks about this in other talks. He likes speaking in China because “he’s among his people”, that is, people who understand Great Power Politics is as relevant today as it’s always been.
Agreed, both sides are authoritarian. It's not mutually exclusive.
I remember Second Life being rolled out at work in 2007 to be our exciting new platform for our 2-week induction. That never got wide acceptance.

Then Minecraft has become the world's flagship interactive 3d world for creativity. There's obviously a huge social aspect, but that largely plays out on YouTube, twitch etc

Zuck's "Metaverse" concept is now pretty ancient, and I don't see anything new, innovative or exciting, just another Second Life with more ads in your face.

With the technology we have now, I don't know why there isn't an app that does voice recognition searches for products and lets you swipe through augmented reality 3d photos of each product accompanied by reviews.

Or supermarket shelves where you say "fruit" and then tap the items you want.

I suspect 20 years from now the concept of in-person shopping with a staff member at the checkout will be quaint (e.g. gift shop) and specialised (E.g. Apple store).

But as for Zuck's Meta, unfortunately I think their offering will beat everybody else's, no matter how shitty it is, as you'll be able to import 100% of your FB/Insta/WhatsApp data, and that matters to consumers more than anything else.
Bad outcomes are assured when people who simply don't care make decisions that affect those who do.

Between the trio of media, tech, and government there's enormous control over what we hear and learn about. The filters they apply are powerful, yet inconsistent, and often populist, political, or irrational.

These 3 groups have this control, yet are incapable of using it to optimise for citizenry well-being.
Can you give an example? What's a view that's been eliminated?
> It doesn’t help that the US system can have a winner who didn’t get the majority of the vote

This is incorrect.

You require a majority of votes in the USA in the presidential election. What you seem to be missing is that people do not vote for the President but vote to direct how their state votes.

States vote for President. People vote for states.
I just find a Christmas valley in programming industry
Every year on the christmas, most of npm package's downloads were halved.

https://imgur.com/52FG10k
You may not like hearing this but if you're a white-collar worker earning 6 figures and guaranteed to continue earning 6 figures for the rest of your career, you aren't entitled to CoL increases. Your employer is not a villain nor are they morally culpable just because they've made a business decision around how much salary increases they want to give their already privileged employees. Or a business decision regarding their work-from-home policy.

If you're not happy, leave and work for a company that better matches what you're looking for. I would be furious if my ex-employer was giving me bad references just because I wanted to work-from-home or asked for a higher salary. And I would similarly not go around vilifying my ex-employer just because they wanted to offer me a lower salary or have me in the office regularly.
> Notice, that these are all 2018 or older models

I've never bought a car newer than 5 years old. And it looks like the EVs that handle cold better tend to be the more expensive models and brands. So the problem here isn't so much that no EVs work in the cold, as that it reduces the economic feasibility of using an EV for many people.

> But further, WHY is 40% range loss "totally unacceptable"?

Because EVs often already have smaller ranges to begin with, have fewer charging stations than gas stations, and take longer to charge, and a significant decrease in range exarcerbates those problems, and may make an EV completely impractical in some situations. Hopefully all those things improve in the future.
All the middle managers are wringing their hands about losing their jobs if there are no people in cubes to "manage".
They had ₽47B on March 3. On March 3, at the time of writing that equaled ~$457M.

The Ruble has lost ~10% of it's value since then = ~$379M today.

So they've "only" lost $78M - not $250M.
I fail to see how this is anything more than a relaunch of SecondLife. Much time and energy was thrown at it, and it didn't stick. There appear to be no sufficiently new ideas in that space.
> As best I can tell, this conflict was entirely, completely, utterly avoidable simply by Ukraine following the terms of the Minsk agreements

Those were the agreements that said Russia wasn't allowed to pump money and weapons into the separatist regions of Ukraine, yeah? Huh.

Well then, too bad Russia's fucking the invasion up so utterly. Whatever replaces them will be a whole lot worse for it.
Google is a nearly two trillion dollar company. I shed no tears for “forcing” them to host speech they don’t like.

My desire to give companies rights diminishes with scale.
How is this a guided tour by any stretch of the imagination?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cvJvLIXcuc0
This is such a poor argument. It is not like a Russian programmer working in Russia has tons of well paying job options. They can work there because they get to work on interesting problems. Clickhouse came from inside Yandex.

Just because they have to toe the line of a goverment where they operate, should they stop serving the hundreds of millions of Russian people.

Isn't Twitter toeing the line of EU while censoring RT? Not that RT was publishing truth anyway but my point is companies toe the line on the basis of where they operate.

You don't expect Baidu to put the image of Tank man on their home page.

Should Apple employees have quit when the iPhones they designed were being manufactured by labour working in inhumane conditions? At least that was something that Apple could have easily controlled instead of trying to maximize the margins on their products.
> What's the difference between pirating music and stealing code that is under a software license?

If by "stealing code" you mean creating and distributing (probably selling) software derived from it that violates the license, it is quite different.

If what you mean is simply downloading warez for your own use, it is more or less the same.
The Winter War was a romantic failure.

We always hear of the one-sidedness of the start of the Winter War when the Finns destroyed a much larger Soviet invasion. We don't always hear about the end of the Winter War when the Finns were forced to surrender and lost a lot of territory and resources.

Because of the Winter War the Germans thought that the Soviets would be a pushover. Hence Hitler's boast "You only have to kick in the door and the whole rotten structure will come crashing down." in mid-1941. Unfortunately for the Germans, the Soviets repeated the history of the Napoleonic War and marched into Berlin in 1945, just as they had previously marched into Paris in 1814.
Weird classification of Ukraine not living up to the agreement therefore mainly responsible. There were accusations of cease-fire violation from both sides. This is also the conflict that brings us the phrase "Little Green Men", and later the destruction of flight MH-17. Russia has continually played a major part in escalating this conflict just has been done recently where they have gone to full-scale invasion.
You admit his is talking clearly then? Many people seem to chose when to give him that consideration.
It would be ridiculous.
The 136-page 2nd interim report of the Office of Special Counsel of the state of Wisconsin, recently released, raises troubling issues.

See especially:

Chapter 6: Wisconsin Election Officials’ Widespread Use of Absentee Ballot Drop Boxes Facially Violated Wisconsin Law.

Chapter 7: The Wisconsin Elections Commission (WEC) Unlawfully Directed Clerks to Violate Rules Protecting Nursing Home Residents, Resulting in a 100% Voting Rate in Many Nursing Homes in 2020, Including Many Ineligible Voters.

The author, Former Supreme Court justice Mike Gableman, concludes:

"This Report has documented not just one, but a great collection of Wisconsin election law violations. As a political matter, the actions of state actors certifying electors in any Presidential election can be reconsidered as the Wisconsin Legislature sees fit using its plenary power under Article II of the federal Constitution, as recognized in McPherson and Bush v. Gore. Indeed, McPherson noted that “there is no doubt of the right of the legislature to resume the power at any time.” McPherson, 146 U.S. at 35 (emphasis added)..."

https://legis.wisconsin.gov/assembly/22/brandtjen/media/1552...

I hope the MSM will pay due attention to the issues that this report identified.