skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
In the anti-war movement I can assure you that they were not believed. And with good reason, no evidence was presented. That is why we protested in huge numbers before the war began.

If you go back and review press interviews with donald rumsfeld at the time you can see that even he could not provide evidence which convinced the journalists. Regardless, the media did their patriotic dtuy and reported them as fact.

Check out the news clip of Rumsfelds "unknown unknowns". A journalist asks: "That is all very interesting but is there any evidence, because that would elevate our bind faith in to something actually reasonable and fact based?" Rumsfeld had nothing to offer.
yeah the general thought right now is that these are just young, mandatory conscripts that were kept in the dark right before deployment by calling it training exercises and then put them into war mode. fighting against a population that wants to live in their homes is hard. I wish all the Ukrainians fighting against this corrupt invasion all the best.

I hope the crippling sanctions will not cause putin to do something drastic but rather force the oligarchs hand to depose him and stop the assault.
> Is this survivorship bias?

I'm not sure if you mean this in jest, but yes it is.

So if you meant it as dry humor, you made me chuckle. It's almost too on the nose, considering we're talking about the habits of literal survivors being taken out of context.
I know when doctors, lawyers, cement mixer, plumbers want to make more by charging more they blame it on costs, safety (or privacy), insurance.
Never I want to make an additional 10% for doing to same amount of work, is which is a hard convincing argument.

I suspect it’s not so much reinventing rather repricing
Executive equity compensation is deferred for a few years, usually at least 3 to 4 years.

https://www.equilar.com/reports/3-equity-vesting-schedules.h...
Hello, I'd like to buy an argument.
I would've thought more people would've mentioned this in this thread.
The Ukrainians have been dismantling roadsigns.

Most cellphone footage seems to be from the rear lines it wouldn’t surprise me if front line troops don’t have cellphones due to opsec or can’t keep them charged or afford roaming and it seems that Russian soldiers don’t supplement their kit with offline civilian GPS units.

There were also posts of the target marking kits that Russians use and they all seem to be commercial off the shelf laser beacons and reflectors.

The Russian army looks more and more like it’s being supplied through Aliexpress.
It’s a press release. It’s intentionally written in such a way that various audiences can glean what they want to from it.

Reading between the lines is hardly even necessary here. War escalation is an art form. This notice reveals without a doubt that Biden is willing to deploy U.S. troops to Ukraine. If recent history can tell us anything, this means U.S. troops will be deployed to Ukraine. Regardless of whatever guise they use to entertain domestic confidence, U.S. troops will be deployed to Ukraine.
Ask HN: What is the likelihood of nuclear war in 2022?
Let's start with that being an autocrat is irrational (or insane, or however you would have it) in itself.

I think we agree on that.
There are some that don't do that. Leaving those sucks.
I hope nothing in my comment could be interpreted as excusing criminal wars of aggression. I am just trying to understand and make sense of why people tacitly support, or even actively participate in them.
Russia can’t defend Crimea conventionally either at least not against NATO but that would be a nuclear trigger for them almost certainly.
Right, with Ukraine being supplied primarily by relatively untouchable (without massive escalation) NATO countries (and no end to that supply looking likely), the "total war"-style strategic bombing isn't really a meaningful aspect.

Additionally, killing large numbers of Ukrainian civilians (by conventional or nuclear bombing of the cities) would be crushing for the "liberating our people" narrative that Putin has relied on so far for support from the Russian people.
Moving the goal posts. I posted about this a few days ago- I'll paste it here. The Iraqi people mostly supported the US.

Petraeus mentions it in this recent article and everything I've found supports what he said:

https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2022/02/da...

> Ukraine is not only bigger but some 50 percent more populous than Iraq, and the Iraqi population included many millions—Kurds, Christians, Yezidis, Shabak, and many of the Shia—who broadly supported the coalition forces throughout our time there. Only a minority of the Iraqi population comprised or supported the Sunni extremists and insurgents and Iranian-supported Shia militia. Though they did, to be sure, prove to be very formidable enemies.

https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2013/06/10...

> "Iraq, today, 10 years on from the war, from the overthrow of Saddam Hussein, is not what the Iraqi people hoped for and expected. We hoped for an inclusive democracy, an Iraq that is at peace with itself and at peace with its neighbors," Salih said. "To be blunt, we are far from that."

> "But," he added, "it's important to understand where we started from. ... Literally hundreds of thousands of Iraqis were sent to mass graves. Ten years on from the demise of Saddam Hussein, we're still discovering mass graves across Iraq. And Iraqis are better off without Saddam Hussein—the overwhelming majority of Iraqis are better off without Saddam Hussein."

https://www.npr.org/2020/01/19/797722034/what-young-iraqis-w...
Hey, if a DAO can raise enough money to almost buy the Constitution, maybe you don't need to wait for Someone Else™ to start the slush fund required to pull off that stunt /s (but also not /s) -- err, specifically I meant the "fund" part, not the "wrecking factories" part, unless you meant economically wrecking, in which case I think it's still plausible
I just never feel 100% clear that this massive drop in price doesn’t have some subsidies priced in that I’m missing.

I know the biggest criticism aside from that is that the stated price of renewables ignore storage, so is incomplete.

But that criticism is orthogonal to the discussion about rate of price drop.
Would it be possible / ethical to also remove Russia's connection to the Internet at large? Similar to a reverse great wall? Would this hurt the Russian people more than the government?
There are videos on Twitter of Russian forces seemingly ambushing unarmed civilians who are just driving from point A to B and then using their vehicles as road blocks.

Seems like it really depends on what men are behind the guns. Such is war I guess.
I think the implication is that it should have a value.
The next step of course is to see if this can also be observed in other human cell cultures. Or if the fundamental mechanism is understood from this, one could make a good guess of whether or not (or to what extent) it does.
"Legal orders" are defined by the country giving them (in this case the US) which are a combination of the various treaties that the US has signed and laws. For instance, no soldier can legally be ordered to violate the Geneva convention, and they can be court martial for following such an order.

A war of aggression is about international law, and is commonly not considered something that determines if an order is legal in any military.
Most people getting into DJing now are either using Pioneer DDJ[1] which is a controller you plug into a computer, or the all-in-one system like XDJ-RX2[2]. Serato/Traktor Scratch DVS setups are usually favoured by people who like records but want to play digital too.

1210s (older MK2/3/5 or the newer MK7) are very expensive so its a huge call for someone to start with a pair of these (plus the additional expense of a mixer, needles and records).

[1] https://www.pioneerdj.com/en-au/product/all-in-one-system/xd...

[2] https://www.pioneerdj.com/en-au/product/controller/ddj-400/b...
I agree with the main argument, I question the means to get a higher standard of living. ATM it seems like rather than sustaining people we're sustaining their management by and for corporations... it seems like multiple layers and huge inefficiencies to get that QOL you speak of... I mean after all isn't leisure the mother of philosophy ?

We treat time as something we don't have enough of...(not surprising as routines tend to contract the perception of time )
We treat humans as disposable, when they have more knowledge, experiences, social contacts the older they get...
We revere money more than empathy (moreso in Western Europe, some developed countries or among those "who have")

I'd suggest it's all a play by the politicians to remain in power, rather than let people decide (if they weren't working so much to sustain real-estate, rental, health care)
We need to replace them by choosing them at random... I believe the term is Stochocracy
Try run Chrome with multi tabs :)
I definitely lean towards this approach, and warm my apartment to standard levels for my area only when company is coming over. But I think I developed mild but extremely irritating chilblains on my fingers from keeping my living space at 13-18°C. Now I diligently wear gloves (just the cheap, light kind) in such temperatures, even indoors. Just an anecdote but I can't really recommend the approach.
If they do it stealthily, when videos show up on tiktok of javelins taking out tanks, the Russians can say "see! It's all more western imperialism!".

If they do it publicly, they avoid that and send a strong message that they're supporting Ukraine. Win-win.
I think the idea that we can predict what Putin's lines are went out the window four days ago.
I'd just like to know how to apply the principles without needing a pre-filled lookup-table of goodies and baddies :)
Nuclear must be being distorted upwards in price because of excessive regulatory burden though, right? I’m reacting to the phrase ‘torturous planning process.’
I think I saw comments that's a fake with an overlaid audio. In the end he starts driving while continuing talking so dunno about that.
If it's real, it really can fuck up your mind that your enemy that you are supposed to fight are so similar to you. One thing is to patrol a street full of "Muslim terrorists" thousand miles away from home and another is having a casual chat with a dude you could have been drinking vodka last weekend.
> accusations of WMD, and the insinuation they could be used against the US and/or Europe, were widely believed

Were they widely believed? I know I was told they were widely believed, but I never saw polls that confirmed that. Colin Powell was literally laughed at for claiming there were WMDs when addressing the UN and the UN inspectors were very clear there were none.
A design detail I appreciate about this website is that it's server is solar powered and displays a two-tone overlay representing the server's battery life. It's nice that they extend their scrutiny of resource usage and sustainability to their own infrastructure.

Side note: usually when I've visited the site, the battery is up around 80% or higher. The "hacker-news effect", while not causing a 502 or other server error in this case, at least at for the time being, does have the battery down around 35%.
They can keep the microwave beam that tightly focused that the energy goes into making the hole deeper and not wider when the bottom is a target 6 inches across and 12 miles down? Wouldn’t it spread out and just absorb into the walls? This feels wildly implausible.
It is pretty likely that all of those people have handled guns before in some capacity.
The Iraqi insurgent demands were for the US to promptly leave (not occupy the nation for over a decade) and they were also happy to have Saddam Hussein's regime gone. The mass population of Iraq was very clearly not against the US removing the regime either. The primary disastrous mistake the US made was the very poorly planned occupation and dismantling of most of the existing government structures (amplifying the chaos and civil war risks).
>I’ve been following this closely and I haven’t seen any mention of non-Ukrainian forces in the country. Seems like pure speculation?

Absolutely pure speculation.

We never know what the navy seals or the green berets or the french dragoons, etc etc are doing. Everyone has many divisions of specops. Seal team 6 were the ones who very illegally operated within pakistan to kill osama bin laden.

In fact, Pakistan became a belligerent(siding with russia) in the Ukraine conflict probably due to large part of the publicity of the killing: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Killing_of_Osama_bin_Laden#Und...

Now im not interested debating the legality here. Im just pointing out, they operate wherever the hell they please. I would bet any amount of money specops of all major countries are in ukraine right now. Not 100% of the allies of ukraine and certainly not 0%.

I'd also bet there are constant very high res spy sattelites mapping every step of every russian soldier. You can actively see the global hawks operating. You can actively see the awacs in the air.

NATO response force is active and at the border. Those dude are going to be damn near if not as well trained as specops.

Like, being realistic, Russia already lost the war and they dont realize it.

The thing that got me thinking about this. Spetsnaz blue berets airdropped into that international airport, they took it. Spetsnaz are legit and well trained... and they were routed within the day? I dont believe it. I do believe it when I consider specops from across the world came in and wrecked their face.
C++ header files and inter-class connections
42

More seriously, you have an un-hinged dictator with nuclear weapons - when he loses, who knows what he'll do. A real egotarian would say "If I can't win, then everyone has to lose". The only upside is that there's one less dictator (wannabe?) with his finger on the nuclear button than there was last year.
The point is that the spectre of such an invasion isn't withdrawn from the table, it's merely kicked down the road.

But the US elections are over now, so what does Bill Clinton care? :)
NATO will not fight this war. That is reality. Everything else is fantasy sports: war edition. Let's show some respect for the seriousness of this.
I'm not sure what you expected. If operating a Ponzi scheme didn't involve doing anything illegal, it'd be legal.
My apologies. Your comment had an air of superiority in it as I read it but perhaps it was not your intent.
War via TikTok: Russia’s new tool for propaganda machine
Oh, I wasn't even questioning the questionable choices about M3.

I was just questioning how they came from -1% per year to 1% per month. That's some weird math.
I wondered about that too. Firefox has a preferences screen that purports to let you set the minimum font size to N points (N=14 or 16 or whatever). Yet somehow it still allows sites to override that preference and make the fonts smaller. That has always seemed like a bug to me.
In Firefox, you can change the default zoom level by going to about:config and setting the value of layout.css.devPixelsPerPx. If you want things larger, try 1.2 or 1.5. If you have a 4k or larger display, try 2.0.
There’s a lot of whistling in the dark in these comments. The actual assessment of the report is quite bleak: yes, Russia has morale issues, and hasn’t achieved success with its initial plan, but it may be breaking through in the south, and ultimately it has enough forces to overwhelm the Ukrainians on every front.
> They are being made to risk their lives (and fight their cousins, so to speak).

From the interviews of people on the street in Russia before the invasion I think it's quite literally fighting actual cousins and aunt,uncles, grandparents. Russian people interviewed remarked that they many Russians have close relatives in Ukraine.
I'm not at all disagreeing with the premise, but I'd like to point out that having the ANSI escape codes written to the (in this example) log file shouldn't be that much of a problem. Many tools support them (though I admit that sometimes it's not default behavior). For example, I often use `less -R` for this purpose.
Edrys – open-source remote teaching app
Some of it is that they don't want to alarm customers unnecessarily, and wait until they have more information about what is going on and what is being done to fix it.

There's no sense crying "wolf" if you do not yet know for sure that it actually is a wolf. And putting up a notice that just says "there is something going on but we have no idea what it is" will alarm customers unnecessarily and simply will not help the situation.

Making the call to put something on the system health dashboard is a big issue, and needs to be carefully considered.

And even if the system health dashboard might not show anything, there is likely a personal health dashboard that may show you details of something that is going on that will affect you personally, even if that issue does not (yet) rise to the level of being shown on the system health dashboard.

So you should always look to the PHD first.

That said, I think operators should err on the side of being more open with information.

Disclaimer: I work at AWS and sometimes I get to see some of the internal discussions regarding some outage issues, and frankly I think we do a pretty good job in this space. Well, at least most of the time. But we are human, and sometimes things happen that, in hindsight, should have been handled differently. And we have a process for actively working to take those lessons onboard and try to make sure we don't make the same mistakes again.
And on Windows that has just made the mess even worse. Applications writing to %USERPROFILE%\Documents, %APPDATA%, %LOCALAPPDATA%, %USERPROFILE%, and %USERPROFILE%\.config

Every language needs something like this library as part of the standard library https://pypi.org/project/appdirs/ It would at least make it a little more likely that files end up where they should.
Not in terms of how it motivates leaving nuclear power. If anything, it shows that it happens, due to vastly different causes, no matter how apparently impossible.
Lol.. good one! Also add chrome to that list
I think "optimized for desktop, multimedia, and gaming workloads" would convey the message better.
Many of the videos that you see such as the infamous one where you see a group of armed men pull out the occupants from a car are from 2014 and it isn’t soldiers but militia and it’s unclear which side it even was.

It also is very much dependent on the situation these soldiers are stranded and under no threat.

If they were mounting a checkpoint which was coming under attack they probably would treat incoming vehicles very differently.
A feature of bitcoin is it’s stubborn system stability and resistance to change :)

One of the odd benefits of this is that old forum posts and discussions have a good chance of being relevant.

Although I will say lots of progress has been made in p2p message propagation (since this isn’t directly a part of consensus) which could definitely prevent orphan blocks, so you may be on to something in this case.
Much as I hate to admit it, quite high.

The US is confined by its Wolfowitz Doctrine, Russia is confined by its history of 25 million dead in WW2.

Neither is capable of backing down. Things will proceed to nuclear.
In other words - more than zero, and more than in "normal times"?
Remind anyone else of Newspeak?
I'd love it if you can share some evidence if that's as feasible as you think it is. I posted a link above that demonstrates otherwise.
They are, huh? Well then: what's the private key for Dual EC?
yes, they're called slowruns
It's a picture of a train car. What's the point?
My pet peeve is purple and dark blue on black or gray backgrounds.
It's getting better.

I remember just a couple of years ago, many websites had super small fonts with grayed text. SUPER hard to read.

Now a lot of sites are using minimum 1 rem fonts and even 1.1 and 1.2 (16 points and up).

HN is pretty bad in this respect. I can't read it unless its zoomed in 2x.
You were content to play the policy-by-literary-allusion game in your top comment. It feels like you only developed an opinion against it after being insulted-by-literary-allusion.
The actual goal of Putin is to do what Bismark did in 1860-70. Bismark used military force to achieve mind-blowing gains. Not only did Prussia conquer a number of territories from Denmark, Austria and France, but the other German states decided it's a good time to join the "Union", and so modern Germany was created. Before Bismark came to power, Prussia was the weakest of the 5 European Great Powers. When he left, it was by far the strongest.

Putin's Russia right now is less than 150 million people. The rest of the former Soviet states have about as much together. If he conquers Ukraine, then most of them will decide it's time to get back to the "Federation", if they know what's good for them (the exception would be the three Baltic states which are NATO members).

If Putin's gambit works out, he reconstitutes the Soviet Union (itself the reconstitution of the Tsarist Empire), and makes a country of close to 300 million people. For you and me the population is not a very relevant number, but for him it's the number of potential soldiers that he can use to bully Europe.
So, mostly slower than stock Linux 5.4.6? That's quite disappointing.
Trying to be short with words:

I had zero doubts this invasion was going to happen for at least like, 2 months, possibly more. It’s been reported that a surprisingly large amount of people & even governments truly thought it wasn’t going to happen.

I am now truly worried that Putin is going to completely fucking raze Kyiv to the ground after being made to look like a complete & utter fool with his military’s lackluster performance.

I really, really hope I’m wrong.
It's very difficult to imagine a world where Russia would accept being in an alliance in opposition to its largest (in economy, population, border, and area) neighbor and its current largest trading partner.

Not to mention that this current war would look like a sibling fight relative to what China would do if it saw a risk of NATO first-strike capabilities coming anywhere near its borders.
After the iPad was announced, some industry expert wrote a long post about his knowledge of screen technology and how the promised battery life was clearly a flagrant lie, that there was no way the initial iPad could last more than 2-3 hours.
Actually just looked into this. Budapest Memorandum did not include any assurance of defense. Merely that no one on either side would leverage nukes against Ukraine. Though the Russians are in flagrant violation of section 2 thereof, namely

>The Russian Federation, the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland and the United States of America reaffirm their obligation to refrain from the threat or use of force against the territorial integrity or political independence of Ukraine, and that none of their weapons will ever be used against Ukraine except in self-defence or otherwise in accordance with the Charter of the United Nations.
Good call. I was expecting a reference to Lenin’s revolutionary defeatism, which was ironically the strategic precedent behind his signing the Treaty of Brest-Litovsk with Germany that defined the modern day borders of Ukraine.

> ”Arguing that the proletariat could not win or gain in a capitalist war, Lenin declared its true enemy is the imperialist leaders who sent their lower classes into battle.”

https://wikipedia.org/wiki/Revolutionary_defeatism