skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
What is it they say about correlation and causation?

It's not clear what qualifies Seneff to draw these conclusions, given that (1) her academic background isn't in biological sciences, and (2) experts in these fields have noticed a trend of misinterpretation and junk publishing in her research activity[1].

[1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stephanie_Seneff#Response_from...
~C̶E̶O̶~ Sales guy
Show HN: Twiclips – Free Twitch clip downloader
Private security?
This is a garbage site. Just because it ends in .org doesn't mean it's neutral. This might as well be a Sinclair or Fox associate site.
I personally haven't noticed deliverability issues. It'd still be nice to have the messages signed without having to use the web-based iCloud Mail.
T14 still only exists on paper
Does trusted bootstrapping really become that much more difficult? If you're already doing a trusted bootstrap to an old version of GCC, you can use that to build a modern GCC.
Neutral as in "does not participate in armed conflicts between other states".

No clue where the interpretation comes from that this "neutrality" is extended to basically everything around the topic of war or military. Switzerland is a weapon export country and has been for a long long time.
Neutrality for this only means they dont export to countries at war or if there is reason to believable that the recipient would sell it to countries at war or if it would fall in the hands of terrorists etc. etc.

The real swiss neutrality is way broader and includes mandatory independence. So while Switzerland can join sanctions they decide and do not agree in advance to join sanctions the EU defined. It also includes military mission to promote peace. Swisscoy is the association of the Swiss Armed Forces in Kosovo. This is not against the swiss neutrality because there is no armed conflict there. The Swiss Armed Forces there are still armed for self-defense only.
Right, exactly. Isn't that how it's supposed to work?
They do actually!

https://www.postandcourier.com/archives/s-c-s-hired-guns/art...
It's not a theory, it's a well established fact that you can easily find on Wikipedia:

"The permanent members were all allies in World War II (and the victors of that war)"

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Permanent_members_of_the_Unite...
HPKE: Standardizing Public-Key Encryption
He's an inbound politician approaching the apex of his career at the intersection of two superpowers. Of course he's got more than one iron in the fire.
"If I've done my job right, you won't be able to tell I've done anything at all."
I'm not trying to guilt trip anyone I'm just pointing out how retarded "the market" can be by using an obvious example. You're right, consumer electronics is not the same as healthcare. You're defending scalpers because you say they provide liquidity, but you're ignoring that they're creating artificial scarcity in order to price gouge you. It seems like things are misaligned to me, but agree to disagree.
It's the Manhattan Institute, it says right there on the tin.
Apple ships hundreds of workarounds for specific apps.
I don't think Putin realized how quickly public pressure would build against him and force reluctant governments like Germany to reverse course.
Correct. This is purely for the “yahoo” equivalent consumer market. Russia listed equities are effectively frozen at this point.
It's events like these that make me wish for some form of afterlife
Great for exports. Oh wait...
Guide to Coping with Deployment and Combat Stress [pdf]
I'd be very surprised if NSA wasn't also assisting.
The oil rig was owned by Transocean, but leased by BP.

"In September 2014, a U.S. District Court judge ruled that BP was primarily responsible for the oil spill because of its gross negligence and reckless conduct. In April 2016, BP agreed to pay $20.8 billion in fines, the largest corporate settlement in United States history."

[1] https://www.britannica.com/event/Deepwater-Horizon-oil-spill

[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Deepwater_Horizon_oil_spill
The word "inevitable" is from the Longbet prediction itself

> "... In five years, it will be metered by the nanosecond to end users. This is not only predictable, but inevitable."

And that's the extent of the rationale for the prediction. The right thing to do when people insist their unfounded conclusions are "inevitable" is to take their money, but that's not an option here (the Long Now foundation keeps what they make on investing any "bet" for the duration, and the capital is paid to a charity of the winner's choice).
> math that engineers need is baked into their high level software.

This is only true if you’re working in a mature business with stable usage patterns. Even then, using lower level APIs can be easier and more flexible.
Károly Simonyi:
A Cultural History of Physics

Mostly physics but pretty amazing.
Thank you!

And yes, I agree with what you've said about measurements. Normally we would accompany something like "5 meters" with a real world comparison, which doesn't have to be perfect, but gives a point of reference. Perhaps for this specific group, a reference to another part they know about would be a good comparison. For pandemic restrictions we talked about being "not being so near to people that you can touch them" for example.

Our real goal is to get people thinking about how to communicate to people from different places, cultures, and life experiences more effectively. Which is one that will never be completed, but I hope we can at least make some improvements.
Well the benefit is most obvious for a competitive video gamer. Lets say they're having a sniper battle in a video game, the first to click will kill the other player. Somebody with a 60hz monitor might have to wait 17ms for the enemies image to render on screen so they can react. Somebody with a 240hz monitor might only have to wait 4ms. When reaction times in a competitive game are around 150 to 200ms that's a pretty large swing. See this: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OX31kZbAXsA

This article is also interesting: https://danluu.com/input-lag/. Beyond that, I think latency has a significant performance impact on many human tasks, I know that humans in videoconferencing can detect extremely small differences in latency. Higher refresh rate I think outside of latency benefits does allow some things to be more easily perceived like text in motion which normally blurs.
Roko’s basilisk thanks you for your service.
Yes. Or perhaps don’t go visit a country actively murdering other people unproked and encourage your family to leave. Leave or revolt. Otherwise you are complacent.

So yes, if you maintain citizenship with Russia, there ought to be consequences.
At the time some cryptographers said it looked like a backdoor and they were largely dismissed by the public until Snowden related evidence came to light. Further reporting exposed the $10m bribe to RSA. To wax poetic: It was not a note in isolation but a note in a much larger song.

It is important to remember that NSA is continuing to do this kind of thing and they try from every angle. It is literally their job. Consider that the Dragonfly issues at the IETF are after Dual EC.

There are backdoored systems which are deployed and have not yet been revealed.

We must be on the lookout for them, and we must consider that NSA supposedly employs the most mathematicians in the world.

Ward’s work is amazing. Wouldn’t it be amazing if NSA actually tried to help? Do we suppose NSA didn’t also have a break on it? If not, we should really hope Ward keeps working in public. If NSA actually wanted to help and did help by breaking the remaining systems, it might win some points in public and especially if they advance the state of the art in cryptanalysis.
Why would you assume it doesn’t?
CDC Right to Withhold Covid Data to Prevent Misinformation, Scientists Say
Police are an interesting counterpoint, since police are one of the most vaccine-resistent groups. I'd like to see a similar study: do we see the stronger the police union, the lower the vaccination rate? Is there any argument outside the union that refusing the vaccine provides any benefit to the public, or only harm?
That's not really true. The example I used was a very large effect size, because it's causal in a way few things are (there's a reason you can use Koch's postulates in infectious diseases, but rarely in anything else).

And these are all things estimated from data, using standard, boring statistical methods like logistic regression.

Dynamical systems models, which is what you're talking about, is a whole different field, and also don't inherently predict huge effect sizes - the last non-COVID one I was working on, for example, was estimating fairly small effect sizes.
Recommendations on studies and better sources welcome.
they do, but i pay taxes for public schools then have to pay extra for private school, ontop of that tax.

i actually send my kid to private. for alot of reasons.
it costs me 16k a year.

itd be super nice if i could redirect the tax money intended for my child to the school of my choice.
They do. Google “VLSI interview prep”
Which is why we don't judge a race based on individuals but rather of a population of them.

What does the population average of <insert race here> look like ?
Seeing this really makes me sad. We rightly stand in solidarity with Ukraine, but ordinary Russian people will also suffer enormously because of this. Imagine living somewhere where your future just got vaporized and if you speak up about it, you risk ending up in a gulag. It’s a nightmare.
Indians in Ukraine recount ordeal on the border, not allowed to leave, beaten up
DaVinci's website is 25+ years old now. In some way the art is from the beginning of the earliest more creative websites.

1024x760, for some, is a statement that demands a decent computer. A lot of people had 800x600 resolution. And DaVinci Ice made it clear that his art required more.

I hate to say, but by internet standards the website is an archaeological artifact.

The web.archive.org link shows the last time the site was up. It is gone now. Goggle returns nothing. The subdomain return DNS errors.

As to the UX. Back then we used to put up these dumb a$$ door pages, before you entered a website. It is like a splash screen, in many ways.

And this was right after 9/11 so DaVinci Ice passionately, and angerly, put up the banner.

This is the world of the old Hacker Manifesto, my friend. Which is extremely valid today due to the nuclear threat just made on the free world.

I am sorry, but the past must not be forgotten. Even if it does not work well on modern gadgets.

Here is another piece of history, from that era, The Hacker manifesto in text, not crazy HTML goofyness.

http://www.phrack.org/archives/issues/7/3.txt

And here is Loyd Blankenship himself, with annoying microphone noise:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0tEnnvZbYek

I never knew who DaVinci Ice was, I just came across his work on the internet, and loved the colors and art so much, that I remembered to look him up 20+ years after that.

I also posted a link to Fravia, https://fravia.net/ which may even be more confusing.

It breaks my heart to know he passed away in 2009: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fravia

(Ps, to me the modern web is broken, my general purpose computer can't handle javascript, I love my PI Zero and this other cheap $35 thing that can't render big images without crashing. I can't view many sites, most. And I only know instagram as a website with thots that was bough by facebook. I never got it to render on my screen and I don't care enough to pull it up on my desktop.)

I am sorry, I wish the website worked for you the way it used to in 2000. That art was amazing, still is.
I feel like you don't know that you're talking about. That's not meant to be an insult but to highlight the fact that "feeling" doesn't matter. Because my feelings about your statement has no bearing on the accuracy or content of your statement.
The art of shuffling music (2007)
It's a reasonable policy for Apple-owned Apple IDs on their public domains (@icloud.com, @mac.com, @me.com), but I don't see how it makes sense for privately owned domains you're already in control of the DNS for. You could use any other mail provider or routing service and get access to any emails that way -- then do a password for any other service where the address used was on the domain you were in control of.
They are!

Neutral as in "does not participate in armed conflicts between other states".

People just have a huge misconception of what the "neutrality" in "Swiss neutrality" really means.

See https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=30494956
A friend of mine was telling me how he spun up a consultancy and made enough to retire off the back of Y2K. Must be time to spin up one for Y2K38 and make bank again.
In what way are you saying Germany is reluctant?
And funny how crypto markets have not realized this at all yet e.g. https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_RUB - i would have thought with 24/7 trading (unlike futures which take a break for the weekend), they'd be leading indicators
Looks like a run.
The analysis seems to be somewhat simple (just rank states by union strength and COVID measures), then conclude what is reported in the title.

The conclusion seems to suffer from severe endogeneity problems as teacher unions are correlated with other factors (e.g., being on a coast) that are also correlated with COVID response. Just making the link between unions and COVID policy is naive (at best) and misleading (at worse).

One thing to keep in mind when doing research in education in the US is that you have to account for its distributed structure. That is, local education agencies (usually school districts) make most of the decisions. For example, there is no California teacher contract; instead, contracts are negotiated between local teacher unions and local district. The California teacher union could have lobbied the California governor to extend school closures, but the eventual decision to how (and maybe when) to go back in person probably fell to the individual superintendents. Another example is to see what happened in Chicago Public Schools. The local union went on strike to negotiate covid-related measures. Those had nothing to do with the larger Illinois education policy.

A better design for this study would have been to try to measure the strength of local unions at the district level (maybe % of membership that contributes to the political fund now that teachers can opt out from that) and try to correlate it with local COVID restrictions (like more days of teacher paid leave, mask policies, possibility of online or hybrid instruction). I suspect that there is a patchwork (read, heterogeneity) of policies that were negotiated between the union and the district that could give a better picture than what is reported in the paper. As a secondary result, you could even observe whether strong and weak unions have different preferences. Maybe strong unions prefer a safer work environment (i.e., less in person, more masks) while weaker unions prefer one-time bonuses?
I doubt there are many French billionaires with personal assets in Russia. Their companies may have some capital in the form of Louis Vuitton shops in Moscow, but that is peanuts in the grand scheme of things. The only really valuable assets are shares in resource extraction companies since that's essentially what Russia's economy is based upon.
Another problem that I have is iCloud+ storage limit of 4TB. My family will very soon get very close to this limit with all our photos, videos and other stuff. Is anyone aware of any plans for an increase in near future?
Google temporarily disables Google Maps live traffic data in Ukraine
expect something more like open source platforms + file formats, commercially licensed plugins for non-commodity pieces of the puzzle

office <-> avid is a pretty broad spectrum. I'm sure there are ways in which office is not a commodity available for free on every platform, and as a libreoffice user I feel the limitations of libreoffice sometimes, but office software is mostly a commodity.

video + graphics software OTOH doesn't have a strong oss contender IMO

also unclear how AI will change the game -- will we sell software or trained models. will plugins from different training sets be 'incompatible' in some way that favors one-stop-shop vendors
It is sad. Unfortunately the least damaging way to put pressure on Putin.
It was a question. The literal opposite of an assumption.
>> the fact that everyone is talking about WW3 makes me think it is very likely not going to happen

What relationship do the 2 have? The news talking about WW3 or not talking about it doesn't affect whether Russia will use a nuclear weapon.
While it's true Ukraine gets tons of free military propaganda.

Substance is a garbage medium that'll publish propaganda at a drop of a hat
Honestly sounds like the pot calling the kettle black here. You're asking hundreds of people to put their health at risk so that ~2c of every tax dollar you pay isn't wasted. Assuming $100k in tax, you're only paying them $2k, or ~$40 a week. If you really value your daily coffee that much, just buy a coffee machine.
I consider it internal protest tbh
I mean, that's one direction. But we could also give the part-time engineer more autonomy so that they can quickly make decisions on their own. They'll still need to spend time talking to people, but they can figure out an effective way to do that based on context—which might start out with them spending more time during the week just talking to people, but will fall off quickly once they build an understanding of their domain and the external interfaces of whatever they're building.

If my experience is anything to go by, this sort of self-directed collaboration—think "design discussions" rather than "meetings" or "ceremonies"—will end up far more productive for everyone involved.
Rural school districts have begun importing teachers from the Philippines: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FSmtbSYE8pg

Over there you can find educated people who are willing to work in Seely, MT for 30 kUSD/year. On a J-1 visa, with no possibility to settle permanently in the US.

Good luck to all of us.
My charter school held a lottery to see who gets admitted. This way they avoid the whole elitism via only accepting through test scores. And its standardized results were near the top of the state despite the lottery system. Now it's a different matter of what are the demographics of the applicants.
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=30494956
that only partially addresses one half of the comment though. additionally, “summers off” is a fairly common red herring that’s just designed to distract from the primary argument. this has nothing to do with time off or tenure so please stop trying to distract.
Ethereum wasn’t designed to be a money alternative.. it’s a distributed virtual machine that incentivizes computational contribution with token economics… the token Eth is only valuable in the pursuit of performing work via the Ethereum Virtual Machine on the Mainnet, not as a currency (at least, not any more than beanie babies could once have been a currency due to demand / fungibility)

very much a global tech startup!
I'm not particular interested in proving or disproving glyphosate's safety.

For the purposes of this conversation, I'm only interested in calling out bad research/woo science when I see it. And this is precisely that.
Could it be offset by increased demand?
> Mostly you’d want to learn your algorithms well in college and continue to exercise them in your work. The rest of the interview is a lot about how you present yourself, which is mostly along the lines of “work out the problems out loud and ask questions”.

Not my experience. When I interviewed at Google for a senior position, I mostly had difficult questions with little interaction with the interviewer.

Before my preparation, I could solve all the questions within let say a couple of hours and I knew very well all the algorithms. But that's not what's expected to pass. You're competing with people who have been working very hard on this style of interviews and you need to be among the best.

You're expected to find the answer to a couple of questions within a 40 min. That includes finding the solution, writing the code (not pseudo-code), testing your solution and discuss complexity.

Thinking 15min + sketching some pseudo code is not enough, or maybe for a particularly hard problem.
Is the hazardous nature of glyphosate really a fringe theory?
This article is about data from mass spectrometry. There can be multiple theories and discussions about the implications of that data, including the need for additional data.
What war crimes do you think you have recorded? What is said or heard in them?
If we had European style unions, more might be inclined to agree. American unions are substantially less effective (in both outcomes and usage of dues), and their declining enrollment shows.
It was a question not an assumption. And it pointed out the hypocritical attitude about unions.
The liquidity in this market is tiny: volume of $10 million in the last 24 hour.
It's a bit premature to judge, you need to wait until the Moscow market opens, when the Central Bank of Russia is active.
> Public employees don't need unions. If they want better working conditions then they should ask their elected political leaders, just like every other citizen.

Workers anywhere need to be able to negotiate with organisational management on roughly equal terms, which means a comparable level of organisational backing. Most civil service management is not elected and nor should it be; making every superintendent or subject head an elected position would cause bigger problems.

> And teaching isn't dangerous. Everyone will be exposed to the virus so it hardly matters whether that happens in a classroom or some other setting. The teachers who want to get vaccinated have been for months now.

That's easy to say when you're not the one having to do it. Not everyone can safely be vaccinated, and not everyone has the same judgement of the risks. If there really is compelling medical evidence to support the position of those who want to return to in-person schooling, then they have nothing to fear from negotiating with the union on equal terms.
Hooks: React’s Do-Notation
I'm not certain that Ukraine is winning all that much.
sure there are a lot of encouraging and heartwarming videos out there, but Ukraine keeps losing key locations and infrastructure.

I'm keen to see some more pointy support for Ukraine. this invasion was completely unprovoked and unwarranted.
I don't think this was a possibility that they didn't consider.
Exercising more has a lot more benefits than simply weight management. If you are not simply "surviving", I've come to the personal belief that exercise should be a higher priority than most would think. I place it up there with God, Family, and Country- since the benefits impact pretty much all aspects of my life. We are not built for sedentary lifestyles.
Probably the per-request nature of it when writing web apps.
I think that's a valid opinion. But I also appreciate that in some regards the public is the most fickle of employers, the most punitive, the most likely to use their power for evil. If we want to attract well qualified people to work for the public, we need to offer something -- at this time it isn't salary, for sure, so I guess it must be the stability provided by the union representation.
They were blocking the SWIFT move and refused to allow weapons to pass through their country.
> So Putin is so angry and feels threatend that he wants to overthrough Ukraine, and the answer is to make them a member of the EU? This screams like more aggressives answers from Putin. I personally expect a smaller nuclear warning shot over the ocean from Putin next week.

There is an option: attack first. If Russian nuclear C&C is taken down, I doubt any of officers in the bunker would dare to launch. Even if they will, these would be uncoordinated launches, and nowhere near the size of a coordinated attack.