skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
This is really great advice. I'm going to give this a try tonight. Which side of your girlfriend would you prefer I take?
If Facebook's earnings growth is 5 percentage points per year lower than previously believed, then after less than five years, that's 20% less profit. Markets extrapolate growth rates into the future, not just the next quarter.
It's strange to characterize investment amount in terms of income. I think relative to assets or investment portfolio would be clearer.
> Imagine if real programmer needed to write a solution a hundred times

To be fair, a lot of creative work requires plenty of trial and error. And since no problems are solved from scratch, all things considered, the most immediate contributors to your result and you might have iterated through tens of dozens of possibilities.

My advantage as a human is I can often tell you why I am eliminating this branch of the search space. The catch is my reasoning can be flawed. But we do ok.

> just copying previous solutions with slight adjustments.

It's not just doing that, Copilot can do a workable job providing suggestions for an invented DSL. A better analogy than autocomplete is inpainting missing or corrupted details based on a surrounding context. Except instead of a painting we are probabilistically filling in patterns common in solutions to leetcode style problems. Novelty beyond slight adjustments comes in when constraints are insufficient to pin down a problem to a known combination of concepts. The intelligence of the model is then how appropriate its best guesses are.

The limitations to GPT3 codex and AlphaCode seems to be they're relatively weak at selection and that they require problem spaces with enough data to distill a sketch of and how to inpaint well in them. Leetcode style puzzles are constructed to be soluble in a reasonable number of lines, are not open ended and have a trick to them. One can complain that while we're closer to real world utility, we're still restricted to the closed worlds of verbose apis, games and puzzles.

While lots of commenters seem concerned about jobs, I look forward to having the dataset oliphaunt and ship computer from Fire Upon Deep someday soon.
Your math checks out. For me I came to different sums for each bullet point primarily starting at the place of "I do/did enjoy setting it up as a hobby". I also really liked maturing my solutions from a this is fun to hack together, to things my partner actually has said "wow this is actually pretty nice I like it".

I have also been very impressed with some of the infrastructure/solutions that the open source community has available, it is a pretty rich infrastructure that is not unbearably-brittle if you know what you are doing, but definitely is not user friendly enough to be easy to recommend to everyone.
There's no need to be cynical.

Out of all the health problems one might have, improving sleep is the easiest to fix with the biggest immediate benefits. Further, many issues people claim to have with sleep are self-inflicted, excuses, or solvable.

When you improve your sleep, you're not missing out on pleasures in a way a strict diet may rob you of the goodies in life. You don't sacrifice anything with better sleep.
That is something completely different. I look for a reverse image search that uses AI to find photos of people who look similar to the photo uploades. Kinda like finding your doppleganger, but it was not behind some user registration.
> seems to still think its some scam despite the fact that it enables borderless financial transactions without KYC

Not so much "despite" as "because."
But it's not even a difference of billions like 31 to 30. It's these numbers were like the 3rd digit after the decimal different. Sure, in these numbers that's still millions but only single digit millions. It's literally a rounding error depending on least significant digits. In some places, they only had 2 digits. To get to the offsets, they had to increase the accuracy. Literal rounding errors.
Yet our banking system actually works very well with long term loans.
Wow I left it around the time of the Cambridge analytica thing. Sounds like I haven't missed anything...
Chaotic dynamics in a novel Covid-19 pandemic
Money flows into an asset as it flows out of another.
Indeed; you, the comment you're responding to, and the comment it's responding to are valid points. In my opinion SG and US are both very flawed democracies for different reasons.
Wow, thanks for the link. I might have to give this a shot the next time the FF6 itch comes up.
They also run the biggest ad network. If you want to put ads on your site or app, they make it easy.
Do you have any examples of difficult problems being solved in Lisp that can’t be as easily solved in other languages?
I don't know if this is a generational thing (I'm nearing my mid-30s) or what, but to hear FFVI described as "underrated" or just "pretty well-known" is so weird to me. In my circles it's always been considered the best Final Fantasy and the best 16-bit JPRG (or maybe second-best behind Chrono Trigger), maybe the best JPRG ever. Even though it's definitely exceptional, if I'm being honest I've always thought of it as a little overrated!
Please let's keep this tedious generic flamewar off HN. Whatever one's views on the topic, it's exceedingly repetitive and therefore uninteresting. We want curious conversation here.

https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html
Curious if there are any good, public datasets out there on company earnings guidance or earnings estimates.

Is earnings guidance typically included within quarterly filings, or is it usually given on earnings calls?
I guess that's inadvertently a good example of how different our experiences on the internet are then. Deplatforming certainly also happens to women - we men just get to dodge the death and other threats.
It is paradoxical and rooted in our duality as thinking animals. Many sleep disorders (mine included) are rooted in anxiety. They will respond to these little hacks and tricks, but (in my experience) only insofar as they allow you to feel in control and tune out your thought stream.

For the record I practice all the common wisdom and more 90% of the time (and melatonin, earplugs and blindfold close to 100%). I might sleep 7-8 hours a night and wake up fully rested or I might wake up totally blitzed, depending on my mental state. I might fall asleep easily the night after or toss and turn for hours. I might fall asleep easily from exhaustion and wake up 4 hours before I'm supposed to with a racing mind. It's not environmental and it's not any state of my body. It's my/your thoughts and emotions. It sucks but since I've found the root cause, I've been better at controling the downward spirals.

(Still need my little rituals before going to bed to feel right though)
Is this scientific consensus? I remember the Matthew Walker book (Why We Sleep) was heavily criticised.

For example this article + discussion:

https://guzey.com/books/why-we-sleep/

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=26684519

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21546850

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22419958
For me, the best thing to induce a good night of sleep is exercise. It can be at any time of the day. Some of my best night have been after I finished an hour-long heavy weight workout 45 minutes before going to bed.
I hope the aliens don’t go hurling debris at the earth.
This is one of my favourite things about working from home. I can take a power nap in the afternoon and be so much more productive when I wake up!
It's unfortunate that Reels (at least what I get in my feed) is complete garbage. Half the time I don't even know what I'm watching, it's just some mix of shock media and sexually suggestive crap. I keep trying to hide it from my feed but Facebook is intent on shoving it down my throat.
Don't most rich Chinese use iPhones?
C’s get degrees
The problem is the endless requirement of the growth of public companies. It drives for situations/behaviour like Meta/Google/Amazon. But that is capitalism and only regulation can balance it out, sadly.
This is one of my favorite things about the job. Apart from a couple meetings, you really have complete control over your schedule - you aren't dictated by regular business hours or the opening and closing hours of markets. Such a far cry from the typical high school or college experience.
What's IB?
> and yet we've got people on this forum describing it as "funny money" while major investment banks are opening crypto desks

Jamie Dimon spoke to this a while back. Something along the lines of while he sees no future in crypto and would never invest, if there is customer demand then they really have no choice but to cater to it.
Bluntly Stated: The Impacts of Lack of Good Sleep.

You can sleep for 10 hours and still feel shitty. It's getting that good 5-7 hours of restful sleep that makes the difference. Something about that cerebral fluid washing the brain just leaves you feeling like a new person.
Shipwreck found in US confirmed as Captain Cook's Endeavour after 22-year search
It was a good example, and definitely one of the more important examples of how finding and fixing mistakes in mathematics is supposed to happen. I figured the abc-conjecture would provide a nice contrasting example.
Thanks for the detailed response. I wish you all the luck in your journey.

> 2. "Reverse Image Search" - Say a user cares about something specific, like a blue box that's toppled over. Using high-dimensional representations of certain frames in video, we can surface every time this scenario shows up in the future, based on a user having marked it as "interesting" in the past.

I believe a lot of retail/consumer companies would be interested just in that.
Example use case - restaurants trying to find repeat customers or gauging their mood before/after the meal.
Facebook is a machine that makes people parrot tired narratives that are devoid of insight.
Not exact, because Wordle has color-blind mode :)
You can't trust function names, but they have a better chance of being kept up to date than comments, since they're more likely to be in active use. But yeah, the only thing you can really trust is the type signature (and even that, only if the language has a strong culture of not doing random nonsense).
Most of the author's complaints are centered around CGI used for moving objects, especially in focus. So humans, vehicles, robots, anything like that. CGI does seem perfectly suitable to model backgrounds, but the moment it's used to show movement, the difficulty of doing it right goes way up.

> For an example off the top of my head, I know Wolf of Wall Street had a lot: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bP2sJqoZD7g

Yea those are all background replacements. When watching the movie two scenes stood out to me as very unreal-feeling CGI: the helicopter landing and the boat during the storm. And indeed, it's all CGI: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2D7MqlNWUEs. It's awful - just look at that piece breaking off at 0:26. The scene at 2:30 is egregious as well.

Modeling the physics of such a complex scene well enough to be convincing to humans is essentially impossible. We are far too attuned to how our physical world works to be fooled by anything less than perfect.

Use CGI where it makes sense - for mostly static backgrounds. For movement, use practical effects. Let the universe do the physics simulations for you.
Well, I can make you an incredibly dumb game in an hour in Love 2D for $1k if you want to satisfy that need.
There was a more recent Kickstarter that got my interest in the DOS style games restarted: https://www.kickstarter.com/projects/eniko/coding-history-3d...
There were numerous issues. First one (somewhat mitigated lately) was extremely large number of actions per minute and (most importantly) extremely fast reaction speed.

Another big issue is that the bot communicated with the game via a custom API, not a via images and clicks. Details of this API are unknown - like how invisible units were handled, but it was much higher level than a human would have (pixels).

If you look at the games, the bot wasn't clever (which was a hope), just fast and precise. And some people far from the top were able to beat it convincingly.

And now the project is gone, even before people had a chance to really play against the bot and find more weaknesses.
The ethical codes are extremely important, that's not my point.

I'm saying we are taught the results are correct, when, due to the impossibility of reproduction we can't know whether the results are correct or incorrect.

What should be discussed in the Milgram experiment is "we can't know the results of the experiment because one of the subjects killed themselves due to their participation. Try to consider the ethical implications, don't design experiments that might lead to psychological trauma, etc." The idea that the results being true is why we shouldn't do the experiment is wrong to do, is nonsense, because we can't know whether the results are true because can't replicate the experiment.

Yet, it's results are published as a pop-science book: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Obedience_to_Authority:_An_Exp...

Instead, these two studies if their findings, not the ethics, are discussed at all, are a perfect illustration of the problems that Karl Popper discusses regarding falsifiability.
I always love reading the "productivity hacks" of people without kids and there is always an item which is basically:

- go to bed and wake up at the same time and try to get 8 straight hours. Or if not, take a nap etc.

Good luck with that if you have multiple children under 5
One data point for your consideration: I know Lisp well and choose not to use it.
Isn't modafinil a stimulant? A coworker gave me some and I was super-productive at work.
Perhaps, I read a lot on my phone (usually web novels). I keep my eyes fixed on a spot on my screen, usually reading 2 lines, and scroll to bring the next lines into my line of sight. This is very comfortable for me as I don't have to move my eyes around. I also think this increases my reading efficiency, although I haven't really done an A/B test to verify this
Banks are going into crypto because they can charge transaction fees many times larger than they can with stocks.
Ask HN: How best to get early feedback from users?
TL;DR: I'm nervous about my product's future as I don't talk to users. I want to change that asap.

I'm a solo founder with a product out for 6 years now. Although it's in a big market, it has a small user base (1000 monthly actives) and brings in a small amount of revenue (~300 USD MRR). Savings from prior job are enough to get by where I live.

I have the skills to make the software a lot better but I've been burned enough by building features that might or might not get used. So, I've kind of frozen further product development until I figure out how to get users to talk.

I'm a good communicator, genuinely care about solving problems for users and love talking to users, but I can't seem to get users to reply. I used to do hand-typed emails and got some success out of it with poor conversion (1 out of 200 replied). Because hand-typed was hard, I started using automated welcome emails and got almost nil response. I've been using automated welcome email for more than a year now and yesterday I turned it off as I thought it might be hurting my brand rather than helping.

I'm feeling down that I have the capability to build but I can't get users to talk.

YC advises to "talk to users".. but "how to first get them to reply to my request for feedback" is the #1 problem for me. I'm starting to think I have to up the psychology game to get a reply.

Some solutions I've thought of but yet to implement:
1. Persistence: hand-type email to users and follow up gently week after week up to 3-4 times.
2. Bribe: entice users with a good offer on the product or a gift card to get them to reply
3. Be goody two shoes: provide an opt-in for emails during sign up. But I think nobody will opt-in.

Any advice on what could yield a reply from a user? I am prepared to hand-type emails every day if that's what it takes.
i wrote up a white paper a decade ago imagining a wikipedia like 9verlay on websites that would add a meta level of user interaction. just takes some advanced fingerprinting of the annotated content and some social media like subscription and blocking mechanism. it was called _wikilay_
> a very high "effort to reward" ratio,

Sorry to be pedantic, but I think you mean the opposite? Big reward for modest effort?
I do like some of the thin clients you can get cheap off eBay. A used Dell Wyse 3040 only costs a bit more than a Pi, and gives me full x86. Still no fan. If I didn't have a stack of Raspberry Pis, that would be my choice with the shortages.

I would probably move my Home Assistant setup to one if I hadn't preordered their Home Assistant Yellow board which has built-in Zigbee and other features.
Right. You don't have to believe in the value of a thing to make a market in it.
The majority of programmers did not learn JS in college. And yet JS rules.
Quantifying Marine Plastic Debris in a Beach Environment Using Spectral Analysis
You may not have read very far into the post, because I think it deals quite well with these issues, if not in the same terms.
XRT had over 600% short interest in 2011 because it’s filled with failing brick and mortar retailers.
Thanks, mate! It crawls only projects mentioned on Reddit, Hacker News and Dev.to.
The ad hominems you use here don't belong on Hacker News
That’s not a weak outlook, but rather a weak facebook.
I will say Instagram is getting so crowded.

Adding Stories to Instagram felt natural, but shoving Reels in, feels like a squeeze.
Did you ever used to wake up groggy? I feel like that's been a constant for me since forever.
I installed an IR sauna a few months back. I use it almost daily. Sleep has been fantastic since then and I recover from workouts much more quickly. Stretching is also much easier in it and I've easily increased my bent-over stretch by 3 inches since I started focusing on it.
Yeah, if it's night time and I start reading something technical I usually pass out in like 20 minutes, even if I'm enjoying it.
I wonder why they didn't buy TikTok when it was starting to become popular like they did with Instagram or Whatsapp.

Maybe they thought it was going to fail like Vine and other short video platforms.
I had noticed that, good point. Facebook is dependent on their apps being able to broker and target ads.

Maybe advertisers were getting less good results from their campaigns or were chilled by knowing that Apple would break the targeting ability of the Facebook ad platform.

Maybe there is overrepresentation of advertisers that use iphone and saw the crusade occurring, and that got them to avoid ad platforms that rely on that level of tracking.
It seems that a lot of commenters here have not read the post, and are simply posting their own opinions about how to answer the question in the title. If that is you, and you are interested in the question, I recommend reading it in full -- there are a lot of interesting points there.
Has anyone tried a version of copilot but for mathematical proof?
Do you really believe that a 10-person company run by a convicted fraudster (Devasini) is managing $78 billion dollars in assets, making them bigger than Vanguard or Schwab, despite the financial world not being able to find any evidence of what they're actually holding?

https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2021-10-07/matt-l...
I guess you don't have a game PC? The PC games are amazing. If you don't have a good pc there's some streaming services coming online too like plutosphere that's doing a free beta now.
It's okay to not be well versed in a subject outside of one's area of expertise. You can still carry on a conversation and ask engaging questions to have an intelligent conversation. If one is unable to engage in a meaningful manner outside their area of interest/expertise, then that's an entirely different situation. And probably another interesting subject up for discussion if it can be handle delicately an non-hostile.
New research reveals cadmium's route into chocolate
More like if it was a choice between two, shitty giant douches and one was painted orange and the other was painted with a rainbow. They’re both the same thing with a different color paint.
It went off on a generic political flamewar tangent.
Yes, what I meant was, math proofs are well defined, and programs are often a heap of stuff thrown together.

While it's harder to produce the math proof, it's probably harder to grasp what's going on in a program in a mathematical sense.
A skillset I am familiar with that can pay extremely well is the design of complex systems software from first principles. Most software companies don't have this skillset on their payroll, and honestly most companies don't need it. Companies that do need it really need it though, and they can often directly attribute many millions of dollars to the work, so the exceptional compensation seems reasonable, demand greatly outstripping supply notwithstanding.

These days, people with this skillset are commonly employed to design data infrastructure software for cases where open source software has material deficiencies in terms of scalability, performance, or efficiency. Optimization of complex AI/ML processes is another emerging area where I see friends being hired. It typically isn't a leetcode style hiring process.

A software engineer cannot be retrained to do this role in months, the domain is too deep. It requires multiple years of diligent self-study to achieve functional competency, plus many more years for mastery, and I've never seen an exception to this. Much of the essential theory is diverse and never covered in undergrad e.g. greedy routing theory, universal sequence prediction problems, agreement-free consistency, etc. Efficient reduction to practice on real hardware is esoteric, non-obvious, and poorly documented. You need similar levels of low-level knowledge about how silicon behaves as software optimization specialists. In most cases, all existing software is demonstrably unfit for purpose which often implies a likely requirement for inventing a novel and/or unorthodox software design that is superior to what has been done before (the alternative is that all popular implementations that might be fit for purpose are just really poor, in which case you do a blank-sheet implementation of a conventional design).

Consequently, the new talent pipeline is almost entirely sourced from people who devote years of their life to mastery solely because they love the problem space. We simply have no practical way to produce this skillset at a rate sufficient to meet demand. In principle you could build a full-time educational program that focused on training people up effectively but it would still require years to produce more talent like this.
Navigating with scrolling fingertips is the best interface.
Are you saying every tomtom, garmin, etc used Bluetooth and cell services for navigation all those years?

Not to be argumentative but dedicated GPS devices didn’t always have that option. Also I’m curious: it uses triangulation off cell towers to help. I don’t see how Bluetooth helps improve accuracy. Do they map WiFi spots accurately?
Eh... The moderator transparency here is very low. Even reddit has moderation logs.
Really? If your software is only used by a very specific kind of person in very specific circumstances, that logic might work. Otherwise, you'll always find two different people, or one person at two different times, with mutually contradictory definitions of annoying behavior.

For example, what should the default volume setting be? (Warning before you answer: if you don't pick the volume I want right now, it'll be annoying!) Okay, what should the default mouse speed be? (Just so you know, I might be 20y.o. with a gaming mouse or 80y.o. with a trackball.) Etc.