skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
You may find this blog post useful for thinking about AI scaling: https://www.alignmentforum.org/posts/k2SNji3jXaLGhBeYP/extra...

For general tasks like language modeling, we are still seeing predictable improvements (on the next-token-prediction loss) with increasing compute. We will very likely be able to scale things up by 10,000x or so and continue to see increasing performance.

But what does this mean for end users? We are probably going to see sigmoid-like curves, where qualitative features of these models (like being able to do math, or tell jokes, or tutor you in French, or provide therapy, or mediate international conflicts) will suddenly get a * lot * better at some point in the scaling curve. We saw this for simple arithmetic in the GPT-3 paper, where the small <1B param models were terrible at it, and then with 100B scale suddenly the model could do arithmetic with 80%+ accuracy.

Personally I would not expect diminishing returns with increased scale, instead there will be sudden leaps in ability that will be very economically valuable. And that is why Meta and others are so interested in scaling up these models.
mRNA-based vaccine technology was in development years before COVID-19 made it economically viable to release.
> Im not going to bother filling in the blanks for you.

This seems suspiciously like you are unable to. Note how unusual that is for true innovation — HN is full of posts where people can say they switched to something because it was faster, better, cheaper, etc. If all you have is a book from the previous century which predates those systems existing, that does not speak well for their merits.
I did not and I never questioned that.
Could a turbo-pump can be thought of as a very bad transformer? able to transform a flow mv1 at a pressure P1 to mv2 P2 where their product, power is constant (except its way more lossy).

Still, I think the water analogy is over used
Don't make a mistake, systemd is not (just) an init system. It's a replacement of more and more Linux userland. I suppose later on it will replace much of the filesystem, network, and process security management tools, stuff like xattrs, ip / ipfw, and selinux.

I suppose that the end goal of the systemd project is an ability to deploy a production Linux system with just systemd and busybox, and run all software from containers.

Not that it's a bad thing to strive for. But it's not going to be Unix as we know it.
Yes, for 30 years the West has been playing a dangerous game of poke the Bear, it probably won't end well.
Right below the referenced table:

"Today we have more data, and you can see that there were similar number of deaths in the vaccine and placebo groups.

The trials did not show a reduction in death, even for Covid deaths, as opposed to other causes…"

(Emphasis mine.)
Union Pacific Train Thefts Started Around Worker Layoffs
Are we supposed to collectively feel, "Yay, Facebook!"?! It's a bigger tool for surveillance enablement, no different from how the CCP monitors Xinjiang cameras.
Eh, I think the vaccine was a bit over-tested. We had it from month 1, but had to wait almost a year to use it. It's more of a general disconnect between reality and discourse that's the problem. And a very very stupid black and white worldview - what's allowed is automatically mandatory.

We should have allowed the vaccines much earlier for populations at risk, and we should hesitate a lot more before we make anything mandatory. But yeah, this would take balls and willingness to assume responsibility. And speaking of, literal millions[1] of dead later we still haven't done any challenge trials, because exposing 25 year olds to Omicron to find out things about it faster _would be immoral_.

[1]: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
> I would guess that 'them' refers to nondisabled users, who are the only group mentioned in the headline.

That's certainly a logical reading, but I have even more trouble interpreting the post that way (but this ambiguity of interpretation is one more reason why drive-by comments—not yours, but the earlier one to which I was responding—are less than helpful). The question isn't whether there's any way to make browsing easier for non-disabled users; it's whether making browsing easier for disabled users makes it harder for non-disabled users (and the answer is no). In that context, it's not clear why one would want to provide advice about the browsing habits of non-disabled users.
Something else to factor is that Germany probably has much stronger rental protections than many US states. Renter-landlord rights are fundamentally at tension so jurisdictions have to choose where that balance lies. If rights are lopsided towards the landlord it becomes much less desirable to rent because you have little control over your living situation.
This comment is _insanely_ hyperbolic, it sounds like you need therapy and that these issues are much deeper than circumcision. You despise your mother because you feel branded? What? I highly doubt that if you asked your mother that she'd say she had any intention of mutilating or branding you.

I think you're way overthinking this thing, you shouldn't feel so much shame because you look slightly different. Get over yourself.
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Only if prior infection doesn't kill you or hurt you more than the later infection would.
I agree. I read Jeff Hawkins book On Intelligence [0] back when it came out, and it had a profound effect on my thinking. Chasing more data, aka "parameters" doesn't seem to be the right answer. I think more of a Bayes model like spam filtering, but cobbled together with other Bayes models looking at other things until something emerges that we call "intelligent". Heck, I'd consider Google's spam filtering pretty intelligent today.

[0] - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/On_Intelligence
> (b) Ignoring all cause mortality...

But the RCT showed that vaccine safety isn't a big part of the picture, so all-cause mortality won't be relevant. The difference in non-Covid deaths was statistically insignificant. Yes the mRNA vaccines are more likely to cause myocarditis than Covid itself, but so far I haven't seen evidence that it has translated into a big source of mortality. (It may have, I guess?)

> [rest]

Let's ignore VE against mild disease for now. I just want to nail down VE against death, which is less susceptible to sampling bias, manipulation, and so on.

We should be able to easily answer this question conclusively by finding 1 or 2 countries where vaccine administration has plateued (which is actually most countries now), and simply measuring the VE against death over the last 8 weeks. Has anyone something like that?

My guess is that the VE is still very high, which is fairly conclusive evidence that the vaccines work at preventing death from Covid and that VE against death can't all be explained by the Fenton & Neil trick. And since the vaccines were shown to be safe in the RCT, that is proof that they work at preventing death itself - especially in older populations where the risk of Covid is higher and the risk of myocarditis is lower.

> [vaccine immunity is in the] negative territory for mild disease now

IIRC, this was just a 5000 sample study in one European country, and the result was inconsistent between Delta and Omicron. Or has this finding been replicated? (I don't want to get into the weeds on this question, though, since I want to talk about VE against death).

> vaccine efficiency drops significantly after 4 months or so

Sure, I don't dispute this.
>"If so, why dodge around those words?"

The first reason is merely personal, I don't like saying it. While I did not mention this in my other comment, I prefer to use the term "genital cutting" instead. This is because the term imparts more meaning and understanding about the practice when people use it. "Circumcision" isn't a common word, it is derived from Latin, and doesn't have an immediate etymological obviousness the same way "genital cutting" does.

>"It doesn’t seem to have impacted my sex life in any way."

Understandable. For the majority of us who had this procedure done routinely, our modified anatomy is all we've ever known. There's no way for us to experientially compare. If it weren't for the internet, I'm certain I would have lived my life without ever knowing I was actually missing something. To be clear, though, this would be a result of near complete ignorance rather than evidence that the procedure has no downside or effect whatsoever, something which many do assert and cite lack of widespread complaint among men as evidence.

>"Was the surgery botched, is that why?"

To be upfront, I am so deeply against what was done to me as a newborn that even if the doctor performed the most clean and by-the-book cut in all of human history, I would still be just as resentful as I am today. That being said, I do have complications that I sense are a result of the pediatrician cutting too tightly. Not only does the remaining skin have uneven stretch marks, I have a really bad "turkey neck" problem. This isn't a medical term, I don't think there is one, but my urologist has confirmed that much of the skin on my penis is actually scrotal skin. Despite this, my urologist does not believe the procedure was "botched" and according to him what I have is fairly typical. This last bit is perhaps macabre, but he could also tell my pediatrician was left-handed, based on where the scar begins and ends!

I'm sure that if the pediatrician was much less aggressive that day I would be better off, but that is not the root of my lament. I am still missing the nerve endings and protection that would have been provided by the missing tissue. To use an absurd analogy (that you should not take as an argument): If I had my part of right arm amputated, I would probably be better off if the doctor didn't remove as much of my forearm but I would still be missing my entire hand.
Meditation and the Unconscious
Here is a joke that relies on the assumption that the platform is suggesting they own the copyright, instead of someone else that isn't the user.
it is really hard to gauge company culture from outside when you are interviewing them. I don't see how this problem can be solved.
Completely agree of course but honestly they fired Brendan Eich that was all about this and installed a CEO that is all about identity politics. What do you expect to come out of that?
it is certainly not a myth and it is not propagated by only russia [0]. russia was only stupid not to demand a written agreement

[0] https://www.latimes.com/opinion/op-ed/la-oe-shifrinson-russi...
What exactly would this do to the US internet? I don't intuitively understand - if I am in NYC and the server is in VA, how would a broken undersea cable impact my internet?
It'll apparently have a slight cooling effect on the southern hemisphere[1], lasting until this spring.

[1]: https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/national/459707/tonga-eruption-co...
This seems very similar to Kusto/KQL.
Now that I am in my forties, simply having a bad night of sleep can have me forgetting names of colleagues and messing up the names between the dogs and my daughters. Lack of sleep is one of the most debilitating thing and it certainly wasn't like that 10-15 years ago. Ageing sucks!
Given it's almost certainly a ruleset generated by an ml agent, it's more likely to be a change in the training data.
A big piece of this is that 30-year mortgages in the USA are strongly subsidized and encouraged (see, mortgage interest tax deduction, loan guarantees, flood insurance, sewer and road system subsidies, etc). So for a middle-class person, there's a giant incentive to buy a house as it's the next-best thing after 401k matches to 'free money'.

Meanwhile, as we continue to not build housing (a trend over the last ~50 years), the price of renting continues to increase and the value of a house that you had previously bought also increases.

I would rather avoid buying a house for flexibility reasons, but it just seems like such a waste when I compare against my peers who have bought property. Hopefully things change, but these are some of the reasons why it's such a good deal in Germany vs the US to rent. (granted I don't know much about the German side)
If you're appealing to some higher-level philosophical ideals, then that should be both identified and supported by argument. There's no real argument here, especially one that acknowledges the autonomy of the individual gatekeepers who possess the information you want, or acknowledgement that it costs them money to create such information that you wish to consume. It's a bit like saying 'education ought to be free, food ought to be free, health care ought to be free, and housing ought to be free.' Ok sure, that sounds lovely, but how? And if you method of how is simply stealing and cheating, well, then that's not so lovely, is it?

I doubt the scale that you suggest (especially the newsletter argument, which is typically free to sign up, rather than the monthly subscription that this site is really getting around), and if that was the case, then perhaps the solution is to find a better funding and browsing model that appeals to all rather than saying the solution is to circumvent against the information providers wishes. There have been various attempts so far from Apple News, Flipboard, Brave's browser, and briefly Google's micro-transactions for news, and we probably need more innovation in this space versus less.

Would you have made such an argument previously at the magazine stand? That no one could possibly buy all the magazines to get all the information? Just because Google's index and search is free doesn't mean the rest of the world ought to be.
The telescope slows down over time due to Earth’s gravitational pull. IIRC the trip to L2 was all driven by momentum after the rocket released it. The rocket boosted it in the right direction/speed so that gravity would slow it to a stop at the right place.
> It’s not like they were trying to hurt anyone.

I'm curious: what exactly they imagined would happen as a result of their actions? Or did they just prefer not to think about it?
Already there, I made some test files. The ones with "1", "1\n", and "0\n" are all now flagged. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=30063319

So, "someone" has them copyrighted.
i wonder if the people who use `@property` for every method come from a language like ruby where providing getters/setters for every instance variable is a standard thing to do.
Great talking points until you consider the litany of issues with only trusting the numbers. Consider these questions:

- Are unvaccinated with no previous infection and unvaccinated with natural immunity split out into separate categories?

- Are the vaccinated actually still fully vaxxed or are they MONTHS past when their protection is gone and they're still counted as vaccinated?

- Are post-vaccine deaths due to Myocarditis for example being counted as unvaccinated because they haven't reached the 14 day park post-vaccination?

Pointing only to numbers without questioning the methodology behind them is dangerous IMO
There are other ways of having a distributed immutable ledger than a blockchain, if you don't have the constraints of a decentralized adversarial context. You don't have this context for diplomas.

Also, neither revocation nor security and privacy does seem like good examples of what a blockchain would allow that a non-blockchain based approach wouldn't.
And warts and all, brave is a really good browser.
But drug safety is not an issue of copyright, but of physical control of medications. You don't need to break the copyright of a drug to create and distribute fake medication.
Never did electronics, so when I've read of logic analyzers in a book, it sounded like something between an oscilloscope and a complex gadget out of a story from Isaac Asimov. It's surprising they're so simple, cheap and effective.
I like to think that there's an alternate universe where the entire industry adopted NeXT's idea of replacing the dedicated Caps Lock key with a Command+Shift key combination, because it's such a smart and obviously correct thing to do.

Sadly, I'll never live in that universe.
They're saying that if the AWS costs decreased by 20%, they could use the now freed-up money, ie 200k, to pay sysadmins.
I’ve been using something like this within Grocy, an open source grocery and household management tool. I find it very useful.
People are misunderstanding decentralization. Sure we can talk about decentralized technology like IFPS, but we should also talk about moving away from centralized governments, banks and legal systems. Decentralization in this context means we can form our own social group, say a commune in the desert or a virtual group online that skirts the old school central organizations and sets up our own. We could conduct our buniness on the blockchain and implement our own enforcement methods. An extreme example of this might be a drug cartel conducting it's transactions on a blockchain and if you don't honor what's on the chain then you get killed.
> I still find utility in Google Maps and GMail.

Concerning the maps, try https://openstreetmap.org

Concerning the GMail, see this:https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=30051054
Julia is not hard for a Python programmer to pick up, and it can be very fast.
If the information has no value then surely the market will eventually price the whole chain at $0. The short term is just noise, ‘price discovery’, whatever.
> You want me to forget my password? Because this is how you make me forget my password.

MySuperSecrit001
MySuperSecrit002
MySuperSecrit003

...
I've always imagined AGI (perhaps naively) as being achieved by clever usage of ML, plus some utilization of classical/symbolic AI from pre-AI winter days, plus probably some unknown elements.

For what it's worth, this is my view as well. And I don't think it's particularly naive. Plenty of people have researched and/or are researching aspects of how to do this. But how to combine something like a neural network, with it's distributed (and very opaque) representations, with an inference engine that "wants" to work with discrete symbols is non-obvious. Or at least it appears to be, since nobody apparently has figured out how to do it yet - at least not to the level of yielding AGI.

but I've never heard a compelling argument for why pure ML would get us there.

The simplistic argument would be that ML models are, in some sense, trying to replicate "what the brain does" and it stands to reason that if your current toy ANN's (and let's be honest - the largest ANN's built to date are toys compared to the brain) are something like the brain, then in principle if you scale them up to "brain level" (in terms of numbers of neurons and synapses), you should get more intelligence. Now on the other hand, anybody working with ANN's today will tell you that they are at best "biologically inspired" and aren't even close to actually replicating what biological neural networks do. Soo... while people like Geoffrey Hinton have gone on record as saying that "ANN's are all you need" (I'm paraphrasing, and I don't have a citation handy, sorry) I tend to think that in the short term a valid approach is exactly what you suggested. Combine ML and use it for what it's good at (pattern recognition, largely) and use "old fashioned" symbolic AI for the things that it is good at (reasoning / inference / etc.)

Now, to figure out how to actually do that. :-)
Hannah Shields' left (our right) earring is particularly egregious.
Maybe but anyone can claim that on Twitter
Could this be a rare case of a SHA-whatever collision? Or do they use MD5 to identify these files.
I suppose we can drop the short adage and shout the much longer:

"If your site pops a newsletter modal, I will leave. If your search engine rewards this behavior, I will not use it. Good luck pal."
I didn't downvote or flag, because I do think it's valuable to see this sort of article here and discuss it. But that doesn't change the fact that it's a poorly-written and poorly-reasoned article that sounds "intellectual" but cherry-picks anecdotes and innuendo to make its point.
I think the most likely outcome is much like the services they offer to help with settling airplane ticket compensation. I presume most of them are actually in service of the airplane operators.

Imagine a device that indeed offers to help small time companies in resolving the issues with big tech. The business case will eventually come up to just buy them up and slowly drain their effectivity, while upping the rate tremendously and being able to - if any - strike up the compensation dishes out by big tech. Pardon my cynism but I sometimes look at the airflight industry as the equilibrium of a race to the bottom. With big tech we’re not there yet
Unfortunately it will be hard to investigate properties of large, powerful neural networks without access to their trained weights. And industrial labs that spend millions of dollars training them will not be keen to share.

If academics want to do research on expensive cutting-edge tech, they will have to join industrial labs or pool together resources, similar to particle physics or drug discovery research today.
No, it doesn't, there's a hard cap. I spent a long time trying to replicate the performance I was accustomed to in XFS.

L2ARC can improves cached reads, but it's not magical, especially not for random reads... or writes. (and yes, I know about SLOG, but doing async is faster than improving sync)

And don't get me started on how ZFS is not using mirrors to improve read speed (unlike mdadm can do, cf the difference between o3 n3 f3) or how it can't take advantage of mixed arrays (ex: a fast NVME + a regular SSD or HDD to add redundancy: all the reads should go to the NVME! The writes should go async to the slow media!)

If you don't have a RAID of fast NVMe that are each given all the lanes they need, you may not see a difference.

But if you are running baremetal close to 100% of what your hardware allows, and the choice of everything you want to buy and deploy, you'll see these limits very soon.

In the end, I still chose ZFS most of the time, but there are some usecases where I think XFS over mdadm is still the best choices.
If you read the abstract of the study (which the author clearly hoped no one would do), you'll see this:

"The efficacy in preventing severe disease was 98.2% (95% CI, 92.8 to 99.6), with 2 cases in the mRNA-1273 group and 106 in the placebo group..."

This was in a study that included over 30,000 participants.
It’s crazy that Microsoft has been in the video game business continuously for over forty years.
> Even now people are comparing being unvaccinated to drink driving despite the vaccinated being every bit as risky to others.

No, they are not. Any basic statistical analysis shows this. They are still far less likely to catch a disease, and when they do they fight it off better and catch it less severely. This means fewer virus replications, fewer mutations, and fewer chances to spread.
AI/ML has somewhat continuous research going all the way back to the First AI/ML Boom of the 1960s and the Second AI/ML Boom era of the "Lisp Machines" [1] in the 1980s. Depending on who you ask the current AI/ML Boom is something like third or fourth wave, and yeah some of that depends on where you fit Deep Blue and/or Watson in the timelines (or even if you bother at all to count them, given all the other comments here on how Deep Blue/Watson have always been PR maneuvers more strongly than technical lines in the sand).

[1] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lisp_machine
FreeBSD has serious problems with focus, longevity and lifecycle (2012)
I shake my head disapprovingly at the use of twisty-ties to seal bread bags. We always keep bread clips around as the superior fastener.

Related question, would these be considered "fasteners", or some other thing entirely?