skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
> but a HUGE # of people have already had it and ignoring them is downright unscientific.

Unless they went to the hospital or had a positive test, then they just think they had it right?

We get data like this:

All we know are things like:

Unvaccinated 12-34 year-olds in Washington are
• 2 times more likely to get COVID-19 compared with fully vaccinated 12-34 year-olds.
• 5 times more likely to be hospitalized with COVID-19 compared with fully vaccinated 12-34 yearolds.
Unvaccinated 35-64 year-olds are
• 3 times more likely to get COVID-19 compared with fully vaccinated 35-64 year-olds.
• 7 times more likely to be hospitalized with COVID-19 compared with fully vaccinated 35-64 yearolds.
Unvaccinated 65+ year-olds are
• 4 times more likely to get COVID-19 compared with fully vaccinated 65+ year-olds.
• 7 times more likely to be hospitalized with COVID-19 compared with fully vaccinated 65+ year-olds.
• 11 times more likely to die of COVID-19 compared with fully vaccinated 65+ year-olds.

(from https://www.doh.wa.gov/Portals/1/Documents/1600/coronavirus/..., so local to where I live).

But it unfortunately doesn't break down things like "had a confirmed prior infection" or "thought they might have had a prior infection". It would be interesting to see how the data works, but right now unvaccinated people are on average in a very bad spot. For all we know, the unvaccinated are just more likely to have comorbidities (e.g. obesity) that lead to their higher fatality rates. But for now, getting vaccinated is so easy, I wouldn't take the risk.
So we should discount value of future human life usine the DCF method? This is ridiculous.

The DCF makes sense because receiving a dollar tomorrow doesn't have the same value as receiving one today because in the second case I could invest it in the risk free asset and get more than one dollar tomorrow. This doesn't apply to human life.

I understand the feeling of the author regarding designing policy aimed at future people but the argument is just plain wrong. I'm sure there is a non fallacious argument supporting this point though. Maybe a risk / black swan based one?
> Your sentence is falling apart as well.

While it can be valuable to point out to ESL speakers/writers, in this case that's not a productive criticism.
Tesla makes improvements at a much faster rate than conventional car companies, which results in what we might call 'hacks' as those changes matriculate through the other design components. It's not ideal, but decades of building software has pretty conclusively shown that agility and shipping quickly is a better practice than waiting for perfection.

You might say "well agility is great, except in my self-driving car" but I would remind you that people said the same thing about security software, infrastructure, etc. and were wrong every time. My believe is cars will get safer and better built faster with them innovating than with the traditional model of annual incremental releases. As a Tesla owner, I can also comment that the car feels no less well built than any other car I've owned.
Mostly yes. My advice on this topic is to read up on Liberating Structures, which I think are a level up.

https://liberatingstructures.com/
This is a pretty common misunderstanding of the ruling.

The Court ruled that the abortion clinics' lawsuits against certain state officials may proceed as they have direct involvement in the enforcement of the law, while the lawsuits against other state officials like judges should be dismissed due to their lack of involvement in enforcement.
I wish NPR in the Bay Area would just pick a tech billionaire and more or less demand a pledge to stop the drive.

"Mark could stop this at any time of his choosing."
that's not true, even if I prune it's still leaking and i'm never far from a 'web 2.5' revamp ala reddit
I just edited my question above to make it more clear.
31337$ bounty won, pwning Ubuntu and escaping Google's KCTF containers
You are confusing the effect on individual people with the effect on the whole community. I do not debate the effect of natural immunity on individuals who have had COVID in the past, but it is not widespread enough to cause a dent in the infection or to alleviate the stress on the healthcare system.

The effect exists but the data shows it does not matter.
My app is a keyboard for iPhone and Apple Watch, so a web version is out of the question.

And because of Apple, web apps also have severe shortcomings when compared to native apps – such as lack of notification support.
I understand how the perusing the media gives this biased feeling, just feels like Tesla mentions make for a more engaged article.
I ordered a MYLR without ever sitting in one due to how neat my friend's Model 3 was. After driving it for the first time, I doubt if I will buy another car. Tesla just makes amazing cars period. Much better than the 3 series I had before as a comparison.
I'd also add that a lot of the inefficiencies are a direct result of client demands. Not in the sense that they want it to be slower, but they refuse to budge on the requirements and do not want to adapt their business process. We bog down our validation code with dozens and dozens of edge case processing rules that could be bypassed if the client simply changed their own processes, but alas, no.
"The report recorded worldwide deaths attributed to sudden cardiac arrest or other unexplained sudden death while playing (or shortly after playing) football between 2014 and 2018. There were 614 cases during the four-year period."

Is there any evidence the deaths you're posting about were caused by the mRNA vaccines?
Got a young one here. Try 40 years.
You're probably thinking of this HBR article by Andrew and Michael Maboussin

https://hbr.org/2018/07/if-you-say-something-is-likely-how-l...

which is an updated take on the methodology of Dick Heuer's Psychology of Intelligence Analysis

https://prasadcapital.com/2018/07/03/book-summary-psychology...

, which itself was driven by the research into words of estimative probability by CIA legend Sherman Kent.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Words_of_estimative_probabilit...
Banks are the federal reserve.
I once took a contract for a FAANG that had me on the shittiest piece of DELL Optiplex Dell had ever plexed. You could not have sold it for negative dollars. It took me easily 2x longer to do everything I needed to do. The contract paid out about $150,000, so the high-end graphics lappytop I needed that would have cost them $3,000 cost them $75,000 instead. This does not account for my lost sanity.

Fury. Rage. Tempest. The sound of my soul dying. Where's the fucking grenade?

Forgive me for being so complicit. $100/hr was a lot of money then.
i am too...and i basically cant work at the same level if i'm just sitting alone by myself. so i _have_ to kick stuff aronud with people. unfortunately the longer i stay in the industry the less people are used to working this way.
Nest Quest
> firing nurses who don’t want to get vaccinated.

I would love to see stats on that. From what I can tell, the actual percentage of medical practitioners quitting due to vaccine mandates is very small. My family work in the medical field in a red state and the set of people actually quitting over the vaccine requirement (as opposed to making a lot of noise and then deciding unemployment is unattractive) is tiny, but this may not be representative.
Aside from all the flashy handwavy marketing "technospeak" what SpinRite actually does under the hood is re-read each bit from the disk thousands of times and then see if it gets more 0s or 1s.

It works well when a drive is past the point where its internal error correction code no longer works, but you just want to beat the right answer out of it with a baseball bat.

These days professional disk recovery by a lab is sub-$1000 and they recommend not using brute force tools like Spinrite because it can also exacerbate the problem before they get hands on it.
> Consider the already immigrated medical professionals living in the United States right now that are unable to practice because of the above described licensing issues.

New York and New Jersey did this. In early 2020 (so two years ago). Despite this, they ran into extreme shortages. So now that we've done that, what next?

> If a doctor moves to the US and is in the same position, she may choose to remain a stay-at-home mom and let her husband be the primary breadwinner.

And is she just going to suddenly start working if the licensure requirement goes away? Some might, but a lot won't because they are already parenting. This is what I mean by these policies require years to have an impact.
I've never played it either, but I actually know the reference thanks to this video[1] (which in turn comes from the once-viral Keyboard Cat[2]).

[1]: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c7C_1QfhpMQ

[2]: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J---aiyznGQ
Most of that "$10,000" is because of paying someone else for custom parts. If you use existing parts or make the custom parts yourself (if you have the ability/tools), it's less than $100.

So the software equivalent would be if you oursourced a large chunk of your project to someone else, and in that case, I think $10,000 might not be too far off.
You said:

> Given this data the most effective strategy is to just vaccinate everyone without what is effectively a pointless distinction

The data clearly shows that protection from natural infection is at least as substantial as from vaccination, and that ~half (if not more) of the US population has had it. This fairly obviously impacts the most effective strategy. Mandating vaccines (and now boosters) in young, healthy people who were already at small risk, including those who have already had the virus, is so absurd that I can't even characterize it as science. It is simply punitive behavior.

Most countries recognize prior infection. We're in a small, small club of scientifically illiterate nations here, and it's rather embarrassing.

> It will be once the proportion of unvaccinated people in hospitals starts to resemble the proportion in the general population.

If the total number of hospitalizations is a manageable number, the percentage that are vaccinated is irrelevant. It's a metric of punishment, not a realistic policy goal. I have no idea what the future will bring with regard to the ratio of unvaccinated hospitalizations, but I know that hospitalizations in general will fall as the population achieves broad immunity -- and natural infection certainly counts toward that goal.
I believe GGP was referencing the far older Muppet Show bit of Pigs in Spaaaaace :)
There's a decent public safety argument that analog radio in cars is an excellent means to communicate with nearly everyone in the event of a major natural disaster, such as an earthquake which would disrupt power in most everyone's homes.
https://muppet.fandom.com/wiki/Pigs_in_Space
Wait.. what? Society has a trust problem? Implying we should trust people in power (economic and state) that have repeatedly and shamelessly acted for their own benefit against the interest of the public while they control the media (tv and online) to censor and/or shaddow-ban criticism and alternate views?

Yes, if that's what you mean. We have a trust problem because there are people in power who are not trustworthy. And yes, their acts of censorship will only make this problem worse.
The relevant risk for your situation is vaccine risk, versus risk of reinfection (not just hospitalization, but also long term effects).

The math may still work out for your preferred choice, but i wanted to point out that it’s fallacious to dismiss the (rare) risks from reinfection, especially when focusing on the (rare) risks from the vaccine.

You may have said this and I just missed it, but both those risks are small and honestly boils down to a preference IMO. I may just have missed in your comment where you made the right comparison, in which case I’m being a bit pedantic without cause and I apologize.
Pinedio stack is probably the best cheap option, as it has been fully reverse engineered, including the radios- no firmware blobs.
Similar to m5 stack but riscV core.

For an OS you have nuttx, but for the memory size, Oberon ports (A2) might be feasible.
Scaling Carbon Removal
And this is the BOM cost at qty 10,000.
Show HN: Open-Source Markdown Editor with Live Editing
Buffett: How Inflation Swindles the Equity Investor
Actually, that's not true.

We have some hypotheses that children are the flu reservoir and that if we required them to get an annual shot it would tamp down flu seasons.

The primary difference is that the flu vaccine is predictive and can miss. It's kind of hard to demand that people take something that may not work.

If we got something genuinely terrible like Spanish Flu, yes, everybody would be demanding that people get a flu shot.
I briefly tried using the results of that, they're totally unnormalized, so even lining up identical line item charges is difficult. We have a deep learning language model that normalizes the language and lines up potential matches. But even if that works, it still doesn't get you the bill, because a single encounter includes a big batch of billing codes, depending on what the doctor tries to give you. And to get normal baskets, you probably want claims data. And the claims data providers we spoke to wanted 6-7 figures for a small dataset.

It's an incredibly parasitic industry, I've never seen anything quite like it. It's a pretty stark contrast to the largely altruistic motives of many of the healthcare professionals themselves.
The good news is you can work by just saving plain text and then viewing it in the GUI. Obsidian looks pretty but is slower and not as stable. I haven’t gone back to Zim yet but there’s nothing Obsidian really adds beyond GUI polish IMO. Obsidian has the advantage of mobile apps, but the story there isn’t superb — I have a better time piping text into it through Drafts. The iPad version of the Craft notes app is superior but it’s also much more locked down in every sense. I still use Craft though because I’m trying to simplify things these days, and I’m a sucker for OS integration.
If you're in a position to 1) no longer care about sales and 2) you have a contract with your label that allows this level of platform control and 3) you have backup platforms, you can do this.

It may also be a case of Young not being happy with Spotify for many years and Rogan was a convenient justification .... or the straw that broke the camel's back.

https://www.rollingstone.com/music/music-news/tom-petty-neil...

https://www.nytimes.com/2019/08/20/magazine/neil-young-strea...
I don't think your math is correct there and that data is pre-Omicron.

https://www.imperial.ac.uk/news/232698/omicron-largely-evade... estimates that prior infection offered 85% protection against Delta but only 19% against Omicron.
There seems to be a difference of intent between what Osborn describes (at least the selected quotes) and what the researchers, Diehl and Stroebe, studied. In particular, he describes brainstorming as for developing creative ideas, while the researchers study it as a method for problem solving.

From the quotes by Osborn it seems his purpose for it was to find ideas, no matter how far out there. Whereas the researchers were directing people to use brainstorming to find (what sounds like) one or a small number of viable solutions. Those are two different activities, so an approach could be useful for one and useless (or suboptimal) for the other, but there is no way to conclude how applicable it is to the former based on studies of the latter.
> At least one firm will do it for $200 first year and $100/yr after that

Can you share that one? PM me if preferred. I'm on a similar quest and so far I've found pretty much everything else you've found. My wife is a high income earner too and she's happy with the 1%/yr people that she likes, but I think we can get similar results for noticeably less.

Even 0.5% would be reasonable. As you know, from $1m to $2m that 1% fee goes from $10k to $20k and they're not doing anything more for that extra $10k/yr so the value proposition starts to break down for me. $10k in one year isn't a big deal, but over 20 years that's $200k, which might affect my retirement activities and definitely impacts how much is left for my kids (which they're going to really appreciate as life is so much more expensive for their generation).
One of my favorite quotes I read last year: "Covid is as much a trust crisis as it is a health crisis"
This is the elephant in the room I was trying to talk to people about at the very start of this pandemic. People are endlessly willing to talk about how divided we are about all kinds of issues and yet the fact that we cannot at minimum rally behind the fact we need to deal with the obesity epidemic is a bad sign.

My big problem with the initial lockdowns was not really about the larger lockdown at all - we just (obviously in hindsight) went too far with locking down larger, wide open places where people exercise.

Spring break in Miami with people crammed onto a beach? Probably a bad idea. A few surfers going in the water a hundred feet from one another and some other people doing a morning run? Likely a net benefit to Covid outcomes.
Where does the acronym "MYLR" come from? (Not what it means, but where you got it from.)

I know I can slowly work out "Model Y, Long Range." But it's not intuitive and you kind of have to be a "Tesla insider" to get that far, or at least closely follow their options/trim levels.

It's a bit better than the "M3" I sometimes see thrown around, because an M3 is a BMW, through and through. The car is actually a Model 3, and there's no reason to abbreviate it further unless you're on a Tesla forum (in my opinion.)
Do we have a rough estimate of what the probability of failure was?
Are you worried you won't have care at a hospital because of someone is unvaccinated? Has that ever happened? Are hospitals full where you live? Where did you get a fear like that?
There are a number of answers:

1) they are cheap

2) they don't like you and have given you the crap machine

3) they want you to create stuff that runs on a machine similar to the target audience of your product. So you'll build stuff that works on less speedy machines

of all of those options its mostly 1, then two, and very very unlikely 3
>Put them in a drug rehab facility.

So give them housing? Please analyze what you are saying. What is a drug rehab facility if not housing with nurses on staff?

What I'm asking you to consider is that housing first policies are cheaper to scale and have shown to work. If people's basic needs are met with safety and dignity they are less likely to run away to drugs and alcohol.
The legal aspect seem to revolve entirely around their restrictions on other payment services, not the platform commission.
Here's how I like to put it: "No one faults a mechanic for buying high-end tools and top of the line equipment. I program for a living, how is buying an expensive computer any different"?
1Password requires an upgrade to mandate 2FA for teams
Ah, yes. If you're standing, then something much more compact makes a lot of sense.

I wouldn't mind seeing something with the same form factor as the GPD Win3, but using a relatively low-power processor for better battery life. I suppose that wouldn't drop down the price enough to make it desirable to most of the target market though.
You could argue that it is just another stage in 'Escape from Freedom'. I am going to simplify a lot here, but basically the process goes something like this:

-Things are hard; people fight and win some degree of autonomy
-Status quo sets in; people believe this is how it always will be
-Things get easy and people forget what freedom is
-Things get hard..
To the best of my knowledge, there is no design for a laser induced fusion power plant. However, at the current stage all fusion experiments are precisely that, experiments and laser induced fusion is currently the only way to generate a plasma similar to the ones that would exist in a future fusion plant, so this is to study plasma properties, not a prototype for a power plant.

(And of course, that is also similar to the plasmas in a H-bomb, so there is a weapons aspect, but it's not like that we don't already know that H-bombs work.)
Usually you should do development on remote build machines where code is kept under VPN protection. For a lot of developers the laptop is merely a dumb terminal for console access.
Well of course its not going to be simple, and I doubt it would even be possible for the JWST successor, which I assume are already being sketched out, but its an interesting idea to think about. Satellite swarms are a very active area of research, along with cheap launches enabling cheap hardware based on substantially COTS electronics, which means 10 "unreliable" things, of which 9 may fail may be cheaper than 1 gold-plated one that will definitely not fail.

And yes, they have small elements, that's the whole point. A small element is disproportionately easier to produce than a bigger one. The point of The Swarm would be to offset the small area individually small elements with a large number of them. ALMA does this, and they even pick the dishes up with giant forklifts and move them around to reconfigure the array.

Optical interferometric arrays are very hard and only recently even possible, so it's unlikely you could do it in space "soon" (even LISA is still a long way out, and that's been planned since I was at school). I obviously don't have a handle on if the added noise from positioning errors outweighs the literally astronomical baseline advantage.

And yes, Hubble might have lasted 30 years, but JWST has about 10 years life, and then it's dead and will fall away from L2 unless they can get a refuel/regas mission launched (it does have the ports for it) to it in time.

Of course any number of practical issues can torpedo such a thing from the phase space of feasible implementations, but they're still fun to think about.
cause it's cheaper
> partly because it's easier for the government to just tell everyone to get vaccinated.

Do you make no allocation in your mind for the potential that the government is corrupted and the motivations have nothing really to do with public health?
I love this program, I've used it every day at work for years for my personal knowledgebase
Meanwhile my $30 versions work great. And look better IMO
Sure, but that's effectively that happens already with our centralized gatekeepers.

See what happened to Alex Jones, regardless of if you think it was justified or not.

With a crypto wallet, you don't have to start from scratch with a new account on a service that doesn't ban you because you own that data, in theory you could even port your social graph over.

I don't think this is inherent to crypto, but it is inherent to decentrazlied open standards like Mastedon for example. The advantage that crypto "wallets" have here is that it's not just for social media, it can be for payments etc.
Submission Statement: I found myself editing many README files in markdown, and I was making commits that were entirely just for fixing the README. When I looked for a Markdown editor, I couldn't find a live-edit version that was free, so I hacked this together. It probably has some bugs, but definitely works for me for what I was looking for.

Push CTRL+6 for the github repo. All data is stored locally.

Please let me know what you think!