skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
From "A Conversation with George Box" -
------------

The story about that goes back to the
time when I was still in England, and David Cox and
I were both on the research committee of the Royal
Statistical Society. Various people remarked on the
fact that Box and Cox were both on the committee
and said that we should write a paper together. My
recollection is that either David said to me or I said
to David, "You know, perhaps we ought to take them
up on that." And so, "Yes, OK, let's do that. And what
should it be about?" Well, we both knew the story
about Box and Cox. This is a story about Box living
in a room during the day and Cox living in the same
room during the night, and neither of them knew that
the landlady was giving the room to two people and
getting two rents rather than one. So we said, "Well,
obviously the thing to write about is transformations."
And that was all we had to begin with. [Laughs] We
did something about it. We got as far as the part about
the Jacobian, and if you've read that paper ["An
analysis of transformations," J. Roy. Statist. Soc. Ser.
B 26 (1964) 211-252] you'll know that this part is a
little bit tricky, even controversial. We didn't know
quite how to deal with that bit, and so it got put to
one side. The time passed, years passed; I went to
Princeton, and then to Madison. After I had been at
Madison a short while, the way I remember it is that
David wrote me a letter and said, "Hey, you know that
thing we were doing? I think if we went this way, we
would be able to do it." And I wrote back and said,
"Yeah, I think so," and what about this and what
about that, and so on. And so we started working
together again on it, and finally we got the paper out.

DeGroot: A classic paper. So it really did start
with just the authors' names and built up from there.

Box: Yes. I think we also had sort of a slight
conspiracy because I think we both felt it was a bit
funny about the Box and Cox notion. David was
keener on the likelihood approach and I was keener
on the Bayesian approach. So we put both in, and
when the discussion came up various people said,
"Perhaps the authors would like to say whether they
both agree on this" and we were careful not to say. So
there was sort of a slight Box-Coxish uncertainty
about the whole thing which we thought was amusing.
-------

One of the most cited papers in Statistics, the Box-Cox transform (http://www.econ.uiuc.edu/~econ508/Papers/boxcox64.pdf , 18000+ citations) is a power transform just about everybody has employed at one point or another when dealing with non-Gaussian data (builtin function MASS::boxcox in R)
>Who was shaming children? local parents? government officials? I didn't see any of this shaming. In fact, where I live, more children were at the parks.

They are somewhere in Canada. Regulations and attitudes differ depending on the location and phase of the pandemic.

>The City of Ottawa said Tuesday that an Orléans man confronted by a bylaw officer while kicking a soccer ball with his four-year-old autistic son in an empty field was given a warning, but not fined $700.

https://ottawacitizen.com/news/local-news/orleans-man-stung-...

Seems like parks being closed happened in the US too.

https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/04/closing-p...

I hope people aren't forgetting what we went through and how the public and officials reacted to it. It would be hard to improve unless we remember what happened.
Which value are you setting for target? I tried es2021, and it still doesn't give me native #. I cannot use esnext, because other stuff doesn't compile anymore.
Can you please post multiple examples of how he routinely misrepresents science in the scariest way possible? I've yet to see it, but I'm certainly willing to change my mind if you present it here
This is very interesting, as marketing is usually cited as one of the ones that is "impossible" to do remotely due to the high level of collaboration on very visual elements.
Common Lisp ASDF maintainer considers resignation
I read Cox and Hinkley's Theoretical Statistics a few months ago and it's such a treat. Might need to buy his Analysis of Binary Data to commemorate.
It's very strange the way mask guidance hasn't evolved at all since mid 2020. I know people who are very careful, even wipe down their groceries, but still wear cloth masks. Usually because they're more comfortable or nicer looking or washable. If people knew how much protection they were getting for the extra discomfort it might be different.
It depends how long the commute is.
I'm probably misreading this, but I see "In this study, age ≥65 years, immunosuppression, diabetes, and chronic kidney, cardiac, pulmonary, neurologic, and liver disease were associated with higher odds for severe COVID-19 outcomes;" listed as the eight risk factors. Where are you seeing the ones you listed?
True, and I agree that using a phone number is an issue. It is being used to block spam, but doesn't do that great of a job on Telegram still. I am curious what other ways you think could be used to help block spammers.
> There's more to an election than just going and voting.

Yeah there is, a lot, most of it illegal if you are not American. You can't contribute money to political organizations including certain type of non-profits and technically you can be deported even for protesting. Volunteering for a campaign is also a big no-no.

I can volunteer and donate to organizations that have a clear political bias even though they are not partisan, and already do.
Yes. It's the default output for "perf report". I recommend reading this: https://www.brendangregg.com/perf.html

However, the short 2-line way to get that output is the following:

perf record -F99 -g --pid $(pidof consul)
# Wait a few seconds and hit ctrl-c
perf report

You'll get similar output to what they show if you have consul running with a similar load :)
For the record, I meant to regard 'left-libertarianism' in the modern sense (which is practically libertarianism plus social insurance) as basically compatible with minarchism, in a broad sense. And ISTM that most demands for "positive freedom" are ultimately about social insurance.
I'm not sure what you mean by this - in terms of death rates Covid has been multiple orders of magnitude more impactful than drowning.
Previously posted in the last few days on this topic:

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=29978952

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=29978647

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=29977426

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=29955893
Indeed it is not about trucker supply. The current industry is structured to allow shippers to ship a truckload of goods from random point A to random point B, on-demand and cheaply. This requires a large, relatively low-paid workforce that is subject to miserable work conditions of long stretches away from home sleeping in a truck cab and eating miserable food.

The industry does not have to be structured this way. Most obviously, trucker pay could increase, but this would increase rates. Or, working conditions could improve. For example, have drivers work a fixed route and ferry trailers back and forth. Indeed a lot of less-than-truckload travels this way. This would dramatically improve working conditions, but increase costs and transit time.

So I’ve concluded the trucking industry is just fine. There is no trucker shortage. Shippers want shipping on the cheap, and this is the marketplace that results. Shippers who want to, and can, fix this, do so by setting up their own in-house shipping or otherwise set up their business to not rely on rock-bottom shipping practices. Shippers who cannot or will not fix this for themselves, as well as trucking companies that make their business in this marketplace, sit around and whine about the “trucker shortage” they have created.
This post seems like it was argued in good faith, there were a couple of examples given besides the banking one. I think the issue here is that while cryptography can allow for many different sets of parties to read a given piece of plain text, the only reasonable set of parties who should be able to read a text chat between myself and my friend is {me, my friend}. Just as we have no obligation to notify the cops of what we're saying when we have a private conversation in person. (Even if we give it to the cops in a sealed envelope, and the cops pinky promise not to open the envelope unless they can get a warrant.)
It is as correct to say that sufficiently advanced stupidity is indistinguishable from malice. The difference between these claims and Hanlon's Razor is that the razor warns against assuming the malice in the absence of evidence.
just enough to trigger a Streisand effect?
Another, equally valid, way of looking at that is that half of the people in that study reporting "long Covid" have no evidence of ever having Covid.

> Using SARS-CoV-2 serology and IFN-γ ELISPOT, we found evidence of a previous SARS-CoV-2 infection in 50% (15/30) of patients

See also this large (N=26k) study from France, where the only "long Covid" symptom correlated with confirmed infection was loss of smell. Nearly every other symptom was associated with belief of prior infection, but not infection itself:

https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamainternalmedicine/fullar...
I still remember the time on a BBS that someone talked me out of getting an Apple IIgs and getting an Amiga 500 instead. I wish I remembered his handle.
A broad agreement will most likely NOT make it past the institution review board. Any experiment with human subjects has strict rules around consent and data sharing agreements. The legal exposure is huge.
So what should be my tax rate? 100% and then I get everything from the government?

I am ok with that, but I'd rather work as a clerk on the DMV instead of my current job which is rather stressful but has the benefit that if I don't screw up I'm retiring early.
If you have ever used logistic regression, you can probably credit Cox. He popularized the model during a time when Probit regression was more popular.

For the younger generation, a logistic regression is a neural network without a hidden layer :)
The trailing period is often useful for breaking malicious JS and cookies on the page.
If there are specific complaints about a policy, we can consider those directly. No need to apply a reductive label. The top comment was quite specific.

All policies represent agendas and have implications for groups within society, including policies implemented in the past that we live under today. To different perspectives, any given policy will have different upsides and downsides. Moving forward is about finding balance, consensus, or compromise among these perspectives.

Applying a simple label like “woke” is an invitation to ignore this complexity in favor of binary (“is this woke or not”) or linear (“how woke is this”) modes of thought. It’s also an invitation to prejudge the merit based on a sense of whether an idea comes from inside or outside the tribe.

It’s like trying to troubleshoot a space station by focusing on whether solutions seem “cool” or not.
Yes.

But, privacy is not just important against (traditional) tyranny of the state.

Maybe change the image to be a bathroom to get the mesage across.
It's a different origin.
You can't have this bug in WUFFS. The WUFFS compiler will point out that it can't see any reason to believe the expression won't overflow, and any possibility of overflow is illegal in WUFFS, so your program is invalid and won't compile. So you need to write code which can't overflow.

Of course WUFFS is deliberately constrained to a simple world and thus utterly unsuitable for writing an operating system kernel. However, the principles do apply, the authors of this code didn't want overflow to be possible, they just didn't have a way to express that to their compiler.

In Rust it is at least easier to express that you don't want overflow:

let x = size.checked_add(len).unwrap().checked_add(2).unwrap();

if (x > PAGE_SIZE) { ...

The above code will panic (regardless of build parameters) if adding size + len + 2 overflows. If you don't want a panic, you can write some unwrap_or_else() code to pick some preferred value when overflow occurs, or you can handle the None result (which is what checked_add gives you for overflow) explicitly.

However, perhaps it should be possible to express at compile time that you want an expression which can't overflow at runtime, as in WUFFS.
> Your mobile banking app uses E2EE; online chats with HMRC are protected through E2EE; you'd no more have an unsecured web chat with the taxman's helpdesk than read out your P60 in the middle of a shopping centre.

The Register is only showing an example of #3, but leaves #1 and #2 unaddressed:

1. Your Identity (who everyone is)

2. Your Conversations (with whom, when)

3. Your Content (what was said)

Does the UK government have the ability to identify #1 and #2 for E2EE connections, and they desire #3 (content)?

Is the UK government only able to identify #2, and they desire #1 (identities) and #3 (content)? If so, which is more important to them: Identity, or Content?

I suspect they are much more desperate for Identity and Connections, than they necessarily are for Content, and that their attempt to overreach and backdoor all encryption could be shutdown by offering them #1 and #2 but not #3.

This is obviously unpalatable to consider to "perfect anonymity is the only way" adherents, but it's probably time to consider discussing it, when the alternative is a government backdooring or banning all encryption. It's too bad The Register didn't take that chance, but we could at any time.
The GitLab Handbook is a great start. They have an awesome guide to remote work: https://about.gitlab.com/company/culture/all-remote/guide/

Strong written communication is a given, but they have some good advice here: https://about.gitlab.com/company/culture/all-remote/effectiv...

If you aren't familiar, Loom (https://www.loom.com/) is a great tool for screen recordings and narrations to explain things asynchronously without having to book time with someone else. Particularly useful if you have a distributed team across the world. And also neat that it can be indexed like a document if someone has a similar query in the future, they can find this video instead of having to message you.
Ask HN: Failing Certifications
4 years ago I failed the Comptia Network+ twice, then gave up. Now, this past two months I've failed the AZ-900 Azure Fundamentals twice. I feel I study alot and really understand the material. I just cant pass these certifications. It really gets me down and demotivates me from studying more. Anyone else stuggle with these and how did you overcome this?
This could be WeWork's saving throw.
That's wonderful! I was going to ask.
Rich was discussed 5 days ago: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=29945848
I’d use CVS, it’s old but very well tested, it’s easy to use, and you can avoid dollar-sucking platforms and services easily with it.
I don't know if I'd call it beautiful or desirable over a world where we live forever and develop robust mechanisms to ensure our perspectives are forced to change and adapt instead of calcifying and power cannot entrench itself, but I agree that I can appreciate the fact that although people like Dr. Cox and Hans Rosling die, so do tyrants and those irrationally stubborn
> But even with all the immigration, currently there are still near one child fertility rates.

Is it matter while enough immigrants coming?
Getting vaccinated and moving on with life.
Onchain metadata, the ERC721Metadata standard allows key value pairs associated with the NFT, this is where well the hyperlink to the jpeg is stored. These further allow non-fungible properties to the individual token, and where the rarity is derived (eg: hat: red, which 5/10k tokens have).
Use the bottom right icon on the “now playing screen” to go back on your played history
Just make sure to buy one that doesn't "helpfully" connect to nearby passwordless Wi-Fi networks.
> Those that choose not to will have a higher risk of death, due to a decision they made.

This makes it sound like you think the consequences of their actions are limited to them; if that were true, then I think the debate would be a lot less interesting.

I for one don't believe that the decision only affects the individual in this case.
> but did not run into the "fundamental" laws of physics

Those "fundamental" laws of physics didn't exist several centuries ago.
You can only ever fetch 1MB of data at a time though, even when using the more efficient query method (as opposed to scan). If your individual entities are not very tiny, it is hard to get for instance 2M items back in a reasonable amount of time.
A company with a few people vs. a company with a lot of people are two different beasts. If things are not rigidly defined, it can be a lot more effective for people to be around each other, especially in the phase of spontaneous brainstorming or kitchen conversation or happy hour drinks. Most new companies aren’t hiring super experienced engineers to grind out a high risk venture, and maybe those are the people least affected by remote. Much harder to train or onboard someone who’s remote if you’re starting from 0.

Maturity is correlated with age, but age isn’t as strongly correlated with talent. Just because a team is just as capable working remotely doesn’t mean they’re as generally capable as a different team that’s more effective in person.

How do you reach the same level of effectiveness teaching or debugging math problems on a whiteboard without investing a lot of time asynchronously?
I don’t think that describes America at all. America would have among the safest and best police by world standards. I recently visited Bangladesh, and the police there were recently involved in a shooting - however, they weren’t able to respond, as the local police had sold all their bullets.

In a country the size of America, it’s not hard to find examples of when it goes wrong, which the media then inflate in order to incite racial tensions to increase their ratings.
Facebook has already admitted in court (John Stossel’s lawsuit) that their fact checkers aren’t fact checks but rather opinions. It is time to de-platform Facebook.
It does shed a light on how arbitrary and ridiculous tariffs can be. I can't imagine the amount of resources wasted on enforcing, complying with and avoiding tariffs. There aren't many consensus in economics but getting rid of tariffs is one and here we are in 2022.
I get why remote work is popular, and for some tasks/jobs I think it can work well. However, I think in-person interaction is critical for breaking new ground, starting new initiatives, etc. So far, nothing replaces being in the same room hashing out ideas on the whiteboard, etc.
That’s pretty much the entire economy.
Honestly. So what. Human beings have lived with alcohol during all of civilization. If it’s bad for me…so be it. Not rationalizing or endorsing just saying maybe a little recklessness is bad for the individual and good for the species.
Complete tangent (because I didn't recognize those lyrics so clicked your link and see their from a 2004 album):

Beastie boys up to and including Ill Communication were one of the best bands of the modern era, both in terms of having good music and in defining new genres of music. Paul's Boutique is one of the top 5 albums of the 20th century I'd argue.

And then they really became boring. Everything was just a lame copy of some previous success. Intergalactic, etc, just completely uninteresting.

Maybe that happens to all bands.
University of Michigan Will Pay $490M to Settle Abuse Cases
"overzealous municipal bylaw officer" isn't exactly some sort of mass oppression. I'm pretty sure bylaw officers writing dumb tickets existed before covid.
I don’t believe I claimed the price was unchanged.
Not affiliated but onboarded with Deel and it was truly a breeze... on the contractor side.
They don't need to manage payroll in another country. Everybody working overseas does so as a contractor which means it's just another expense for the employer.
From the submitted link:

> Shares of Netflix fell as much as 20% to $406.12 in after-hours trading [...].

> Netflix added just 18.2 million customers in 2021, down about 50% from the record year before.

See additionally:

https://ir.netflix.net/investor-news-and-events/investor-eve...
Not in the least.

Look at crime statistics versus how safe people feel. People say “crime is worse than 20 years ago” when the murder rate is 1/5th.

Perception =\= reality.
direct indexing helps with this as well --- own thousands of individual stocks that collectively act as an index, and trade in some losers for their similar competitors every time you have to realize gains

But it's not exactly the case you could pull this off with, say, Tesla, unless there's some ETF that's 99% TSLA (is there?)
Silicon Valley’s New Obsession: Science Funding
The "material you" redesign is just such a ridiculous waste of space, too. They changed all the things that worked just fine. But I guess a feature-complete operating system must still receive a major update every time the planet completes a lap around its star because the marketing department said so?

https://mastodon.social/@grishka/107327145271362804

Google seems to LOVE taking a working, great product everyone enjoys, and mutilating it to make everyone miserable. There are many examples. And I know at least one person who updated their phone to android 12 and found it so off-putting they downgraded back to 11 (thankfully you can do that). I just stay on 11 to begin with.
I remember that song from 2008. I'm still very bitter about it.

Fine, be too big to fail. But why do they get treated any differently than a small bank in Kansas that gets upside-down and needs the FDIC to roll in and take it over?

As far as I'm concerned, too big to fail means nationalized and broken up until they are small enough to not pose a threat to the entire economy. When nationalized because they are on the brink of failure, investors get shoved to the back of the line after all other claimants and wiped out.

I mean, this model has served capitalism well for eons. Why are the self-proclaimed captains of capitalism, Wall Street, the ones who get a free pass to stay in business?

Now I'm all angry again.
The Libor scandal ripped off just about every person who held any kind of debt. And yet it's STILL barely known. When I got my mortgage I asked my banker agent what she thought about it. She had no clue what Libor was, let alone the scandal.
It comes from their full comorbidity tracking dataset: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/health_policy/covid19-comorbid...

Some of these aren't common comorbidities, but they nonetheless factor in to the "died with N comorbidities" averages
Graeber has a fresh take on Hobbes in his Dawn of Everything

https://www.nytimes.com/2021/10/31/arts/dawn-of-everything-g...
Like Uber but for WeWork
Odd statement. It is on par that all your bank statement should be public and easily viewable. It is on par saying that people do need digital privacy at all, as they have nothing to hide. And those are trying to hide are really 'bad people'.
Monero/Zcash/Dash/Firo/etc are used by legitimate users to hide their transactions from public blockchain.
B-b-but the update notification says it offers new customization options?....

/s
Policymakers have been talking to donors and people that influence their decisions with money, since that is the biggest risk to them in all this. We're supposed to believe that relief checks sent out when COVID numbers were actually lower, but conveniently around elections was about helping people. When elections come up again we'll be hearing about relief checks again. If this was about helping people they would have been sending out masks and had tests kits long ago, and relief wouldn't have stopped.