skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
This is a great book.

However, I really hate the "Golem of Prague" introduction. It presents an oversimplified caricature of modern frequentist methods, and is therefore rather misleading about the benefits of Bayesian modeling. Moreover, most practicing statisticians don't really view these points of view as incompatible. Compare to the treatment in Gelman et al.'s Bayesian Data Analysis. There are p-values all over the place.

Most importantly, this critique fails on basic philosophical grounds. Suppose you give me a statistical problem, and I produce a Bayesian solution that, upon further examination with simulations, gives the wrong answer 90% of time on identical problems. If you think there's something wrong with that, then congratulations, you're a "frequentist," or at least believe there's some important insight about statistics that's not captured by doing everything in a rote Bayesian way. (And if you don't think there's something wrong with that, I'd love to hear why.)

Also, this isn't a purely academic thought experiment. There are real examples of Bayesian estimators, for concrete and practical problems such as clustering, that give the wrong estimates for parameters with high probability (even as the sample size grows arbitrarily large).
NetHack's strong side is the early to mid game where you are limited in resources. Not dying by using all the resources that are available to you in the numerous ways that the game supports.

That's why self-imposed limitations (so called conducts) like never use wishes or prayers are popular with advanced players.
> Legislation won’t reduce the use of encryption by criminals and terrorists

Hmm, I used to think this, but now? Now I think most people are bad at tech and security. No reason to expect the average criminal would be better.

Of course, trivial for us to make it, or hide it in something that looks unrelated. And I expect serious organised crime to be able to afford a developer with no morals.

But normal crime? It probably will make a difference.
No one asked to make a false dichotomy to how awful capitalism is, yet that's the only defense you could muster.
During the pandemic I've been avoiding "dark" shows and movies, just for my own mental health. SG-1 is a great rewatch because it is light and optimistic.
I was 19 and watched absolutely zero cable or network news in 1997. I have been learning of events from that time that I had no idea occurred or where on the news. I had a life, and therefore no time to watch anything. Sort of like these days. I watch PBS News Hour a few times a week to keep up. Even that's a chore.
Really? FOSS software very often has the same problems in this regard that Microsoft does. Almost every time I have an issue with something I will find it already in their bug tracker, several years old, at best ignored and at worst closed by the stale bot.

In my estimation it is roughly the same as it is with Microsoft: if it doesn't directly affect a developer's workflow it will not be fixed and they're annoyed you even brought it up.

The big difference of course being that Microsoft expects you to pay money for this treatment.
I've read this book and taken this course twice, and it is easily one of the best learning experiences I've ever had. Statistics is a fascinating subject and Richard helps bring it alive. I had studied lots of classical statistics texts, but didn't quite "get" Bayesian statistics until I took Richard's course.

Even if you aren't a data scientist or a statistician (I'm an infrastructure/software engineer, but I've dabbled as the "data person" in different startups), learning basic statistics will open your eyes to how easy it is to misinterpret data. My favorite part of this course, besides helping me understand Bayesian statistics, is the few chapters on causal relationships. I use that knowledge quite often at work and in my day-to-day life when reading the news; instead of crying "correlation is not causation!", you are armed with a more nuanced understanding of confounding variables, post-treatment bias, collider bias, etc.

Lastly, don't be turned off by the use of R in this book. R is the programming language of statistics, and is quite easy to learn if you are already a software engineer and know a scripting language. It really is a powerful domain specific language for statistics, if not for the language then for all of the statisticians that have contributed to it.
They cite someone saying "There aren’t influencers on Tumblr the way there are on Instagram and TikTok, and the experience for all users might be more pleasant as a result. " they just don't dig further into it.
Yeah, seriously! Besides my own personal productivity, I also noticed in college that the amount of sleep my dormmates got correlated well with academic success, moreso than class attendance did. Of course it could be that those who struggled just had to stay up later, but I'm pretty convinced there was a terrible feedback loop in play.
Create: Above and Beyond (Minecraft Modpack)
Businesses will often invest in their own roads. The issue is the town over expanded and then their base shrank. Unfortunately, you have to cut items — roads to dead businesses are the easiest way.

If manufacturing comes back they will often invest in their own roads anyway. City can then cut a deal to rebuild and maintain roads with company splitting cost
> Their #1 goal is saving people's lives, not messing with IT issues

Technically, profit tends to be the #1 goal, at least in the US. Consequentially, this also drives a lack of investment in cybersecurity. Also, US hospitals have some of the most opaque pricing and billing processes of any industry that I can think of, which makes it much easier for them to recoup losses from patients that can't pay by shifting those costs onto the insurance provider and other patients who can pay. This is one of the reasons why basic things like bandages cost so much in an ER. Despite efforts to bring transparency to medical billing, hospitals are still resisting the push to publish pricing and explain their business models in more detail. We've become so culturally desensitized to the state of US healthcare that we're now just defending it as "we really can't expect hospitals to do any better than they are right now", and that kind of apathy really scares me.

As the healthcare sector continues to be consumed by private equity, I don't expect to see the situation to improve. Again, it's all about profit, saving lives is secondary.
yes, i see your point.

interaction of different system at the object level has been done before though and i think that is an area that could use more research and evolution to become usable.
Sure you do, the only feasible way to make a mars colony work is one-way trips of people / supplies once every nine months, when the earth/mars orbits align best for interplanetary travel.
My comment was already "flagged" and hidden from public view, questioning "climate change" is too controversial for "hackers" ... oh, my sides.
> assistant researcher, case No. 16,816, had contracted COVID

Not sure which infection this is, but it doesn't seem to be the initial outbreak. Would've been fun if Taiwan blew the whistle on Wuhan.
>Because gender is a made up thing informed by social norms. Not all societies abide the gender binary.

If you find fringe examples, and force it enough, yes. Because, thousands of years of global civilization are invalidated because of what this or that tribe does.
Strange, I've managed to do all of that without being needlessly cynical.
> when October 14, 2025 is around the corner, when official support for Windows 10 is supposed to end.

That's the Enterprise LTSC EOL for 1507. Seems unlikely you're running that unless you're a big enterprise?

Regular GAC 21H2 will last you only until June 13, 2023.
> Features that only work if you have really tight integration ... Programs updating file name when you rename from the file manager ... Even systems like MacOS are going to struggle

MacOS has actually had this one in the bag for a couple of decades now (likely due to their really tight integration).
Oh hey, it's the event that made me leave reddit:) Yeah, I'm not sure why that didn't prompt a mass exodus. One thing that I've discovered by talking to people in real life is that apparently a lot of people just don't know that it happened.
Exactly the opposite is true. Options are easy to understand and they have unlimited upside.
How human are you?
If anyone needs to generate cryptographically safe passwords that are easy to remember, I recommend this cool app that runs on dice:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Diceware
I was going to comment on this as well, I could never tell if the "out takes" from that episode with the actor arguing if "Wormhole XTream" was a real series or not, was really real, or scripted! I found that to be sublimely hilarious.
I wouldn't try it until there is an LTSC build.

That's when you know a Windows release is actually done.
I had no clue about how popular toy review channels were. I hope there is some demographics info about these channels.
This is bollocks, GCHQ get on fine with metadata and most CSAM is back-doored anyway, it is literally "think of the children" claptrap. It's just another power grab, we already have some of the worst privacy laws in the world in the UK.
Nintendo is notoriously litigious and hyper-sensitive to IP infringement. It's a real shame considering the cultural impact their games have had.
I am a ham.

This is a nice, very educational project that a couple of kids could use to communicate between their adjacent bedrooms at night.

It probably provides less rf than a typical noisy LED lightbulb power supply.

The instructions show how to set the frequency between any local AM stations.

If you are worried about neighborhood rfi, listen for it on your AM car radio in the drive and cut back on the length of the one meter antenna until you can’t hear it.

Also, notice how loud the radio frequency interference (RFI) actually is between stations, due to power lines, passing vehicles, LED and fluorescent lighting, many other sources due to modern technology, and lightning and other atmospheric effects. [0]

If someone completes this project, they are more than ready to get a copy of the ARRL General class license manual and go for their ticket. Communicate worldwide with Morse (hams usually call it CW, for “continuous wave”)![1]

[0] https://www.ecfr.gov/current/title-47/chapter-I/subchapter-A...

[1] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/QRP_operation
> For healthy kids and young people, it is absolutely counterproductive to inject them. It will cause more hospitalizations through side effects than they will prevent.

Wrong. There have been documented side effects of vaccines, notably myocarditis, and even a few deaths that are the direct result of vaccination. But there are thousands of covid deaths of people in their 20s, and hundreds of kids too, a sizable proportion of them healthy. Because we are talking about one-in-a-million chances, maybe vaccinating kids is not worth it, maybe we should put our time and money elsewhere, but the benefit-risk ratio is definitely on the side of vaccination.

> What's more, there is now mounting evidence that omicron favors people who have gotten jabbed.

It is true that when you look at some country data, you see that the incidence rate for people who are fully vaccinated but not boosted is much higher than those who are vaccinated. You can make the effect disappear by looking closely (Simpson's paradox) but it still merits proper study. But for now, there is no evidence that omicron favors people who have gotten jabbed. At worst, without a booster, some vaccines are ineffective against mild omicron, that one seems to be confirmed.

> it is now also clear that these shots could have never created herd immunity

10/10 hindsight

> because an intramuscular shot does not create an immune response in the mucus membranes

[Citation Needed] Almost all of our vaccines are an intramuscular shot, including ones that were successful at eradicating diseases. If it wasn't an effective route of administration, I think we would have known by now.

> All of this is easy to find if you just bother to actually look around.

Yes, it is super easy to find crackpot websites. "Proofs" that the earth is flat are easy to find too. So if you think you have better sources, please share. By "looking around" for the most reliable sources, things are clear: omicron is pretty good at escaping vaccine protection, but the benefit/risk ratio is still overwhelmingly in favor of vaccines.

> cover up the failed promises of shitty politicians, shitty scientists, and their hysterical fans

Politicians are politicians. But the shitty scientists here are the ones who promote treatments after many studies proved their ineffectiveness (hydroxychloroquine, ivermectin,...) instead of solutions that work (vaccines). Looking for alternative treatment, unorthodox solutions and challenging established practices is good, but disregarding further scientific evidence is not. And scientists don't promise things, they make studies base on current data, and draw conclusions, if the data change, their conclusions will too, it is not called failed promises, it is called doing proper science.
It's been done: https://www.w3.org/TR/2000/NOTE-xexpr-20001121/
Microsoft Observed Destructive Malware in Ukraine Government Agencey Systems
One of the very first studies posted to the CDC website about mask efficacy, "Absence of Apparent Transmission of SARS-CoV-2 from Two Stylists After Exposure at a Hair Salon with a Universal Face Covering Policy — Springfield, Missouri, May 2020," appeared to indicate masks were overwhelmingly effective. The success of this study has not been replicated to my knowledge.

https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/mm6928e2.htm

> Among 139 clients exposed to two symptomatic hair stylists with confirmed COVID-19 while both the stylists and the clients wore face masks, no symptomatic secondary cases were reported; among 67 clients tested for SARS-CoV-2, all test results were negative. Adherence to the community’s and company’s face-covering policy likely mitigated spread of SARS-CoV-2.
To each their own I guess. But from another thread today, I'd much rather read https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=29955514 than https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=29955106

I guess there's no accounting for taste.

(Or, perhaps meta:

I'd much rather read [1] than [2]. Too much bouncing around; I'm not even sure if it's worse when the text is large compared to the research paper citations, or small.

[1] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=29955514

[2] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=29955106
)
It's possible that the city is currently in equilibrium between tax rate and quality of roads. You can check the road that it getting fixed on and it's ok [1]. There are potholes here and there but otherwise it's perfectly drivable. There are roads of similar quality in much wealthier places in Bay Area. It's possible that reaction from poor people in town to increased taxes for roads will be - why? it's ok as is now.

I also checked a few random streets in the town and pavement is actually pretty good with few if any potholes. Random street as a point [2]

[1] https://www.google.com/maps/@40.9371624,-90.3942909,3a,75y,2...

[2] https://www.google.com/maps/@40.93875,-90.3599034,3a,75y,346...
Doesn't checking the city's budget do the same thing? The only thing that site would add is multiply the budget amounts by your tax bill.
I'm full vaccinated and boosted. This week my antigen test is positive. I had some flu symptoms (fever, pain in my body, coughing) but nothing really hard. I'm still not 100%, but I'm fine. I'm 40 years old, on my weight and do regular sports (5x week). I dont smoke neither drink. Got it probably in the fitness studio. I will stay at home until my test is negative. I have 0 incentive to go to the hospital do a PCR test and be officially forced in a 2 weeks isolation.
We need Windows because we need apps (and in some cases drivers, which was more of a problem in the past) only available for Windows. I generally use 100% Linux for years but return to Windows every some years as I occasionally need Visual Studio (not VS Code) and occasionally feel like I'd like to play some games and don't have time for Wine hacking. Some times I also have to process huge amounts of data on NTFS drives and Linux NTFS driver is not nearly as fast as the original.

Every newer version of Windows usually introduces a number of changes (in many aspects, including the UI) people don't want.

Every new version of Windows and some of its early updates usually introduce a lot of bugs so we "always wait for a service pack" (now as there are no service packs this means just wait a couple of years) for the new Windows version to become acceptably reliable.
We've already had Brexit and Prime Minister Boris. How much more failed would you like the UK to become? We don't have the weather for literally being mad max...
I found the following excerpt more interesting:

>>>YouTube trends expert Chris Stokel-Walker said this year's list is interesting because it shows "how stale" YouTube has become. "It strikes me how white and male this whole list is," he said.

Never waste an opportunity to increase engagement through division and polarization!!
The meaning of life is that which is assigned by the one living it. Liberating once you realize that no one has any answers for you. Like He-Man said, "I have the power."
If it's not a dead-end street, the idea of charging different houses different amounts makes even less sense, because the resident of the first house might drive past the 100th house just as often as the resident of the 100th house drives past the first house.
What I said is about the limit of my knowledge unfortunately.

However here’s the paper from the University of Sidney that goes into much greater detail.

pdf warning
https://arxiv.org/pdf/1202.5708v1.pdf

From the paper:

> These results suggest that any ship using an Alcu- bierre warp drive carrying people would need shielding to protect them from potential dangerously blueshifted particles during the journey, and any people at the des- tination would be gamma ray and high energy particle blasted into oblivion due to the extreme blueshifts for P+ region particles.
Not denying that there's a HUGE bubble in it with hustlers and suckers.

That there's a link between how irrefutable the ledger is and the energy cost/how distributed the miners are is what I find quite interesting. It's not quite E=mc^2, but it feels like it's getting there.
Thanks..but don't just "word it differently"—don't word it at all. Instead, if you believe some comments are astroturfing, please write to HN with the specific details, as (hopefully) no-one here wants that, but only the mod(s) can and will do something about it.
Yes, crows use poke, dig, find, free, head, tail, touch, more, mount, make. And if they don’t like you, they use kill. Sometimes even killall.

crows are unable to use git, but then even I was unable to use git right after onboarding.
> If you think there's something wrong with that, then congratulations, you're a "frequentist".

And more than that - if you use bootstrap, or do cross-validation, you are being a frequentist.
I personally do not like the new shell for a multitude of reasons. Taskbar feature restrictions (I use labels and no grouping), I don’t like the new start menu, I don’t like the new menu look, …. I’m sure there were other things I forgot again. I grew up using Windows 3.1+. Only these days it’s looking less and less like Windows. I dread the day I’ll have to upgrade my parents’ devices. They will not be able to adapt.

Still, there are reasons to upgrade: Stronger security (maybe), much-improved Settings app. Better WSL 2. Most new development will be for 11.

I’m working at a Microsoft dev shop, so I’ll be forced to use it sooner or later anyway.
I know this isn't the conventional place for non-technical posts, but I figured my skills could be helpful to companies here in a non-technical capacity. Right now I'm a records specialist at a small company where I manage staff and client records as well as coordinate volunteers to help generate leads. Before that I worked at a historical society where I did things like facebook marketing, gave guided tours, wrote and sent out press releases, and brought in donations from local businesses for fundraising events.

Location: New Holstein, Wisconsin, USA
Remote: Yes
Willing to relocate: No
Technologies: Teams, Microsoft Suite, Facebook Marketing
Resume/CV: https://www.linkedin.com/in/erinleverenz721/, can provide a more detailed resume upon request
Email: <Linkedin name>@gmail.com
I believe pgrote is specifically referring to the Kronos hack being one month ongoing.
Why don’t all critical applications at the very least not have immutable backups to a different account. This is easy to do in AWS. Ideally, these apps would also have better security posture, but doing this alone would go a long way. On my product, backup lambdas only have write access to our other account for backups. We’re backing up dynamodb and s3 continuously.
FYI...we have lots of serial killers and death cults. Something is wrong.
> Technically, profit tends to be the #1 goal, at least in the US. Consequentially, this also drives a lack of investment in cybersecurity.

UK's hospitals fare no better in terms of cybersecurity. This is about the culture of nursing / doctors / hospital administrators, which is largely shared between USA and UK.

This isn't a systemic issue that is solved by nationalizing health care like UK did.

USA health care system, culturally, is about saving lives. Whether our system matches it is another story. But the underlying people largely do the right thing.

------

I think the systemic issues regarding health care / infrastructure / investments are wholly independent of this cybersecurity issue.
Does Explorer Patcher also allow taskbar on the side of the screen, or is it permanently stuck on the bottom?
An analogy between thermodynamics and economics
The Raspberry Pi Compute Module 4 Review (2020)
No, stick to windows 10, windows11 doesn't add anything new, doesn't improve performance, adds more bloat to your base install

https://www.techspot.com/article/2349-windows-11-performance...

Seriously, need random people to make choice for you?
Money is fungible so it doesn't really make sense to ask where your specific dollars went. But in most if not all places in the US you can see the city or town budget and see where money came from and went in general. (It's mostly to schools in the majority of places with the per student expenditure actually often higher in more urban populations.)
None of that is remotely true. Please stop spreading misinformation.
Depends where in Europe. In Norway or Switzerland that would be low. In Croatia or Italy that would be high.
Agrigulture and federally funded/entitled raikroads built the patchwork of dmall towns in the early/mid 1800s. Starting in the 1940s those things began disappearing.

New homeowners are either local kids or retired people bringing their retirement money to lower cost of living areas.
> If 93% of all claims are accepted outright, then the notion that workers comp lawyers exist means there's always, often, or usually a fight ... is false.

True, but I didn't claim that.

I did state that the claim you made that “workers comp ... always gets paid without a fight” is false, which it is, and your stats show that clearly.
1303789 (the wierdest flex).

It's wild that that number is wedged so deeply into my brain, like a lot of things that were on my mind as a teenager. Makes me want to make sure my kids are doing something worthwhile when they're that age (which I know is futile of course).