skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Of course 64% of us believe that. It's blatantly obvious. A coup was attempted. The perpetrators walk free and are obviously planning a repeat performance. The weak response from the US federal government shows just how deep the corruption goes. We can't even muster a proper response TO A COUP ATTEMPT.

None of what the Congress does helps the American people anymore. I honestly believe many are, like myself, sitting back, watching the world burn around us, while idiots squabble over vaccines and masks.

We're like a deer, frozen in headlights, watching the oncoming truck that's about to kill us, unable to move.
The website I feel needs a bit of polish. All this work for what sounds like a pretty cool game but a complete lack of detail on putting download information front and center. It's buried either under a menu or down at the bottom of the page. Even then it is split between "downloads" and "demo 401".

I really don't want to download that huge demo to figure out my system doesn't even support running it for example.
Commercial capacity is free. There are no subsidies for building gas turbines. If they want to build more, gambling that they'll be used when the winds are calm and the skies are dark, they're welcome to try to get investment for that.

Looking at the cost of wholesale electricity supply (rather than the price households pay for "units" of electricity) I do not see your "up on average" for introducing "cheap unreliable power".

https://www.ofgem.gov.uk/energy-data-and-research/data-porta...

Ofgem says in June 2010 wholesale electricity cost £42.18 per MWh. By June 2015 that was £41.66 and by June 2020 it was... £28.42

However a year later in June 2021 it was £79.85. Now, what happened between June 2020 and June 2021 ? Did we install a lot more solar panels, build a huge wind farm? No, Vladimir Putin began squeezing Europe's supply of natural gas.

Ofgem even has a gas price chart next to the electricity charts so you can see this obvious correlation.

Gas prices went up, and they're going to stay up unless you think Putin is suddenly going to decide he's happy for Ukraine to join NATO and put American troops on his border.

If you need natural gas for its chemical properties this just sucks, too bad. But many more of us are using it for heating or electricity and those are things we can move away from gas, insulating ourselves from this problem and helping to fight global warming.
Then it doesn't have the same quality as a UUID which is supposedly guaranteed to be unique across space _and_ time[1].

[1] https://datatracker.ietf.org/doc/html/rfc4122
I'm all for /events and appreciate the platforms with good support. However, we live in a world where people build event-driven and serverless architecture. The use cases go beyond replication, and webhooks are here to stay.

The thing is, you can get the best of both worlds by using webhooks in conjunction with /events reconciliation. That might seem like a lot of work, but that's what tooling is for. Webhooks are complicated to handle reliably, but it's a problem that has good tools the same way sequin (and many others) is helping developers solve the replication problem.

For webhooks, hookdeck.com (disclaimer, I'm the founder) address entirely the problems stated and will soon offer automatic reconciliation (currently running our polling Beta on with Shopify API)
Only 10% of the population can be in the top 10% of wealth at any time.

What's more important for the majority is how good life is at the bottom half than the top. You're far more likely to get knocked into the bottom 10%, and especially the bottom 50%, than get into the top 10%.
Is it REALLY possible for a media player to be "bloated" to the point that it matters (for playing music), when even the cheapest new PC has 8GB of RAM, 4 cores, and an SSD?
It's not easy for anyone to consider it. But it's a fact of life. Still, it's not something we should train ourselves for. When it comes, it comes, and you'll be equipped to deal with it.
Then you've not heard what blockchain apologists say on the issue: That they are stimulating demand, and speeding up the development of renewals.

Which is like keeping your tap water running into the sewers at full blast 24/7 and saying you're stimulating the desalination industry.

Also sounds like Zorn in Fifth Element, when he's talking about the benefits of destruction. When your argument sounds like one made by a fictional over the top Hitler-inspired absolute evil character, then maybe you should reassess your life choices.
I have a feeling it's more broadly true that centralization is an emergent property of networks. Webs 3 -> n are no exception.
>If it's random, then you have no recourse but to post-hoc description. There is -no- predictive weight.

Well, a "post-hoc description" of empirical observations is how we make predictions. We gather cases (and their probabilities) post hoc, and predict future results based on that.

Why shouldn't it be applied in this case, especially when here not only we can calculate the probabilities post-hoc, but even use probability to pre-calculate those post-hoc probabilities for every series of streaks?

>The only way you can reasonably expect the past streak to have an impact on the next spin

Regression to the mean is a reason to expect past streaks to have an impact on future spins. Doesn't have to be some force that specifically affects the individual next spin, but it's a probability that affects (and moves toward the mean) the outcome of next spins.

Intuitively speaking, why shouldn't the gambler use it?

If they shouldn't, "because spins are independent" seems too hollow as an answer, because we have independent spins but also a statistical property for their aggregation.

I guess we could test it empirically: in a fair sequence of coin tosses, would a gambler always betting on tails after seeing N (for e.g. N > 4) consequtive heads have an advantage, over one always betting randomly on the same N+1 toss?

But regardless of that, my point is that intuitively is quite justified, and the explanations why it's not seem more hand-wavy.

>Try this on: What is the "mean" red-black on the roulette wheel? There isn't one.

Well, (ignoring non red-black case), there's not a mean value, but for the distribution there's an expected long term tendency of a balanced red and black outcomes.

>... And editing your comment to refer to groups of throws is disingenuous. It would have been more honest to modify your case in a reply.

I didn't modify my case, I expressed it more clearly. What exactly was disingenuous? I more often than not post a quick comment (HN habbit, as sometimes old edit forms expire), and then re-read it and quickly improve it as I re-read it, find typos, better wording, etc. Didn't even think anybody would read it and answer in the time it took me to refine it.

And, how about it, you can always answer to my final, improved, formulation. Does it have any historical interest if you answer to a worse worded case?
I think the idea is that you need to stagger the bus trips (so once bus can service 2-3 schools a day). And the high school students should be last since many families rely on older children to watch younger children in the morning.
Would be nice if they can offer a managed version in the near future
John Deere will start selling autonomous tractors later this year
I agree, covid is here to stay, and it's rather unlikely that anybody of us can avoid contracting it at some point. Right now, we're buying time with measures, time we need to understand more about covid and it's secondary effects and how to treat or avoid these.

Flatten the curve is still a thing, and hospitals are still under stress. While the fatality rate is lower, hospital care and especially ICU care is still running on fumes, largely thanks to a lack of health care workers, especially ICU trained nursing staff, at least here in Germany, and of course thanks to a higher infection rates which counteract the reduction of severe cases thanks to vaccines; we used to have more severe cases in fewer total infections but now we have fewer severe cases in more infections, which almost balances out at the moment here.
> It is estimated that 70% of wealthy families will lose their wealth by the second generation and 90% will lose it by the third.

As far as I can tell this is the only number in the article, and it is “estimated“. Who knows, maybe it is even true, but you should at least average it with my estimate of rolls 10 dice 47. Percent, I guess.
Of course, this was all key to the crew of the Enterprise escaping the evil clutches of Harry Mudd.
Well, C plus assembler, or maybe non-standard machine-specific intrinsics, for the ones I know. They at least seem to need control over prefetching.
I've seen at least one FOSS project chasing engagement even with little to no financial incentive.

Notoriety and "number go up" is enough incentive sometimes.
You don't need an original art work to enjoy the art either. You can print out photorealistic copies. You can buy a fake Rembrandt. You can buy a fake Gucci purse. It's perfectly okay to do that...however...

What you lose is a direct connection to the original artist. Art is as much about the story of that artwork as it is the art itself.

If an artist mints an NFT and that NFT has has provenance that's generally accepted by the community at large, then it has all the properties of an original physical artwork. Except that you can be more sure of its origin, because the blockchain history is immutable and you can trace the transactions back to the original creator.

Music NFTs have been created, although they are certainly still nascent, it's possible to create an MP3-based NFT that has the same or better quality as a CD album. One could imagine NFT albums being minted just like CD and record albums of yore. One could imagine people collecting the NFTs just for the sake of actually owning the rights to backup and play that music without having to stream through Spotify or YouTube. One could imagine the user retaining the right to resell that album just like they had the right to resell a used CD back in the day.

I already gave many examples above about how NFTs can be used beyond the basic use-case of attaching a JPEG (access to services, access to software, use in cross-game or cross-app experiences, etc).

Some people are collecting them as Proofs of Attendance (POAPS), which are free NFTs used as badges. They're quite popular and fun to collect. I do so for the pure enjoyment of them. Sometimes the badges above are used for things like giveaways. If I want to reward loyal community members, I can issue a POAP for attending a particular video chat, and then give out random rewards to anyone holding one of my community's POAPs. That's cool, and fun. I've been in communities where we create our own POAPs as funny shared inside jokes.
I eventually realised that Emacs Lisp ideally assumes you have knowledge of Common Lisp, so I read PCL and now I feel like I can actually write Elisp and know what's going on
other countries such as 3rd world countries started school early, seem they aren't stupider than US kids, quite the contrary....
Well, for one, I don't understand it either, why Merkel didn't see the change through. It was, however, started by the red-green government before Merkel. They set up the system which guaranteed a price for any renewable energy producted (initiall very high, decreasing for later installations).

The production did indeed skyrocket, with the peak of over 50% renewable power in 2020. But in the last 3 years the built-up of new wind generators has stalled. Hitting a peak of 5GW/year in 2017, it went down to below 1 in 2019. This was due to several changes by the government. On the one side they replaced the flat fee which was paid for electricity produced to a complex auction schema, on the other side there were more and more restrictions about where one could build wind generators. Also the amound of solar power was even capped. It seems that the situation has improved somewhat, the build-up of renewables was a bit higher in 2020 than in 2019, but hasn't reached the past peaks again yet.
In some cases equity and share grants could muddy the waters a bit there (salary isn't everything), but yep, I think that if salary transparency commenced, then total compensation transparency would likely follow shortly afterwards.

There's a meme I've heard that it's difficult for some people to discover that their salaries are lower than their peers. I can understand that, but equally I don't totally understand it as an argument for continuing to pay people less. (it might not be the strongest argument against, it's probably worth finding others too)
I sometimes explicitly create a log of the before and after state of mind. Before rowing: “I feel fine, but pretty lazy and stressed about XYZ” after rowing: “Struggled through and got a big endorphin rush toward the end, feeling good and much less stressed.”

Seeing fitness progress graphs helps as well (heart rate vs power output etc). I know for me personally monitoring my resting heart rate made a strong argument against pretty much any alcohol consumption.
> Plenty of people want and use what crypto already offers.

You're saying a statistically significant number of people want all three branches of government to be completely stripped of any power? No criminal or civil courts?

I think that's ridiculous on its face.
As a manager, it’s really not hard to see who’s actually doing what within a team. I’d have to be completely blind to communications and stop doing 1:1s to mis-attribute some work to the wrong person. As a developer I’m also familiar with Git and routinely look through recent commits, usually just to maintain familiarity with what’s being done but it also makes it clear who’s delivering what code.

But even if I wasn’t as involved, it’s still easy to see who’s always stepping up to help others and who’s struggling to deliver on their own with nearly any tiny amount of communication with the team.

It’s also really easy to see who’s developing a “not my job, not my problem” attitude. When a team gets to a point where individuals are delivering what they consider “their work” but the team as a whole struggles to deliver anything because everyone avoids the loose ends or refuses to help others, the entire team is getting poor performance reviews.
I believe it was Yeonmi Park - a North Korean defector - who said (on Joe Rogan’s podcast) how surprised and in a sense happy she was to see homeless.

Effectively, you can’t have upward mobility unless you let people fail (and id argue many homeless choose that life style, based on my experience working with them). She explained in North Korea there are no homeless, everyone is equally poor.

Highly recommend listening to a talk with her. Truly eye opening
Sure, it seems to work well enough for you, but what are you asserting? That everyone else who is claiming Linux Desktop isn't a good fit for what they use a computer for is intellectually lazy?

I think that's a trap Linux Desktop evangelists have fallen into because they can't stand to recognize the truth that maybe a collection of fragmented pseudo-platforms cobbled together from disparately developed software --mostly by hobbyists-- just isn't actually as good at a lot of things as something developed by one well funded professional team as an actual platform.

I think the way some of the Linux Desktop community denigrates people who don't use it and pretends that there are no legitimate reasons anyone reasonably competent wouldn't is doing the community as a whole a great disservice and has been for twenty years. Not only are they driving otherwise interested parties away, but they're also refusing to admit to deep seeded problems that subsequently are never addressed.
Define "democracy"...

For the most of it's history, American Democracy wasn't really for the majority: women, African Americans, Native Peoples,... they were some of the ones left out.

What is happening now is that white people are not reproducing themselves in enough quantities to take the best chunk of democracy. The terrorism of Jan. 6th is just a consequence of them freaking out.
> You don't want to use something like SHA, as it does not give good distribution

How come? Even distribution is one of requirements for crypto hash functions.
WhatsApp are on the phones that people want, including iPhones.

iMessage is on the phone that iPhone users want.

Neither of those is lock in.
This is interesting, any article that you can give me?
Yup. The lesson I've learned over the last several years is that I'm selling "better internet sooner". The strategy is to build fast and acquire the customers now, before the incumbent is able to fulfill this unserved market.
James Webb Space Telescope Finishes Unfolding
Fun improvement from my project a long time ago, uuid has 36 char and to save space, we created a shorten version by removing all the dash character in uuid. The result is 4 char could be removed, the field in MySQL table only needs 32 char.
I hear this a lot from people switching from Confluence. I watched a colleague using Confluence once and was surprised how much time was spent looking at those text-placeholder blocks while content was presumably loading in the background.
"Democracy" is always _becoming_. I'd parse this survey as "people are remembering that there's this thing called 'civic obligation' and we have a job to do as citizens, and oh shit it involves actual work and responsibility, damn".

How was it:

When blacks were not even people, but property?

When only white male property owners could vote?

When the "Bill of Rights" applied only to the federal government?

When "individual states of the Union (not the Federal Government) borrowed lavishly from foreign capitalists, especially English ones, to finance such public works are railways and canal building. The American financial crisis of 1837 forced many states to repudiate their debts...." (from the notes to A Christmas Carol by Charles Dickens, ed. Michael Slater, Penguin, 1982)?

When there was a major struggle over admitting new "slave" states (like Texas!) to the Union, expanding and solidifying (in the case of Texas, where slavery had been illegal under Mexican law) the rule of law forcing some people to be property of other people?

When blacks won the right to be citizens, but not the right to vote (the 15th Amendment wasn't implemented as law until the Voting Rights Act, which was gutted by Shelby v. Holder and Brnovich v. DNC?

When the natives were forced into "reservations" or to go on death marches?

When Japanese Americans were forced into concentration camps while we fought the Nazis who were...forcing people in to concentration camps?

When we lynched people so freely and openly postcards were printed and sent around by the U.S. Mail? The U.S. Mail run by the same government that at the time was concerned with distributing James Joyce's Ulysses because a character at the end of the book briefly reflects on her sexual encounters?

When four innocent students were gunned down on Kent State Campus simply because they were on campus, and the national reaction was: "Too bad"?

When there was a police riot in Chicago during the Democratic National Convention, and the national reaction was "They shouldn’t be protesting war"?

When protestors marched peacefully in city streets in America for civil rights and equal justice and the national reaction was they were "agitators" and "trouble-makers" and needed to "mind their place"? (A sentiment that only turned because the governments opposed to them unleashed such violence it was sickening, the very sight Dr. King knew would carry his message to legislators and the people.)

In any of these cases, when government was used against people in ways violent and horrific, or in ways that illustrate with crystal clarity the validity of Critical Race Theory, was our democracy a "pretend one"? Or was it already "competitive authoritarianism"?
There actually already instances of things being shut down early because the savings from new renewables are so great it is in everyone's interest to buy out the existing contract early.

Obviously that applies more for things with high ongoing fuel costs but I wouldn't be at all surprised if this applied to some early concentrating solar plants, particularly if they can reuse the land and grid connection for new renewables.
This will change as South Dakota trusts gain more popularity among the wealthiest in America. Perpetual trusts will ensure generational wealth for centuries as long as these aren't legally challenged.

Normally trusts have a cap of 100 years or so before all the funds are disbursed and the pampered beneficiaries can fritter away most/all the wealth as per the article.

These trusts are also:
- obfuscated (difficult to 'find' to litigate)
- state tax free
- legally protected (difficult to litigate)
- can designate oneself as beneficiary

America is the new tax haven
PSA do not opt to login with your apple ID, it's an option when setting up the computer, you should never ever accept it. There's no reason to ever accept logging in with a non-local account (same for Windows but Microsoft is much more persistent in forcing this whereas at least it's relatively easy to not enable it on macs)
If 100% should--an I sort of agree--then it should be built into the school day a bit better.
> we still don't have the tech to make it even close to economically viable.

...What? Solar and wind are the cheapest source of energy, and still rapidly getting cheaper.

Here is a nicely done deck talking about the cost of all things renewabl:
https://www.dropbox.com/s/l6qr9x1zhvc4yq7/Naam%20Clean%20Ene...
Please get off your privileged high horse; most people aren't living in proper democracies, unfortunately.
Monopoly on new ideas if anything
This article neglects my understanding of the issue, which is a lot more simple. The more kids you have, the more grandkids you have, the more your wealth is divided up. A 10 million dollar estate devalues quickly when there are several hands in the pot.
Batteries have shaped up, actually! Retail costs are about $300/kWh for at least 7000 cycles, which is only $4.2/kWh (plus inverter/BMS, plus electrician costs, plus sales markup, etc.).

There has been a 10x decline in lithium ion battery costs in just 10 years, which is shocking. Check out this slide from Ramez Naam, of which batteries are only one component of the massive ongoing transition:

https://t.co/2WnIrtuLpN

Lithium ion batteries are getting deployed in large GW and GWh sizes all over, and in smaller sizes too. Worldwide production capacity is expected to grow by 10x every five years.

I think other stationary battery chemistries will catch up for "longer-term" storage, where the charge rate is lower and the capital cost is lower, and they can't cycle as fast. My favorite are the iron air batteries, which are rumored to be as low as $20/kWh, but with a power/energy ratio of only 1%.
That’s cool. Have you played around with that number? I’m curious how you pick that constant and what the trade offs are
You’d be surprised. Unpleasantly, unfortunately.

Not sure if the term gets used much now a days, but ‘cargo cult’ programming is definitely a thing still. Never stopped.
China finally discovers the truth behind the Moon’s “Mystery Hut”