skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Extreme weather generally involves intersecting weather systems. For example, 'The Perfect Storm' of movie fame was the intersection of the remnants of a hurricane coming up from Gulf of Mexico with a polar cold front coming across Canada and as I recall a low pressure system out around Nova Scotia. The timing of these events was basically random; if the events had been staggered a few days apart instead of hitting at the same time, it wouldn't have been a perfect storm.

So, where models predict an increase in such events comes down to increasing probabilities of the individual events, kind of like throwing the dice twice as often as before, then you're going to get double sixes (i.e. extreme events) more frequently.

As far as the attribution of specific events, well, you can look back in history and say, historically we've had these events every 100 years or so, so we shouldn't expect three such events over a twenty-year period. This is similar to how a casino might suspect a player is using a loaded die.

However, for one specific event, is it possible? Plausibly you can examine the details of a single event and ask, okay, are there physical characteristics here directly related to climate change, in the same way one could examine a die to see if it was really symmetrical or not? One could perhaps use expectation results, i.e. "we expected this kind of extreme weather event to occur with greater frequency outside the regions where they normally take place, according to frequency results in models forced with extra CO2" etc.

Really though, it's when you get 500-year floods every 5-10 years in Europe, then you know you're 'testing the historical limits'.
About 20% of colds are caused by corona viruses. Who knows how long they've been around. I have no doubt that they are mutations of a much more virulent past version. We still get sick from them but most people won't die. We just learn to live with them. I suspect that Covid-19 in time will have the same fate.
Capital Is Not a Strategy
I don't see a scenario where this is the case except if we assume 5G take over of the Internet?
Topologically, we are a sphere: its center is everywhere and its boundary is nowhere.
But different noises do different things and have different predictive powers. I think your statements about these systems being impossible to calculate are too strong. We use gaussian noise all the time. In fact there's plenty of machine learning models that use noise and change of variables (we learn the transforms) to represent different distributions. Ones that do actually have good clustering. We can be predictive in these domains. Chaos and randomness don't make inference impossible. This is the 21st century, we're not beholden to Newton nor to deterministic processes.
Pawpaws are a North American Papaya, and are totally safe to eat. Just don't eat the incredibly hard huge seed (just the same as apples, duh), and you will avoid all possibility of harm.
One imagines the tractor could also be hacked destructively by some nation-state adversary.

But probably not to drive places randomly and smash into things. The better attack is to change some engine settings so the entire fleet is ruined just before a big harvest, so there's no time to fix them. Attacking people with tractors just draws attention to your compromise.
No, me either. They get enough UI right (I know, many of you will disagree) that this particular mistake in a prominent part of one of their most important applications is almost certainly intentional.
Matrix and Element user here, been working well for almost a year. No complaints. Using my own Synapse server as a Docker container.
I would say most of it is unnecessary buzzwords that don't help explain it. The whole thing can be simplified to something like "systemd is a task runner that has a dependency graph and transactions". That should also be fairly straightforward to you if you've used it a few times.

I'd say the other mistake the article commits is by trying to paint this as being a very complex design for the problem space. It's not when you consider the design constraints. You want services to have dependencies, and you want the updates to the unit files to be committed atomically to avoid stale data. Hence, the dependency graph and the transactions.
> Hospitalization data, however, often does not differentiate between people admitted for COVID-19 and so-called incidental cases involving people who were admitted for other reasons and were found to be infected during routine testing.

In New York 42% of patients hospitalized with COVID-19 were in the incidental category, Governor Kathy Hochul told a briefing on Friday, a sign of how the data may not be giving the clearest picture of Omicron's impact in terms of severe disease.

So, in other words, omicron might not be pushing hospitalizations.

God I hate reading darn near anything about Covid due to a lack of understanding of Statistics.
But what would the point be? All the interesting bits are in effectively total darkness.
This attitude exemplifies the problem with the public discourse. The public discourse isn’t about finding out truth and forming actionable democratic consensus, it is about duping “stupid people” into supporting “good things”™.
This is the same for professional printers too. A friend of mine has a side business printing signs and has a large format Epson (I think?) printer. It takes something like 12 inks and has options for chrome and other niche colours.

During 2020 there was a shortage in my country of inks, no local suppliers - official or unofficial - had any. He found some on eBay from another EU country, but when they arrived the printer wouldn't accept them. Apparently the inks are region locked, and the only way around it would be replacing the main board of the printer to change it to the other region.
> Hopefully Intel will offer an FPGA-based RoT where customer hardware owners can load the open-source firmware of their choice.

This is sarcasm, right? It must be sarcasm.

Maybe I'm out of the loop but I would guess that hell would freeze over before Intel releases something like this, let alone an FPGA Root of Trust.
For reference, the entire NSF budget is about $8B (maaaybe $10B next year!).
That is how I did it. I was doing my Masters in Computer Engineering and my thesis advisor was consulting to a startup and made the introduction. The startup flamed out, but the experience I gained lead to two jobs with multinationals (in succession) which mostly made up for the lost income.
You'd better believe it. Always look at the fundamentals of a stock. What is the P/E? Do you know what the definition of the P/E is and why it is important? Buying a stock with a P/E greater than about 20 is poor judgement (unless you're gambling on it going up further). A P/E of 20 means that there is only a mere 5% Return on Investment. If current inflation is greater than 5% (which it is), you're actually losing money on that stock every year.

Are you getting into stocks because the underlying business model of the company is good? Or is it because you expect the stock price to go up, at which time you might sell that stock? If it's the first, that's investment. If it's the second, that's just glorified gambling.
Forth is a really nice language for learning raw machine code then adding an assembler then moving up to a HLL in a few printed pages of code. The ultimate macro assembler. Back in 1986 teenage me found this library book that described Forth as "a ball of mud" which later made sense. A small core of machine specific bits form the core, you have to make that by hand. Then you accumulate and write an assembler on top of that. Then there's the I/O and logistics of the system. Then there's the whole interpreter/compiler all the same. It's the ultimate bootstrap. From laying down bytes in memory to a hybrid interpreter/compiler that you can say "take this word and make it a thing" and it can fart out this little polished turd.

Forth is a ball of mud that you start at the beginning and at the end you end up with a shiny turd of a https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dorodango.

Forth is bottom up insted of top down. The concepts teaching/learning wise start at the bottom and lead up to the top. You can't learn that starting with Python or Fortran or C or BASIC, or even Assembler. Bottom up.

Forth might not be the best Pascal/Basic/Python learning some stuff language, but Forth is the best bits in memory to HLL "full-stack" language.

I wish your brother had done it on raw hardware instead of in Java. It is a really nice language for learning.
The review is simply too salty - exactly what you'll expect from an academic. Unless you want to read academic papers all your life - there's space for such books just like there's space for poetry or even the bible for heaven's sake.
On reddit, when comments say [deleted] its because the user deleted it themselves. But, yeah, there is censorship on reddit. It's almost always by subreddit mods and not reddit admins.
It just made me realize: why don't we have a public system that if you want to do something new it needs to be brought forward for public discussion and public policy to be set first?

I do know the obvious answers to this but what are the externalized costs of not doing it, and are the trade-off worth it?
It is used in financial tech sometimes. Although this is misleading as financial tech has a penchant for weird functional shit like OCaml, F#, K, Julia, etc...

Unlike a video game, you aren't transitioning state all the time. Proposition-based testing is also very convenient in Haskell with say QuickCheck, good for dealing with money.
They most often taste like some combo of berry/banana/papaya when ripe. Different trees give slightly different flavor profiles. They must be eaten when the skin is starting to turn black, as that is when they are ripe. Eating them green would be quite unpleasant, and they don't stay at the right stage for long, which is why you don't just see them in supermarkets. Source: grew up eating wild pawpaws.
Lies of omission are unavoidable when talking to a general audience about any deep scientific or technical issue.

A physicist actually explaining Magnetism takes years. If a PHD gives you a short answer their simply lying to you. For example, no ferromagnetic materials aren’t simply all atoms arranged in a specific fashion that’s a monumental simplification.
Isn’t the situation of preserving local file modifications covered in the Debian handbook[0]? You simply drop a config for apt to not overwrite files you’ve changed…

/etc/apt/apt.conf.d/local

DPkg::options { "--force-confdef"; "--force-confold"; }

[0] https://debian-handbook.info/browse/wheezy/sect.package-meta...
I really appreciate you putting this out there. Doubly so with the respectful treatment of it. And for the record my take is very similar to Moxies. But, many comments so far have attempted to refute your critique, fundamentally, on a point of scale (i.e. 100% of Mastadon is a rounding error to overall messaging traffic, so the percent that run servers is doubly irrelevant).

From a VC backed point-of-view that is a legitimate point of push back at this stage. From a technology leader point of view, it is not, exactly. Early adopters have _something_ to adopt early, because of these fringe groups. This is where creativity starts and eventually meets engineering and productization. Some things do shake out to 90/9/1 for _all_ internet traffic in a certain category. Some don't. I think pressures also ebb and flow. I remeber when Googles moniker of "don't be evil" wasn't an ironic, bitter joke.
They like to be under the edge of decidious forest in a wet climate, near a stream bank if possible. That's their optimal wild growing position.
Ask HN: Is anyone familiar with an anecdote about diluting product quality
Years ago at a company meeting the regional director was talking about the strength of the brand and how if you cut corners in quality you'll lose customers in the long run. He gave an example (likely apocryphal) of a chocolate company (or maybe just candy) famous for high quality chocolate that was expensive to make. There were hard to find ingredients and lots of manual labor involved. A new CEO was hired and he wanted to increase profits. He started by researching cheaper ingredients. Replacing just one ingredient, he was able to increase the profit margin per chocolate bar, and customers didn't notice the difference in taste. So he tried it again. Again consumers didn't notice the difference in taste and profits went up.

Long story short, after several years of swapping out ingredients and replacing manual labor with assembly lines, profits were up, but suddenly customers stopped buying. A new chocolate brand touting high quality ingredients and handmade chocolate was now the market leader. I guess the moral of the story is that you can chip away at your product quality for a little while, but eventually customers will notice.

Has anyone heard this story and have a link to a version of it?
Can someone boil this down?
Yes. Putting to one side I think he's a bit of a nong, this is a classic stuff up of delegated authority to approve visa, the actual authority to approve a visa, the contextual authority to deny a visa after its issued, the role of airlines, state vs federal politics and delegated authority, and a government with an election inside six months looking for a distraction from their other unforced errors in covid management.

Morrison is a populist. He knows this plays well. Well.. he thought he knew. The playbook here is a phrase "we will decide who comes to Australia and the manner in which they come" from a torrid, evil refugee problem.

They ran through the numbers, saw this as a popular decision against a very public antivaxxer and went there. The extent to which it has blown up is still being debated: in marginal seats at risk to more right wing minor parties this play may have done its job. What the courts think about it, as procedural fairness or equity or in law is another matter. And since the state hosting the tennis is Victoria and is Labor held, it's a double win for Morrison if he can make them look stupid (it's on the cards, the advice tennis Australia under the Victorian government's rules handed out looks suspiciously like they got it wrong)

Djokovic may have a few unforced errors of his own. When he was infected, what proofs and how he's behaved during his infectious period are not working in his favour.

Every step of the way somebody could have said "wait.."

(I'm an Australian, and a "Roger or Rafa" man myself, never liked Novak but that's not the point here)
Upthread there’s a climatologist openly admitting to lying to make their point seem more dire. The whole field has a credibility problem. I don’t blame laypeople for their skepticism.
I was confused when this cam into Arch Linux. I was new to Linux so I didn't know anything so it pissed me of that some stuff stopped working.

However I quickly learned and then it was mostly a non issue.

I was confused when years later there was still push against adoption by other distors.
If John Deere is becoming a vertically integrated tech monopoly, the next step is for them to begin buying up the farms themselves. They'll have data as to which fields have the yields, best soils, best conditions, and are the most productive.
Awful typo on my part! Definitely face palmed when I caught it.
A farmer owning a $250,000 tractor is a very different thing than a pilot owning a $250,000,000 aircraft. I would say that there is a much greater expectation that a farmer should be able to repair their own tractor, for example.
Of course there are differences. Do you know that in France used to kiss on the cheek when meeting, including strangers? And many continued well into the pandemic because "it's just the Chinese and Italians, we're better than them". Population density, age distribution, patterns of living matter. Ignoring then all to fit your preconceived notion that all countries were equally at risk from Covid is just.. wrong.

And btw not only did Sweden's strategy result in multiple times the death rate of its neighbours, it also resulted in a similar economic downturn. So it was all for very little.
There are a lot of people who want to eat better than they currently do.
It doesn't seem to have made anyone freer in China, El Salvador, or anywhere else.
I have drastically minimalized over the last couple years. I sold my stupid big house, now I rent. I got rid of most of my stuff. I have minimal furniture, empty walls, I started biking everywhere instead of driving. I am much happier.
I am using the Wikipedia definition of 'strong' vs 'weak' typing.

> Generally, a strongly typed language has stricter typing rules at compile time, which implies that errors and exceptions are more likely to happen during compilation. Most of these rules affect variable assignment, function return values, procedure arguments and function calling. Dynamically typed languages (where type checking happens at run time) can also be strongly typed. Note that in dynamically typed languages, values have types, not variables.

Just out of curiosity, exactly what do you even think weakly typed could mean by your own definition of it?

No need to address the other points, because we're talking about anecdotes and not scientific data. Yes, I'm using a single data point as an example about a feeling I have to justify my opinion.
Perhaps it’s as simple as Americans liking McDonalds a lot more than Canadians like Tim Hortons.

Obesity is a key driver of comorbidity statistics. [0]

[0] - https://www.cdc.gov/obesity/data/obesity-and-covid-19.html
What got my foot on the door was to have a side project, not any MVP but a finished product with nice UI, well written README page etc. That would be a good
start to go along with leet code etc.
Hence why we need UBI tied to inflation and paid for with VAT - perhaps partly or fully, potentially eliminate income tax to not penalize working.
I’m just a couple years behind you and I fondly remember IRC, Usenet, forums ESPECIALLY. Looks like social media ate up a lot of the good online discussion-sphere. Thankful for HN because even my favorite subreddits are dying off these days.
- Microsoft isn't going to fuck us over that hard <--- We are here

- Microsoft is fucking us over that hard

- Libre software FTW

- Libre software UX sucks

- Repeat

When will the cycle end?
Our school district (in the USA) used much the same method as you describe for Japan: alternating days, 50% capacity, etc. Then the State Borad of Education mandated all schools closed.

In our community, most of the parents in town are able to work from home. But its a very strange place, and I would expect worse outcomes most other places.

Even so, serious psychiatric illness is tearing the kids up. The child clinical psychologists and the one remaining psychiatrist in town are double-booked, at least.

It's been its own shade of awful.

I don't think that there could have been a better response from the schools here. It's been very difficult to plan for anything more than six weeks out, and the kids who have returned to school have needed more care. And who is caring for the teachers?

I don't know what the dropout rate would be for high schoolers, but many of these kids are just gone. Across all economic levels (the delicate proxy that we use, money lumped in with social status or prevalent parents' level of education and stuff).
Systemd-resolved has some good ideas but can be a bit confusing. Overall its not bad, but it is a bit strange.
Well the point is not to advocate for SMS but rather to criticize iMessage for being restricted to the Apple Eco System.

Where I live, iMessage is just significantly less relevant. Instead you can safely assume that most people have WhatsApp, Telegram or Signal :)
> disposable income?

Yes. The median household income in the US is $68k. Even at the poverty line for a family of 4 at 26k[0], $1600 in phones for your two children that last 2 years+ is worth it given the immense value it provides, both in time savings (spending hours a day texting / via entertainment) and utility.

0: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poverty_threshold#:~:text=The%....
Well that and 4K60 is the new standard definition. It’s been 4 years since flagship phones that could record 4K60 were released and most of those devices are now discontinued and obsolete. It’d be hilarious if studios used their fancy optics with cameras that have a lower res than something you can get for $80 on eBay
Without any explicit IP transfer agreement, you likely own the code you produced (even if they paid you) and could use that as leverage to resolve the dispute. Nonpayment sometimes happens with freelance work -- it may not be worth the stress getting payment for the final invoice. Because they threatened to sue, for peace of mind you could also find a lawyer and ask them to send all future communication to the lawyer.
I think you're looking to have an answer and seeking to justify that answer. There's not just one model. There's dozens of competing ones. So we have to draw one of two concussions.

If climate is only model able by chance, we got lucky a lot of times. Someone should be buying a lot of lottery tickets because the science community is way luckier than the expected value. That dozens of independent research teams were about to exactly cancel out errors in precisely the right way (but different from one another) to have good predictive power. Certainty too lucky for a purely random process. So what's the bound? Clearly this process is repeatable.

The models are accurate and science can deal with probabilities. Or rather that scientists (experts) know what they're doing.

The odds on the first conclusion are too high. The second is easier to justify. I think it's easier to justify that you're not as informed on the subject and that there's nuance you're missing that the experts know (I'm confident they know more than me).
I had never heard of the "webster" protocol, and my DDG-fu has failed me. Can anyone point me to details?
The idea is higher IPv4 prices -> faster IPv6 adoption -> ~90% IPv6 adoption -> IPv4 prices go down.
In Covey’s advice, activities presented here in Q4 fall under “sharpen the saw,” where you make time each week to do things that restore you and bring you pleasure. He also advises creating multiple roles for everything important in your life and prioritizing each every day or week. These roles are supposed to be numerous so they completely represent you and can include musician, sandwich artist, explorer, flaneur, antifragilist, and other Venkat-Rao-approved identities.
Thanks, I actually hadn't heard of a logistic growth curve before (it looks like something I somewhat remember from high school chemistry). Can you recommend anything to read about this that apply it to the pandemic? I guess I'm beyond my math skills here. Reading normal news articles, they warn of increasing cases, but I'd like to see some raw numbers. The report they refer to is too complicated for me to understand :(

Specifically I'm wondering what the maximum number of cases in a short period is likely. I ask because I was shocked to hear that the number of ICU beds in a major city of 1M people in Canada was only a few hundred (or maybe that was total hospital beds? I can't remember). So it seems like you need to keep your "hospitalizations per population" number down to less than the ratio of "hospital beds per population".

Certainly I was wrong in saying "everyone will get it" in a few months because of the logistic growth curve, but it looks like a significant portion of the population could still be infected within the same period, even if you remove the 6% (Canada) to 20% (USA) people who have already been infected? And even if everyone is fully vaccinated, can the number of them that end up in hospital come close to the total capacity? It seems like we're already getting close to capacity.