skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
When I was in academia, I used to fit highly sophisticated models (think many-parameters, multi-level non-linear mixed effect models) who were giving not only point estimate but also confidence and predictive intervals ("please explain to me the difference between the two" is one of my favorite interview questions and I still have not heard a correct answer).

When I tried to bring an "uncertainty mindset" over when I moved to industry, I found that (1) most DS/ML scientists use ML models that typically don't provide an easy way to estimate uncertainty intervals, (2) in the industry I was in (media) people who make decisions and use model prediction as one of the input for their decision-making are typically not very quantitative and an uncertainty interval, rather than give strength to their process, would confuse them more than anything else: they want a "more or less" estimate, more than a "more or less plus something more and something less" estimate. (3) When services are customer-facing (see ride-sharing) providing an uncertainty interval (your car will arrive between 9 and 15 minutes) would anchor the customer to the lower estimate (they do for the price of rides book in advance, and they need to do it, but they are often way off).

So for many ML applications, an uncertainty interval that nobody internally or externally would base their decision upon is just a nuisance.
It wouldn't, because in English as in programming -- the 'and' operator has precedence.
I tried for a minute but it just wouldn't work out of the box and I didn't have time to investigate, so I reenabled the default for now.

I thought I saw somewhere rust devs themselves recommending Rust Analyzer too
There’s a great series on the YouTube channel “Akademia Szermierzy” based on this manual.

https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PL2AcjEcWawSm_rc8F_bLu50aP...
There’s a 7kw inverter in the wallbox https://wallbox.com/en_catalog/quasar-dc-charger - turns out i got the name wrong, it’s quasar not quantum :-)
One short technical description I've read said that it's a built-in filter thing (local database that only updates occassionally) and you won't see a lot of internet traffic related to the censorship.

Xiaomi ships different builds for regions. Some of them might be genuinely ok devices. The problem is you never know what you've got without an audit and some trust. Better just avoid them altogether.
you can use Lighting Network which is a payment processor like VISA on top of Bitcoin
> Land mines seem to me to be terrorism

Depends what you do with them. If you drop them everywhere for the fun factor, sure. If they are but a part of a fortification complex, they are neither better nor worse than other military ordinance delivery systems.
Titles leaving Hulu in January 2022
They can't tell other governments to censor anything, so yes? If they have a product that censors things that you need to access then don't buy it.
Many Kids Don't Have a Warm, Safe, Healthy Home in Which to Do “Remote Learning”
On Proebsting's Law
It's my understanding that it's primarily related to historical (past 40 years) immigration patterns to Vancouver. And the size of Mandarin and Cantonese speaking communities in the metro Vancouver area, which is of a similarly large amount of people as in Toronto.

Earlier immigration to the lower mainland of BC was mostly Cantonese speaking folks from the region of Hong Kong, since about 2000 it's been much more "new money" Mandarin and more northern regions of China.

Not just people looking for a safe place to park money but also enough members of their first language and ethnic community that there's a good selection of grocery stores, restaurants, retail shops, community events/entertainment.

That's my theory, at least.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chinese_Canadians_in_Greater_V...
> To me good anti-aliasing strategies is the single most important factor when it comes to graphics. I don't really care about things looking realistic or whatever, but I do care about my screen not being full of moving, weird, and distracting grainy patterns.

I don't think I've ever heard this perspective before. Thank you for sharing your thoughts. This one is pretty unique, I think.
Reverse Engineering Star Wars: Yoda Stories
The price of stocks and other assets does not reflect the value of those. It reflects a ratio of the value of the asset relative to the dollar.

If more dollars are printed, the dollar is worth less. So the ratio of other assets to the dollar is higher.

That is not a bubble.

It would be a bubble if the asset prices multiplied and the amount of dollars stayed the same.
Are you saying that Blackrock et al wouldn't buy homes if there weren't Zillow/OpenDoor/Offerpad? For Blackrock to rent these out, they clearly have to staff up a property management arm. Z/O/O might have made it easier for them to acquire some of these homes, but I don't see why they would not have bought a roughly equivalent amount even without them. As per the article:

> A representative for FirstKey Homes, a Cerberus portfolio company, said that it's purchased just 1% of its properties through iBuyers. Kathleen McCarthy, global co-head of Blackstone Real Estate, said that “not one of our portfolio companies have purchased a single off-market home from an iBuyer.”

I am absolutely agreeing that the steep rise in home/rent prices are a serious problem. But I am not convinced that iBuyers are moving the market that much, and the root of the problem in the most displaced markets remains NIMBYs that prevent new construction that prevent supply to rise up to meet increasing demand.

I also recommend these 2 articles by Philo which talk about the effectively-cartel like behavior that exists in the housing market:

https://philo.substack.com/p/housing-medallions

https://philo.substack.com/p/cartels (a shorter summary is here - https://ilearned.substack.com/p/13-on-competition-and-monopo...)
Even Elon Musk thinks that Tesla stock is overvalued. He's said that every time he says that the price goes up, he has no control over it either.
If that can be done, can it be done through other processes? Like eminent domain? failure to pay property taxes? divorce settlements? property lien?

If a title-token on the blockchain can be changed through external systems that don't involve the transfer the title-token itself - saying that the old token is no longer valid, this new one is the valid one, how does the blockchain protect against title theft or fraud?

If there is the ability to mint a new title-token for a given property, what's the point of it and what advantages does it have over the existing records?
Evergrande and Lehman Brothers aren’t really comparable.

A real estate development company defaulting on its debt means losses for investors, most of which have diversified portfolios and can absorb the loss. $300bn in debt is a lot, so I don’t want to discount how serious that is, but they’re not a bank.

Lehman Brothers, on the other hand, was deeply interconnected with the U.S. banking system and touched tens of thousands of businesses. The $600bn they owed were not to “investors” but to businesses, insurance companies and other counter parties that were not prepared to absorb the loss. The prospect of unwinding Lehman’s positions was beginning a catastrophic domino effect on the global financial system. They were quite literally “too big to fail.”

Evergrande is just a big company.
> I'm frankly somewhat disgusted

I wouldn’t want to work on a team with someone who has such an attitude. I’m very grateful to work in an environment where we all want to help one another. This really reminds me how good I’ve got it.
> The fact that BitTorrent has worked for decades without centralizing, and likely never will centralize, stands in quiet opposition to the entire "centralization is inevitable" line of thinking.

Except for all the centralized points you'd be correct. BitTorrent requires bootstrap nodes. While these can be specified in a torrent file but many clients have some hard coded values for bootstrap nodes. If bootstrap nodes are unavailable and a torrent doesn't contain new values a BitTorrent client can't do much.

Then there's finding content which doesn't just magically happen. Torrent search engines exist because BT doesn't have a built in search system like other P2P networks.

Finally there's the central locations where clients are developed and distributed. BT clients don't just manifest on people's computers. They don't magically update themselves.

Cryptobros talk of decentralization as if shit just exists in a luminiferous ether. You just wish hard enough and things manifest on your system from it. Centralization doesn't automatically mean Facebook controls everything. Stuff comes together at locii and those are by nature central in a network. They can be disrupted, blocked, or just disappear and then the network falls apart.
> why couldn't you just sleep earlier at night?

Can you?

Consensus has emerged in the last few years that the circadian rhythm is mostly regulated hormonally, with a strong genetic factor. So that would be akin to telling a black person to "just get whiter skin".

> Everyone complains about having to get up early, but the sleep deprivation is self inflicted. If you're tired, you can sleep at 9pm.

Do you have a reliable way of doing so? If yes, you are sitting on a potential billion-dollar innovation. I'm surprised you haven't monetized it yet.
Turkmenistan's leader wants 'Gates of Hell' fire put out
Qwant is another privacy option for European languages at least:

https://lite.qwant.com
> were able to build a network capable of transacting billions of dollars of value

But that is only possible because the value of bitcoin has skyrocketed. The last data I saw had it at only a few transactions per second which isn't that impressive.

>All without any meaningful service costs

There are service costs, they are just paid in Bitcoin. There is also obviously the electricity spent to keep the whole thing running that exceeds the amount needed to actually process the transactions.
IANAL but that’s kind of a generalization of the GDPR though, maybe too broad.

IPs may be treated as personal data, but it doesn’t apply to each and every case you handle or store an IP address.
The contract address is on the post. (0xfed320e18caf45f53fb64301b16ab60c3bc8c42a)
Why would you need permanent !g, that defeats the purpose of DDG? Use google if you like it so much.

My DDG experience is awesome and Google could die tomorrow for all I care. Not sure if my experience is due to the domains I typically search for though, which are highly scientific/engineering related.
Vulkan in latest PCSX2 1.7 devbuilds
Sorry I have actually never used AnkiDroid. I think it's just a mobile app for Anki on Android? If it's like the iOS one, you can create Cloze cards from it.

Here is a video that walks you through it:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d__MjidDz8c

When you create a card, it should say Card Type or Type at the top. By default, this is on Basic. Click it and you can switch to Cloze. Then highlight the text and click the [...] icon in the toolbar.
> only 2 service incidents in 14 years

Only 2 service incidents if you don't count all the scams and lost wallets.
Using more energy than many many countries with populations of millions isn't meaningful?
This Simple Piece of Equipment Could Elevate Your Workout
>Cryptocurrency is probably one of the worst inventions in recent memory.

Do you have a source for this fact?
It might survive the 50 year old fiat dollar experiment. Until 50 years ago, there has not been a currency that wasn't backed up by something that was beyond the government
imo the whole point of this article was that China silently exports tampered devices to Taiwan. Implication is that this might have happened to not only Taiwan, unless we have trustworthy audits.
I'm fine with the claim that a lot more money was pushed into the asset classes you listed, but I don't really see how that interacts with the quote you picked about companies with improving margins. A company's stock being over-valued doesn't seem obviously related to their price-setting power?

And anyway, the result of that rush of money into stocks and real estate still seems to have had the result that the rich got richer. Yes, the Fed will raise interest rates in coming months, and perhaps eventually that will slow inflation. But I have every expectation that many companies will continue raising prices and reporting record profits for some time after their costs decline. And as interest rates increase, banks will reflect those higher rates in their loan products, but not their savings accounts, etc.
> What is the difference? To not buy branded Chinese phones seems just protectionism and has little to do with security.

How does "protectionism" have anything to do with this? It's weird to inject that economic framing into a question about what kind of policies you want to be subject to, and who you want to be setting those policies.
You'll buy it dirt cheap to cover your short position and keep the initial capital you got from the short sale. Pretty dangerous though, even if you're right in the long term, short term anything can happen and you'll get liquidated.
>Documents? Reach for the lasers.

Maybe not if you want to print documents with security features :P
The article is worse than random anecdotes. It had zero examples of an EV that had issues due to the incident.

100% FUD.
the amount of catastrophe that can be caused in a normal person's life by a failed netflix account/billing/getting locked out is markedly different than what would happen to a non-technical user that has gone "all in" on trusting amazon, apple, microsoft or google platform cloud storage of all their documents, photos, private data.

based on the amount of fake/fraudulent products sold on amazon's marketplace I really can't concur that they have robust customer support that is really empowered to do anything.
Thank you, this is great, have been looking unsuccessfully for technical content like this.
Its probably not necessary for nontechnical users either, I keep hearing about how great windows defender works.
At any given moment there are a handful of active chains on the bitcoin network. really a better word I should use is fork, because these chains are 99.999+% identical, its just the last few blocks that may differ. The consensus work that Blockchain does is all about figuring out which one of these forks is the one we all agree on. This is why if you deal with actually posting transactions to the bitcoin network they say you should wait for ~6 confirmation blocks to ensure that you don't end up on on a fork that doesn't end up in the consensus (its unusual, but it happens).

During those downtimes the current active chain that is run today was not one of the active chains in consideration for consensus. This is why the fixes was to go back and do a softfork from an earlier state.
No, but it is mandatory for a wide variety of security certifications. Regulatory capture rules
I posted a “who wants to be hired” entry here on HN last week, using a one-off email from Firefox Relay. Within two days, I started receiving spam through it. So, yes, bots definitely still trawl the web to harvest email addresses.
>There are very few such governments on earth, all things considered

I'm not going to wade into any of the crypto arguments here but your repeated downplaying of dysfunctional/authoritarian/corrupt/failing governments seems entirely disconnected with the reality that tens, perhaps hundreds[0], of millions of people live every day.

Just because true democracy is a hard thing to define (per your previous comment), doesn't make oppressive governments any less oppressive.

There are lots of valid complaints about Crypto and NFT's, but the argument that poor government is not that bad of a global problem "all things considered" is an absolutely terrible one.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Index_of_Economic_Freedom and https://www.fraserinstitute.org/studies/economic-freedom-of-...
Want to buy some real tulips from real people?

That's not the 'broadest of definitions' at all. That's just what a bubble is: real people buying real assets from real people at hyperinflated prices.

As an aside, but not related to the matter at hand, what is the 'real asset' people are buying with crypto?
A source for this fact? It's an opinion.
yes - but I originally had paid for FSD half of what it costs today ($12k). They could have easily asked me to pay the difference.

It comes with a premiere customer experience, not a nickel n dime car dealership experience.
Could you share the ebpf program and the external dependencies that can reproduce the crash?

It'll be valuable to learn this, so that we might be able to proactively address them. Ebpf is the core of our product.
Zero interest rates create artificial events, the longer the rarest. This is uncharted land.

What can people do with their money if bonds are “worthless”? Keep it in the bank?

No: invest.

And now comes inflation.

When you play with fire (as the central banks have been doing for quite a while) you end up burning.

This (the Nasdaq especially) is not a “bubble”, it is a zeppelin. In some sense it is most scary but at the same time, it is auto-mobile.
It has healthy growing adoption: 1ml.com.
Ah yes, attorneys. Always the technical experts in the room.

/s

And yes, I know there are some exceptions but lawyers are notorious for being tech illiterate
No, the blocks are at the IP level.
A tidy summary of the issue, that.

But hey, if it was a Bored Cryptokitty, then Bob can't sell it and no one can buy it anymore, so clearly, he doesn't own it.

The same principle should apply to evil bits, the real kicker being that the whole rigamarole is now written to a shared database whose, er, immutability is part of the product on offer.

Man, the Twenties are gonna be lit.
Okay! Let's stop ev transition then!

Or we continue to do that ev transition thing but continue to do it with everyone were it is a no brainer first and on the way we solve all the upcoming problems?
I'm hoping that the 5 months of calibration time is one of those where the engineers were asked "how long", so they thought about it and then padded the shit out of it, then the PMs took that number and padded it yet again. After all that, it only takes a few weeks. It'll be the first milestone JWST would meet early, so not too likely. We've only waited decades, so a few more months isn't that bad. At least it is off the ground now!
I’ve seen all of the above.

I’ve inspected NFT contracts and saw they were designed wrong with a direct link to a website that could go down

And I still minted or bought them because the community or game was interesting

I’ve also seen extremely clever completely onchain nfts. I like those.
> This token exists on Binance Smart Chain, a code fork of Ethereum that uses a Proof Of Stake system run by Binance...

You know, it not really difficult to create your own token on any of these chains?

Just go here: [0], look at the menu, click "Create Token", tweak all the fields and hit the blue "Create Token" button and you can see how easy these scammers can mint millions of tokens and list it on PancakeSwap and exit scam, rug-pull anyone.

So there you have it. This 'PirateToken' is no different.

[0] https://cointool.app/dashboard
What do "multi-level" and "mixed effects" mean? There are tons of non-linear models with lots of parameters, but I've never heard these other terms.
> can we at least agree that it is an astounding engineering achievement

As the first cryptocurrency, it's certainly an incredible innovation and idea. However, it's already outdated technology.

Bitcoin failed to become everything it was idealized to be. It's not anonymous. It's not private. It's not fungible. It's not decentralized. It's not unregulated. It's not even a currency since transactions are not cheap and fast which makes them unusable.

The best thing this coin can do for the wider cryptocurrency space is disappear and let better projects take the lead. Yet it's the most popular coin and the only one the average person knows about. This is sad and to me it's proof of the complete irrationality of this market.
Traditionally it’s been a landing zone for East Asian immigrants.

That said I’m very skeptical that foreign money is causing the bubble in Canada.

We’re bringing in 400,000 high skilled people per year and we allow people to raid their current home value and their pensions in order to buy a home.

Those two things overshadow the measly 6-8% of the market which is foreign buyers.

The proposed ban on foreign purchases will hopefully prove me out.
>They can't tell other governments to censor anything, so yes?

The CCP can and do actively control what the international community says as much as possible, and they have enough money to make the changes happen. If you don't think so, look what happens in public discussions (or even mentions!) on/of Taiwan.
One of the account recovery methods is to request that Apple email you an "unlock my iCloud account" web link.

If they were to send that email to your locked iCloud account, you wouldn't be able to receive it.
Thank you. All I was looking to do was convince someone that crypto does indeed provide a theoretical benefit, so that the conversation could evolve from "crypto SUCKS, and it doesn't do ANYTHING GOOD, and its a SCAM (read: I lost money speculating), and I DON'T LIKE IT", to: are the problems that crypto solves worth the costs.

Other problems/solutions aside, there is probably some gas fee that would make crypto worth it just for anti-counterfeiting. Do you have any sources for a numeric estimate on what counterfeiting costs the US economy?
It's functional but not ready for prime time yet, IMHO. Buying things on Bitrefill using Lightning works well. It is better than a credit card, I think. Really fast and low fees. Imagine a gift card that works for any merchant that opts into the open protocol. Also, if you want to refund the money on the card, you can do that without the cooperation of any merchant.

There are a number of improvements in the pipeline. Taproot just got enabled. It seems we need something like SIGHASH_ANYPREVOUT (BIP-118) in order to implement eltoo. eltoo would be like the next generation of Lightning, making it easier for users.
> Are we in a bubble?

Yes, clearly, but no one knows when or if it will burst, or how much higher the market can go.

One of the key indicators is the Schiller PE ratio, which compares company stock prices to their profits. It is very high right now: https://www.multpl.com/shiller-pe

Other good indicators are that inexperienced investors are making a lot of money in meme stocks (AMC, GameStop), and cryptocurrencies or NFTs, classic indicators of a bubble.

Many people agree that the reason this is happening is the US federal reserve has kept interest rates too low for too long. This helps stock and home prices, but can also lead to a bubble. The Fed has indicated that they will raise interest rates soon.

To protect yourself first educate yourself on 2008 and the Dot com bubble, read Irrational Exuberance, All the Devils are Here, or watch Money Power and Wall Street, The Big Short, or Inside the Federal Reserve.

Hedging this bubble is extremely difficult but physical assets are nice to have. Cash is losing value more quickly than normal because of high inflation. As always diversifying is the best way to manage risk. This is not financial advice, just my personal opinion.
Yields on investment (the ratio of how much you pay vs. how much future cash flow you get) are as low as they have ever been. Bonds, Treasuries, Stocks, Mortgages, everything. So that makes people think we're in a bubble.

On the other hand - yields have been slowing going down for the last 40 years.

So we're at this weird spot where one of those two patterns has to reverse since yields are zero. Your guess is as good as mine but that's why things seem like they can't continue as they are (they can't).
To say that Bitcoin has no service cost you have to squint your eyes really hard.
I renewed my membership.