skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
So far evidence indicates, and I'm hoping this is true, that it's about 1/3rd as severe as Delta. South Africa (25% vaccinated?) reports much fewer people going on ventilators or even going to the hospital.

Not sure what a booster shot is going to do for you unless you're particularly vulnerable.
27 years to save for a deposit for a house in Auckland
Bravo. Peace of mind is an indirect cost of investment. I've met a brilliant head of engineering, that told me "I've sold all my stocks/coins so I can stop looking at my phone and reading articles, and I can really focus on what matters". Not having state bonds that allow people face inflation, has a HUge indirect cost: having offices full of nerds looking at stock/coin exchanges. How much human valuable time is now lost on that?
There are several already

Some users now double publish as backup to YouTube censorship

https://alternativeto.net/software/youtube
The Great Depression was caused by the gold standard. The initial crash caused a panic, which caused a run on the banks. Banks did not have the cash on hand to return all deposits, and many failed. This was before the FDIC existed, so when banks failed anyone with outstanding deposits just lost their balance. The ripple effect of this disruption through the economy was dramatic, and caused a deflationary spiral.

- Many companies and individuals had lost their money and desperately needed cash to meet ongoing obligations.

- Many banks had failed, and were not available to make loans.

- Banks that hadn't failed were much more cautious about extending loans.

- Faith in banks had cratered, and people were far less likely to deposit their money in banks, leading to even the banks that wanted to make loans not having sufficient deposits with which to meet demands for loans.

- Without access to loans, many businesses failed, leading to mass unemployment, creating strong downward pressure on wages.

- Large numbers of people lost their jobs and couldn't find new ones. They spent down their savings and didn't deposit any new money in banks.

- etc.

With the value of the dollar rapidly increasing, there was no incentive for banks to loan out their deposits or for investors to risk making investments in a shaky economy. Better to sit on your cash if you had it. This vicious cycle was only eventually broken by the massive federal spending programs of the New Deal, and arguably not until the even more significant spending and hiring programs of WWII.

---

So why was the gold standard at the root of the Great Depression? It allowed what should have been limited to a stock market crisis to metastasize into a depression by toppling banks and crippling the availability of dollars. At that point in time very few people owned stocks, so the blast radius of a market crash should have been very limited. But huge swaths of the economy had exposure to banks, and so bank failures had far-reaching impacts. If the federal government had not been constrained by the artificial limitation of the gold standard, it would have been able to step in and provide a liquidity backstop to prevent banks from failing, preventing a financial panic and the knock-on effect of mass bank failure. This is also why something (exactly) like the Great Depression can't happen anymore, it's impossible in a world where the federal government (or its proxy, the Federal Reserve Bank) can extend loans to tide consumer banks over until panic subsides. A stock market crash will not cause consumer banks to fail, people to lose their deposits, lending to cease, and the economy to grind to a halt.

And we've seen this in action in the great financial crisis. A financial market crisis threatened the stability of banking in general, lending froze up in response to uncertainty about what banks might be insolvent, and the federal government and federal reserve stepped in with loans, bailouts, and forced consolidation of failing banks to mitigate economic disruption, with the result that the impact of the great financial crisis was far less than that of the great depression.
> He's senile

Figuratively speaking, right?
(Or did you mean literally? Dementia? If so, is he old)
A non-baseless threat so referred would land you in deep trouble, however.

I think the core issue here is not being able to distinguish the two cases easily.
>HDMI matrix

Would you care to post the brand and serial for the matrix?
I'm happy to embarrass my future self with a firm prediction. Nothing in the market will happen that will cause people's quality of life to drop until WW3.

The reason I think that is if the pandemic didn't manage it than nothing short of a global war will be enough to shake people's belief in infinite growth (which is what keeps the market alive).
At some point the reputation precedes the company. I think Google has abused customers at edge cases enough that people think twice about their consumer paid product offerings.
_We_ don’t understand us. That question is impossible.
Notably, this is one reason why WoW managed to hit such a wide audience and become so successful. The art design made the game look amazing, but the hardware requirements were so low you could run it on a potato. Its contemporary, Everquest 2, managed to look uglier while being much harder to run.
Decap of a tiny chip that plays Christmas songs
I think this is a good policy, and have often been annoyed that I can’t (rules of the university) mark my students down for such absurd answers.
Agreed, macro predictions are very hard. Much easier to make predictions on individual assets (companies, commodities etc.) and hold long term.

Also, precisely because macro is hard, these analyses often feel superficial.

Inflation, especially if exogenous, can negatively impact the economy but at the same time cash-alternative assets become more attractive. What's the ultimate effect there?

And what about historically low interest rates? Don’t they warrant a shift in investment preferences towards stocks?

Wether a macro prediction turns out to be right or wrong it’s rare to read a deeper argument than “things are too high must go down”.
If I were ever in your position, I'd spend my time building self-sustaining social ventures, a lot of them. I was fortunate enough to experience life in both developing and developed countries, and I can totally see how technology could be used to help less-fortunate people in developing countries. Some examples are access to affordable education or fintech for those who are unbankable in rural areas. Check out the projects that this CS research lab from my alma mater has been doing: https://www.cs.washington.edu/research/c4d
Sponsorblock works by it's users marking parts of videos and then submitting them.
Other users then can vote if these parts are right or not.
How does ADE come into this when it's just about transmission? From what I understood, ADE is mostly about severity of illness, and the severity looks to be down across the board.
Powershell. At least you have actual objects returned and don't have to parse stdio
I look at how frequently an app is released to get a sense of the priority of the mobile app for the company. After manually doing this a bunch of times I decided to automate the process.
crash usually come by way of forced selling. "assets" are no longer dependent on human factors like gdp. cloud and datacenter compute used is a better aggregate indicator then gdp. "assets" are growing exponentially and show no signs of slowing down.
Um no, I was commenting specifically on Omicron infections and I am interested in the fact that the completely unvaccinated are undererepresented percentage-wise in Omicron infections.

I was not commenting on prevention of serious disease.
Even if your users all use high end laptops, this is still a good idea. Making your site fast enough on a craptop will make it blazing fast and delightful for everyone else. It’s like how baseball players warm up with weighted bats.
It's also not the document I was talking about. The OSS wasn't discussing forum sliding or "anger trolling" in the 1940s.
The state of the ecosystem is concerning, but natural. It always takes some time until the best/standard libraries become visible amongst the noise. Lastly, I was looking for Parser combinators and the first three hits and no commits for years. That's definitely a red flag for me.
> You know, seeing one of the few existing Rust CVEs (...)

It is a real world CVE of use-after-free on real world Rust code in production.

This demonstrates that, unlike claims from fanboys, mindlessly migrating to Rust does not magically make your code safe and immune to vulnerabilities such as use-after-free, and just like with any other language you still need to know what you are doing.
What about charismatic poor decision makers, pulling everyone in the wrong direction? Or evil geniuses

Maybe multiply with sign(talent)? And the exponent could be abs(talent):

sing(talent) *
(effort * time) ^
abs(talent)
Show HN: Full-featured+fast SIMD CSV lib, extensible utility & web playground
In the spirit of giving, we give you ZSV/lib, a fully-baked SIMD-powered CSV parser and extensible standalone utility. This is the initial alpha release, and includes select, sql, count, desc(rice), pretty, flatten, 2json, 2tsv, serialize and stack commands, along with a web playground (https://zsvhub.com/playground) demonstrating an extension for converting XLSX/M, generating stratifications and much, much more to come soon. Feedback appreciated. Enjoy!!
Do you have a source for this? Everything I've read about omicron until now is "we don't know".
Why is this on the front page??
I eagerly await the travel ban on Norway.

In late December 2019, my family and myself, in California, caught a really bad respiratory illness. I isolated as soon as I got symptoms, but everyone else got it anyway. It was tested to not be influenza. One of us spent a day in the hospital. And I wonder if it was in fact COVID.

Most papers suggest it hadn’t made it to the US yet. But here we are with a variant that caused outbreaks on other continents a week after first detection, and testing is everywhere. With all our supposed defenses and travel bans, this is the best we can do?

Anyway, no way to know for sure now. We’ve all had three doses so we would have a strong immune response.
Perhaps, but some people do reply to emails, for whatever reason. But that does not alter the fact that the study was conducted in an unethical manner.
But youtube-dl is targeted at a technical audience (it's a command-line application; I know there are GUI wrappers but those aren't what that repo is for.) So by your numbers, youtube-dl would only miss 10% of legitimate bug reports.
> When you use emacs to open a browser-related file, are you or are you not going to be asked "Can Emacs open ~/.mozilla/.... ?" Do you want to be asked this every time? File-by-file persistent answers? How do you turn off a previous "yes" ?

A good example of how WInUI/UWP and macOS entitlements are going to.

And yes you can turn off a previous yes.
Yes, some places suck. They're going to suck either way. If their system is so backwards that they need to manually patch services because everything is EOL, and compiled code will break their workflow, they have plenty of other shit to deal with.

I don't think we should optimize for garbage companies with garbage practices.
Surely it has to be a joke. An infosec guy who only tells you something is insecure after you know from the news is kind of useless.

The point is to keep you secure, not be a slow news relay. In that regard, GP is just really bad at his job.
That's not what the message said. The message asked specific questions about data processing in regards to privacy regulations. Anyone could have sent this message. Hell, i have been on both ends of this message (with CNIL not CCPA) and as an honest person taking part in non-profits i can assure you there's nothing to feel threatened about.

Maybe in your Silicon Valley culture where lawsuits are more easily triggered than private data requests things are different, though. The point is, if the author acknowledged they're running a study in the original email (not the follow-up) they would have skewed their data because corporate assholes don't treat college researchers and common people the same.
Ask HN: Have you accepted the TOS that give FB access to your WhatsApp data?
I noticed that I'm still clicking away the once proposed dialogue of Whatsapp to give all my data away to Facebook.

I have not accepted it and I keep clicking away. And you?
Or maybe if it ain't broke don't fix it. Why bother rewriting functioning systems in the language du jour?
Even more of a silver lining, according to South African data (and the median age <40yo at this party), it is likely there would be no hospitalisations regardless of vaccination status…
> The fact that you even need to run a debloater (that removes most of the user-facing crud), add a package manager, and empathically tell your OS to shut up... I just don't see the point.

I do this for almost anything. I was doing the same thing when I was actively using Ubuntu, Arch or MacOS as a daily driver. Only I can say what is the environment I work in and its by definition impossible for anybody else to get it right.

> Why do I want an enemy for an OS? and even if the OS was friendly, Microsoft certainly isn't, and so: why do I want an enemy's snitch for an OS?

Why are you skipping relevant bits to confirm your biases ? I was fighting all OSes all the time, I fight Windows only on initialization, and other OSes every freaking week. Why would I want that ?

You don't seem to have healthy thought process around big coorps - I don't work for them, and I don't care about ANY of them. When I switched from Windows to Linux it was because I couldn't see that direction where MS was going was good and OS sucked. I was happy with Linux and learned a lot, but I had frequently to do non-trivial job to get trivial things working (like USB). I returned to Windows few years later when they started their FOSS era, and I am now more than happy.

The truth is, I don't care for ANY OS. I don't care for their desktops, shiny init apps, stupid windows managers, control panels. Fuck all of that. Give me kernel, terminal and browser and let me be, I can take it from there. So basically any OS I use looks the same and uses the same x-platform tools.
Attack dogs have a lot of core body / neck strength that they use combined with strong jaws. Definitely dangerous to an unarmed human.

The only thing you have on dogs is that you're smart enough to move to an advantaged position that the dog doesn't understand. Like run through a door and close it, get in a car and run the dog over, grab a gun and shoot the dog, those kinds of options. If you have no options, you're fucked.
> Always catch errors (including timeouts) and give some form of feedback to the user when something went wrong.

The worst offender I hit regularly is Google Meet. I use ADSL most of the day because it works just fine for most I do. Which is either local or ssh or looking up technical resources on the net. Even Google Meet works fine (I don't use a cam). Until I share my screen, which contains nothing but text in full screen. Then Google Meet will forever freeze the shared picture after a couple of minutes without anybody telling so. It's ridiculous that they cannot handle this reasonably, you don't need 30 fps to share a screen of slowly changing text. It's completely user hostile that there is no message for either the sharer or any participant that sharing has frozen and will never recover. This is paid usage of Google Meet.
> Apple or Facebook or Amazon or Microsoft have the cash, but obviously none of them see a sufficient likelihood of sufficient ROI.

Or they're back at their old tricks and are doing cartel stuff again; making secret agreements with each other about respecting each other's home turf.
Just to add far less people have been vaccinated in South Africa. I have heard figures between 25% and 40% at the most optimistic. Booster shots only recently approved. Omicron impact seems way less severe than in the first 3 waves we had. Government hasn't instituted any new restrictions. We still ware masks everywhere but that's about it. It is still early days but some anecdotal articles from front-line care workers indicate it is milder [0].

[0]https://www.moneyweb.co.za/news/companies-and-deals/omicron-...
> over that 10-20 year cycle the market is always net up

This is simply not true especially if you take inflation into account.

And even more so if you look outside the US (one of the top 1% of market performers over the last 100 years - hindsight bias).

For example Japan total return index had a 30 year drawdown post 1989 even in nominal terms. The US market from 1966-1992 total inflation adjusted return (26 years) was zero. http://www.simplestockinvesting.com/SP500-historical-real-to...
"Buy a stock the way you would buy a house. Understand and like it such that you'd be content to own it in the absence of any market" --Warren Buffett (b. 1930)
What do people use YTDL for? Is it to maintain personal records of videos you like?
This is interesting. Can you post links to these reports?
> All languages back then, all of them, were "high-level" languages, including C.

The only interpretation where this assertion rings remotely true is if you follow a definition of "high level language" which boils down to "it's not assembly", which has not been the case for around half a century.

It makes absolutely no sense to claim that languages such as COBOl and C are even close at the same level of abstraction, just because C is compiled, has loops, and has a standard library.
Events like these make the ethics of using vaccine passes (for e.g. entering stores or restaurants) a more interesting question. If the vaccine doesn't significantly stop the spread of the disease but does reduce the risk of hospitalization, then the true purpose of vaccine passes seems to be as a device for socially pressuring individuals into taking the vaccine to reduce the burden on the healthcare system, rather than a measure to control the spread of the disease.
I have no evidence that most people using this technology are artists.
59% (or 73% with the PCR-Positives) seems a rather high rate compared to any seasonal flue. How does it stack up to other airborne viruses?
Likely false negative, or taken prior to symptom incubation, or somehow the guest evaded taking one at all.
Show HN: Notedlinks, Curated resources for developers, designers, and web makers
This should be a surprise to no one. The vaccines are designed to prevent serious disease, hospitalization, and death.

Unfortunately the media has harmfully claimed that the vaccines are “less effective against Omicron” because of the reduction of prevention against any symptomatic disease… which they were never designed to prevent.
yes and here's some excellent metaresearch on the "measles plane" https://counting.substack.com/p/its-that-ds-meme-plane-with-...
As long as we don't know that the infected people isolated for three weeks, we do have a pretty high margin of error here. Also, we would have to seperete the infected into unvaccinated and vaccinated patients.

Only then can we reliably tell anything.
We can look to cryptocurrencies for precedent in how NFT ownership disputes will go. Courts have had no issue looking past meaningless technicalities about “immutable ledgers” and “key-based ownership” to adjudicate disputes about who actually owns cryptocurrencies, and have had no issue with reaching decisions that, for example, cryptocurrencies were stolen because they were transferred to a new address without the permission of the current owner.
Travel bans are being removed for Omicron as most countries already have intra-community spread anyway.
It’s useful to download talks before jumping on a flight.

It’s also useful to pipe the output to mpv and have a native video playback experience.

This is especially useful on Linux where there is no hardware acceleration for video in the web browser.
May I ask, what are your go to 3rd party libraries for the web service part?
Despite my dissatisfaction with Apple policies and way of doing things, they offer native, fast, smooth and not battery-draining experience for the users, because of no Java and Electron crap in most of the apps, unlike Android.
The average parent can definitely lift 18kg with one arm, that's the weight of a 3 year old...
We apply this kind of thinking at work: early on we focused all our energy fixing user problems or adding features that were requested. We realised it is actually a small number of users who volunteer to report to us what's wrong or missing (outside of regular crash/feature tracking) - they are the ones that care enough to make an effort, and it's a small percentage. So we started campaigning to engage users we never heard from, to understand what problems they had that we weren't solving, to get them energised enough to report to us. It's been very successful, engagement has gone up significantly.
Omnicron is a blessing in disguise; the unvaccinated get it, more likely than not don't get hospitalized, but develop an immune response to it regardless. In other words, it effectively vaccinates the unvaccinated. I say let 'er rip, then let's all get on with our lives.
Aaaaaactually... in the postscript he sort of walks back everything. But since the article has mathematical and educational merit on its own, I guess he maintained it.

"My indignation at how the internet dealt with Wald's work was overblown. Stephen Stigler (son of George, and a statistician at the University of Chicago) called my attention to a note by W. Allen Wallis himself in which he mentions Wald's work explicitly in connection with survivorship bias. Wallis' original article in the Journal of the American Statistical Association was followed by two very brief comments and then by a further 'rejoinder' of a bit more than one page. Towards the end of it he says, "The military was inclined to provide protection for those parts that on returning planes showed the most hits. Wald assumed, on good evidence, that hits in combat were uniformly distributed over the planes. It follows that hits on the more vulnerable parts were less likely to be found on returning planes than hits on the less vulnerable parts, since planes receiving hits on the more vulnerable parts were less likely to return to provide data. From these premises, he devised methods for estimating vulnerability of various parts."

Amazing article btw. Thanks. This is what makes HN so unique.
It was in news. It is indicated, meaning "looks like it, but we need more data to confirm thoroughly".
I have to use Gmail for work. I've found Gmail to be pretty slow nowdays. From HN comments on other threads I'm not the only one to have noticed this. It even occasionally fails to load and just hangs at the loading screen requiring a refresh and fingers crossed that the second try succeeds in loading my inbox.

When I return back to my personal email using FastMail the difference is like night and day it loads fast and 99% of the time it works on the first try. I also occasionally use Outlook's webmail for work (as I work across different systems with some on Google and some on O365) and even Outlook webmail is generally faster than Gmail despite my main Outlook mailbox being much larger than my less-used Gmail mailboxes (although it is nowhere as fast as FastMail).

I remember the early days of Gmail -- it was a fantastic product in its heyday better than any other webmail client at the time. The quality has sadly dropped a huge amount especially in recent years to the point there are now viable alternatives. FastMail is one such alternative I have been very impressed with. Even Outlook's webmail is worth a look although the UX could do with some work.
It does seem to help.

Reasonable initial data [0] suggests that if you are over 60 then getting a Pfizer booster does appear to assist.

"The executive summary is that I did find some good evidence, and it has encouraged me to book a third dose."

[0] https://dailysceptic.org/measuring-vaccine-usefulness-withou...