skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
> You can't annualize a daily risk by multiplying by 365 (volatility must be taken into account)

Could you expand on this, or suggest the right search terms? My intuition is that it will be a little bit lower than straight multiplication, but that this a low enough probability that we can get a pretty good approximation by ignoring the "impossibility" of an individual dying multiple times during that year. Is there another complicating factor?

>> over 1000 deaths per 100,000 people per year for the double vaccinated but not boosted.
> We know this isn't even close to true by looking at aggregate numbers.

I agree it seems extremely high, but I think this is the clear claim of the paper. There were 85,000 people who were never vaccinated, and over the 54 day period of the study, 137 of them died. Thus if you were to extend the study to a year, you should expect more than 1000 deaths. As I see it, the possibilities are a) the paper is lying, b) I'm grossly misinterpreting what it says, or c) the current death rate in Israel for those older than 50 is about 1% even among the doubly vaccinated. If you have time to read it more closely, I'd love to hear what your thoughts on the discrepancy.

Edit: I realize I should've added another option d) the statistics are hopelessly confounded and the results don't mean anything. My current suspicion is that if people who contract Covid early are no longer eligible for receiving a booster, the apparent Covid incidence in the not-boosted arm may be drastically inflated, but I'm not sure if this is a large enough effect to negate the result.
Same. I think Carolina Gold is massively overrated, and definitely overpriced. There are thousands of articles hyping the stuff, which makes me curious seeing as Anson Mills seems like a small outfit.
The main thing the central package manager has to do is support uploading some significant number of .asc PGP signature files (max 10? max 100?) alongside a specific package. That's enough for third parties to start experimenting.

The package manager might also boost search rankings for packages with multiple sigs, but it's just one contributing measure of "kwalitee", like docs, a complete metadata file, etc.
Democracy has always faced the problem that come elections, every living soul has one vote, but not every soul is equally equipped to be critical about information they are exposed to.

The solution is not to inhibit freedom of thought and speech, it is to teach new generations of people to be more critical.

Ultimately in the long run democracy and free societies are always more likely to triumph against authoritarian societies, because the will of the people prevents the governments from endlessly doing moronic or corruptive actions. If they do, they will get voted out in the next election cycle. Authoritarian governments don’t have that luxury, if the glorious leader decides to run against a wall year after year in full speed because they think they are right, they will and nobody dares to stop the train.

So the enemy is not disinformation, it is the gullible mind. We need to educate critical thinking, without going too deep into values. Then our societies will sort this shit out.

On a tangent, when a political entity is dismantling education of critical thought and science in school systems, you should know it’s because they know their political rule depends on people not thinking critically.
For BIRD Internet Routing Deamon, we solved financing issue by offering support contracts ( https://bird.network.cz/?support ). If you develop free software that is mission-critical for some companies, then it makes sense for such companies to pay for support both to get developed features they need and to ensure there is someone to help them if something unexpected happens. Even in cases where no real support is needed and the contract is de-facto sponsoring, i guess for many corporations it may be more acceptable to bill it as support.
One of my first summer intern jobs was recreating the boot deck for a PDP 8. The first card in the deck had become damaged and there was no backup. We had an old assembler listing of the boot program but no assembler. I did not know PDP assembly but knew 6502, Z80 and 370. I had done all my Z80 writing machine code directly as I had no assembler there either. So I read the PDP docs and hand assembled the first card. It was a relief when I found that the first instruction on the second card lined up as did the next several and the last instruction on the second card. We were pretty sure we had the right deck. I powered on the PDP, keyed the boot sequence, hit run and the deck loaded. The ready light came on and I loaded the next deck, the copy deck program. It loaded successfully as well and I reloaded the boot deck in to the card reader. Pressing the start button was a moment of suspense but when the card punch started clacking out a duplicate deck I was able to breathe a sigh of relief.

We had talked at lunch that day about making a special boot deck whose sole purpose would be to punch a replacement standard boot deck, but it seemed too ambitious for something rarely needed.

Asking a few years later, the boot deck had lasted until the machine had been retired. The backup deck had never been used
Private platforms can choose not to amplify hateful shit.
Will we see the rise of Libc shims soon like those for JavaScript? RISC V feature support looks notoriously fragmented.
Ask HN: Where to find pre-seed or seed stage startups?
A few years ago, AngelList had a big database of companies in this stage. But today, this doesn’t seem to be available as they have pivoted what their product is. Where would you go to find a small company that has similar interests to yours?
I truly despise the leetcode style of interviewing. It comes off as completely lazy and ineffective for most companies, and is a terrible indicator of how talented individuals are. I've been in the field for about a decade and have been on both sides of the interview table more than I can remember. I'm at the point where if I get asked these kinds of pointless questions at a screening phase, it is a signal I probably don't even care to work for them. If they don't care enough to actually create a meaningful interview process rather than copy+pasting the dumb Silicon Valley company pointless leetcode interviewing template, then they're clearly not somewhere I want to work.

The worst experience I had was applying for a couple of large companies like Peloton and Compass. They outsourced the leetcode interviewing process to some arbitrary company in Russia. Not only did I not have the chance to ask any questions of the company, but I had to do absolutely pointless trick questions for an arbitrary third party. It was an absolute waste of time that I only did once and told the other company basically to fuck off. Seriously, if a company can't even run their own interviews what is the freaking point?? It's an absolute absurdity and I cannot believe that this practice is so common.
I've never understood the fascination with these narratives. Many of my relatives are adamant about China's dynastic streak. Also, the idea that different languages are dialects of Mandarin, when in truth many of them, like Cantonese, developed earlier or in parallel.
Until $megacorp doesn't like you maintaining your baby, forks your project, and takes the community from you with their resources and gravity.
> Thus there will always be a higher value placed on money you get today versus money you get in the future

Yeah, that SHOULD be the case because "money you get in the future" should be subject to existential risk. If you want to artificially "mobilize money" then you are going to get all sorts of fucked up things like environmental destruction in the service of thoughtless consumption ("spending on crappy shit from china is good for the economy!!1"), ponzi schemes, incentivised malinvestment, and cheating labor out of their wages:

https://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/02/13/the-case-for-hi...

"it’s really, really hard to cut nominal wages. Yet when you have very low inflation, getting relative wages right would require that a significant number of workers take wage cuts. So having a somewhat higher inflation rate would lead to lower unemployment, not just temporarily, but on a sustained basis."

Think about it this way: If we did not inflate the money, increased productivity (e.g. through technological efficiency gains) would result in everyone reaping the benefits, capitalism would be a rising tide that lifts all boats. Instead, we funnel those societal gains to the most privileged in our society, i.e. bankers and people who are good at writing government grants and good at getting awarded contracts.
I welcome you to disclose any holding in cryptocurrencies you have in interest of transparency about your financial incentives
Honestly speaking, nobody should be surprised by this. Javascript on the server is a daft pursuit, and shops that rely on it are continuously rolling the dice on their uptime anyway. Anyone can release a NodeJS package, and anyone can pick it up as a dependency.

Which is nominally true for Java. But Java enjoys the advantage of maturity. These things are supposed to have been foreseen. Java projects have a lot more resources thrown at them by their orgs, and there is a great deal of talent out there making sure all of this stuff is reliable.

This... caught that whole ecosystem off guard. Javascript devs have to always be on guard, because Javascript is the wild west. Nobody blissfully using and loving Javascript really understands why Javascript has so much trouble coming up with a standard library, but anyone who gets deep enough into Java understands very painfully why you just can't rely on it like you can Java.

Nobody starts asking sober, realistic questions when Javascript breaks because Javascript is always breaking.
> There is no universal objective truth.

So you're saying it's true that there's no objective truth?
Until we get to extremely high renewable penetration, that doesn't much matter. And at that point, the cost is still going to be cheaper than nuclear, most likely. You optimize with short and long term storage, demand dispatch, and transmission.
who gets to decide what is "hateful shit" ?
> How much would it cost Google to hash out a minimum viable rewrite of log4j2? Probably not much.

Building software is expensive. Based on a quick glance at the repository, it would probably cost $1+ million in developer salaries to replace it. To a company the scale of Google that isn't a lot of money, but they're benefiting a lot more than they let on
Unless people are generally more forgetful than me, they can probably remember that the red delicious or gala apple they bought last week tastes worse than a honey crisp or cosmic crisp or whatever.

People might be choosing less tasty fruits and vegetables because they are cheaper, but they are not ignoring tastier ones because they do not care about taste.
They put themselves between a rock and a hard place burning the major version number into the name of the library.

Changing the major version number as long it's accompanied by a well written release note on what needs to change seems fine.
I'm not under the impression that GP means to suggest you personally have any obligation to donate time to OSS by virtue of being an employee at a large company.

Something I believe we agree on is that it is in the interest of large tech companies to spend time fixing critical security bugs in their own programs, regardless of who originally wrote the malfunctioning code and for whom said code was written.

One way to fix those bugs would be to create a patch for the external OSS library in instances where such a library is the origin of the vulnerability. This is especially practical when that library is used heavily as a basic piece of the company's common software development framework.

GP appears to be arguing that these patches should be upstreamed instead of simply being maintained internally until the bug is patched by someone else in the OSS community.
>Systemic lopsided moderation (i.e. censorship) of one political viewpoint is absolutely denying people the right to participate in the democratic process.

I still see plenty of content from various political viewpoints, far left to far right, on every forum and social media platform I visit. This "systemic lopsided moderation of one political viewpoint" you're referring to doesn't really exist apart from right-wing propaganda.
Well the first is that it's possible to not be registered to vote. If that's the case, there's nothing you need to do. My sense was that most people are registered to vote and this seems to be backed up by AEC (Australian Electoral Commission) statistics [1].

So if you are registered, then wherever you live, you'll bein a giant book. When you show up to vote, you just tell them your name and they draw a line through it. If you're out of your district, you can still vote. You just need to fill out an absentee voting form wherever you go to. This information is collated after the fact for failures to appear or duplicates.

I believe if you fail to appear you just get mailed a fine that starts at $20 [2]. I'm not sure this enforcement is 100%. At least, I've never known anyone who has gotten one. Then again, not voting seems to be relatively uncommon.

Voting, in my experience, is straightforward and quick. It's never taken me more than 5-10 minutes. The polling places are typically schools (which you can use, because it's on a Saturday) and I've never had to wait for more than a few minutes.

But this is why mandatory appearance is so important: the AEC is then responsible for making sure there is sufficient capacity. They can't play games with making it harder or easier in particular districts. Mandatory appearance frees the AEC from any partisan traps of that particular type.

[1]: https://www.aec.gov.au/enrolling_to_vote/enrolment_stats/

[2]: https://www.elections.wa.gov.au/vote/failure-vote#:~:text=Th....
What I don't quite understand is why the "null hypothesis" here is frequently assumed to be "crows are not self-aware". We have no idea how prevalent self-awareness in the animal kingdom actually is, so shouldn't it rather be "we don't know whether crows are self-aware or not"?
> because appearance is immediately obvious while taste must be remembered and most consumers don't.

I find this hard to believe. Foods and taste is one of the most common experiences people have and converse about. Your last paragraph is just supporting that people might not be willing or able to spend the extra money for the tastiest fruits and vegetables.
The Ford Fusion, ford a mid-size sedan, it stepped away from the boring look of the camry and accord.
Checkout these images on DuckDuckGO:

https://duckduckgo.com/?q=ford+fusion&t=ffab&atb=v223-1&iar=...
Can you plese define what that political viewpoint is you're talking about?

Is it saying that the government should be smaller and not involved in everyday life, or is it doing things like claiming an election was stolen, which has led to real world harm (poll workers receiving death threats), or calling for violence?
Who? I'm willing to bet substantial money that none of the major US based insurers use Facebook data in any real sense.

This is one of those things that sounds plausible to people not in insurance, but I'd you look at the regulatory structure makes little sense.

What they do use is prior claim history and public records (credit, driver license etc). That's most likely where the differences you've seen come from.
Another day another article from the NY Times advocating censorship. Now they want Google and Bing to censor search results all under the guise of protecting people from suicide. People were committing suicide successfully before the internet and websites on the subject.
This essay looks like the business model for free software since Cygnus, thirty years ago - and yet, here we are.

I have asked if he has a version that addresses the history of these ideas, and how they've worked out - because the history is a very long one.

I would suggest moving away from permissive licenses, which are "just take my stuff." Companies don't even throw in their alterations.

Stallman was 100% right about the importance of software freedom, and strong copyleft. AGPL more of the things. AGPL your latest Rust libraries.
The platforms.
Same for the Unreal Engine
Why do you think it's not possible to build more battery factories?
Humans had been in the Americas for thousands of years, yet these 32 genera vanished all at the same geologic instant, simultaneously with the Clovis culture itself.

This does not mean humans have not also participated in numerous extinctions, ancient and modern. It only means we cannot be responsible for the sudden American extinctions.

Given more time, we would no doubt have wiped out many of the species. But horses and camels survive on other continents, exposed to humans. Why would Americans have, uniquely, chosen them to wipe out?
All the news / post / article I read on Facebook or Twitter are retweets / forwarded by people I followed. It means ultimately I am the one who is actually selectively sourcing all these information. "ranking algorithms" just rank them in better orders.

It doesn't matter how good your blackbox algorithms are. Junk in And Junk out.
How long until Google pulls funding for Firefox to kill the browser so that ad blocking becomes impossible across the board?
They're "beholden to the voters" only in an aggregated sense. Most democracies are representative, so if there's an elite consensus around an issue, it's easy to end up in a situation where a few unpopular policies get enacted or a few popular policies don't. This is ultimately too niche of a topic for many people to be single-issue voters about.
Yeah I was considering asking in my reply to dang, but figured that this mod code just runs separately from the rest and it's a tracking thing rather than something supposed to be computed for everyone, so it's probably just not integrated with the rank computation code and instead sets a flag/boolean on the story, updated every minute or something. Didn't think the details mattered enough to take more of his time, though if more people are interested then perhaps it's warranted (so feel free to just reply there and ask imo).
A while back I got my motorcycle endorsement on my driver's license which required a class. The instructor taught us "to go left, push left", meaning push on the left handlebar (another way of saying "turn right", I guess). This idea was completely foreign to me but he insisted we all do it.

What I discovered is that I most certainly do NOT turn right to go left. While I could do what he was suggesting (pushing on the left handlebar) and it would achieve the desired effect of transitioning me from a straight line to a right turn, it is not how I ride a bike (bicycle or motorcycle). I spent a long time experimenting with this, and from what I can tell, my natural way of turning is to shift my center of gravity by leaning my upper body. I truly, honestly do not think that I turn right first in order to go left (normally). I can see why people say this works, but I'm convinced this is not how I ride a bike.

I think the "turn right to go left" is a way of using the bike to force you to lean. As best I can tell, I just skip that and do the leaning myself.
It's an interesting story but it's unlikely that there is any alien machine material on our planet. Interstellar distances are unimaginably vast and there is no technology that allows for travel to neighboring stars. Even if we found "material", it's still composed of elements that are the same for all locations in the cosmos. There are no special elements per se. Chemistry and nucleosynthesis is the same everywhere. I can't rule out unusual isotopes of elements, that is true. So it would be hard to say something came from another star system.
Do you miss anything from Webpack? My latest project is ts/tsx heavy and I've spent way more time than I'd like just keeping incremental builds under a minute, and it's not doing anything crazy in that time either.
> who gets to decide what is "hateful shit" ?

The people who are being asked to use their private resources to amplify it.

That's called freedom of speech (and freedom of the press.)
I concussed myself (because yes, I was at fault) trying to swing on some monkey bars during an evening involving some rather excellent (hard) cider in Bristol. I felt ... "wrong"? ... for maybe two or three months afterwards. Just never at ease. Forgetful. A bit confused and detached. I didn't even realize the fall was the cause until long after the hangover went away, but the hangover .. sort of didn't go away.

Until it did. No guarantees, but it's possible everything can turn out okay. I have a whole new set of worries, but my noggin isn't one of them.
> Usually (as per ASF rules) the team should wait 72 hours after creating a release candidate before publishing the release to give the community enough time to review and cast their votes. We are building consensus to shorten that window for this particular release, given its urgency.

from: https://github.com/apache/logging-log4j2/pull/608#issuecomme...

If you read more of the history of the release you'll find that additional vectors were found in the RC process that were also fixed.
> This one is easy. There is no integrity of facts.

That's wrong. If the election is on November 2nd that is an objective fact.
It's really not that big a deal. You certainly don't need perfect 10ms packets for most games. Client side prediction goes a long way. For something like VR the physics would need robust client side handling anyway. 10ms isn't good enough.

If we're talking about a virtual web, we will not be spending the server resources on always connected apps the majority of the time. Surely we'll have heavy client side scripting for most interactions.
Reminds me of my injury in 2016. At first I felt optimistic like this guy, looking forward to full recovery. But as the years passed, I realized it will never go back to the way it was before. You just have to adjust to the fact that this is your life now. It sucks
Logging isn't only error catching (though I do use it for that). Logging also gets you metrics, access info, timing info, etc. You can get a lot of insights out of the http access logs of a server, even without having errors.
I have problems raising a PO for $10, it's a massive hassle to go through to explain to people nowhere near my department how it works

Spinning up an AWS instance costing $10 a month is trivial because the buisness has decided to empower employees with unlimited funds to spend on it.

So how can I spin up a $10 a month "instance" which goes to say ffmpeg developers, or apache developers, or openjdk developers, or whatever, with only a small overhead going to AWS and the majority of that money going to the people my business relies on.
The people choosing whether or not to repeat it. I.e. the people that make up the tech companies.
Why general inheritance is flawed and how to finally fix it
Looks like at 3000rpm, the 50 round mag will impact the target within human reaction time, in a spread similar to a shotgun's.
Volvo are upping their game and honestly Chinese brands have a really great design language but the brand power of non-Volvo Chinese brands is weak.

Lucid too, but they only have one model

> BMW

The new grill won me over , especially on the 3/4 series and the M versions

> Porsche

They have the great advantage of not having to pay for designers ever since the Beetle /s

> Audi

The best in terms of individual model design and also overall

Kinda sad that Mercedes-Benz lost their way, they are not even putting the star on the hood anymore , except for the S-Class and the Maybach

In terms of supercars I'd say Ferrari but I really mean Pininfarina, they do Lambos and Zondas as well IRC