skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
If any of that were true, we'd have seen it in the old-line industries sales growth during the last five years. That hasn't been the case at all (and wasn't prior to Covid either). Global growth is not going to accelerate in some great way this decade, it's going to be mediocre as China struggles mightily with growth and debt, among other serious problems. Japan, Germany, Britain, France will all remain stagnant (as they have for most of the past decade plus net). Other Asia will produce growth, but there's no guarantee US industrials will have great access to that growth; if those countries (eg Vietnam, Indonesia, India, etc) are smart, they'll pull a China and favor their own domestic context as they grow (which India already does quite a bit of for its part).

> Untold numbers of people in the third world are rapidly approaching middle-class status, buying fridges and cars and so on

Not made in America fridges or cars. Those fridges won't likely be made by US companies in Asia, either. Not cars made by GM or Ford (trucks actually, as they hardly make cars these days). And those relatively poor global median consumers can't afford Teslas (now or in 20 years). And those emerging consumers aren't buying $45,000 US trucks either. The best case scenario for old US industry is to tread water, to not lose ground while sparring with China and all the other emerging market companies.

Most of the major emerging markets are going to come up ready to fight with their own champions, as China has (although not as potently as they've done it). The US old-line companies are at risk of getting their collective head punched in as a lot of new companies come up out of emerging markets looking to dethrone them. Mid-tier manufacturing will plausibly see a huge threat from emerging market companies pushing up the value chain, while high-tier manufacturing is absolutely going to take a direct assault from China (Boeing, Deere, autos, semiconductors, et al.).

As it pertains to the US, the only type of company I'd be interested in being over the next decade, is a tech company with (ideally) global use potential. Everything else is largely going to suck big time, either due to pricing power problems with USD erosion domestically (constant battle there), or intense competition problems overseas (and or market access problems in locations like China). An extra aside: along with particularly not wanting to be Boeing this decade, I wouldn't want to be Starbucks (just wait until you see what China does to them).
Thanks! And that's a good point about EFS, it's something I've found very useful too. I'm planning to add some updates to the book, so I'll put it on my list of things to include.

Thanks for the feedback!
always.about.money
Not to mention the fact that even if it works in removing some ageing factors, most of your cohort still probably ends up running into the sort of ailments that terminate most people's lives before the theoretical limit to their lifespan. And those other ailments represent challenging, but more easily testable medical problems to solve first
Recon trace is a worthwhile addition. I've used it for some hairy production bugs that don't reproduce locally. Allows you to unobtrusively instrument a running system and echo back function calls with their params, including process targeting if needed.

There are a number of powerful tools for BEAM runtime tracing. I prefer this one because the API is simple enough to commit to memory, and it protects against some common foot guns.

https://ferd.github.io/recon/recon_trace.html
The price of bitcoin is just the most someone's willing to pay for it right now.

If it dropped to zero it wouldn't mean any bitcoin or USD disappeared, just that no one wants to buy it; mathematically everything still adds up.

The 300B number comes from market cap. Take the current price of BTC, multiply it by the number of BTC, and call that the value of bitcoin as a whole. But that's just an overly simple guess to the total value, not a mathematical fact.

Reality is of course more complicated: Imagine the BTC market as an order book. Maybe there's 10 people with an order to buy for 6k or less, 3 people with an order to buy at 5.7k 5 people with an order to buy at 5.5k or less, etc.

Then if someone sells 18 bitcoin they'll get 6k for the first 10, 5.7k for the next 3, and 5.5k for the rest; while causing the price to lower from 6k to 5.5k. Since there's way more BTC than this hypothetical person sold, it causes the market cap to lower much more than the amount of money they made.

And of course this too isn't static in the real world. Some people may sell when they see the price going down, some people may _buy_ when they see the price going down, and general unregulated chaos.
And Gwei almost hit $1k! Triggered by the rush of eth holders to the exit. None of the proposed eips do anything to de-incentivize "surge pricing" in mining rewards during "bank panics". It would be counter-productive to growing the network. But an interesting economic phenomenon to watch in real time just the same. Akin to price gouging gasoline during a hurricane ;)
IMO this talk is about n intersection of two things:

1. Waterfall (The Good Parts)
2. Focused vs Diffuse thinking as described in Barbara Oakley's Learning How To Learn course [1]

What I missed from the Waterfall[2] days, is taking the time to think on a problem and proper software architecture/design. Depending on the complexity it was one to several weeks of thinking, while writing the SDD[3] document. And then having a proper design review meeting.

Under Agile/Scrum everything was rushed, and you had to plan a sprint of work in a day or two, and each feature under a hour in a synchronous meeting. Obviously it's impossible to arrive to a good design decisions that way, and you just grab the first available seemingly working solution.

--

1. https://www.coursera.org/learn/learning-how-to-learn

2. What I though was Waterfall, was actually RUP (Rational Unified Process)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rational_Unified_Process

3. Software Design Document
The blockchain tracks bitcoin transactions not USD. The USD price of Bitcoin can change without any on chain transactions.

Market cap is last price times total supply. Only a few coins are sold each day compared to the total supply so changes in price have a magnified affect on market cap.

For example a blockchain has 10 coins and a fixed price initial sale at 1$ per coin. All coins are sold so the market cap is 10$ which refects the total money sunk into the coin.

But now someone sells their coin for 2$. The market cap is now 20$ but only 11$ we're spent on the coins.
If there is an opportunity in the market to create a better job, then someone should capitalize on the opportunity. If the opportunity does not exist or cannot be manifested into existence due to a lack of imagination, who is to blame?

Bad is better than worse. Any incremental improvement is better still, but Utopia is always unattainable. The world is an unfair place. We can work to make it better. However conditions will never be ideal.

These bad jobs are still better than worse jobs. The premise is an appeal to Utopia. The logic is regressive. Unfair is subjective. Working conditions have generally improved over the years. Given the choice, laborers of the past would prefer the present. In the present unfairness can always be appealed to.

The ideal job might be to collect money while enjoying a leisure activity or pursuing a passion. One role of the entrepreneur is to manifest these situations into profitable enterprises. This is the kind of work which improves labor conditions.

Regressive appeals to unfairness will not get us there.
Test Double React (TDR) Project Layout
This is key. We're not looking at a statically behaving population, but a dynamic one.
Yea, my experience has been that after getting deep with Elixir and understanding how and why it (and the BEAM) works the way it does, everything else feels very limiting. Like I know all of the problems I’m willingly setting myself up for long term.
By downloading Acrobat Reader instead.
I'm not a crypto-bro.
The crypto(graphy)wars of the 90s were doomed to failure. Restrictions on cryptography were ultimately about controlling algorithms with certain sized inputs. Its trying to make some math illegal. It seems nonsensical in 2021.

The crypto(currency) wars of 20s ARE doomed to failure. Restrictions on cryptocurrency were ultimately about controlling algorithms with certain inputs. Its trying to make some math illegal.
Which early bitcoin adopters? The tech people who worked on the protocols and had the ability to save up enough money to go work on a startup? Or do you mean the people who bought bitcoin early which was literally gambling that happened to pay off.

Did the comment age poorly because lottery winners are well off now?
I think “you’re holding it wrong” was just a hot take on Jobs suggesting holding the phone differently. I don’t know if there was only one way to hold it to trigger the problem as I could never reproduce the problem. (It seemed to only affect some people.)

Jobs seemed to be feeling a little defensive in that event and probably not really thinking through everything that he said so it came off more harsh that it might otherwise.
No, that's literally not how it works. Read the article I linked.

Even if the cabal of miners decided to make a change in the protocol and print themselves bunch of free coins, those mined blocks would get rejected by the full nodes, which compose the Bitcoin network and validate all the transactions.
It's going to zero folks. Sell now.
How is a PWA different from adding a site to your homescreen?
You said I’m cherry picking extremists, Im just looking at the top posts.
Most fun thing is to think how much of the underlining thing for marketcap is even on market... With bitcoin it is known that decent fraction hasn't moved in years. So why is this even included in calculation?

Might even make sense to calculate how much is on cold wallets of known entities and then add to those how many actual coins have moved in let's say in year. Then multiply this number by price to get more realistic idea of market cap.
Dude, you recently had a right wing mob storm your parliament in an attempt to overthrow a democratic election in favor of a leader with clear fascist tendencies. Come on.
Socialism (noun): a political and economic theory of social organization which advocates that the means of production, distribution, and exchange should be owned or regulated by the community as a whole.

Sounds like big government to me.
> it just means that government spending will be kept on check and limited by the amount of money they can tax from people

Governments can borrow money with or without fiat currency, so I don't know where you got the idea that a crypto-currency would stop governments from borrowing.
Oh, to be clear I had rebuilt it 8 years ago. At the time it was either rebuild the Tek that the university lab was throwing out, or no scope at all. I had to wait for a good deal on a scrap one, someone was selling a scope that had had the front panel entirely smashed. But yeah, it was not an easy afternoon project. I wouldn't recommend it, but I did have fun and it looks great on the bench.
For what its worth, I've seen something even more tacky than this. A company rented a ballroom of a hotel and had 2 meetings. 9am: Lay off several hundred people. 10am: Celebration for those still employed. Some people designated for 9am showed up late. It was very awkward.
Big techs are relevant primarily because there are no other companies that can 1. execute its business reasonably well 2. at the planetary scale. There are some other factors including anti-competitive business practices but that won't work without its own edge; MS was not able to stop Google and the same thing for Google to FB as well.

I've seen many HN readers claiming they can build a FB clone overnight, but that's not even the tip of iceberg. Serving your service to billions of people across hundreds of different languages, cultures geographical areas with different legal, financial, logistical infrastructures is at the fundamentally different level of complexity than building a toy project. This is not just for big techs, there are literally thousands of uninteresting but extremely profitable businesses simply for this very reason. And big techs owns platform which brings them to another level...
Just like a bunch of pump and dumps... before they went down for the last time.

I’m not taking a stand on crypto here, just pointing out a logical fallacy, namely, the data is incomplete and we don’t know the future.
Yes, but the public response will be completely different. We're not looking at a virus in a petri dish here, but one that circulates in a human society. That's what tends to lead the virus towards a less lethal evolution.
As if it's effective.
Very strange! Mine was not quite as happy a story, but here in Silicon Valley (1mi from Facebook) I got a local ISP announcing fiber, and the very next week AT&T was running their own lines. This was back in 2019, and it felt like "everyone" had fiber before we did. 2 years later I guess it feels like old hat. And the local ISP has not yet run the fiber they promised. But one fast ISP is better than zero!

Good luck with your deployment. I'm still so happy about it.
Monospace Acid Test
These are all good and totally valid points but in the end I don't think they explain why crypto is down.

I think it is pure risk off.
I used this very guide a while ago and found it and the tools it teaches very enjoyable. Downright fun to use.

On the Rust side, I had to learn Box and RefCell to achieve my goals.
>The price of bitcoin seesawed later Saturday after El Salvador President Nayib Bukele, whose country adopted bitcoin as a national currency in September, said in a Twitter post that the country had bought 150 coins for an average of $48,670 each. “El Salvador just bought the dip!” he said. He later wrote that the country had “Missed the f**ing bottom by 7 minutes,” followed by a laughing emoji.

El Salvadore needs to be cut off from the world financial markets; or at least USD markets. World Bank and IMF need to refuse to do transact with the country at all. This bitcoin experiment is going to end in disaster.
I made a dead simple tool today for this purpose to try out svelte:

https://dev-logs.netlify.app/
There is no banning crypto-currencies. Making the on and off ramps too hard for majority is a real possibility on other hand.
They call it GAFA on Japanese news

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gU6QVlPq4gA
In the event that you’re unaware.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Jungle

The food regulations in the US didn’t spring unexpectedly and wholly formed from the minds of politicians like some legal Athena. They were in response to actual, documented issues with food preparation. They are explicitly beneficial for the populace unless you think getting food poisoning commonly is a good thing
Interesting!

I noticed "It can also be used for annotating other kinds of text" and wanted to experiment with being able to number specific letters in a string.

More specifically, SMILES is a linear molecular structure notation. "O" is water, "COO" is ethyl alcohol, "c1ccccc1" is a benzene ring, and much more. (See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Simplified_molecular-input_lin... .)

I want to annotate atom positions in the SMILES string. I currently do this with ("pip install smiview") text over the string, as this example using phenol.

1 23456 7
c1ccccc1O

I wanted to try it with ruby so I used:

<ruby>
c<rt>1</rt>1c<rt>2</rt>c<rt>3</rt>c<rt>4</rt>c<rt>5</rt>c<rt>6</rt>1
</ruby>

The "2" is located over the center of "1c" instead of over the second "c" like I wanted.

How do I get it to center only over the "c"?

I tried changing the CSS too, using this catch-all:

ruby {
font-size: 2em;
ruby-align: center;
text-align: center;
}
* {ruby-align: center;}

No luck. I also tried wrapping things in a span, like:

c<rt>1</rt>1<span>c<rt>2</rt></span>c<rt>3</rt>

but got the 3 as a new ruby line, centered over the "1cc", itself with a ruby "2" between the second and third "c".

I tried other combinations of <span>, to no avail.
Nitter.net is down due to DMCA complaints
> El Salvadore needs to be cut off from the world financial markets; or at least USD markets. World Bank and IMF need to refuse to do transact with the country at all

I fail to see how that would improve their situation.
I used to be a big proponent of self-hosting. The raw hardware cost makes it look like a great deal. However in my experience hardware is less than 5% of salary cost and having enough admins on hand to make your infra reliable is usually going to end up costing you more in the end.
That's reductio ad absurdum ... a logical fallacy. It's like saying restrictions on digital child pornography are doomed to failure because they're about controlling certain bit strings. But as it turns out, people involved in that kind of stuff get identified; get arrested; go to prison; and society abhors and rejects their behavior.
You can directly query `getaddrinfo` with

getent ahosts myhost
Fractional reserve banking is 400 years old. Fintechs aren't involved in that.

Money lending is thousands of years old.
I agree with that. My point was simply that if bitcoin were successful it could provide an untraceable haven that the government would have a difficult time in taxing.
LOL dude it's a subreddit with 30k followers. You should probably figure out how that translates to the real world and not panic just because a few people have made some posts that have gotten some comments.
Amazon Beat Supply Chain Chaos with Ships, Containers and Planes
Again - where is the extremism there that relates at all to your original statement of 'Definitely people that don’t want to work at all.'..?

I think you're being intellectually dishonest and am choosing to exit this conversation now as I don't see you responding to the above query in good faith after giving you another chance already. Have a good weekend.
The perpetual motion machine analogy is quite apt, because fighting aging is ultimately fighting entropy. Both are doomed to fail in their quixotic battle against thermodynamics.
It wouldn't help El Salvadore. But it would prevent the future fallout from spreading to other markets.
There's always a greater fool
So nothing to do with the context of the thread.
The primary value proposition of bitcoin is as a “currency” but the technical limitations on transaction throughput mean it will never be a viable currency at scale. Also the volatility of bitcoin value also makes it a terrible currency.

Thus it boils down to just some random thing that people have arbitrarily decided has value, like we did with tulip bulbs centuries ago.

This “story” has been told many times thought history and we know how this story ends. The technology is interesting, but the “value” of the coins seems built on a house of cards just waiting to collapse. Although like anything in that space, including tulip bulbs, those that can get in and out at the right time can make a killing while the suckers are left holding the bag at the end.
> The service industry isn’t a monolithic evil.

It does somewhat seem that people don't like working in it. From reading the antiwork subreddit, the general feeling appears to be that they want to improve the conditions (by rejecting bad jobs, or unionising) which suggests there is something to be desired.
Surely it's not hard to come up with ways to avoid being the guinea pig. Find multiple aging based ailments that have lots of patients and fund a study.
> This tool is named deceptively.

It's a trademark violation, in that "FirefoxPWA" improperly implies that that Firefox is the brand behind the product. This isn't likely to go all the way to a court of law, but if it did it would be an open and shut case. The author should do the polite thing and rename their product.

Legally proper alternatives would be "PWAs for Firefox" or more clearly, "PWA Installer for Firefox" as suggested elsethread. Those aren't necessarily great product names, but they illustrate a point: the inversion makes it clear that this is a third party offering, rather than something coming from Firefox.

For what it's worth I don't think the author intended to create marketplace confusion, because the full product description "Progressive Web Apps for Firefox" makes it clear it's a third-party offering. It should be possible to resolve this amicably.
Are there examples up somewhere?

Having seen pictures and then experiencing AR myself (just HoloLens) I feel like honest photoshopping is probably the best we can do. But then that doesn't take into account the actual two-eye experience (maybe even more important in a monocular display), and the effect of movement.

I was doing a little user study recently where I was using HoloLens and the researcher was watching the streaming view. I felt like I had to keep explaining what I was really seeing because the stream felt so inaccurate.

How can you use an image to show the displayed image intersecting or displaying behind a real object? A stereoscopic capture might help, but seeing how things react to head movement is a big part of visual understanding. A short stereoscopic video might give some of that, and yet there is still a difference between watching that video and being the person that moves their head to interrogate the environment.
Powering Starlink on the go with Tesla Model 3
That never happens. You're talking about a fantasy scenario that only exists in a formula on a piece of paper, not in reality. Salaries will not step match USD erosion, incomes will get mauled as they tend to historically when confronted with inflation, and it'll cause increasing social chaos as the real standard of living drops (out of desperation for bargaining power, unions are likely to get more interest as a consequence).
> In a purely electric car world, all street parking will have charger stations like they would have analog parking meters a few decades ago.

Will it? Every city parking spot in every city in the world potentially pulling ~220V @ ~60 amps overnight seems like an awful lot of electricity to generate, to say nothing of the expense of running all of the necessary cabling and charging stations. Are there cities actively implementing that strategy?
> And Gwei almost hit $1k!

You mean Ethereum gas prices almost hit 1k Gwei?

> None of the proposed eips do anything to de-incentivize "surge pricing" in mining rewards during "bank panics".

I'm assuming that you're talking about gas price surges, as gas prices don't directly correlate with mining rewards (since EIP-1559 was implemented).

What sort of mechanism would you propose to disincentivize surge pricing? Block space is a limited resource that's auctioned off, so a naive price cap would come with its own whole set of problems. I have never heard of a fair way to disincentivize surge pricing, but if you have an idea, I would love to hear it!
>>...*my hat is off to the people who designed and implemented ADSL.*

Maybe a few will recall: San Jose California, in the epicenter of Silicon Valley -- but for some reason Comcast (was previously called *COVID*) -- and you couldnt get DSL in San Jose at the time .... literally down the street from Netflix, and freaking home DSL took YEARS for it to reach our houses...

(My point is that it was ironic that in the heart of silicon valley we couldnt even get DSL due to COVID/Comcast