skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
> The main reason why competitive market price movements tend to be stochastic and I(1), and tend to exhibit little highly profitable predictable seasonality, is because if that wasn’t true, then people would be able to make free money and markets would no longer be weak-form efficient.

Oh no! Someone invoked weak-form efficiency! I guess every market maker should shut down now?

OP is trying to criticize the hypothetical Prophet-trader because Prophet seems to rely on trivial seasonalities for forecasting. But he is ignoring that the bare minimum configuration for Prophet requires several injections of domain expertise (or at least bias):

- Prophet predicts event frequencies, not prices/events. So presumably it must be used in conjunction with another price model.

- The Prophet user must acquire and group data for their forecast -- which is itself a form of locale-sensitive regularization, and is often >50% of the challenge of calibrating a predictive model.

- Prophet users configure market sizes, change points and event streams ("holidays" are a special case, not the only example) based on external data.

Obviously none of these things saved Zillow, but they are all outside the conditions supported by weak-form efficiency, which gives you a good idea of how useless that concept is in practical trading.

I have zero investment in Prophet and wouldn't use it for a trading model, but it's annoying to see Data Twitter's culture of assuming others are dumb in order to quote grad school stats classes getting rebroadcast elsewhere.
Instead of chasing the next Microsoft fad, I've decided to try AvaloniaUI for my next graphical app.

It looks mature enough now, and has a better chance of being still useful in 5 years from now than WinUI or MAUI or whatever is the latest GUI tech MS wants us to use.
>I'd rather spend a day learning about my system during the installation and having it work for years, instead of buying yet another black box I can't open.

Learning linux doesn't take a day. Second off those black boxes statistically are more reliable than linux EVEN when you account for all the things you talked about.

The reason for this is simple. Microsoft has a business advantage and unfairly strong arms hardware manufacturers to make their stuff work with windows. This unfair advantage makes the windows user experience better and more reliable than GNU linux whos' developers constantly have to play catch up with hardware.
The generation that had a great fear of nuclear bombs due to duck and cover exercises in schools when they were kids started coming into political power (the boomers) and have been in power ever since. Most people don't really separate the idea of a mushroom cloud going up into the sky and a nuclear reactor meltdown in their head. The nuclear power industry should have taken a clue from all of the other industries that use nuclear/radioactive tech and removed the word nuclear from the technology description. Maybe call it isotopic power?

Hopefully younger generations, that seem to be completely unaware that we still live 15 minutes to nuclear armageddon, won't have such a visceral negative view of it and see it as a viable zero carbon energy source.
* Runs great on Linux in my experience & others

* Great performance - https://www.techempower.com/benchmarks/#section=data-r20&hw=...

* Open source - Microsoft has made a lot of missteps but they have came a very long way. The bright side is both how far they've came & the outcomes of the recent missteps.

* Very productive toolset imo. I focus mostly on web based tech though. I really like the syntax & type system.

* Swiss Army Knife in that you can use .NET to do just about any type of project - Web (front & back end), mobile, games, IoT, desktop, machine learning, etc.

* You can use C# & F# syntax, both very popular (though let's all be honest, F# is a 2nd class citizen in .NET but it's got a great fan base)
Yeah, I used to regularly get these reports when I ran a popular website. Sometimes (rarely), there was a glimmer of usefulness, but often it was just people telling us to turn off say TLS 1.0 or SSL 3; which would be nice... but we had to support clients that couldn't do better and modern clients won't use those anyway (or at least support the anti-fallback fake cipher, in cases where that helps). For things that only supported modern clients, we had better configs, but then those weren't www, so people didn't tend to test them.
If you try making your curiosity a bit more military related I'm sure you'll find something pretty quick haha.
And the crazy thing is that all these frameworks were basically incompatible variations of the same thing. Since WPF nothing has really gotten better. Just different for no good reason.

I will never bet on any new MS desktop development framework anymore . It’s either WPF or preferably web (even Electron) for me.
No it doesn't track with human existence. In the past such things lead to wars and large schisms in societies, it is completely abnormal for the vast majority of anything to be negative and the prevailing wisdom be just grin and bear it.

The USA was founded on the idea of negative rights and an opt in culture, instead today we increasingly see a shift to people demanding positive rights and putting the burden on the individual to opt out. In the future I could totally see a market to have a robot buddy follow you around and have responses ready for all the things people want to pester you with.
I don't think StringBuilder is faster specifically because it allocates a large buffer. Pretty much every language with growable data structures can already grow any such structure pretty fast, including arrays, maps, and mutable strings. They already have a bunch of pre-set constants about stuff like how big to allocate for the initial empty one and how much more to allocate every time you overflow to balance speed and memory efficiency. It's faster because it's mutable and keeps adding new data to the existing buffer until it gets too large.
> Developing economies will of course grow faster.

No, they don't. Their GDP is more volatile, but over prolonged periods of time, they do not grow any faster. Most developing nations do not grow any faster at all. Very few do (only about 7% of poor nations managed to rise to middle income nations since 1870 or since the nation came into existence[1]. And in the same time, middle income nations are twice as likely to become poor than to become high income[1]).

The idea that there is "convergence" in which poor nations rise to become middle income and then middle income rise to become rich nations is a myth.

Yet it's one of those "cockroach myths" that never seem to die, because it appeals to people's intuitions, even though the data is clear on this point. Today, development economists no longer speak of "convergence" but of "low income trap" and "middle income trap".

But what the East Asian nations did by breaking out of these traps was incredibly impressive and equally rare. Think of a prison of poverty that no one has been able to escape, and they managed to escape it. It's an amazing feat.

For example, see this research article with transition probabilities:

[1] https://www.stlouisfed.org/publications/regional-economist/o...
I haven't read the challenge but it seems reasonable that the EO is being challenged on laws other than the laws cited in the EO.
And you are correct.
The issue is that there are very people who have walked this floor already, and many are already in the building (company) walking the floor. So, if you can find people who have already walked this floor, great, they may be better.

But, if you want access to a larger pool, then the next best is people who:

1) know how to walk and have been walking for years, and

2) have walked on many floors so that you can have confidence that they can walk this particular floor.
If you compare to wind turbines, the scale of the potential harm is small enough that it takes proper scientific investigation to say whether it is a problem, and whether any particular attempt to improve things is helping.

Easy enough to make claims, but they're worthless without the science to back them up.
Seconded. I think generally people give way too little weight to actually doing things well. There can be some clever mathematical ideas in there here and there, but in the end it has to come together into a running organization that makes little mistakes and can run consistently (while also observing a lot regulations).

For me the "spooky magic" is more the ability to pull this off in size.

Edit: I do have friends on the buy side that use pretty fancy models, but those places are not in the HFT/market making game. But using those models does not take away from needing to be able to translate the edge consistently and efficiently.
I put a fairly large/flat heatsink on the back metal of the heatsink support bracket on my intel (overclocked) desktop a few years back it pulled the temps down a couple degrees when a fan was blowing at it under moderate load.

I've been thinking about this for my ryzen lately too, since it appears keeping the top of the die cool is unusually challenging. A lot of mobile/etc parts use the PCB ground plane as a heatsink, so it makes sense that if you can attach a larger heatsink to the back of a normal PC board you should be able to pull heat out of both sides. Particularly in a water cooled system where the top of the heat spreader is remaining fairly cool but the surrounding board is heating up (like my ryzen).
I have had the opposite experience. Switched from a MB Pro that kept getting progressively worse over the course of a year (keys giving, overheating, lock ups) requiring rather annoying applecare interactions to an XPS 15. Granted it is not quite as pretty look at, but blows the mbpro out of the water performance and stability wise.
Am I the only one who sees negative outcomes for relationships in the data here? Looks like "positive relations" starts skewing negative as you pass 100 IQ.
True, but it requires way less effort to upgrade to a newer .NET.
You create a single binary which has the runtime and dependencies self contained within.

You of course have to choose your target platform for this as it makes .exes for Windows, ELFs for Linux, etc.

If you want you can still choose to distribute IL DLLs and users then use their already installed dotnet on their machine to run them.
IMO Java/.NET just don't get blogged about _on this site_. If you visit /r/Java, /r/dotnet etc, you'll actually find the content about them.
Electricity is an energy carrier. "Transport", "Industry", "Commercial" and "Agriculture" are categories of use.

We could use more electricity in all of those areas.

Next-generation nuclear reactors will operate at much higher temperatures and be more economical as a result. Some of the high cost of nuclear energy is because low-temperature operation is expensive. A PWR has huge steam generators inside the confinement vessel because using hot water to boil steam and spin a huge steam turbine is wasteful.

Next-generation reactors will have a gas turbine powerset that fits in the employee break room of the turbine house. Next-generation reactors will make hydrogen for fuels and fertilizer using processes like

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sulfur%E2%80%93iodine_cycle

There is no reason the rest of the world couldn't follow if the "Union of Concerned Scientists" wasn't afraid of a Muslim Planet. (It was Pakistan getting the bomb that put the kibosh on advanced reactors are sustainable nuclear fuel cycles.)
This is an opinion piece to the NYT. It is based on a fanciful, imaginative interpretation of certain historical information while leaving out facts that are incongruous with the interpretation. For example, the hard facts of regular tribal conflicts where one tribe dominates or destroys another, male domination over women, or killing/ostracism of disabled or sick people, does not factor into the “egalitarian utopia” of 5000 BC envisioned and discussed by the authors.

We are living in the best and most egalitarian of times—-believe it.
If the political will was there to build better public transport and reduce the need for car journeys then that could dramatically reduce energy usage requirements for transportation.
A couple of years ago, Pinterest had hacked Google's SEO so completely that they polluted even my non-image search results. Fortunately this is no longer the case.
I agree, but even great Indian software programmers are happy with much less. Getting half of what a similar American would get should make any talented dev extremely happy here.

I get around 1/3rd of what I would receive in the US, work with a globally distributed team, and I'm quite satisfied with my salary and the company quite satisfied with me.
The equivalent for houses is the land they sit on. In metros that could easily be worth more than the house, and in most cases it's worth more (in % terms) than the scrap value of a car.
Very true. I used to be a desktop dev but since Windows 8 MS has convinced me it’s better to do web stuff.
I haven't looked into the details of Rosetta 2 enough to understand how big of an undertaking it is, but it is so impressive, especially given that of the dozens of pieces of software running on my system right now, only a handful are still relying on it.

I'm curious if anyone has any insight on how difficult it would be to pull off something similar on the windows platform, because it feels like tablestakes. Iirc they didn't have anything like Rosetta 1 when they released their first Windows RT systems a decade ago.
I've jumped from game development in C to webdev in PHP to front-end in JS to image compression to native app development in Rust.

I've managed just fine. Switching required reading documentation, specs, papers, blogs, etc. but that's a norm even if you're staying within a single field and don't want to be left behind. It's not even a lengthy process. Reading is this magical process of quickly uploading expertise to your brain.

On top of that a lot of skills are transferable, even between seemingly-far domains. Algorithms, debugging, testing, refactoring, research, project management, and general development wisdom are transferable.
Why? WASM can be a huge productivity win.
This is just false. There's a lot of sectors that produce emissions besides electricity and transportation. They aren't exactly getting their energy through other means, which still produce emissions. The climate crisis is a very difficult problem to solve and it isn't helping pretending that the only thing we need to do is get electric cars and convert our electric generation sources to zero emission sources. It is far more complicated than that. We also have to do it in a way that the rest of the world (which is 85% of emissions) can afford.
I'm surprised fire extinguisher grade command strips aren't more of a thing.
Would it be OK to have an app like that that coordinated support for spamming social networks for...

* Iran. Defend their actions

* North Korea Every bodies favourite pariah state

* Drugs Drugs are good, we all know that. Tell the world...

* The subjectification of women - uppity sheilas are a problem the world over

* COVID vaccine - unite the tribes against this poison!

Where are the limits?
Even Pinterest says this is a Google problem. Pinterest can do what the fuck it likes with its web site and how it exposes its HTML to the world - it is Google that needs to decide if it wants these results.

I actually want Google to include these results, but I want it to warn me somehow so that I can make a choice to click on the result or not. If Pinterest is the only possible source for the image then I might make the choice to "pay" Pinternet (by giving them my info) in order to obtain the image.
> Microsoft has done an amazing amount of work writing and rewriting code to make cross platform open source .NET a real thing. All open licensed and developed in the open.

It's fitting you mention all the work Microsoft has done rewriting code. You're talking about .NET itself but I'm talking about the ecosystem, where Microsoft often does take others' projects and release their own version (the Windows package manager comes to mind), training the community to only trust things that come from them. Of course there was the recent famous example of Microsoft deleting public code so they could feature it in Visual Studio, but this tweet is typical of the attitude I've seen from the community: https://twitter.com/GeoffreyHuntley/status/14540569884432179...
Because they are not unique in main table.

For eg: if there are multiple emails from same domain name, then domain name column will have same entry multiple times.

When domain is moved to sub table, main table still has duplicate entries, in form of foreign keys, while domain table has unique entry for each domain name
A better version of my point is it doesn't need to meet the bar of intelligence to cause almost all the same problems that an intelligence could. Viruses indeed evolve and adapt more flexibly than humans, to where arguably today, the only existential threat humans face comes from biological viruses, which are also not intelligent.

We don't need to come up with fun thought experiments to describe what intelligence is when we have enough trouble with the question of, for what is intelligence either sufficient or necessary? Diminishingly little, I'd say. Hence I'd be more concerned about virulent scripts than waiting for general AI.
One skill takes a decade to develop, another three months. I know who I’d choose.

You’ve substituted one cost, finding a unicorn, in place of training a good dev that is available. The old phrase, “a bird in the hand is worth two in the bush,” comes to mind.

Not only does your post sound unaware of the trade-offs but quite confident. A very fixed-mindset.
Speaking for the USA, the ADS-B data stream you see on FlightAware's commercial feeds has military and police aircraft data filtered, even if those aircraft are broadcasting that information. While ADS-B data reception is public, certain data types must be removed in your commercial offering per FAA.

Near me in Puget Sound / Seattle are two intl airports, several military bases including a nuclear sub base, plus we're near the US / Canadian border. Air traffic as you can imagine is very interesting and includes state police Cessna's at night cruising for people speeding on Highway 18, military transport through JBLM (military base) but no fighter jet ADS-B. There's commercial air traffic, hobby planes, private jets, hospital and news helicopters. There's flight paths and local flight patterns. My current mystery are the small, black, unmarked DHS (I think!) helicopters that cruise Discovery Park lighthouse every few hours. They don't show up on ADS-B at all. There's more but you get the idea of how cool this all is. SDR is just wild. All you need is a Pi 3 and the PiAware image, the antenna and the 1050 filter they suggest. PiAware has a local webinterface that shows everything it's picking up but will be filtered later by FlightAware.
That's politics!
More than a nod to William Morris. But on white.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/William_Morris
Shelf-browsing is a true joy, and I miss it as well. It's best supported at a quality academic library (though a local liberal arts or community college may afford its own rewards).

That said, I've learned the art of bibliographic search, based on references, citations, and less formal mentions, and find that quite fruitful.

There are also recommendations that turn up through some platforms (I'm partial to Z-Library's), which can be useful, though come with cautions. (Popularity is a poor proxy for either truth or value, though it lets you know what others may have read.)

Learning how to fruitfully use cataloguing systems is also tremendously useful. I make heavy use of Worldcat (https://www.worldcat.org/, DDG bang search !worldcat), Google Scholar, Microsoft's academic research tool when I remember it exists, Wikipedia (I read it for the references ;-), and keyword searches on Open Library, Project Gutenberg, and LibGen.

I'm finding myself relying far, far less on general web search than, say, 10--20 years ago. These aren't completely useless, but the trend is quite pronounced, over all major search engines (DDG is my default, though I'll use others on occasion).
Why? because the unit price is lower? Can't zillow just... buy less houses? I don't see anything different between zillow buying a $500k house and one hundred used cars worth $5000 each.
> I certainly wouldn't feel comfortable to say to my team "let's do this next project in C#".

Could you expand a bit on that?

I used .Net 1.1 and 2.0 for awhile, and coming back to it now while deciding the future path for our application.
Another side effect of the “vaccines”?
> More than half (56%) said a career in technology seemed complicated

Well, they're completely right about that. I'm sure the medical industry feels the same way from the outside. Tools, methods and processes changing every few years, by the time you finish college you're years out of date and by the time you catch up with peers it's changed again.

Traditional apprentices in manual industries don't have their environments upended every few years. In tech, you'll never be a master of anything relevant because by the time you've put your 10K hours in it's on the ash heap of tech.
To the contrary, I avoid any company that has an arsenal of project managers insulating me from the problems I'm solving. I don't want to be trapped in a cubicle churning out code. We all have preferences about the types of teams we like to work with.
The link called "6th Generation Intel® Processor Family - Specification Update." 404's
> it is routine for state officials to exercise corruption and party favoritism - because it is typically left to harmful state officials to perform their own oversight.

Are you saying you don't believe that to be the case for federal officials?
Nothing is absolute, of course if you take it far enough the seams of the argument tear but there is merit to it.

A senior browser frontend developer is likely to pick up mobile development quite quickly.

Likewise someone who's been doing Spring Boot Java backends for years and is proficient with databases, caching, etc. Isn't necessarily going to find it hard to switch to a serverless nodejs paradigm.

The network card person is probably able to handle the embedded microwave oven.

Etc.
CamNote Mobile App Is Now Open Source (Made with Flutter)
That is all valid and good, but I would suggest that in order to make HN as good as it can be it might be worth searching for a link before posting it. Even if posting the link is still the right thing to do this offers the potential of reflecting on the dozens of past threads in order to understand more. I used the HN search feature on this title and found around over a dozen previous threads many of which were small yet interesting.
The US accounts for 18% of global emissions. In fact China and the US together don't account for even half of global emissions, tendency falling. The world is a little bit larger than those two players, even if not reflected in US discourse.
Why would Pinterest want to do this? Of course they want the traffic. Pinterest are actually doing nothing wrong here, IMO. They are simply exposing their HTML to the world and Google is coming along and deciding to index it in their own way.
This would be a great addition to the default search string in your browser of choice for your search engine of choice.
No worries. There will be a shiny new successor to MAUI soon and MAUI will be all forgotten.
> If you no longer believe what you proposed is a useful thing to do... send an e-mail. This may be easier to resolve than you think.

eh... I know of one similar instance (student had found that what they were looking for has been proven false by another team) - the advisor basically said "okay, we're stopping the phd there". Two years to the drain.
Which has nothing to do with .net. I work for a company that won't invest a cent in extra software licenses or dev tools but all my devs are in .net. For the database I use Postgres.