skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Planning for black swan events would be really dumb: they will never go exact as you plan them to. What if they planned for a GFC-like black swan event where nobody bought cars? Or one where gasoline suddenly went to $400 barrel?

There are a million possible black swan events and there's a million ways to plan for them.
Too bad - after the YouTube app had silently disappeared from my Apple TV, I had to dig up my ancient Roku so I could continue to enjoy it. A mini-PC to the rescue, I guess…
I wonder if they felt that your idea made them look stupid / incompetent. (Which it seems they were)

Maybe then they didn't want you in the meetings?

(Whilst the idea was good so that's what they did in the end)

(200 Go = GB I suppose)
They seem to be doing well in North America: https://9to5google.com/2021/05/03/roku-global-streaming-mark...
> old animal meat?

In one of his books, Escoffier explained that in making beef stock get better flavor starting with the meat of old animals.

Soooo, I considered that, and in NY thought of retired dairy cows so called around. I got to a packing house in PA where I got an explanation "think fast food". So, maybe McDonald's, Burger King, etc. are serving the beef the Escoffier liked for making beef stock!
The weather you have every day tends to not kill many people. It's surprises that are the real killer.

What interestingly means that warming Siberia may increase the number of people dying due to the cold.
Apparently, scale means LOC of Lisps (or LOL, if you will).
TL;DR

Then industrial environmental complex and scientist don't care enough about facts to even bother to check if temperature changes are good or bad to human health.

This is expected. The environment complex is about fear, indepth studies are not needed or worse can be bad for that. And scientists are in their back pockets for $$$$

I am surprised with the conclusion we don't understand why the flu is more poplar in winter. I would have thought it's as simple as more interaction indoors. I guess saying that out loud most people work in offices every day, winter or summer, but maybe the air-conditioning pushes the virus to the floor quicker.... I guess it is complicated.
It's the same in Europe. And likely the rest of the world.
Also, advances in rail, air travel, and shipping from Asia probably reduced the demand for rebuilding Chicago. And westward expansion of the US in general.
Yes, that is very much an Americanism: house falling apart, shiny pretty car in front.
> Even from an ecological standpoint: hotter climates will positively impact some species (including species which don't even exist yet!), while negatively impacting others.

The worry isn't that global warming will be bad for animals, you're right, there will be winners and losers, likely in comparable amounts. The worry is that it will be bad for biodiversity, a resource that is extremely slow to replenish (even taking into account these new opportunities). On the edges of the curve, some animals will be huge winners, and some will be huge losers. 10xing the populations of some species while others go extinct is only a net null on the very surface, it's still a huge loss diversity wise.
Is it ? The language is evolving very fast. Compare English from the 50's to what is spoken now, take into account the major dialects around the world...

I don't see much stability.
Most likely but that doesn't exclude the possibility that Roku is dissembling as well.
> By that logic, you can hire a freelance dev to do all the programming too.

And there's plenty of successful companies that do this btw.

> But there's a bunch of risks with that approach and they are similar to the ones where you outsource design - you will constantly have to re-hire if you need pivots, there might be major friction switching people, and the costs can start to add up.

This is simply not true. This can happen regardless of wether you outsource your dev team or not.

> Consider that the #1 market cap YC company of all time - AirBnB - was started by 2 founders with a background in design.

One of the top 50 largest companies in the world was started by an engineer who dropped out of school. What's your point? Correlation != causation.

Outsourcing is such a dirty word here and I don't get it. It's objectively not a bad option, it just has different risks.
Watching the first 30 minutes of this video, TCL has one more thing in common with Lisp: the fact that I appreciate it as an artifact and a testament to how simple a language core can be, but I would never ever want to maintain a production system in it
Take that a step further, and you have pilasters - a facade of a column.

Pilasters have been a design feature as far back as at least the Roman Empire…
"When disagreeing, please reply to the argument instead of calling names. 'That is idiotic; 1 + 1 is 2, not 3' can be shortened to '1 + 1 is 2, not 3."

"Have curious conversation; don't cross-examine."

"Be kind. Don't be snarky."

Note that if we go to your GP comment and take out the parts that break those guidelines, there's nothing left of it. That's a good clue, actually - it means you probably shouldn't have replied. The parent comment was obviously breaking the site guidelines and should have been flagged and left alone. That's another guideline in fact:

"Don't feed egregious comments by replying; flag them instead."

a.k.a. please don't feed the trolls

https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html
These "fake shutters" are just window trim, and there's nothing wrong with that. This type of misguided plea for authenticity would be valid if somebody put mis-sized or fake shutters on an actual period house, but most of these houses are modern. They weren't designed to have real shutters, they don't need real shutters to thermally perform, and the material and type of real shutters that you put on houses that actually need hurricane protection now is not always the same as it was 100 years ago. This is like complaining about "fake columns" on a neoclassical facade. Or the non-structural "fake brick" on any modern building.
Flexibility is great for everyone, for people with kids and without. I’ve never heard that used as being code for lower productivity before.
Jetson One Personal Electric Aerial Vehicle
It's a form of skeuomorphism and it's something that greatly irritates me as well. Unfortunately, it's only one of the many common design atrocities you see in most neighborhoods.

Get Your House Right by Marianne Cusato (https://www.amazon.com/Get-Your-House-Right-Architectural/dp...) is a really good book that helps you appreciate some of the finer details of architecture in your own home.
Pale Moon is good, but its slow JavaScript engine means it gets bogged down to a halt on the modern web -- and this problem will only get worse.
I think its ok, I'd start with hypotheses and when I can, I would test them, and in the absense of a spare planet and mammalian species as your test tube, the only thing I can think of as a proxy for the proverbial test tube would be what statistics we can find.

I thought it was well worth the read and he left no uncertainty about the uncertainty of his test results.
Thanks for having made the SemWeb/LinkedData a reality for people.
New Song / B-Phonicz / Johnny Blanco – “Run Wit It”
There's nothing on his site about it, but it is interesting to browse.

http://www.toad.com/gnu/
New Release from USG Peep now out on youtube !!!!!
ToelettAPP
Probabilistic programming can be done via MCMC approaches, but you can also infer the necessary quantities by using variational inference (which approximates the distribution described by your program with something that's simpler and easier to estimate).

Basically probabilistic programming is a way of describing a distribution, and then MCMC is one way of inferring the quantities in that distribution.
Interesting Links 5: DeFi 2.0, Blockchain games and more
tbh, I forgot about that, but it wasn't exactly a green field project, right? They started with a fork of Trident. It'd be hard to know without an engineer from Microsoft chiming in, but it's entirely possible that the first bit of EdgeHTML was just Trident with all of the compatibility modes turned off. Maybe they removed them entirely, but just removing those piles of code doesn't fundamentally change the thing they hooked into, right? All the plumbing to support old cruft could still be there, which would make working on EdgeHTML almost as hard as working on Trident.

Mozilla incubated Servo with a team of five (as of ~2014). It's not a complete browser on its own by any means, but surely that points at some degree of possibility.
How recaptcha isn't covered by agpl? It's such a huge blob!
> but an indefinite blockade of transport into and out of China and total interdiction of it's air and sea traffic both civilian and military would be entirely proportionate and the minimum I would expect

And China outnumbers the US warships ship-for-ship currently, and China is outbuilding more warships ton-for-ton than even the USA.

China also has a larger (though inferior) air force, as well as a huge number of (untested) missiles. But the USA won't have many bases to stage our Air Force from (Taiwan is so close to China, and so far away from Japan / South Korea). So really, its China's Airforce + China's Missile-force + China's Navy vs the US Navy + US Marines + maaaayyyyybe a very stretched thin US Air Force.

If the USA wants to enforce a naval blockade, they'd have to win a war against China. That's a lot of advantages to China frankly.

I'm certain the US could beat China in a "fair fight" for Antarctica. But the issue with the Taiwan scenario is that the Chinese military is growing ever stronger, and its conceivable that China could beat the USA in that region. If China does happen to win militarily, then a US-sponsored blockade would be impossible.
Changing equilibria is enormously stressful for the biosphere and for our "civosphere". Everything in the world would run along more smoothly if things didn't change so much(!).

You could claim that we humans on earth are all equal and reasonable and it shouldn't be so hard to get along.. Except this breaks down in practice as soon as people want to move from where the climate got tougher and into the places where you said the crop yields will only get bigger. It gets ugly. Migration and turmoil.
Facebook's search and suggestion engine is hilariously broken.

Say, I am commenting in a thread trying to respond to John Smith. That's the only person whose name starts with a J.

If I start typing @J..., the suggestions would be for literally anyone else but John Smith in the thread.

On their mobile website (which lags behind the app), typing @John Smith will sometimes suggest a number of John Smiths, none of them being the one in the thread I am writing in.

Same with friends. If I want to tag a friend of mine and start typing their name, I usually get suggestions for random people first (neither from my friend list or the comment thread).

Why on Earth is the list not prioritized by (friends in thread) / (everyone else in thread) / (friends) / (everyone else) is absolutely beyond me.
Pretending
Fashion. Ties on men. "Shutters" on windows. I bet the author wears ties on occasion (hmmm, couldn't find a corroborating image).
Waitlist for world's first personalized general education company
Hello everyone. I am Kyle Hogeboom, the founder of Summa, an education startup making humankind smarter.

For you fellow nerds out there, we are making Asimov’s Encyclopedia Galactica real, our very own Encyclopedia Humanum, a summary of human knowledge that we can navigate like a map and learn from in a personalized way. Our goal is to universalize knowledge and personalize learning so anyone can learn everything - because the only way to solve more problems create more culture is to have more ideas in the minds of more people.

Right now, we're in development mode...and a catch-22. To get seed funding to build the demo product, we need traction, but to get traction, we need a demo product. (I know, I know, what a terribly unique problem in the startup world.) So, we're releasing everything but and collecting names of those interested in being the first to try the revolution in education we've been waiting for. Just type in your name and help us launch this thing.

Summa is also hiring, so if you're interested in what we're doing, feel free to reach out through the website. In the meantime, keep on learning.

Thanks!
Fake shutters aren't any more or less stupid than a painting hanging on a wall. It's an aesthetic accoutrement that makes people happy. If you have a problem with that you need to fold up your lawn chair, go back inside, and find something better to do with your time.
Hi, one of the authors here. Localisation has lots of positive impacts on us. I can't go much into details but majority of paid customers are from non English speaking countries.
It did raise some cynicism in me when it was the green party here in Sweden that favored the system of using oil power plants as normal and acceptable method for reserve energy. Looking at the EU political landscape it seems that the green movement has doubled down on the model of using cheap renewables when the weather is optimal and cheap fossil fuels when it isn't.

There isn't much interests elsewhere to actually ban fossil fuels. The right are interested in nuclear, but I have strong doubts that they would accept an actually ban on fossil fuels in order to get there.
It's not just shutters. Many aspects of modern home design are an attempt to look somewhat similar to older styles in ways that do not hold up to scrutiny. For example the siding on my house is vinyl but it's meant to look like wood shingles. The concrete foundation is covered with fake vinyl brick. This was probably all installed at the same time as the fake shutters.
nice story
Is it faster to run on the actual hardware or in the simulation mode?
I've seen those before on American houses, I always thought they were rather cute design choices... not fake shutters. Can't unsee it now :D
Pretending.

Kids play a game where someone pretends to be the mum, the dad, the baby, etc, and pretend be family. So someone is pretending be a responsible parent (and the commenter here is insinuating the wannabe co-founder is just pretending they have the necessary skills and abilities). As a kid, we never really had a name for it, but adults seem to refer to the activity as “playing house”.
You can posit whatever you like, but I don't see any evidence.

Edit to reply to ninja edit:

> There's a reason why we already have universal colloquial language to describe a room with too much CO2, "stuffy" "getting some fresh air to clear your head." We all know this stuff intuitively, we've experienced it directly our whole lives.

First off, you're going back to the perception of minor discomfort to defend the claim that CO2 levels that aren't even high enough to cause minor discomfort are high enough to cause "detectable society wide problems". This strikes me as incoherent and evasive. Secondly, you're assuming that the minor discomfort of being in a "stuffy" room is entirely caused by CO2 concentration. (In my personal experience, body and food odors are the main sources of discomfort when I'm in a poorly ventilated space.) And thirdly, you're assuming that this discomfort necessarily causes poor cognitive performance.
Sorry, but if you check your so-called junk DNA you’ll find I Base64-encoded it there already
The house we bought (in 95) had those and we took them off and right away put them back on, looks better with.

Arguing against them is like arguing against painting your house different colors, seems silly. Also, real shutters aren't as practical as curtains or internal blinds.
Did you notice the reduction of information density on web pages? I think that would be the biggest immediate difference. Old Reddit vs. new Reddit as one prominent example. The dominance of responsive designs now, as compared to the old separation between main site and mobile site, as another example. I guess hamburger menus weren't a big thing in 2013? I honestly can't remember. Maybe time to hit the Internet Archive and look at pages from 2013.

It's interesting thinking of the changes. I guess many of the current trends were well underway by 2013 so the current state would be different but not too different to you. At any rate, I'm glad you're out and hope you can sort the ID mess.
for machine learning i can recommend the course by Philipp Henigg from Uni of Tuebingen

https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PL05umP7R6ij1tHaOFY96m...
>It's a proto-fascist/full-blown fascist political movement that advocates the subversion of free and democratic elections to install a dictatorship, not to mention the prevalence of racism in their views and policies.

That doesn't answer the question. Even they're both doing the same unsavory things, it doesn't follow that you can accuse one of them of being a hypocrite because the other is a hypocrite.

>Also, I feel that labeling this particular political movement as merely "right-wing" is a blatant attempt to white-wash extremist views and push for a "us-vs-them" mentality.

I feel like this violates the HN guidelines:

> Please respond to the strongest plausible interpretation of what someone says, not a weaker one that's easier to criticize. Assume good faith.

> Eschew flamebait. Avoid unrelated controversies and generic tangents.

For the record, I went with the generic "right wing" label because I wasn't sure whether a more precise label (eg. alt-right) would apply to both. A quick skim of wikipedia confirms this. The page for gab straight up says it's far-right/alt-right, but the page for truth social only has a passing mention of it being "alt-tech" in the reception section.

You're trying way too hard to ascribe malice where there isn't any.
They could be represented by two senators though, and people outside the city would get more effective representation
Alice can grow 20 tons of apples or 15 tons of pumpkins for Halloween.

Bob can grow 15 tons of apples or 10 tons of pumpkins.

The opportunity cost to Alice of growing 1 ton of apples is 3/4 ton of pumpkins. The opportunity cost to Alice for growing one ton of pumpkins is 4/3 tons of apples.

The opportunity cost to Bob of growing 1 ton of apples is 2/3 ton of pumpkin. For 1 ton of pumpkin it is 3/2 tons of apples.

It costs Alice more to grow apples than it costs Bob: 3/4 vs 2/3. It costs Bob more to grow pumpkins than it costs Alice: 3/2 vs 4/3.

Although Alice can grow both crops better than Bob can, it is in both their interests to have Alice specialize in pumpkins while Bob specializes in apples.

In this simple example--with no other real-life considerations--all or nothing is better for both.
In a free country? Yes.
> Is it that much a stretch to say that in the near future (15-25 years), AI might take over a significant part of software engineering?

Not much of a stretch at all. But we've seen this sort of transition before: lower-level languages (microcode, assembly) are now largely generated by other software yet the amount of software development work needing to be done by humans has only expanded, and I don't expect there to be much more than a bump in the road in terms of demand for software developers this time around either.

Though I will say that the bump will be larger than the non-event that 4GLs turned out to be: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fourth-generation_programming_...

The most disruptive scenario I can imagine will result in a slew of businesses hit with absolutely massive cloud computing bills (due to naive generated code that works, but very inefficiently, or perhaps just code running for naively specified tasks that HAVE no efficient solution as stated), leading to a standard requirement of having an expensive human software developer sign off on it before deployment like architects signing off on blueprints (which might be the thin edge of the wedge for professional licensing, but that's a different conversation).

As a secondary effect, there might also be a proliferation of new (or newly popular) languages (for which insufficient public code exists for ML systems to learn from), as developers focus on domain+skill+technology combinations that haven't been automated YET.
Yes.

500 years is but a drop in the ocean of the future. We have lost a fair amount of the past and find even little fragments from long ago to be incredibly illuminating. e.g. the Rosetta Stone, or the dead sea scrolls. What would we know now if the library of Alexandria didn't burn?
Different person, although I did a double-take when I saw that name on the list a week ago when I found it. I'm King Charles, he is Charles King.
> It was the norm for a single programmer to be doing the work that would normally be a team (sometimes multiple teams).

Be careful with what you conclude from this observation. Is it that A) Lispers are generally 10x Programmers, or that B) Lisps are generally poor languages for team environments?
Swapchains and Frame Pacing
That's dumb. Take it over and go fishing instead.
"I just don't understand why the git commands seem to cause so much trouble."

To me the git command line is one of the tools that are great if you use them often. But if you use it less often it's really hard to remember the correct syntax especially since it's really easy to mess things up. (If know WPF, the binding syntax is in the same category. Really powerful but if you take two months break you struggle with the syntax). It really bugs me in git when normal things need 3 or more parameters and if you forget one of them you mess things up.

Years ago I worked with mercurial for a while and I thought the commands were much cleaner and easier to remember.
The problem with price gouging is that people are irrational and feel entitled to the price they paid last week. People get super fucking angry at price gougers. Which is how the nation ended up with these laws to begin with.

So even if the government were okay with "market adjustments" on basic goods, there would still be this risk of stores getting looted/destroyed because people are so angry at how quickly prices increased.

Businesses are much less emotional. Most are just going to adapt to the new price.
Random number generation generally isn't handled by system calls. It's just computation. (Some languages do provide support for hardware [pseudo-]random number generation. C doesn't.)

More generally, using system calls directly for things like getting the current time makes sense only if you don't care about portability.

C can support both portable and non-portable code. Both are important.

I get the impression that C is too high-level, and assembly language is too tedious, to fully support your requirements. I sympathize with your situation, but it's not one that most programmers share.
If you're in enterprise software, yes.

Try selling your CRM to the VP of Sales of a regional retailer who lives in Phoenix and NOT take him out to play golf.
or make cryptocurrency illegal
If you ever wanted to help find new planets, now’s your chance
So this one is counterintuitive. You only spend stack space for local variables that don’t fit in registers. If you in-line a function with lots of local variables into a function with lots of local variables you use more stack space. And then that additional stack space can’t be reclaimed until the function it was inlined into returns. So it’s more stack space used temporarily but less used on average.