skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
one thought ive had for a while (and this isn't a totally fleshed out thought, would like to hear opinions) is we are in for whipsaw inflation-deflation for the next couple of years and we are all along for the ride. the fed does have some levers to pull but not with much magnitude, especially with interest rates where they are.

I believe there were signs of a deflationary environment up until about 18 months ago, then we had velocity drop to 0. tons of money was added to make up for the decreased velocity. we've had some signs of inflation for sure, some exacerbated by supply issues. but much of the money put into the system is collecting in pockets of unproductive asset classes - sitting in bank accounts, paying off debts(?), getting off shored, NFT and crypto. there is no "multiplicative" effect on the economy with this new money added and so its effect will wear off quickly. stimulus etc. filters through and collects in certain pockets/areas, individuals who realize these profits then shift to unproductive classes.

the fed, having few tools, knows they need interest rates. so next month they start raising through the end of 2024, which will further the whipsaw as housing prices decrease and capital dries up. a spending bill might be approved which will trickle some money back in but largely as boomers continue leaving the workforce, younger people straddle the sideline of the workforce (due to debt and/or low wages), declining birth rate, etc. these various contractions are all conducive to a deflationary environment, so we will be in a state of fighting the tide for a couple of years.

meanwhile, higher education keeps going up and with federally backed student loans the cycle continues. the shift to electric cars will increase vehicle purchase prices substantially. if the rest of the CPI basket keeps trickling up, where does this end up in a couple of years?

EDIT - this is ignoring geopolitical issues for now. of course that certainly can have a massive effect on things and we are not in a vacuum.
Xamarin.Mac bridges .NET and Objective C.
I did a Think Week on a remote Scottish island
Inflation is measured. But the controversy is about the policy proposals to address it (if any). The people saying "no urgent action needed" are not saying "prices literally aren't moving" but are instead saying that they expect high inflation to subside without policy intervention.

If, for example, inflation was caused by the alignment of the planets then it'd be foolish to try to curb it by hiking rates and cutting social welfare.
I don't have numbers but while maybe in the SV bubble iPhones are given to employees en masse, the more typical pattern is people just buy their own phones and the company may reimburse some amount of monthly mobile fees.
A Tribute to Iohan Gueorguiev (1988-2021)
But those checks were issued in the face of a massive spike in unemployment so they were just filling part of the gap left by missing wages.
Maybe abstinence is more your thing
Skepticism is the driving engine behind science. It works well so long as people keep asking questions until they get satisfactory answers. Science is anti-fragile. The harder you attack it, the sturdier it becomes. So this is fine.

The only time it really stops working is if people start treating it as doctrine, and demanding that you accept it on faith, and take any questions as evidence that you are an enemy of science. If anything destroys science, it is this line of reasoning.

Skepticism does not require a degree or a license from the government. The only intellectually honest thing is to admit to yourself that you do not know until you are convinced otherwise. Whether other people say they are convinced is honestly quite irrelevant.
Just a heads up: The creator of this Wiki article is banned for spam and promotional edits. The only article he created and contributed to is this "search fund" article.
How to stand out as a new developer
> but it probably wouldn't for your local utility company that serves ten or so blind customers, none of whom are programmers.

This is exactly why section 508 and ADA liability rules exist. If they don’t know how to make their programs accessible, a very expensive lawsuit will show them how. Also, why would a small utility be writing their own software? Shouldn’t they be using COTS?
Cleverness has a strange meaning nowadays
It is an ad-hominem attack and Krugman isn't even mentioned in the article. Clearly OP has an agenda and it is to target Krugman (and I see other people jumping on board). Disappointing thats all.
That's not really the best example; AWS is a government contractor. It isn’t a coincidence that HQ2 is a few blocks away from the Pentagon.
Doesn’t work when I try to use it, always returns the same thing, and it seems like everyone else is having the same problem. Sounds cool though and I’ll be excited about the day we progress enough where something like this works! GANs are very cool.
Agreed!

I don't know why they don't just keep a master list of every bounced email across every domain (or maybe that's what their paid verification product is and I just haven't looked at it closely enough?) and let me set a flag when sending an email to reject anything they know is going to bounce.
The insulin issue is purely a broken American issue. It isn't an issue anywhere else that I'm aware of.
I don’t understand why the “private” apis aren’t protected by capabilities. iOS has the facilities to lock these apis down properly https://developer.apple.com/documentation/xcode/adding-capab... . Grepping App Store submissions seems obviously flawed.
You can't imagine how many times I wondered about it before testing it and writing the article ;)
This guy was talking about female contraceptions, not condoms
Yes, part of the point of a foundation like .NET, Django Software Foundation, or Apache, is to have authority. It helps the creators of an open source project focus on doing what they enjoy, which is typically creating and maintaining software, and removes a lot of the hassle.
I think Apple makes great products and skimming through the paper, I find this analysis to be on-target. But this is coming from an obviously biased source.

As with most things in security, it's a trade-off between competing goals and principles.
AFAIK, pipewire is also a drop-in replacement do jack, right?
If you need to understand deeply how all your tools work to use them, they are not good tools. They serve to abstract knowledge into them. Can you imagine if you needed to understand exactly how a computer does math in order to use Excel?
> They moved on from Keynesian economics a long time ago

This 100%. Keynesian economics sees debt as temporary to be used to fight a war or stimulate the economy during a depression, with the expectation that the debt is paid down during the good times. This is what the U.S. did during World War 2. They ran up a huge debt to fight the war then paid it back down in the prosperous years following the war.

Modern Monetary Theory on the other hand is the philosophy of a six year old who asks daddy why the government can't just print more money to buy stuff.
Nearly everyone I’ve met in the service and hospitality industry - on their job - has been there for like 2 weeks

It’s been like this all year

I’ve gotten used to noticing

No brand or experience is able to keep their refined allure because the workers have not had time to practice it

Very interesting reality

I’ve mostly resigned to tolerating it by just assuming that the remaining people actually working really were desperate for either greater cash flow or were mandated by a court/parole officer or missing human interaction, making their greetings and smiles that much more contrived and illusory with most of these assumptions. But its fine, I am hoping that a reduction in other options reverts a large population back into what they know.
Except that without prices being allowed to adjust upwards in response to costs going up, there would be a massive gridlock in the labor markets, wage freezes, layoffs, recession or depression.

It's workers who benefit the most from a fluid and tight labor market. Asset holders only get a transient, on-paper gain that is much less important than a functional labor market is to workers. In a good labor market, businesses are fighting to retain and attract labor.
Bye Gtk.

GNOME Project people are absolutely destroying the GTK ecosystem.
The US still has a ridiculous amount of weaponry that can cause a lot of destruction even when wielded poorly.
Borrow at a fixed interest rate.
Upon further investigation, it seemed he created a new account to edit the article further. At a glance, the edit history looks like someone hired a PR firm to have this article created. Which is one of Wikipedia's biggest problems; paid promotional content.
Always Do Extra
Yes! I tinker a lot (3D printing, home automation, drones, etc...) and AliExpress is such an amazing place to buy components for 10% of the price I'd see in hobby shops or Amazon.
After 4 years they'll either not get security updates or have to switch to Linux. There are plenty of PCs running older hardware that'll most likely be perfectly fine after 2025 but no longer be able to run a supported version of Windows.
OpenGL is a standard too, but an OpenGL program will break on a system supporting only Vulkan. Terminfo exists for a reason and that reason is still there today. For example, I can run under TERM=dumb to disable fancy output for various reasons.

No, terminfo isn't a hack, ANSI escapes aren't ubiquitous, and every single time I see someone hardcode escape sequences in some script, my opinion of that person declines.
Have you ever seen an atom? Have you ever had access to a Scanning Electron Microscope or equivalently advanced machinery to observe one? If not, you have had to put at least some level of faith in that they do exist.
How to Look Stylish on a Budget and Not Break the Bank
The wisdom used to be to wait a couple of service packs before installing a new version of windows. It seems that is still true. Windows 2000 was quite usable a few service packs in. Windows XP took a few as well to become usable.

ME was the last version of the Dos based windows versions. Versions 1 and 2 most people barely remember. Version 3.0, 3.1 and 3.11 were pretty close together and the first versions that were more widely used. Then windows 95 was obviously the big one in that series but quite buggy as well initially thus necessitating service packs. 98 and 98SE were relatively minor upgrades to that and thus quite alright. ME was an attempt to bridge the gap to the much delayed XP and as such quite pointless since it was buggy and would have also included a lot of misguided stuff around internet explorer that has since been long forgotten and that obviously was omitted for XP. Somehow MS got into their heads that the browser was the OS, which in MS land meant stuff like active desktop, which as I recall was horribly slow even if you could get to run it at all (no in my case). And when you did there was a "and now what ... " moment as well.

XP was the successor to Windows NT 3.1, 3.5, 3.51, 4.0, and 2000 Each of which were pretty OK. To complicate things further they started doing separate releases for servers as well from 3.1. I use NT 3.1 for development work at some point. Pretty nice machine as I remember. Never gave me much trouble.

XP was where they cut loose from DOS mostly and by then nobody, including MS, had appetite for yet more releases. So, they doubled down with service packs and fixed bugs only for quite a few years. Nevertheless, in terms of stability XP was a huge upgrade from the dos based varieties in terms of stability which is why people remember it fondly. But especially before service pack 2, many people were sticking with windows 2000 in companies. I had a nice windows 2000 desktop for quite some time at work.

By the time they released Vista, it was so horrible that many opted to not upgrade since there was no big need. Especially enterprises said thanks but no thanks and kept on defaulting to XP right until MS pulled the plug on that many years later. They had the same issue with windows 7 and 8. Which is why they made windows 10 a longer term thing and made an effort to get companies upgrading. I predict that this will be an issue with windows 11 as well. Most enterprises like uniform environments and they don't want to have to support multiple versions of windows. So, windows 10 is going to be here for a while.
> we don't have such problems

Yet. Because you're still on compliance and procurement whitelists. If UK's regulation are no longer up to EU's standards, UK drops out of the whitelist and any supplier there jumps off the fast-track into the slow lane of "compliance audit". Spoiler: that's the point at which the contracting manager drops you for your far less able competitor that's hosted in Dublin or Amsterdam.
I don't trust science, I trust facts, testing, measurements and data which is what the scientific methods relies on to make assertions.
Well, at some level you do just need to trust someone's "science", otherwise you can only rely on your own empirical evidence.
Good question.

Something like “produces the most highly valued outputs per hour of worked input” which should roughly correlate with wages with the assumption that if those inputs are easily interchanged then there will be more competition and the output value will fall. I’m sure there are good exceptions, but I’m not sure they’re material to the argument that taxation to some degree influences social mobility and participation.

Perhaps I’m also considering situations in which there is a close link between labour and output, and where those outputs are deemed necessary for society (eg doctors, tradespeople), even where perhaps there may not be high productivity multipliers in the same ways there are at somewhere like Netflix.

So in my mind I’m thinking what role is taxation playing to keep electricians, plumbers, doctors, and software developers working for as long as they can without retiring (ie maximising their consumer value without compromising their productive value).

I’m trying to put aside a value judgement about what I feel taxation policy _should_ be doing around this subject, but broadly I feel there’s a modern lens of alienation here in which control of means of production is perhaps less important than control of means of consumption.
You don't need to dig into philosophy and start talking about Karl Popper in order to explain the problem with "trusting the science".

Science is and will always be our best shot at being correct about the universe, but it's performed by imperfect humans. There's very little we can know for certain, so we have to pick our poison - either trust strangers who claim to have done their research, or trust our own fallible instincts.

I don't think there's a single correct answer to that question, but don't pretend like you're not choosing a poison. These "I believe in science" mantras are no more scientific than any other attitude.
> Let me try: more money in circulation means sales volume goes up, so prices fall (according to actual economic theory).

Not according to any economic theory I've heard of.

If consumer incomes rises then the demand curve should shift to the left. This will move the intersection of the supply and demand curves to a point where both quantity supplied and price are higher.
The cause of that problem is capitalism yet people trust that system blindly.
My experiences with relationships are overwhelmingly positive. However, there's always a non-zero risk that such a maneuver can happen. I've seen it happen, many times. Even in otherwise happy couples. Are you willing to bet your future on it?
Biggest player monopolizes the market, more news at 11
With the way the US measures inflation, inflation only rises when import prices go up or wages for manufacturing/service workers go up.

These are two intentional policy goals for the last two administrations, why would we not expect inflation to remain high until automation improves?
What I think GP is hinting at is that low trust in science is part of a general low trust in elites. If you don’t trust elites for whatever reason, personally I think it’s more complicated than $300 insulin, then you’re also not going to trust scientific elites either.
Unfortunately, things being EOL'd is increasingly common place. I have issues with 'your OS is no longer supported' on both my iPad and Android phone. This becomes a problem when things like your banking app no longer work because they insist on being upgraded, but the upgrade won't install.
Sure, total common sense if you forget about velocity effects and changes in consumer behavior.

Good thing we have economists whose job is to not forget about those things.
Biologically-Inspired Neural Networks for Self-Driving Cars (2020)
> Whether that debt is at 100% or 50% of the GDP doesn't really matter, both are huge by my definition.

"Whether I'm being paid $100k or $50k doesn't really matter, both salaries are huge by my definition."

I'm quite sure that international lenders don't look at it this way.
In like '89 when I was 19 and at university my work-study job was with the IT/ComputingResources department (old names). I worked as a graveyard shift NOC operator swapping tapes and handing out print-jobs, running system tests and stuff like that. We had several 24/7 computer labs full of Sun 3/50(60) workstations and things like that. But there was one lab that was closed from 10-5 overnight and I thought to myself "hey, there's a whole room of workstations not doing anything" so I wrote some scripts rsh/NFS and used that lab one night to run distributed ray-tracing jobs. The next day my account was disabled and I had to go talk to Security. They sorta laughed a bit then went like NO don't do that. I worked for the IT department for the next four years. Then I left for a decade. Then I came back and applied for a job. The interview lasted all of five minutes, I worked for a few months before being forcibly promoted up into the upper circle. My first task was to go around to the dozen others who had root and ask for advice and update the root-speech documentation. I got to Security.... tippity tappity "Oh, hello Mr. zengargoyle, let's see... '89 'misuse of computing resources'." LOL, still had root by the end of the day.

So, this is just to say... that places like education where people may stick around for a long while in the system and such. They probably do remember a bunch of events from even a decade ago. It's the good places that have a sense of humor or appreciation for a worthy harmless infraction. They may even be secretly proud or have some admiration.

Though I do sorta fear that I just happened to hit the tail end of old-school hackery where such things are such things are rewarded. Now get off my lawn.
They do not go to chicken retirement houses after they age beyond peak egg production.

Also the males are not needed of breeding breeds, they go straight to the wood chopper after they've hatched.
24 months in the US was historically driven by cellular carrier subsidies. I suspect it's increased since that is no longer as big a factor.
I can't help but think the myopic way of arguing a position based on lobbing citations at each-other has contributed to this. Just because a study supports your position does not mean "The Science" is on your side, it literally just means a study was performed that reached the conclusion(s) you already wanted to support. The citation is trotted out without any of the meta that goes into actually analyzing the validity and significance of the studies themselves.
In general to the lay person "Trust The Science" translates into trust the experts and authorities. Authorities do not always have your best interest at heart.

"Trust the Science" coming out of the mouths of politicians is especially questionable. Politicians are not known to make scientifically sound decisions.
Why autofill in Chrome is broken
> However, as Michael Gordin, professor of the history of science at Princeton University, notes early on in his lively and thought-provoking survey of multiple dodgy and perhaps-not-as-dodgy-as-you-thought scientific areas, falsification invariably fails almost before it starts. How do you know that you’ve actually falsified a theory? Is getting a weird, unexpected result enough?

I blogged about this thing a few months ago. We misunderstand Popper. Hell, Popper probably misunderstood his own ideas. Falsifiability works precisely because it's imprecise. It's not a bug, it's a feature.

For more depth, obligatory link: https://danielbmarkham.com/negatives-stack-positives-dont-a-...
Government should NOT provide relief. They didn't even discuss alternative solutions. One time taxes would have been a possible alternative.

EDIT: relief in terms of QE.
I mean we can't really spend decades systemtically ruining people's lives then hope they beleive whatever we say about thier health/research can we?

catchphrases like 'trust the science' don't even make sense everyone knows it really means just 'trust who ever is in-charge'

credibility problems all-around
The main reason is cost (here at least)

Margarine is significantly cheaper than butter in my country.

In parts of Canada, you can get a close to 1 gallon container of margarine for the same price as 1 standard block of butter.
Late to the party, but using low watt incandescent bulbs to stop small compartments from freezing in winter is a classic off grid cabin and camper van trick.
What have they been doing to damage gtk?
My thought was that this only happened because macOS went to 11.
Doctor's prescriptions aren't really scientific although they are a lot more science-adjacent than price setting.
People understand that inflation is a function of both money supply and velocity right?

Well I guess no, as almost every comment on this thread seems to have no idea.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2V
I-bonds are better, currently yielding 3.54% (limit $10k/person/year)
This blog post is projecting that the rate might increase to above 7% for I-bonds next month, if that is the case then wait until November to buy them:
https://tipswatch.com/2021/10/13/inflation-report-sets-i-bon...
I recently had a bank detect Magisk Hide. Since on principle, I don't think it's their business what I do with my phone, especially once added Magisk Hide, I went into my branch, told them just that and asked for everything in cash to move to a different bank. These are the same banks that only have SMS for 2FA and it's required.
Insulin does not cost $300 in >90% of countries out there. You are just cherry-picking examples to fit your narrative.
Buy lots of real estate with high leverage and fixed interest rates.
In what universe are researchers elites and where do I apply for their work visa?
Europe Considers Breaking Climate Promises and Turning to Coal
> Google maps (not sure the replacement to that is).

OsmAnd~ is great :-)

https://f-droid.org/en/packages/net.osmand.plus
Imagine living in a world where OpenGL has been around since the 1970s, stable for a long time, and where there’s no sign of Vulkan on the horizon.

That’s the world of terminals. There’s no sign that the way terminals work is going to change. These standard escape sequences are old.
Yes, your domain can end up on a blacklist such as SORBS or Spamhaus and then you will have deliverability issues across the board. I have also heard from many companies and individuals with personal domains that have difficulty with Gmail and the verizon/aol/yahoo postmaster. They will just bounce you out of the blue.

DMARC and friends only help with authenticity. There's plenty of fraudsters sending authentic spam out there. The cost of a new domain is like $6, and there's plenty of people inputting their credentials on fake webmail signin pages for spammers that have trouble maintaining a credit card.