skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
In a Bayesian sense you can calculate the frequency of an event from one occurrence: if it happened once to a city 3600 years ago, you can use that information to update whatever your prior probability distribution was over these event frequencies. Your untutored intuition that this is not enough to give you a very tight distribution is correct, but I think "frequently, perhaps every couple hundred years" is a justifiable description of it.

As dredmorbius points out, we actually have a fairly comprehensive dataset of smaller events we can also use, plus a couple of bigger ones: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=28612676

A thing to keep in mind is how very few cities there were 3600 years ago. There might have been 10-50 million people in total, the size of a single small town in China today.
Nice, last year i wanted to work in that direction. Cool to see someone actually started.
If you ever need someone helping out, let me know. I habe many thoughts about a project like this and where this should go.
My bank even had me use one of those until 2009 or 2010!
The biggest issue I had with the US healthcare system was how confusing it is. And how much you seem to have to know upfront what you’ll need, where to go, etc vs trusting experts in the system to guide you. Even with top tier insurance from my employer. A lasting memory of that was in our prenatal class when they wanted the expecting mother’s to do a blood test to check for various risks. Queue much frantic checking by all of the other white collar employees of Bay Area companies to see if the pathology in this hospital was in network or not.

I don’t live in either country any more, but if I had to choose I’d take the UK system.
> kind of implies it's a fairly new phenomenon

Does it? The "Beyond Youtube" section articulates the exact opposite.
If it worked, why was it crap?
The author makes several great points about why it's beneficial to document your accomplishments. I've been following a similar approach for the last few years using Sublime and the PlainTasks[0] plugin to break apart projects and tasks into individual items and mark them with a timestamp when finished. I'll move the completed tasks into a new quarterly archive section to keep things clean every so often, and those sections end up providing most if not all of the information I need for self-evaluations and manager discussions while entirely amortized over the course of the year.

Sure you could do something similar with Jira though I personally find Sublime to be far less overwhelming for the task, though I will usually pair the larger entries with a jira ID so there's a link back to that additional context.

0 - https://github.com/aziz/PlainTasks
Then what makes Facebook different than any other social network? If this is what makes a company evil, then why aren't people up-in-arms about Reddit?
I propose instead the first rule of rules:
Don't assume that general advice will be applicable to all circumstances. :P
Probably "turnover" and if you divide that by 25 people to get an approximate grip on what OP is meaning with "paying the bills", it seems right.
There's a lot of revisionist history out there.

The Emperor singled-out the atomic bombs in his surrender message. Japan was depending on the USSR to mediate a conditional surrender, until they entered the war, which closed that avenue. And the reason the USSR hastily entered the war was because of the atomic bomb, they knew it was about to end. Japan was no doubt very concerned about a second front in the war, but I don't know of any particular fear of the USSR... Japan had soundly defeated a pre-USSR Russia in the Russo-Japanese War.

It's quite possible that they would have endured the USSR joining the war effort, if not for the additional "shock" of the atomic bombs, and Truman's bluff that the US would be dropping one every week...

https://www.pbs.org/wgbh/americanexperience/films/pacific/#t...
Tesla releases safety reports every quarter. In the most recent quarter, crash rate for Autopilot-on miles beat the national average by about 10x.

Also a comparison with autopilot-off miles in Teslas would be necessary here to control for Tesla owners not being representative of average driver in the US.

Luckily, they also release crash rates for Autopilot-off miles, as per your desire; Autopilot-on beats Autopilot-off by about 2x. Disabling all active safety features is of course even worse, losing to Autopilot by roughly 4x — although still beating the national average handily, since as you hypothesized, Tesla cars and drivers tend to not be similar to 1999 Honda cars and drivers.

Quarter-by-quarter breakdowns:
https://www.tesla.com/VehicleSafetyReport
Fair enough, but my issue with your original comment is that it implied that _by design_, ISBN does not uniquely identify books, which is wrong, as far as I can tell.
In any case, the issue of reuse of ISBN has practical consequences, so that the original intent might not be so important in the end.

Do you have any idea how many cases there are of reuse? Is it actually common?
That quote is seriously brilliant! Thanks for sharing.
I recall attending a technical talk given by a team of senior ML scientists from a prestigious SV firm (that I shall not name here). The talk was given to an audience of scientists at a leading university.

The problem was estimating an incoming train speed from an embedded microphone sensor near the train station. The ML scientists used the latest techniques in deep learning to process the acoustic time series. The talk session was two hours long. This project was their showcase.

I guess no one in the prestigious ML team knew about the Doppler shift and its closed form expression. Typically taught in a highschool physics class. A simple formula that you can calculate by hand: no need for a GPU cluster.
Yes, iwd/iwctl is the (wannabe) successor of wpa_supplicant. But systemd-networkd cannot really do WLAN. It can replace NetworkManager in a data center and an office machine. But not conveniently on a laptop. I guess the same might be true for VPN (the rare cases I need one I do it ad-hoc from command line, so no real experience in that area).
Oh, for sure that‘s true (with respect to telling employees “use these devices or you’re fired”). But I thought we were talking about the corporate relationship with society and the company’s users/customers.

In that broader context, I’m surprised that so many folks in this thread are arguing, essentially, that companies have a strong incentive to push (potentially needless, or costly from a privacy-perspective[1]) features on their users.

Historically, my feeling—-and I think that of many in the security industry—-was that the market does not reward pushing security, especially not security that customers can’t see; as a result, there’s some chunk of security theater, but real security features are often under-rewarded.

shrug

[1] To be clear, I disagree that most of these things have a severe privacy cost, hence my point that FIDO allows strong pseudonymity.
Ask HN: How can one safely delete an SSD disk?
Thank you early user, Hopefully people like you would make enough sound that manufacturers come to their senses and put 'Repairability' back on the feature set.

It's not just the compute devices, I've been waiting for weeks for Samsung repair technician to arrive for fixing year old fridge. I remember going to showroom when I was a kid with my dad and the sales person used to pitch availability of parts, repair centers for the consumer electronic products.
VB6 is looked down upon.
The Complete List of Badasses
this and we also cannot rule out disinformation campaigns from special interest groups who make it a goal to get people to be okay with oppression. i am sure there are countries out there who are less free who view freer nations as an eyesore to their agenda.
If and when they’ll come out with a 15 inch or above sized version that’s shipping in Europe and my MacBook Pro 2017 gets long in the tooth, I will be looking at a Framework instead.

The replaceable port idea doesn’t factor into my use case - I’d rather have the 4 thunderbolts or a generous assortment of video output and usb ports plus a card reader, honestly. Everything else is really cool and exciting though!

Thanks to Apple’s privacy bungles I’ve already turned iCloud enabled features and their convenient integration into a nice to have from a necessity and cancelled my subscription so I can switch any time to an alternative vendor and lose very little apart from the clipboard sync, wifi phone calls and airdrop.

So I’m genuinely excited to switch to Linux when I need to.
Custom may be due to ZFS. No idea why 5.12.
Not to get too gushy, but as I grow older I often find myself feeling more like a child again--in that the world is not a controlled place, and none of us know why we're here, and we are all kind of trying our best to make a nice time of it. There's really no instruction manual for dealing with all the curveballs and caveats.

Mr. Rogers always gets me emotional, because his messaging strikes me as addressing that exact issue. It's scary being a new human, but in another light, it can also be wonderful. He acknowledges the former, but highlights the latter.

I know this was kind of a stuffy statement, but darnnit if I don't appreciate the hard work that man did :-)
All of these comments miss such a critical detail: visas and resident permits. You can't just go and live somewhere cause you feel like it.
My own thinking around this is quite simple. We want to keep secrets from people who are sufficiently close in our social circles so that the consequences of them knowing and spreading it to the people with the most obvious power over our lives.

The consequences of data collection don't relate to people within our social circles so it is much harder to be viscerally affected by it. Without that emotional drive, it's one of those things that gets pushed down the priority list in our lives.
They really need to build a board with a built in slot for NVMe 2 storage. Running stuff off an sd card is a data loss nightmare and upgrading with aftermarket NVMe stuff is annoying.
For real.

People are downloading ready-made models from repositories to try and solve minor problems.

Guess what, your problem might be a simple linear regression. Yes you can solve it with a DNN (one level, one neuron - but hey, don't keep that from putting it into your CV) but you don't need to.
So it's got nothing to do with kids being outside unsupervised, but not wanting to encourage kids to stick random objects in their mouth or follow strangers home. As someone who went to the hospital as a child after sticking a pipe in their mouth, those seem like fair warnings.
Yes I do think upbringing does come into play, cause you subconsciously just don't care enough to distinguish the differences. Our family is decently well off but I was sort of raised like we were poor due to my parents upbringing. When I eat out I'm happier eating in hole-in-the-wall places cause I just feel better not "wasting" money on something more expensive. Sometimes I actually feel cheaper stuff really does taste better though since environment and marketing also does factor into the price tag, and cheaper places focus more on just making the damn stuff. Doesn't really help me much when I try to go on dates though Lol.
Well there are other dimensions to it's appeal. I bought a gamer box with a similar spec to the one in the article, 'cuz it was the HW I wanted, at a good price.
The value of the coupon is still the same, the implied yield on the bonds is now >30% as defaults are now priced in.

Just hitting the wires China Evergrande main unit Hengda Real Estate will make coupon payments for onshore bonds due tomorrow - so those buyers at 30c of the bonds get an interest payment of 5c a few days later (and the bonds are probably worth more than 30c now).

Median recovery rates on defaulted bonds are around 25%, so you could probably buy these bonds on the belief they are going to default and make money.

Irrespective these funds are basically indexers - people want exposure to a diversified portfolio of High Yeild Asian bonds, inevitably you will have some shit in there that goes south.
Congrats :) hope your startup goes well
X = P(bad_outcome) * magnitude_of_badness

Y = your net worth

You can trade-off one with the other.

People with lots of Y will be more happy to reduce Y in order to reduce X, because the marginal utility of Y declines with larger values of Y, whereas marginal utility of X remains roughly the same irrespective of values of Y.

> Fires happen often enough, but some events are low enough probability not to worry about.

This ignores the second part of X, which is magnitude_of_badness. Your house burning down has a smaller magnitude_of_badness than society collapsing which will likely lead to death.

It's also ignoring the marginal utility of wealth for large values of Y. Even if X is small, people with large Y will be more happy to reduce Y in order to reduce X.
The aerospace industry has been using CV successfully for decades, well before ML appeared. So I would temper your last statement a bit.

That being said, you are right to say that ML changed the game entirely for CV in industry at large.
Under the hood of GitHub-readme-stats project
Moreover, an additional reason for the very long time-to-market for high-bandgap semiconductor devices is that nowadays the research is done with much higher secrecy than in the early years of the electronics industry, when the Silicon Valley was created. In the beginning, essential patents, like the patent of the transistor, were licensed without restrictions to anyone who desired for small royalties.

Another price we pay for weak patents. Now everything new is secret.
We tried goats at our ski hill and to be honest they don't come close to people power.
Maybe it's because you are not that intelligent, have you though about that? it seems to be really close to reality to me
> India

India's not in the Western World. And it's also quite a stretch to say that Indians are held in "informational bondage". The only way that'd be even remotely true would be if we take into account the polarizing, biased nature of Indian news media - but that's not uniquely an Indian problem these days.
Yes, once you understand that drug dealing is an economic crime and works as an MLM scheme. Go after the distribution channels and make sure the cost of doing business is high enough so the MLM pyramid collapses.

Lots of countries have won the "war on drugs", it's not rocket science.
Scalable Labeled Data Is Indispensable in Boosting Self-Driving Truck – Part2
Same as erasing any other type of disk. Why do you think its any different?
Yield is a normalised rate of interest, so that bonds of different characteristics can be compared. When people say a bond pays certain interest rate, they mean the normalised rate, i.e. the yield, otherwise they would make clear they're talking about the "nominal rate", which is different. Therefore in most contexts, rate and yield are the same thing.

Anyway, the thing is if the spot rate is x% you will certainly be able to find bonds in the market that pay x% interest (=yield), regardless of the fact that a bond's yield and price are negatively correlated (an irrelevant fact, for the purposes of this discussion).
It always makes me question whether it is good to have a well developed taste.

Having taste makes you require more dollars to get the same level of satisfaction from a meal or a drink.
I might be reading more into you brief analysis than I should, but one interpretation I could make from what you just said is:

- there’s a bunch of companies that are using technologies that are a decade or more old, doing work that seems like it was maybe relevant and exciting a decade ago, and they are paying toward the lower end of the market
- there are companies using newer technologies/more modern problems, paying more

Maybe the solution here is to reskill/reposition yourself to be able to work for the companies that interest you? There’s quite a few companies doing very interesting things in AU these days. Admittedly the salaries aren’t close to the Bay Area, especially if you want a very early stage startup, but IMO there’s no shortage of exciting opportunities. If you want to optimise for income though you’re probably going to have to make a compromise somewhere.
yeah working at those places basically means you're set for many people in college. The kinda shit ppl go through to try and get a job there is kinda self explanatory. I expected all the down votes from the people that work there plus the people I'm talking about.
If I had a nickel for every time I've seen "business rules engine" turned into "AI" in the last few years...

But I guess if we complain that half of our colleagues and the media don't understand ML, why should we expect management to?

When the command from C-level is "We need some AI projects to tell our shareholders about," we shouldn't be surprised when middle management suddenly has successful AI projects in their slide decks.
An employment implies a contract between employer and worker.
The right to strike may or may not be allowed in the contract depending on the negotiating power of the employee, just like the conditions under which the employee can be fired is agreed upon.

What you consider "reasonable by any measure" is just the contract where the worker have no rights and the employer have all the rights.
Cory Doctorow is behind a paywall. How appropriate.
I've seen deer jump six foot fences.
A sufficiently large RLCDNN would reinvent the Doppler effect from data, eight?
Yeah, you obese, diabetics, alcoholics, smokers, all of them cost more life to society and money, that those of Covid, go and check whats the first cause, second and third in mortality, it is related to lifestyle, and if you have a good/healthy lifestyle, chances you get severe covid are reduced to almost 0!!!! you are the problem, no the people like me, you just don't realize how most of the unhealthy people, who need the jab, medicines, doctors, etc are the ones forcing the healthy or whoever it is who doesn't want to take it. It is like in a rainy day, you expecting me to wear an umbrella because then yours wouldn't work. You should get another kind of umbrella then, or get 5 umbrella booster each year, so you dont get wet
I read your comment :)
Paul Graham has an essay on taste[0]. It is about art but I think it translates well to taste in general.

[0] http://www.paulgraham.com/goodart.html
>The system itself is built to be exclusionary, where it has a cap of 4.5 B users.

2^32 is exclusionary? I don't see an easy way to make planets more inclusive. You could replace planets with moons (2^64 max users), then usernames need to be twice as long. Would you make the network architecture use nine-bit "syllables" (2^(9*4) max users)? Things wouldn't run so well on our 64-bit hardware.
It's a fun thing to do.

Like a working bee, it gets community involvement.

Or instead of getting a Jumping Castle for something to do you might get goats to help out. Poison would be cheaper and more effective. But so is eating Soylent, sometimes solving problems can be fun.

Correct it's not a solution.

FYI Goats don't really eat grass. They are Browsers not Grazers.
my bank used 2FA (auth codes or so called "transaction codes" send in physical mail to approve transactions) in the late 90s early 2000s. so 2fa isn't some new invention, funny how it took basically 2.5 decades until it become quite mainstream... now that i think of it, it's actually quite concerning that 2fa didn't have widespread adoption earlier - as soon as smart phones became common.
I understand the Thunderbolt hub is fundamental to the Framework concept, but I’m really let down by the lack of an AMD option.

I’ve waited months for Lenovo to sort their supply-chain issues and I’m still quarreling with poor drivers but the Ryzen in this T14s I have is just embarrassingly capable.
I hope the US somehow gets over this phase, it would easily be affordable I think. Just a few companies and people would no longer fill their pockets just as much as they do now.
Generation X are heavy, risky drinkers. Will anything ever persuade us to stop?
The tiny changes in the DE are minimal compared to the massive changes under the hood. I can learn a new Gnome DE layout in a few days. But in the same period as Gnome has evolved we have gotten systemd, pulse, pipewire, new file systems and a lot more. The list is literally too long to list here. And each of those changes bring with them a new UI/UX.

So keeping the desktop static is not as important as keeping the desktop stable, imho. Which is why I just use vanilla Gnome. (with some dconf edits to improve speed and stability)
It is only going to be fast and light weight if we get stuck with MVP 1.0, supporting only C, C++ and Rust, with hacks for the remaining languages.

20 years ago I was running untrusted code in isolated environments via application containers like HP-UX Vault and later Java Application Servers.
Yea I get that but I have experience people working with all sorts of insanely complicated heuristic to get something like a NER system running when they could have much more easily used a Hugging face model. But I totally agree that the article holds true if you have to train your own model.
If you're too young to know what OMNI Magazine was, you should do an image search for their covers. They had a similarly futuristic look, albeit more grandiose.
Yup, and failure to finish college thesis is leading cause of suicide among young men.

Basically what women do at all time is weave a healthy psychological support net of people. We, the men, should learn to do the same.
The heroes you mentioned, then go home and develop a "clean" implementation in open source, just to have that moment were there own management suggest switching to a open source library. Nothing more satisfying then seeing some smuggle own himself and not realizing it.
to be fair, there's also MATE to get the old gnome experience untainted, so even for gnome users this is possible. I personally prefer cinnamon, set up with the classic windows XP taskbar, plus maybe one at the top too
Weather emergencies, blackouts, earthquakes, and sudden illness or quarantine are emergencies that are quite frequent. Therefore, many governments advise their citizen to maintain a stockpile to last something like 14 days. Longer than that implies a major breakdown of civilization that most individuals cannot effectively prepare for. This would have to happen on the community level at least. Unless you become a prepper and do it fulltime.
Being recessed means you can leave them inserted while carrying the device.

Dongles significantly spoil the portability experience.
Well, my Windows applications from 2000 can still run on Windows 10, without being recompiled, regardless of the UI changes.