skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
I agree with you!

Part of the issue is that cheap debt lets a company like Evergrande, or even an entire sector, pretend that it's growing even when it's no longer producing things of value.

When debt is cheap, I can keep building boats by borrowing money, and even when they fail to sell, I can point to my growing inventory of unsold boats and borrow more money against that to build even more boats. This can basically keep going until someone asks for their money back and nobody else will lend me more. That's when we find out whether the boats are truly worth what I say, and whether the growth was real. Until that point, the fact that the boats are worthless can be disguised. It's even worse if I'm selling the boats to customers who buy up my inventory at rising prices but never sail them, just because they're so confident in the trend of their future value going up. Then even I might not realize that my boat factory is no longer building useful items.

I agree that a bust doesn't mean destruction. The waste already happened, in the long stretch of time where I kept building unnecessary boats. But smoothing out the cycle (and accurately pricing debt) may mean that discovery happens sooner, the pivot to nets happens earlier, and the roller coaster ride is avoided.

Right now I'm watching this happen, not in China, but in Canada where cheap debt is blowing a monstrously huge bubble in the housing market. An absurdly wasteful amount of capital is getting redirected into shuffling land titles back and forth, based on loans and valuations that continue to increase.

Canada is on a path to eventual heartbreak of one sort or another, and to the extent that monetary policy can influence it, the choice is either a large collapse now or an even larger collapse later. I can see that China is in a similar position, and they've chosen a large collapse now rather than procrastinating.

In a feedback controller, we cannot completely eliminate sensitivity to disturbances, but we can move it from one band to another, like a pile of dirt.

It's clear that China has not eliminated the oscillations in their economy, but this is one good example of scooping the summit off of a future mountain of pain, and paving it into the valley of the present.

Debt is one mechanism of boom/bust; another is moral hazard. If lenders are confident that their "risky" loans are de facto guaranteed, they won't price their debt accurately. Here we have government ministers saying that even a 10% correction in the price of housing must not be allowed to happen because innocent homeowners would lose their shirts, and you can bet they'll see to it that we can take on more debt to keep bidding up those boats. In times like this, I do respect the CCP's willingness to look past the short term pain.
Birth of the Internet Plaque (2016)
Thanks. Doesn't help me understand it (nor do any of the above comments) but does help me see it.
there is a lab called "Wuhan Coronavirus Research Lab" in the epicenter of coronavirus pandemic ground zero, and there is evidence of lab members seeking (and getting) grants in the US for dangerous gain-of-function research in the last few years, doesn't it make you stop and think?
>Whether the content is third-party or first-party is nowadays the same in the eyes of the end user.

Is it? As an end user, I am acutely aware that the above is from "cblconfederate" and not Hacker News.

>They 'll believe a moderated story on facebook or a moderated story on nytimes.com with almost equal frequency.

The question isn't whether or not "they" (whoever "they" might be) believe it, the question is "Who is the source of the story?"

If I say that you are a wife-beating, child-molesting, puppy-kicking monster, do you assume that Hacker News is responsible for that?

Once you answer that question, perhaps you'll understand things a little better.

Edit: Added context. Fixed punctuation.
Education secretary backs mandatory school Covid-19 vaccines
Censors only censor content found to be not true by their political operatives. Do you honestly think there has even been a government filled with bureaucrats maliciously censoring what they themselves believe are truth? What kind of comically evil villain do you think were censors in other regimes?

After reading and hearing what Americans think about censorship, I am forced to conclude a significant portion of the population believes that -- so long as someone doesn't look like a childhood disney villain -- they're probably a noble person with noble goals and noble results.
Netheads vs bellheads is an instance of the superiority of the end-to-end principle. https://web.mit.edu/Saltzer/www/publications/endtoend/endtoe...
> The point of surveillance is the same as Bentham's original panopticon, that is to say discipline people by making them discipline themselves.

If you want your opinion to change things, I recommend not going into the intend.

I work in the public sector of Denmark, and we’ve increased our surveillance as much as everyone else. Often it happens after someone commits a crime. When a citizen assaulted on of our desk clerks, surveillance was stepped up to increase employee comfort. At no point during any of the pro-con discussions did anyone intentionally discuss or express any intent in terms of wanting to make our visiting citizens self-regulate. In fact the very opposite happened as it was brought up as a major concern, that we would deal with by hiding a of the additional cameras from view.

I’ve been around the top decision makers for long enough to know exactly what would happen if they happened to read something along your thoughts. They would easily dismiss it, because they in fact had the exact opposite intend.

If you want to make them listen, you need to focus much more on the result, which is exactly as you outline it. People start to self-regulate, and the negative consequences of this psychological response to being watched. Because that is the only way you’ll get your message out without people dismissing you as a conspiracy theorist or fear monger.
I haven't read Reamde. What was the opening sequence? The zoom In Effect when you pick a local address?
Build your own house with Gablock insulated blocks
Even this is becoming less valuable as bigger companies start to invest in training and mentorship.

Three people I know how graduated college recently working at big companies have senior engineers dedicating multiple hours a week to mentorship and a lot of learning opportunities. They're growing much faster than junior engineers thrown into the deep end IMO.

The faster title advancement doesn't mean much IMO. Working at a big company I can say that outside of a certain group of other big companies we just don't trust titles to have any correlation to abilities.
I was a witness to a crime that led to a short police chase and a police shooting, and I couldn't accurately describe which direction the car was facing when it passed me (reversing or forward).

Up until that point I'd have thought I would be a reliable witness (I didn't, but this proved it definitively!)
https://apnews.com/article/seattle-police-government-and-pol...

> Over 200 Seattle police officers quit amid nation protests, April 28, 2021

> Police Chief Adrian Diaz said Tuesday that the department is in a “staffing crisis” after more than 180 police officers quit last year and another 66 officers left their jobs so far this year, according to police data. “We are at record lows in the city right now. I have about 1,080 deployable officers. This is the lowest I’ve seen our department,” Diaz told KING-TV.

Why would the city lose 20% of its police force in 2 years? It is a mystery. What we know beyond reasonable doubt:

* The loss in deployable officers is not related to the City Council publicly embracing 'defund the police'.

* The loss in deployable officers has very little to do with the mysterious spike in murders that occurred during the same time period.

Obviously anyone that raises absolutely unfounded concerns around those points is just exhibiting hysteric lazy thinking.
I could tell the connection speed of a modem by listening to the handshake. Does that count? Serious/not serious.
If that's true (and I hope it is, because it means things go very well for humanity), we're still one of the first generations to see major change _within_ our short lives. For millions of years, technology and tools stayed roughly the same from generation to generation. I'm 25, and the technological progress since I was born is mind-blowing.
>> Simple answers are probably wrong here

I would argue the opposite in this case. The increase started at the same time in almost every large city in the US, but not in other countries in the world. If the same thing happens in 30 cities at the same time, I'm not looking for 30 root causes, I'm looking at what was the commonality in those 30 US cities around that time that was different from what was going on in the rest of the world.
> a legitimate domestic experiment on UBI

The pandemic spending is unsustainable.
Much appreciate the care you took to write this but multiple readings and flipping configurations later I'm as lost as I was when I first counted the discrepancy. Can it be described in a simple sentence?
Only if we populate the galaxy. Which isn't that hard if we try. But even then we lived at the origin of the galactic species. Pretty special.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Doomsday_argument
One less than usual at the moment though https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-kent-58570893
Even now, I'm still fond of the Pivot control. Alas, side-scrolling for navigation seems to be a foregone paradigm; all that's left are horizontal lists. Maybe navbars and hamburgers positioned on the farthest edge of the screen are more usable, but the Pivot was just so Swiss! It's ironic, though, that the situation with home screens is inverted: orthodox launchers have horizontal pages, but the WP Start screen is vertical and unpaginated!

One app in particular, a WP original and exclusive, now comes to mind: Logic Games, a diverse collection of grid-based logic puzzles, had an extreme but effective take on this kind of navigation: nested horiz/vert scrolling formed a grid of phone screen-sized pages for puzzle types, and each page contained a grid of tiles for individual puzzles (sadly, 4D chess was not among them). I've yet to come across a more extensive unified set of grid-based puzzle implementations, though Simon Tatham's collection has similar spirit:

https://www.chiark.greenend.org.uk/~sgtatham/puzzles/

Looks like it's still listed in the store at:

https://www.microsoft.com/en-gb/p/logic-games/9wzdncrfhmwc

Though from the screenshots, I've just realized that it actually uses not Pivot, but Panorama controls:

https://web.archive.org/web/20131124064955/http://msdn.micro...

Reviewing the docs in the Wayback Machine, Pivot was toned down in UWP to a tab-like appearance and recently deprecated in WinUI by NavigationView.
Our $2000 per capita annual war budget would be a reasonable starting place.
> Similar to PowerNap from Apple

That seems pretty easy to turn off. I just checked my Mac and it's disabled, and the description around the setting was clear enough for me to know I didn't want to touch it with a ten foot pole.
A lot of people don't care much about the poor and instead care primarily about their own wallet. Whether it works or not is irrelevant to some folks.
Charred burnt rappelling squirrels “We’ve fried quite a few squirrels”
Parent said "experiment".
The jealousy argument just reveals the character and knowledge level (and maybe age) of the people who make up the cryptomania movement.

Money is not a "asset class", it is a claim on other people's time and the economic value they can generate with their work and talent. It is only "worth" the value of the community that accepts it as a legitimate tender. If a token dollar is worth something it is because a vast range of people will happily exchange it for something trully valuable.

The economy of a community made up of speculators and extortionists is worth exactly zero (if not negative) and it is a matter of time before this transpires.

The only positive thing to say about bitcoin and friends is that is showed to many more people that monetary system alternatives are in principle possible. Ofcourse some people have been for ages working on complementary currencies and such. Digital and programmable currencies are the future, but they will have to become real economic tools that will fix true problems before they stand a chance against the current system.
really crazy i'm just hearing about this now, https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMsr2105065
related article
I’ll provided an example: When the great firewall rewrites http reqs to inject malicious JavaScript to take down GitHub.

See “great cannon incident”. Http is a network level vuln, it allows clients to be hijacked by a mitm. It is totally unacceptable.
Slideasy – Make interactive presentations for your audience
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The amount we've spent on child tax credits and toe-dipping into UBI is a drop in the bucket compared to spending $300m/day for 20 years in Afganistan without even breaking a sweat. Clearly we can handle this kind of spending, and more, especially if we increase tax enforcement on the top 1% of earners and gasp actually re-assess the capital gains tax to ensure that people like Jeff Bezos are paying at least 28% tax on their capital gains just like they would on regular income.

These programs are also an investment in the economy that pays itself forward in the form of increased social mobility, and thus increased future tax revenue, so it is by no means a net loss. It could even be the case that every $1 invested in these kinds of programs results in more than $1 in created new tax revenue a few years down the road. This is called investing in our future. A new concept, I know.
95% of our tests are going through the API, including all the auth. Spin up a server in the test, create some data (we have helpers), call the endpoint, assert on the response, another endpoint's response, or the database state.

That allowed us to carry out _enormous_ refactors (pretty much only the controllers stayed) without touching tests. It's not really harder to write, making an API request isn't harder to write than making a function call
I've always heard that the murder rate and other assault stats was most strongly correlated with the number of males between the ages of ~16 and 26.
The police are just the biggest gang. They operate like criminal gangs because they recognize that way works.

The only thing that does any good is independent civilian oversight, with teeth. Bodycams and dashcams required, with recordings held by the oversight board, and dismissal for turning them off.

Disarming them while on patrol would be a useful intermediate step toward defunding.
I don’t remember paying a mortgage broker commission. Do they hide that fee somehow? The mortgage closing costs did seem high.
I am not sure why this is written as if drug repurposing is an under-explored concept.

Repurposing generics has becoming increasingly popular, because the clinical trial risk is much better in phase 2/3 (where most of the money is lost) than for novel compounds. Combine that with FDA fastrack designation for orphan diseases, and it's become quite the popular space for innovation. Even some of the papers "cited" by this article contradict it.

> This means that if one company pays for the expensive clinical trials showing that a specific treatment protocol for an off-patent drug works in a new indication, they cannot prevent others from “free riding” on this valuable information, which is a “non-rivalrous non-excludable” public good once it is published online

This isn't true. Composition of matter patents are not the only patents. If so, we wouldn't see generic repurposing at all, and obviously that isn't correct.
The down votes kind of prove my point.

Which is rich, rich irony and quite amusing.

Then again, as I mentioned elsewhere, I'm very easily amused.
Photo-Lettering, Inc.: a history
https://www.photolettering.com/about/history/drawer_one/
Misleading is opinion though, which in the US can never be libel
Just remember that only the C part makes you lighter as the O2 comes from the air.
So based on that number it's 375g/day (edit: it's 273g)
Offtopic:

> or when my WiFi router does its daily reboot.

Damn, I think that might fix 99% of the issues I have with my WiFi router.
If you're into that, NRO published a history of their early years.[1] More on the collection side than the analysis side. In the early years, it was more about collecting imagery of specific areas of interest. Now, there's a flood of imagery of the whole planet to be analyzed. NRO buys most of that from commercial vendors.

Which resulted in NRO getting flak from Congress over the rather large building complex they built out by Dulles Airport.

[1] https://www.nro.gov/History-and-Studies/50th-Anniversary-Arc...
My hypothesis on this whole mess.

China was going to do bioweapon research and there was nothing we or anyone else could do about it.

Quietly funding research in Wuhan was a way for the US IC to keep an eye on what China was doing.

Something from that lab escaped. It's not clear or particularly relevant to me whether what escaped was directly involved in the particular experiments we funded. In my mind if the US funded 50 experiments and China funded 50 other experiments of categorically the same type, and one of those 100 escaped, both are culpable regardless of whether it was on of our 50 or their 50.

Fauci and other officials can't just come out and say "This is part of a top secret weapons/intelligence program where we were using this funding to spy on China." And so they will lie in public. They will lie under oath. And there will be no consequence because the people (Congress/Presidents/etc) with the classified truth are all similarly culpable (they probably okayed/funded it).
In one sentence:

Two-headed body at A+2, in B config, wrongly counted as one boy, corresponds with hip-joined Siamese twins at A+7, in A config.

Maybe this can help. Look at this cropped image:

https://i.imgur.com/egAouqW.png

It looks like three boys; but there are four heads here!

The top boy has about 1/3 of a head coming from the inner disc.

The bottom boy has about 1/3 of a head coming from the outer disc.

The middle boy has a 2/3rds portion from each disc: basically two fused heads.

This is in the B position. When the inner circle rotates clockwise to A, these pieces are redistributed. The top boy still gets enough of a fractional head from the (cropped away) previous boy. (Not quite. More precisely, in position A, the top boy gets no head material at all from the previous boy, yet has enough head material from the outer disc that he still has a complete head.)

The top boy's 1/3 of a head goes to the middle boy, where it combines with the outer 2/3rds to make one more or less normal head now: no more double head here. The middle boy's previous inner 2/3rds moves to the bottom boy, where it also makes a normal head.

So, the double head being gone in configuration A, we now count 3 heads rather than 4.

Since 4 heads became 3: an extra head shifted out of here in the direction of rotation, and that's what supplies the extra head for the other boy in the bottom left, who now gets joined at the hip with a twin, sharing a leg with him.

Looking at the cropped image again, consider what would happen if the middle double-headed figure did not have a big 2/3rds of a head from the inner disc, but only 1/3rd, making just one normal head. Upon rotating to the A position, the bottom boy would now get that inner 1/3rd and therefore would not have a complete head!

I believe that there is justification in relating this to the Tangram Paradox:

https://mathworld.wolfram.com/TangramParadox.html

Here, a subterfuge involving subtle fractional differences is also taking place. Very similar, corresponding body shapes actually have a different area, and that difference corresponds to the extra piece.

In the bicycle wheel problem, we ignore that two heads are two individuals if they have the same body and are fused at the head, yet we do not ignore that two heads are two individuals if they share only a hip and leg.

In the Tangram paradox, we cannot ignore the glaringly obvious extra area of the small rectangle forming the foot, but find it hard to perceive the extra area of the larger body.

Hard to see extra area versus hard to see two heads that are partially merged.
The way I look at it, the point of a market is to convince us to do things we don't want to do that nevertheless other people want us to do. Money is the mechanism for this. When you get paid for something, it sweetens the deal, so that you put up with stuff like going in to work 9-5 and dealing with angry customers and writing unit tests. Prices are an information-carrying mechanism: they tell people which activities are in high demand but low supply, and conversely, which activities aren't really worth doing.

Bankruptcy and unemployment are the means with which we "prioritize and allocate resources". They are, by definition, when you stop doing what you were doing and start doing something else. So no, I would disagree that "governments are begging for this to happen" - I can't think of a government that's encouraged bankruptcy and unemployment since the 1980s.

I view various forms of capital as a way to get over local maxima in economic efficiency. You borrow money or raise funds now so that you can build up tooling and innovations that will let you work more efficiently in the future, and then if you're right, you make lots of profits and can pay back your loans & dividends. If you're wrong, you go bankrupt, your investors take a haircut, and that capital goes back to other more productive activities.

Constantly growing debt balances and inflation, however, I view as a way of lying to ourselves. They're basically saying "Well, in the future, things will get better", but when the future arrives and you still don't have profits, shrink the yardstick so things look better. That's exactly what "government action that supports the market" is - it's a way to avoid the failure of enterprises and loss of jobs that the market, on its own, doesn't demand enough to make profitable. Do this over 90 years and you can get some pretty extensive misallocation of capital.
So accusations without an opportunity to provide a defense of your character will be shared? I'm adding Delta to my no fly list.