skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Newcomb's paradox obscures the same basic reason you can't have a Halting-Detection TM, only it covers it over with fuzzy terms and human complications.

If you recast the paradox as "There exists a machine scientists made that will determine if any other intelligence will either choose the box or not the choose the box. You are that other intelligence. Do you choose the box or not choose the box?" then you can see that the same principle holds; if you incorporate the logic of the predictor into your own intelligence, you can twist the original machine's logic back on to itself in exactly the same way the Halting problem does.

A subtlety to note about the halting problem is that while it is phrased in terms of that particular machine that can twist back on itself, it is itself a generalized proof of impossibility, and via Rice's theorem and lots of other work over the years it extends out into the impossibility of all sorts of other machines as well. The proof simply provides one machine that unambiguously can not be created, it is not limited to that one machine.

Similarly, while a human brain that encompasses the same logic as the box-prediction machine may have technical problems in the fuzzy real-world land, the fact that such a brain would be fundamentally unpredictable means that the prediction machine can't exist.

If you try to fix up the thought experiment by limiting the size of the predictor and the predictee in various ways, I suspect it isn't that hard to show that the predictor must be exponentially more complicated than the predictee in order to function, and something "exponentially larger" than the human brain doesn't really fit in the universe. And then if you try to escape by allowing arbitrarily large mathematical systems, you're back where I described above. If you try to bound how much larger the predictor has to be than the predictee, you are going to be encountering some really serious mathematical problems doing so (of the "busy beaver" mathematical sequence sorts).

Given that the problem intrinsically encompasses a delay between the scan and the decision, I can simply take an ad-hoc hash function of the experiences of the last day and now the predictor needs to have also had information of my entire last day as well, and a simulation sufficiently detailed to have predicted that, too. Even if it can predict the hash function I would use (itself no guarantee since that is also conditionalized on the intervening day, potentially), it can't predict the input going into it.

I think most people intuitively sense that the predictor can't really exist; I think people's intuitions are correct. It would require the predictor to have physically impossible amounts of additional resources vs. the predictee if you try to embed it in real space and time, and if you put it in math space it's nothing more and nothing less than the halting problem restated.
That's what the book "The Millionaire Next Door" by Stanley covers.

In one sentence: live below your means, and invest the difference.
You'd mentioned several specifics in your earlier comment:

"actual literacy is (at least where I'm from) a relatively low bar and mostly a binary, either you can read or you cant."

Again: I've given you a link that provides extensive evidence that all three of those claims are false.

- Literacy isn't a binary.

- Bar placement is in fact high.

- Reading skills cover a considerable range.

If you persist in your argument, you'd be doing so in denial of esablished facts.
wearing mask is an independent variable when it comes to spread of covid. How close someone is to infected or for how long are other independent variables. Improving either of them would improve the results.
This is hardly a rebuttal. I wish it had actually provided some content to address specific claims in the WSJ articles, rather than simply asserting that their central thesis is "just plain false" and leaving it at that.
Obama wasn't that shocking. There was just a massive outrage factory attacking him. There are controversial things the Obama administration did, but the outrage wasn't commensurate.
Not sure I agree. The extra time and listening to him gave me some ideas on how the parts are used, and made. He talked about the materials and explained it in different ways. It's awesome to see what people are interested in.
I can’t find that video even by specifically searching for it!

Maybe it is suppressed for most users and something about your viewing profile opts you in? I’ve never seen anything like this video or anything else that looks like a scam on YouTube.

Everything on my recommended page is pretty relevant to my interests and seems legitimate.
In double entry accounting, when you receive a loan, you increase liabilities and assets. You don't just increase liabilities.
It's hard to 'feel' that this advice is true when we constantly see news about people winning the cryptocurrency, NFT, influencer or other capital gains lottery.

And I say feel because people act more according to their feelings about the world than anything else
FYI the author of this post is paid just shy of 4 million dollars a year by Facebook to say this sort of stuff.
The Design of Everyday Things. Found it longwinded and jargon heavy without saying a lot or anything actionable at times.

I had some UI design skills already and intuition about it so I found a lot of the advice common sense. Like don't blame the user, give them a way to undo mistakes. This might be why I couldn't relate to people who say it's mind blowing and makes them see the world in a different way.

I've read Don't Make Me Think as well which is often recommended with the above. I thought this book was great. Concise, actionable, simple to follow. Refactoring UI is like this too.
I think Dan Flashes took inspiration from some of these screensavers for his shirt designs. The patterns are really quite complex.
2004 was the year of the Linux Desktop.

Fedora Core gave you everything you needed for the typical desktop use case: a browser, an office suite, and an email client, with a modern, sensible GUI.

Anybody still denying the usability of desktop Linux since then either plays vidya (which, granted, has been a perennial problem on Linux), or is simply wrong.
San Francisco to be specific
I have also noticed this. One in particular who I followed because they posted a bunch of really excellent astronomy photos and had an exuberance for space flight recently “got accepted” to “go to Mars” and now they “live on a faux mars base in an inhospitable climate” in order to “train for life on Mars.”

It’s unclear if it’s real or fake, but their “qualifications” seem to be number of social media followers, so it doesn’t seem actually real.

I’m not complaining, cool story and photos, but I’m sure it’s all performative so I follow it as one would a cool fiction podcast or something.
Because they've always marketed astronauts as paragons of virtue and skill, and something that any parent would be happy to have their child strive for. As soon as any one of them behaves in a way that any of those parents may disagree with, they're dirtying that public image in the eyes of some.

NASA is obviously acutely aware of how precarious their funding often is, so walks a fine line in an attempt to make the only critique against them purely budgetary and not political. Like it or not, showing too much personality allows one side or the other to start positioning you as a piece for or against their agenda (and of course the other side will take the opposite stance), making it a political issue even if it's ridiculous to think of it as so.
Their algorithms are based on predicted engagement not truthfulness. One is trivial to measure and the other very difficult.

https://www.socialmediatoday.com/news/facebook-provides-new-...
>Astronauts are, for better or worse, the public face and PR of NASA

She was selected for a student internship, not for training in the astronaut corps
> It's also great opportunity to socialize and make friends outside of their family.

For what it's worth, everything I remember from daycare/preschool through elementary school was that it was a blast. Being home with just one parent instead of being/playing with other kids all day would've been way worse. Look at villages in developing nations: the young kids there run in packs, with free rein of everything, and are having an absolutely great time.
Uhm...

Version 0.5.1 released on April 23, 2007

Does it even compile today?
It's kind of weird watching an ex deputy prime minister (famous mainly for betraying his supporters and reneging on his flagship campaign promise so he could stay deputy PM) get so self-righteously indignant about the idea that he and his employer might have motives that arent completely pure.

The fact he claimed that the motives of the researchers were impugned as if they made the decision to ignore their own research is even more bizarre.

Nick Clegg is a clown.
Being skeptical of a hypothetical like that is fine. Once the vaccine came out and was shown to be efficacious, they updated their opinions with the data. This is exactly the manner in which one would hope, and indeed expect, their political leaders to behave. To do otherwise is pure reality-denying insanity.

I was also very skeptical of the speed at which a vaccine could be created and rolled out. But, once it was rolled out and it was shown to be reasonably safe, certainly far safer than actually getting COVID, I went and got the jab. These are not hypocritical or diametrically opposed viewpoints and actions. They are the behaviors of someone living in reality, with all of the uncertainty that entails.
> I'm not saying giving money to lower-income people hurts them. I'm saying the price increases will hurt them more than the money they get will help them.

For that to be true, the price increase of goods purchased by the poor induced by the additional income would have to be a greater multiple than the additional income of the poor; this doesn't make any kind of sense.
When I Was an Influencer
Freenet requires your hard drive to allocate ~2GB of raw space of encrypted unknown data that basically makes your machine a "node" in the network. Whatever is in that cache you will never be able to know, as it's encrypted in a way that querying is based on encrypted hops and an associated TTL like feature.

It's incredibly slow (think Tor over Tor over Tor), and needs to be run for 1-2 weeks to even work mildly. Tails would not be an ideal choice, a dedicated space is necessary.

There's no real reason to use Tor to connect to Freenet anyway, as it's encrypted in a way that the network traffic cannot be known nor even the content on your machine by yourself unless you know the private key which serves as a link to the content you are trying to locate, and it eventually will sync up those keys with your local storage. You don't even know the public key of the content that is stored in this local cache.

If you've seen Silicon Valley, this is the idea that likely founded "the Platform" concept, but they add a bit of magic and speed to the concept for the show. When your content is published, it's published "everywhere and nowhere". If you publish something, then destroy your node, that content will stay in many nodes and still be accessible. This information gets kept or cleared out based on how often it is being queried.
It's not right if it's a way to harass the unvaccinated as opposed to reducing a substantial risk of transmission on a flight. Quoting Scientific American https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/evaluating-covid-...

'At a casual glance, air travel might seem like the perfect recipe for COVID transmission: it packs dozens of people into a confined space, often for hours at a time. But many planes have excellent high-efficiency particulate air (HEPA) filters that capture more than 99 percent of particles in the air, including microbes as SARS-CoV-2, the coronavirus that causes COVID. When their recirculation systems are operating, most commercial passenger jets bring in outside air in a top-to-bottom direction about 20 to 30 times per hours. This results in a 50–50 mix of outside and recirculated air and reduces the potential for airborne spread of a respiratory virus. Many airlines now require passengers to wear a mask during flights except for mealtimes, and some are blocking off middle seats to allow more distancing between people. Companies have also implemented rigorous cleaning procedures between flights. So how does this translate into overall risk?

“An airplane cabin is probably one of the most secure conditions you can be in,” says Sebastian Hoehl of the Institute for Medical Virology at Goethe University Frankfurt in Germany, who has co-authored two papers on COVID-19 transmission on specific flights, which were published in JAMA Network Open and the New England Journal of Medicine, respectfully'
He's a former head of state, of course he's expensive.
Don't understand how this is the top comment, hello HN backdoors?
In late 2000s the 'figure' was down to 30%. I don't know why.
>A truly humane homeless policy would institutionalize mentally ill people, not subsidize drug addicts, and help people on the edge of homelessness find jobs and housing.

But that sounds mean and hard so we can't do that!

No I agree 100%. I personally think mental institutions need to be reestablished by the state because frankly, there are too many severely mentally ill homeless people that need to be off the streets for everyones safety. Drug addicts honestly I'm incredibly apathetic to. I understand it's a big deal but frankly, they've gone the way of ruining their lives. Not much you can do to help them. Placating them only keeps the cycle going. The real people who are just down on their luck tend not to stick with homelessness (except for Californian homeless people where honestly it's the only way for lower income people to get by).
Don't even think about it. It's possible that some solutions/mixtures might use methanol instead of the more usual ethanol.

Consumption of as little as 30/40ml will blind you and if you double that then it's curtains.

Methanol can cause cumulative damage and unlike ethanol it absorbes easily though the skin.

The reason I mention methanol is that in the past when rules were more lax I've used an ethanol/methanol mixture for shellac and some jurisdictions may still allow its use. As with ethanol, methanol works perfectly as a shellac solvent, also it's often very difficult to distinguish between these solvents without a proper chemical test.
I like these stories, but I think this is more a hallmark of a bygone era. If I remember correctly, the average age of NASA during Apollo was mid-twenties. Now (at least in certain orgs within the agency) it’s nearly double that
> In germany at least

For example?
The lawyer thought it would not have mattered if the school provided the hardware or not. There was no reason to be looking for crime, without at least a warrant. Additionally, the Chromebook might be plugged into my home network, where it might be used to surviel more than my child's academic usage. The fact uniformed police officers were on the school's payroll was enough to turn it into a constitutional issue.

It is really important that parents be willing to stand up for our children's rights. They don't know better, and they don't have the money. And yes, as a parent, it's worth spending money on.
The only really good service I like from google is MAPS
Why fresh water specifically?
Putin is a) not a communist anymore. b) quite popular in Russia.
Tvtropes as others have said, but for structure what you want is an intro screenwriting book. “Save the Cat” is a good one, and Syd Field is a classic (although dated).
The article says the engineer should go out and find another person to use it in front of them!

A quick local build and cursory click through can be okay but should they be doing the above for every contribution?
Sorry, I was generally asking about how it related to 128bit broad general computing instructs. But also interested in RISC related context.

Thanks for clarifying!
Reasonable, but misses the key point that he simply can't address.

Is social media a good idea for teenagers? As parents, should we be finding ways to limit their use? At least until it becomes more clear that it makes a positive impact.

This, to me, is what I got from the WSJ article. Not how / good bad FB is. I mean - Capitalist company going to capitalize. Duh.
I was lucky enough to learn git from the "git for ages 4 and up" from Michael Schwern:

https://youtu.be/1ffBJ4sVUb4
I'd say no because freenet storage depends on popularity of the files.

If nobody is interested to download your files, which they wouldn't be because they are undecryptable blobs, then very soon you will be the only one storing those files, and you have gained nothing from making them available on freenet, but you have wasted your own bandwidth by uploading them.

Also it would be horribly slow as far as storage goes compared to a hard drive.
When I read the headline, I thought it was dumb. Then I read the article.

He bribing ATT employees to make this happen. That crosses a line.

I don’t know if 12 years is appropriate, but paying off a network of employees crosses a line.

The “pay to unlock it” system is bad. But this guy was simply undercutting ATT (by means of corrupt employees).
A long time ago social media companies realized that spam, users getting scammed does does hurt engagement, so not worth devoting much money to fix it. YouTube has probably 1/2 billion users. A few thousands getting ripped off by scams is immaterial.

Algos are a scammer's best friend, cause all you have to do is stay one step ahead of the algo . Human moderators would nip this shit in the bud. Such videos would last minutes on Reddit but they last forever on youtube.
He most certainly is not. The Queen is the head of state of the United Kingdom, and Clegg was only deputy prime minister in any case.
Not a lot you can do once they're already in space, yeah?

I bet you there was some PR person at NASA cussing them out when they heard/saw those too.

As for being faithfully archived, well we already have enough moon landing conspiracists without giving them more "evidence" of stuff being hidden during space missions.
https://adfontesmedia.com might help.
Just kidding, this was actually a really informative comment that's prompted me to go and have a proper look, appreciate you taking the time.
It's probably been removed since I posted the image, but I think that's what the scammers are doing: posting them so frequently that when they get taken down, another one takes its place - hence the need for something to algorithmically block them before relying on user reporting.

Correction: the video is still up, ID is "qoFPBms-7g4"
Others currently broadcasting similar scams:

BbUnrpFd5do

5VOQXRrfibE

fVNbM8mKHUU

M5dBA-01K88
>Much of it is written by people who don't understand how destructive modern weapons are.

Absolutely. I don't mean to nitpic this article, because it addresses a larger point, but this quote FTA stood out:

>Hidden beneath tarpaulins and decoy construction material in the truck bed was a 7.62-mm sniper machine gun. [emphasis added]

I don't know what the hell a "sniper machine gun" is (I was in the Army for 5.5 years), but this sentence unfortunately took a lot of away from the article for me.

The way the article is written makes me think the author has a specific way they'd like this story framed, and their unfamiliarity with small arms weapons platforms is sort of giving away the game here. Remotely controlled small arms employed in a stay-behind-operation is the real story here. I don't know of another instance where this has happened.
Those are commercial alternatives, with curated content. So creators can get paid directly from the subscription income. Clearly it serves a somewhat different community than the fediverse. Personally, that seems okay. There should be room for both things to exist.
> And if you did find a half decent algorithm that worked, the spammers would just iterate again to make spam that doesn't trip it.

So, the solution is not to even try? How has that worked out for other platforms?
I do fold because I typically only have so much room in my pack. I am pathetically type a and have multiple maps which I try to fold differently so that I can try to take a good one for a given trip (doesn’t really work on long through hikes.

The USGS has stopped printing maps so the choice these days is commercial ones or downloading and printing at home (which eliminates both the size advantage and the high resolution of offset printing).
Any job making $100k/yr isn't "dead end". You don't need a career path because you've already reached the end of it. You can live quite comfortably almost anywhere in the US at that salary and thus need no further advancement. If $100k counts as "dead end" by your definition, then your definition is useless. What number would you put as the threshold if not $100k, or even something below it?
Well this is a terrifying idea. Is this a hypothetical or do we know of an instance where such a “key” was invented?
I use Qt. It's nice.
I worked for NASA, and, having gotten to know myself quite well, I’m not sure what all the fuss is about.
Better Box Fan Air Purifier (2013)
It's all related, and just a matter of magnitude. NASA is very specific about how they want their employees representing themselves when it reflects on the agency.

I'm not saying it's justified, but I don't doubt they're overly cautious by nature and if they have a chance to remove a risk prior to any real investment, they're more likely to take that route.
It also doesn't remotely sound "dead end" to me at all. That leaves you set for life; you're better off than most people. And if your partner also works ...!!
Reporting is useless because it takes a very high threshold to get the video removed if at all. Think about how many reports Trump videos or fox news videos get. So YouTube probably does not assign such reports much weight.
Thx for posting.
The outrage is still fresh. Robert Mueller is wasting his time on President Trump when he should be investigating Ngan Vo Thi Thuy! Apple better do something about this 4 years ago!
That is very short sighted. The ADA ultimately benefits everyone. When I’ve had knee and leg injuries I found ramps valuable, for example.
Sure, let's totally ignore that and instead turn to places where the same topic is discussed in a calm, scientific, factual manner, that does not involve conspiracies and finger pointing. BTW, where is that? Could you point me to such places that are discussing Sweden and Israel data right now?
Confirmation bias, coincidences at scale, sure, certainly a part of it.

But I had always thought big tech would just correlate interests of people it knows spend time with each other. E.g. my father gets an e-bike, I get e-bike ads. It could of course be due to me scrolling over one e-bike ad less quickly once.
Is the problem as bad as you say and really getting worse? I don't know, I personally have never been recommended anything like this. I also think it's absurd for you to suggest that you could "write a couple of regular expressions" to successfully remove spam from YouTube with 0 false positives. The reason stuff like this will always exist is precisely because false positives are inevitable and they piss people off way more than spam. There are dozens of threads about random YouTube videos getting hit by the algorithm going back a decade on this site, the reality is that this problem will always exist.

With all that said, there's nothing wrong with asking YouTube to do better, but I'd temper my expectations if I were you.
’Pressure Cooking’ Change
Apologies, and thanks for the correction! I forgot about parliamentary systems distinguishing those two (heads of government / of state).
Fans of Taleb who are reading this: please share what you think would be the "ergodicity-rational" choice here, and why? (after all, Thales wouldn't have bothered with analysis-schmalysis). I can't share my view (yet) because I'm still not sure I understand the problem properly.
How often would that signal be available?