skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
My Ph.D. dissertation was in "Decision Making Under Uncertainty". The topics in the OP are extensive with most of them looking good. E.g., I noticed interpolation -- an old idea but sometimes important. Apparently missing, however, was the old technique of scenario aggregation.

Before going very far on this subject, we should note there was a lot of attention to this subject at the ORFE department at Princeton.

Some of the related advanced math is pretty, but for practice here are some of the real issues:

(1) Far too easily, needed computer resources, both CPU cycles and memory sizes, especially main memory, are high beyond reason, feasibility, practicality. Without exaggeration, this subject is Godzilla for any super computer -- right away gobbles up and spits out -- of less than 100 million square feet of floor space.

(2) Too often this methodology is what would do -- provably best possible for any means of processing the input data -- if had a lot of data and assumptions about that data that don't have.

(3) So, in practice, the first obstacle is to find a problem that gets around (1) and (2) and is doable otherwise.

(4) In practice, the next obstacle is convincing the suits, who are nearly always wildly afraid of anything so new to them, to devote any time, money, data, or attention to the work. The suits too easily see any such project as a lose-lose for them: (A) If the project works and with quite valuable results, the project head might get promoted, maybe over the relevant suits. (B) If the project doesn't work really well, generally it will be seen as a waste with the suits having a black mark on their records, a black mark that makes them easy targets in the C-suite competition.

One possible path: If have a project that passes (1) and (2), in addition have one more attribute: Have the project one (A) can fund and do oneself, (B) have a good list of good candidate customers, and (C) do a corresponding startup. Due to (B), are just a vendor to the customer organization and, thus, not a threat to the C-suite suits. And to the customer, the project has no "waste" since if the customer is not happy the startup doesn't get paid.

Net, do a startup.
I've used to send text messages in the classroom without taking the phone out of my pocket. No-look writing was a thing :)
> I'm arguing it now, you may disagree

No, you actually don’t present an argument that inconsistent enforcement is equivalent to no enforcement. You just argue that you don’t like inconsistent enforcement.

> You may not think such is a utter failure of enforcement, but I do.

You are entitled to that judgement of it, but it’s obviously not equivalent to no enforcement. To say so is ridiculous on its face, which is why you haven’t in fact been able to argue it.

> Right, ignore the social and non finance related dao's listed in the link I provided

The fact you can’t pick one out shows that there actually aren’t any good examples. That’s my point. I’m not ignoring them.
Terrible headline is an outright lie.

The study, which is a pre-print that hadn’t been reviewed yet, claims that they saw higher rates of suspected temporary cardiac issues than hospitalizations due to COVID.

Those same temporary cardiac issues that largely resolve on their own are a well-known side effect after COVID and even flu infections.

They didn’t compare to any risk of COVID infections, which included myocarditis. They only looked at COVID hospitalizations as the control group, which doesn’t make any sense as we know it’s not the only risk of COVID.

It doesn’t make any sense that they compared apples to oranges in the study, but the headline writers are pouring gas on the fire by pretending it was apples-to-apples.

I can’t believe these blatant anti-vax headlines are now basic Guardian headlines.
In certain societies (Thracians, for example) the type of hat and decorations on it would indicate the social status of the wearer.
Well there's nothing necessarily wrong with maximalism per se, it's just the misrepresenting was a bit odd
> Europe should perhaps have diversified their gas suppliers, with more LNG.

If climate change is supposed to be an existential threat, we shouldn't be doing major investments into fossil infrastructure.

Anyway, if we spend all that money to build LNG infrastructure, like terminals, ships, and having contracts with suppliers etc. just for the few and far between situations where the price of LNG drops below Russian gas, the price/kWh is going to be pretty high as well due to all that capital sitting idle most of the time.

A bit like this, per se sensible, argument someone in this thread made that keeping a nuclear plant around just to balance wind/solar output is pretty expensive.
I kind of wish that the metric would be X hours on MSFT or Google's largest available cluster.
There is no indication as of yet. I think clinical trials can miss even more if they are conducted in such a short time or with insufficient data. Data that cannot exists yet since we don't yet vaccinate people for that long and I don't think it must mean that vaccinated people have to die or that you can project any sensible prediction.
I think this problem gets overstated by the anti CICO crowd. Most people will habitually make and eat the same, relatively small, collection of meals. If you're eating the same foods and nothing outside has changed (travel, stress, sleep, exercise, etc) then the difference between what the nutrition facts show and what your body gets out of the food should be pretty consistent.
I suspect Thiel wasn't bullied enough. Neither was Schmuckerberg.
I get the Thinking About Things newsletter [1], which focuses on sending out articles by lesser known blogs. I don't know how they do it but they seem to know about all the fascinating blogs before they make it big. It's been a great way to discover interesting but not sponsored, SEO'd-to-death content.

[1] http://thinking-about-things.com/
Both of those statements can be true. That was the entire point I was trying to make. It's not bullshit. Both of those statements are true.
Board Game Price Breakdown
Anti-police policies are not exclusive to the NYC though. If you want to control you need to show that murders also rise in the cities that don't have the same policies. Chicago, SF, Minneapolis don't appear a sensible choice for a control group in this regard.
Is there a cheap way to test my tap water for said estrogens?
Why do you think they did?

Usually what is the case is that they use these people as workers (Making it so that they can't set their own rates or contract freely like someone who isn't an employee could)
but then call them something else to avoid workers protections and liabilities.
Impressive setup. As someone who has lived in a van for a little bit, I'd be terrified of that van getting stolen or even just equipment getting stolen off the roof, especially in cities. I wouldn't want to leave the van much.
Dante and the Desire to Go Beyond the Human
Playstation 5 vs. Xbox Series X|S game size comparison
100% the nose should never be anywhere near nose-down. And there's a solid argument for never doing anything that's not part of the official training canon. But the fact that it works is fascinating.
Birds of prey are territorial. That drone looks like them and so it's not welcome. They probably messed with it a bit and found that removing the battery kills it. Birds are generally pretty smart, some are self-aware and have high level of intelligence and awareness.
If you have interconnects, energy is fungible - just like oil or other commodities.
Perhaps, but it's also worth noting the difference in visibility between employee/manager. For all the employee knows that "political effort" has been ongoing for the last few months and they were non the wiser.

I work at a large company with separate engineering/management tracks, and gaining any visibility into the business from the engineering floor is like pulling teeth. For example, I've been blindsided by reassignments that are technically voluntary but I know if I make a stink about them it'll hurt my reputation. I certainly wasn't consulted about the problem my re-assignment addresses until it was happening. That lack of context creates an environment where employees have to read the tea leaves from the drips and drabs of information they can get, a joke about firing would definitely prompt me to update my resume, just in case.
There are bunch of use cases listed here: https://www.ekioh.com/solutions/
For what it's worth, the article says "UC’s preliminary lab results hold promise for reducing jet noise in both commercial and military aviation."
Interesting. Is this also in Texas or do you live somewhere else?
Yes, there is a core+GUI split.

Docs REST api: https://tribler.readthedocs.io/en/latest/restapi/introductio...

Search and all features are exposed there: https://tribler.readthedocs.io/en/latest/restapi/search.html
If you purchase a hardware wallet, make sure you buy it directly from the company making them, and read the official instructions.

There have been scams where people sell hardware wallets with seeds that the scammers provided, and once the victim uses the hardware wallet with the scammer-provided seed, the scammer steals the victim's coins.
Mathematical Analysis of Fruit Fly Wings Hints at Evolution’s Limits
Not war-torn, more like lawless wastelands. Cops don't really stop crime, the get their ticket quota and then if they have to follow up on other crime, they may show up and take a report.
I think there's a pretty critical piece of analysis missing here: inflation. An alternative explanation might be that housing prices are being driven up by inflation, and wages haven't caught up yet. There are two ways to lower the home value/income ratio:

1. Decrease housing prices
2. Increase wages

We haven't seen meaningful wage increases for a long time now, so perhaps it is time. Maybe this is just a symptom of wages not tracking with inflation, and the solution is to pay people more.
The best idea that comes to my mind is to go vegetarian and to learn to distribute food better.

We are already producing way more food that people need. If we just stopped feeding it to cows, pigs and chicken, readjusted production for more vegetarian diet.
This is what a Network Slug[1] is for.

"A Network Slug, or "Slug", is a transparent layer 2 firewall running on a device with only two interfaces."

...

"A Slug has no IP address, cannot be reached on the network, and does not increment IP TTL."

...

So, for instance, I have a port 22 slug that I can insert anywhere in the physical chain of a network that passively, and silently, blocks all traffic except for TCP 22.[2]

You could clamp down further and restrict it to port 22 and your specific VPN endpoint IP.

Foolproof ? Perhaps not - but a huge piece of defense-in-depth that makes the use of a (port 22) VPN much safer.

[1] https://john.kozubik.com/pub/NetworkSlug/tip.html

[2] https://john.kozubik.com/pub/NetworkSlug/images/sg-1000-back...
Yeah i should've added, don't do this! or only do it in the simulator.
Spoiler alert: the murder rate in Russia is 40% higher than in the US, and that's despite the very different gun laws [1][2].

Nothing ruins a good story like facts. That's also why you should always raise before you launch or enter a new market, etc. People are suckers for a story, and our brains are pre-wired to explain phenomena rather than to question them. Once you master that psychology (and manipulation) of people, you'll be better at fundraising - and apparently at journalism as well!

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crime_in_Russia
[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crime_in_the_United_States
"Come to my office for a 1:1 at 3:30. You're getting fired."

The problem with always mentioning the reason is that it then stands out when you don't. Sometimes there is something unpleasant to discuss that you can't put in a meeting invite.
Hmm, I wonder if there are lots of variables that go into "likelihood of being hit by asteroid" - e.g. the size of the central star in the first place, and the resulting radius of the hab zone.

It's also of not: if earth hadn't been hit by at least some asteroids, it mightn't have any water.
Two Entrepreneurs Affected by Covid-19 Create a Program for Smell Recovery
They way I've seen it, the manager's manager formally makes the call, but they wouldn't really know the other person involved (they would just work with their subordinate managers) nor the details of the particular problem. If they care, then they would get into the details and perhaps fire whichever of the two is actually at fault; but if they don't care much (which I've seen happen, especially in more lower paid/mass market positions), they would rubberstamp whatever HR says - especially since it's not that unlikely that the conflict will escalate into a complaint (no matter if real or not) about discrimination or workplace abuse, and so from the perspective of that manager's manager it's very important that a Proper Process gets followed and (for many jobs, though usually not for IT jobs) not that important to them about who stays and who leaves afterwards, as HR will just get an equivalent replacement.
> It's subjective, but that doesn't make it nonexistent.

Yes, it does. Subjective assessments have no objective reality.
Yea, I just thought "wat"?
People's pro-climate rhetoric is not matched by actions. The majority "cares" in polls, but won't lift a finger.

And really, in the end what's it matter if a few million humans kick the bucket?

No one's gonna miss us and there's gonna be plenty of space for everyone else.
Going on strike was the freely chosen decision of the delivery workers. Their employer freely chose to meet their demands rather than going out of business. Sure, the bosses might have preferred to pay independent contractors pennies to work 90 hours a week and destroy their own health, but in just societies that isn't an option.
Introducing ClickHouse Inc., the new home of ClickHouse
Database with info from 106mn international visitors to Thailand exposed online
Combining the worst of American and British coffee culture, then.
Show HN: Dato.rss the best RSS search engine ever made
I have worked a lot with lobbyists and part of the reason is that the tech companies dont work together. When the banks or oil companies go to capital hill their lobbyists are generally in alignment. The sense iv gotten from folks I talk to is that is not the case with the tech companies and instead they have competing opinions on things.

Another place you can see this illustrated is when the CEOs of these companies testify in front of congress. The bank CEOs all stay more or less on the same message. Comparatively on the tech side there is a lot more variance in message. Some of this is changing, you can clearly tell Zuck is getting much more coaching and Sundar Pichai is well prepped. Then you have Dorsey who is always a complete wild card.
I didn't think there was a massive memory gap between functional languages and other paradigms? I had always made the assumption that it was because immutable data allows the compiler to make optimizations that it normally can't.

For example, you could pass all values by reference implicitly, because they can't be mutated.

There are probably others. It seems like the paradigm is different enough that the pitfalls are also slightly different.
I don't think you have to justify or challenge your dislike for Medium. It's pretty reader-hostile. I get why authors write on it but I personally click away every time I get hit with the paywall.
I keep notion digital garden for each mini project i undertake, and also a general "dump all stuff here" workbook there.
No-Code Product Design
Jails/Containers should be fine as well.

Just need to make sure host applications don't see the network interface provided by the VPN gateway, so they don't accidentally leak it (linking it to your real IP). A typical example are browsers when using WebRTC.
Lower gravity would actually make for less action.
In terms of version pinning, flakes are essentially just an in-tree equivalent of niv, I will say.
Walking after a meal: the simplest habit for stable blood sugar
What do you mean by "change details"?
Link to the actual NYMag article and not the daily beast’s listicle:

https://nymag.com/intelligencer/article/peter-thiel-silicon-...

> Thiel (who did not comment for this article, which is adapted from my new biography, The Contrarian) is perhaps the most important influence in the world’s most influential industry. Other Silicon Valley personas may be better known to the general public, including Jeff Bezos, Elon Musk, and even a few who don’t regularly launch rockets into space. But Thiel is the Valley’s true idol — the single person whom tech’s young aspirants and millennial moguls most seek to flatter and to emulate, the cult leader of the cult of disruption.

Okay come on, is this really true? Whenever Thiel comes up there’s a pretty heavy consensus that his influence is bad and Palantir is a particularly evil company. I don’t think it’s true at all that tech folks idolize him as described here.
Add our current low interest rates to the mix as well and the picture changes dramatically
Some very clever and influential people better start finding and implementing real solutions to housing prices right now. If they don't, expect overwhelming support from Millennials for massive expansions to public housing and rent control, if not even more draconian measures.
Only if you assume humans are purely self centered rational agents. In practice, many people do care about what a "fair" price is and don't just charge as much as possible in pursuit of profit.
Oil powers tractors, but that can easily be electrically driven. Nitrogen Fertilizers, which is probably what you are referring to, are made using hydrogen, not oil. That hydrogen is usually produced using natural gas (again, usually not oil), but until the 1950s or so when steam reforming started to utter dominate, we tended to make it with hydropower electrolysis. There’s no fundamental reason you need oil for food abundance or transport. None whatsoever.
As someone working at Mozilla on web compatibility, I'm tired of people excusing Google like this.

I personally spend most of my time figuring out the Chrome-specific quirks that pages rely on which are non-standard, and the Chrome devs almost never fix before conjuring up some new, ill-defined "standard" that they ship to production before others have even had a chance to figure out the last three.

It's maddening, especially when you look at Google's not-so-sterling track record just with major new "standards" like Web Components, WebRTC and Pointer/Touch events, not to mention how often they ignore Chrome's spec bugs until the web is reliant on them, and other vendors have to change their behavior and the spec to match them. Folks always seem to ignore all of the trouble Google causes, and just think "ooh, shiny new toy! Google good!"

Just imagine trying to implement all of those "standards" while Google is constantly changing them, under-documenting everything, have no reference implementation aside from the one they ship that's deeply tied to Chrome, and expect you to work on their time frame. All while not fixing bugs in the last two new APIs they pushed out, while pushing out two more at the same time. You wonder if they're doing it on purpose so no matter what the "standards" say, they just wait for the web to become reliant on their bugs, and then everyone else has to figure the whole mess out for them, like glorified janitors.

And then you look at the backlog of things you'd like to have fixed instead of figuring out the latest interop issue with some quirk that has a crbug open for three years, and the new privacy APIs and features you'd like to push and you start to feel a bit burned out. So you hop onto HN only to see yet another comment like yours, acting like we're doing nothing at all except "chasing shiny baubles". It's enough to make me wonder whether people like you actually care about the web at all or just want more half-broken new APIs to complain about.
I don’t know why this is being downvoted - it’s good advice. You should adopt a “work persona” that elides the riskier elements of your true self.

“Bring your true self to work” and other modern workplace nonsense is risky advice to take seriously. It’s mostly a coded communication that does not mean what it appears to on the surface.
All the apps, including the “TV device” (Roku, Apple TV) apps seem to be kept fairly in sync. This wasn’t always the case but as of a few years ago, seems to hold true.
In my anecdotal experience my fitness apps generally underestimates calories burned while exercise equipment generally overestimates it. Like how my Garmin watch told me yesterday that I burned 300 kcal from running 10 km which is nonsense. It should be around 600 kcal if you do a rough estimation.
Markets Slip but Optimism Increases – News Sentiment Roundup 9/13-9/17
I tried once. Kinda liked it but it was heavy on my built-for-98-se machine and lacked some things a teenager wanted in a computer - like DirectX.

But I've tried anyway. Then I got owned so hard by Nimda that it is still the first thing that comes to my mind when I think of Windows 2000.
Nosewheel should never be anywhere near to being the first thing to hit the runway. In a Piper, for example, this would be an easy mistake to make but if you're landing a Gulfstream with the nose that low-down, you're in serious trouble.
I am glad that you finally understand -- or at least its beginning to dawn on you -- that this is a transparent attempt at a shakedown with no legal merit.

Netflix will not lose this case. But the purpose of the case is to threaten Netflix with bad publicity not with legal damages -- after all a woman was offended! She was exploited by Big Bad Netflix!

And already there are lots of people cheering her on as some kind of victim and all that's happened so far was that the paperwork for the suit has been filed and of course an immediate press release was sent out and ant-netflix reporters were recruited to begin writing hitpieces on Netflix.

The case may well be dismissed, and if it's not dismissed, it has virtually no chance of succeeding. But that may be a while from now, and in the meantime Netflix is suffering bad PR. I'm sure it can all go away for the right payment, though.
> Do we have the lithium/etc reserves to meet the storage needs for the entire planet?

Yes. There are basically so many different chemistries (and non-chemical storage methods) that the important question is “which type should we prefer” rather than “can we even do it”.
Does up- or down-voting actually do anything?
Genuine question. The app i use for hn only allows upvotes, which i do use.
Yes you are absolutely correct! That's the biggest flaw in this system IMO. And I don't think it's fixable without a fundamental redesign. The pressure is controlled by a rubberband. I could possibly use the servo to relieve pressure during certain strokes, but how much? I don't know how tall the paper is! It could be a ten sheet packet or an envelope. And to simulate pressure differences we're talking about fractions of a millimeter there. I can't crack it!
You lost 150lbs and might be in a somewhat decent health, but will it be true for that person over the internet that might have nothing in common with you ?

The crux of these discussion on diet is that there is no universally reproductible method (CICO in isolation is just a principle and not a method) and starving he body will have different consequences for different people. Advocating any practice as “the only thing that matters” is a recipe for disaster.

Imagine if the actual solution for that person is to change jobs, or that starvation lead them to worse health issues than where they are now, stuffing CICO down their throat would just be cruel.