skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
How can you be confident we will get there?

Central Banks can easily knock interest rates down a few points and take away all gains in labor wages (plus more).

Why would Central Bankers (who answers to no one) stop giving themselves (and other asset owners) more and more pie when it's so easy to take it?

What's the incentive to stop? The West is on a 20-year trend to lower interest rates. Japan's on a 30-year trend.

Have you stopped to consider how hard it is to maintain a life a leisure in a low-growth environment without slave labor? /s
Although in propositional logic we can say:

x ⊢ y

which means "x proves y".
Please don't take HN threads into religious flamewar. It's not what this site is for.

https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html
Waste is a factor in all production goods. Every fish you eat's price takes into account dealing with bycatch. Your wooden table's price accounts for the offcuts. It's the nature of making (or harvesting, or whatever) things.
It’s also a unwillingness to train or risk anything but a perfect fit resume. Imho it might take a little investment but employees you train into what you want are usually a win win for the employee and the business on multiple counts.
Percentiles for sure are better than average if you want to explore distribution: there are several percentiles comparing to single average. However median is harder to use if you want to do calculations based on this metric. For example distribution of sample median could be a problem, if you want to understand confidence interval for it for example.
I suppose my point, knowing a few people with online followings, is that 60k followers does not translate to 800,000 marketing dollars as the article claims - or even 80k. Even if your had a really profitable niche (which she doesn't).

That being said I see the AI was in TV ads (is this influencer based? or just actor?) so 800k is possible.
Confessions of a Lazy IT Worker
Ask HN: Best tool used for hosting API and technical documentation
Hey!

What tool do you use for exposing API & technical documentation to your customers? A tool that produces nice looking, dynamic pages. Can be a paid solution. Do you have any recommendations (in 2021) based on your experience?
Plummeted? Adjusted slightly you mean…
JRE stopped existing in Java 8. The idea now is you "link" a JVM for your app, which customizes and optimizes it. Then you ship both together. It's the fully supported way and has no license implications.

Seems like the new Oracle JDK license is a lot more flexible than before. In reality it's kind of cosmetic because lots of people were using the (100% compatible) Amazon or Azul spins, or just regular OpenJDKs.
I remember a story about what I think was CCNP. Cisco had you come down to their test lab, set up everything they told you to set up according to constraints given, and then go back home. Part two involved them changing things to cause failures or degradations before you came back, then you had to diagnose and fix it to pass part two.

I hands-on practical test like that should be part of every exam, but it's expensive and time consuming.
I think you've summed up the biggest immersion breaker in that program for me. At some point a character mentions a cost of $40,000/day, which seems like a huge amount until you look at how much staff is needed to keep the park running (including apparently an entire private army), and the amount of damage done on a daily basis which then needs fixing.
And I think Steven Pinker is a boring fraud who tried to pass himself off as a linguist for a while.
I studied Latin in high school and did well in JCL competitions.

I’m skeptical that “active” is the way to teach beginners Latin. My daughter took 4 years of Latin in high school with this method, and they never got around to covering all the grammar (which is normally covered in two years).

Spending too much time on the conversational stuff means less time actually being able to read the classics, which is, IMHO, where the real value of Latin is.
> Standards of living have increased the most at the bottom of society.

Ah yes, conflating 150 years of history like the 60's and the 2010's were comparable in a stable stream of progress.

Remember even further, when we were forced to dress in animal furs and sleep in grottos? How amazing progress we made since then... I wonder why the serfs are complaining.
It is very unusual for 'tech' companies founded since 2008, but Mailchimp was a web design company founded in 2001 that stumbled upon a capital-efficient business model before they needed to raise capital.

The 'unusual' part is more that a company this old and profitable has a traditional 'exit' vs. being run as a cashflow generator for the duration of the founders' lives.
I agree with this sentiment, though I am glad that Go does not fall into the "throw/try/catch" trap and instead treats errors as variables.

I think some sugar around this would be uncontroversial.
> Oracle JDK is now free for commercial and production use.

Hopefully, developers have learned to avoid Oracle like a plague after the last absolute licensing failure with JDK that caused all the FUD.
> Racism - judging people by the colour of their skin - has been on life support for a long time

You would think so, but the proliferation of affirmative action among tech companies and prestigious universities says otherwise.
if you knew history of development of all mighty special agencies(look at ussr/russia, china etc), you would know that you could become of interest to them, even if you don't think you are a threat.

One of the benefits of mass surveillance(for the state) is that people of interest have no way of communicating with the world securely/secretly, they have to assume that everything is tapped and actively hostile to their communication setups.

That means that you could be recognized as a part of shortest path to undermine some person of interest, and there is no reason for you to assume that they will hesitate to harm you and your safety/comfort
Shockwave was Flash's larger brother, feature wise. Shockwave stuff could contain Flash files, but Shockwave could do things Flash couldn't, or could do them earlier. (And if I remember correctly Shockwave came first, and when Macromedia aquired it they then build Flash)
Why Couldn’t Iron Age People Throw Some Stuff Away?
> but #2 is wrong

Nonsense, it's been that way since Civ 1. Demo (Freeciv 2.6.4): https://files.catbox.moe/3af6xu.webm
Yes. I like this in Java, and in Rust, and it's annoying for me in languages like Python where you mostly don't have this. I want the compiler to tell me my program is nonsense, so then I can fix it, rather than wait until the program has done most of its work and then, oh, did you notice this needs to be an integer but you provided a string? Sorry, program crash, fix the bug and run the whole thing again.

But of course although it's the default in Java, and not provided out of the box in Python, I also wrote some web framework stuff that adds these runtime errors to Java (by using Reflection to make decisions at runtime instead) and I've seen Python code with more type safety that would tell you earlier that there's a problem. So it's ultimately not only a matter of programming language although that does definitely set the tone.
Facebook shields millions of VIP users from moderation protocols
https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/70/wr/mm7037e2.htm

77% efficacy against infection for Pfizer, 92% efficacy against infection for Moderna in the US.

Really wish people would stop saying vaccines have waned to uselessness. That just isn't even true for VE against infection. All the studies that I see at the lower level of ~50% VE against infection are highly problematic (there was a study of healthcare workers in San Diego where their unvaccinated control was only monitored via PCR for infection and only had a 3x increase of infections during the delta spike in Jul which suggests their unvaccinated controls had a significant amount of natural resistance or were taking many more precautions).
Still think it's a worthless waste of time that's now contributing to global warming by incentivizing things like reactivating dormant coal power plants.

More broadly, blockchain technology will forever be my go-to example of a (bad) solution in search of a problem.

But I also have a small percentage of my portfolio allocated to an ETF indexed to the price of Bitcoin because the last ten years have proven that, in the crypto market, there's apparently always a greater fool willing to participate in this multi-billion dollar Keynesian beauty contest.
NB: Post author here.

I found it surprisingly difficult to explain well. Took a lot of passes and a lot more words than I was expecting. It seems like such a simple concept. I thought the post was gonna be the shortest of my recent ones, and then after really explaining it and getting lots of edits and rewriting, it was 7000 words and ...whoops! But I guess it's what I needed to explain it well (hope you thought so anyway).

It's somewhat exponential, but yeah, not necessarily, it's definitely long-tailed in some way and it sort of doesn't matter what the theoretical description is (at least in my mind) the point is these types of distributions really don't get described well by a lot of typical statistics.

Can't talk too much about SREs at the ad analytics company I mentioned, we were the backend team that wrote a lot of the backend stores / managed databases / ran the APIs and monitored this stuff a bit (and probably not all that well). It was a bit more ad hoc I guess, probably now that company is large enough they have a dedicated team for that...
> Not to mention, the original version of the virus is gone, it has been outcompeted by the variants.

No, that is not true. Also, for note, there are ZERO tests for variants so you know. It must be genetically sequenced. All the data we have is from sampling. Last report I saw put delta at 20% of Covid cases in the UK based on sampling sewage water which seems like it could have a high margin of error. But I’m open minded if you have a different source.
I noticed the article never mentioned anything about pay and conditions for the advertised fruit picking jobs.

My prediction is that the government will make it easier for people to come to Britain for seasonal work. And then they'll make it easier for companies that claim they have "labour shortages", regardless of whether those companies actually tried meaningfully improving pay and conditions first.
This really sounds like the way to go, although of course it is too late for Java. Optional feels awkward, and there's no more safety than we already have since the JVM null-checks anyway.

if( arg.isPresent() ) ...

vs

if( arg != null ) ...

How is this better?
And... they found it looks at the name of the patient on the border of the image or something similar.

Like the time some team tried to evolve an FPGA net to solve some problem efficiently with a genetic algorithm and it learned to use a bunch of FPGA transistors as an antenna to communicate with another part of FPGA chip through interference. Unfortunately, it would not work on other FPGA chips even from the same lot.
Coming Soon: A Whole New Way to Collaborate Using Zoom Whiteboard
The solution for Taiwan is obvious. Nuclearization.

The only way for a country of that size to resist a superpower is to ensure that that superpower loses their capital if they dare bite.
> that might alert casual readers to the political color of the publication they are currently reading

So many false positives with ESL writers.
Unreal 4 offers a WASM target.

https://docs.unrealengine.com/4.27/en-US/SharingAndReleasing...
> Housing is anything from a third to 50%

This is way too much. We just finished paying off our current house and our payment was around 14% of our net. We are high earners in a low CoL area so the house is really nice, but wasn't very expensive. I can't imagine being "house poor" after this.
1/3, if confirmed, is sadly insane
It's mostly implemented in a branch. You can download a version of Java that can do this today. There's more work to do before it can be merged though, and will probably ship in incremental pieces.
Just to note, AMD does every single thing you blame Intel for.

AMD recently dicked b350/x370 chipset owners by sending motherboard manufacturers a memo telling them not to support Zen 3 (5000 series) Ryzen CPUs on their older chipsets.[1] This was after AsRock sent out a beta BIOS which proved that 5000 series CPUs worked fine on b350 chipsets. Today, AsRock's beta BIOS still isn't on their website and it's nearly a year after they put it out.

Also, Ryzen APU CPUs do not support ECC. Only the PRO branded versions. Which only exist as A) OEM laptop integration chips, or B) OEM desktop chips which can only be found outside North America (think AliExpress, or random sellers on eBay).

It's more accurate to say AsRock supports ECC on Ryzen. And sometimes Asus. They are also incredibly cagey about exactly what level of ECC they support.

Ryzen only supports UDIMMs. Not the cheaper RDIMMs. There are literally 2-3 models of 32GB ECC UDIMMs on the market. One of which is still labeled "prototype" on Micron's website, last I checked. Even if your CPU supports ECC, it takes the entire market to bring it to fruition. If no one is buying ECC (because non ECC will always be cheaper), then the market for those chips and motherboards won't exist. Want IPMI on Ryzen? You're stuck with AsRock Rack or Asus Pro WS X570-ACE. Go check the prices on those. Factor in the UDIMM ECC. It's not cheaper than Xeon.

[1] https://wccftech.com/amd-warns-motherboard-makers-offering-r...
Prisoners of the Ghostland
I don't pay much attention to big bang things, as far as I'm concerned it's as unprovable as an infinite universe theory. I'm not sure we can ever know either way.
I don't even have the app on my phone, just a shortcut to the mobile site, and it does everything I need.
And, QoL too. Bangalore has salaries comparable to US median salaries for the same role if you are doing PPP. But if you include QoL, the balance tilts to the US locations.
Autocorrect is an awful feature. Humans can easily determine from context which word was meant, if a letter or two are wrong. If autocorrect picks the wrong word, as it all too often does, the meaning is lost. Instead of a lousy typist, you come across as insane.
Imagine not being able to rewatch movies from the 50s-80s because "the servers were shutdown".

This is what's gonna happen to a whole lot of modern games. What a waste.

Only pirates can help them.
Do what your lawyer and accountant recommend.
So basically the compressor is aware of opcode structure so uses multiple data streams and contextual encoding for operands. The article doesn't say much about the use of SMT solver, but my guess is that it transforms opcodes in a way that they run exactly identically as the original (verified by the solver) but compress better. Well-known stuffs in the data compression community, but also hard to execute efficiently.
True, Star Trek initial release was October 14, 1986 while theory was there from 1934. Thanks for correction.
Yes it might and it's not all or nothing either. Just like natural immunity can lessen the degree of future mutated infections, vaccine shots can too.

The corona's spike protein though is a simple structure that will likely still infect (be able to get inside a cell) after many kinds of mutations - some of which won't be mitigated with previous vaccinations (mu is leaning this way).

Contrast this with polio which has a Tetris like key that must link up with complex cellular proteins in our cells to enter. Slight mutations in this render it unable to pass through the cell wall. It's why vaccinating for this is so effective and long lived.
As humans we adore beauty and power*

FTFY

Most issues are human issues. Just because it is a human issue does not make it alright to exploit it at scale with such invasiveness. Especially since they know that is it harmful. Sounds like cigarettes marketed to children. It's not a cigarette company issue it's a human issue after all! We are not liable.
When two cities are close to each other, only __one__ of those cities can get the good tile.

Where "good tile" is whale, pheasant, or maybe a highly built up tile (railroad + mine on coal). That means choosing which city gets which tiles becomes important.

Turning off the governor and picking-and-choosing locally suboptimal (aka: bad for City B) but better (aka: good for City A is better overall), especially in a game with cascading multiplicative bonuses (Rapture bonus * Bank bonus * Marketplace Bonus) really means that CityA might be favored more than City B.

Or maybe, City B is smaller, but overall in better placement. So maybe you want to have fewer resources overall, but grow City B to rapture size faster. So maybe City B deserves a more optimal placement than A.

-----

Civ is filled to the brim with "locally optimal, but globally suboptimal" strategies. That's why you have the option to turn off the governor and manually plan things in these corner-case situations. The governor works in 99% of cases though.

Getting it right in those 1% of situations is the difference between a rapture-to-size 15 vs getting stuck at size 3. The game is very "sharp". A slightly suboptimal move cascades as the turns progress. (Being 1 turn ahead can become 2, 3, 4 turns ahead as you progressively accelerate faster and faster into the higher-tech items)
Was? New junk is added to Rust every few weeks, using past tense seems intentionally deceitful, as does re-characterizing my comment. I really do mean ugly as in ugly. That's why I wrote that.

One of the strongest factors behind a lot of people choosing to stay away from Rust is that so many conversations with advocates are met with toxic and subtly toxic behavior. They demean software that's not memory safe the way that politicians use their words to sow anger. C has won, and Rust blew it's shot aiming at C++ instead.

As Amazon swallows Rust and spits all the refuse out, I can't help but smile, because it's a community that's been begging for obsolescence via their attitudes and behaviors since day one.
Maybe his school scheduled classes so it was impossible to do a language and a science subject at the same time. For example I dropped History and also Geography in school because they clashed with Science subjects.
when 'best' is subjective, perceptions and biases come into play...
It's not only ignorant of the science, as you point out regarding prior immunity, but highly ignorant of history and social dynamics. Creating an underclass that is considered diseased and "dangerous to us" ends badly, to say the least.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ten_stages_of_genocide

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dehumanization
I mean compiling your own kernel and compiling the OS are very different. I am running 5.14 on my PBP right now.

No support for external displays, though.
> not chronically dehydrated

Good job. Taking something to an extreme, just to straw-man it.

I like the negative connotation on vocal minorities too. A+
A more accurate title would be "Stephen Pinker Thinks [the Author's] Sense of Imminent Doom is Wrong".

He is refuting the author's sense that a cluster of crises implies imminent doom, not that there might be other reasons to have a sense of doom.

> It’s not irrational to identify genuine threats to our well-being. It is irrational to interpret a number of crises occurring at the same time as signs that we’re doomed. It’s a statistical phenomenon that when events are randomly sprinkled in time they cluster.
It's probably because he doesn't understand that something that works only once in a lifetime, or even only once in a few generations, can actually be a very desirable trait from evolution/survival point of view. We (and all lifeforms really) are full of such traits, they're a burden 99% of the years and a blessing in that cursed 1% slice.

Not that it's necessarily fun to have those traits (Selfish Gene etc.), but calling them "irrational" is often plain wrong. If you fail to explain something that doesn't mean it's not useful (or "irrational"), it might be your "rationality" that's too limited.
For some perspective, this is still nothing compared to what the government of Israel has recently achieved in manipulating the American education system [1].

[1] - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anti-BDS_laws#Amawi_v._Pfluger...
Would be nice if Oracle folded it into JDK again so it will get more love from developers.
OK, so:

-30C to +38C is -22.0F to +100.4F exactly.

Celsius can only represent 56% of your "habitable scale" without a negative sign. Fahrenheit can express 83% of the same scale without a negative sign.

1 degree C is equal to 1.47% of your "habitable scale'. 1 degree F is 0.82% of the same scale. Nearly twice as much precision (1.8X to be exact).

Yes, you can add a decimal point and negative sign, but that takes more space and costs extra money. So most appliances I've seen in Korea forego the extra decimal point, resulting in less control/precision of your appliances. Plus if you do add an extra decimal, you get even more precision in F. I would actually argue the extra decimal would add more precision than you want, anyways. (Imagine LED digits like on a calculator: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Seven-segment_display)

Even if you use 2C = 2*Celcius, F still has a slightly more efficient range.

Another way to look at is your hardware can display 39C to 99C, but that range is "wasted" because humans cannot survive in those air temperatures.
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I heavily caution against the feeling that "standard deviation is a simple way to essentially include percentiles." The usefulness of the standard deviation depends on the distributions that you are working with. Heavy tailed distributions appear a fair amount in practice, and the combo of summary statistics mentioned would not do well on those. Also, Madars' comment in this thread is a beautiful example of this: 4 completely different distributions, with identical mean and standard deviation (among other things). Histograms and percentiles, and if necessary their approximations, are more desirable for the above reasons.
I really appreciated this explanation, thank you
I've come to believe flipping is a major problem, at least in my locale. A $300K house gets $50K of "improvements", then the investors needs $100K profit after commissions are covered and so we're in the $500K range for the next buyer and very little value was added. It's often the proverbial "lipstick on a pig" house after the renovations.

There's little to no regulations on flippers. They can be DIY people that have never swung a hammer or people that cut every corner possible to squeeze out every cent of profit. Often, buyers of flipped properties are doing major repairs in the first 2 years as things behind the walls was not done correctly. It's a very common tale of people completely renovating their newly renovated bathrooms and kitchens (yes, the most expensive rooms in your house) because the flippers did not take the time to properly waterproof behind the tiles. Or they did not properly mortar the tiles for adhesion and they are now popping up.