skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
> This data needs to be framed against the % of the population that was vaccinated at the time they contracted the virus, right?

No, it does not.

It compares chance of you dying to covid compared to all other possible causes.

This dimensionless number does not depend on relative population sizes.

So if in one population you get 458 deaths from Covid compared to 57,263 from all other causes and in the other population you get 38,964 from covid compared to 65,170 from all other causes, we can immediately tell that one population fared much better at least when it comes to your chance to die of covid compared to chance of dying to all other causes.

Just by the fact of being in one population than in the other you get (38964/(38964+65170)) / (458/(458+57263)) ~= 47 times less chance of dying to covid assuming rates of deaths to all other causes were the same between both populations.

So what are these population? To be in the better-faring population you had to be fully vaccinated for at least 21 days and the worse population was completely unvaccinated.

Now, I am pretty sure there are other factors that factor in that number 47.

It is likely that vaccinated people treat Covid more seriously and are more likely to practice social distancing, washing hands and be generally mindful of various things you do to minimize chance of getting infected. They might also possibly wait shorter amount of time before calling for help if they see signs. While this is pure conjecture on my part I think it is reasonable to assume this happens to some extent and reduces rates of infection within vaccinated population.
HN is full of conjecture and rich discussion on lots of topics. It is better to let people share anecdotes and opinions without ridiculing them.
Went ahead and created a MR to emphasize on 'reserved file extension' in the error message: https://gitlab.com/gitlab-org/gitlab/-/merge_requests/70427

Thanks for the suggestion :)
Isn’t this what was in Firefox for a while before it was ripped out and I guess made into a private company? I’m pretty damn bummed by this thing.
From what I’ve seen - I wouldn’t want to be a woman in those environments. Culturally, these professions are way behind the times. Female mechanics drop out pretty fast from what I’ve seen due to the unwelcoming culture. Not every profession is like SV tech.

I will say that it also will really depend on the type of lady. Very few women are built like men are. You might be taking for granted just how much more physically strong men are on average. Just consider height for instance - average height of a woman in US is 5’4”. You’re in the 1% once you get past 5’9” as a woman (yet half of all men are taller than 99% of women). While there will be women who can do these jobs that have been built around a mans body - they won’t be very common until the profession is overhauled to accommodate different bodies better.
I haven't seen Hanson address the "destructive insider trading" scenario where I buy a prediction that California air quality will be bad, and then spend the summer starting wildfires in California forests.

Today, people have no incentive to do that other than "wanting to watch the world burn". But if you can get rich burning forests, more forests will burn.

I don't doubt Hanson has thought about this. I just haven't seen it addressed.
re-vo-lutionary.
I've heard it's been used a lot by the MOVA developers
> The end quote with a period inside it ends the sentence.

What a weird interpretation. Two characters shouldn't be needed to end a sentence, only a period can end a sentence. It'd be a lot easier to postulate the period inside ends the sentence and the quotation mark ends the quote that just ran outside the end of the sentence by one character.
I’ve used the excellent DGGRID for building geo-hex grids:
https://github.com/sahrk/DGGRID
> It’s an æsthetic choice in the end.

Æsthetic is misplaced pedantry, since the word comes from Greek through German, rather than Latin.

https://www.etymonline.com/search?q=aesthetic
DAG based networks (rather than blockchains) such as Fantom and Avalanche seem to be emerging as a way to address scalability issues found on blockchain-based smart contract platforms. Currently, Fantom is doing more transactions per day than Ethereum, with gas costing 1-2 cents for simple transactions and 1-6 cents for smart contract interactions.

The tradeoff, based on my understanding, is that there's not as much resilience to node outages (on both of these, 33% of validators by stake concentration going down could lead to block production halting)
I return 418 in some cases where somehow someone ended up somewhere in the code that I otherwise thought impossible. It works pretty well as far as letting folks know that something particularly unusual has happened / this isn't your ordinary error.
Why is this the case? Looking at the posts on Blind, even Google and Facebook seem to pay their hardware engineers a bit less than their software engineers, probably because they know they can lowball them. It doesn't make any sense, unless the global shortage of software engineers is even worse.
for those interested in the polymorphic libraries which became prevalent in the early 90s, I've got a disassembly of MtE at https://github.com/bnjf/mte/
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Apple_Podcasts

The actual podcasts app was released in 2012
Who is objecting to teaching those historical facts?
I’m very tempted to agree in general, and I’ve seen a lot of bad takes that cured my Gell-Mann amnesia but on this particular take, I think they are sensible. I would know because all this was my job in 2015. It’s partial because it’s based on contained leaks, there’s couple of inaccuracies, but not much more than what your team mates would make.

I think the reason why it adds up is that it’s starting from a good point of view: Why is that job hard? There seem to be no easy fixes, why? What the people trying to fix are struggling with?

That’s universally a good question to ask anyone and a great way to get a nuanced point of view — far better than the usual outrage at “Why is Facebook so terrible?!” which is best described as scapegoating to make an obvious reference to Thiel’s PhD advisor.
That doesn’t strike me as a terrible outcome of a prediction market, unless you think the act of streaking is itself so terrible.
Thanks! I was hoping for something on the site, as I don't really want to be 'notified'. That said, I just plugged in an email I don't check often so that should accomplish it about the same. Never knew this existed - thanks again.
has this page been hugged to death? cant access it right now.
*in the same breath
because commenting out multiple lines of code in most languages is tedious and involves me doing work the compiler already knows how to do in my head.

Sure, editors often have shortcuts, but then undoing them is often a pain and sometimes I'm editing something in a really basic editor and it'd be nice to just let the compiler to it.
They distort the hexagons as you go further north.

https://observablehq.com/@four43/h3-index-visualizer

https://imgur.com/a/SgDfJkG is an example
Hey all, creator here. Share your scores after you finish. It's not easy!
More than a hundred, probably less than 500
Do you happen to have a comparison from Java 8 to 11?
The first webcam was invented to keep an eye on a coffee pot
Yeah. What people are complaining about is cryptography to prevent them from using their thing as they wish. Nobody is demanding API documentation from Sony, people are happy to reverse engineer that. But it doesn't matter because you can't give the machine valid code and have it execute, for no good reason other than that you don't know a magic number.

The problem is that building platforms is expensive and if people can use your thing for whatever they want, that thing that they want is often not giving you money. My conclusion is that there shouldn't even be game consoles. They're just a tax on everyone that wants to play games.
I'm not Dan but I also work at Replay.io.

The runtime infrastructure can support all of those. The current recorded browser runs on mac, and the mac image is replayed in a linux backend (with the system calls being handled by the replay engine).

Our initial launch is with a modified Firefox browser on Mac, but the infrastructure itself is generalizable to other runtimes and other operating systems.

However, we do need to "paravirtualize" the runtimes that are recorded on our system (modify the underlying runtime to make it aware that it's being recorded, and do some integration work for each runtime). The design of our system allows for new runtimes to plug in and use all the same infrastructure for replaying.

So the long answer is that we can support them, but support for each runtime will arrive as we prioritize and complete the implementation for them.

Currently we have the mac Firefox-forked browser. In the works we have a chrome browser, nodejs backend, and a firefox fork for windows. But realistically we should be able to support `(any runtime x any os)` within reasonable bounds. Record and replay all the things :)
it's hard for me to imagine that video decoding would need a significant bandwidth boost like this to run. that seems like either a driver or hardware issue, and one that ought be solveable. 4k60 is 12Gbps. even inflating that number a bunch, it's hard to imagine most discrete graphics card memories needing more than their base-clocks to serve this.

on mobile at least, where graphics are integrated & using main memory, there ought be little/no difference in memory throughput use.

last, some new GPU's like AMD's Navi (RX6xxx) have on-package caches, "Infinity Cache", between i think 64-128MB. i want to think think could be used like Intel's Crystal Well L4 eDRAM, to keep from needing to go to main memory at all. how much if any of a win that is & whether that would even be possible i'm not sure.

i'm somewhat skeptical that there really is a problem here. if there is, i suspect it's somewhat rare & probably a bit of an oversight. i should test though. i would love get a wider picture of what the real impacts of video decoding are.
I wonder about ride quality.

My car had runflats when I bought it, when it was time for new tires, I went with some high quality all seasons. My ride quality improved, my gas mileage went up and they brake / corner better. The risk of an unplugable flat is a small price to pay for that.
Thanks for the info on markets. What made you consider fine-tuning further on your own data? Was CLIP not sufficiently good enough to test the market?

FWIW I recall having seen something similar with Google Cloud's Video Intelligence API (https://towardsdatascience.com/building-an-ai-powered-search...). Building something generic would make it especially hard to get right, especially if your users want high precision-recall from their search results.

Re: licensing, the world of startups is somewhat of a wild-west these days with folks offering pre-trained models as-a-service without really thinking about the licensing implications (both on the dataset and model front). Huggingface is a classic example, and they seem to suggest that it's perfectly OK to fine-tune and use commercially (https://github.com/huggingface/transformers/issues/3357#issu...), but I'm not certain that their lawyers would put it the same way.
The D’Amelio kids are not all right
Band aids on top of band aids. Respect for being honest and open about it though
Cloud Jewels: Estimating KWh in the Cloud (2020)
> I don't understand why Schmidhuber continues to ignore this crucial point.

From TFA:

> There is a seemingly minor difference whose significance emerged only later. Many of Gödel's instruction sequences were series of multiplications of number-coded storage contents by integers. Gödel did not care that the computational complexity of such multiplications tends to increase with storage size. Similarly, Church also ignored the context-dependent spatio-temporal complexity of the basic instructions in his algorithms. Turing and Post, however, adopted a traditional, reductionist, minimalist, binary view of computing. Their machine models permitted only very simple elementary binary instructions with constant complexity, like the early binary machine model of Leibniz (1679)[L79][LA14][HO66] and Zuse's 1936 patent application...

I presume by "seemingly minor" Schmidhuber implies "it turns out to be very important".
3,000,000+ users, 1 star. I kind of recognize the name; doesn't invoke a pleasant feeling.

I don't have much useful to provide, but I see a "Report abuse" link next to the "Website" link. You can try that but then you'd be at the mercy of Google "support" which invokes a similar feeling of dread.
A more accurate phrase is "Event Derivative"

A derivative (a contract which is representative of some good, right, entitlement) based on the outcome of an event occurring or not.

Event derivatives are all around us. You buying fire insurance grants you the right to sell, to an insurance writer, a smoldering pile of wood (worth $2) at a price of say 30% of the unburned value of your home (similar to an OTM put option). An accidental-death insurance contract being worth a negligible amount until the subjects death.

What people often get wrong about EDs is

1. Whether or not they accurately predict events: they don't; they reflect the price, or odds, at which a market is willing to swap exposure. e.g. One pays a insurance costs because it's more profitable to swap risk than deal with exposure.

2. Confusion around incentives: Yes, each party swapping exposure will change their behavior -- which is a feature, not a bug. A company buying fire insurance can now enter into commerce otherwise prohibitive unlocked by swapping fire risk with an insurance writing company who has incentives to prevent a fire risk -- and do so at scale, coordinating multiple parties.

3. Lack of information about unfettered demand for the products. People claim there's no demand for EDs but neglect to take into account regulations: prevent people from purchasing them freely, political manipulation of prices when buyers are unhappy with the market price for risk, regulatory capture creating anticompetative producer protections, observe that because because of bans the inferior counts some EDs have been forced into are insufficient.

The global policy failure of covid has been around risk pricing, risk-exposure swapping, and effective, at-scale incentive coordination.

An exercise: An assassination market opens for the price of your head. In which case(s) should you be most concerned for your life:

[A] Exposure available at .99 on the 1

[B] Exposure available at .01 on the 1

[C] Exposure available at .5 on the 1

@HarryDCrane on Twitter is an applied researcher in this area, read him if you're interested in more -- I know I have.
The only non-selfish reason I can think of is that you're misinformed.
So, .html is bad for a username, but .Html is ok?

What is the reason for this?
A legal solution might be something like: Apple cannot prevent people from installing or updating apps from sources outside of their store.
Can confirm. We once found out a lazy developer was getting paid almost twice what me and others on my team were, for who knows what reason. It made everyone feel like shit.
Larry Summers Visits America (2018)
Yeah, and our hospitals are not prepared to have 0.5% of the population hospitalized with covid.
Why not move to the place with higher pay if that is important to you and so easy to figure out? At least with the formula publicly available it is simple to game; before there was also a formula but you had to guess at it.
The problem in doing that is you generate metric tons of resentment and politicking among people in the same role. If my title is the same as someone else's but I'm making 20% less than they are, even if I can bring myself to admit to myself that they're better at the job, I'm still going to feel we're "doing the same job" and I'm getting screwed. Those people don't immediately and quietly
just look for a new job. They complain and moan and poison the well and generally destroy the social atmosphere of the company.

Studies of workplace motivation and performance often find that one of the worst things you can do is get everyone obsessing about salary all of the time instead of focusing on the work. (Notably, this isn't just bad for the company, it's bad for the workers' quality of life.) I think it's fair to say that sometimes companies are trying to screw the workers, but I also think some of the norms around discretion on this topic were an informal evolved mechanism to dampen the natural status competition people fall into and get them to work more as a unit focused on a goal. While I appreciate the aim behind transparency laws, I'd prefer it if certain things like choosing to talk about salary were protected. Publishing all of the salaries by default seems like a blunt mechanism and strikes me as very libertarian or Marxist thinking where you're either assuming a) a free and transparent market always produces the best result, or b) people fall into broad "classes" in which all individuals share the same interests and will work together. I generally think both of those modes of thought are simplistic and, despite some underlying truth, fail to account for many important complications and unintended side effects.
I'm using just a slightly outdated browser, which is probably the cause. I'm on Ungoogled Chromium 81 (by choice) which doesn't automatically update, and the ||= (boolean OR assignment) operator wasn't added until 85.

Your payload appears to compile down for older browsers (as is evident by the use of `var`, unless.. you actually write code using `var`) but it misses the ||= operator transformation it seems.

Thus, the browser throws a syntax error, which your app interprets as "new version" for some reason.

By the way, please don't disable right clicking. It doesn't actually solve any problems and only annoys users.
Yes, that's better and more logical, because it also handles the case where the final punctuation of the outer sentence and quoted sentence is different, like when Dr. Johnson asked "I refute it thus?"!
Literally kicking a competitor out of business.

If this isn't a monopolistic behaviour...
I'll assume Starlink will be deployed around the moon if this telescope ever makes it past the proposal stage.
The article seems to make that claim:

"A separate version for the Apple Watch would remain [in the App Store], but then Apple pulled that one as well, telling Eleftheriou that keyboards aren’t allowed on the Apple Watch."
I'm surprised that it's now common for software to require a certain (old) Java version.

Wasn't the whole "write once run anywhere" promise about backwards compatibility too?
> Is it possible that in the future we'll find a way to show that Gödel's mu-recursive functions or Church's lambda calculus also precisely describe 'what a machine can do'?

See also https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Church%E2%80%93Turing_thesis
Can the creators describe this product's advantage over FullStory and LogRocket? Also, it seems challenging to get this to work in production, since users wouldn't consent to this level of monitoring.
I used to do consulting in banks. I met several Cobol programmers. However, they thought of their role as CICS programmers. CICS is a mainframe transaction management tool. All of them also did assembly in CICS.
Thanks, I've already reported abuse but no response from google yet.
I think its a persons own responsibility job to shop around and work out what the market value is for their labor.

If a company tells you how much they pay, they are also telling every other company how much they will pay. It's basically colluding to keep wages low.

You are worth what somebody will pay you.
I guess that depends on how you define recyclable. I mean really, everything recycles given a long enough time frame.
In most case, you'll also find a highly upvoted comment just below the old answer pointing to the more accurate/recent one.
Security in the New Normal
Tbf in Norway everyone would be skint after a few beers regardless of their salary so you're all pretty even (jk, ofc.)
I see you're an economics professor with an interest in computation, and perhaps learning to program? Awesome!

Ask any experienced programmer how often they use StackOverflow, and they'll tell you daily. It's an invaluable resource to our community and we often wonder how we got along without it before.

In particular, it's great for highly specific questions about very niche things. Like, with this version of this library and in this stack, this very odd behavior is happening and I only see it in IE8, what could it be? That's not something you'll find and answer for on MDN. MDN is a fantastic reference resource when you know what you're looking for and need the details, but it's not a Q&A platform about anything.

SO is not perfect, sometimes you have to dig for the right information (something this change is trying to improve), and perhaps it's not ideal for beginners, but I wouldn't want to live in a world without something like StackOverflow, and would be significantly less productive
so in that case despite having a solution that was lesser than the other solution they accrued a lot of points over time? Sounds like they would have nothing to feel sore about.
Ah, you are right, I was thinking acceleration.
Ok, we've taken them off the streets and scheduled them for market launch in 2024, in the title above. Thanks :)
To be fair, the versions incremented at a faster rate after Java 7; one every 6 months.

Java 1.0 to 5 was 8 years

5 to 8 was 10 years

8 to 11 was 4 years

11 to 17 was 3 years

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Java_version_history
A $250mm sale is lottery type sh+t. u can't plan it. 1:1mm odds. you're naive. $10mm is realistic while still highly unlikely. like 1:100 odds. just build a SaaS that makes $3mm a year (e.g 5k customers paying $49 a month or 300 that pay $1k a month).
Also available at:

http://larrysummers.com/2018/10/09/36229/

https://web.archive.org/web/20210820121158/https://www.ft.co...
Wouldn't that just point to the vaccine being even better than the stats suggest (by just looking at ratio of deaths of vaccinated / unvaccinated) since the vaccinated group would be the more vulnerable in the first place.

Also there are more people vaccinated than not now so that would also skew the data to make a direct comparison look worse.
Laser Cutting and Scoring: A 3D Surface Function (1996)
DGGRID was very useful for me when I first started experimenting with hexagon partitioning.

One of my projects is using the Dymaxion projection, which H3 uses, and I've found H3 to be a lot faster for my uses. YMMV.
came here to downvote this
It's so simple. Do not change the community encyclopedia for advertising purposes
In healthy individuals? Very small. In the USA, a not very healthy country, only 3,728 of 529,402 deaths occurred under the age of 29. (38.7% of the population, 0.6% of the deaths.) I was expecting it to be much higher just based on obesity and diabetes and other comorbidity rates alone.

The inflection point happens in the 40's or 50's:

People under 40 are 52% of the population and 2% of COVID deaths (11,212)

Which of course means people over 40 are 48% of the population and 98% of COVID deaths (529,402)

These numbers reflect only cases where the CDC knows their age. The stats are here, which has a nice graph showing just how outsized the deaths as people get older: https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#demographics (scroll to "Deaths by Age Group")

Covid is (literally) exponentially worse as you get older. But it's not really an issue for young, healthy people. Alas, not very many people can truly call themselves healthy, which is a concern in its own right.