skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Meta analysis is more common in medical journals than computer science conferences.

The evaluation of AI medical devices is determined by regulatory agencies like the FDA.
I imagine that it does make infection less likely, and make the likelihood of passing it on less likely too. I mean, most of the research on it says exactly that. But nothing is perfect.
If california cut alfafa production in half they could support many millions of additional residents
Much like most humans, I guess the supposition is in what you suppose intelligence is...
> This argument ignores the reality of driving: by being a competent, attentive, careful driver you can avoid many classes of accident.

It’s funny you use the word reality since this is completely at odds with driving in America. You’re comparing an idealized world of competent drivers to the real world where there are basically no barriers to getting a license and everyone is on their phone behind the wheel. Unless you advocate for stricter licensing and more police enforcement against inattentive driving with equal vigor, this line of reasoning doesn’t hold.
I was thinking more... feudal landscape before monarchies held much organizational power. Maybe Fulk Nerra's era.
Most directly I am referring to Duane's advice, of which I do not know his direct source (but I'm sure it's in the book as there are extensive notes).

Just thought I'd help clarify where I was coming from. That trial does seem to fit the scenario though.
78% vaccination, more than half of new are breakthrough, i.e. the vaccinated chances to get infected is more than 28% of that of unvaccinated. Similar numbers to MA https://www.bostonherald.com/2021/08/31/massachusetts-report... - 65% vaccination rate - out of the 1144 current average new daily infections the 500+ are breakthrough, ie. the chances are 40%. The data is probably skewed by the fact that vaccines smooth the symptoms and thus the breakthroughs are probably much more undercounted.
It's not 10 years of unlimited data. It's 500MB of data usable over 10 years.
It really depends on where the immigrant in question is coming from. I definitely shopped for countries back in the day.
Exactly the same as “x% of automobile deaths were not using the safety belt”… What happens when everybody uses it?
The most telling is this is 100% known.

Yet the HN comment fantasy land you can read above is mostly making excuses or not even aware if hospitals use AI (or not, as is the case) to save lives.

The lack of technological knowledge base here is extreme.

Copilot, a far more complex task, is going to help programmers code next. Reality is very broken in the IT community.
No, they'll just continue to tax and (increasingly) regulate the exchange of crypto-currencies.
I've been keeping an eye on the so-called Corsi-Rosenthal box. I'm probably going to build one or more at some point.

There's a bunch of folks that have been optimizing this design on Twitter. The initial results look quite good and properly put together might last an entire school year.

Link here: https://www.texairfilters.com/iaq-research-practice-in-actio...
YouTube Announces 50M Music and Premium Subscribers
Australia is consciously weaponing covid, everything now is performative inhumanity. Country becoming a Pentecostal theocracy (Dominionists aka christo-fascists), I genuinely fear for my neighboring country.
There are dongles that only let power through:

https://www.amazon.com/PortaPow-3rd-Data-Blocker-Pack/dp/B00...

But it's a pain in the neck to always use them and difficult to enforce use in an enterprise setting.
Yes, perhaps. And so the day (after) someone brings down a plane with a non-standard cable, they'll start looking for cables that 'look kind of weird'.
It's known as automation bias and a problem in pilots as well as doctors. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7651899/
I'm also generally sceptical of the current AI hype, but I don't see exactly how these results cut through the hype. Why isn't it seen as an accomplishment that 6% of those systems performed better than an actual radiologist?
Yes. Roughly speaking that is my point. It's obviously a smooth, continuous function - anyone with a smattering of High School mathematics would understand that.

But we can experience a shift - either the presentation of opportunity or fundamental reflection in some metric we can measure.

Take one example: in 2008, the largest firms in the world (by market cap) were oil companies, car firms, telcos, conglomerates and banks. By 2016, it was mostly tech companies (and even more so today).
> government wants the money now instead of later

This is likely most of it. The other shoe, which has yet to drop, is criminal prosecution of the Sacklers who were involved in the company’s day-to-day affairs.
I'm just not sure these people are understanding the problem the right way round. Salaries and prestige are relatively low for developers in Japan, so it's relatively easy for other jobs to compete for prospective workers and draw them away from technology. That will be true even if more women are interested in the field than formerly.

In fact, convincing many women to commit to the field early in their educations for reasons of representation, rather than because the economics are compelling to them, would only make the situation worse: relatively more workers competing for jobs with salaries that are already low.

Japanese enterprises do not value software engineering talent and there are probably some underlying fundamentals behind that -- in workplaces with relatively low independence, it's hard to leverage engineering talent for much -- which, left unchanged, will make initiatives like this into a game of musical chairs.
You forgot kata containers.

Also, there is new container/system for confidential compute:

https://aws.amazon.com/blogs/security/confidential-computing...
No, this paper is a review of other studies, and what I'm saying is it finds that there are quite a few problems with the studies they're reviewing - they point out that the smaller studies that show stronger results are actually less likely to be generalizable, and the studies that are broader show weaker results but even then they still have flaws in the method. There is quite a good table (figure 2) that shows how they rate their "concerns" for a number of metrics, and it's a sea of red where they have lots of concerns.
i think you've got the right basic idea but people may be down voting you because telling everyone they can't move to CA seems a bit too strict.

Instead, perhaps, discourage people from moving to dense areas that can't or don't want to grow.

There's a lot of disagreement in CA about whether or not it should be growing. On the one hand, voters have made it abundantly clear they don't want any more growth of any kind. so what you're saying makes sense. On the other hand, there's still a ton of people that want to come here and work for the tech industry.

I say, let the areas that want to grow, grow. Give them some help in the beginning to get the ball rolling.
Also publications are not what determines if AI get deployed in clinical practice. That's the job of the FDA and million of dollars spent on validation like clinical trials and quality management systems.
Just visiting this created a Cart on my chrome new tab page for Hak 5. Must be a new feature on Google Chrome. Just FYI
It's a zero sum game though... if everyone did this then the price you pay in the first place will go up or they would be cancelled. These benefits only work because most people don't take advantage of them.
This is completely irrelevant, and detracts from the issue at hand. You could see precedent from a non-settlement in the case of opioids bend back around and open up the avenue for meaningful tobacco reform.

That all just got sacrificed.
I think if they flipped it and said "Only 1 out of 36 AI systems evaluated was more accurate than ..." would have a higher impact
Looks like ever damned other Ubuntu-skin out there. Why do people keep making these?
No, because you assume that a 10 year old has an equal probability of being hospitalised as a 90 year old (for example).

Israel has a low overall vaccination rate because they have a very young population.

If you restrict the sample to just >50 year olds (majority of hospitalisations), then both statistics look very different.
I'd prob use Twitter more with an RSS style client, akin to NetNewsWire.

I have zero interest in retweets, replies, threads, hearts, etc.
Nice setup! Could you also share the names (brands/model, e.g. 3M Filtrete 20x20x4) of the three components? I see a few options out there but rather go with something that is vouched for here.
China Bans Effeminate Men from TV
Prosecutors don’t have spines, plain and simple. There is also often a revolving door for nonexplicit corruption where both parties look for a “win” with minimal consequences so they can declare victory while keeping their potential future employers happy.
Within the context, it's clear to me, that the comment was not sexist. Can we write anything without 5 paragraphs of caveats and clarifications after every innocent sentence?
Add https://lomorage.com, self hosted, cross platform, mobile friendly, support multiple accounts, and login from multiple devices.
This is a side project I made during the last few days collecting data about the Tesla Megapack projects and presenting them hopefully interesting way.

Feedback appreciated.
I don't think the vaccine is creating a strong memory cell response.

The vaccine is probably just ramping up the immune system response for a few months. That alone would prevent death and since we don't really have anything else, it's still better than nothing.
As is the case with other kinds of art.
Actually, a real shame is a total lack of really big (millions of records) data sets on pretty much anything medical. And this is of course due to our love with privacy. Probably millions of people died too soon because of that, and many more will follow in the future.
FAA grounds Virgin Galactic, says it's investigating problems
I had a similar experience. I taught immersion summer camps in French when I was in college. At a teacher training session, we were paired with the Swedish camp to try out our lesson plans on each other. I was shocked by how comprehensible Swedish was to me as an English (and French) speaker.
Thanks...it does appear to handle the live SMTP bounces better than I thought, at least for hard, synchronous bounces that happen at SMTP delivery time:
https://docs.aws.amazon.com/ses/latest/DeveloperGuide/send-e...

However, my experience was that you also had to do something with soft bounces. For example, if someone's mailbox is perpetually full, re-sending to it over and over still can still eventually hurt your sending reputation.
Ask absurd questions (thread)
Also, please make sure to clean them regularly. Depending on the type of cooking, I've found them dripping grease before.
Ask HN: How do you buy a domain name from a domain squatter?
I already asked this a year ago but got no reply. The situation did not change. So I thought I try again.

The domain I would like to use for my startup redirects to a page on afternic.com and displays a page with a GoDaddy logo. Plus a form to request a price for the domain.
I wonder if it is a good idea to fill out that form?

When I search for the domain on afternic.com they display a "buy now" price of $40k which seems very high to me. And there is a "make an offer" button with "$25k min." next to it. Also very high.

There certainly are HN users with experience in buying domains. How would you go about it?
We can evaluate over time. If the system repeatedly predicts people you will get lung cancer in 10 years based on scans, and in 10 years we finally detect that cancer that says there must be something even if we don't know what. Finding that what then becomes important (along with figuring out how to treat lung cancer 10 years before we can currently detect it)

Of course this is all assuming there is something there. It might be there is nothing to find. I wouldn't be surprised either way.
I fear you'd be disappointed. The religious leaders in particular are likely to be very gnostic about this topic.
The calculations running over hospitalization numbers tend to show that vaccines are ~85% effective in preventing hospitalization, usually by showing the reduction in N/100k cases.
The fourth sentence on the page linked above:

"Rootless mode graduated from experimental in Docker Engine v20.10."
Base Rate Fallacy on science.org ?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Base_rate_fallacy
I see. I'm not usually involved in conversations on this topic so I'm not really aware of whats considered an argument that is no longer valid from over-use.

I don't think it was shifting the discussion either. You made a sort of sarcastic remark about getting stabbed, I brought the focus back on going to jail over the topic at hand.
None, it would be the market. You overestimate the power of the involved entities.
FAA bans Virgin Galactic launches while probing Branson trip
The death penalty, life without parole, and life with parole were never on the table. Contrary to (very) popular belief, federal prosecutors can't just make up sentences; the offenses where the death penalty can be sought are spelled out in specific statutes, and the elements of those offenses are further spelled out. You may, perhaps reasonably, believe the Sacklers are culpable for "murder", but federal murder has a legal definition (18 USC 1111, I think, for starters), and those definitions are imported into jury instructions.

A reason these kinds of things tend to get sorted out in civil court (where no sentence is on the table whatsoever) is that criminal cases are much harder to win. Criminal defendants are presumed innocent, which isn't just a platitude, but also a principle reflected in a bunch of ways in the law and rules of the court.
The screenings right now are something like once every year. Doesn't seem like you'll get a lot of cancer from that.

I certainly don't worry about the cancer I could develop as a result of an xray in a regular dental cleaning (even though that's a possibility).
My friend visited a car breakin prone area in canada once, and left his car unlocked like his girlfriend suggested.
They broke his window anyway, and stole a minecraft keychain and about $4 in change.

Hilariously he actually got the stuff back eventually
I bought my house new in 2010. As long as they were still building out the neighborhood the value of my home was capped at something slightly less than the new units. Once the building stopped the values started going up. I have a single family home. Now they are building apartments and condos nearby in large buildings - those units sell for more than I paid for a single family home in 2010. The fact that they are selling apartments for so much really drove up the value of my home. The inventory of expensive units did more for my home value than anything. Not sure my experience squares well with this article.
I don't contend with CGNAT, thankfully, but no one ever moves from IPv4 then everyone's going to eventually be behind a CGNAT at some point.

I don't know too much about NAT-PMP/PCP - so I'm looking into it.
We only fine those companies who break the law. Most of them don't break it.
IIRC that original Macintosh Portable even had a numpad as an alternative to the trackball, to go on whichever side you wanted (and presumably you'd connect a mouse to use in stead of the trackball).
Small image compression comparison among IJG, Mozilla JPEG Codec and Webp
It is a great point and one which I expound in some detail in the first two chapters of the book.

Things don't have to be 'exponential' to be important. Printing press, wheel being two other good examples. Square-rigged sails as well!

However, a number of aspects of our economies are not sufficiently configured to enable a kind of phase change in interactions between entities in our economies. And one of those is enabling the rapid development of a whole suite of technologies (outside traditional tech), and those technologies good well be candidates for general purpose technologies, which in turn maginifies the impacts they might have.
I also want the police to do the dishes and take out the trash...

There are things people are personally responsible for.
> Why not just hide the controls in a hard-to-reach menu or similar

In the instance that the reason for not exposing the control is security, then, it's because obscurity is not a substitute for security.

> users will get less accustomed to having control over their devices if that control ceases to be available in off-the-shelf products, so the it's kind of backwards to just say "the users can't handle it".

I think there are enough examples of users compromising their own systems to demonstrate that it isn't being done without reason.

Regardless of any of this, I wasn't suggesting that we shouldn't use FOSS. I'm simply saying that his argument isn't as impactful as it once was.
Illusion Songs
What authors do you recommend for good prose? Genuinely interested.. I love prose (and Gibson, generally) but am always looking to expand my horizons.
I would only do this if you either know the police will help retrieve your car if you have the location, or if you are ready to engage the robbers yourself. Otherwise it's useless to know where it is.

I have experience trying to get the cops to help in Oakland and San Jose and they really didn't want to.
Most Americans know someone who died from opioids. I know 4 people close to me who’ve over dosed and died. Many more who’s lives were ruined.
Good experiment! Of course, these are technology trends rather than national trends so may, in some sense and in a qualified way, ignore borders.
Don't be so anxious.

Spontane Verdampfung ist gut für Entkrampfung!

(Spontaneous evaporation is good relaxation)
It feels very unnatural to me to use React Native semantics and bolt on props for headings and the like; it seems like it would be better to write <H1> than <Text accessibilityRole="heading" accessibilityLevel={1}>, even just from a DX perspective.
Please don't post conjecture like this that has been categorically shown to be untrue. Vaccines are effective and have been shown to decrease infection and serious illness rates.
It's not an issue of resolution but of generalizability. Populations and scanners shift over time and the biggest issue in clinical AI is the changing data distribution, such as data acquired at different times at different institution. Medical devices (which AI software is considered) is also more regulated than self-driving cars.
You're so right about this. Also their UX is absolutely horrible in my opinion. It's one of the worst designed sites both in terms of usability and load time (half the time it doesn't even load on my mobile on kiwi browser).

The biggest irony is they have the best designers in the world (i.e. the guys who created bootstrap) but god I hate the tech they have used to make twitter.com because of that "something went wrong" retry button error message .
Not GP, but I'd prefer '34' over '94%'. (Especially since the latter was parenthesised - I'd remove the parenthetical before anything else.)

(Or just 94%, and then have people say 'but N= only 36!'.)

Percentages for small numbers, in particular below 100, are just annoying and often designed to mislead. (Though I'm not suggesting that here, it's standard in medicine if not other fields.)
Control, hygiene, the fun of bayes filter magic, strange prtocols like imap, your own gpg mailing lists. Internet 101.
I believe this ratio would be smaller if you count opportunity cost: drugs kill more younger people.
I recall high-speed light capture being used to exfiltrate data from router activity lights in the past.

EDIT: link here: https://threatpost.com/blinking-router-leds-leak-data-from-a...
Just commenting to agree with this. I've done a lot of ML use case ideation work, and what happens so often is the ML folks latch on to something that ML may be able to do, but that doesn't move the needle at all in terms of doing the work faster or better.

Often, the ML provides an extra layer that slows things down, even if it's working at state of the art AUROC or whatever we're trying for.
I specifically don't recommend laptops that rely on USB C charging for applications where trust is critical -unless- they are running Linux with USBGuard or QubesOS.

That said I did make transparent and easily auditable USB type C condoms for one client that really wanted to use USB type C laptops.

Systems with security as a strong priority like the Librem 14 use barrel jacks for good reason.

I am in fact implying those that allow use of macbooks at coffee shops to directly access production systems at FAANG and fintech companies are taking a very inappropriate risk :-P
The lock doesn't even need to be that good. As you said, the name of the game is intrusion detection, not necessarily intrusion avoidance.

The Lock Picking Lawyer chronicled very nicely a technique for turning a KW1-keyed Kwikset core (extremely common here in the US) into something that is tamper evident. See the YouTube video linked herein.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7JlgKCUqzA0

This kind of thing thwarts covert attack attempts and serves as a good way to trigger an audit on the trust of the asset behind that lock.
I came here to say the exact same thing, and it was linked to in another comment here at Dan McKinley’s (mcfunley.com) blog.

I have been served very well by wisely spending, or choosing not to spend, my innovation tokens on any given project. And the cap of 3 tokens really does seem to be a good level.
My crack at this (only for fun! Your title is great): "Only 1 of 36 AI systems was more accurate than a single radiologist"
That is why considering age is important and why interacting variables make it so easy for statistics to mislead when talking to people who are less verse or aren’t aware of the topic being studied.

About 78% of those above 12 are vaccinated in Israel, and the rate is even higher for those more susceptible to the virus.

Without quantifying those factors, it’s going to lead to a garbage in garbage out assessment.
There are other dynamics - which I talk about in the book - about how the nature of value creation changes during this period. It is a shift that has been on going for decades and it relates, yes not only to novel growing markets, but also the ways in which firms create and capture value.
I see consistent mention of "2 radiologists review". Is there some feasible way to combine two of these models into some sort of metamodel and get a similar benefit? Like is two radiologist review a mechanical way of combining the opinions of two radiologists (in which case let's just do that with the models), or is it that two radiologists actually sit down together and look at the thing which you can't necessary replicate by just using two models.
Do child rapists deserve to be lined up against a wall? If I think it's a good idea, am I a violent jackboot that actively harms society? Am I worse than the rapists?

BTW, I wouldn't line up "terrorists", as they may have reasons (as in someone may have bombed their village or something).

Is thinking some people should be lined up the bigger problem, rather than actually doing things to get billions of $, like killing >10k people, or putting 100k or millions of people in misery?

I'm not sure how many furnaces you'd be able to fill before you ran out of billionaires. Seems there would be less of them than this 30% fine guy killed, so .. it might be a net benefit?

Technically, I'm a pacifist, so I'd lock them up. Not sure if OP meant it literally. Then again, if locking up proves unmanageable (try locking up a billionaire), it may be a reasonable option (for individuals). I wouldn't, but if someone had a go at them, I probably wouldn't stop him.
its incentives and check and balances nothing more
People can speak more than one language, though. It would be great if we had one that was truly universal to encourage communication and sharing of information, while retaining all the existing languages for colloquial use and arts.