skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
Maybe. I quibble with "no significant herd immunity."

I'm in an area with a very high vaccination rate (>87% of those over age 12 having had at least one dose, >80% fully vaccinated). Our case counts are a fraction of the rest of the country. The country's rates would be expected to be 3x lower if we could simply extrapolate my locale's rates among vaccinated and unvaccinated people to those fractions of the population in the rest of the country. This seems to hold up in other high-vaccination regions, though obviously there are confounds.

The phase delay and greatly decreased count even makes me speculate that my locale (which is still using some mitigations) may be operating in a regime of Rt < 1.0 right now, and all case chains (slowly) geometrically decay from outside introductions from travel, etc. And we expect immunity to improve further, from kids being vaccinated and from more unvaccinated people getting infected.

Maybe this isn't true. But we seem, at the least, to be experiencing some benefit beyond the direct benefits for vaccinated individuals.
Can you elaborate on what is wrong with it?
We don't need to. People could be given the option of testing, or of going into isolation for the incubation period. Several countries had great effect from ordering a lockdown and testing the entire population over a day or two, releasing those who are negative from lockdown, and repeating this process multiple times in badly affected areas. Slovakia did this and it seems to have been extremely effective, though obviously not enough to eradicate it: https://www.bmj.com/content/371/bmj.m4761
Sometimes merchants will turn off 3d secure because of the approval drop with 3ds. This is one of the main reasons why 3dsv2 was introduced to elimate the friction.

Even with 3dsv1 the liability doesn't always shift to the issuing bank. For example, I believe it is Mastercard NA(Might be Visa NA) that doesn't allow any 3ds liability shift for high risk merchants.

Source: Worked at payment processor in high risk processing +$1B in volume
As a counter point, in the 2017-2018 flu season, there were no protective measure taken. In 2020, the majority of people, especially in areas of high density, wore masks, reduced travel, washed hands more often, maintained distance, etc.

The number of cases/hospitalizations/deaths from flu in the US were the lowest recorded by far (though complete records don't go back that far). This shows that those protective measures were effective.

https://www.cdc.gov/flu/season/faq-flu-season-2020-2021.htm

Comparing childhood covid deaths in 2020/2021 vs flu deaths in 2017/2018 isn't an apples to apples comparison.
My kids had Covid already, honestly it was surprisingly a non issue.
The Gorilla Problem (2019)
The text is copied from a website called "The Federalist":
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Federalist_(website)
A look at the front page suggests it's a right-wing news aggregator rather than producing any original content of its own.
Strange that PG's site is served over port 80. Isn't he technical enough to have HTTPS on his site, surely? Anyway here's an Outline of it served over a secure channel:

https://outline.com/HY6aeR
New developers are born every day and these old systems provide all kinds of opportunities for learning. It's an historical preservation effort and an interesting intellectual challenge. Some programmers have very high IQ which makes them very curious. Low IQ programmers just don't get it, and never will.
I'm using the adapter for half a year. It's bad. First of all, connection is not stable, any force applied to the connector is degrading both sides of the connection. With headphone jack phone lives happily in the pocket, no issues for like 4 or so years (upgraded phone after that to the phone without 3.5mm connector), and with usb-c it was like a week or two before some interruptions started, changing cable side is possible but does not help much.
I've tried BT too (BT DAC module), it's both much lower sound quality and still has connectivity issues as well (having your body in the way of bluetooth radiowaves somehow is enough)
You don't have to be looking for death rates to be affected by survivorship via.

If the pool of people you're studying is people who got it a second time, they cannot have died when they contracted it the first time by definition (i.e you simply cannot die and then continue living and participate in a subsequent study)

That said, you can account for this confounding factor and perhaps the study did account for that (didn't read it). I'm just pointing out that the question cannot be dismissed just by looking at whether death rates are part of the study or not
The 2017-2018 flu season had a vaccine as protective measure.
From what I've seen, this is where we seem to have lucked out. In that if you get Covid as a vaccinated person, it will still dramatically reduce your chances of being hospitalized or dying from it.

> August 25, 2021 — The Health Department today released new data on vaccine effectiveness and breakthrough cases, hospitalizations and deaths. Between January 17 and August 7, 2021, 96.1% of COVID-19 cases, 96.9% of COVID-19 hospitalizations, and 97.3% of COVID-19 deaths in New York City were in people who were unvaccinated or not fully vaccinated. Additionally, for the same time period, 0.33% of fully vaccinated New Yorkers have ever been diagnosed with COVID-19, 0.02% have been hospitalized with COVID-19, and 0.003% have died due to complications with COVID-19.

> from August 7, unvaccinated New Yorkers are 3.1 times more likely to get COVID-19 than fully vaccinated New Yorkers. Additionally, unvaccinated New Yorkers are almost 10 times more likely to be hospitalized with COVID-19 than those who are fully vaccinated

You can read more here: https://www1.nyc.gov/site/doh/about/press/pr2021/health-depa...
watch -n1 ./barchart -w 80 data
Also worth keeping in mind, this is true for any message you send that's received by someone else, regardless of your own hygiene.

i.e. for true security all message participants must have iCloud Backoff off, etc.
>Vaccinated people who do get sick are less likely to spread the virus

https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.07.31.21261387v...

"We find no difference in viral loads when comparing unvaccinated individuals to those who have vaccine “breakthrough” infections. "

>that high level of virus lasts only three to four days compared with an unvaccinated person who could be contagious for up to 10 days

may be. Yet it is the first days what matter until one notices that s/he is ill.

And the article you cite has gems like this

>Cases of breakthrough infections among the vaccinated remain rare.

Where is for example in MA - with 65% vaccination rate - out of the 1400 new daily infections the 400+ are breakthrough :

https://www.nbcboston.com/news/coronavirus/mass-has-3098-new...

And there is similar data from highly vaccinated places like UK, Israel, Singapore.
Circumstantial evidence indicates that one of the common cold coronaviruses, HCoV-OC43, probably caused a worldwide pandemic in 1889 and killed a lot of people. Symptoms were very similar to COVID-19. Now most of us get infected as children and gain natural immunity which protects us later in life. So long term the same thing will probably happen with SARS-CoV-2, but in the short term we should still use vaccines to save as many lives as possible.

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7252012/
I'm a Coffee Roaster: Here's What You're Doing Wrong That's Ruining Your Coffee
Absolutely. For as long as the internet has been around, there has been this notion that someone asking questions is not only entitled to an explanation, but that it must fit into a brief response, the asker must be able to understand the explanation, and they must be thoroughly convinced by it. If none of these criteria are met, the asker concludes that the explanation does not exist or is wrong.

It is a fallacy that is quite obvious with just a little thought. Example: "Someone prove to me in a written reply here that Fermat's Last Theorem is true. If you can't, then I submit that it's false." Complete nonsense.
> especially 'redo'

undo-redo is in emacs-28 now, though not the default behavior.

> Allow writing Emacs commands in popular languages like Python 3 or JavaScript.

For js see https://github.com/emacs-ng/emacs-ng

Integrating additional runtimes into the Emacs core, especially ones that also have a single main thread are likely to be a complete nightmare. There are already insane and undebugable performance issues with things that run on the main graphics event loop or on timers.

If elisp can somehow be made multi-threaded there might be a chance. However, there is SO much elisp code that assumes synchronous ordered execution that will break in subtle and unexpected ways when that restriction is lifted I expect it will take even longer than the transition to lexical scoping (and that is just in the core). I would love to be wrong though.

With respect to Python, the cpython runtime and semantics for redefinition are likely even more nighmareish because it is so easy for classes and instances to become out of sync and you wind up having to restart the whole
environment just to clear out the bad state or risk creeping insanity. Also the churn in the Python ecosystem is likely far too high for Emacs to be able to maintain. So there are both technical and process mismatches. You could always run python in a separate process and use message passing though. Work to support LSP certainly paves the way for it, and elpy has fully interop with python as well, so you could use that machinery to operate on buffers in languages beyond python. So if all this is possible why isn't anyone doing it?
> I know this a controversial take, but it should be in our national interest to get young children exposed and gain natural immunity…

It's not so much "controversial" as it is an archaic idea. We've been there, done that, for chicken pox, measles, etc.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pox_party

In short, "infection parties" are an unnecessary risk when vaccines exist. Even if you do nothing else to protect your child and they experience a breakthrough case, they're a lot less likely to be hospitalized and potentially suffer lifelong effects if they've been vaccinated.
One of the best Soviet airplane rivalry stories is the Tupolev Tu-4 - a bolt for bolt copy of the US B-29.

A good telling of the story here: https://wwiiafterwwii.wordpress.com/2019/06/29/b-29-to-bull/
OnlyFans reverses ban on sexually explicit content after backlash from users
There is significant 'political' pressure to use whatever is already used and has the libraries. That's C, C++, Java, etc. most of the time. If the libraries and tools were truly language independent then I'm certain more companies would choose languages like CL more frequently for their merits.
I have a 1 ft. x 1 ft. platform with 1 inch sides, which I hang from a huge Oak tree.

I put in peanuts, and wild bird seed.

The black birds, and the squirels only eat the peanuts.

The smaller bids eat the seeds.

I have only seen the Squirrels chase away the black birds, but there are days when it's the other way around.

The smaller birds wait until the peanuts are mostly gone, and they go in.

Since I put in my bird feeder, I have noticed more birds of all species some using my property. I have had a small bird (I think a finch) set up nest on my front porch 3 times. The nests are a few yards from the feeder, and bath.

I have noticed small birds eating spiders under my eaves.

Since man has built houses, and paved land; I can't see how a bird feeder does much of anything besides bring in a lot of species. Peanuts will bring in rats too. Squirels bury the peanuts, and rats will dig them up. Squirels seem to forget where they buried their stash?

I probally over feed with the peanuts. I've noticed the black birds will squawk for peanuts around 4 pm., and the Squirels practically tell me to feed them. There was one who used to rattle tge screen door.

I've noticed this year in particular, the watering platform is used by more birds, and insects. I could be me. I might be thinking they are thirsty because of the drought, but I just see a lot of action in that water. (If you supply water, try to change it daily. There's some bacteria going around.)
The AP pegs the average mortality rate at 1.8% for COVID-19, or 1 out of 55 cases.[1] The CDC says the mortality rate for vaccination is 0.0019%, which my imperfect math says is about 1 out of 53,000 vaccinations.[2] These statistics indicate natural immunity on average exposes the person to roughly 1,000x data-derived historical risk of death on average, when compared to vaccination, so I'm not sure what is the source of the lower figures in the earlier post. In any event, as a risk-weighted matter vaccination and weak immunity still seems better than infection and subsequent strong immunity. Just sayin'.

[1] https://apnews.com/article/fact-checking-970830023526

[2] https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/vaccines/safety/ad...
Tell HN: Stripe Destroyed My Business
We were Stripe Connect Platform: growmify.com and had a 100k-150k daily revenue (not transactions, pure revenue)
Suddenly, on Friday, Stripe emailed saying they are blocking our account because some companies under our portfolio violating TOS.
They could simply block those accounts.
Then we appealed to decision, basically people who are violating TOS were selling products that are restricted on some states and we already hired people and built checks to manage risk, decline transactions from those areas

We had 200 companies working with us and due to Stripe, not only us but all other 200 companies has been closed.

After 2 weeks of review, they simply blocked our platform, even though we asked we are advertising platform, we don't have to work with those sellers, we can simply build filter to block them

We tried many times to explain whatever is the issue can be fixed from our side but they just stuck to their decision

This is ridiculous, they have this much money in their hand, and instead of fixing core problems like this, they are celebrating increasing checkout conversion by 0.01%
With this much money under your access, you should have been able to fix those issues

Also I have other friends whose business has been closed the exact same way and many of their businesses failed only but only due to Stripe

For reference:
https://www.trustpilot.com/review/stripe.com?stars=1

I can't believe that developers out there actually like stripe, this company destroying businesses, only reason you didn't have this experience because your business was small

If anyone from Stripe reading this, please fix your platform, we are not doing anything wrong, we built everything and anything possible to comply with your restrictions
The main point of the article for me which is worth contemplating is that Sweden strategy didn't have the anticipated catastrophic consequences.

The article acknowledges that what worked for Sweden would not have worked for other countries with higher population densities like UK.
That's just a very complicated way to say "git". There's no blockchain in sight anywhere.
And Sarbox was put in place partly in response. I won't argue that 1.) stuff doesn't still happen and that 2.) Sarbox doesn't add quite a bit of compliance overhead, but outright financial fraud is probably reduced from ~2000 considerably.

Obviously 2008 brought many examples of risk not being properly accounted for but that's mostly something different.
Some very worthwhile points there, but I think you may be underestimating the challenges of how to introduce these topics to an audience that may never have encountered them before. Rigor certainly has its place, but an article like this isn't it. It's clearly meant to be a jumping-off point, nothing more.
Reminds me of the Tour de France. Where you basically can’t find anybody to give a vacated title to because everybody else in line has been guilty of doping, too.
>Friction piles are quite normal too. I've lived in buildings in SoMa that used friction piles and none of them were tilting as much as this building.

A selling point for my old condo building in SoMa is that it's one of the few buildings there that is built on bedrock.
Your post is very light on details. Did they just place a new password on the device itself? If so, you can still use the laptop if you reinstall MacOS. It is only is rendered a brick if the attacker signed into their own iCloud account and enabled Find My, OR the attacker enabled Find My & enabled the recovery key feature on the existing Apple ID (meaning Apple can't let you log into the account without the key).
Fair enough. I’m a liberal if by that you mean “ACA is a good idea.” “Let’s have massive tent camps of homeless people” is where you lose me.
Do the extra hops introduce any noticeable latency for you when browsing?
I'm still not seeing the difficulty with doing that. Basically any daemons that you're setting up using distro packages or systemd service units (which, even though I'm not strictly in love with systemd, is what you should do for any service daemons you set up), it's just a matter of telling the service/systemd module and probably the copy or template module that you used to created the config files that they should be "state: disabled" or "state: absent" respectively. It'll disable and remove config of whatever service you've set up. What I will also do some times is create an array variable of services to enable and services to disable, and all that's required to switch is moving a daemon's name from one list to another. So, unless you're doing something outside of the modules like copying a bunch of stuff with the shell module and launching these putative daemons without some supervisor like systemd, it's pretty trivial to tell Ansible to reverse whatever it did. And if you are just launching processes using a bash script or something, why?
It can get more complicated if it's e.g. a dev box and people are using ssh to go in and tinker directly, but generally Ansible will still just remove/create whatever needs to be there if it needs to be changed, or do nothing. Depending on how robust you want to make Ansible against people doing unexpected things, you can use trap doors like "meta: end_host" to bail out on errors if people are causing problems with manual edits, but that's better solved as a people/process problem than trying to make Ansible handle all possible unexpected situations.

In the end it's also usually just easier to use Ansible to bake a new VM or container configuration and deploy that instead of mutating an existing one over and over again.
50 years? That's like... the entire history of modern computing.
The Gulf wars were forced by the USA, there were diplomatic options available, that were rejected out of hand and suppressed in the media. But yes highly irresponsible stuff, trying to give Saddam nuclear weapons, taking him off the terror list ...

We're pretty much in the nuclear nightmare scenario right now, with everybody's hands poised over the trigger.
This isn't the case across the entire industry. There is a large portion of customers who keep their CB ratios below the requirements of Visa & MCs. Hell, plenty of the customers in the industry could get it even lower but that runs the risk of leaving money on the table by turning away a potential customer that doesn't do a chargeback.

There are some customers in the industry who run silly numbers like +10% and do "Mid burning" with different banks.

The highest CBs tended to be the "online dating space" or "find X nearby hookup" kind of sites.

If you've got any other questions feel free to ask.

Source: Worked at payment processor in high risk processing +$1B in volume
What do you recommend to use instead?
Wall Street Prison Consultants promises to “ensure you serve the shortest sentence possible in the most favorable institution.” This is an actual business.[1]

[1] https://www.wallstreetprisonconsultants.com/
and emacs is already so packed.. even after rtfm 3 times thoroughly (or so I thought) I learn there's something else I didn't know about

maybe the only thing I'd like to see more center, is a blend of crdt / live-notebook in simple buffers. This could be very benefitial to newcomers too.. you can pair tutor, enjoy things in teams right inside your window
Sure, just as Twitter, Facebook and the cloud providers make a "choice" when they ban someone who has become a persona non grata in the establishment media. Nobody does anything out of ideology at that level, it's all damage control.

The WSJ imagines pewdiepie to be Hitler incarnate? Advertisers pull their ads and Disney has to cut ties. Not because they think pewdiepie is a Nazi, but because there's only one "choice".

This is nothing new, it's been done before, but it hurts a different group this time, so the people who celebrated these same actions are now angry that this kind of thing is allowed to happen.
Let's see what "shared responsibility model" means. If Microsoft is not lying to customers, this means the first thing they should do is investigating whether or not the flaw was exploited in any of the tenants at no cost for the customer.

Or...wait a second... No they aren't, they already asked customers to reset their keys, which basically means they did not investigate.

Shared responsibility my a..!
Doesn't work so well when your security team are the ones mandating you use zoom.
1) possibly, but in Israel nearly all deaths are over 60 but most infections are not so maybe not so much
2) depends on the question: if you ask if you should get vaccinated or get covid, then yes. If you ask whether it’s as safe to be around a recovered as a vaccinated, then not really
Yeah I thought white collar criminals got sent to minimum security “resort” prisons where they’d be less stringent about this kind of thing and not be likely to have super sensitive scanners like these.
High uptime on a Windows machine is still a novelty.
No, there is no survivorship bias apparent here. The samples appear to be representative of the populations they were investigating. They were looking at the risk of infection. Dead people don’t get infected, so they were not part of the populations studied.
And visa and all others without any due process at all because a politician requested it be done to their political enemy(!)

I'm not seeing that being meaningfully discussed nor am I seeing how WePay stepped in and solved that problem for Wikileaks because, iirc, they did no such thing.

Why do you think they left a proper discussion of that out given it's clearly the most relevant example of what they're claiming to discuss?
That option is there, and very simple. You just turn off iCloud backup to get true privacy.
I've got numerous years of software development working in the high risk space (adult & gambling). With a lot of experience specifically around payment processing for high risk merchants.

If anyone has questions feel free to ask and I'll answer within reason/if I have the answer.

Disclaimer: Just solely my own opinions being expressed.
It's quite possible she actually went through abuse. That doesn't excuse her stealing a $billion with fake medical devices.
This smells to me like a myth spread by prison staff to explain away false positives and/or discourage drug smuggling.
My point is limited to problems with vaccinated people willfully exposing themselves to the virus on the basis their negative health outcome is low, and it might minimize bad health outcomes in the future. Even assuming that is true in most cases, they still carry and spread the virus. Point is vaccinated persons probably should not be willfully exposing themselves to the virus on the basis they are protected and will gain additional protections.
Chickenpox (varicella) is a herpesvirus which remains dormant in the patient after the acute infection phase. That's why it can reactivate later in life as shingles. It has almost nothing in common with coronaviruses.