skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
> Word of advice: don't tell your family how much you make either.

Your advice is cynical and unhelpful.

I have a healthy relationship with my family where talking about wealth, money, and unexpected windfalls is not a problem. Or, conversely, talking about death, disease, unemployment, or breakups. Of course, a healthy non-toxic relationship needs years of hard work and maintenance.

The kind of work most people don't want to put in.
> The "natural world" doesn't have beliefs, the world itself cannot be right or wrong, it just is. So the question again is, Less Wrong relative to whom?

What?

Okay, let me try really small steps.

We assume the natural world is ordered.

We assume that the brain holds beliefs, which are compressive/predictive patterns, about the observations of the natural world.

Inasmuch as these are predictive, and inasmuch as we can take multiple actions, then a belief can be qualitatively better or worse in selecting actions that make the world be more good by one's judgment.

Beliefs can fail to be appropriate to select actions on (at least) two metrics: they can be "right or wrong", or they can be "more or less useful."

An example of a wrong belief: if you think it is raining, and so you bring an umbrella, but it is not raining (the belief is wrong), then you have failed to improve your position: you are dry anyway, but now you are also carrying an umbrella, which is annoying.

An example of a useless belief: you can believe that your shirt has more fibers than the average shirt of its kind. This may be true, but even if it is true, there is no decision that you would make where the belief is instrumental in deciding which of the possible actions leads to a world that better matches your preference.

(Unless you have very specific preferences about clothing.)

The goal of becoming Less Wrong is for your brain to contain fewer beliefs that are wrong, and more beliefs that are right; and also (but less importantly) fewer beliefs that are useless, and more beliefs that are useful. The term "Less Wrong" does not refer to a comparison to some other existing human, but rather to the counterfactual outcome of failing to reflect on your thoughts - Less Wrong is a collection of techniques whose goal is, when applied, to make your brain have less wrong beliefs and less useless beliefs, in order to improve your ability to shape the world to your preferences. (Whether they actually achieve this is a hot topic of debate - but that is the standard which they set.)

> And what if one is unsure of one's preferences?

That depends on your preferences for your preferences. :)

In any case, setting your preferences is not the purpose of rationality. (Though as your preferences are part of the ordered natural world, rationality also aims to improve your ability to shape your preferences, this does not tend to be a central consideration.)
Late to the game here, but...

OnlyFans is doing this allegedly because of a push by their payment processors and their investors.

I used to work for a company that did payment processing for high-risk sites (pornography and gambling), and before that I worked for a company that ran high-risk sites (pornography and gambling).

Those types of sites are high-risk because of a relatively large risk of fraud and chargebacks. Fraud and chargebacks are both bad things that cost both merchants and payment processors a lot of time and money, and they want to eliminate as much as possible.

This is why it's not as simple as a "Show me explicit content" setting - it's not about people seeing porn if they don't want to, it's about the banks not wanting to deal with the trouble that adult-focused sites tend to bring.
Obvious question, the people you blew the whistle on didn't hire people to track and harass you? Or worse.
"Targeted sanctions" as a geopolitical tool are a complete myth. They fall apart at the slightest scrutiny: from outside a sovereign nation, how do you prevent a target from colluding with a non-target to get around the targeted sanction?

You can't reasonably ensure that, so by induction the only solution is to sanction (read: blockade) the entire population and its real economy. Which is a massive human rights abuse.
This all sounds very reasonable, albeit I'm partial to chip-and-PIN for preventing unintentional validation and to render the token useless if lost or stolen. The ring form factor doesn't lend itself to PIN entry, but otherwise it sounds reasonable compelling. (Granted I can't make myself wear a ring without taking it off, fidgeting with it, and ultimately losing it. I've tried, failed, and lost three as a result.)
why share this now? It's like a discussion from 2019 that traces back to posts google themselves made in like 2009 about preloading images, sending links thru their own servers etc, anti-phishing etc.
why share this now/find a new discussion/link about it.
Why? We're responsible for what our government does.
> But to withdraw it, they need to have raked in roughly $1,000 worth of Robux.

It's even worse than that. They sell robux at one rate and cash them out for developers at a very different rate. That $1,000 worth of Robux becomes $350 when you go to extract it. So they're taking cuts twice, once on the actual sale and again whenever you try to turn it into real money instead of their scrip.
You have to have a fairly healthy family dynamic to be able to give or loan a lot of money to each other and not have everything ruined. And chances are that if you had that family dynamic already, you'd be less hesitant revealing your financial status.
"New technology, this kind or any other kind, is a kind of Faustian bargain. It always gives us something important, but it also takes away something that's important. That's been true of the alphabet, the printing press, and telegraphy right up to the computer."

Neil Postman on Cyberspace, 1995

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=49rcVQ1vFAY
If someone wanted to donate, which are the top organizations you'd recommend and which are the top ones you'd avoid given your knowledge on efficiency and grifting?
I disagree, people seem to really overblow how much boilerplate that you write (though I guess it would vary from language to language). The most important job in SWE is to think logically IMO. Codex isn't up for that.
Very dishonest indeed. Does YC not do any due diligence anymore? They seem like they’ve become a quantity-over-quality investment firm now, casting the widest net possible based on the strength of their reputation.
If it was an ascent rather than a descent that seems more likely, since they'd be exerting far more.

It just seems really weird for all three of them to die pretty much at the same time. (the baby of course could have died hours later of exposure)

I'm still betting on some kind of toxin.

Really tragic, they seemed like a really happy family.
I would posit that it is a combination of things. To discard inflation all together would be an interesting take. The other bits of your argument are good however.

Also inflation is not necessary for people to act like it will happen. You may see investment firms looking to 'park the cash' into something they can just borrow against. Not enough inventory to cover that would make the problem worse. It is like the oil crunch a few years ago. We had plenty of oil. The problem was not enough oil to cover real usage and speculative usage at the same time so prices went up.

So if (when) more inventory happens. Then you will see a decrease in price. As that could spook the investor crowd and cause inventory to grow. Something akin to what 2008 looked like could easily happen. It will not be the same cause but the effect will probably be similar.
I stand by what I actually wrote: that they did everything feasible to remove and report illegal content. Having more extensive verification of uploaders does not an expanded effort to remove and report illegal content that gets posted, but rather an effort to prevent said content from being uploaded in the first place. And as you pointed out, this comes with tradeoffs in the form of a more onerous sign up process.

To be even more pedantic, they still haven't done everything they can do: they could shut down their whole site and eliminate 100% of illegal material with 100% confidence. Which, I suspect, is the goal of those propping up the narrative that PornHub was some sort of wild west where child pornography was welcome.
That thread is really dumb. You can't just throw stuff out there like "You're 20x more likely to die of homicide!" and expect to be taken seriously.

1. The demographic that is likely to win lotteries might already be more likely to die of homicide (or become bankrupt, etc) than the general population.

2. Throwing large multiples out sounds flashy, but it doesn't mean much if the probability was already extremely low.

You're not fucked if you win the lottery... The amount you can afford with 100 million is incredible. Buy a huge lot and hire security. Hire great attorneys and financial firms to handle details. Don't spend more than you expect to make in interest yearly.

Boom, saved you from having to read a wall of Reddit lottery porn.
I'd probably shoot them an email, and publish a blog/tweet/... along the lines of "We appreciate the contributions of <NAMES> over the last few years, unfortunately we can no longer accept contributions from Iranian citizens in compliance with US law." The sneakiness really is unnecessary.
After more research it seems you're partly right. Depending on the PH of the water and the type of cyanotoxins bleach might not be effective. It is effective in some cases, but not reliably.
Debt is risk. You told the bank/lender that you would pay $x every month for n years. How do you do plan to meet that?

Pretend you lose your job in an economic recession. You can't make your mortgage payment anymore, and because recession, your investments aren't worth anything either. Lets pretend you have rental properties, too: there's an eviction moratorium, and small businesses are closing left and right, so almost no one's paying rent.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_recession

OH F**K.
Ask HN: Have you ever convinced an org to stop using 3rd-party tracking?
I am a backend engineer at a small charitable organization in the USA.

I recently became aware that our webpage incorporates several 3rd-party user tracking tools from vendors like Hotjar, Facebook, Linkedin, Criteo, Doubleclick, and Google. I believe that at least some of these scripts compromise the security and privacy of users, especially because it is done without their knowledge or consent.

In the spirit of living up to my own moral standards, I feel like I should at least try to do something about it. But I'm not sure how to proceed.

Has anyone here ever successfully convinced an organization to switch away from proprietary 3rd-party tracking tools? Has anyone here tried and failed? Are there even sensible alternatives to these tools, or is any digital marketing team forced to use them in order to be effective? Am I wasting my time even thinking about it?

For more context on my particular situation if it helps:

* The organization itself isn't "selling" any of this data. Their intentions are good: making sure the site is serving users well, and buying digital ads to promote the work of the charity.

* The organization falls outside the thresholds for CPPA, and I don't think we have any interest in catering to customers in the EU.

* As far as I know, nobody else here has expressed similar concerns. Maybe there are some people here who quietly agree with me.
In my experience with tech-heavy luxury vehicles like BMWs, dealerships have a relatively small time window from when the vehicle is introduced to when their knowledge about that vehicle drops off sharply. For example, I would trust a BMW dealer right now to work on a 2018 car, but I would take a 2000 car to an independent specialist.

One reason is turnover in dealer mechanic staff. Independent specialists tend to be more stable and have a genuine interest in and affection for the older cars of a particular brand.

Another reason is that most new luxury brands are highly focused on leasing brand new cars or getting customers to trade in on the latest model. They really only want to sell brand new cars at the top of the depreciation curve. People who own older cars will usually not buy them from the dealer and tend to not use dealer mechanics (often because the dealer is the most expensive option around). So dealer mechanics see less older cars, and service managers largely don't consider owners of older cars to be good/profitable customers that they need to keep happy.

A related issue that causes poor experiences like you describe is the "book time" job scheduling/pay system used by most dealer mechanics. This system favors a "parts swapping" approach where mechanics try to fix problems by quickly installing new components with a minimum of diagnosis time. This gets expensive for the customer due to dealer parts costs and strongly disincentivizes thoughtful, time-consuming diagnostic procedures and research. There is also usually an informal seniority system in dealers where the senior mechanics will take the easy "gravy" jobs that can be completed quickly but cost a lot. Junior mechanics will get stuck with the difficult, hard to diagnose jobs that suck up a lot of time and reduce a mechanic's earning potential. So you end up getting the least qualified mechanics working on tricky, unprofitable issues like yours.

To be fair, these issues aren't exclusive to high end vehicles, but they are especially noticeable at this market segment.
VB5/6 had that back in the 90's.

/gets housecoat, pipe and slippers :)
“Three people can keep a secret if two are dead”
>Carl Berry, a lecturer in robotics engineering at the UK’s University of Central Lancashire, put things to me in less uncertain terms: “[Calling it] horse shit sounds generous, frankly. I’m not saying that he shouldn’t be doing research like this, but it’s the usual overblown hype.”

https://www.theverge.com/2021/8/20/22633958/tesla-bot-elon-m...
Stories about foreign countries and their societal infrastructure, as an American, make me really envious and sad for my country's state of affairs.

It's kind of like the feeling I get looking at somebody with a very nice car or house: "Oh, it would be neat to have such a thing but there's no way I'd ever splurge and get that." It's difficult for me to conceive of some things other countries have as just being "normal".
I've been hoping for a Silicon Valley style dramedy series about the early days of open source. My headcasting for this has Donal Logue as Richard Stallman, Nick Offerman as Eric Raymond, and Cory Michael Smith as Linus.
I agree with all of your facts about why engineers aren't fungible. However most jobs I've had management behaves as though they are fungible. For example I've seen companies fail to give raises needed to retain top talent and lose millions of dollars but they don't seem to be able to acknowledge that. They just act as though the replacement is just as good as the last one.
There's a balancing act of saving vs spending. A lot of people pinch pennies and save for retirement, working 60-80 hr weeks, skipping vacations and family parties, buying the cheapest car, etc. When they get to be 65 their health prevents them from actually enjoying that money. Maybe they get to that age and they die and never get to spend any of it.

I do hope this guy is at least going on some trips and utilizing his gift while he can. Seems pretty pointless to hoard $50M to do nothing with it (yes, he collects the interest, but my point still stands.)
Yeah I was thinking of the human as the sparrow.
I don’t see why the amount matters. It’s a solved problem. All of it can be aggregated and forms can be sent once at the end of the year. It’s not like this stuff has to be manually dealt with. Computers deal with virtually everything.
In Israel apparently too:

https://youtu.be/9PK-netuhHA?t=351
> I keep hearing about a housing shortage. How we are not building fast enough.

New construction is temporarily extremely expensive due to supply chain issues. Prices of everything from lumber to copper are (or were) elevated because COVID shut down factories and supply chains.

New construction is still happening, but it's slowed down and expensive for a short while.

There's a secondary problem that the new construction is happening in the suburbs and outskirts where there's still land available. Meanwhile, the trend is to move toward city centers and popular areas, where housing prices continue to climb.
And there's the usual claim that many charities are super corrupt. Yes, there are lists of "good" charities. But you know.
> They're trying to keep Iranian contributors out of the code base because they fear the Iranian government can lean on him to plant malicious code.

That doesn't quite explain why you don't even have read access in Iran though:

> Through Iran’s IP range, you cannot even clone a simple project from GitLab or pull the Nginx image from Docker Hub or Google Container Registry!
I guess ATT going after a guy a few years ago for finding out that all accounts where public and all you had to do was manipulate the URL didn't fix their underlying incompetence to fix their security procedures. Calling the poor guy a sophisticated hacker and throwing the book at him. I have no pity for ATT.
As someone said earlier, it punts the argument to how many flaws the scanning process has, instead of the fact that there's even a process to begin with.
>Capitalism is predicated on the idea of perpetual and infinite growth

First sentence from wikipedia:

>Capitalism is an economic system based on the private ownership of the means of production and their operation for profit.

How does this predicate "on the idea of perpetual and infinite growth"? I mean, it'll be nice if the economy grew infinitely, but I'd still want to invest my money into production even if that didn't exist.
"I never really liked Auntie Venessa"
Children in much of Europe will be going maskless in school this fall
> This is why, for example, current California owners have no problem buying in e.g. Washington: even if a house in both places were $1billion, they can just trade.

If it's your primary residence, you can't trade one from California to Washington because you would have a large tax bill when selling one. You can't even trade within California itself. If you bought a home for $500k 20 years ago and now discover it is worth $2M, you cannot even trade your $2M for a different $2M a few blocks over. You would have to pay taxes on a $1.5M gain.

If instead the home s an investment property which you rent out (which have higher interest rates), then you could do a 1031 exchange.
> the documented ways that people tend to change when they suddenly have much more money than the people around them

Please share said documents. (Genuinely)
I'm your target market as I'm currently investigating this with 3 other friends. Honestly, I wouldn't trust a commoditized service for this. It requires honest discussions with friends, a trusted lawyer and a trusted accountant. I want to personally know the parties I'm dealing with because often times disputes can be handled with gentlemen agreements or through those trusted contacts.
If I read it correctly, the iron ore is reduced using hydrogen created via electrolysis, and the steel is created by electric arc furnace.
people are fast to judge based on what they see on the surface, most are superficial, very few have an interest in diving into the details. too bad when family is in the first category. hope you're doing alright
> Of course, a healthy non-toxic relationship needs years of hard work and maintenance.

By all parties involved.

You only have control over what you put in, but if the other side isn't interested in playing by the same rules there's often nothing you can do.

I also have a good relationship with my family, but I didn't realize how good I had it until I went to college and met students who were on bad terms with their families, weren't on speaking terms, or were completely estranged. It shocked me at the time, but this is the reality for a lot of people.
I think discoverability on YouTube is 100x easier than Twitch. I've been recommended videos with a few hundred or thousand views before. The equivalent on Twitch is a 0-10 viewer stream which I've literally never come across without it being through me actively looking for a niche game, through a raid, or through (ironically) finding their channel on YouTube which linked to their Twitch.
Do you feel the same way about the economic sanctions against South Africa (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Comprehensive_Anti-Apartheid_A...)?
Struggling to understand the motivation for writing a letter like this, at that age. I wouldn't be surprised if the story was simply fabricated to attract traffic and site engagement.
Those investments and returns are not risk free. You just can't equate getting out of an obligation, like a mortgage, with returns on a risky investment that you aren't otherwise involved in.
You compare like-to-like. You compare the same kinds of bread, not cheap white bread to artisanal. You compare a 27" 1080 TV to another 27" 1080p TV, not an 8k TV.
One thing I learned from reading The WEIRDest People in the World by Joseph Heinrich is that saving (delayed gratification) can be detrimental to a lot of people in various societies around the world.

Part of it is that if you have money, then it will make you a target for thieves or corruption. But also, family members will ask you to borrow money if they know you have some. And if no one has any saved money, whenever they have an emergency, they’ll go beg the lone person who might have some. So, you’re better off just spending any money you get right away so that you don’t have to give it over to a family member.

Clearly, that equilibrium is hard to break out of, and pretty much requires kin based institutions to be broken down first (which is the thesis of the book for how the rich world got rich).
You could make the same argument about a steady food supply but I'm not going to start foraging exclusively.
I’d guess that more engineer-hours have gone into making YouTube what is than Roblox. At least, if someone’s going to express a strong claim about that, they ought to supply some numbers and not just an assertion.
@sam0x17, are you aware of this finding?:

https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/perspectives-on-poli...

> Despite the seemingly strong empirical support in previous studies for theories of majoritarian democracy, our analyses suggest that majorities of the American public actually have little influence over the policies our government adopts. Americans do enjoy many features central to democratic governance, such as regular elections, freedom of speech and association, and a widespread (if still contested) franchise. But we believe that if policymaking is dominated by powerful business organizations and a small number of affluent Americans, then America’s claims to being a democratic society are seriously threatened.

Especially the part with "policymaking is dominated by powerful business organizations and a small number of affluent Americans" made me think that it is not only those elites who do this or businesses. Does this mean that the government (NSA) doesn't care what we want? They are allowed to essentially patronize us because we do not know any better? Can you explain to me why the NSA is spying on us despite it being unpopular? We didn't ask to be spied on, right? I don't understand politics or the role of government anymore. I am utterly confused.
Politics is so contradictory I cannot wrap my head around it. Or perhaps, I am missing something?
> Or does it simply increase the concentration because some water has evaporated?

Yes, this.
OK, we pass strict money laundry requirements for non profit churches.