skysight-inc/HackerNews huggingface dataset:
The thesis is you trade up. This isn’t about an extra thunderstorm or two, big storms are expensive and disruptive. More tropical storms become hurricanes. Category 1 hurricanes hit 2 etc, and what would have been a 5 hits harder and stays a 5 for longer.

It’s about more frequent forced evacuations, overtopped levies, and massive cleanup etc. Rising sea levels aren’t just larger high tides their also larger tsunami. Beyond that you just get more extreme events like heat waves in the Arctic, longer drought mixed with extra flooding, more hail, mudslides, bigger blizzards etc.

We’re looking at 100’s of billions in damages per year not simply adding a few AC to community centers. Though you’re also likely to have higher cooling bills.
> a large unemployment rate

what is japans current unemployment rate?
Already cut massively thanks to COVID-19.

I say we should try to keep it at a level close to where it is now.

But we need to set the expectations here and I guess today's influencers and thought leaders won't be of much help :-/
The inability of the US to pass a carbon tax will be one of humanities great tragedies. That they are the theoretical champions of the free market is just piling cruel irony on top of that.
> Naturally, this would be a good time for a competitor to capture market share. Problem is, the infrastructure behind a search engine like Google is gigantic. A competitor would first have to cover all of the basic features that Google users are used to before they would be able to compete on better ranking algorithms.

That is why the basic rule of dethroning an incumbent is to not go into competition heads-on. If someone is successful in shaking Google, then it won't be a search engine company. That company will build some different product first not competing with Google at all, become a leader in that and then, if business model supports, build a better search engine. It is a long process, but that is how it usually works. Google is a classic example of this way of getting at Microsoft. After search, it tried to eat Microsoft's lunch by developing products to compete with MS-Office, and also ventured into mobile and laptop OS.
> Why the scientists are not communicating this information which has been in pop-science (as early as An Inconvenient Truth (2006), which documents the lag between CO2 rise and temp rise) is beyond me.

I might be biased but popular newspaper in my country have interviews in which scientists do talk about that.
Well, one very obvious benefits is that they gain leverage in discussing their alleged position as a monopolist. They could argue that they have implemented a sophisticated and private CSAM detection engine which is only possible if they continue to control the entire system.
> What’s the point of downloading songs for offline use if you can’t even navigate to them?

I've never understood that either. I have downloaded quite a few albums for offline listening throughout the years but now I have no way of removing them because there's no listing. From time to time I still stumble upon an album marked as downloaded so I get that one chance to remove it.
If you find this stuff interesting, I highly recommend "Structure and Interpretation of Computer Programs":

https://mitpress.mit.edu/sites/default/files/sicp/index.html
It's stabilising. Look at the curve. Increasing wealth in Africa and Asia correlates strongly to a drop in birthrate. The problem isn't unconstrained population growth, it's the energy budget inherent in the population we have already, as standards of living rise worldwide.

30y and we didn't double. We probably won't hit 10b
> This is melodramatic high school Hamlet-ism. It’s also silly - there has obviously been a case where the first speech was censured. It happened before civilizations. Are we all still damaged and bondaged by that?

Frankly, yes.
Agree, though the ability to add a tax to goods/services for carbon seems unlikely in the US. I suspect people might be more agreeable if they knew there was a direct relationship between carbon tax and carbon abatement-and couldn't be squandered on something else (like cutting taxes for wealthy/multi-national corps). i.e. $1 of tax means $1 toward sequestration, or something like that.
Sadly smartphones have ruined what is defined as good behavior. What really grinds me is that they advertise themselves as safer than sideloaded apps. Because in general the latter behave much better.
What evidence would you find convincing?
Potentially what actually happened and von Clausewitz mention something about this, is that the armies had no ability to "think" fast enough to deal with any breakthrough. As mentioned the ability to plan and undertaken the first action was always there; the assault, the counter attack. But the subsequent actions were impossible to plan for and impossible to execute on the fly. These were old school armies; communication was antiquated and initiative was practically non existed.
My memories and thoughts are also warrant-proof. We just accept it as a limitation.
You're right that people don't share the same sets of facts - for example, at least in the US Covid "non-denialists" substantially and consistently overestimate the risk, especially the risk to young people: https://www.brookings.edu/research/how-misinformation-is-dis...
How to track web analytics for freelancing website using Google Tag Manager?
I don't think we should be using Youtube as a model for anything.
WAY cheaper and still do everything you want a modern mobile phone to do.

This could have been a race between Xiaomi and Huawai but trump decided against that.
> Any taxes on just the ultra wealthy raise so little money for the rest of the population that any large scale money raising requires taxes on doctors, lawyers, engineers, small business owners, etc.

That's very much untrue. What is true is that no one even bothers reducing the favorable tax treatment of the ultrawealthy, only taxing high-end labor income and pretending. As long as both long-term capital gains and pass-through business income are extremely tax-favored, it doesn't matter what rates or brackets you set for normal income, you arent really taxing the ultrawealthy. You could raise tremendous revenue by eliminating those favorable categories and treating all income as income, and only raising nominal rates by adding new brackets above the current top bracket. The reason that isn't done isn't that you can't raise enough revenue that way, its because the ultrawealthy are very good at propagandizing that the forms of income they earn vastly disproportionately ought to be untouchable.
Most deaths are of old people who had few years to live. They were also not consuming much. And they would not have more children. The CO2 impact of these deaths is negligible if not positive (in the bad sense) because the disruption of Covid will end up emitting more CO2 than business as usual (a lot of investment could have been used to fight climate change but were diverted to fight Covid and to support the industries that are the most in troubles (which are the most polluting ones).
The rise of African super apps
> One of the most toxic things that happens in politics is re-framing a problem away from rational competence towards emotive and narrative non-logic.

In politics emotional and even irrational narratives are a centerpiece of how effective leaders lead.

In virtually all sufficiently complicated human affairs there is NEVER enough facts and visibility at hand to make objective decisions. Moreover, now more than ever, influencers and thought leaders can easily cherry-pick whatever facts rhyme with their narrative and sound completely rational and "facts-based" to those who lack (or have been conditioned to lack) critical thinking skills and experience.

All effective leaders, regardless of whether they're good or evil, democratic or autocratic make decisions and motivate people by appealing to emotion, history, cultural background. "Logic and rationality" of course is necessary for success but it's only one component. The finest leaders are fully in touch with their subjectivity _and_ can also draw from deep knowledge and rational thought.
Why is it a problem for Jeff Bezos to have this much wealth?

As a human society, we produce and we consume things. It sucks if some people consume a lot and not enough is left for others. I'd rather see us pile on people who overconsume rather than on those who overproduce.
4,300,000 covid deaths[0]
7,885,000,000 world population [1]

0.05% of the world population has died from covid. Numbers may be wildly wrong but would have little overall effect.

[0] https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
[1] https://www.worldometers.info/world-population/
With respect, climate change is impacting poorer countries far worse than than rich countries. The projections from India are particularly dire.
An image being erroneously flagged will not have any effect. Until the threshold is reached, Apple is not able to know if or how many images have matched.

And even then, the voucher doesn’t include the key to decrypt the photo itself.

Apple has documentation that explains all of this.
I moved away from LastPass to 1Password as LastPass changed their app to Electron and it was immediately slower and less usable. On a 32GB RAM machine. But just things like resizing the window were worse. Not always true for Electron, but it made me change in this case.
World population is projected to (at least) level out by 2100.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Projections_of_population_grow...
The issue here is not bad English in the sense you'd expect from a learner or someone who just isn't fluent. Nobody minds that, although you say not everyone can afford professional editing services: that's what journals are theoretically for!

The actual problem here is fluent English that is written in a totally bizarre style only found in academic papers. I've found that academic-ese is less of a problem in good computer science papers (like the one this article is about), but it crops up in some fields a lot. A trivial and not very important example is the way minor things are routinely described as "novel", a word you rarely find in everyday English, but in the research literature everything is "novel".
> It’s just so hard to know what actions have what impact on CO2 production

Not really. For some reason the actually quite simple problem is needlessly complicated in the discussions.

Stop digging up ANY carbon from below ground where it was safely buried.

Any carbon above ground is part of the cycle that includes atmospheric CO2. You need huge effort to change how much of it is in CO2 form at any time while still having no certainty that it won't change very quickly (into CO2 atmospheric form), e.g. through fires (like the many burning forests just now).

The earth's solution to removing the CO2 from the atmosphere was to bury it deep underground. Getting it back out from there is the BIG problem. The details of the above-ground carbon cycle are a small problem with very little impact compared to the big issue of getting more and more of the ancient carbon back up into the cycle.

Of course, it's no use discussing the stop of all coal, gas, and oil digging, because there is zero chance of it happening. Coal at most and not even that looks likely, globally.

It's like not caring about the huge hole in the hull of the ship while arguing about how to "safely" store all the water coming in.
There's a fairly large amount of biomass that does get sequestered. Bogs, swamps, and tundra are particularly prone to this, and peat is effectively a low-grade coal (it played a major role in the development of Holland as well).

There is a huge amount of sequestered carbon in such landforms. I don't know how that compares with primordial carbon formations.

One factor that seems to have been significant in the formation of the coal belt that runs from the present-day Czech republic through Germany, France, northern Spain, England, and the Apallachians is that this was a region of forest and/or swampland adjacent to mountains (the Appalachians, which are literally older than dirt), with the swamps sinking rapidly into a shallow seabed. That may also have played a major role in depriving the biomass of oxygen which would permit it to rot.

My own rampant speculation: even given decomposers capable of breaking down woody plant tissue, it's possible that these were insufficiently numerous, or inefficient, or otherwise limited, in ways that aren't currently relevant, such that decomposition is more efficient and rapid today.

Interesting questions. Unlikely to be answered by any of us here soon.
This is already a thing today. Most major could providers perform server-side scanning, so if a nefarious party can smuggle problematic photos onto your cloud, you have the same problem.

To make it perfectly clear: I am absolutely agains this scanning system, but I think that we need to keep to high-quality arguments to successfully argue agains it.
Playstation 3 Emulator Adds AMD FSR Upscaling
That sounds a bit like Thatcher 'there is no society' - society, I am not sure if open software can survive without permanence, trust and reliability (from the developer and customer side, not the code basis).
Pocket Bricks: Databricks Client for Android
It's not just US. Is there a real carbon tax anywhere at all?
As an investor in Miso Robotics[0], the company that makes Flippy, I'm quite excited by these developments. From what I've been reading about the kitchen automation industry, I believe we may be less than a decade away from fully autonomous restaurants. Basically, small buildings that are effectively made-to-order vending machines. Here's some background on the industry from an earlier comment of mine if anyone's interested in learning more.

There has been significant R&D investments in kitchen automation in the last decade and we're just starting to see the amazing results. As covered in Dec 2020 article, Future Restaurants Will Fit In A Shipping Container And Have No Humans In The Kitchen. [1]

> “Starting in the next two years, you’re going to see an explosion of really high quality, small footprint delivery kiosks — think high quality vending machines, kind of express menus,” Miso Robotics co-founder Buck Jordan told me recently on the TechFirst podcast.

> “But then I think around year five or seven, you’re going to start seeing a lot of … all new-build kitchens being completely reinvented, fully autonomous, no humans in the back of house, 25% the square footage, probably fits in a shipping container, completely changing the entire industry and potentially disrupting the franchise model.”

> “The future’s already here,” he says. “We have standalone machines that can cook a pizza in less than three minutes from scratch. We have automated Boba tea bars hitting the scene. And all these things just make it easier for customers to get low-touch food options faster and close to home.”

White Castle has been experimenting with this tech and in October 2020, announced that they would roll out the robotic fry cook to 10 new locations. [2] See [3] for a short video, showing the robot in action. There is also the Creator restaurant in San Francisco, which has a fully automated burger chef. [4,5]

Amazon Go has already solved the problem of automating retail. [6] As a customer, you don't interact with any employees. You scan in with your app as you enter, cameras automatically detect the items you select, and it charges your account when you exit. Go stores still have employees, including people stocking the shelves and someone available to help people as needed. Nonetheless, they still require fewer employees and can therefore offer lower costs.

I used to frequent two of the Go stores when I lived in San Francisco. They are incredibly convenient and offer the highest value in terms of value for cost. Quite hopeful that they'll expand out to my current city soon.

Getting people out of this menial work will drop costs to consumers, while improving consistency, quality, and cleanliness. I can hardly wait for what this sector will look like in just a decade.

[0] https://misorobotics.com/

[1] https://www.forbes.com/sites/johnkoetsier/2020/12/11/the-rob...

[2] https://techcrunch.com/2020/10/27/white-castle-rolls-out-mor...

[3] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5vjf13h2f6o

[4] https://www.creator.rest/

[5] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c-y0UaHzFfE

[6] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Amazon_Go
I wrote about this not long ago, the problem with the climate crisis is there's no crisis point.

In a "proper" crisis or perhaps "ordinary" is a better term, there's a point where the leadership needs to drop all other agenda items and focus on the crisis. Whether that's bailing out the economy, starting a war, or calling a new election, there's a time when nothing else matters.

The climate crisis is a thousand individual, distributed, manageable events that happen all the time. Forest fires, floods, storms, they all happen and they're all dealt with locally. Everyone breathes a sigh of relief and moves on. Every time. Forever.

It's the frog boiling analogy. Can we handle x amount of rain? Yes. Can we handle 1.1x? Sure. How about 1.2x floods? Sure. It will be like inflation was to our generation, grandad will tell stories about how you could buy a whole meal for a dollar. Except instead of meals, it's hurricanes.

There doesn't seem to be anything in the context of what you said in your comment that would lead us to a "let's deal with it now" moment. Telling people about the 1 or 2 degrees, sure, they need to know, but it will never bring anyone to a negotiating table.
I suspect the demand for everyone to do their part is harming the environmental cause by politicizing it.

Instead, we should try for environmental regulation to be as unnoticeable to the individual as possible.

The unwarranted fetishization of restricted living is a central part of the green movement's image problem.
Indeed. I cringe each time I see the phrase.
JFTR, There is also ApkStudio[0], but it has no updates since October 2020.

[0] https://github.com/vaibhavpandeyvpz/apkstudio
AFAIU they can, but it takes a very long time, as well as depth, pressure, and temperature.

(Not my area of expertise.)
Am EV over a fuel burning car is huge improvement, however EV’s alone are not a sustainable solution to our transport needs. There needs to be mass transit and wider adoption of cycling/walking in more towns and cities. EV’s are still burning fuel if they’re not charged using 100% renewable energy, which clearly we are not at yet, and at the end of the day they’re _still_ an inefficient means of transporting people over any distance.

To reduce transportation emissions worldwide, there needs to be greater emphasis on alternative modes of transports to cars, electric or not.

- Long distances should be covered by train/bus.

- Medium distances by metro/bus/tram/whatever works in a given city’s geography and layout.

- short distances by cycling/walking.

- an EV when you need the flexibility of a car.
If you have children, then that is probably the most impactful. They will need/want the same living standards as other people. They get the full package of other impactful things you mention plus some more like house building. For example a young family does no longer live in the same small 2 person flat, but instead builds a house (or lets build). Especially in first world countries and developing to first world countries, where everyone wants to have the high living standard, having children will be the most impactful action.

Perhaps there should be a high CO2 tax on having children, which one needs to continue to pay, while the children live?
There's a lot of dumb fraud. Being international of course makes everything harder. Usually the amount of investigation is related to how many people were scammed. People need to learn how to do due diligence because the definition of fraud can get vague at times. I think your example is a good case of due diligence, it couldn't hurt to blog about their fraud though.
I think we all have a fairly good idea of some things that would help, it's the scale we struggle to comprehend. But even if you could find out the magic threshold for what it would take, if there's anything that lockdown and covid restrictions in the UK have taught me in the past 18 months, it's that we all need to follow the rules or it's pointless.

It's so disheartening to see others not pay these taxes, to not restructure and restrict their lifestyles.

It seems that unless things change globally, why are we even considering making changes? 1000 people in Quatar generate over seven times as much CO2 as 1000 people in the UK. Luxembourg, the US, Canada, Australia (and more) all generate three times as much CO2 as the UK per 1000 residents. The US has no carbon taxes. They've long been able to buy fuel and fly domestically for ridiculously low prices. Yeah, I'm having a whinge, but this is my point. If we're not all in this together, what's the point?
That's not really helpful, when you think about it: Are the effects linear? How much ice would the US be under for temperatures of 1°C below 20th century average? A fifth of half a mile? No ice at all? And what does that imply for 2°C above? 0.2 miles of ice below the surface?

I prefer actual predictions of the effects, not bad analogies or useless data points.
You can't transition from dinosaurs to sun in a day, so you need both.

And if you need both, you need individuals to make the switch too. And for individuals to make the switch, you need to allow it.
It will only take a few false-positive images shared on WhatsApp by everyone to take down that initiative.
Take what you can get, just take it in context.
>It would be nice to see the software industry become a true engineering profession

What would you have us profess?

Those in the medical profession have the Hippocratic Oath

There are oaths of admission for Lawyers, different in every state, of course

Many Engineers trained in Canada wear the iron ring

Again, what would you have all of us profess?

We can't even agree on obvious things, like the fact that tabs and null terminated strings are the work of Satan. ;-)
Get involved in carbon free energy sources getting better and more widely introduced as well as current energy using devices being more efficient ?

Any improvement by an andividual of this kind that gets deployed in scale eclipses any changes of lifestyle of a single.individual can have.
I sometimes do stupid things when I act on a 'gut feeling'. The reason why I don't learn from my mistakes is that it only happens sometimes.
No, you cannot calculate this from that. It is basically a free parameter depending on the shock absorbers of the seat.
Functionality is part of UX.

Also, “good” is a very high (and ambiguous) bar. Can you name any commercial apps you believe to be good?
Simple Sabotage Field Manual – Strategic Services (Provisional) [pdf]
But that happens because of the common experience interviewers have of interviewing someone with a PhD or (even worse) various corporate credentials and discovering they can't actually create and compile a program that loops over an array.
> There are apps, like WhatsApp, that allow you to save photos you receive to your camera roll instantly.

Major cloud providers already scan photos for CSAM. So this feature does not change anything in this regard. If you are using cloud photo storage, you can be targeted with this attack no matter whether you use an iPhone, some android Phone or anything else, really.
How to Stress Test Your CPU in Linux